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Sat down w/ Eric Wallerstein on MTS w/ Max Wiethe who thinks the market pricing in multiple hikes from Fed this year is DEAD WRONG: 00:40 Kevin Warsh's vision for the Fed 05:30 "Nothing to suggest hikes are warranted now" 8:00 Fed's 2.0% Target 17:00 Balance sheet

Jack Farley

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21,986 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten •via X (Twitter)

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The Fed should not hike rates this year at all. That's according to Eric Wallerstein, who used to advise Fed officials and trade in the Fed's repo operations. We sat down to unpack the central bank's decision-making process, what higher interest rates mean for asset prices, and specific macro trades he likes right now. This is a must-listen and timely conversation. TIMESTAMPS: 0:00 - The Fed shouldn't hike 1:47 - Why markets expect hikes 5:59 - AI capex 8:14 - Warsh's credibility 10:02 - Reforming the Fed 14:02 - Bond selloff 18:24 - Tariffs as fiscal impulse 20:46 - Global debt divergence 23:21 - AI capex is bullish US 27:19 - Japanese banks 30:07 - Mexico 33:39 - Defense stocks 35:41 - Follow Eric

The Fed should not hike rates this year at all. That's according to Eric Wallerstein, who used to advise Fed officials and trade in the Fed's repo operations. We sat down to unpack the central bank's decision-making process, what higher interest rates mean for asset prices, and specific macro trades he likes right now. This is a must-listen and timely conversation. TIMESTAMPS: 0:00 - The Fed shouldn't hike 1:47 - Why markets expect hikes 5:59 - AI capex 8:14 - Warsh's credibility 10:02 - Reforming the Fed 14:02 - Bond selloff 18:24 - Tariffs as fiscal impulse 20:46 - Global debt divergence 23:21 - AI capex is bullish US 27:19 - Japanese banks 30:07 - Mexico 33:39 - Defense stocks 35:41 - Follow Eric

Phil Rosen

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TOM LEE SAYS THE MARKET IS NOW PRICING IN FED HIKES INSTEAD OF CUTS - 10-year yield at 4.5%, up from 4.2% before the war - Fed fund futures pricing in almost two hikes by year end, BofA is calling for three - 2-year yield says the Fed needs to hike 60 bps to catch up

TOM LEE SAYS THE MARKET IS NOW PRICING IN FED HIKES INSTEAD OF CUTS - 10-year yield at 4.5%, up from 4.2% before the war - Fed fund futures pricing in almost two hikes by year end, BofA is calling for three - 2-year yield says the Fed needs to hike 60 bps to catch up

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🚨 BREAKING 🇺🇸 FED WILL INJECT $2,122,000,000.00 INTO THE MARKETS TOMORROW AT 9:00 AM ET, RIGHT BEFORE THE U.S. MARKET OPENS! KEVIN WARSH IS PREPARING FOR RATE HIKES, AND FED STARTED EMERGENCY INJECTIONS TO PREVENT A HUGE MARKET CRASH. SOMETHING BAD IS HAPPENING RIGHT NOW…

🚨 BREAKING 🇺🇸 FED WILL INJECT $2,122,000,000.00 INTO THE MARKETS TOMORROW AT 9:00 AM ET, RIGHT BEFORE THE U.S. MARKET OPENS! KEVIN WARSH IS PREPARING FOR RATE HIKES, AND FED STARTED EMERGENCY INJECTIONS TO PREVENT A HUGE MARKET CRASH. SOMETHING BAD IS HAPPENING RIGHT NOW…

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Episode 2 of Rational Dissent, "This Is Not Your Father Fed." Available on YT, Spotify, Apple, etc. --- 00:00 – The Fed Put & Market Expectation 00:51 – Introduction & "Rational Dissent" Overview 01:22 – FOMC Meeting Recap & Warsh's Agenda 02:30 – Removing Forward Guidance: History & Impact 06:18 – The Risks and Moral Hazard of Forward Guidance 11:15 – Warsh's Vision: Independent Markets Check the Fed 13:36 – The Unintended Consequences of the Fed Put 15:38 – The "Good Family Fight": Dissents & Board Dynamics 18:18 – Historical Perspective on Fed Dissents (Volcker to Present) 25:34 – Reaction Function vs. Forward Guidance 30:30 – Lightning Round: Biggest Risks of Warsh’s Approach 33:41 – Closing Remarks & Wrap-Up

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Jim Bianco

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FULL INTERVIEW: tylercowen on Kevin Warsh, precious metals, Clawdbot, unemployment and AI, and more: 00:42 Initial reaction to Kevin Warsh for Fed chair. 02:12 Volatility in precious metals 03:00 Kevin Warsh's strategies as Fed Chair 05:39 Fiscal dominance 06:39 Gold as a store of value 07:30 Tether backing its stablecoins with Gold 08:11 What Kevin Warsh's priorities should be as Fed Chair 11:24 AI and unemployment 14:00 The legacy of Jerome Powell 15:18 Trump's comments on housing 16:36 Reaction to Clawdbot 18:03 Dario's recent essay 19:30 AI and religion and other effects on society

