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🛰️Russian satellites multi-object proximity event in LEO Radar tracking data via LeoLabs, processed through COMSPOC SSA Suite. This week we observed a complex proximity event involving Russian satellites: COSMOS 2581, 2582, 2583, and Object F (a subsatellite released by 2583). The highlight: COSMOS 2581 and 2583 achieved a closest...

119,858 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten •via X (Twitter)

8 Kommentare

Profilbild von Space Domain Awareness
Space Domain Awarenessvor 4 Monaten

Have you investigated if the Russian "umbra tactic" is being employed? Past Russian RPOs in LEO exploit favorable solar illumination geometries for the "chaser" object...such that, when solar illumination would become favorable for the target to see the chaser, it is synchronized with the objects entering the earth's shadow (I've been wanting to complete some more recent analysis on this - so only speculating this may be occurring with this group)

Profilbild von COMSPOC_OPS
COMSPOC_OPSvor 4 Monaten

@LeoLabs_Space We hadn't thought to look at that, originally, and we'll get on that analysis.

Profilbild von Greg Hemp
Greg Hempvor 4 Monaten

@LeoLabs_Space How nice it would be to live in a world where the Russian space agency shares all their knowledge and findings publicly and all other space agencies celebrate their success. Instead, all others have to be frightened, how sad.

Profilbild von Travis Handerson
Travis Handersonvor 4 Monaten

@LeoLabs_Space So for each sat, especially recanaissance, sat hunter will be launched ?

Profilbild von AlexanderZ
AlexanderZvor 4 Monaten

@LeoLabs_Space Und das alles mit Waschmaschinen Chips 😀👍🏻

Profilbild von BlueDaisy
BlueDaisyvor 4 Monaten

@LeoLabs_Space 👏🫶Russia 🇷🇺

Profilbild von géo croiseur 🇲🇳🎈
géo croiseur 🇲🇳🎈vor 4 Monaten

@LeoLabs_Space Belle manœuvre 😃

Profilbild von Adrian
Adrianvor 4 Monaten

@LeoLabs_Space I think I saw it , where was it ?

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𝐃𝐚𝐯𝐢𝐝 𝐙 🇷🇺🇮🇪

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Ricardo

2,909,476 Aufrufe • vor 9 Monaten

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The SCIF

21,781 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

Aircraft Carriers: Very Much Alive, But in a Different Role We all thought aircraft carriers were obsolete, after all, because of their size, it's not hard to hit them with anti-ship missiles. And I would say there are missiles designed for this type of target with ranges up to 8,000 km, putting any large warship at risk. It is precisely in this context that aircraft carriers are reborn as extremely useful assets, because any long-range anti-carrier missile must carry out the initial target acquisition phase supported by its "kill web", which consists of reconnaissance satellites, over-the-horizon (OTH) radars, maritime patrol aircraft, and surveillance drones. Far from the coast, this primary acquisition is performed or enhanced by drones. Missiles such as the DF-21D, DF-26, and DF-27, for example, in addition to the initial guidance phase, rely heavily on external updates (satellites + drones) for mid-course corrections, even flight time being short, the target can displace dozens of kilometers. Once close, they will use their own onboard sensors, such as active radar, IR, optical sensors, and INS. But up to that point, they remain dependent on mid-course guidance. It is in this context that aircraft carriers play a fundamental role in fleet protection, sustaining dozens of HALE and MALE drones patrolling hundreds of kilometers and preventing enemy drones from conducting surveillance and target acquisition. These drones are also essential for interfering with enemy satellites through electronic warfare (EW), helping to keep the squadron safe by degrading or blocking orbital communications and tracking. Other measures will be complemented by the squadron's own EW capabilities, but keeping drones in the air to disrupt the enemy's kill web remains fundamental. Without aircraft carriers, there is no autonomy for these drones to cover the necessary area. Therefore, each aircraft carrier should operate with dedicated drone squadrons on a full-time basis. Very much alive, yes. Only now their game is denying the enemy the ability to find and target us, rather than going out to strike distant bases like in the old days. * Obviously, I support the decentralization m- also of C2-, of fleets and greater investment in smaller units, but large ships will continue to exist and must always be protected in safer areas. To move these the fleet in open sea, will be necessary drone cover, with ACs.

Patricia Marins

44,983 Aufrufe • vor 9 Monaten

💥 Footage of the Russian Tor in action The Tor missile system (NATO: SA-15 Gauntlet) stands as one of the most effective and battle-proven short-range air defense systems in the world, a flagship product of Russian military engineering that continues to demonstrate unmatched versatility, reliability, and lethality in modern asymmetric warfare. Developed by the Almaz-Antey concern (with key production by the Kupol plant), the Tor family was conceived in the Soviet era but has undergone continuous, combat-driven modernization that keeps it ahead of evolving threats like drones, cruise missiles, precision-guided munitions, and low-flying aircraft. Tor is not merely a defensive tool—it is a mobile guardian that enables offensive operations by providing layered, all-weather protection to ground forces, critical infrastructure, and forward bases. Technical Capabilities: Precision, Mobility, and Multi-Threat Engagement The core strength of the Tor lies in its integrated design: a tracked (or wheeled in variants like Tor-M2K) chassis carrying a 360-degree surveillance radar, fire-control radar, electro-optical/TV & thermal imaging systems & vertical-launch missiles. Key specifications for the advanced Tor-M2 include: Engagement envelope: Targets from as low as 3–10 meters altitude up to 10 km, with ranges typically 12–16 km (Russian sources highlight effective performance out to 32 km in optimized scenarios for the latest missiles like the 9M338/9M9331 series). Missile performance: PMach 2.5+ speed, 165–170 kg launch weight, 15–50 kg high-explosive fragmentation warhead with proximity fuse. Up to 8–16 ready-to-fire missiles per vehicle. Multi-target handling: Newer variants feature four guidance channels, allowing simultaneous engagement of up to four targets while tracking dozens more. Mobility and autonomy: Full operation on the move at speeds up to 40–65 km/h, with rapid 3–5 second reaction times after a short stop. It can operate autonomously or networked into larger air defense layers (e.g., alongside S-300/400 or Pantsir systems). ECM and stealth resistance: Exceptional electronic countermeasures resistance, proven in heavy jamming environments. It reliably detects and destroys small, low-signature targets (down to tennis-ball size), including radar-evading drones and stealthy munitions. Russian testing has repeatedly shown near-100% success rates against multiple simultaneous high-speed, small targets in ECM-heavy conditions—capabilities Western systems often struggle to match in real-world scenarios. Variants and Ongoing Modernization Russia has iteratively improved the Tor to stay relevant: Tor-M1: Enhanced accuracy and dual-target engagement. - **Tor-M2/M2U/M2E**: Core current variant with superior radar, digital algorithms, and better low-altitude performance. Wheeled (M2K) and Arctic (M2DT on DT-30 all-terrain vehicle) versions extend its reach into any terrain. - **Specialized adaptations**: Naval Tor-M2 for shipborne defense against sea-skimming threats; modular/containerized options; and recent anti-drone protection kits (jammers, detectors, and EW modules) developed in response to battlefield lessons. These upgrades, driven directly by operational feedback, underscore Russian industry’s agility—something pro-Russian analysts contrast favorably with slower Western procurement cycles. Combat Effectiveness: Proven in Syria and the Special Military Operation The Tor’s true value shines in real combat, where Russian forces have validated its design against the full spectrum of contemporary threats. Syria (Khmeimim Airbase Protection): First major foreign deployment of the Tor-M2. It operated both standalone and in integrated networks, repeatedly neutralizing drone swarms, guided bombs, and cruise missiles. Russian reports credit it with superior performance over even the Pantsir-S1 in countering improvised UAV attacks, protecting Russian assets with minimal losses. >>>>

