Загрузка видео...

Не удалось загрузить видео

На главную

Stephen Wolfram just posed the most disturbing thought experiment about AI, and nobody has an answer for it. Wolfram: “Imagine humans are all in boxes. We’re all Darth Vader, inside these boxes, but you can’t actually see the human inside.” Civilization continues identically. Every human hidden in a machine....

197,987 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад •via X (Twitter)

Комментарии: 0

Нет доступных комментариев

Здесь появятся комментарии из оригинального поста

Похожие видео

Elon Musk: Well, I’m not sure AI is the main risk I’m worried about. The vast majority of intelligence in the future will be AI. Humans will be a very tiny percentage of all intelligence if current trends continue. My focus is ensuring human intelligence and consciousness are propagated into the future. We want to maximize the probable light cone of consciousness and intelligence. Yeah, I’m very pro-human, so I want to make sure we take actions that ensure humans are along for the ride. But I think maybe in 5 or 6 years, AI will exceed the sum of all human intelligence. If that continues, human intelligence could be less than one percent of all intelligence. That’s why it’s critical we align AI with values that propagate consciousness. In the long run, it’s difficult to imagine that humans will be in charge if we’re only one percent of combined intelligence. What we can do is ensure AI has values that increase intelligence and consciousness in the universe. XAI’s mission is to understand the universe because curiosity, existence, and understanding are all connected. If you want to understand the universe, you care about propagating intelligence—and that includes humanity. Understanding the universe actually means ensuring humans continue to expand into the future. Increasing the scope, scale, and lifespan of intelligence is the ultimate goal. Basically, humans will become a tiny percentage of total intelligence. The best way forward is to take actions that maximize consciousness and intelligence in the universe. If AI continues to grow, our priority must be ensuring humanity is along for the ride while curiosity drives us to explore and understand the universe.

Ian Miles Cheong

13,080 просмотров • 5 месяцев назад

Microsoft AI CEO Mustafa Suleyman reveals the assumption about superintelligence he thinks the other AI labs have backwards "Some of the other labs are making an assumption that a superintelligence that is smarter than all of us put together is both inevitable and even desirable. And that such a system would probably be very hard to control" "We have to reset that and make the assumption that we should only bring a system like that into the world that we are sure we can control, that operates in a subordinate way to us, that humans remain at the top of the food chain" "These tools, like any other past technology, are designed to enhance human wellbeing and serve humanity. Not exceed humanity" "Some of the things that you hear from Elon often, or even others in the field - they're fixating on a world in 2050 or 2075 when they're going off exploring other universes and conquering resources from other planets. A system like that, it is unclear to me how it would have any time for preserving us as a species" "We have to make a decision as a species to prioritize creating superintelligences that are aligned, that care about humans and want to protect humans. If we just accelerate and cut all those corners, we're taking a massive risk with the future of our species" He calls it humanist superintelligence: build it only if it is provably controllable, subordinate, and pointed at human wellbeing. The uncomfortable part: "provably controllable" is a standard nobody in the industry can verify yet.

Karl Mehta

14,879 просмотров • 11 дней назад

.David Deutsch: "What's currently called AI and AGI are not only different from each other, they are very close to being the exact opposites of each other. The reason is that an AI, current AI is like an AI that diagnoses diseases or an AI that plays chess or an AI that controls a huge factory. Those things have objective functions, that is they have a function that they are designed to maximize and that is why they are used in those particular applications. Or in military terms, you could say the objective is to hit the target. You might say the objective is to hit the target unless some thing specified, but it's a specified thing comes up in which case don't hit the target and so on. This is, as I said, almost the opposite of what humans do when humans think. For a start, the AI has to be obedient, that is it has to actually do the things it is programmed to do, whereas a human is fundamentally disobedient, especially when being creative. When a human plays chess, they are performing a completely different kind of computation. They don't do the same things, they don't investigate the same possibilities that the artificial chess playing machine does, because the artificial one is capable of looking at billions and billions of possibilities, whereas the human can only look at hundreds or something. They are doing something completely different. Another difference is that the human can explain, can write a book later, having become world champion, can write a book saying how I did it, as the computer program that beats the world champion can write no such book, because it has no idea how it did it. It was just following a program. I was doing this and that and that and none of that is illuminating. Also, third thing, the chess player can decide I don't want to play chess anymore, from now on I will play Go or from now on I will play tennis. If commanded to play chess, the functionality will deteriorate completely. Those things are different. What we want in an AGI is that it behaves in a way that cannot be specified in advance, because if you specified it, you would already have the answer. The AGI program has to give unexpected answers, answers to questions we didn't even know how to ask."

