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Space weather model by NOAA for the recent solar activity. Key thing to note here is how the earth-directed CME combines with the CH HSS CIR, meaning a bigger high-density plasma shock at the beginning followed by very-fast low density solar wind. Perfect conditions for heightened geophysical activity

Stefan Burns

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16,636 Aufrufe • vor 8 Monaten •via X (Twitter)

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NOAA's space weather model for the huge solar storm launched towards Earth forecasts peak impact tonight at 11pm EST (01:00 UTC 01/20), reaching G4 geomagnetic storm levels. We're already in a strong S3 radiation storm. This CME will combine with a CIR, strengthening the impact

NOAA's space weather model for the huge solar storm launched towards Earth forecasts peak impact tonight at 11pm EST (01:00 UTC 01/20), reaching G4 geomagnetic storm levels. We're already in a strong S3 radiation storm. This CME will combine with a CIR, strengthening the impact

Stefan Burns

28,805 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

A negative polarity trans-equatorial coronal hole is visible on the Sun and will connect to Earth with its magnetic field and high-speed solar wind in ~5-6 days. The last geoeffective coronal hole high-speed-stream impact we had perfectly lined up with the Venezuela earthquake doublet (M7.2 & M7.2) and the M7.2 earthquake that hit Japan on June 24th... With the last 2 weeks being dominated by intense solar flare activity, Earth's ionosphere and global electric circuit is already very highly charged, which suggests that this CH HSS impact could act as a stronger trigger than normal upon critically stressed faults. That said, the coronal hole isn't very wide, so Earth won't be embedded in its solar wind for long. Initial forecast range for a significant bump in global seismic activity from this would be July 9-14th.

A negative polarity trans-equatorial coronal hole is visible on the Sun and will connect to Earth with its magnetic field and high-speed solar wind in ~5-6 days. The last geoeffective coronal hole high-speed-stream impact we had perfectly lined up with the Venezuela earthquake doublet (M7.2 & M7.2) and the M7.2 earthquake that hit Japan on June 24th... With the last 2 weeks being dominated by intense solar flare activity, Earth's ionosphere and global electric circuit is already very highly charged, which suggests that this CH HSS impact could act as a stronger trigger than normal upon critically stressed faults. That said, the coronal hole isn't very wide, so Earth won't be embedded in its solar wind for long. Initial forecast range for a significant bump in global seismic activity from this would be July 9-14th.

Stefan Burns

38,975 Aufrufe • vor 10 Tagen

We could have a geomagnetic storm today 💥 Earth is being hit by fast solar wind at ~650 km/s with a density <1 p/cm^3. The magnetic field is 10 nT (2x stronger than normal), and the field just flipped into good connection with Earth's (Bz -5 nT).

We could have a geomagnetic storm today 💥 Earth is being hit by fast solar wind at ~650 km/s with a density <1 p/cm^3. The magnetic field is 10 nT (2x stronger than normal), and the field just flipped into good connection with Earth's (Bz -5 nT).

Stefan Burns

34,063 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

.NOAA's #SpaceWeather Prediction Center has issued a G3 (Strong) Geomagnetic Storm Watch for April 16, after a coronal mass ejection (#CME) erupted from the sun last Sunday. The Solar Ultraviolet Imager (#SUVI) onboard NOAA's #GOESEast 🛰️ captured the Earth-directed double filament eruption. NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center #GOES19

.NOAA's #SpaceWeather Prediction Center has issued a G3 (Strong) Geomagnetic Storm Watch for April 16, after a coronal mass ejection (#CME) erupted from the sun last Sunday. The Solar Ultraviolet Imager (#SUVI) onboard NOAA's #GOESEast 🛰️ captured the Earth-directed double filament eruption. NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center #GOES19

NOAA Satellites

22,687 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

The last 48 hours have been busy for the Sun 💥 First is a plasma eruption from 4482 (left side) followed by a giant plasma filament launch just above. We see the large trans-equatorial coronal hole rotating to geoeffective position, and just below it a 2.7 C-flare from newly developed AR4485 creating a coronal shockwave and general plasma instability for the entire Earth-facing region (watch how the plasma disturbance shifts upwards to the plasma filament and to the left to AR4482). Not guaranteed, but today's ripe for bigger activity!

The last 48 hours have been busy for the Sun 💥 First is a plasma eruption from 4482 (left side) followed by a giant plasma filament launch just above. We see the large trans-equatorial coronal hole rotating to geoeffective position, and just below it a 2.7 C-flare from newly developed AR4485 creating a coronal shockwave and general plasma instability for the entire Earth-facing region (watch how the plasma disturbance shifts upwards to the plasma filament and to the left to AR4482). Not guaranteed, but today's ripe for bigger activity!

Stefan Burns

19,816 Aufrufe • vor 5 Tagen

.NASA, NOAA , and the Solar Cycle Prediction Panel have officially declared that the solar maximum has begun. This marks the peak of the Sun's 11-year activity cycle, characterized by frequent sunspots, solar flares, and coronal mass ejections. The solar maximum brings increased solar activity, which can cause geomagnetic storms affecting Earth’s power grids, communications, and satellites but also leads to beautiful auroras. Scientists cannot predict the exact timing or strength of solar cycles with precision. The Sun's magnetic poles will eventually switch places, and the activity will decrease, but the exact peak of this cycle may not be known for months or years. Although this cycle is stronger than initial predictions, it remains within normal limits. The most powerful flare of this cycle occurred on October 4, 2024, but wasn't the strongest ever recorded. 👉

.NASA, NOAA , and the Solar Cycle Prediction Panel have officially declared that the solar maximum has begun. This marks the peak of the Sun's 11-year activity cycle, characterized by frequent sunspots, solar flares, and coronal mass ejections. The solar maximum brings increased solar activity, which can cause geomagnetic storms affecting Earth’s power grids, communications, and satellites but also leads to beautiful auroras. Scientists cannot predict the exact timing or strength of solar cycles with precision. The Sun's magnetic poles will eventually switch places, and the activity will decrease, but the exact peak of this cycle may not be known for months or years. Although this cycle is stronger than initial predictions, it remains within normal limits. The most powerful flare of this cycle occurred on October 4, 2024, but wasn't the strongest ever recorded. 👉

Erika 

54,749 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

BREAKING – A significant Earth-directed solar flare and associated coronal mass ejection (CME) just occurred on Friday evening. There is an increasing chance of geomagnetic storms and the potential for a display of the aurora borealis (northern lights) sometime Sunday night into Monday. A "solar flare" is a flash of light and radiation flickering into space. They emanate from sunspots – bruise-like discolorations on the surface of the sun that throb and pulsate with energy. That just occurred associated with sunspot #4100. The flare was a magnitude M8.2; M is one step below X, the highest category. An M8.2 is very close to X-class status. It was followed by a "full halo CME", or coronal mass ejection. That's an explosion of magnetism and solar material that surfs a shockwave through space. We call it a "full halo" because – when it's pointed directly at Earth – it looks like a halo. When CMEs, or coronal mass ejections, arrive at Earth, the electromagnetic energy is absorbed and dissipated by Earth's magnetic field. That energy is transformed into visible light – the aurora. I'll have updates once more information becomes available.

BREAKING – A significant Earth-directed solar flare and associated coronal mass ejection (CME) just occurred on Friday evening. There is an increasing chance of geomagnetic storms and the potential for a display of the aurora borealis (northern lights) sometime Sunday night into Monday. A "solar flare" is a flash of light and radiation flickering into space. They emanate from sunspots – bruise-like discolorations on the surface of the sun that throb and pulsate with energy. That just occurred associated with sunspot #4100. The flare was a magnitude M8.2; M is one step below X, the highest category. An M8.2 is very close to X-class status. It was followed by a "full halo CME", or coronal mass ejection. That's an explosion of magnetism and solar material that surfs a shockwave through space. We call it a "full halo" because – when it's pointed directly at Earth – it looks like a halo. When CMEs, or coronal mass ejections, arrive at Earth, the electromagnetic energy is absorbed and dissipated by Earth's magnetic field. That energy is transformed into visible light – the aurora. I'll have updates once more information becomes available.

Matthew Cappucci

37,948 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

The onset of fast solar winds and a possible CME reaching Earth means that aurora sightings are possible tonight This is most likely for northern Scotland with lower chances further south Look to the northern horizon and take a peek ✨

The onset of fast solar winds and a possible CME reaching Earth means that aurora sightings are possible tonight This is most likely for northern Scotland with lower chances further south Look to the northern horizon and take a peek ✨

Met Office

71,427 Aufrufe • vor 7 Monaten

A large trans-equatorial hole (dark region) is on the Sun and will blast Earth with high-speed solar wind after connecting to our planet with its magnetic field. Additionally some interesting activity from a sunspot group (4334) just below the coronal hole. Two big shockwave explosions but no CMEs launched outwards according to coronagraph imagery.

A large trans-equatorial hole (dark region) is on the Sun and will blast Earth with high-speed solar wind after connecting to our planet with its magnetic field. Additionally some interesting activity from a sunspot group (4334) just below the coronal hole. Two big shockwave explosions but no CMEs launched outwards according to coronagraph imagery.

Stefan Burns

20,078 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten

The Sun has not entered a Grand Solar Minimum since the start of the Industrial and Technological Age. Grand Solar Minima have always caused problems on Earth due to low solar activity and increased cosmic radiation. The elites expect a Grand Solar Minimum to occur between 2030 and 2040, and this time it will be coupled with a significantly reduced magnetic field, which will only amplify the catastrophic changes. That's why there are wars and why Trump wants Greenland. I have revealed some of the safer places that the elites are preparing. Read my latest article by subscribing here on X or on my Patreon account.

The Sun has not entered a Grand Solar Minimum since the start of the Industrial and Technological Age. Grand Solar Minima have always caused problems on Earth due to low solar activity and increased cosmic radiation. The elites expect a Grand Solar Minimum to occur between 2030 and 2040, and this time it will be coupled with a significantly reduced magnetic field, which will only amplify the catastrophic changes. That's why there are wars and why Trump wants Greenland. I have revealed some of the safer places that the elites are preparing. Read my latest article by subscribing here on X or on my Patreon account.

Open Minded Approach

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Those who say that the Younger Dryas was caused by a meteor hitting the Earth or grazing the atmosphere have not done their homework. The Cyclical Geophysical Event is caused by a combination of axial and apsidal precession, which leads to geomagnetic excursions and, together with Grand Solar Minima, causes abrupt climate change, massive floods, volcanic activity, and the reshaping of the continents. The Younger Dryas is not an exception. Similar events occurred during the 8.2-kiloyear event, the 5.9-kiloyear event, the 4.2-kiloyear event, the Bronze Age Collapse, and are happening today.

Those who say that the Younger Dryas was caused by a meteor hitting the Earth or grazing the atmosphere have not done their homework. The Cyclical Geophysical Event is caused by a combination of axial and apsidal precession, which leads to geomagnetic excursions and, together with Grand Solar Minima, causes abrupt climate change, massive floods, volcanic activity, and the reshaping of the continents. The Younger Dryas is not an exception. Similar events occurred during the 8.2-kiloyear event, the 5.9-kiloyear event, the 4.2-kiloyear event, the Bronze Age Collapse, and are happening today.

Open Minded Approach

14,895 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

A giant canyon on the Sun On July 15, a powerful flare occurred on the surface of the Sun, which briefly changed its structure and caused the release of hot plasma into space. As a result of this event, a plasma "scar" about 400,000 kilometers long appeared. This is approximately the distance from the Earth to the Moon. The height of the structure reaches 20,000 kilometers. All this was recorded with high accuracy by NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO).

A giant canyon on the Sun On July 15, a powerful flare occurred on the surface of the Sun, which briefly changed its structure and caused the release of hot plasma into space. As a result of this event, a plasma "scar" about 400,000 kilometers long appeared. This is approximately the distance from the Earth to the Moon. The height of the structure reaches 20,000 kilometers. All this was recorded with high accuracy by NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO).

Black Hole

15,948 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

The biblical prophecy about the sun turning dark is not about a solar eclipse; it is about a Grand Solar Minimum and global cooling. During a Grand Solar Minimum the sun is less active, the Earth is bombarded with cosmic rays, volcanic activity increases, and clouds cover the sky. The sun turning dark is mentioned in Isaiah 13:10, Ezekiel 32:7, Joel 2:10, 2:31, 3:15, Matthew 24:29, and Revelation 6:12. These passages refer to past and future civilizational collapses. The elites expect the next Grand Solar Minimum between 2030–2040, or by 2050 at the latest. That is why they are preparing while keeping you in the dark.

The biblical prophecy about the sun turning dark is not about a solar eclipse; it is about a Grand Solar Minimum and global cooling. During a Grand Solar Minimum the sun is less active, the Earth is bombarded with cosmic rays, volcanic activity increases, and clouds cover the sky. The sun turning dark is mentioned in Isaiah 13:10, Ezekiel 32:7, Joel 2:10, 2:31, 3:15, Matthew 24:29, and Revelation 6:12. These passages refer to past and future civilizational collapses. The elites expect the next Grand Solar Minimum between 2030–2040, or by 2050 at the latest. That is why they are preparing while keeping you in the dark.