𝐃𝐚𝐯𝐢𝐝 𝐙 🇷🇺 🇷🇸🇮🇪

11,369 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten

Russia has found a source of near-slave labor and “cannon fodder” in North Korea. For Pyongyang, this is a way to earn foreign currency, gain access to Russian resources and technology, while maintaining complete control over its citizens abroad. North Korea has been making money from exporting its workers for decades. According to estimates cited by 38 North, around 100,000 North Korean citizens may be working abroad in approximately 40 countries, generating around $500 million a year for the regime. Russia has now become one of the main destinations. According to South Korean intelligence, around 15,000 North Koreans were already working in Russia by May 2025. Formally, this violates UN sanctions: Resolutions 2375 and 2397 banned the issuance of new work permits to North Korean citizens and required existing workers to be repatriated by the end of 2019. Moscow circumvented these restrictions by using other types of visas. In 2025, Russia issued more than 36,000 visas to North Korean citizens, almost all supposedly for educational purposes. In practice, these “students” go to Russia to work. Now this flow is expanding. Organized groups of North Korean women have begun arriving in Russia to work on assembly lines, in garment factories, kitchens, and farms. Russian employers are offered ready-made groups of at least 40 workers. This marks an important shift: previously, North Korean labor in Russia was associated primarily with men working in construction and logging. ‼️ This is effectively state-sanctioned human trafficking. A major report by the UN Office of the High Commissioner for Human Rights explicitly describes North Korea’s overseas labor system as involving indicators of forced labor. Former workers told the UN that their passports were confiscated, they were forbidden from leaving workplaces and dormitories independently, and their communications and contacts with the outside world were monitored. People are supervised not only by representatives of North Korea’s Ministry of State Security, but also by group leaders and informants within the work brigades themselves. One former worker in Russia told the UN that a single North Korean intelligence officer monitored around 500 workers through a system of group leaders who reported to him daily. The state also controls the money. Russian employers typically do not pay workers their salaries directly: the money goes to companies linked to North Korea, after which state payments and various expenses are deducted. Human Rights Watch, citing interviews conducted by Global Rights Compliance with 21 North Korean workers in three Russian cities, reports that they worked 12-16-hour days and, in some cases, up to 364 days a year. With a salary of around $800 a month, approximately $600 could be taken by the North Korean state, and after additional deductions for travel, accommodation, and other expenses, workers were sometimes left with as little as $10. For Russia, this is particularly beneficial now. The war itself has created a labor shortage: hundreds of thousands of men have been mobilized or recruited into the military, large numbers of people have been killed or wounded, some of the population has left the country, and the defense industry is drawing workers away from other sectors. Moscow is now trying to fill part of this labor shortage with North Koreans. In July 2025, 38 North reported that North Korean workers had returned to Russia’s Far East on a scale not seen there since before the pandemic. But Pyongyang is supplying Russia with more than just workers. In autumn 2024, North Korea began deploying regular military units to Russia. The first wave consisted of approximately 14,000-15,000 troops, whom Russia primarily used in combat in the Kursk region. These were not individual mercenaries who had independently signed Russian contracts, but soldiers of the Korean People’s Army sent at the decision of the North Korean state. Moscow and Pyongyang concealed their involvement for several months and officially acknowledged it only in spring 2025. The casualties were extremely high. South Korean intelligence estimated that around 600 North Korean soldiers had been killed out of approximately 15,000 deployed, while Western estimates of total casualties - killed and wounded - exceeded 6,000. In June 2025, Reuters also reported more than 6,000 casualties among the North Korean contingent. This means that a very significant portion of the initial force may have suffered casualties over a relatively short period of combat. The North Korean state portrays these deaths as heroic sacrifices. In August 2025, Kim Jong Un publicly met with the families of those killed and promised to ensure they would have a “wonderful life.” State propaganda began referring to the fallen as martyrs and heroes. And Russia intends to continue using this resource. On July 25, Volodymyr Zelenskyy said that Russia was preparing to receive another 30,000 North Korean troops. On August 9, he gave a range of 30,000-50,000. Reuters has not independently confirmed these figures, so for now they should be presented specifically as an assessment by the Ukrainian side. However, the preparations for a new deployment fit into the already established model of Russian-North Korean cooperation.