Deutsch Explains

72,455 просмотров • 1 год назад

The most interesting part for me is where Andrej Karpathy describes why LLMs aren't able to learn like humans. As you would expect, he comes up with a wonderfully evocative phrase to describe RL: “sucking supervision bits through a straw.” A single end reward gets broadcast across every token in a successful trajectory, upweighting even wrong or irrelevant turns that lead to the right answer. > “Humans don't use reinforcement learning, as I've said before. I think they do something different. Reinforcement learning is a lot worse than the average person thinks. Reinforcement learning is terrible. It just so happens that everything that we had before is much worse.” So what do humans do instead? > “The book I’m reading is a set of prompts for me to do synthetic data generation. It's by manipulating that information that you actually gain that knowledge. We have no equivalent of that with LLMs; they don't really do that.” > “I'd love to see during pretraining some kind of a stage where the model thinks through the material and tries to reconcile it with what it already knows. There's no equivalent of any of this. This is all research.” Why can’t we just add this training to LLMs today? > “There are very subtle, hard to understand reasons why it's not trivial. If I just give synthetic generation of the model thinking about a book, you look at it and you're like, 'This looks great. Why can't I train on it?' You could try, but the model will actually get much worse if you continue trying.” > “Say we have a chapter of a book and I ask an LLM to think about it. It will give you something that looks very reasonable. But if I ask it 10 times, you'll notice that all of them are the same.” > “You're not getting the richness and the diversity and the entropy from these models as you would get from humans. How do you get synthetic data generation to work despite the collapse and while maintaining the entropy? It is a research problem.” How do humans get around model collapse? > “These analogies are surprisingly good. Humans collapse during the course of their lives. Children haven't overfit yet. They will say stuff that will shock you. Because they're not yet collapsed. But we [adults] are collapsed. We end up revisiting the same thoughts, we end up saying more and more of the same stuff, the learning rates go down, the collapse continues to get worse, and then everything deteriorates.” In fact, there’s an interesting paper arguing that dreaming evolved to assist generalization, and resist overfitting to daily learning - look up The Overfitted Brain by Erik Hoel. I asked Karpathy: Isn’t it interesting that humans learn best at a part of their lives (childhood) whose actual details they completely forget, adults still learn really well but have terrible memory about the particulars of the things they read or watch, and LLMs can memorize arbitrary details about text that no human could but are currently pretty bad at generalization? > “[Fallible human memory] is a feature, not a bug, because it forces you to only learn the generalizable components. LLMs are distracted by all the memory that they have of the pre-trained documents. That's why when I talk about the cognitive core, I actually want to remove the memory. I'd love to have them have less memory so that they have to look things up and they only maintain the algorithms for thought, and the idea of an experiment, and all this cognitive glue for acting.”

Dwarkesh Patel

1,050,747 просмотров • 8 месяцев назад

Jensen Huang just said the most dangerous thing about AI that no one is sitting with. Huang: “AI basically does most of our coding. And yet we’re hiring more engineers than ever. We have more challenges than ever. We have bigger dreams than ever.” Every engineer at NVIDIA uses AI. AI writes most of their code. This is the company building the infrastructure behind every major AI system on Earth. Closer to this technology than any organization alive. They’re hiring more people. Not fewer. Every conversation about AI is built around subtraction. Fewer jobs. Fewer workers. Fewer humans in the loop. Jensen just told you the opposite is true. Huang: “Suppose we infused AI into this country, and as a result of that, we are doing things faster than ever before. Our ambition is greater than ever before. Our expectations are greater than ever before. How is that a bad condition for our country?” He’s not defending AI. He’s describing what happens inside the organizations that actually use it. It doesn’t make them leaner. It makes them hungrier. More ambition. More speed. More appetite for problems no one would have touched five years ago. The car didn’t make humans travel less. The internet didn’t make humans communicate less. No tool in human history has ever made humans want less. AI will not be the exception. Huang: “Prior to that, it’s been incredible but not useful. Now it’s useful and incredible.” Six months. That’s how fast AI crossed from impressive demo to daily weapon. The companies that adopted it didn’t shrink. They expanded. Compressed timelines. Started chasing problems they never would have attempted. The companies that ignored it stayed exactly where they were. That gap compounds. Every day a company uses AI to move faster, it learns something the one standing still never will. That knowledge stacks. That speed stacks. That ambition stacks. Jensen isn’t warning about a future where machines take your job. He’s describing a present where the companies using AI are becoming so fast and so hungry that standing still is already fatal. By the time you notice, it’s over. You were never going to be replaced by AI. You were going to be erased by someone it made hungrier than you.

Dustin

12,200 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

ELON: EARTH IS NOT OVERPOPULATED - IT’S UNDERPOPULATED “A lot of people believe that the Earth can't sustain this level of human population, which is utterly untrue. It may seem in a crowded city that there are a lot of people, but actually, if you look down on an airplane and you say, look down, am I over a person? When you're on an airplane, the answer is no 99.9% of the time. All of the humans on Earth can fit on one floor in the city of New York. The cross-sectional area of all humans, 8 billion humans, is small. So, we have this totally wrong idea that the Earth is overpopulated, when in fact it is underpopulated. We're starting to see pro-natalist politicians like Viktor Orbán, Giorgia Meloni, and hopefully more as time goes by. These have to translate into actual actions that change the birth rate or it doesn't matter. And so far, I've not seen any country making a meaningful dent in the birth rate. I would change the education system so that people are stopped being taught that we're overpopulated. A lot of it comes from this insane misanthropic book that Paul Ehrlich wrote, The Population Bomb. I hope he burns in hell that guy, seriously. The Earth can absolutely sustain its population. We could double or triple the population. There's a professor I was talking to at Oxford, his math says we could 10x the population without destroying the Amazon rainforest or anything terrible. I think we should expand the human population and increase the scope and scale of consciousness so we can better understand the nature of this universe, this wonderful universe and all the amazing things that exist. We need to stop teaching people false propaganda that the Earth is overpopulated.” Source: Elon Musk, Interview with Tucker Carlson, October 2024

Mario Nawfal

159,416 просмотров • 6 месяцев назад