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Sam Altman says the four hour work week isn't coming, even with AI: "Technology for a long time has been promising people that they’re going to work less and have all this leisure. And it has gone in that direction." "But somehow we never get the promise of the...

196,027 просмотров • 1 месяц назад •via X (Twitter)

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Sam Altman says AI leaders have done a terrible job at communicating to the public: “The, ‘Dear peasants, we will bequeath upon you these gifts of a cure for cancer and material wealth and great entertainment, and you stop complaining, and we'll make all the decisions about the future and just trust us, we'll be benevolent dictators.’ That’s not good. Not good.” “A lot of the people building AI have been saying, ‘There's a 25% chance we're going to destroy the world, and yet we're going to race ahead to do it because otherwise those bad guys will do it first.’” “Or, ‘Man, this thing is going to be really terrible, and 50% of the jobs are going to go away in the next year, and we hope you all are okay, but it seems really scary.’” “We have not, as a field, done a very good job of explaining to people what the benefits are and how the downsides can be mitigated—and we certainly have not done a good job even if people have had answers like saying, ‘There's going to be UBI, or work will be optional.’” “There's been very little discussion from people about how and why it's important that people have more power and personal freedom in the world, not less. And that matters a lot to most people.” “The ability of people to influence their own future and collectively design where society is going to go, and the autonomy that comes with that, is very important. I don't think a lot of people in the AI field… they feel it for themselves, but they don't spend much time thinking about it, reflecting on or acknowledging how important that is to other people.”

David Senra

32,300 просмотров • 22 дней назад

Linus Torvalds, creator of Linux, on why AI is both a bubble and a revolution at the same time: His answer refuses the binary, laying out why both things can be true at once: "I mean, clearly, it's clearly both, right? It's clearly a bubble and at the same time, it's very interesting and I think it will change society and I think it will change how most skilled jobs get done." But he pushes back on the maximalist framing: "At the same time, I don't think it's as revolutionary as people make it out to be." When asked about artists being angry that AI models were trained on their work without consent, Linus is blunt: "That's reality. Deal with it. That genie is out of the bottle. You're not getting it back. And you're not getting it back whether you are a photographer who's out of work… or you're a programmer that has to learn to deal with a new reality." On programming specifically, he's more optimistic, though he has a sharp caveat about vibe coding: "I really think that AI will be a tool and it will make people more productive. I think that vibe coding is great for getting into programming. I think it's going to be a horrible thing to maintain." His conclusion is that programmers aren't going anywhere: "You still want to have the people who know how to maintain the end result." Linus separates the technology from the noise around it: "I'm a huge believer in AI. I'm not a huge believer in the whole things going on around AI. I find the marketing and the market to be sick and twisted and there is going to be a crash and it's not… it's going to be ugly."

Big Brain AI

52,726 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад

Sam Altman's new interview: AI should not be designed to pursue goals that are disconnected from human needs. People must remain at the center of AI development. “I have no interest in building a super-smart AI that accomplishes some non-human goals. People should react. People should say, ‘Hey, this is what I want, and this is what I do not want.’ I do not think the issue is that we have failed to explain the benefits. We say, ‘AI is going to cure a bunch of diseases,’ and people say, ‘Okay, that is great, but that is not really my question. My question is: What is my role in the future? What is my economic future? What is my agency? How do I know that my kids and my family will still be able to have fulfilling, creative expression, struggle, drive the world forward, grow, and do this thing together in a way that has worked for a long time?’ When people in AI say, ‘Sure, there are going to be no jobs,’ or ‘50% of jobs are going to go away,’ or ‘90% of jobs are going to go away,’ and ‘AI is going to be smarter than you at everything,’ and ‘We will give you some basic income, but you are not really going to have a role,’ that is horrible. And by the way, if an AI company says, ‘Maybe we are going to destroy all the jobs, and we will be the most valuable company in the world,’ people should look at you like, ‘Yeah, that is a terrible message.’ I do not think the problem is that we have not articulated the upsides. I think people actually believe us. They hear, ‘AI may cure your cancer,’ and they think, ‘That sounds great.’ I think we, as an industry, have failed to explain how people stay in control of determining the future at every step, and how people can still have a meaningful life in all the ways we care about.” ---- From "CNBC Television" YouTube channel, (link in comment)

Rohan Paul

79,111 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад

I have a friend who doesn't read anything published in the past 50 years, and the more I think about it, the more I think he's onto something. The reason is that time is the best filter we have for quality. People are bad at judging quality in the moment but very good at getting rid of junk over time. — — "History is not very good at capturing all that is great in art. It is not good at that. There are many great symphonies that have been lost permanently, there are many great painters that died unknown and their paintings are gone, there's novels that have been written that no one will ever read. So history is not good at capturing all this great art. But history is very good at discarding all that is mediocre. And the amount of time that that takes, it's something like 50 years. So over the course of 50 years, what will happen is a lot of stuff that was prominent will be re-filtered and re-filtered and re-filtered, and you'll end up with a smaller group of things which have survived that test of time. So if you think about it right now, if you go back and look at the bestseller lists for 1974, 1973, there's a lot of that that would have been highly regarded at the time, which people do not read anymore for a variety of reasons, and there's some that has survived, and that's a very telling distinction. So in a world where I'm turning 60 this year, you have a limited amount of time, all four of us have active lives, we want to make sure that if we're going to sit down, we're going to read carefully, we're going to meet and we're going to discuss it in detail, we want to make sure that the work is rewarding. And the best way to ensure that is by drawing from the past." amor towles

David Perell

86,765 просмотров • 1 год назад

Sam Altman on the most tone-deaf prediction being made by AI CEOs today: He pushes back on the gloomy predictions in the AI industry about mass unemployment. "I know some AI CEOs are saying things like 50% of the jobs are going to go away." Sam Altman finds this framing not just wrong, but tone-deaf: "To say nothing of how tone-deaf it is for someone to be saying my company's going to eliminate 50% of the jobs and my company is going to be the most valuable company in human history and you know how wonderful that's going to be and but 50% of you are going to lose your jobs." Instead, Altman points to a pattern that's played out before: "Jobs will go away. Jobs have gone away with every technological revolution. Jobs will change." To illustrate why productivity gains don't automatically translate to less work, he shares a conversation that stuck with him: "A thing someone said to me just yesterday that really stuck with me is I can use the new model GPT 5.5 in codex to accomplish in an hour what would have taken me weeks 2 years ago. And I thought I would have been much less busy in that world. Now you're doing work and I have never been busier in my life. I'm waking up in the middle of the night to do more work." Altman acknowledges the disruption ahead, but rejects the bleak version of the story: "I have no doubt that the economy is going to change a lot and jobs are going to change a lot and I think caution is warranted and I think rigorous debate about new social contracts, new economic systems are warranted as well. But I don't think it's like we're all going to sit around in a life without meaning and without work."

Big Brain AI

12,195 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад

OpenAI CEO: “Goalposts keep getting moved” - if we were still using AGI definitions from 10 years ago, many would say GPT-4 is AGI. “In one year, AI will be dramatically more impressive.” He also said (surprisingly confidently - he did not hedge like usual) AGI is less than 10 years away. In the long term he’s not concerned about AI taking jobs, but he is concerned about the speed that AI will disrupt the job market. --- INTERVIEWER: What is AGI? When will it be here? And how will we know it's here? Predict how long - we'll call you in ten years? SAM ALTMAN: Less than that. We kind of define AGI as like the thing we don't have quite yet. there were a lot of people who would have ten years ago said, alright, if you could make something like GPT-4, GPT-5, maybe, that would have been an AGI. And now people are like, well, it's like a nice little chatbot or whatever. And I think that's wonderful. I think it's great that the goalposts keep getting moved, it makes us work harder. But I think we're getting close enough to whatever that AGI threshold is going to be, that we no longer get to handwave at it and the definition is going to matter. INTERVIEWER: What is the inflection point for AGI? SAM ALTMAN: I think it's going to be much more continuous than that. We're just on this beautiful exponential curve. Whenever you're on a curve like that, you look forward, it looks vertical. You look back, it looks horizontal. That's true at any point on there. So a year from now, we'll be in a dramatically more impressive place than a year ago. We were in a dramatically less impressive place. But it'll be hard to point. People will try and say, oh, it was AlphaGo that did it. It was GPT-3 that did it. It was GPT-4 that did it. But it's just brick by brick. 1 foot in front of the other, up, climbing this exponential curve. WILL AIs TAKE ALL OUR JOBS? SAM ALTMAN: Every technological revolution affects the job market. And over human history, every maybe 100 years, 150 years, half the jobs go away, totally change, whatever. I'm not afraid of that at all. In fact, I think that's good. I think that's the way of progress and we'll find new and better jobs. The thing that I think we do need to confront as a society is the speed at which this is going to happen. It seems like over two, maximum three, probably two generations, we can adapt. Society can adapt to almost any amount of job market change. But a lot of people like their jobs or they dislike change. And going to someone and saying, hey, the future will be better, I promise you, and society is going to win, but you're going to lose here. That doesn't work. That's not cool. That's not an easy message to get across. We are going to have to really do something about this transition. It is not enough to just give people a universal basic income. People need to have agency, the ability to influence this

AI Notkilleveryoneism Memes ⏸️

27,551 просмотров • 2 лет назад

Sam Altman says an AI will be a better CEO of OpenAI than he is, and that he expects it reasonably soon: "If we had an AI system that could do a better job at making decisions than anyone we could possibly have, be, say, president of the United States, would we, and like confidently, much better, would we politically or societally want that? It's very unclear. Most people I think today at least would say probably not." "Or, you know, like an AI CEO of a big company, would you rather have, I think it'd be awesome for OpenAI to have an AI CEO. But I think a lot of people would be like, ah, that's a little scary." "But I have no delusions that an AI will not be a better CEO of OpenAI than me at some reasonably soon time." "If that's true, and if some companies or countries don't do that, and others do, and AI is much better, like that will have a real impact in economic competitiveness, national competitiveness, things like that." "I think people will feel increasingly like, we either do worse, or we put the AI in more and more, influential positions." "I think people will always want human board members, and that's probably a really great idea." Read that third quote twice. He is not predicting this for other companies. He is saying it about his own job. Then look at the pressure he describes right after. Nobody has to be convinced that an AI CEO is a good idea. If one company hands over the decision and pulls ahead, everyone else picks between falling behind and doing the same. Competitive pressure does the deciding, and what most people would want stops mattering. His answer to that is human board members. I would take it. I also do not think it is enough on its own. A board oversees a CEO by reading what it is told, once a quarter. That works because a human CEO can be questioned, and thinks slowly enough for humans to follow along. What does a board actually check when the thing it oversees makes a thousand consequential calls a day? Nobody has built that. Not for a single AI system anywhere. - Sam Altman (Sam Altman), CEO of OpenAI, at TreeHacks 2026.

Karl Mehta

28,208 просмотров • 1 месяц назад