Open Minded Approach

793,470 Aufrufe • vor 7 Monaten

The biblical prophecy about the sun turning dark is not about a solar eclipse; it is about a Grand Solar Minimum and global cooling. During a Grand Solar Minimum the sun is less active, the Earth is bombarded with cosmic rays, volcanic activity increases, and clouds cover the sky. The sun turning dark is mentioned in Isaiah 13:10, Ezekiel 32:7, Joel 2:10, 2:31, 3:15, Matthew 24:29, and Revelation 6:12. These passages refer to past and future civilizational collapses. The elites expect the next Grand Solar Minimum between 2030–2040, or by 2050 at the latest. That is why they are preparing while keeping you in the dark.

The biblical prophecy about the sun turning dark is not about a solar eclipse; it is about a Grand Solar Minimum and global cooling. During a Grand Solar Minimum the sun is less active, the Earth is bombarded with cosmic rays, volcanic activity increases, and clouds cover the sky. The sun turning dark is mentioned in Isaiah 13:10, Ezekiel 32:7, Joel 2:10, 2:31, 3:15, Matthew 24:29, and Revelation 6:12. These passages refer to past and future civilizational collapses. The elites expect the next Grand Solar Minimum between 2030–2040, or by 2050 at the latest. That is why they are preparing while keeping you in the dark.

Open Minded Approach

97,028 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

We may have some #aurora fun coming! More than 4 solar storms have been launched in the past few days from Region 4334. Some of them are headed to Earth! Along with the fast solar wind picking up by January 9, we could see a bumpy ride with storm conditions peaking January 11. G1 conditions expected thus far, but another storm just launched so forecasts may be changing rapidly! The first video highlights storms launched since January 6. The second video shows a closeup of Storms 3 and 4, which launched today in the Earth-Strike Zone. More analysis is coming.

We may have some #aurora fun coming! More than 4 solar storms have been launched in the past few days from Region 4334. Some of them are headed to Earth! Along with the fast solar wind picking up by January 9, we could see a bumpy ride with storm conditions peaking January 11. G1 conditions expected thus far, but another storm just launched so forecasts may be changing rapidly! The first video highlights storms launched since January 6. The second video shows a closeup of Storms 3 and 4, which launched today in the Earth-Strike Zone. More analysis is coming.

Dr. Tamitha Skov

15,099 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten

*SEVERE geomagnetic storm possible with U.S. aurora borealis display* *Northern lights possible at mid-latitudes early Sunday morning or Sunday night* *Specifics TBD – map coming later today* On Friday evening Eastern time, a major solar flare occurred from sunspot #4100. A sunspot is a bruise-like discoloration on the sun that throbs and pulsates with energy. Following the solar flare, which is a flash of light and radiation, a significant CME — or coronal mass ejection — was hurled directly toward Earth. Imagine a shockwave of magnetism and high-energy particles rippling through space like an interstellar tsunami. It’s heading for us at speeds around 1,200 miles per second — that’s very fast! We know it’s Earth-directed because our sensors indicate a “full halo” CME. See the solar material appearing to fan out in all directions? That’s an indicator it’s Earth-bound. It’s like if a train is coming right at you — you’d only see the train getting bigger. Once this electromagnetic shockwave reaches Earth, the energy will be absorbed and dissipated by our magnetic field. It will be transformed into visible light — the aurora. Since there’s a LOT of energy, we’ll probably get the aurora borealis (the northern lights) down to the mid latitudes. This could mean parts of the central United States, the Midwest, the Mid-Atlantic and perhaps as far south as northern California. There’s even a chance that parts of the Mid-South could see the aurora IF a direct impact occurs and the orientation of Earth’s magnetic field cooperates. Scientists at the Space Weather Prediction Center in Boulder, Colorado are working to iron that out.

