Sam Altman says OpenAI expects the same pace of progress in its models in the second half of the decade as in the first by 2030, these systems will unlock scientific breakthroughs and run complex parts of society but it’ll take massive coordination across research, engineering, and hardware "if... we can deliver on that... we will keep this curve going"show more

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This video is from May 2024: Former board member Helen Toner breaks her silence about Sam Altman's firing. Background: Sam Altman was officially fired from OpenAI on November 17, 2023, and he was reinstated as CEO on November 22, 2023. Therefore, he was out of his position for approximately 5 days. A board is supposed to provide independent oversight over the company. Helen Toner: "For years, Sam had made it very difficult for the board to actually do that job -- by withholding information, misrepresenting things that were happening at the company -- in some cases out right lying to the board ... ... Sam didn’t inform the board that he owned the OpenAI startup fund, even though he constantly was claiming to be an independent board member with no financial interest in the company ... ... After years (of this behavior), all four of us who fired him came to the conclusion that we just couldn't believe things that Sam was telling us ..."

Absolutely massive coordination across research, engineering, and hardware

Seems like he is admitting here that model improvement is going to remain incremental, this still being a huge achievement. But it feels like we are still some years off from the vertical part of the curve.

@davidpattersonx looking more and more right in his predictions as the days go on.

@grok Expand on this what kind of scientific breakthroughs are we speaking of these breakthroughs available to all or just a few "by 2030, these systems will unlock scientific breakthroughs and run complex parts of society"

That’s a big ask unless there’s real effort to support the people who provide the data. Is there any plan to build that part into the ecosystem?

Alpha AI incoming WAGMI!

i thought we would have agi this year

That's another blatant lie from Sam Altman. The exponential progress AI models have made in the past has already slowed down significantly and will soon reach an insurmountable limit. That's a well-known fact that Sam Altman is fully aware of. The brilliant American engineer Suchir Balaji played a key role in the development of ChatGPT. During his 4 years working for OpenAI, he was in regular contact with his boss, Sam Altman. Suchir quickly realized that due to their fundamental limitations, Large Language Models will never reach Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) and that the rate of progress in the development of these models will steadily decrease and will soon come to a halt. Suchir Balaji was a humble, loyal employee who never made a big deal of his important role at OpenAI. He always expressed criticism internally and directly. He had no understanding of the constant lies of Sam Altman. Suchir was dismayed by the behavior of Sam Altman and increasingly developed into a clear opponent of Sam Altman. In August 2024, Suchir left OpenAI at his own request. On November 22, 2024, he was brutally murdered in his San Francisco apartment. In the months before his death, he was planning to found his own startup and writing a scientific essay refuting the so-called scaling hypothesis, proving that AI models (Large Language Models) will never even come close to reaching the level of general intelligence (AGI) due to the fundamental limitations of transformers and autoregressive modeling. Furthermore, Suchir was scheduled to serve as a key witness in a lawsuit against OpenAI for copyright infringement. Suchir was only 26 years old. IN MEMORY OF SUCHIR BALAJI