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🚨SOMETHING EXTREMELY BAD IS COMING THIS WEEK Everyone thinks the SpaceX crash is over. Wrong. And if you think it can't go lower, you're not seeing what's about to hit. SpaceX topped at $225. It's now near $110 almost −52% in a month. And here's the kicker: that entire... collapse happened while only about 5% of shares were even tradeable. That changes next week. The first earnings report in company history lands Aug 4, after close. Everyone's fixated on the revenue number (~$6.8B, Starlink printing). They're watching the wrong thing. Because two days later, the lockup breaks and up to 911 million shares flood the market. That more than doubles the tradeable float overnight. Then another ~7% unlocks around Aug 21, again in September, and it keeps stacking through November. Now connect the dots. The −52% dump already happened. Retail chased. Funds bought. And now supply is about to 4x. If the stock is already bleeding on 5% float, imagine what 20%+ does to it. And here's the trap it doesn't matter how the earnings actually look: → If the report is strong, the pop just gives insiders the exit they've been waiting for. They finally get to sell, and retail becomes the liquidity they sell into. → If the report is weak, you get falling price and a doubled float at the same time a straight trapdoor. Either way, the outcome is the same. A float that doubles doesn't get bought it gets absorbed. Slowly. Lower. Wave after wave into December. Be ready. The real price discovery starts next week. Reminder: I've called the major tops and bottoms for years gold, silver, the oil collapse, the SpaceX drop, Bitcoin's crash. All before they happened. When I exit the markets completely, I'll post it here like always. Turn notifications on. If you're not following yet, you'll understand why soon enough.show more

Shelpid.WI3M

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🚨 PLEASE, DON’T FALL FOR THIS TRAP SpaceX’s first earnings report in company history was published yesterday. Everyone’s watching the revenue number. They’re watching the wrong thing. Because tomorrow, something happens that matters far more than any number. And almost nobody is pricing it in. 900+ MILLION shares get released. That MORE THAN DOUBLES the tradable supply. Let’s connect the dots. The numbers might even look good. Revenue: ~$7B. Starlink is earning more than expected. But the setup that nobody escapes is simple: “Good earnings”: The pop becomes exit liquidity for insiders who can finally sell. “Bad earnings”: Weakness + a doubled float = a trapdoor. There is no clean bullish path through this week. And this is just WAVE ONE. The next round of unlocks will happen in November. The float keeps flooding the market through December. This is where you should be extra cautious. Reminder: I’ve called every major market top and bottom for the last 15 years, including the tops in Gold and Silver, the collapse in Oil, the SpaceX drop, and Bitcoin’s crash. When I start buying SpaceX, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

🚨 PLEASE, DON’T FALL FOR THIS TRAP SpaceX’s first earnings report in company history was published yesterday. Everyone’s watching the revenue number. They’re watching the wrong thing. Because tomorrow, something happens that matters far more than any number. And almost nobody is pricing it in. 900+ MILLION shares get released. That MORE THAN DOUBLES the tradable supply. Let’s connect the dots. The numbers might even look good. Revenue: ~$7B. Starlink is earning more than expected. But the setup that nobody escapes is simple: “Good earnings”: The pop becomes exit liquidity for insiders who can finally sell. “Bad earnings”: Weakness + a doubled float = a trapdoor. There is no clean bullish path through this week. And this is just WAVE ONE. The next round of unlocks will happen in November. The float keeps flooding the market through December. This is where you should be extra cautious. Reminder: I’ve called every major market top and bottom for the last 15 years, including the tops in Gold and Silver, the collapse in Oil, the SpaceX drop, and Bitcoin’s crash. When I start buying SpaceX, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Alex Mason 👁△

73,627 Aufrufe • vor 5 Tagen

This is exactly what I told you would happen. SpaceX is now following the path I warned you about: $225 → $175 → $123 Next stop: → $100 Tesla 2010 is repeating. Reminder: I’ve called every major market top and bottom for the last 15 years, including the tops in Gold and Silver, the collapse in Oil, the SpaceX drop, and Bitcoin’s crash. When I exit the markets completely, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

This is exactly what I told you would happen. SpaceX is now following the path I warned you about: $225 → $175 → $123 Next stop: → $100 Tesla 2010 is repeating. Reminder: I’ve called every major market top and bottom for the last 15 years, including the tops in Gold and Silver, the collapse in Oil, the SpaceX drop, and Bitcoin’s crash. When I exit the markets completely, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Alex Mason 👁△

387,373 Aufrufe • vor 22 Tagen

🚨 HERE'S WHY SPACEX IS A LIQUIDITY SCAM. Everyone sees the $SPCX pump. Almost nobody sees what is happening behind it. Only around 4% of SpaceX shares are trading. A normal public company can have over 80% available. When only 4% of supply is available, price becomes easy to push. This is the same setup we see in crypto. Tokens like LAB and RAVE use tiny float and huge locked supply. The team controls almost everything. Only a small amount reaches the market. Then scarcity pumps the chart. SpaceX is doing the same thing on a much bigger scale. And now look at who is forced to buy. $SPCX was added to MSCI indexes very quickly. That means passive funds now have to buy it. Not because they believe in Elon Musk. Because their mandate follows the index. Now connect the dots. → Massive forced demand → Only 4% of shares available → Almost no real liquidity → Price can pump HARD But the real supply is still locked. And the unlock schedule starts much earlier than people think. → First 20% after Q2 earnings → Another 7% after 70 days → Another 7% after 90 days → Another 7% after 105 days → Another 7% after 120 days → Another 7% after 135 days → Another 28% after Q3 earnings → The rest after 180 days That means early investors can start exiting in 1 to 2 months. And who will they sell to? Retail chasing the hype. Passive funds forced into the stock. Keep the float tiny. Force funds to buy. Pump the valuation toward $2 TRILLION. Then open the insider exit door. Crypto does this with low float tokens. Wall Street does it with IPOs. Different market. Same trap. Most people are watching the SpaceX dream. I’m watching who buys now and who sells later. The last buyer always pays for the dream. I’ve studied macro for 10 years and called almost every major market top, including the October BTC ATH. Follow and turn notifications on. I’ll post the warning BEFORE it hits the headlines.

🚨 HERE'S WHY SPACEX IS A LIQUIDITY SCAM. Everyone sees the $SPCX pump. Almost nobody sees what is happening behind it. Only around 4% of SpaceX shares are trading. A normal public company can have over 80% available. When only 4% of supply is available, price becomes easy to push. This is the same setup we see in crypto. Tokens like LAB and RAVE use tiny float and huge locked supply. The team controls almost everything. Only a small amount reaches the market. Then scarcity pumps the chart. SpaceX is doing the same thing on a much bigger scale. And now look at who is forced to buy. $SPCX was added to MSCI indexes very quickly. That means passive funds now have to buy it. Not because they believe in Elon Musk. Because their mandate follows the index. Now connect the dots. → Massive forced demand → Only 4% of shares available → Almost no real liquidity → Price can pump HARD But the real supply is still locked. And the unlock schedule starts much earlier than people think. → First 20% after Q2 earnings → Another 7% after 70 days → Another 7% after 90 days → Another 7% after 105 days → Another 7% after 120 days → Another 7% after 135 days → Another 28% after Q3 earnings → The rest after 180 days That means early investors can start exiting in 1 to 2 months. And who will they sell to? Retail chasing the hype. Passive funds forced into the stock. Keep the float tiny. Force funds to buy. Pump the valuation toward $2 TRILLION. Then open the insider exit door. Crypto does this with low float tokens. Wall Street does it with IPOs. Different market. Same trap. Most people are watching the SpaceX dream. I’m watching who buys now and who sells later. The last buyer always pays for the dream. I’ve studied macro for 10 years and called almost every major market top, including the October BTC ATH. Follow and turn notifications on. I’ll post the warning BEFORE it hits the headlines.

