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So according to all reports Keir Starmer is now aware that he cannot survive in the top job any longer and is preparing to step aside. Despite claiming on Friday be would stay and fight it now seems some truth has been shared by Ministers that he cannot win,...

13,522 просмотров • 23 дней назад •via X (Twitter)

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This week's episode of The State of It on a tectonic week in British politics as Thursday's elections approach With the brilliant Lara Spirit • Keir Starmer is up for the fight. One ally says he will need to be dragged out of No 10. Another talked about how it would look to launch a putsch when we're on the cusp of rationing jet fuel • Starmer lining up speech. There's talk of a 'big offer' but what does it look like? Genuine discussion around moving on manifesto red lines - ie manifesto outdated for times we are now in - but Starmer thought to be v wary. It carries huge risks in and of itself. • Strong pushback on claims that the NEC will now side with Andy Burnham and allow him to make a comeback to Westminster as an MP. Starmer believes it is still on his side, and he is ready to block Burnham's comeback once again. • Most of the action in the wake of the local elections will be on Friday afternoon/ evening, when there is a wave of key results. It means that if anyone is to move - and that is a big if - it's likely to be over the weekend. • All eyes on Angela Rayner - will she go to it? Her people are divided between those who think she should seize the moment, and those who think she is better off waiting * The Labour left is divided. Some believe that Burnham should be their candidate and is worth waiting for. She may be liked by party members but is unpopular with the public * Wes Streeting said to have the numbers but he has said publicly and privately that he doesn't think now is the time for a contest. That's not to say that he isn't ready to go, that he doesn't have a team in place, that he doesn't have a policy platform ready. He just doesn't think that now is the time * Nigel Farage £5million 'gift' from Christopher Harborne, a British crypto billionaire based in Thailand, remains an issue. Farage insists it is his money and he can spend it as he wishes. But the Tories have referred it to the standards commissioner and the electoral commission. *This could have a long tail, particularly over claims it is a conflict of interest given Farage's promotion of cryptocurrency. This is categorically denied by Reform UK * Is some of the sheen coming off Zack Polanski? Thursday will be a breakthrough night for them, but polling suggests that he has dropped 14 points in favourability in the space of a week since row over Golders Green suspect. He's still far more popular than the PM, but it is a significant move

Steven Swinford

23,462 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад