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Skepticism about data centers is extending to Wall Street, Maureen Farrell tells Ruffini and David Gura. “I talked to bankers. They were expecting at least sort of a third of all the IPOs would be data center builders for these AI data centers or the companies that supply power...

53,564 просмотров • 3 дней назад •via X (Twitter)

Комментарии: 8

Фото профиля Jake Miller
Jake Miller3 дней назад

@maureenmfarrell @EenaRuffini @davidgura Your stock posts always push me to look closer at names I’d normally scroll past. @nickdannunzio is another account I genuinely get a lot from. You two are easily my favorite analysts to follow.

Фото профиля Jean Pierre · fireply.ai
Jean Pierre · fireply.ai3 дней назад

@maureenmfarrell @EenaRuffini @davidgura a company blaming the weather for a building it chose to build, this is my favorite genre of excuse

Фото профиля Zhen
Zhen3 дней назад

the IPO market is the canary in the data-center coal mine. bankers pricing these deals are the only people with actual P&L visibility into whether the AI buildout pays off, and they're voting with their feet. if a third of the pipeline was supposed to be data-center builders and that's evaporating, the “infinite demand” narrative is doing a lot of heavy lifting.

Фото профиля Principal⭐️
Principal⭐️3 дней назад

@maureenmfarrell @EenaRuffini @davidgura Wall Street is starting to demand proof, not promises. The AI infrastructure boom is real, but the economics still have to pencil out.

Фото профиля David
David3 дней назад

@maureenmfarrell @EenaRuffini @davidgura Strong breakdown. I like how you explain the reasons behind market moves instead of just the outcome. @XfactsmatterX does this well too.

Фото профиля Soph j
Soph j3 дней назад

@maureenmfarrell @EenaRuffini @davidgura Great point!

Фото профиля Sirr
Sirr3 дней назад

@maureenmfarrell @EenaRuffini @davidgura Bankers priced a third. Markets priced less.

Фото профиля ShadowAguy
ShadowAguy3 дней назад

@maureenmfarrell @EenaRuffini @davidgura Are bankers counting every electrical-equipment supplier? Then this isn’t a data center IPO wave, it’s one capex bet wearing 30 tickers.

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David Friedberg: Michael Burry’s Datacenter Math is Wrong “I actually think Michael Burberry's got this wrong.” “What Michael Burry is saying is that all of these hyperscalers have extended their depreciation schedule or the useful life of their data centers by roughly 2x, which cuts the operating costs in half when they report it in earnings. And so it's making their earnings inflate.” “So he's claiming they're cooking the books. Google first made this change in Q1 of 2021, where they said the servers are now going from 3 to 4 years. Separately in 2021, Google took networking equipment from 3 to 5 years. And then in 2023, they took it from 5 to 6 years.” “And so this is a result of this effort where they went in and did an analysis. So what happened?” “What happened in the data centers is that the data centers transitioned from being primarily data storage and data transfer systems, where you would use hard drives and RAM and memory to store data and then transmit it back out, to being data processing centers because of the AI boom.” “So as AI became more important in the data center, more of the dollars that are going into data centers were allocated towards chips from data storage, which initially was hard drives.” “And then suddenly, when you put these processors in to process the data to do AI, the majority of the spend and the majority of the energy is going towards the processors.” “I made some calls and I checked around with some other friends, and everyone says the same thing: that these 7-8 year old TPUs and GPUs that are sitting in the data centers are still being used and they're being used at 100% utilization.” “So that actually justifies and validates the depreciation schedule being much longer versus shorter.”

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