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🛰️Satellite imagery shows a massive smoke plume (~100 km long) and sustained thermal hotspots along Saudi Arabia's East-West Pipeline corridor southeast of Medina. NASA fire data shows heat signatures above 70 MW lasting hours across multiple points — well beyond a normal flare. Some analysts claim 6–8 impact points...

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16,725 views • 29 days ago •via X (Twitter)

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HOUTHIS HIT ARAMCO FACILITY AT PORT OF JIZAN — ENTIRE SITE BURNING Right before the US elections. Right after the East-West Pipeline strike. Right after Saudi admitted production is at 1990 lows. The world is on fire. Fertilizer, petrochemicals, transport costs — all spiking. Food prices will follow. In a few months, people will starve. Saudi Arabia finds itself in a catastrophic situation. With the latest strike on the Abqaiq-to-Yanbu pipeline—which served as the last remaining route for oil exports following the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz—Saudi Arabia has essentially ceased exporting oil; Furthermore, it has already applied for a massive loan from the World Bank due to its dire economic state. The fall of the Bab al-Mandab Strait into Houthi hands represents yet another disaster of unprecedented proportions for the Saudis, who were already seeing 50% of their ships attacked and blocked. It is truly baffling to imagine how they will extricate themselves from this quagmire they have plunged into.
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HOUTHIS HIT ARAMCO FACILITY AT PORT OF JIZAN — ENTIRE SITE BURNING Right before the US elections. Right after the East-West Pipeline strike. Right after Saudi admitted production is at 1990 lows. The world is on fire. Fertilizer, petrochemicals, transport costs — all spiking. Food prices will follow. In a few months, people will starve. Saudi Arabia finds itself in a catastrophic situation. With the latest strike on the Abqaiq-to-Yanbu pipeline—which served as the last remaining route for oil exports following the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz—Saudi Arabia has essentially ceased exporting oil; Furthermore, it has already applied for a massive loan from the World Bank due to its dire economic state. The fall of the Bab al-Mandab Strait into Houthi hands represents yet another disaster of unprecedented proportions for the Saudis, who were already seeing 50% of their ships attacked and blocked. It is truly baffling to imagine how they will extricate themselves from this quagmire they have plunged into.

Tomthunkit™

93,318 views • 29 days ago

🇸🇦⚔️🇾🇪 Houthi strikes hit Saudi Aramco facilities, wound 73 — and send oil prices climbing wave of Houthi ballistic-missile and drone attacks struck Saudi Aramco energy facilities and utilities across the kingdom's south — Abha, Jazan, Najran and Khamis Mushait — early Tuesday, igniting fires and temporarily halting operations at several sites. Saudi Arabia's Energy Ministry confirmed the fires and suspensions. The Saudi-led coalition spokesman, Maj. Gen. Turki al-Malki, said 73 people were wounded, including women and children, calling it a "dangerous escalation." Houthi spokesman Yahya Saree claimed the strikes — including on King Khalid Air Base — as retaliation for Saudi attacks this week on Bayda, Hodeidah, Jawf, Marib and Taiz, and threatened "harsher and wider" strikes. Confirmed by Reuters, AP, NBC and The National. Oil jumped on the news — Brent rose about $1 to $98 a barrel and US crude climbed over $2 to $93.65 right after the ministry's statement. Jazan houses a 400,000-barrel-per-day refinery, one of Saudi Arabia's largest. This lands atop a Houthi blockade already forcing ships to reroute in the Red Sea's Bab el-Mandeb — meaning two of the world's critical oil chokepoints, Bab el-Mandeb and (from the Iran war) Hormuz, are under pressure at once. The four-year Yemen truce is effectively shattered, and the fighting has displaced ~18,500 people in Taiz and Hodeidah, with humanitarian stocks depleted. The bombs are the headline. The barrel price is how the rest of the world feels this war — and it's rising. Sources: Reuters; AP/NPR; NBC News; The National; Times of Israel.
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🇸🇦⚔️🇾🇪 Houthi strikes hit Saudi Aramco facilities, wound 73 — and send oil prices climbing wave of Houthi ballistic-missile and drone attacks struck Saudi Aramco energy facilities and utilities across the kingdom's south — Abha, Jazan, Najran and Khamis Mushait — early Tuesday, igniting fires and temporarily halting operations at several sites. Saudi Arabia's Energy Ministry confirmed the fires and suspensions. The Saudi-led coalition spokesman, Maj. Gen. Turki al-Malki, said 73 people were wounded, including women and children, calling it a "dangerous escalation." Houthi spokesman Yahya Saree claimed the strikes — including on King Khalid Air Base — as retaliation for Saudi attacks this week on Bayda, Hodeidah, Jawf, Marib and Taiz, and threatened "harsher and wider" strikes. Confirmed by Reuters, AP, NBC and The National. Oil jumped on the news — Brent rose about $1 to $98 a barrel and US crude climbed over $2 to $93.65 right after the ministry's statement. Jazan houses a 400,000-barrel-per-day refinery, one of Saudi Arabia's largest. This lands atop a Houthi blockade already forcing ships to reroute in the Red Sea's Bab el-Mandeb — meaning two of the world's critical oil chokepoints, Bab el-Mandeb and (from the Iran war) Hormuz, are under pressure at once. The four-year Yemen truce is effectively shattered, and the fighting has displaced ~18,500 people in Taiz and Hodeidah, with humanitarian stocks depleted. The bombs are the headline. The barrel price is how the rest of the world feels this war — and it's rising. Sources: Reuters; AP/NPR; NBC News; The National; Times of Israel.

🔥🗞The Informant

42,601 views • 1 month ago

🚨🇮🇷🇮🇱🇶🇦🇸🇦 Israel crossed Iran's energy red line by striking the South Pars gas field, and now both sides are torching each other's energy infrastructure across the Gulf. Iran fired back at Israel's Haifa refinery, Qatar's Ras Laffan (the world's largest LNG plant), plus refineries in Saudi Arabia and Kuwait. Israel went after facilities that produce 730 million cubic meters of gas daily. The Strait of Hormuz is effectively dead. Traffic dropped 96% in the first 18 days of war, from thousands of transits to just 98. Saudi Arabia is now desperately pumping oil west through pipelines to Yanbu on the Red Sea to bypass the strait. If Iran hits Yanbu, analysts say 5-6 million barrels a day disappear from global markets and oil could hit $150. Brent crude has already jumped from the $70s to $115 since the war started. Every major energy facility that gets hit pushes prices higher. This is now a global energy crisis that's about to slam inflation and interest rates worldwide. Source: Wall Street Journal
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🚨🇮🇷🇮🇱🇶🇦🇸🇦 Israel crossed Iran's energy red line by striking the South Pars gas field, and now both sides are torching each other's energy infrastructure across the Gulf. Iran fired back at Israel's Haifa refinery, Qatar's Ras Laffan (the world's largest LNG plant), plus refineries in Saudi Arabia and Kuwait. Israel went after facilities that produce 730 million cubic meters of gas daily. The Strait of Hormuz is effectively dead. Traffic dropped 96% in the first 18 days of war, from thousands of transits to just 98. Saudi Arabia is now desperately pumping oil west through pipelines to Yanbu on the Red Sea to bypass the strait. If Iran hits Yanbu, analysts say 5-6 million barrels a day disappear from global markets and oil could hit $150. Brent crude has already jumped from the $70s to $115 since the war started. Every major energy facility that gets hit pushes prices higher. This is now a global energy crisis that's about to slam inflation and interest rates worldwide. Source: Wall Street Journal

Mario Nawfal

237,381 views • 6 months ago

IRAN JUST HIT THE LARGEST OIL EXPORT TERMINAL ON EARTH AND THIS TIME THERE IS NO PROXY TO BLAME A Shahed-136 drone struck Saudi Aramco’s Ras Tanura refinery on March 2, igniting a fire that was quickly contained according to Reuters and Bloomberg citing industry sources. Saudi Aramco shut down the entire facility as a precautionary measure. No casualties were reported. The Saudi Defence Ministry confirmed it intercepted drones targeting the site, with debris causing the ground fire per The Hindu. Ras Tanura processes 550,000 barrels per day. It is one of the largest oil refining and export complexes on the planet. And Iran just hit it with a $30,000 drone. On September 14, 2019, drones and cruise missiles struck Saudi Aramco’s Abqaiq processing facility and Khurais oil field, temporarily halving Saudi output by 5.7 million barrels per day. The Houthis claimed responsibility. The United States, Saudi Arabia, and European intelligence agencies concluded Iran orchestrated the attack. Tehran denied involvement. The proxy shield held. No retaliation followed. Oil spiked 15% on Monday, then unwound within two weeks as production resumed. That playbook is dead. In 2026, Iran is launching strikes against Saudi territory under its own flag as part of Operation True Promise 4. The IRGC is simultaneously hitting nine countries. There is no Houthi intermediary absorbing attribution. There is no plausible deniability. Iran struck Ras Tanura, and every intelligence agency, every oil trader, and every Saudi military commander knows exactly who launched the drone, from which territory, under whose orders. Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman spent eight years building Vision 2030 around a single premise: that Saudi Arabia could diversify away from oil dependence while maintaining the kingdom’s security through a combination of American protection and regional de-escalation with Iran. MBS authorized backchannel normalization with Tehran through China in 2023. The Saudi-Iran detente was the centerpiece of Gulf stability. That detente just burned on the tarmac at Ras Tanura. Saudi Arabia has not been a co-belligerent in Operation Epic Fury. Riyadh did not participate in strikes on Iran. Saudi airspace may have been used for overflight, and Saudi air defenses are intercepting Iranian ordnance, but the kingdom has deliberately avoided offensive operations. The reward for that restraint is an Iranian drone on the crown jewel of Saudi economic infrastructure. Now stack the arithmetic. The Strait of Hormuz is functionally closed, sealing 15 million barrels per day. Ras Tanura’s 550,000 barrels per day is offline. Kuwait International Airport was struck. Jebel Ali port in the UAE showed smoke on satellite. Brent crude already surged 9% to $79.45 per barrel per Bloomberg before this strike was reported. Ras Tanura was not on the market’s pricing model. The market priced Hormuz disruption. The market priced Gulf airspace closure. The market did not price Iran directly attacking Saudi refining capacity because the market assumed Saudi neutrality provided protection. Saudi neutrality provided a target. Monday morning’s crude open will reprice everything written above. And Riyadh will answer a question MBS has avoided for three years: does Saudi Arabia enter this war, or absorb the next drone?
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IRAN JUST HIT THE LARGEST OIL EXPORT TERMINAL ON EARTH AND THIS TIME THERE IS NO PROXY TO BLAME A Shahed-136 drone struck Saudi Aramco’s Ras Tanura refinery on March 2, igniting a fire that was quickly contained according to Reuters and Bloomberg citing industry sources. Saudi Aramco shut down the entire facility as a precautionary measure. No casualties were reported. The Saudi Defence Ministry confirmed it intercepted drones targeting the site, with debris causing the ground fire per The Hindu. Ras Tanura processes 550,000 barrels per day. It is one of the largest oil refining and export complexes on the planet. And Iran just hit it with a $30,000 drone. On September 14, 2019, drones and cruise missiles struck Saudi Aramco’s Abqaiq processing facility and Khurais oil field, temporarily halving Saudi output by 5.7 million barrels per day. The Houthis claimed responsibility. The United States, Saudi Arabia, and European intelligence agencies concluded Iran orchestrated the attack. Tehran denied involvement. The proxy shield held. No retaliation followed. Oil spiked 15% on Monday, then unwound within two weeks as production resumed. That playbook is dead. In 2026, Iran is launching strikes against Saudi territory under its own flag as part of Operation True Promise 4. The IRGC is simultaneously hitting nine countries. There is no Houthi intermediary absorbing attribution. There is no plausible deniability. Iran struck Ras Tanura, and every intelligence agency, every oil trader, and every Saudi military commander knows exactly who launched the drone, from which territory, under whose orders. Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman spent eight years building Vision 2030 around a single premise: that Saudi Arabia could diversify away from oil dependence while maintaining the kingdom’s security through a combination of American protection and regional de-escalation with Iran. MBS authorized backchannel normalization with Tehran through China in 2023. The Saudi-Iran detente was the centerpiece of Gulf stability. That detente just burned on the tarmac at Ras Tanura. Saudi Arabia has not been a co-belligerent in Operation Epic Fury. Riyadh did not participate in strikes on Iran. Saudi airspace may have been used for overflight, and Saudi air defenses are intercepting Iranian ordnance, but the kingdom has deliberately avoided offensive operations. The reward for that restraint is an Iranian drone on the crown jewel of Saudi economic infrastructure. Now stack the arithmetic. The Strait of Hormuz is functionally closed, sealing 15 million barrels per day. Ras Tanura’s 550,000 barrels per day is offline. Kuwait International Airport was struck. Jebel Ali port in the UAE showed smoke on satellite. Brent crude already surged 9% to $79.45 per barrel per Bloomberg before this strike was reported. Ras Tanura was not on the market’s pricing model. The market priced Hormuz disruption. The market priced Gulf airspace closure. The market did not price Iran directly attacking Saudi refining capacity because the market assumed Saudi neutrality provided protection. Saudi neutrality provided a target. Monday morning’s crude open will reprice everything written above. And Riyadh will answer a question MBS has avoided for three years: does Saudi Arabia enter this war, or absorb the next drone?

Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡

799,642 views • 7 months ago

🇺🇸The US is trying Hard to stop 🇷🇺Russia from Aggressively helping the 🇮🇳Indian economy in its dark hour. Hormuz has been effectively shut for more than 200 days. 🇸🇦Saudi Aramco has officially just halted crude supplies to Indian refiners after the East-West pipeline was hit. This is the moment 🇷🇺Russia’s newly launched Vostok Oil project in the Arctic becomes India’s saviour. 🇷🇺Russia has just loaded the first tankers from the massive new Arctic project. India already owns 49.9% of the key Vankorneft stake. New Arctic route. No Hormuz. No Red Sea. 1.4 billion people just got a backup supply. But 🇺🇸America now wants 🇮🇳India to struggle, so Washington has signed a law giving Trump the power to hit India with up to 100% tariffs for buying Russian oil.​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​ Writer: W James ( opinionated)
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🇺🇸The US is trying Hard to stop 🇷🇺Russia from Aggressively helping the 🇮🇳Indian economy in its dark hour. Hormuz has been effectively shut for more than 200 days. 🇸🇦Saudi Aramco has officially just halted crude supplies to Indian refiners after the East-West pipeline was hit. This is the moment 🇷🇺Russia’s newly launched Vostok Oil project in the Arctic becomes India’s saviour. 🇷🇺Russia has just loaded the first tankers from the massive new Arctic project. India already owns 49.9% of the key Vankorneft stake. New Arctic route. No Hormuz. No Red Sea. 1.4 billion people just got a backup supply. But 🇺🇸America now wants 🇮🇳India to struggle, so Washington has signed a law giving Trump the power to hit India with up to 100% tariffs for buying Russian oil.​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​ Writer: W James ( opinionated)

World updates

286,539 views • 21 days ago

💢🇸🇦🇾🇪 REPORT | Saudi Arabia and Yemen’s Ansar Allah traded fire Monday in an escalation that shatters a years-long truce, as the Saudi-led coalition aircraft struck Sanaa International Airport and the Yemeni group retaliated by launching ballistic missiles and drones at Saudi Arabia in return. 🔸Ansar Allah said Saudi warplanes hit the runway at Sanaa, Yemen’s capital, at 1:54 p.m. to close the airport to humanitarian flights carrying patients and stranded people. Yemen’s Saudi-backed government said the strike was meant to stop an Iranian Mahan Air flight from landing without Saudi authorization. The plane was eventually diverted to Hodeidah, a port on Yemen’s Red Sea coast. 🔸In response, Ansar Allah said it fired missiles and drones across the border at Abha International Airport in southwestern Saudi Arabia (see video), an operation it said “successfully achieved its objectives.” 🔸The coalition claimed its air defenses intercepted all missiles and there were no immediate reports of casualties, though explosions were reported by military monitoring accounts in the Saudi cities of Abha, near the Yemeni border, and Jeddah, on the Red Sea coast some 400 miles north. 🔸Ansar Allah warned airlines against flying over Saudi airspace until the “unjust blockade” on Sanaa is lifted, and thanked Iran for operating flights to the airport. A UN-backed ceasefire had largely frozen the conflict since the coalition intervened in 2015.
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💢🇸🇦🇾🇪 REPORT | Saudi Arabia and Yemen’s Ansar Allah traded fire Monday in an escalation that shatters a years-long truce, as the Saudi-led coalition aircraft struck Sanaa International Airport and the Yemeni group retaliated by launching ballistic missiles and drones at Saudi Arabia in return. 🔸Ansar Allah said Saudi warplanes hit the runway at Sanaa, Yemen’s capital, at 1:54 p.m. to close the airport to humanitarian flights carrying patients and stranded people. Yemen’s Saudi-backed government said the strike was meant to stop an Iranian Mahan Air flight from landing without Saudi authorization. The plane was eventually diverted to Hodeidah, a port on Yemen’s Red Sea coast. 🔸In response, Ansar Allah said it fired missiles and drones across the border at Abha International Airport in southwestern Saudi Arabia (see video), an operation it said “successfully achieved its objectives.” 🔸The coalition claimed its air defenses intercepted all missiles and there were no immediate reports of casualties, though explosions were reported by military monitoring accounts in the Saudi cities of Abha, near the Yemeni border, and Jeddah, on the Red Sea coast some 400 miles north. 🔸Ansar Allah warned airlines against flying over Saudi airspace until the “unjust blockade” on Sanaa is lifted, and thanked Iran for operating flights to the airport. A UN-backed ceasefire had largely frozen the conflict since the coalition intervened in 2015.

Drop Site

38,449 views • 2 months ago

🚨 THIS IS NOT NORMAL The Iran conflict has now opened another major front. The Houthis attacked two Saudi Arabian vessels last night. Trump immediately warned: “If they do it again, the U.S. will hold Iran responsible, as the Houthis are its puppets.” This changes the situation completely. The U.S. is no longer treating future Houthi attacks as isolated actions from Yemen. It is saying: → Houthis attack Saudi Arabia → Iran is held responsible → The U.S. may respond directly against Iran Now connect the dots: → Commercial vessels were attacked → Saudi shipping is now under threat → Trump publicly blamed Iran → The U.S. warned of consequences if it happens again → Iran and the U.S. are already threatening larger retaliation This is not de-escalation. It creates another retaliation loop: → Houthis strike Saudi vessels → Saudi Arabia responds in Yemen → Houthis target Saudi oil infrastructure → The U.S. blames Iran → Iran retaliates against U.S. or Gulf targets The Strait of Hormuz is already unstable. Now the Red Sea and Bab el-Mandeb are becoming active military zones again. That puts two of the world’s most important energy routes at risk at the same time. The market consequences are simple: → Shipping and insurance costs rise → Saudi oil exports face disruption → Oil moves higher → Inflation expectations return → Fed cuts get priced out → Liquidity tightens → Stocks and crypto come under pressure The most dangerous part is Trump’s warning. The next Houthi attack may not remain a Saudi-Yemen issue. It could be treated as a direct Iranian escalation. One more strike on a tanker or Saudi oil facility could trigger a much larger regional response. Markets are still treating this as another temporary headline. They may not understand the risk until the next attack happens. Keep in mind: I called the 2025 $BTC ATH. I called the move from $126K to $60K. Follow and turn notifications on. I’ll post the warning before the market fully reacts.
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🚨 THIS IS NOT NORMAL The Iran conflict has now opened another major front. The Houthis attacked two Saudi Arabian vessels last night. Trump immediately warned: “If they do it again, the U.S. will hold Iran responsible, as the Houthis are its puppets.” This changes the situation completely. The U.S. is no longer treating future Houthi attacks as isolated actions from Yemen. It is saying: → Houthis attack Saudi Arabia → Iran is held responsible → The U.S. may respond directly against Iran Now connect the dots: → Commercial vessels were attacked → Saudi shipping is now under threat → Trump publicly blamed Iran → The U.S. warned of consequences if it happens again → Iran and the U.S. are already threatening larger retaliation This is not de-escalation. It creates another retaliation loop: → Houthis strike Saudi vessels → Saudi Arabia responds in Yemen → Houthis target Saudi oil infrastructure → The U.S. blames Iran → Iran retaliates against U.S. or Gulf targets The Strait of Hormuz is already unstable. Now the Red Sea and Bab el-Mandeb are becoming active military zones again. That puts two of the world’s most important energy routes at risk at the same time. The market consequences are simple: → Shipping and insurance costs rise → Saudi oil exports face disruption → Oil moves higher → Inflation expectations return → Fed cuts get priced out → Liquidity tightens → Stocks and crypto come under pressure The most dangerous part is Trump’s warning. The next Houthi attack may not remain a Saudi-Yemen issue. It could be treated as a direct Iranian escalation. One more strike on a tanker or Saudi oil facility could trigger a much larger regional response. Markets are still treating this as another temporary headline. They may not understand the risk until the next attack happens. Keep in mind: I called the 2025 $BTC ATH. I called the move from $126K to $60K. Follow and turn notifications on. I’ll post the warning before the market fully reacts.

Wimar.X

82,154 views • 2 months ago

🚨SOMETHING EXTREMELY BAD IS COMING THIS MONDAY!! Most people are still completely UNPREPARED for what could happen next. The Iran conflict is now entering its most dangerous phase yet. Trump has already ordered strikes against Iran in the coming days, according to the WSJ. They will begin as early as this weekend. This will become one of the MOST aggressive bombing campaigns of the entire conflict. And Iran is not waiting. Tehran says it has already prepared a “comprehensive” response if the attacks begin. Read that again. The strikes may already be ordered. The targets may already be selected. And Iran’s retaliation may already be prepared. Now connect the dots: → Trump orders strikes on Iran → U.S. and Israel target energy infrastructure → Iran launches a major retaliation → Gulf oil facilities and U.S. bases come under threat → The Strait of Hormuz becomes the center of the war This is no longer another temporary escalation. This is the setup for a direct U.S.-Iran war. And once the first strike happens, the retaliation loop could become impossible to stop: → Iranian energy facilities are destroyed → Iran attacks U.S., Israeli, or Gulf targets → Oil infrastructure across the region comes under fire → The U.S. launches an even larger response → The entire Middle East moves closer to full-scale war The Strait of Hormuz is already unstable. Saudi vessels have already been attacked. The Red Sea and Bab el-Mandeb are becoming active military zones again. Now Iran’s energy infrastructure could be hit directly. That puts the world’s most important oil routes at risk at the exact same time. But here is the part almost nobody understands. Iran is not promising a symbolic response. It is preparing a comprehensive one. That could mean attacks on: → U.S. military bases → Israeli cities and infrastructure → Saudi and Gulf oil facilities → Commercial tankers → The Strait of Hormuz One successful strike on a major oil facility could send markets into complete panic. And one closure of the Strait of Hormuz could change the global economy overnight. Markets are still acting like this is another headline that will disappear in 24 hours. They may not understand what is happening until oil is exploding and risk assets are already collapsing. Follow and turn notifications on. I’ll post the warning BEFORE the market realizes how serious this is.
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🚨SOMETHING EXTREMELY BAD IS COMING THIS MONDAY!! Most people are still completely UNPREPARED for what could happen next. The Iran conflict is now entering its most dangerous phase yet. Trump has already ordered strikes against Iran in the coming days, according to the WSJ. They will begin as early as this weekend. This will become one of the MOST aggressive bombing campaigns of the entire conflict. And Iran is not waiting. Tehran says it has already prepared a “comprehensive” response if the attacks begin. Read that again. The strikes may already be ordered. The targets may already be selected. And Iran’s retaliation may already be prepared. Now connect the dots: → Trump orders strikes on Iran → U.S. and Israel target energy infrastructure → Iran launches a major retaliation → Gulf oil facilities and U.S. bases come under threat → The Strait of Hormuz becomes the center of the war This is no longer another temporary escalation. This is the setup for a direct U.S.-Iran war. And once the first strike happens, the retaliation loop could become impossible to stop: → Iranian energy facilities are destroyed → Iran attacks U.S., Israeli, or Gulf targets → Oil infrastructure across the region comes under fire → The U.S. launches an even larger response → The entire Middle East moves closer to full-scale war The Strait of Hormuz is already unstable. Saudi vessels have already been attacked. The Red Sea and Bab el-Mandeb are becoming active military zones again. Now Iran’s energy infrastructure could be hit directly. That puts the world’s most important oil routes at risk at the exact same time. But here is the part almost nobody understands. Iran is not promising a symbolic response. It is preparing a comprehensive one. That could mean attacks on: → U.S. military bases → Israeli cities and infrastructure → Saudi and Gulf oil facilities → Commercial tankers → The Strait of Hormuz One successful strike on a major oil facility could send markets into complete panic. And one closure of the Strait of Hormuz could change the global economy overnight. Markets are still acting like this is another headline that will disappear in 24 hours. They may not understand what is happening until oil is exploding and risk assets are already collapsing. Follow and turn notifications on. I’ll post the warning BEFORE the market realizes how serious this is.

Wimar.X

361,594 views • 2 months ago

Not long ago, Turkey was running a neo-Ottoman project across the Arab world. The Muslim Brotherhood was the tool. Egypt, Libya, Tunisia, the Gulf media wars. Western analysts called it one of the defining threats to the regional order. They were right! That era is over! It did not end through Western pressure. It ended because Saudi Arabia spent a decade building the economic, religious and diplomatic weight that made accommodation with Riyadh worth more to Ankara than confrontation. Investment. Mediation. Religious authority. Doors quietly closed. Soft power in its least glamorous form, and its most effective. I think we should be grateful for that. We rarely are. Turkey is now moving toward the Arab world, not away from it. On 7 August, in Mecca, Erdoğan, Mohammed bin Salman and Shehbaz Sharif signed a joint defence agreement: an attack on one is an attack on all three. It did not come from nowhere. Ankara joined a Riyadh-led maritime coalition in late July, one of fourteen founding members. The 2023 drone contract was Turkey's largest defence export deal at the time. This is the Middle East Western analysts spent fifteen years asking for. Two days before the signing, Steven A. Cook published a column in Foreign Policy arguing that strategic blunders have plagued Saudi Arabia's approach to the region. The verdict arrived before the ink was dry. Read it closely and it collapses. Cook says Riyadh has no strategy. Then he lists it: protect the economic transformation, avoid a wider war, lower tensions with Iran, stop armed factions from imposing facts by force, tie normalisation with Israel to a Palestinian state. That is not the absence of a strategy. That is a hierarchy of priorities. His real objection is that it is not his strategy- one that would have Saudi Arabia tolerate the STC, hold the UAE partnership regardless of conflicting aims, welcome an Israeli foothold in Somaliland, and stand as the front line against Iran. He says the Sanaa runway strike was unnecessary. In the same breath he concedes Mahan Air is tied to the IRGC, and that the Houthi delegation may have carried more than pistachios and carpets. He accepts the violation, then faults the attempt to stop it. He also assigns the strike to Riyadh. Saudi Arabia never claimed it. Yemen's internationally recognised government announced it. Then the pattern. Restraint is weakness. Action is recklessness. De-escalation is buying calm. Interdiction is provocation. Cook recommends retreat, then cites the retreat as proof there is no strategy. And he blames Riyadh for the Houthi escalation - as if the Houthis had not been firing at Saudi cities for years, as if Iran's proxy project began this July. A possible Saudi miscalculation does not absolve Iran and the Houthis of their own violence! Underneath all of it sits the oldest false narrative in the file: that Saudi Arabia is weak. Remember Yemen. The Kingdom had the capability and the intent to end the Houthi project militarily. What constrained it was Western political pressure in the name of human rights - war powers votes, suspended munitions, withdrawn targeting support. Riyadh was told to stop. It stopped. Then it absorbed years of missiles and drones on its airports, its cities and its oil infrastructure while holding a truce it was never legally obliged to hold! You can argue the restrictions were right. You cannot impose them, watch the adversary rearm through the corridor you protected, and then call the result a Saudi failure. Restraint imposed by allies is not incapacity. Saudi Arabia is not the architect of this crisis. It is the state repeatedly asked to carry the cost of other people's strategies - and it is now building, with Ankara and Islamabad, an architecture that reduces its need to. The criticism came before the agreement was a week old. That says less about Saudi strategy than about how hard it is for some analysts to read an order they no longer write.
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Not long ago, Turkey was running a neo-Ottoman project across the Arab world. The Muslim Brotherhood was the tool. Egypt, Libya, Tunisia, the Gulf media wars. Western analysts called it one of the defining threats to the regional order. They were right! That era is over! It did not end through Western pressure. It ended because Saudi Arabia spent a decade building the economic, religious and diplomatic weight that made accommodation with Riyadh worth more to Ankara than confrontation. Investment. Mediation. Religious authority. Doors quietly closed. Soft power in its least glamorous form, and its most effective. I think we should be grateful for that. We rarely are. Turkey is now moving toward the Arab world, not away from it. On 7 August, in Mecca, Erdoğan, Mohammed bin Salman and Shehbaz Sharif signed a joint defence agreement: an attack on one is an attack on all three. It did not come from nowhere. Ankara joined a Riyadh-led maritime coalition in late July, one of fourteen founding members. The 2023 drone contract was Turkey's largest defence export deal at the time. This is the Middle East Western analysts spent fifteen years asking for. Two days before the signing, Steven A. Cook published a column in Foreign Policy arguing that strategic blunders have plagued Saudi Arabia's approach to the region. The verdict arrived before the ink was dry. Read it closely and it collapses. Cook says Riyadh has no strategy. Then he lists it: protect the economic transformation, avoid a wider war, lower tensions with Iran, stop armed factions from imposing facts by force, tie normalisation with Israel to a Palestinian state. That is not the absence of a strategy. That is a hierarchy of priorities. His real objection is that it is not his strategy- one that would have Saudi Arabia tolerate the STC, hold the UAE partnership regardless of conflicting aims, welcome an Israeli foothold in Somaliland, and stand as the front line against Iran. He says the Sanaa runway strike was unnecessary. In the same breath he concedes Mahan Air is tied to the IRGC, and that the Houthi delegation may have carried more than pistachios and carpets. He accepts the violation, then faults the attempt to stop it. He also assigns the strike to Riyadh. Saudi Arabia never claimed it. Yemen's internationally recognised government announced it. Then the pattern. Restraint is weakness. Action is recklessness. De-escalation is buying calm. Interdiction is provocation. Cook recommends retreat, then cites the retreat as proof there is no strategy. And he blames Riyadh for the Houthi escalation - as if the Houthis had not been firing at Saudi cities for years, as if Iran's proxy project began this July. A possible Saudi miscalculation does not absolve Iran and the Houthis of their own violence! Underneath all of it sits the oldest false narrative in the file: that Saudi Arabia is weak. Remember Yemen. The Kingdom had the capability and the intent to end the Houthi project militarily. What constrained it was Western political pressure in the name of human rights - war powers votes, suspended munitions, withdrawn targeting support. Riyadh was told to stop. It stopped. Then it absorbed years of missiles and drones on its airports, its cities and its oil infrastructure while holding a truce it was never legally obliged to hold! You can argue the restrictions were right. You cannot impose them, watch the adversary rearm through the corridor you protected, and then call the result a Saudi failure. Restraint imposed by allies is not incapacity. Saudi Arabia is not the architect of this crisis. It is the state repeatedly asked to carry the cost of other people's strategies - and it is now building, with Ankara and Islamabad, an architecture that reduces its need to. The criticism came before the agreement was a week old. That says less about Saudi strategy than about how hard it is for some analysts to read an order they no longer write.

𝐌𝐢𝐜𝐡𝐚𝐞𝐥 𝐀𝐫𝐢𝐳𝐚𝐧𝐭𝐢

479,870 views • 2 months ago

The strangest oil trade of 2026 isn't happening at sea. It's 700 tanker trucks a day crossing the Iraq–Syria desert. The biggest winner is a government that barely produces oil at all. Hormuz shut → Iraq lost 90% of export revenue. Baghdad will take ANY outlet. So 2 land corridors opened: al-Waleed in Anbar (31 March) and Rabia/Yarubiyah (20 April) the latter sealed since 2013. Destination: Baniyas, Syria's Mediterranean port. Then by sea to Europe. The numbers are medieval and massive at once: 500–700 trucks/day, 30 tonnes each. Baniyas unloading capacity up 30%, 120k bpd flowing. Baseline 150k bpd, target 350k. Moving just 50k bpd of crude takes 1,000 trucks running nonstop, this is a pipeline made of wheels. 💰The economics Here's the desperation premium: SOMO is paying $20–22 per barrel to move fuel oil by land. By sea it costs cents. Iraq signed for 650k tonnes/month anyway because the alternative isn't a cheaper route.... It's zero. Damascus collects on every barrel: transit fees, storage, port charges, plus cheap Iraqi fuel. At $2–3/bbl that's $8–13M/month, rising to $21–30M at full flow. For al-Sharaa's empty treasury, possibly his most reliable hard-currency stream. The worse Iraq's crisis gets, the more Syria earns. The structural irony is that Iran shut Hormuz to punish its enemies. Result, Iraqi oil money now flows to a Damascus government Tehran calls an adversary while Iraq, Iran's closest Arab partner, sits on life support. Chokepoints don't choose their victims, Geography does.
0:16

The strangest oil trade of 2026 isn't happening at sea. It's 700 tanker trucks a day crossing the Iraq–Syria desert. The biggest winner is a government that barely produces oil at all. Hormuz shut → Iraq lost 90% of export revenue. Baghdad will take ANY outlet. So 2 land corridors opened: al-Waleed in Anbar (31 March) and Rabia/Yarubiyah (20 April) the latter sealed since 2013. Destination: Baniyas, Syria's Mediterranean port. Then by sea to Europe. The numbers are medieval and massive at once: 500–700 trucks/day, 30 tonnes each. Baniyas unloading capacity up 30%, 120k bpd flowing. Baseline 150k bpd, target 350k. Moving just 50k bpd of crude takes 1,000 trucks running nonstop, this is a pipeline made of wheels. 💰The economics Here's the desperation premium: SOMO is paying $20–22 per barrel to move fuel oil by land. By sea it costs cents. Iraq signed for 650k tonnes/month anyway because the alternative isn't a cheaper route.... It's zero. Damascus collects on every barrel: transit fees, storage, port charges, plus cheap Iraqi fuel. At $2–3/bbl that's $8–13M/month, rising to $21–30M at full flow. For al-Sharaa's empty treasury, possibly his most reliable hard-currency stream. The worse Iraq's crisis gets, the more Syria earns. The structural irony is that Iran shut Hormuz to punish its enemies. Result, Iraqi oil money now flows to a Damascus government Tehran calls an adversary while Iraq, Iran's closest Arab partner, sits on life support. Chokepoints don't choose their victims, Geography does.