FULL INTERVIEW: tylercowen on Kevin Warsh, precious metals, Clawdbot, unemployment and AI, and more: 00:42 Initial reaction to Kevin Warsh for Fed chair. 02:12 Volatility in precious metals 03:00 Kevin Warsh's strategies as Fed Chair 05:39 Fiscal dominance 06:39 Gold as a store of value 07:30 Tether backing its stablecoins with Gold 08:11 What Kevin Warsh's priorities should be as Fed Chair 11:24 AI and unemployment 14:00 The legacy of Jerome Powell 15:18 Trump's comments on housing 16:36 Reaction to Clawdbot 18:03 Dario's recent essay 19:30 AI and religion and other effects on society

TBPN

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Debasement, Inflation, and Investing in the Era of Fiscal Dominance w/ Vincent Deluard The Fed is no longer independent. The Treasury runs the show now. Vincent breaks down what ‘fiscal dominance’ means and why it’s the most important macro shift no one is pricing in. Tune in to know more ⏱ TIME POINTS ⏱ 00:00 – Intro 01:40 – What Is the Debasement Trade? 05:15 – Why Gold Is Exploding 09:04 – The Fed’s Next Move 13:19 – Fiscal vs Monetary Power 17:42 – Why the Fed Got Political 21:16 – The 2% Inflation Lie 26:17 – How the Fed Took Over 30:30 – Global Capital Is Shifting 35:30 – How to Invest in Debasement 41:11 – Building an Anti-AI Portfolio 45:56 – Wrap-Up

Milk Road Stocks

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The 2025 Macro Playbook w/ Andreas Steno Larsen—Enjoy! 00:00 - Macro chaos everywhere 05:00 - Andreas’ trading origins 10:00 - Breaking free from the bank 15:00 - The debt trap is real 20:00 - Left-tail risk is gone 25:00 - Currency debasement ahead 30:00 - AI and the productivity boom 35:00 - Tariffs and inflation myths 40:00 - Soft patch or setup? 45:00 - Manufacturing jobs won’t return 50:00 - Europe’s tech insecurity 55:00 - China’s quiet strategy 01:00:00 - Why Andreas embraced crypto 01:05:00 - Managing emotions in markets 01:10:00 - Final thoughts and timing the bottom 👉 Learn more on Real Vision

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Forward Guidance

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35,912 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

Watch my discussion with Jake Shields! (00:00) Introduction (02:00) How Jake Became Pro-Palestine on Trip to Israel (06:00) Zionist Attempts to Cancel Jake w/ Nate Diaz (08:40) Jake's Social Media Strategy (11:35) Jake's Childhood and Family (15:30) Wrestling vs. Jiu Jitsu (17:25) Meeting the King of Morocco and Traveling in the Muslim World (22:30) Muslims vs. Christians (24:45) Atheism, Hagia Sofia, and DMT (27:30) The Most Important Challenge for Jake (32:00) What Drives You to Sacrifice for the Anti-Zionist Cause? (38:00) Death Threats from Israel (41:30) Running for Office, Coalition with Dems (46:40) Jake's View of Immigration (52:00) Are the Races Different? (55:00) Why Are Racial Tensions Reaching a Peak? (1:02:08) Can We Ask Questions about the Holocaust? (1:12:40) Israelis Mocking Palestinian Children (1:15:40) Criticizing Muslim Rulers (1:17:30) Sunni/Shia vs. Wahhabi (1:21:40) Conclusion

Watch my discussion with Jake Shields! (00:00) Introduction (02:00) How Jake Became Pro-Palestine on Trip to Israel (06:00) Zionist Attempts to Cancel Jake w/ Nate Diaz (08:40) Jake's Social Media Strategy (11:35) Jake's Childhood and Family (15:30) Wrestling vs. Jiu Jitsu (17:25) Meeting the King of Morocco and Traveling in the Muslim World (22:30) Muslims vs. Christians (24:45) Atheism, Hagia Sofia, and DMT (27:30) The Most Important Challenge for Jake (32:00) What Drives You to Sacrifice for the Anti-Zionist Cause? (38:00) Death Threats from Israel (41:30) Running for Office, Coalition with Dems (46:40) Jake's View of Immigration (52:00) Are the Races Different? (55:00) Why Are Racial Tensions Reaching a Peak? (1:02:08) Can We Ask Questions about the Holocaust? (1:12:40) Israelis Mocking Palestinian Children (1:15:40) Criticizing Muslim Rulers (1:17:30) Sunni/Shia vs. Wahhabi (1:21:40) Conclusion

Daniel Haqiqatjou

29,270 Aufrufe • vor 8 Monaten