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Shadows gather as the next Great Game looms India does not separate the sub-conventional element from the conventional element, both in the defensive and offensive domains. This is dictated by a long-term strategy vis-à-vis Pakistan, which is based on national and regional ambitions. Meanwhile, Islamabad has largely separated the...

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Masterful takedown by Dominique de Villepin, former French Prime Minister, of Macron's utterly irresponsible rhetoric on sending NATO ground troops to Ukraine (Villepin himself calls it irresponsible). I translated it in full, because I think it's so important people are aware of the extreme danger behind Macron's (and some other NATO leaders) attempt to escalate the conflict: "For this debate [over sending ground troops] to have been useful, it would have first been necessary for us to be able to answer 5 questions. Five risks associated with this escalation, this step we would be taking if we were to send ground troops, send fighters. Five risks. The first is the expansion of the conflict. If we send ground troops, do we know if on the Russian side others will send, on the other side, ground troops? Will we face African fighters, will we face Asian fighters, will we face Middle Eastern fighters in this global south that also wants to take on the West? First risk. [Host comments: This does not seem to me a favored scenario...] If Westerners, Europeans, French send troops there, don't you think that solidarity will also play on the Russian side? I think we still need to ask ourselves that question. In any case, our diplomacy has not done what it should have to isolate Russia. If Russia were isolated, we would know it... I think, by the way, that we are more isolated, unfortunately, than Russia. Second major question: new front. Risk of a new front. I warned, I was among the few voices to say 'be careful, Ukraine is a dangerous situation but what happens if another front opens?'. The front in Gaza and the Middle East has opened. But there are other fronts that can open: in Korea, in Africa... And so, are we going to wage war like this on all 5 continents? This reality must be taken into account: the world is not limited to the drama and tragedy of Ukraine. It turns out that America is a global power and that we claim to be a global power too, so we are concerned by the major balances and the order of the world, and unfortunately our diplomacy does not sufficiently take into account these disorders which concern the Congolese, the Sudanese, etc. Third risk which is important: the terrorist risk. I am not thinking of terrorism that would come from our opponents in Ukraine, I am thinking of opportunistic terrorism. When there are situations of this type of disorder, terrorism strikes. And I remind you: we have planned here in France not a year of war, but a year of celebrations. In a few months, we will commemorate the 80th anniversary of the D-Day landings and delegations will come from all over the world. We are going to spend several months celebrating the Olympics. If we need to mobilize, let's mobilize, but maybe it should have been done a bit more: I don't see a war economy, the preparation of minds in terms of civil defense and hybrid warfare, I see nothing... You don't just pull the idea of going to war in Ukraine out of a hat without having prepared a little... Fourth risk: we are on the eve of an American election that will determine the new world order. It's a safe bet that we are heading for a new era of isolationism and protectionism like the world has never seen. We are seeing a split in this new world order between Trump and a China that has just celebrated the reunion of its parliament and is becoming more introverted, more focused on its security than ever. This is a general global context that must be taken into account. And then there's one last element that may be one of the most important, which is the nuclear risk. I know the good experts, the great experts who speak on this subject and I respect them immensely. But sending ground troops, fighters, places us in a situation in terms of deterrence that we have never known. Forty years of Cold War: the forces of the Warsaw Pact and NATO forces never clashed. And it's not by chance: it's because of a reality that relates to the grammar of nuclear. The rule of deterrence is based on the principle of mutual assured destruction. That is, if one uses the bomb and the other responds, we're all dead. [...] I think the nuclear grammar means that today the risk of NATO ground troops in Ukraine presents a risk and that this risk, for responsible powers, is unacceptable. I travel enough around the world to have observed something for 15 years: the use of nuclear weapons is based on political cultures, societal cultures, and civilizations. The world is changing and what seemed unthinkable 10 or 15 years ago appears today differently: the rhetoric of the enemy, the hatred of the other, has developed to a point where we live in an international community that may want to settle scores with the other. [...] Today, and I'm not just thinking of the Russians, let's not forget nuclear proliferation with countries like Pakistan and many others that now have nuclear weapons. And it is in this that the principle of responsibility is essential, and there is a rule that must be drawn from all this: the logic of force, when not controlled, leads to an escalation that can be deadly. This is what makes the situation in Ukraine a real danger and it's also what makes - because this principle of the logic of uncontrolled force I would gladly apply to the situation in Gaza - it's what makes the Israeli policy applied today to Gaza a real danger. Because there is no control over the use of force. And when you look [...] all fronts are linked, all crises are linked."

Arnaud Bertrand

846,373 görüntüleme • 2 yıl önce

🚨🚨 HEZBOLLAH FINAL SPEECH | THREATENS ESCALATION FINAL PART OF HEZBOLLAH LEADER SPEECH - THREATENS ESCALATION AND REGIONAL WAR! HEZBOLLAH LEADER SPEECH KEY QUOTES (PART 8 - FINAL): - The Islamic resistance in Iraq has begun to bear its responsibility and announced that it may enter a new phase We must not despair of demanding responsibility for what is happening in Gaza - We have entered the battle since October 8th Yemeni missiles and marches will reach Eilat and Israeli military bases - We took note of the “Al-Aqsa Flood” operation, as did the whole world, and we quickly moved from one stage to another. - If we look at what is happening on the border objectively, we will find it very important and significant - What is happening on our Lebanese front is unprecedented in the history of the Israeli entity - We will not be satisfied with what is happening on our front in any case - Our operations on the border target enemy vehicles, soldiers, and equipment - The Islamic resistance in Lebanon has been waging a real battle since October 8 that only those who are actually present at the border can feel. - The Islamic resistance is waging a different battle in terms of its titles, tools, and targets - Approximately 57 martyrs, including the Phalange Brigades, in addition to the martyrs of the Al-Qassam and Al-Quds Brigades. - On Saturday, October 7, the enemy, according to his forces, started from the border with Lebanon to take them to Gaza in light of the state of moral collapse. - The Lebanese Front has relieved a large portion of the forces that were to be used to attack Gaza. The operations that began and escalated forced the enemy to keep its forces at the border and mobilize more of them. - The resistance front in Lebanon was able to attract a third of the Israeli army to the border with Lebanon - 43 settlements in northern occupied Palestine were evacuated due to our operations - The settlers evacuated from the north and south are putting pressure on the moral and economic levels. If our position of solidarity had been political, the Israelis would have been comfortable on the northern border and its forces would have gone to Gaza. - The operations on the border have created a state of anxiety, anticipation, and fear among the enemy leadership and even in Washington - There is concern that this front will spiral into a comprehensive war, and the enemy is taking every account of that - The possibility of the Lebanese front sliding into a wide battle is a realistic possibility - Israel must be concerned about the expansion of war and escalation - Our operations make the enemy calculate its steps towards Lebanon and it adjusts its pace for fear of deteriorating matters - Our daily operations on the border make the enemy a deterrent - Our operations tell the enemy that it will commit the greatest foolishness in the history of its existence if it attacks Lebanon - Our operations and the sacrifices of our people are an expression of our solidarity with Gaza to relieve pressure on its people - We were told from the day of Operation Al-Aqsa Flood that the American fleets would bomb us and came for us - Our front is a front of solidarity with Gaza and it develops and moves according to developments there. - The enemy’s behavior towards Lebanon is a determinant of our movements, and this will return us to the rule of civilian versus civilian. - All possibilities on our Lebanese front are open - All options are on the table and we can go to them at any time - Threats and intimidation against us and the resistance fighters in our region are of no use - We must all be ready for all possibilities and options - We received messages that America will bomb Iran if we continue our operations in the south - Those who defeated you in the early 1980s are still alive, and with them today are their children and grandchildren - You can stop the aggression against Gaza because it is your aggression, and whoever wants to prevent a regional war must hasten to stop this aggression. - In the event of any regional war, your interests and soldiers will be the victim and the biggest loser. - We have made 'preparations' for the American ships, and we ask America to remember their defeats in Afghanistan, Iraq, Syria and Lebanon - America has sent us messages, that they will bomb Iran if we continue. How dare you threaten our resistance? Your ships in the Mediterranean don't scare us, and be sure that we made preparations for them - I assure the Americans, in case of a regional war, their ships and the air force will pay a heavy price - Our battle has not reached the stage of victory by knockout, but we are winning with points - On the horizon, we are all fighting a battle of steadfastness. Our battle has not reached the stage of victory by knockout, and we still need time, but we are winning. - We must work for Gaza to be victorious and for the resistance to be victorious in Gaza - We still need time, but we will win with points. This is how we won in 2006 in Gaza, and this is how the resistance in the West Bank achieved achievements - I say to our people in Gaza and the West Bank and to all oppressed peoples that patience will result in victory. - We bear responsibility, and our steadfastness and patience will result in certain victory, God willing. - We have a belief in God's promise, that he will make the believers victorious, and God always fulfills his promise