Jack Prandelli

533,106 views • 4 months ago

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The data on who got crushed and who didn't tells you everything about this war... Kpler's numbers show the damage in black and white. Iraq's oil exports collapsed 82%. Kuwait down 75%. Qatar down 70%. These countries sit deep inside the Gulf with no pipeline bypass to the open ocean. When Hormuz closed, their economies stopped. Saudi Arabia lost 34% and the UAE 26%. Bad, but survivable because both had insurance policies. Saudi's East-West Pipeline moves crude to Yanbu on the Red Sea. The UAE's Habshan-Fujairah pipeline reaches the Gulf of Oman. Those two lifelines are the only reason their exports didn't collapse like their neighbors. Which is exactly why Iran struck both of them after the ceasefire. Tehran knows those pipelines are the last thing keeping Gulf oil moving. Take them offline and every producer inside the Gulf goes to zero. Then there's Oman. Up 117%. The only green on the board. Its ports sit on the Arabian Sea, outside the Strait entirely. Oman became the region's only safe loading point overnight. The total damage: 206 million barrels erased from global supply in one month. At war prices, roughly $22-24 billion in lost Gulf revenue. Refineries worldwide pushed toward minimum operating levels. The question heading into Saturday's talks is simple. Can the world afford to keep 206 million barrels a month offline, or does Washington concede Iran's toll system just to get the oil moving again? Source: Kpler / Al Jazeera
0:12

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The data on who got crushed and who didn't tells you everything about this war... Kpler's numbers show the damage in black and white. Iraq's oil exports collapsed 82%. Kuwait down 75%. Qatar down 70%. These countries sit deep inside the Gulf with no pipeline bypass to the open ocean. When Hormuz closed, their economies stopped. Saudi Arabia lost 34% and the UAE 26%. Bad, but survivable because both had insurance policies. Saudi's East-West Pipeline moves crude to Yanbu on the Red Sea. The UAE's Habshan-Fujairah pipeline reaches the Gulf of Oman. Those two lifelines are the only reason their exports didn't collapse like their neighbors. Which is exactly why Iran struck both of them after the ceasefire. Tehran knows those pipelines are the last thing keeping Gulf oil moving. Take them offline and every producer inside the Gulf goes to zero. Then there's Oman. Up 117%. The only green on the board. Its ports sit on the Arabian Sea, outside the Strait entirely. Oman became the region's only safe loading point overnight. The total damage: 206 million barrels erased from global supply in one month. At war prices, roughly $22-24 billion in lost Gulf revenue. Refineries worldwide pushed toward minimum operating levels. The question heading into Saturday's talks is simple. Can the world afford to keep 206 million barrels a month offline, or does Washington concede Iran's toll system just to get the oil moving again? Source: Kpler / Al Jazeera

Mario Nawfal

49,364 views • 6 months ago

The Saudi offensive is only just beginning. Today, hundreds of drones, dozens of helicopters and a large combat aviation force were used against Houthi positions, which lost ground in open terrain along the coast. Anyone expecting the Saudis to act as they did in the Yemeni civil war, where they were defeated, is mistaken. This will be an extremely hard war for the Houthis, who will retaliate against the Saudi and Emirati oil industries. The central question comes down to two points: 1How far are the Saudi and Emirati industries willing to overlook the economic damage? Yes, the bill will reach the Emirates as well before long, since their proxies are already fully engaged and moving into the front lines. 2Inevitably, Iran will have to act more decisively. Once the Saudis and Emiratis are ignoring the damage to their own economies, in a not-so-distant scenario Trump could resume the war and likewise overlook Iranian retaliation against the GCC’s industry. That is the picture taking shape if the war in Yemen continues to escalate. A more brutal resumption of Yemen’s civil war will be far more consequential than it was years ago. There is a bet that Iran, in its current economic situation, has limited capacity to finance the Houthis, and that this is therefore a golden opportunity. The problem is that the Yemenis still hold an arsenal that will certainly last for months of fighting, even with the massive support of Saudi allies. This conflict will quickly evolve into one fought mainly with drones and 4x4s on the front, with missiles flying from both sides aimed at the economy and logistics.
0:19

The Saudi offensive is only just beginning. Today, hundreds of drones, dozens of helicopters and a large combat aviation force were used against Houthi positions, which lost ground in open terrain along the coast. Anyone expecting the Saudis to act as they did in the Yemeni civil war, where they were defeated, is mistaken. This will be an extremely hard war for the Houthis, who will retaliate against the Saudi and Emirati oil industries. The central question comes down to two points: 1How far are the Saudi and Emirati industries willing to overlook the economic damage? Yes, the bill will reach the Emirates as well before long, since their proxies are already fully engaged and moving into the front lines. 2Inevitably, Iran will have to act more decisively. Once the Saudis and Emiratis are ignoring the damage to their own economies, in a not-so-distant scenario Trump could resume the war and likewise overlook Iranian retaliation against the GCC’s industry. That is the picture taking shape if the war in Yemen continues to escalate. A more brutal resumption of Yemen’s civil war will be far more consequential than it was years ago. There is a bet that Iran, in its current economic situation, has limited capacity to finance the Houthis, and that this is therefore a golden opportunity. The problem is that the Yemenis still hold an arsenal that will certainly last for months of fighting, even with the massive support of Saudi allies. This conflict will quickly evolve into one fought mainly with drones and 4x4s on the front, with missiles flying from both sides aimed at the economy and logistics.

Patricia Marins

221,777 views • 4 days ago

THE TIMING OF ALL OF THE DESTRUCTION OF OUR GLOBAL ENERGY SUPPLY IS PECULIAR. COULD THIS BE AN ORCHESTRATED, INTENTIONAL EVENT OR ARE ALL THESE EVENTS MERELY COINCIDENTAL? Consider the coincidences that we have seen in 2026: 🔥MORE THAN A DOZEN SIGNIFICANT REFINERY FIRES/INCIDENTS ON 4 DIFFERENT CONTINENTS W/IN 60 DAYS⚡️ 💥Ukraine blows up 1/4 of Russia's oil refinery capacity 💥Iran shoots itself in the proverbial head by closing the Strait of Hormuz 💥Iran orders The Houthis to close the Bab-el-Mandab Strait 💥IRGC blows up the Saudi's East/West pipeline & Red Sea oil terminal at Yanbu 🔥Global Refineries With Significant Fires/Shutdowns Unrelated to the Iran War or Russia/Ukrain War: 🇺🇸Chevron El Segundo (California) 🇪🇨Petroecuador Esmeraldas (Ecuador) 🇺🇸Petromax Channelview (Texas) 🇲🇽Pemex Olmeca (Mexico) 🇺🇸Shell Norco (Louisiana) 🇺🇸ExxonMobil Joliet (Illinois) 🚨Refineries in the Middle East Shut Down as a Result of the Iran War: 🇸🇦Saudi Arabia Ras Tanura (550,000 b/d) - largest domestic plant. Precautionary shutdown after a drone strike in the first days of the war (debris fire, no injuries). Later restarted; some units were still in turnaround. Jizan (400,000 b/d) -reported still offline in August after Houthi attacks in July and follow-on hits on related infrastructure. SATORP Jubail - a 200,000 b/d CDU and associated units under extended maintenance/repairs since April. SAMREF Yanbu (Aramco–Exxon) -drone impact reported early in the war. YASREF Yanbu (400,000 b/d) - fire claims in mid-September after East–West pipeline strikes; not confirmed by Riyadh as a full plant outage. The East–West pipeline hit in 9 locations & shutdown 🇰🇼Kuwait Mina Al-Ahmadi - drone damage, units shut, still reduced. Mina Abdullah - fire after a March attack; later described as under shutdown. Al-Zour (615,000 b/d) - not fully dark, but cut runs with the other two. Q3 Kuwait runs were seen near 570,000 b/d. 🇦🇪United Arab Emirates Ruwais (Adnoc; among the world’s largest single-site plants) - precautionary halt after a drone fire in Ruwais Industrial City. By August, Kpler said those earlier disruptions were largely resolved, with UAE runs around 700,000 b/d. 🇧🇭Bahrain Bapco Sitra (~400,000 b/d) - damaged in an attack and declared force majeure on affected operations. 🇮🇷Iran Lavan (LORC) and Bandar Abbas (PGSOC) on the oil-refining side, plus damaged South Pars gas refineries, Mahshahr / Bandar Imam petrochemical utilities, and Tehran liquid-fuel storage. 🇶🇦Qatar Ras Laffan - precautionary shutdown in 2Q 2026, later reduced throughput. Mesaieed - reduced since March; planned crude/condensate turnaround pushed to 2027. 🇮🇶Iraq Erbil (Kar Group) and Lanaz (Erbil area) - drone/fire shutdowns in Kurdistan. 🇮🇱Israel Haifa / Bazan (~197,000 b/d) - damaged and temporarily offline. Reports claim rebuild work could run toward 2028. 🚨Are we looking at a GLOBAL APOCALYPSE ON OIL REFINERIES & PIPELINES?🚨
0:16

THE TIMING OF ALL OF THE DESTRUCTION OF OUR GLOBAL ENERGY SUPPLY IS PECULIAR. COULD THIS BE AN ORCHESTRATED, INTENTIONAL EVENT OR ARE ALL THESE EVENTS MERELY COINCIDENTAL? Consider the coincidences that we have seen in 2026: 🔥MORE THAN A DOZEN SIGNIFICANT REFINERY FIRES/INCIDENTS ON 4 DIFFERENT CONTINENTS W/IN 60 DAYS⚡️ 💥Ukraine blows up 1/4 of Russia's oil refinery capacity 💥Iran shoots itself in the proverbial head by closing the Strait of Hormuz 💥Iran orders The Houthis to close the Bab-el-Mandab Strait 💥IRGC blows up the Saudi's East/West pipeline & Red Sea oil terminal at Yanbu 🔥Global Refineries With Significant Fires/Shutdowns Unrelated to the Iran War or Russia/Ukrain War: 🇺🇸Chevron El Segundo (California) 🇪🇨Petroecuador Esmeraldas (Ecuador) 🇺🇸Petromax Channelview (Texas) 🇲🇽Pemex Olmeca (Mexico) 🇺🇸Shell Norco (Louisiana) 🇺🇸ExxonMobil Joliet (Illinois) 🚨Refineries in the Middle East Shut Down as a Result of the Iran War: 🇸🇦Saudi Arabia Ras Tanura (550,000 b/d) - largest domestic plant. Precautionary shutdown after a drone strike in the first days of the war (debris fire, no injuries). Later restarted; some units were still in turnaround. Jizan (400,000 b/d) -reported still offline in August after Houthi attacks in July and follow-on hits on related infrastructure. SATORP Jubail - a 200,000 b/d CDU and associated units under extended maintenance/repairs since April. SAMREF Yanbu (Aramco–Exxon) -drone impact reported early in the war. YASREF Yanbu (400,000 b/d) - fire claims in mid-September after East–West pipeline strikes; not confirmed by Riyadh as a full plant outage. The East–West pipeline hit in 9 locations & shutdown 🇰🇼Kuwait Mina Al-Ahmadi - drone damage, units shut, still reduced. Mina Abdullah - fire after a March attack; later described as under shutdown. Al-Zour (615,000 b/d) - not fully dark, but cut runs with the other two. Q3 Kuwait runs were seen near 570,000 b/d. 🇦🇪United Arab Emirates Ruwais (Adnoc; among the world’s largest single-site plants) - precautionary halt after a drone fire in Ruwais Industrial City. By August, Kpler said those earlier disruptions were largely resolved, with UAE runs around 700,000 b/d. 🇧🇭Bahrain Bapco Sitra (~400,000 b/d) - damaged in an attack and declared force majeure on affected operations. 🇮🇷Iran Lavan (LORC) and Bandar Abbas (PGSOC) on the oil-refining side, plus damaged South Pars gas refineries, Mahshahr / Bandar Imam petrochemical utilities, and Tehran liquid-fuel storage. 🇶🇦Qatar Ras Laffan - precautionary shutdown in 2Q 2026, later reduced throughput. Mesaieed - reduced since March; planned crude/condensate turnaround pushed to 2027. 🇮🇶Iraq Erbil (Kar Group) and Lanaz (Erbil area) - drone/fire shutdowns in Kurdistan. 🇮🇱Israel Haifa / Bazan (~197,000 b/d) - damaged and temporarily offline. Reports claim rebuild work could run toward 2028. 🚨Are we looking at a GLOBAL APOCALYPSE ON OIL REFINERIES & PIPELINES?🚨

Tomthunkit™

237,718 views • 21 days ago

Day 19: Iran Suffers Serious Damage to Its Energy Infrastructure and Strikes Back Following the heavy bombardments Iran suffered, which I mentioned earlier, the Iranians struck back against the Gulf countries, exactly as we and the coalition had expected. Since the first days of war, US-Israel are working to involve the gulf countries, but without any success. Early in the evening, Saudi Arabia was the first to be attacked, with two ballistic missiles hitting targets in Jubail, the world’s largest petrochemical complex. Subsequently, the Al Hosn and Bab Fields in the UAE were struck, along with the Mesaieed Petrochemical Complex in Qatar. Later that day, Iran targeted SAMREF in Yanbu on the Red Sea, the facility from which Saudi Arabia exports its oil. The company confirmed that a missile struck its installations. Israel’s Channel 14 also reported waves of Iranian attacks throughout the day, which continue into tonight. Additionally, tonight the Israeli Air Force struck Iranian naval bases and ships in the Caspian Sea, raising suspicions once again that the operation was launched from Azerbaijan. Over the last two days, Iran has been increasing its missile launches, defying the analysis of many respected experts out there. The war is deepening, targeting more non-military sites and expanding into other areas such as the Caspian Sea. Join my Substack:
0:18

Day 19: Iran Suffers Serious Damage to Its Energy Infrastructure and Strikes Back Following the heavy bombardments Iran suffered, which I mentioned earlier, the Iranians struck back against the Gulf countries, exactly as we and the coalition had expected. Since the first days of war, US-Israel are working to involve the gulf countries, but without any success. Early in the evening, Saudi Arabia was the first to be attacked, with two ballistic missiles hitting targets in Jubail, the world’s largest petrochemical complex. Subsequently, the Al Hosn and Bab Fields in the UAE were struck, along with the Mesaieed Petrochemical Complex in Qatar. Later that day, Iran targeted SAMREF in Yanbu on the Red Sea, the facility from which Saudi Arabia exports its oil. The company confirmed that a missile struck its installations. Israel’s Channel 14 also reported waves of Iranian attacks throughout the day, which continue into tonight. Additionally, tonight the Israeli Air Force struck Iranian naval bases and ships in the Caspian Sea, raising suspicions once again that the operation was launched from Azerbaijan. Over the last two days, Iran has been increasing its missile launches, defying the analysis of many respected experts out there. The war is deepening, targeting more non-military sites and expanding into other areas such as the Caspian Sea. Join my Substack:

Patricia Marins

154,674 views • 6 months ago

Dramatic events today. Let's review what just happened: With #Iran's regime targeting Saudi Aramco today, reprising its attacks in 2019 of Saudi oil infrastructure, it is reverting to factory settings pre-normalization with #SaudiArabia. The Islamic Republic is proving the terrorist regime it always was, hiding behind diplomatic niceties. #Qatar's Ministry of Foreign Affairs is saying today #Iran's regime has to pay a price for targeting Qatari civilian infrastructure. This is coming from *Qatar* which has long had close ties to Tehran and served as a diplomatic pressure valve for the regime. Tehran similarly attacked Oman in recent days. Just today an oil tanker was attacked in the Gulf of Oman by a bomb-carrying drone boat, sparking a fire and killing 1. UAE has also been the victim of Tehran's attacks. A drone strike hit a British air base in Cyprus overnight, causing limited damage and no casualties, Cypriot and British officials said on Monday. Has the regime in Tehran heard of NATO? The UK is a NATO member-state. Several U.S. warplanes crashed this morning in #Kuwait. But all crew members thankfully survived. Iran's regime is trying to widen the conflict to put pressure on the U.S. to curtail the Operation Epic Fury and distract from attacking Iranian soil. But given these attacks, Iran's regime is effectively triggering a coalition of countries to join the U.S. and #Israel or at least support them. Tehran was already deeply isolated before this--China, Russia haven't defended it militarily--but now it's diplomatic problems are growing even worse. It is digging its own grave. Tehran views this as a fight for survival, but in doing so it is ensuring its demise.
0:15

Dramatic events today. Let's review what just happened: With #Iran's regime targeting Saudi Aramco today, reprising its attacks in 2019 of Saudi oil infrastructure, it is reverting to factory settings pre-normalization with #SaudiArabia. The Islamic Republic is proving the terrorist regime it always was, hiding behind diplomatic niceties. #Qatar's Ministry of Foreign Affairs is saying today #Iran's regime has to pay a price for targeting Qatari civilian infrastructure. This is coming from *Qatar* which has long had close ties to Tehran and served as a diplomatic pressure valve for the regime. Tehran similarly attacked Oman in recent days. Just today an oil tanker was attacked in the Gulf of Oman by a bomb-carrying drone boat, sparking a fire and killing 1. UAE has also been the victim of Tehran's attacks. A drone strike hit a British air base in Cyprus overnight, causing limited damage and no casualties, Cypriot and British officials said on Monday. Has the regime in Tehran heard of NATO? The UK is a NATO member-state. Several U.S. warplanes crashed this morning in #Kuwait. But all crew members thankfully survived. Iran's regime is trying to widen the conflict to put pressure on the U.S. to curtail the Operation Epic Fury and distract from attacking Iranian soil. But given these attacks, Iran's regime is effectively triggering a coalition of countries to join the U.S. and #Israel or at least support them. Tehran was already deeply isolated before this--China, Russia haven't defended it militarily--but now it's diplomatic problems are growing even worse. It is digging its own grave. Tehran views this as a fight for survival, but in doing so it is ensuring its demise.

Jason Brodsky

63,208 views • 7 months ago

What's happening in the Strait of Hormuz Every escalation of the military-political situation around Iran is accompanied by numerous rumors and speculations about the blocking of shipping in the strategically important for the global economy Strait of Hormuz. Yesterday, the Iranian IRGC Navy broadcast a radio message about a complete ban on shipping, and the US Department of Transportation called for leaving the strait and adjacent waters. Later, the IRGC softened the rhetoric, stating that the strait was closed only for Americans. According to the latest reports, passage through the strait is allowed only for Iranian and Chinese naval ships. Such statements need to be confirmed by actions, and probably the first step on the path to a blockade was the defeat of the oil tanker SKYLIGHT, which was heading from an Iraqi port under the Palau flag. According to various reports, the ship was attacked by drones or missiles, and a fire broke out on board. At the moment, the tanker is anchored in the Persian Gulf near the coast of the Sultanate of Oman. It is reported that the crew was evacuated, as evidenced by the presence of a rescue boat nearby, from which footage of the fire was taken. It's worth noting that this tanker is on the US sanctions lists for transporting Iranian oil, but this does not mean it belongs to Iran. It's a classic "shadow" ship, operating under a "convenient" flag in the interests of whoever is currently paying. When reading reports on maritime events, it's worth remembering that this information is written and disseminated by journalists and bloggers, many of whom have only seen the sea in pictures, and none of whom have ever worked a single day on a ship. The Strait of Hormuz is not a road where you can put up a barrier, nor is it a field that can be carefully mined. The width of the Strait of Hormuz at its narrowest point reaches 40 kilometers, and at its widest point it is almost 100 kilometers. Of course, these figures are not so high given the depths, and theoretically, Iran has the military-technical capabilities to, if not stop, then seriously damage international shipping. However, it's highly doubtful that under the current circumstances, the leadership of the Islamic Republic will decide on radical actions, such as those that went down in history under the name "Tanker War". The lessons of those events showed that attacks and seizures of international ships could not stop traffic and did not collapse the global market, but they did turn many previously neutral states against Iran. Including the USSR, which was forced to send a fleet of warships to the Persian Gulf to combat the newly emerged piracy. We would also like to ask our bellicose authors to be less gloating and rejoicing at the news of burning and sinking ships. On each of these ships, sailors are burning and sinking - innocent citizens of Russia, Ukraine, India, the Philippines... and many other peaceful men and women, forced to work at sea to support their families. A reserve sailor, specially for the project wargonzo UPD: Iran does not intend to block the Strait of Hormuz at the moment, said the head of the Iranian Foreign Ministry, Abbas Arakchi, to Al Jazeera. Join WarGonzo
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What's happening in the Strait of Hormuz Every escalation of the military-political situation around Iran is accompanied by numerous rumors and speculations about the blocking of shipping in the strategically important for the global economy Strait of Hormuz. Yesterday, the Iranian IRGC Navy broadcast a radio message about a complete ban on shipping, and the US Department of Transportation called for leaving the strait and adjacent waters. Later, the IRGC softened the rhetoric, stating that the strait was closed only for Americans. According to the latest reports, passage through the strait is allowed only for Iranian and Chinese naval ships. Such statements need to be confirmed by actions, and probably the first step on the path to a blockade was the defeat of the oil tanker SKYLIGHT, which was heading from an Iraqi port under the Palau flag. According to various reports, the ship was attacked by drones or missiles, and a fire broke out on board. At the moment, the tanker is anchored in the Persian Gulf near the coast of the Sultanate of Oman. It is reported that the crew was evacuated, as evidenced by the presence of a rescue boat nearby, from which footage of the fire was taken. It's worth noting that this tanker is on the US sanctions lists for transporting Iranian oil, but this does not mean it belongs to Iran. It's a classic "shadow" ship, operating under a "convenient" flag in the interests of whoever is currently paying. When reading reports on maritime events, it's worth remembering that this information is written and disseminated by journalists and bloggers, many of whom have only seen the sea in pictures, and none of whom have ever worked a single day on a ship. The Strait of Hormuz is not a road where you can put up a barrier, nor is it a field that can be carefully mined. The width of the Strait of Hormuz at its narrowest point reaches 40 kilometers, and at its widest point it is almost 100 kilometers. Of course, these figures are not so high given the depths, and theoretically, Iran has the military-technical capabilities to, if not stop, then seriously damage international shipping. However, it's highly doubtful that under the current circumstances, the leadership of the Islamic Republic will decide on radical actions, such as those that went down in history under the name "Tanker War". The lessons of those events showed that attacks and seizures of international ships could not stop traffic and did not collapse the global market, but they did turn many previously neutral states against Iran. Including the USSR, which was forced to send a fleet of warships to the Persian Gulf to combat the newly emerged piracy. We would also like to ask our bellicose authors to be less gloating and rejoicing at the news of burning and sinking ships. On each of these ships, sailors are burning and sinking - innocent citizens of Russia, Ukraine, India, the Philippines... and many other peaceful men and women, forced to work at sea to support their families. A reserve sailor, specially for the project wargonzo UPD: Iran does not intend to block the Strait of Hormuz at the moment, said the head of the Iranian Foreign Ministry, Abbas Arakchi, to Al Jazeera. Join WarGonzo

🇷🇺 WARGONZO -ULYANA STRIZH 🇷🇺

20,363 views • 7 months ago

BREAKING: Iran has reportedly struck the BAPCO oil refinery in Bahrain while launching missile and drone attacks against U.S. military assets in Qatar, Bahrain, Kuwait, Jordan, and Iraq. Iranian drones also reportedly destroyed a $5 million U.S. HIMARS launcher in Kuwait, marking Tehran's largest coordinated assault since the collapse of the MoU. The offensive follows heavy U.S. strikes across southern Iran, where Iranian state media says American forces targeted six civilian bridges, a major railway station, a telecommunications tower, and a civilian airport in Hormozgan Province and Chabahar. The strikes reportedly killed and injured civilians and severed key transport links around Bandar Abbas. The attacks came just hours after the IRGC warned that any U.S. strike on Iranian infrastructure would be met with the destruction of "every last piece of infrastructure" across the region, while the Houthis reiterated threats to shut the Bab al-Mandab Strait. Reports indicate the U.S. military base in Kuwait is on fire following the strikes. In Qatar, reports claim Iranian missiles struck Al Duhail Camp on the outskirts of Doha, with loud explosions reported across the capital. In Bahrain, reports also claim missiles hit Hamala Camp, which houses U.S. forces, as well as another U.S. military installation. Two U.S. AH-64 Apache helicopters were seen operating over Bahrain during the latest drone attacks. Arabic media further reports an Iranian missile struck the King Fahd Causeway linking Bahrain and Saudi Arabia, with ambulances and emergency crews dispatched to the scene. 1. Smoke rises from Bahrain's BAPCO refinery following reported Iranian strike 2. U.S. strikes damage bridges and transport infrastructure in southern Iran 3. Reported Iranian missile strike on Al Udeid Air Base, Qatar 4. Heavy reported Iranian strikes target U.S. military sites in Bahrain
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BREAKING: Iran has reportedly struck the BAPCO oil refinery in Bahrain while launching missile and drone attacks against U.S. military assets in Qatar, Bahrain, Kuwait, Jordan, and Iraq. Iranian drones also reportedly destroyed a $5 million U.S. HIMARS launcher in Kuwait, marking Tehran's largest coordinated assault since the collapse of the MoU. The offensive follows heavy U.S. strikes across southern Iran, where Iranian state media says American forces targeted six civilian bridges, a major railway station, a telecommunications tower, and a civilian airport in Hormozgan Province and Chabahar. The strikes reportedly killed and injured civilians and severed key transport links around Bandar Abbas. The attacks came just hours after the IRGC warned that any U.S. strike on Iranian infrastructure would be met with the destruction of "every last piece of infrastructure" across the region, while the Houthis reiterated threats to shut the Bab al-Mandab Strait. Reports indicate the U.S. military base in Kuwait is on fire following the strikes. In Qatar, reports claim Iranian missiles struck Al Duhail Camp on the outskirts of Doha, with loud explosions reported across the capital. In Bahrain, reports also claim missiles hit Hamala Camp, which houses U.S. forces, as well as another U.S. military installation. Two U.S. AH-64 Apache helicopters were seen operating over Bahrain during the latest drone attacks. Arabic media further reports an Iranian missile struck the King Fahd Causeway linking Bahrain and Saudi Arabia, with ambulances and emergency crews dispatched to the scene. 1. Smoke rises from Bahrain's BAPCO refinery following reported Iranian strike 2. U.S. strikes damage bridges and transport infrastructure in southern Iran 3. Reported Iranian missile strike on Al Udeid Air Base, Qatar 4. Heavy reported Iranian strikes target U.S. military sites in Bahrain

