Rubio on Ukraine: No public negotiation. Ceasefire means nothing if war returns. Ukraine needs deterrence. Europe’s role in talks is unclear, but sanctions and security commitments matter. U.S. minerals deal isn’t a security guarantee, but it ties U.S. interests to Ukraine. 1/

Rubio: The goal is long-term security. A ceasefire means nothing if war returns in a few years. Ukraine needs real deterrence. Every country has the right to defend itself, and that must be part of the conversation. 2/

Rubio: European sanctions, frozen assets, and security commitments will be part of any negotiation. Their role - front or back end - remains to be seen. 3/

Rubio: No rockets, no missiles, no bullets, no artillery. The shooting stops, the talking starts. Then we turn that into something concrete. 4/

Rubio: A minerals deal helps both countries. A stronger economy lets Ukraine fund its defense. It’s not a security guarantee, but if the U.S. has an economic stake, it has an interest in protecting it. 5/

Rubio: No contact with Zelensky[while in Saudi Arabia]. He sent his foreign minister and security chief to represent Ukraine, which is standard practice. 6/

Rubio about ceasefire: Modern warfare is hard to hide - satellites and surveillance see everything. If a ceasefire happens, both sides must agree on who monitors it. Oversight is key. 7/

Rubio: The U.S. isn’t arming Russia - every sanction stays. No point in threats before they respond. If they refuse, we’ll assess and adjust. The goal is lasting peace. 8/

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Yaknow, couldn't they just integrate Ukraine with oh say the economic union in Europe in the same way a mineral deal does with the US?

rarely is there a conflict where the solution is so obvious. Russia needs to leave Ukraine and if Trump could muster 1/2 the strength he musters to tweet mean things he could actually pressure Russia to leave & invite peace to that region.

If Russia doesn't play, crashing oil price is their likely tool: 1. It will hurt American oil producers, but it will help with inflation there 2. It will help European and East Asian economies greatly 3. It will be very bad for Brazil, Canada, Iran, and of course Russia