Anton Gerashchenko

291,949 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

The sun produces more energy in one second than humanity has used in its entire existence. SpaceX thinks the only way to actually use more of it is to leave Earth. Here's why Elon Musk is racing to build data centers in space: 1. Musk frames civilizational progress using the Kardashev scale, a measurement created by a Russian physicist that ranks civilizations by how much energy they can harness. Type one means harnessing a planet's full energy, type two means harnessing a star's energy, and type three means harnessing a galaxy's energy. 2. Right now, humanity registers as essentially nonexistent on this scale. We harness less than a trillionth of the sun's total power output. Musk says we are not even at the level of a micro soul on the scale. 3. The sun makes up 99.86 percent of all mass in the entire solar system. Earth is so small in comparison that it falls into the leftover miscellaneous category alongside everything that is not the sun or Jupiter. 4. Only about half a billionth of the sun's energy even reaches Earth's cross section, and most of that cannot be used because 70 percent of Earth is covered in water, and much of the remaining land is uninhabitable terrain like Antarctica and Siberia. 5. To meaningfully climb the Kardashev scale, humanity has to go to space. Reaching even one millionth of the sun's total energy output would require increasing civilizational energy use by more than a million times current levels. 6. Getting to just 1 percent of the sun's energy would make a civilization vastly more powerful than ours is today. Musk says even reaching that level would represent an extremely advanced civilization. 7. Three core requirements stand between humanity and this goal: mass to orbit capability, a massive amount of solar power, and enough AI chips to actually use that power. 8. Starship solves the mass to orbit problem. It is designed to be the first rocket in history with full and rapid reusability, a breakthrough Musk calls absolutely necessary for making life multi-planetary and for ascending the Kardashev scale at all. 9. Reusability is the same principle behind every successful mode of transport. Cars, planes, boats, and bicycles are all reusable. If airplanes were thrown away after every flight, flying would be far too expensive for anyone to use. 10. Starship is already the largest, heaviest, and most powerful flying object ever built. Version 3 produces more than double the thrust of the Saturn V moon rocket, and version 4 is expected to produce nearly three times that thrust. 11. SpaceX currently delivers between 85 and 90 percent of all mass that reaches orbit from Earth using Falcon 9 and Falcon Heavy. With Starship, the company aims to scale mass to orbit from roughly 2,500 tons a year to millions of tons a year within about three years. 12. The proposed AI satellites are actually simpler to build than Starlink satellites. They mainly need solar cells, radiators, and laser links, without the complex phased array and parabolic antennas that Starlink satellites require. 13. The first version of the SpaceX AI satellite targets 150 kilowatts of peak power and 120 kilowatts of sustained power, roughly matching the output of a single Nvidia GB300 compute rack here on Earth. 14. These satellites will connect to each other through laser links and to the Starlink constellation, which then relays data to the ground. Despite orbiting 600 to 800 kilometers above Earth, the added latency is roughly only 3 milliseconds. 15. Heat management in space is actually easier than on Earth because radiators can simply release heat directly into the vacuum, removing the need for the massive cooling infrastructure required by ground based data centers. 16. SpaceX already operates around 10,000 Starlink satellites and claims to be the only company with real experience safely operating constellations at that scale, which gives them a head start in managing potentially thousands or even up to a million AI satellites. 17. To actually scale chip production to the levels needed, SpaceX is planning what it calls a Terafab, a chip manufacturing facility expected to span roughly 100 million square feet, about ten times the size of the existing Tesla Gigafactory in Texas. 18. The rough timeline targets reaching an annualized rate of 1 gigawatt of space based AI compute by the end of next year, scaling by roughly 10x per year afterward, eventually aiming for a terawatt per year, which is twice the entire current electricity consumption of the United States. 19. To push three orders of magnitude beyond even that terawatt goal, Musk describes building a mass driver on the moon, an electromagnetic rail gun style system that uses the moon's lack of atmosphere and lower gravity to launch satellites into space without needing a rocket at all. 20. Musk frames the long term vision in deeply personal terms. If enough mass and infrastructure eventually moves to the moon, it would become accessible enough that almost anyone who wants to go could go, and potentially even live there permanently. Follow Brad if you want more content on business, mindset & life changing ideas.