The Hormuz Report

45,033 views • 2 months ago

A robot just pulled two American pilots out of the sea near the Strait of Hormuz. It was the first time an autonomous sea drone has rescued people in a combat zone, and the war it happened in escalated within hours. The confirmed part is genuinely remarkable. After a US Army Apache went down off Oman, the two crew spent about two hours in the water until a 24-foot Saronic Corsair, an unmanned vessel run by the Navy’s Task Force 59, found them and carried them to a helicopter hoist. No human rescue crew exposed, no second aircraft risked. Both pilots are safe. It is a real leap in how the US fights. Then events moved faster than the evidence. Trump announced that Iran shot the helicopter down and that the US must respond. By 5 p.m. ET, CENTCOM was striking Iranian targets and calling it a proportional answer to unjustified Iranian aggression. Iran fired back overnight. No deaths have been reported on either side. But the cause of the crash is not yet established. Washington says Iran shot it down. Tehran denies it, has claimed no responsibility, and points to an accident or a collision in a crowded, contested waterway. The evidence has not been released. That gap is everything, because a deal was nearly done. A 60-day ceasefire extension and the reopening of the strait were days from signing. One disputed incident has now pulled American and Iranian forces back to trading fire over the same water. This is how fragile truces die. Not on a clear decision, but on a murky incident that hardens into certainty before the facts are in.
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A robot just pulled two American pilots out of the sea near the Strait of Hormuz. It was the first time an autonomous sea drone has rescued people in a combat zone, and the war it happened in escalated within hours. The confirmed part is genuinely remarkable. After a US Army Apache went down off Oman, the two crew spent about two hours in the water until a 24-foot Saronic Corsair, an unmanned vessel run by the Navy’s Task Force 59, found them and carried them to a helicopter hoist. No human rescue crew exposed, no second aircraft risked. Both pilots are safe. It is a real leap in how the US fights. Then events moved faster than the evidence. Trump announced that Iran shot the helicopter down and that the US must respond. By 5 p.m. ET, CENTCOM was striking Iranian targets and calling it a proportional answer to unjustified Iranian aggression. Iran fired back overnight. No deaths have been reported on either side. But the cause of the crash is not yet established. Washington says Iran shot it down. Tehran denies it, has claimed no responsibility, and points to an accident or a collision in a crowded, contested waterway. The evidence has not been released. That gap is everything, because a deal was nearly done. A 60-day ceasefire extension and the reopening of the strait were days from signing. One disputed incident has now pulled American and Iranian forces back to trading fire over the same water. This is how fragile truces die. Not on a clear decision, but on a murky incident that hardens into certainty before the facts are in.

Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡

185,542 views • 4 months ago

‼️🇷🇺📸 Satellite images confirm: A major oil refinery in the Russian city of Slaviansk-on-Kuban has suffered significant damage. A detailed analysis of the aftermath of the attack on the "Slaviansk-Eco" oil refinery in the Krasnodar region of Russia, which occurred on the night of June 28, using Ukrainian kamikaze drones, has been released. ✅ At least 17 fuel tanks of various capacities have been completely destroyed on the territory of the plant. Several other tanks have been seriously damaged, and large-scale oil spills and fires have been observed nearby. 🎯 The most critical loss for the plant is the shutdown of two atmospheric-vacuum oil refining units. These units are the "heart" of any refinery, as they are responsible for separating crude oil into its primary fractions. Their severe damage means that the plant's normal operation will be completely suspended. ▪️ Catastrophic damage has also been inflicted on the internal infrastructure: 🔥 In some sectors, the pipeline network has been completely burned out. Horizontal storage tanks for finished products and auxiliary equipment have been seriously damaged. According to experts, restoring such high-tech facilities requires complex engineering work and significant time and resources. 🏭 The Slaviansk plant was one of the leading energy facilities in southern Russia. Its design capacity was 5.2 million tons of crude oil per year (approximately 100-105 thousand barrels per day). The plant provided almost 9% of the total oil refining in the Southern Federal District of Russia. ▪️ The fuel processed at this plant was of vital importance for the Krasnodar and Stavropol regions, the Rostov region, and the occupied Crimea. In addition to domestic consumption, the plant's products were actively used to support military and civilian logistics through the ports of the Black Sea. ❌ The long-term shutdown of the plant will place a huge burden on the entire fuel system of the southern Russian region. The Kremlin will have to reorganize the logistics chains for the supply of oil products and redirect flows to other plants. The situation is further complicated by the fact that some of the other refining facilities in the region are already in a state of forced repair, as a result of successful attacks by the Ukrainian armed forces and the "long-range sanctions." Video is made Grok AI
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‼️🇷🇺📸 Satellite images confirm: A major oil refinery in the Russian city of Slaviansk-on-Kuban has suffered significant damage. A detailed analysis of the aftermath of the attack on the "Slaviansk-Eco" oil refinery in the Krasnodar region of Russia, which occurred on the night of June 28, using Ukrainian kamikaze drones, has been released. ✅ At least 17 fuel tanks of various capacities have been completely destroyed on the territory of the plant. Several other tanks have been seriously damaged, and large-scale oil spills and fires have been observed nearby. 🎯 The most critical loss for the plant is the shutdown of two atmospheric-vacuum oil refining units. These units are the "heart" of any refinery, as they are responsible for separating crude oil into its primary fractions. Their severe damage means that the plant's normal operation will be completely suspended. ▪️ Catastrophic damage has also been inflicted on the internal infrastructure: 🔥 In some sectors, the pipeline network has been completely burned out. Horizontal storage tanks for finished products and auxiliary equipment have been seriously damaged. According to experts, restoring such high-tech facilities requires complex engineering work and significant time and resources. 🏭 The Slaviansk plant was one of the leading energy facilities in southern Russia. Its design capacity was 5.2 million tons of crude oil per year (approximately 100-105 thousand barrels per day). The plant provided almost 9% of the total oil refining in the Southern Federal District of Russia. ▪️ The fuel processed at this plant was of vital importance for the Krasnodar and Stavropol regions, the Rostov region, and the occupied Crimea. In addition to domestic consumption, the plant's products were actively used to support military and civilian logistics through the ports of the Black Sea. ❌ The long-term shutdown of the plant will place a huge burden on the entire fuel system of the southern Russian region. The Kremlin will have to reorganize the logistics chains for the supply of oil products and redirect flows to other plants. The situation is further complicated by the fact that some of the other refining facilities in the region are already in a state of forced repair, as a result of successful attacks by the Ukrainian armed forces and the "long-range sanctions." Video is made Grok AI

Visioner

33,726 views • 3 months ago

Russia has built more than 2,500 km of roads and railroads, a new railway network, and revamped ports in the occupied territories of Ukraine, according to a Reuters investigation. Large-scale works, confirmed by satellite imagery and news agency data, indicate that this is not temporary wartime logistics, but a systematic integration of occupied territories into Russian infrastructure. One of the key projects is the "Novorossiya Railways" system, which includes a planned 525-km line started in 2023. Since that year, Russia has spent about $425 million on the construction and maintenance of the railway network in the occupied territories. At the same time, road infrastructure is also being developed: the "Novorossiya" highway is being built as part of the 1,400-kilometer "Azov Ring" loop, which is intended to connect the seized parts of Ukrainian regions with Russia and Russian-occupied Crimea. According to Reuters, the new rail and road connections already allow Moscow to circumvent the Crimean Bridge, which had previously been the main road and rail link to the peninsula and remains vulnerable to Ukrainian strikes. Occupied Ukrainian ports that were largely inactive in the first years of the war have been revamped and reopened under Russia's flag on the inland Sea of Azov. Satellite images taken of Mariupol's docks in August 2025 show a new silver-domed facility, and nearby, a mountain of what looks like coal being readied for export. The long-term nature of the infrastructure projects, as well as the scale of investment ($11.8 billion was allocated to develop four occupied Ukrainian regions between 2024 and 2026), shows the Kremlin has no intention of returning the territories to Ukraine as part of any future peace settlement, experts say.
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Russia has built more than 2,500 km of roads and railroads, a new railway network, and revamped ports in the occupied territories of Ukraine, according to a Reuters investigation. Large-scale works, confirmed by satellite imagery and news agency data, indicate that this is not temporary wartime logistics, but a systematic integration of occupied territories into Russian infrastructure. One of the key projects is the "Novorossiya Railways" system, which includes a planned 525-km line started in 2023. Since that year, Russia has spent about $425 million on the construction and maintenance of the railway network in the occupied territories. At the same time, road infrastructure is also being developed: the "Novorossiya" highway is being built as part of the 1,400-kilometer "Azov Ring" loop, which is intended to connect the seized parts of Ukrainian regions with Russia and Russian-occupied Crimea. According to Reuters, the new rail and road connections already allow Moscow to circumvent the Crimean Bridge, which had previously been the main road and rail link to the peninsula and remains vulnerable to Ukrainian strikes. Occupied Ukrainian ports that were largely inactive in the first years of the war have been revamped and reopened under Russia's flag on the inland Sea of Azov. Satellite images taken of Mariupol's docks in August 2025 show a new silver-domed facility, and nearby, a mountain of what looks like coal being readied for export. The long-term nature of the infrastructure projects, as well as the scale of investment ($11.8 billion was allocated to develop four occupied Ukrainian regions between 2024 and 2026), shows the Kremlin has no intention of returning the territories to Ukraine as part of any future peace settlement, experts say.

Anton Gerashchenko

51,884 views • 6 months ago