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🚨 STOP AND LOOK AT THIS CHART NOW!! S&P 500 is literally repeating the DOT-COM crash. This is the same pattern from 1999-2000: WEAK VOLUME. NO REAL BUYERS. LOW LIQUIDITY. But the price is grinding higher every day. Remember, every crash starts at the top...

52,008 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten •via X (Twitter)

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🚨 READ THIS POST CAREFULLY BEFORE BUYING STOCKS The 10-year yield is at 5.35%. The dollar is rising. Inflation is still hot. That combo alone doesn't crash markets. Something underneath does. And right now, the warning signs are everywhere: → Private credit: Seven major platforms (Blue Owl, Apollo, Ares, BlackRock, Blackstone) have capped withdrawals. $4.6 billion is trapped. → Auto loan delinquencies just hit 5.5% at 90+ days. Worse than the 2008 peak. → Office CMBS delinquencies at 12.3%. Higher than 2008. → Corporate bankruptcies at 16-year highs. 372 large filings this year. → S&P 500 is being held up by 5-7 names. Every other sector fell in September. → Six banks have already failed this year. The pattern is always the same: Rates stay high → something built on cheap money breaks → the break spreads → by the time the Fed cuts, the damage is done. You can't time the top. But you can prepare: 1. Raise cash gradually. Not all at once. 2. Park it in short-term Treasuries (SHV, BIL, SGOV) at 5%+. 3. Watch the leaders, not the index. When NVDA, AAPL, MSFT break on volume, that's your signal. 4. Avoid zombie companies. Russell 2000 is a third zombies. 5. Own quality. No debt, strong cash flow, pricing power. 6. Don't short the top. You can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent. 7. Write down your plan now. For 10%, 20%, 30% drops. The goal is not to predict the crash. It is to survive it with capital to buy the bottom. For the record, I've called every major turn for the last 10 years, including the exact BTC bottom at $16K, the $111K top in October, and the current pump from $60K 10 days before it started. The next call will be even more important. I will guide you through this liquidity squeeze, and when the real bottom finally forms, I’ll call it here publicly. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

MARMOT

50,049 Aufrufe • vor 28 Tagen