Brad

12,955 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

Elon just created the most valuable private company in history. And the VISION behind this move is going to win him the AI race. Yesterday, SpaceX and xAI combined in a $1.25 TRILLION deal, But this isn’t just a merger. Elon is literally solving AI’s biggest bottleneck: AI needs INSANE amounts of electricity. Every major AI company is hitting the same wall: Power constraints. OpenAI, Google, Anthropic are all racing to build bigger data centers. But they're all stuck on Earth fighting for the same limited power grid. Elon's solution: Move the data centers to SPACE. Last Friday, SpaceX filed with the FCC to launch up to 1 MILLION satellites. Not for internet. For compute. Solar-powered AI data centers in orbit that run 24/7 with zero cooling costs and unlimited energy from the sun. Look: On Earth, you need massive power plants, cooling systems, and infrastructure that costs billions and takes years to build. But in space? You have direct solar power. No cooling needed. Near-constant sunlight. According to Elon: "Within 2-3 years, space will be the lowest-cost way to generate AI compute." The numbers behind this are crazy: SpaceX made $8 billion profit on $15 billion revenue in 2025. xAI was valued at $230 billion standalone. Combined entity: $1.25 trillion heading into what could be the biggest IPO in history. And here's why this actually makes sense: SpaceX already dominates launches. 80% of their revenue comes from launching Starlink satellites. They've perfected reusable rockets. Launch costs keep dropping. Now instead of just launching communication satellites, they're launching compute infrastructure. xAI gets unlimited scalable compute without fighting for power grid access. SpaceX gets a customer that will need constant satellite refreshes and launches for decades. The vertical integration is incredible: SpaceX builds and launches the satellites. xAI runs the AI models on them. Grok gets trained on infrastructure no competitor can access. Starlink provides the communication backbone. Nobody else can replicate this. OpenAI can't launch rockets. Google can't either. What you have to understand about the upcoming IPO: This isn't just "rocket company goes public." It's "AI infrastructure company that happens to own the launch capability" goes public. Investors get exposure to both the AI race AND space commercialization in one ticker. That's why the $1.25 trillion valuation makes sense to Wall Street. Now here's the rational take: This is extremely ambitious. Maybe too ambitious. xAI is burning $1 billion per month right now competing with OpenAI. Space-based data centers have never been done at scale. The satellite constellation would be the largest in history by 100X. Technical challenges are massive. Regulatory approval isn't guaranteed. But if it works? Elon isn't just winning the AI race. He's changing WHERE the race happens. Imagine training AI models with 10X the compute power at 1/10th the cost because you're not constrained by Earth's power grid. That's game over for competition. The timeline to watch: Mid-2026: SpaceX/xAI IPO (largest in history) Late 2026: First orbital compute satellites launch 2027-2028: Proof of concept for space-based AI training If this actually delivers, we're looking at: The first trillion-dollar private company IPO. A new category of infrastructure (orbital compute). AI development unconstrained by terrestrial power limits. If it doesn't deliver? Well, it's still SpaceX with $8B in annual profit and dominance in launch services. Plus xAI with a $230B valuation and Grok. The risk-reward here is asymmetric. Downside: You own the world's most valuable rocket company. Upside: You own the infrastructure layer for all future AI development. Do you think datacenters in space could work?

Ricardo

78,865 Aufrufe • vor 7 Monaten