SEVERE geomagnetic storm possible with U.S. aurora borealis display Northern lights possible at mid-latitudes early Sunday morning or Sunday night Specifics TBD – map coming later today On Friday evening Eastern time, a major solar flare occurred from sunspot #4100. A sunspot is a bruise-like discoloration on the sun that throbs and pulsates with energy. Following the solar flare, which is a flash of light and radiation, a significant CME — or coronal mass ejection — was hurled directly toward Earth. Imagine a shockwave of magnetism and high-energy particles rippling through space like an interstellar tsunami. It’s heading for us at speeds around 1,200 miles per second — that’s very fast! We know it’s Earth-directed because our sensors indicate a “full halo” CME. See the solar material appearing to fan out in all directions? That’s an indicator it’s Earth-bound. It’s like if a train is coming right at you — you’d only see the train getting bigger. Once this electromagnetic shockwave reaches Earth, the energy will be absorbed and dissipated by our magnetic field. It will be transformed into visible light — the aurora. Since there’s a LOT of energy, we’ll probably get the aurora borealis (the northern lights) down to the mid latitudes. This could mean parts of the central United States, the Midwest, the Mid-Atlantic and perhaps as far south as northern California. There’s even a chance that parts of the Mid-South could see the aurora IF a direct impact occurs and the orientation of Earth’s magnetic field cooperates. Scientists at the Space Weather Prediction Center in Boulder, Colorado are working to iron that out.

Matthew Cappucci

10,381 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

The Earth's magnetic field protects us not only from solar flares but also from cosmic radiation. When the Sun enters a Grand Solar Minimum, its magnetic field weakens for a long period. This lets more cosmic radiation into the Solar System, and this directly impacts the climate on Earth and increases volcanic activity. The last Little Ice Age occurred during a Grand Solar Minimum. But the coming Grand Solar Minimum is going to hit harder because the Earth's magnetic field is at least 30% weaker and, with the ongoing geomagnetic excursion, is continuing to weaken. This will let in more cosmic radiation, which will directly cause mutations, pandemics, cooling, crop failures, and even crustal displacement. Since the advent of modern technology, we haven't experienced either a Grand Solar Minimum or a geomagnetic excursion, and we are due for both.

The Earth's magnetic field protects us not only from solar flares but also from cosmic radiation. When the Sun enters a Grand Solar Minimum, its magnetic field weakens for a long period. This lets more cosmic radiation into the Solar System, and this directly impacts the climate on Earth and increases volcanic activity. The last Little Ice Age occurred during a Grand Solar Minimum. But the coming Grand Solar Minimum is going to hit harder because the Earth's magnetic field is at least 30% weaker and, with the ongoing geomagnetic excursion, is continuing to weaken. This will let in more cosmic radiation, which will directly cause mutations, pandemics, cooling, crop failures, and even crustal displacement. Since the advent of modern technology, we haven't experienced either a Grand Solar Minimum or a geomagnetic excursion, and we are due for both.

Open Minded Approach

91,365 Aufrufe • vor 13 Tagen

Here is a 3D visualization of the coming solar storm using model parameters from NASA's run, NOAA's run (shown below), and the coronagraph views from STEREO-A/COR2 and SOHO/LASCO. The storm is expected to hit Earth early December 9. The 3D visualization clearly shows the low inclination orientation of the solar slinky core inside the larger storm envelope. Of course, the earlier eruption that erupted to the northeast, might deflect this structure a little bit, but likely that will only make the structure move more towards the ecliptic plane, which will give us a larger chance of crossing through the solar slinky core. One nice thing about low inclination flux rope cores is that they almost ALWAYS have southward field in them at some point. So this is good news for aurora photographers-- as long as this solar storm stays true to its launch trajectory and inclination, we could see some organized southward pointed magnetic field. Considering this solar storm is fast-- that usually indicates the storm will not deviate much from its original launch trajectory! Here is the link to a static frame of the 3D frame visualization so you can fly around it yourself:

Here is a 3D visualization of the coming solar storm using model parameters from NASA's run, NOAA's run (shown below), and the coronagraph views from STEREO-A/COR2 and SOHO/LASCO. The storm is expected to hit Earth early December 9. The 3D visualization clearly shows the low inclination orientation of the solar slinky core inside the larger storm envelope. Of course, the earlier eruption that erupted to the northeast, might deflect this structure a little bit, but likely that will only make the structure move more towards the ecliptic plane, which will give us a larger chance of crossing through the solar slinky core. One nice thing about low inclination flux rope cores is that they almost ALWAYS have southward field in them at some point. So this is good news for aurora photographers-- as long as this solar storm stays true to its launch trajectory and inclination, we could see some organized southward pointed magnetic field. Considering this solar storm is fast-- that usually indicates the storm will not deviate much from its original launch trajectory! Here is the link to a static frame of the 3D frame visualization so you can fly around it yourself:

Dr. Tamitha Skov

18,461 Aufrufe • vor 7 Monaten