Wimar.X

111,577 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

🚨 SOMETHING EXTREMELY BAD IS COMING THIS FRIDAY Everyone thought the biggest risk was SpaceX IPO day. Wrong. And if you think SpaceX is going higher, you are completely wrong. SpaceX’s IPO launched at $135. Now it’s trading around $230. That is almost +70% from the IPO price in days. And now the real problem begins. At $230, SpaceX is being valued at almost $3.1 trillion. On only $18.7 billion in annual revenue. That is almost 200x sales. After the IPO, everyone finally sees the same thing: SpaceX demand is massive. Retail wants more. Funds want more. Institutions want more. But money does NOT appear from nowhere. To buy more SpaceX, they need cash. And to get cash, they sell what they already own. Stocks. Crypto. AI names. High-beta tech. Everything retail is already holding. This is a liquidity black hole trading at almost 200x sales. Now connect the dots: The IPO already happened. The first-day pump was already insane. And now everyone who did NOT get enough allocation is heavily buying shares: - LIGHT SHOCK: people sell small positions, stocks get hit first, crypto follows, then markets try to stabilize. - HEAVIER SCENARIO: funds raise cash after the IPO, high-beta tech dumps, Bitcoin loses support, and retail gets trapped. - WORST CASE: everyone rushes to buy at the same time, stocks dump hard, crypto gets hit first, and people get liquidated. And now one of the most hyped IPOs in history is absorbing even more money at one of the most insane valuations ever seen. Reminder: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000. The next call will be even more important. When I exit the markets completely, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

🚨 SOMETHING EXTREMELY BAD IS COMING THIS FRIDAY Everyone thought the biggest risk was SpaceX IPO day. Wrong. And if you think SpaceX is going higher, you are completely wrong. SpaceX’s IPO launched at $135. Now it’s trading around $230. That is almost +70% from the IPO price in days. And now the real problem begins. At $230, SpaceX is being valued at almost $3.1 trillion. On only $18.7 billion in annual revenue. That is almost 200x sales. After the IPO, everyone finally sees the same thing: SpaceX demand is massive. Retail wants more. Funds want more. Institutions want more. But money does NOT appear from nowhere. To buy more SpaceX, they need cash. And to get cash, they sell what they already own. Stocks. Crypto. AI names. High-beta tech. Everything retail is already holding. This is a liquidity black hole trading at almost 200x sales. Now connect the dots: The IPO already happened. The first-day pump was already insane. And now everyone who did NOT get enough allocation is heavily buying shares: - LIGHT SHOCK: people sell small positions, stocks get hit first, crypto follows, then markets try to stabilize. - HEAVIER SCENARIO: funds raise cash after the IPO, high-beta tech dumps, Bitcoin loses support, and retail gets trapped. - WORST CASE: everyone rushes to buy at the same time, stocks dump hard, crypto gets hit first, and people get liquidated. And now one of the most hyped IPOs in history is absorbing even more money at one of the most insane valuations ever seen. Reminder: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000. The next call will be even more important. When I exit the markets completely, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Alex Mason 👁△

561,154 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

🚨 SPACEX: THE BIGGEST EXIT LIQUIDITY IN HISTORY SpaceX is up 70% from IPO. Everyone is FOMOing hard. But almost nobody is talking about the real reason. Only 4% of shares are available to the public. A normal public company can have over 80% available. When only 4% of supply is available, price becomes easy to push. This is the same setup we see in crypto. Tokens like LAB and RAVE use tiny float and huge locked supply. The team controls almost everything. Only a small amount reaches the market. Then scarcity pumps the chart. SpaceX is doing the same thing on a much bigger scale. And now look at who is forced to buy. $SPCX was added to MSCI indexes very quickly. That means passive funds now have to buy it. Not because they believe in Elon Musk. Because their mandate follows the index. Now connect the dots. → Massive forced demand → Only 4% of shares available → Almost no real liquidity → Price can pump HARD But the real supply is still locked. And the unlock schedule starts much earlier than people think. → First 20% after Q2 earnings → Another 7% after 70 days → Another 7% after 90 days → Another 7% after 105 days → Another 7% after 120 days → Another 7% after 135 days → Another 28% after Q3 earnings → The rest after 180 days That means early investors can start exiting in 1 to 2 months. And who will they sell to? Retail chasing the hype. Passive funds forced into the stock. Keep the float tiny. Force funds to buy. Pump the valuation toward $2 TRILLION. Then open the insider exit door. Crypto does this with low float tokens. Wall Street does it with IPOs. Different market. Same trap. Most people are watching the SpaceX dream. I’m watching who buys now and who sells later. The last buyer always pays for the dream. Reminder: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000. The next call will be even more important. When I exit the markets completely, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

🚨 SPACEX: THE BIGGEST EXIT LIQUIDITY IN HISTORY SpaceX is up 70% from IPO. Everyone is FOMOing hard. But almost nobody is talking about the real reason. Only 4% of shares are available to the public. A normal public company can have over 80% available. When only 4% of supply is available, price becomes easy to push. This is the same setup we see in crypto. Tokens like LAB and RAVE use tiny float and huge locked supply. The team controls almost everything. Only a small amount reaches the market. Then scarcity pumps the chart. SpaceX is doing the same thing on a much bigger scale. And now look at who is forced to buy. $SPCX was added to MSCI indexes very quickly. That means passive funds now have to buy it. Not because they believe in Elon Musk. Because their mandate follows the index. Now connect the dots. → Massive forced demand → Only 4% of shares available → Almost no real liquidity → Price can pump HARD But the real supply is still locked. And the unlock schedule starts much earlier than people think. → First 20% after Q2 earnings → Another 7% after 70 days → Another 7% after 90 days → Another 7% after 105 days → Another 7% after 120 days → Another 7% after 135 days → Another 28% after Q3 earnings → The rest after 180 days That means early investors can start exiting in 1 to 2 months. And who will they sell to? Retail chasing the hype. Passive funds forced into the stock. Keep the float tiny. Force funds to buy. Pump the valuation toward $2 TRILLION. Then open the insider exit door. Crypto does this with low float tokens. Wall Street does it with IPOs. Different market. Same trap. Most people are watching the SpaceX dream. I’m watching who buys now and who sells later. The last buyer always pays for the dream. Reminder: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000. The next call will be even more important. When I exit the markets completely, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

DANNY

47,858 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

🚨 WARNING: ELON MUSK'S SPACEX IPO WILL DUMP MARKETS! That's the BIGGEST liquidity drain in stock market history. SpaceX is expected to go public on June 12 at ~$2 TRILLION valuation. And if you think it's just another scary headline YOU'RE COMPLETELY WRONG! Money does NOT appear from nowhere. If investors want exposure to $SPCX, they will sell what they already own. - Stocks - Crypto - High beta tech - Other crowded risk trades That one fact explains a lot. Because this is NOT just an IPO. It is a liquidity grab. Everyone sees the hype. Almost nobody sees the forced selling. And it gets worse. Insiders own about 95% of SpaceX shares. The public float is only about 5%. That means insiders are sitting on about $1.66 TRILLION of paper wealth. Most IPOs lock insiders for 180 days. SpaceX reportedly does NOT. Just 60 days after listing, 20% of eligible insider shares can unlock. That is the REAL danger. Investors sell other assets to chase $SPCX. Then insiders get liquidity into that demand. Now connect the dots. - Existing stocks get sold - Crypto liquidity gets pulled - High beta assets dump - Insiders cash out - Retail holds the bag This is NOT a normal IPO. It is one of the biggest liquidity events Wall Street has ever seen. Markets are NOT pricing it now. But they will. I’ve studied macro for 10 years and I called almost every major market top, including the October BTC ATH. Follow and turn notifications on. I’ll post the warning BEFORE it hits the headlines.

🚨 WARNING: ELON MUSK'S SPACEX IPO WILL DUMP MARKETS! That's the BIGGEST liquidity drain in stock market history. SpaceX is expected to go public on June 12 at ~$2 TRILLION valuation. And if you think it's just another scary headline YOU'RE COMPLETELY WRONG! Money does NOT appear from nowhere. If investors want exposure to $SPCX, they will sell what they already own. - Stocks - Crypto - High beta tech - Other crowded risk trades That one fact explains a lot. Because this is NOT just an IPO. It is a liquidity grab. Everyone sees the hype. Almost nobody sees the forced selling. And it gets worse. Insiders own about 95% of SpaceX shares. The public float is only about 5%. That means insiders are sitting on about $1.66 TRILLION of paper wealth. Most IPOs lock insiders for 180 days. SpaceX reportedly does NOT. Just 60 days after listing, 20% of eligible insider shares can unlock. That is the REAL danger. Investors sell other assets to chase $SPCX. Then insiders get liquidity into that demand. Now connect the dots. - Existing stocks get sold - Crypto liquidity gets pulled - High beta assets dump - Insiders cash out - Retail holds the bag This is NOT a normal IPO. It is one of the biggest liquidity events Wall Street has ever seen. Markets are NOT pricing it now. But they will. I’ve studied macro for 10 years and I called almost every major market top, including the October BTC ATH. Follow and turn notifications on. I’ll post the warning BEFORE it hits the headlines.

WhaleTwits

66,245 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

🚨 SILVER WILL LOSE THIS SUPPORT $57 → $51 (next) → $45 → $39 Silver is not done falling. The bull rally was way too strong. Now it has to reprice. Everything is going according to plan. Reminder: I’ve called every major market top and bottom for the last 15 years, including the tops in Gold and Silver, the collapse in Oil, the SpaceX drop, and Bitcoin’s crash. When I exit the markets completely, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

🚨 SILVER WILL LOSE THIS SUPPORT $57 → $51 (next) → $45 → $39 Silver is not done falling. The bull rally was way too strong. Now it has to reprice. Everything is going according to plan. Reminder: I’ve called every major market top and bottom for the last 15 years, including the tops in Gold and Silver, the collapse in Oil, the SpaceX drop, and Bitcoin’s crash. When I exit the markets completely, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Alex Mason 👁△

123,074 Aufrufe • vor 13 Tagen

🚨 SOMETHING VERY STRANGE IS HAPPENING SpaceX is back at $133. Up 25% in two days. Right after 911.5 MILLION shares became eligible to sell. That makes no sense until you see this: 34% of the entire float was shorted before the unlock. Everyone expected the dump. Shorts piled in early. The crash didn’t come immediately, shorts started covering, and price ripped higher. Retail saw green and started chasing. Now everyone thinks the danger is over. They’re walking straight into the next trap. Because insiders didn’t lose the ability to sell. 911.5M shares are still unlocked. The supply is still there. And more unlocks are coming. MY PLAN HASN’T CHANGED: 1. Fake bounce from $105 to $125 → done 2. 20% supply unlock (911M shares) → completed 3. Retest of resistance → happening 4. Flush below $100 → next 5. Final dump to $77-$85 → next I’m not buying the $133 pump. I’m waiting for $85 to start building my position. Reminder: I’ve called every major market top and bottom for the last 15 years, including the tops in Gold and Silver, the collapse in Oil, the SpaceX drop, and Bitcoin’s crash. When I start buying SpaceX, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

🚨 SOMETHING VERY STRANGE IS HAPPENING SpaceX is back at $133. Up 25% in two days. Right after 911.5 MILLION shares became eligible to sell. That makes no sense until you see this: 34% of the entire float was shorted before the unlock. Everyone expected the dump. Shorts piled in early. The crash didn’t come immediately, shorts started covering, and price ripped higher. Retail saw green and started chasing. Now everyone thinks the danger is over. They’re walking straight into the next trap. Because insiders didn’t lose the ability to sell. 911.5M shares are still unlocked. The supply is still there. And more unlocks are coming. MY PLAN HASN’T CHANGED: 1. Fake bounce from $105 to $125 → done 2. 20% supply unlock (911M shares) → completed 3. Retest of resistance → happening 4. Flush below $100 → next 5. Final dump to $77-$85 → next I’m not buying the $133 pump. I’m waiting for $85 to start building my position. Reminder: I’ve called every major market top and bottom for the last 15 years, including the tops in Gold and Silver, the collapse in Oil, the SpaceX drop, and Bitcoin’s crash. When I start buying SpaceX, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Alex Mason 👁△

863,273 Aufrufe • vor 1 Tag

🚨 $SPCX BUYERS ARE NOT READY FOR WHAT COMES NEXT SpaceX is already trading above $2T. The crowd sees the next Tesla. Insiders see the first exit window. Retail got access at the top of the hype cycle. Retail allocation was pushed up to 30%. Now look at the unlock schedule: First earnings + 2 trading days: Up to 20% of eligible shares can unlock. If the stock stays strong, that can rise to 30%. Then more shares unlock in waves: 70 days. 90 days. 105 days. 135 days. After the second quarterly report, another large block opens. At 180 days, the standard lockup opens. Musk and key insiders stay locked for 366 days. So ask yourself: Why give retail access right before the float starts expanding? Because that is how exits are built. First comes the hype. Then comes the sideways death. Then come the unlocks. Then retail realizes they bought the liquidity event, not the opportunity. The real entry comes when the hype dies, the unlocks hit, and nobody wants to touch $SPCX anymore. That is where smart money starts looking. If you’ve been following me, you already caught the $16K Bitcoin bottom and the $126K top. The next call is coming. Follow me and turn notifications on.

🚨 $SPCX BUYERS ARE NOT READY FOR WHAT COMES NEXT SpaceX is already trading above $2T. The crowd sees the next Tesla. Insiders see the first exit window. Retail got access at the top of the hype cycle. Retail allocation was pushed up to 30%. Now look at the unlock schedule: First earnings + 2 trading days: Up to 20% of eligible shares can unlock. If the stock stays strong, that can rise to 30%. Then more shares unlock in waves: 70 days. 90 days. 105 days. 135 days. After the second quarterly report, another large block opens. At 180 days, the standard lockup opens. Musk and key insiders stay locked for 366 days. So ask yourself: Why give retail access right before the float starts expanding? Because that is how exits are built. First comes the hype. Then comes the sideways death. Then come the unlocks. Then retail realizes they bought the liquidity event, not the opportunity. The real entry comes when the hype dies, the unlocks hit, and nobody wants to touch $SPCX anymore. That is where smart money starts looking. If you’ve been following me, you already caught the $16K Bitcoin bottom and the $126K top. The next call is coming. Follow me and turn notifications on.

Nonzee

62,879 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

🚨 SPACEX IS DONE? It opened at $150, ripped to $225 in three days, and everyone called it the buy of the decade. Now it's at $145 - an all-time low, below the open, sitting a few dollars above the IPO price. Down 35% from the top. The chart isn't breaking. It already broke. And this was the easy part. Here's where it goes from here: $145 → $135 → $120 → $100 Why this has to happen the math is brutal and public: → Only ~4% of shares actually trade. Nasdaq bent the float rule just to let this listing through. → It got jammed into the indexes, and every passive fund on the planet was forced to buy near the top. → Insiders still hold 96% of the supply. → The first unlock hits on August 6 - right at Q2 earnings. About 20% of insider shares go free, and the float doubles overnight. → Then it doubles again through the fall, all the way to a full unlock. Sit with that. This entire 35% collapse happened on a tiny float, with no supply. The actual wall of stock hasn't even arrived yet. And look at the backdrop: Apple's printing new all-time highs while SPCX bleeds to fresh lows. That's not a market problem that's a SpaceX problem. The hype died, the capex is enormous, the valuation is priced at ~100x sales, and the unlock cliff is dead ahead. Everything I said would happen is happening. No surprises. The next leg is where the real money gets made but not on the long side yet. Save this. Turn on notifications. Or come back in 30 days wishing you had.

🚨 SPACEX IS DONE? It opened at $150, ripped to $225 in three days, and everyone called it the buy of the decade. Now it's at $145 - an all-time low, below the open, sitting a few dollars above the IPO price. Down 35% from the top. The chart isn't breaking. It already broke. And this was the easy part. Here's where it goes from here: $145 → $135 → $120 → $100 Why this has to happen the math is brutal and public: → Only ~4% of shares actually trade. Nasdaq bent the float rule just to let this listing through. → It got jammed into the indexes, and every passive fund on the planet was forced to buy near the top. → Insiders still hold 96% of the supply. → The first unlock hits on August 6 - right at Q2 earnings. About 20% of insider shares go free, and the float doubles overnight. → Then it doubles again through the fall, all the way to a full unlock. Sit with that. This entire 35% collapse happened on a tiny float, with no supply. The actual wall of stock hasn't even arrived yet. And look at the backdrop: Apple's printing new all-time highs while SPCX bleeds to fresh lows. That's not a market problem that's a SpaceX problem. The hype died, the capex is enormous, the valuation is priced at ~100x sales, and the unlock cliff is dead ahead. Everything I said would happen is happening. No surprises. The next leg is where the real money gets made but not on the long side yet. Save this. Turn on notifications. Or come back in 30 days wishing you had.

Shelpid.WI3M

355,948 Aufrufe • vor 28 Tagen

🚨 WARNING: THE REAL $SPCX DUMP HASN'T EVEN STARTED SpaceX came public at $135 in June, ripped to ~$225, then bled all the way back to the mid-$130s. The entire IPO pop, round-tripped I've called this entire move during IPO hype peak And here's the part nobody's pricing in - the actual supply shock is still ahead The timeline that matters: Aug 4 -> first earnings report Aug 6 -> first major unlock, ~911.5M shares worth roughly $123B hit the market - about 68x the stock's daily volume Then staggered tranches bleeding out through the fall Dec 8 -> the full 180-day lock-up expires You can't drop 68x average daily volume of insider supply onto a stock already sitting below its IPO price and expect it to hold Insiders who waited years for liquidity finally get their exit, and every bounce is their sell button If bought right - after that supply gets absorbed - SPCX could be one of the best setups of 2026 But not here. Not into that wall. I'm not buying yet. The second I take my first position, I will post it HERE first Follow + notifs on to not miss it

🚨 WARNING: THE REAL $SPCX DUMP HASN'T EVEN STARTED SpaceX came public at $135 in June, ripped to ~$225, then bled all the way back to the mid-$130s. The entire IPO pop, round-tripped I've called this entire move during IPO hype peak And here's the part nobody's pricing in - the actual supply shock is still ahead The timeline that matters: Aug 4 -> first earnings report Aug 6 -> first major unlock, ~911.5M shares worth roughly $123B hit the market - about 68x the stock's daily volume Then staggered tranches bleeding out through the fall Dec 8 -> the full 180-day lock-up expires You can't drop 68x average daily volume of insider supply onto a stock already sitting below its IPO price and expect it to hold Insiders who waited years for liquidity finally get their exit, and every bounce is their sell button If bought right - after that supply gets absorbed - SPCX could be one of the best setups of 2026 But not here. Not into that wall. I'm not buying yet. The second I take my first position, I will post it HERE first Follow + notifs on to not miss it

Pepesso

31,515 Aufrufe • vor 19 Tagen

SPACEX IS RUNNING THE OLDEST SCAM IN MARKETS. And Wall Street is doing it at a $2 TRILLION scale. Only 4% of shares available. Passive funds forced to buy. $1.6 TRILLION of insider wealth waiting to exit. This is not an IPO. This is a low float pump. Crypto does this with tokens. Wall Street does it with IPOs. Different market. Same trap. And the unlock schedule starts in 1-2 months. First 20% after Q2 earnings. Then wave after wave after wave. Who will insiders sell to? Retail chasing the hype. Passive funds following the index. The last buyer always pays for the dream. Most people are watching the SpaceX rocket. I'm watching the exit door. You've been warned.

SPACEX IS RUNNING THE OLDEST SCAM IN MARKETS. And Wall Street is doing it at a $2 TRILLION scale. Only 4% of shares available. Passive funds forced to buy. $1.6 TRILLION of insider wealth waiting to exit. This is not an IPO. This is a low float pump. Crypto does this with tokens. Wall Street does it with IPOs. Different market. Same trap. And the unlock schedule starts in 1-2 months. First 20% after Q2 earnings. Then wave after wave after wave. Who will insiders sell to? Retail chasing the hype. Passive funds following the index. The last buyer always pays for the dream. Most people are watching the SpaceX rocket. I'm watching the exit door. You've been warned.

Crypto Tice

43,410 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

The most overvalued market in 100 years. Retail is still buying like nothing is wrong. 100 out of 100 years have proved one thing: This pattern has never failed. And the S&P 500 is following it again. - Dot-com bubble (1999) - Housing bubble (2007) - AI bubble (2026) You are not ready for what's coming. Reminder: I’ve called every major market top and bottom for the last 15 years, including the tops in Gold and Silver, the collapse in Oil, the SpaceX drop, and Bitcoin’s crash. When I exit the markets completely, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

The most overvalued market in 100 years. Retail is still buying like nothing is wrong. 100 out of 100 years have proved one thing: This pattern has never failed. And the S&P 500 is following it again. - Dot-com bubble (1999) - Housing bubble (2007) - AI bubble (2026) You are not ready for what's coming. Reminder: I’ve called every major market top and bottom for the last 15 years, including the tops in Gold and Silver, the collapse in Oil, the SpaceX drop, and Bitcoin’s crash. When I exit the markets completely, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Alex Mason 👁△

553,716 Aufrufe • vor 11 Tagen

🚨 THE SPACEX PUMP JUST ARMED THE INSIDER SELL BUTTON. And almost nobody buying at $178 knows it. Here's what's actually happening. SpaceX IPO'd at $135 on June 12, eight days later it's at $178. Everyone is calling it the trade of the decade. Nobody is reading the fine print. 95% of shares are still locked. You're trading on 5% of total supply. A $2.35 trillion valuation set by a sliver of float that can be moved by relatively thin volume. Thin float pumps easy. It dumps the same way. Now the part that should concern everyone buying right now. There's a clause buried in the lockup agreement. An early unlock triggers automatically if the stock holds 30% above the $135 IPO price. 30% above $135 is $175.50. The stock is at $178. The rally didn't just create paper gains. It activated the mechanism that lets insiders sell early. Then the calendar gets worse. Late July into August first insider shares hit the market around Q2 earnings. December 8 - full 180-day lockup expires in tranches. June 2027 - Musk's 6.4 billion personal shares come free. A wall of supply, on a fixed schedule, already counting down. We've seen this exact movie before. Facebook IPO'd at $38 in 2012, Lockups expired. Four months later it was trading at $18. Half the value erased not because the company failed. Because supply showed up and buyers ran out. Now the math on SpaceX. $2.35 trillion valuation. $18.7 billion in 2025 revenue. 125x sales. And Musk's own projection for $1 trillion in revenue is dated "maybe by 2030." You're paying for that today In full Four years early. So ask yourself one question. Who is on the other side of your buy at $178? People who got in at $40. At $60. At $90. Insiders sitting on 3x, 4x, 5x gains who have been waiting years for exactly this window. They don't need the price higher. They need buyers to sell into. Right now that buyer is you. The rockets are real. The company is real. The technology is real. The trap is also real. At $178 you're either early to the exit or you are the exit. I called the SPX drops before they happened. I called BTC's top at $126K. I called the dump from $126K to $60K - publicly, before it moved. Every major call this cycle on the record, before the fact. The next ones are already loading. Follow now and turn on notifications. The unlock clock is already running - and when it hits, you'll want to have seen this post first.

🚨 THE SPACEX PUMP JUST ARMED THE INSIDER SELL BUTTON. And almost nobody buying at $178 knows it. Here's what's actually happening. SpaceX IPO'd at $135 on June 12, eight days later it's at $178. Everyone is calling it the trade of the decade. Nobody is reading the fine print. 95% of shares are still locked. You're trading on 5% of total supply. A $2.35 trillion valuation set by a sliver of float that can be moved by relatively thin volume. Thin float pumps easy. It dumps the same way. Now the part that should concern everyone buying right now. There's a clause buried in the lockup agreement. An early unlock triggers automatically if the stock holds 30% above the $135 IPO price. 30% above $135 is $175.50. The stock is at $178. The rally didn't just create paper gains. It activated the mechanism that lets insiders sell early. Then the calendar gets worse. Late July into August first insider shares hit the market around Q2 earnings. December 8 - full 180-day lockup expires in tranches. June 2027 - Musk's 6.4 billion personal shares come free. A wall of supply, on a fixed schedule, already counting down. We've seen this exact movie before. Facebook IPO'd at $38 in 2012, Lockups expired. Four months later it was trading at $18. Half the value erased not because the company failed. Because supply showed up and buyers ran out. Now the math on SpaceX. $2.35 trillion valuation. $18.7 billion in 2025 revenue. 125x sales. And Musk's own projection for $1 trillion in revenue is dated "maybe by 2030." You're paying for that today In full Four years early. So ask yourself one question. Who is on the other side of your buy at $178? People who got in at $40. At $60. At $90. Insiders sitting on 3x, 4x, 5x gains who have been waiting years for exactly this window. They don't need the price higher. They need buyers to sell into. Right now that buyer is you. The rockets are real. The company is real. The technology is real. The trap is also real. At $178 you're either early to the exit or you are the exit. I called the SPX drops before they happened. I called BTC's top at $126K. I called the dump from $126K to $60K - publicly, before it moved. Every major call this cycle on the record, before the fact. The next ones are already loading. Follow now and turn on notifications. The unlock clock is already running - and when it hits, you'll want to have seen this post first.

Phantom_Defi

295,218 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

🚨 THE SPACEX PUMP JUST ARMED THE INSIDER SELL BUTTON. And almost nobody buying at $178 knows it. Here's what's actually happening. SpaceX IPO'd at $135 on June 12, eight days later it's at $178. Everyone is calling it the trade of the decade. Nobody is reading the fine print. 95% of shares are still locked. You're trading on 5% of total supply. A $2.35 trillion valuation set by a sliver of float that can be moved by relatively thin volume. Thin float pumps easy. It dumps the same way. Now the part that should concern everyone buying right now. There's a clause buried in the lockup agreement. An early unlock triggers automatically if the stock holds 30% above the $135 IPO price. 30% above $135 is $175.50. The stock is at $178. The rally didn't just create paper gains. It activated the mechanism that lets insiders sell early. Then the calendar gets worse. Late July into August first insider shares hit the market around Q2 earnings. December 8 - full 180-day lockup expires in tranches. June 2027 - Musk's 6.4 billion personal shares come free. A wall of supply, on a fixed schedule, already counting down. We've seen this exact movie before. Facebook IPO'd at $38 in 2012, Lockups expired. Four months later it was trading at $18. Half the value erased not because the company failed. Because supply showed up and buyers ran out. Now the math on SpaceX. $2.35 trillion valuation. $18.7 billion in 2025 revenue. 125x sales. And Musk's own projection for $1 trillion in revenue is dated "maybe by 2030." You're paying for that today In full Four years early. So ask yourself one question. Who is on the other side of your buy at $178? People who got in at $40. At $60. At $90. Insiders sitting on 3x, 4x, 5x gains who have been waiting years for exactly this window. They don't need the price higher. They need buyers to sell into. Right now that buyer is you. The rockets are real. The company is real. The technology is real. The trap is also real. At $178 you're either early to the exit or you are the exit. I called the SPX drops before they happened. I called BTC's top at $126K. I called the dump from $126K to $60K - publicly, before it moved. Every major call this cycle on the record, before the fact. The next ones are already loading. Follow now and turn on notifications. The unlock clock is already running - and when it hits, you'll want to have seen this post first.

🚨 THE SPACEX PUMP JUST ARMED THE INSIDER SELL BUTTON. And almost nobody buying at $178 knows it. Here's what's actually happening. SpaceX IPO'd at $135 on June 12, eight days later it's at $178. Everyone is calling it the trade of the decade. Nobody is reading the fine print. 95% of shares are still locked. You're trading on 5% of total supply. A $2.35 trillion valuation set by a sliver of float that can be moved by relatively thin volume. Thin float pumps easy. It dumps the same way. Now the part that should concern everyone buying right now. There's a clause buried in the lockup agreement. An early unlock triggers automatically if the stock holds 30% above the $135 IPO price. 30% above $135 is $175.50. The stock is at $178. The rally didn't just create paper gains. It activated the mechanism that lets insiders sell early. Then the calendar gets worse. Late July into August first insider shares hit the market around Q2 earnings. December 8 - full 180-day lockup expires in tranches. June 2027 - Musk's 6.4 billion personal shares come free. A wall of supply, on a fixed schedule, already counting down. We've seen this exact movie before. Facebook IPO'd at $38 in 2012, Lockups expired. Four months later it was trading at $18. Half the value erased not because the company failed. Because supply showed up and buyers ran out. Now the math on SpaceX. $2.35 trillion valuation. $18.7 billion in 2025 revenue. 125x sales. And Musk's own projection for $1 trillion in revenue is dated "maybe by 2030." You're paying for that today In full Four years early. So ask yourself one question. Who is on the other side of your buy at $178? People who got in at $40. At $60. At $90. Insiders sitting on 3x, 4x, 5x gains who have been waiting years for exactly this window. They don't need the price higher. They need buyers to sell into. Right now that buyer is you. The rockets are real. The company is real. The technology is real. The trap is also real. At $178 you're either early to the exit or you are the exit. I called the SPX drops before they happened. I called BTC's top at $126K. I called the dump from $126K to $60K - publicly, before it moved. Every major call this cycle on the record, before the fact. The next ones are already loading. Follow now and turn on notifications. The unlock clock is already running - and when it hits, you'll want to have seen this post first.

philarekt

596,465 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

🚨 I WARNED YOU - THAT'S EXACTLY WHAT I NEED $SPCX Earnings were good. Revenue up 92%. AI revenue up 247%. A double beat. The stock popped. $108 - $127 (hope before earnings) This is the move I told you to expect. And here's what most people don't understand about it Right now, only ~5% of SpaceX can actually be traded. The other 95% are LOCKED That tiny supply is a huge reason the price moves so violently. But that lock has an expiry date. In 2 days (Aug 6) it breaks. 34% of the float is short. That's WHY it popped - shorts scrambling to cover. (But they can't find shares to buy. Only 5% floats.) But Aug 6 kills the squeeze. Aug 6 hands them 900 million shares. (638M shares trading right now) The unlock doesn't just add sellers. It gives the trapped shorts their exit. The one thing holding this up… disappears the same day the flood arrives. If you really care to understand this market Follow me for more now friend, you won't regret it.

🚨 I WARNED YOU - THAT'S EXACTLY WHAT I NEED $SPCX Earnings were good. Revenue up 92%. AI revenue up 247%. A double beat. The stock popped. $108 - $127 (hope before earnings) This is the move I told you to expect. And here's what most people don't understand about it Right now, only ~5% of SpaceX can actually be traded. The other 95% are LOCKED That tiny supply is a huge reason the price moves so violently. But that lock has an expiry date. In 2 days (Aug 6) it breaks. 34% of the float is short. That's WHY it popped - shorts scrambling to cover. (But they can't find shares to buy. Only 5% floats.) But Aug 6 kills the squeeze. Aug 6 hands them 900 million shares. (638M shares trading right now) The unlock doesn't just add sellers. It gives the trapped shorts their exit. The one thing holding this up… disappears the same day the flood arrives. If you really care to understand this market Follow me for more now friend, you won't regret it.

Frogify

336,195 Aufrufe • vor 6 Tagen

🚨 SOMETHING VERY STRANGE IS HAPPENING SpaceX will go public tomorrow at a $1.75T valuation. The biggest IPO in market history. And Wall Street just changed the rules right before it happens. I've been trading for more than 15 years and have never seen them rewrite the rules so urgently: IPO access now lowered from $500,000 to $2,000 (-99.6% cut). That means millions of investors can suddenly enter a deal and buy shares tomorrow. One day before the most expensive IPO in history. And suddenly... SpaceX reserved up to 30% of the deal for regular investors. Three times the normal share. Why? Because retail investors need to buy what insiders sell. And here is the part most people are missing: SpaceX does not just create demand for SpaceX. It pulls liquidity out of everything else: - Retail sells stocks to chase the IPO. - Funds sell stocks to prepare for forced buying. - Brokers open access to generate demand. - Everyone needs cash at the same time. That is why the market is selling now. First, insiders create the hype. Then brokers open the gates. Then regular investors rush in. And by the time the crowd realizes what happened, the exit door is already closed. We’ve seen this before. 2000: Dotcom IPOs became the symbol of the bubble. Then Nasdaq collapsed 80%. 2021: SPACs, Coinbase, Robinhood, Rivian. Retail thought they were buying the future. They were buying the exit. Now the same playbook is back. Only this time, it is much bigger. When Wall Street cuts the entry ticket from $500K to $2K right before a $1.75T IPO, they are not giving retail a gift. They are creating buyers. Remember: Insiders need liquidity. Funds need allocation. The market needs a dream. And Wall Street needs someone to hold the bag. That is what tomorrow is really about. Reminder: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000. The next call will be even more important. When I exit the markets completely, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

🚨 SOMETHING VERY STRANGE IS HAPPENING SpaceX will go public tomorrow at a $1.75T valuation. The biggest IPO in market history. And Wall Street just changed the rules right before it happens. I've been trading for more than 15 years and have never seen them rewrite the rules so urgently: IPO access now lowered from $500,000 to $2,000 (-99.6% cut). That means millions of investors can suddenly enter a deal and buy shares tomorrow. One day before the most expensive IPO in history. And suddenly... SpaceX reserved up to 30% of the deal for regular investors. Three times the normal share. Why? Because retail investors need to buy what insiders sell. And here is the part most people are missing: SpaceX does not just create demand for SpaceX. It pulls liquidity out of everything else: - Retail sells stocks to chase the IPO. - Funds sell stocks to prepare for forced buying. - Brokers open access to generate demand. - Everyone needs cash at the same time. That is why the market is selling now. First, insiders create the hype. Then brokers open the gates. Then regular investors rush in. And by the time the crowd realizes what happened, the exit door is already closed. We’ve seen this before. 2000: Dotcom IPOs became the symbol of the bubble. Then Nasdaq collapsed 80%. 2021: SPACs, Coinbase, Robinhood, Rivian. Retail thought they were buying the future. They were buying the exit. Now the same playbook is back. Only this time, it is much bigger. When Wall Street cuts the entry ticket from $500K to $2K right before a $1.75T IPO, they are not giving retail a gift. They are creating buyers. Remember: Insiders need liquidity. Funds need allocation. The market needs a dream. And Wall Street needs someone to hold the bag. That is what tomorrow is really about. Reminder: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000. The next call will be even more important. When I exit the markets completely, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Alex Mason 👁△

1,749,849 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

🚨 WARNING: SPACEX IPO IS A REAL BIG STORM FOR MARKETS!! Everyone thinks $SPCX IPO will be free money. But people thought the same about Meta in 2012. After Meta went public, the stock dumped more than 70% in the first 100 days. Retail bought the hype. Then insiders and early investors got liquidity. Now the same setup is coming again. SpaceX is expected to go public on June 12 at a $1.75 TRILLION to $2 TRILLION valuation. That would instantly make it one of the biggest companies in the US market. But here’s the problem. This is not just an IPO. This is a massive liquidity event. SpaceX $SPCX is now expected to IPO at $135 per share, with 555,555,555 shares available. That means almost $75 BILLION in shares could hit the market. Read that again. $75 BILLION of liquidity could be absorbed on day one. And everyone still thinks this is bullish. Insiders reportedly own around 95% of SpaceX shares. The public float is only around 5%. That means insiders are sitting on more than $1.6 TRILLION of paper wealth. And after the IPO, that paper wealth starts becoming real exit liquidity. Michael Burry already warned about this. He said SpaceX, OpenAI and Anthropic could raise more money than the 300 biggest IPOs in 2000. And he is not just talking. He is already betting against the AI bubble with a massive short position in $PLTR and $NVDA. So now connect the dots. Meta IPO dumped after the hype. AI stocks are already crowded. SpaceX IPO could pull $75 BILLION of liquidity from the market. Stocks. Crypto. High beta tech. Everything retail is already holding. Most people will see the Elon hype. I see the liquidity drain. This could become one of the biggest insider cashout events in modern market history. I have studied macro for 10 years and called almost every major market top including the October BTC ATH. Follow and turn notifications on. I will post the warning before it hits the headlines.

🚨 WARNING: SPACEX IPO IS A REAL BIG STORM FOR MARKETS!! Everyone thinks $SPCX IPO will be free money. But people thought the same about Meta in 2012. After Meta went public, the stock dumped more than 70% in the first 100 days. Retail bought the hype. Then insiders and early investors got liquidity. Now the same setup is coming again. SpaceX is expected to go public on June 12 at a $1.75 TRILLION to $2 TRILLION valuation. That would instantly make it one of the biggest companies in the US market. But here’s the problem. This is not just an IPO. This is a massive liquidity event. SpaceX $SPCX is now expected to IPO at $135 per share, with 555,555,555 shares available. That means almost $75 BILLION in shares could hit the market. Read that again. $75 BILLION of liquidity could be absorbed on day one. And everyone still thinks this is bullish. Insiders reportedly own around 95% of SpaceX shares. The public float is only around 5%. That means insiders are sitting on more than $1.6 TRILLION of paper wealth. And after the IPO, that paper wealth starts becoming real exit liquidity. Michael Burry already warned about this. He said SpaceX, OpenAI and Anthropic could raise more money than the 300 biggest IPOs in 2000. And he is not just talking. He is already betting against the AI bubble with a massive short position in $PLTR and $NVDA. So now connect the dots. Meta IPO dumped after the hype. AI stocks are already crowded. SpaceX IPO could pull $75 BILLION of liquidity from the market. Stocks. Crypto. High beta tech. Everything retail is already holding. Most people will see the Elon hype. I see the liquidity drain. This could become one of the biggest insider cashout events in modern market history. I have studied macro for 10 years and called almost every major market top including the October BTC ATH. Follow and turn notifications on. I will post the warning before it hits the headlines.

DANNY

973,924 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

$The largest IPO in history is also shaping up to be the largest exit liquidity operation in history SpaceX went public at more than 90x revenue, and the insiders who bought in at a fraction of today's price are about to start selling their shares to you. Let me walk you through why this IPO is built to separate retail investors from their money: SpaceX has NEVER turned a profit and lost close to $5 billion last year. At the offering you were paying more than 90x revenue and at the peak the market briefly valued it near 140x. 30 years ago the head of Sun Microsystems explained in detail why paying even 10x revenue almost always ends in tears, and he was right. But listen closely, because the valuation is not even the real story. The scarcity is what CREATED this valuation in the first place, and the calendar that kills the scarcity is what kills the price. Less than 5% of SpaceX shares were actually available to trade at the IPO. Then the index committees REWROTE their own rules to fast track the stock into the Nasdaq 100 just 15 trading days after listing, which forced every passive fund and index ETF in the country to buy at the exact moment the float was at its tightest. The Nasdaq inclusion alone forced an estimated $4.3 billion of buying, and the Russell reweighting added roughly $3 billion more. The supply was minuscule and the buying was mandatory. That's a manufactured squeeze, and it is why the stock went above $225 in its first week. Now watch what happens next, because this is the part they ain't explaining to you: The lockup was staggered on purpose, and the entire schedule is sitting in the prospectus for anyone who bothers to read it. In early August, right after Q2 earnings, 20% of the locked shares come free. Another 10% unlocks early if the stock trades 30% above the $135 IPO price going into the report. Then tranches of 7% hit the market at 70, 90, 105, 120 and 135 days after the IPO, which means fresh insider supply lands roughly every 2 to 3 weeks from late August through late October. Q3 earnings triggers the single biggest release of all, another 28%, roughly 1.3 billion shares. On December 8 the 180 day lockup expires entirely. And on June 12, 2027 comes the final wave, when Musk's own 6.4 billion shares, 42% of the whole company, become sellable for the first time. Add it all up and insiders could be free to sell as much as 44% of the company by early September, which would balloon the tradable float by roughly 900%. All of that supply lands on a stock the company deliberately packed with retail, because SpaceX reserved close to 30% of the offering for individual investors vs the usual 10%. This deal created over 4,400 paper millionaires inside the company. You think none of them are looking to cash out? Early holders are already loading up on puts to lock in what they have. First they keep the float tiny. Then they let the index rules force the world to buy at the top. Then they release a flood of insider stock into a crowd of retail buyers who were handed the shares up high. When the price finally breaks the offering level, the people who got in years ago at pennies on today's dollar will hit the bid, and the exit liquidity is your retirement account. And what are you actually left holding? Strip away the science fiction and the only business inside SpaceX that reliably earns money is Starlink, which produced $1.2 billion of operating income last quarter. A wonderful business worth hundreds of billions on its best day. NOT $2 trillion. Serious fair value work lands around $30 a share. Nobody has been a bigger bear on this deal than me. I called it out the moment it started trading, and it is already playing out on schedule as the shares have given back the entire squeeze and slipped below their opening print. I was Peter Lynch's auto analyst back in 1981 and I have watched every disaster since, and I am telling you this is one of the great wealth transfers of my lifetime packed into a fancy narrative. Tesla was the biggest misallocation of capital in the history of stock markets. SpaceX may have just surpassed it. SPCX goes straight onto my short list, and the beauty of this setup is that the catalyst is not a guess or something, it is literally a PUBLISHED CALENDAR. This is the most grossly overpriced stock at scale that I have ever seen.$

The largest IPO in history is also shaping up to be the largest exit liquidity operation in history SpaceX went public at more than 90x revenue, and the insiders who bought in at a fraction of today's price are about to start selling their shares to you. Let me walk you through why this IPO is built to separate retail investors from their money: SpaceX has NEVER turned a profit and lost close to $5 billion last year. At the offering you were paying more than 90x revenue and at the peak the market briefly valued it near 140x. 30 years ago the head of Sun Microsystems explained in detail why paying even 10x revenue almost always ends in tears, and he was right. But listen closely, because the valuation is not even the real story. The scarcity is what CREATED this valuation in the first place, and the calendar that kills the scarcity is what kills the price. Less than 5% of SpaceX shares were actually available to trade at the IPO. Then the index committees REWROTE their own rules to fast track the stock into the Nasdaq 100 just 15 trading days after listing, which forced every passive fund and index ETF in the country to buy at the exact moment the float was at its tightest. The Nasdaq inclusion alone forced an estimated $4.3 billion of buying, and the Russell reweighting added roughly $3 billion more. The supply was minuscule and the buying was mandatory. That's a manufactured squeeze, and it is why the stock went above $225 in its first week. Now watch what happens next, because this is the part they ain't explaining to you: The lockup was staggered on purpose, and the entire schedule is sitting in the prospectus for anyone who bothers to read it. In early August, right after Q2 earnings, 20% of the locked shares come free. Another 10% unlocks early if the stock trades 30% above the $135 IPO price going into the report. Then tranches of 7% hit the market at 70, 90, 105, 120 and 135 days after the IPO, which means fresh insider supply lands roughly every 2 to 3 weeks from late August through late October. Q3 earnings triggers the single biggest release of all, another 28%, roughly 1.3 billion shares. On December 8 the 180 day lockup expires entirely. And on June 12, 2027 comes the final wave, when Musk's own 6.4 billion shares, 42% of the whole company, become sellable for the first time. Add it all up and insiders could be free to sell as much as 44% of the company by early September, which would balloon the tradable float by roughly 900%. All of that supply lands on a stock the company deliberately packed with retail, because SpaceX reserved close to 30% of the offering for individual investors vs the usual 10%. This deal created over 4,400 paper millionaires inside the company. You think none of them are looking to cash out? Early holders are already loading up on puts to lock in what they have. First they keep the float tiny. Then they let the index rules force the world to buy at the top. Then they release a flood of insider stock into a crowd of retail buyers who were handed the shares up high. When the price finally breaks the offering level, the people who got in years ago at pennies on today's dollar will hit the bid, and the exit liquidity is your retirement account. And what are you actually left holding? Strip away the science fiction and the only business inside SpaceX that reliably earns money is Starlink, which produced $1.2 billion of operating income last quarter. A wonderful business worth hundreds of billions on its best day. NOT $2 trillion. Serious fair value work lands around $30 a share. Nobody has been a bigger bear on this deal than me. I called it out the moment it started trading, and it is already playing out on schedule as the shares have given back the entire squeeze and slipped below their opening print. I was Peter Lynch's auto analyst back in 1981 and I have watched every disaster since, and I am telling you this is one of the great wealth transfers of my lifetime packed into a fancy narrative. Tesla was the biggest misallocation of capital in the history of stock markets. SpaceX may have just surpassed it. SPCX goes straight onto my short list, and the beauty of this setup is that the catalyst is not a guess or something, it is literally a PUBLISHED CALENDAR. This is the most grossly overpriced stock at scale that I have ever seen.

George Noble

348,852 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

🚨 I WARNED YOU. $SPCX IS ENTERING A 6-MONTH "DEAD MONEY" PHASE. Everything is unfolding exactly the way I laid it out. SPCX is already showing cracks - and the real test hasn't even arrived. Let me put it in the simplest possible terms. Right now, only about 4% of SpaceX actually trades. The other 96% is locked up tight. That single fact is the entire reason the chart looks the way it does: a tiny sliver of stock is holding up a $2.7 trillion valuation after a 53% post-IPO melt-up. Insiders, employees, and early funds are all sitting on shares they're not allowed to sell. Yet. Late summer is where that changes. Once the Q2 report drops in late July, the first chunk of insider stock - roughly 20% comes unlocked. And it doesn't stop there: the tradable float is set to roughly double by late August, then keep bleeding open in tranches all the way to the full unlock in December. Sit with that math. Only ~4% trades today. By late August, that pool doubles - and it can start hitting the tape all at once. So who do they sell into? → Retail still chasing the SpaceX dream → Index funds forced to buy when MSCI added it on June 13 → Everyone who piled in after the pump If this feels familiar, it should. It's the exact playbook crypto ran for years: tiny float → enormous valuation → index inclusion → forced buyers → then the unlock cliff arrives and reality catches up. The only difference is SpaceX is running it at a $2.7 trillion price tag. We even have the blueprint. Facebook's 2012 IPO used the same staggered-lockup trick - and the stock was down 40%+ by the time those releases finished. Most people are still staring at the pump. I'm already looking at the calendar. The first exit door swings open in late July - and the last buyer in always pays for the dream. I've been calling tops for 10 years. I shorted BTC from six figures last October. This next one is the biggest call yet. Follow and turn notifications on. I post before the headlines catch up.

🚨 I WARNED YOU. $SPCX IS ENTERING A 6-MONTH "DEAD MONEY" PHASE. Everything is unfolding exactly the way I laid it out. SPCX is already showing cracks - and the real test hasn't even arrived. Let me put it in the simplest possible terms. Right now, only about 4% of SpaceX actually trades. The other 96% is locked up tight. That single fact is the entire reason the chart looks the way it does: a tiny sliver of stock is holding up a $2.7 trillion valuation after a 53% post-IPO melt-up. Insiders, employees, and early funds are all sitting on shares they're not allowed to sell. Yet. Late summer is where that changes. Once the Q2 report drops in late July, the first chunk of insider stock - roughly 20% comes unlocked. And it doesn't stop there: the tradable float is set to roughly double by late August, then keep bleeding open in tranches all the way to the full unlock in December. Sit with that math. Only ~4% trades today. By late August, that pool doubles - and it can start hitting the tape all at once. So who do they sell into? → Retail still chasing the SpaceX dream → Index funds forced to buy when MSCI added it on June 13 → Everyone who piled in after the pump If this feels familiar, it should. It's the exact playbook crypto ran for years: tiny float → enormous valuation → index inclusion → forced buyers → then the unlock cliff arrives and reality catches up. The only difference is SpaceX is running it at a $2.7 trillion price tag. We even have the blueprint. Facebook's 2012 IPO used the same staggered-lockup trick - and the stock was down 40%+ by the time those releases finished. Most people are still staring at the pump. I'm already looking at the calendar. The first exit door swings open in late July - and the last buyer in always pays for the dream. I've been calling tops for 10 years. I shorted BTC from six figures last October. This next one is the biggest call yet. Follow and turn notifications on. I post before the headlines catch up.

Shelpid.WI3M

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