Mario Nawfal

2,194,010 görüntüleme • 2 yıl önce

This is hands-down the best explanation I've heard on why sanctions on Russia backfired, and why they were never going to succeed in the first place. By economist James K. Galbraith, professor at the University of Texas at Austin. Best quote of his explanation: "This is a situation in which the sanctions were imposed by one important sector of the world economy which then cut itself off from resources that it needs - and that's particularly true of Western Europe - in return for cutting Russia off from various things that Russia doesn't really need." Second best quote: "If you go back to the period before the introduction of the sanctions [...] the Russian economy was very heavily colonized by Western firms. That was true in automobiles, it was true in aircrafts, it was true in everything from fast food restaurants to big box stores. Western firms were present all throughout the Russian economy. A great many of them [...] either chose to exit Russia or were pressured to exit Russia after early 2022. So on what terms did they leave? Well, they were required, if they were leaving permanently, to sell their capital equipment, their factories and so forth, to let's say a Russian business which would get a loan from Russian banks or maybe have other sources of financing, at a very favorable price for the Russians. So effectively a lot of capital wealth, which was partly owned by the West, has been transferred to Russian ownership. And you now have an economy which is moving forward and has the advantage compared to Europe of relatively low resource costs because Russia is a great producer of resources, oil and gas and fertilizer and food stuff and so forth. And so while the Europeans are paying maybe twice in Germany what they were paying for energy, the Russians are not, they're paying perhaps less than they were paying before the war. So again I characterize the effect of the sanctions, in fact as being in certain respects a gift to the Russian economy. And this is, I think, quite different from what the authors of the sanctions expected. [...] And the essence of the situation is this would not have happened without the sanctions. You could have had the war, and it would have gone pretty much as it has gone. But the Russian government in 2022 was in no position to force the exit of Western firms. It didn't want to, wouldn't have done that. It was in no position to force its oligarchs to choose between Russia and the West. It didn't wish to do that. These choices were imposed by the West, and the results were actually, in many respects, favorable to the long-term independent development of the Russian Federation's economy."

Arnaud Bertrand

988,108 görüntüleme • 2 yıl önce

🚨PAKISTAN🇵🇰 AND INDIA🇮🇳 AT WAR AGAIN ☢️ A Rutgers University study estimated that if India and Pakistan were to strike each other’s population centres with 250 nuclear weapons, with a yield of 100 kilotons each, an estimated 127 million people would be killed in South Asia from just the explosions, fires, and radiation. The long-term effects would be even more horrifying, 37 million tonnes of soot would be injected into the atmosphere, sending temperatures across the planet plunging by more than 5 degrees Celsius, resulting in a famine which would kill an estimated 2 billion people. The world is once again on the brink, thanks to a problem created by Britain when carving up colonial India. Billions of lives now have the nuclear Sword of Damocles having over their necks. Unless the great powers such as China🇨🇳 and Russia🇷🇺 can mediate, the nuclear nightmare may become a reality. As we speak, Pakistan and India continue to exchange fire with the hostilities escalating. The path to a multipolar world could face a serious setback with India and Pakistan destroying each other, undoing years of development and plunging the world into an abyss. China’s concern will be the CPEC, the 3000KM Chinese infrastructure network project which runs through Pakistan-occupied Kashmir that is an integral part of the historic Belt & Road Initiative. China will also be concerned with how its thawing relations with India will be affected, as India’s strikes could put China’s investments in Pakistan at risk. The US’🇺🇸 eyes will be on the growing military ties with India, and its bid to turn India into an ally against China, Washington’s next target for sabotage, war and destruction. The US also has close ties with the political and military elites of Pakistan, which aided many of Washington’s dirty wars. India and Pakistan annihilating each other may shift the balance of power back to the old colonial order, led by the US with its loyal vassals in the US, UK, and EU, the same colonial order despised by all in the region. The annihilation of both countries obviously is neither in the interests of India and Pakistan, and it is definitely not in the interests of the multipolar world, which billions around the world need for real economic development, prosperity and security. Let’s hope India and Pakistan step back from the brink of all-out destruction.

Afshin Rattansi

46,154 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce