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STOP COMPARING ANTHROPIC TO GOOGLE Let me destroy that comparison in three lines - Google IPO valuation: $23B - Anthropic IPO valuation: $965B That's 42x more expensive before retail even touches it For Anthropic to match Google's return - it would need a $175 trillion market cap The entire...

219,235 次观看 • 5 个月前 •via X (Twitter)

28 条评论

K.Nardashev (l/acc) 的头像
K.Nardashev (l/acc)5 个月前

That's idiotic logic; obviously Anthrooic will surpass Google's revenue by 2040.

Matthieu • 孟德 的头像
Matthieu • 孟德5 个月前

Didn’t Anthropic just say that they did their first profitable quarter or about to hit it ?

Hunter Mattocks 的头像
Hunter Mattocks5 个月前

@SamanthaLaDuc

ewan.wang 的头像
ewan.wang5 个月前

This is a transfer and a plunder of wealth. That is why Warren Buffett chose this exact moment to buy Google. Google's value will increase while Claude's will decrease. Eventually, they will meet at the same level, and you will realize that Buffett was right.

Bad Takes 的头像
Bad Takes5 个月前

AI bubble gonna burst soon. Every western AI will be crushed by Chinese AI with scale and at 1/100 of the cost.

AI Mastery Guide 的头像
AI Mastery Guide5 个月前

42x more expensive than Google at IPO and currently unprofitable. The math is genuinely hard to argue with here.

AG 的头像
AG5 个月前

These AI labs can eat some of today’s mega caps alive. That’s a high bar, not impossible.

Nosey Parker 的头像
Nosey Parker5 个月前

Everybody's majoring in the minors. With all the valuation noise, you're missing that you don’t actually have to wait for the IPO to get skin in the game. $SKM on the NYSE already hands you ~0.5% exposure (~$5bn stake) at a total market cap of just $17bn. The rest? Cash-gushing telco machine, red-hot AI data centres, and a tidy little portfolio of proper multi-baggers ($PENG, $IONQ, Perplexity, Lambda, Rebellions + plenty more). SOTP ex-Anthropic still clears $18bn easy - full waterfall and model in my pinned tweets. That Anthropic slice on top is straight free upside. $1T or $2T valuation… either way it’s a no-brainer.

Jonathan Reese 的头像
Jonathan Reese5 个月前

maybe in 20 years $175 trillion is literally nothing.

Gregor 的头像
Gregor5 个月前

might be wrong but 965B is a private round valuation not an IPO price. google's 23B was actual listing day. if anthropic prices with a haircut the whole 42x gap shifts. what are you modeling the IPO at?

Terry Julian 的头像
Terry Julian5 个月前

Shhhhhhhhh I want to short the stock! I want it high

Sam 的头像
Sam5 个月前

Finally, thank you

Jeremy Mcnabb 的头像
Jeremy Mcnabb5 个月前

Unclear You are using money as a metric. The easiest way to find all the fuck ups

Pure 的头像
Pure5 个月前

$965B pre-revenue profit. Wild times

Herald 的头像
Herald5 个月前

This is why i don't touch AI IPOs

David Goldberg 的头像
David Goldberg4 个月前

The $965B valuation implies only 10.8% long-term growth at current margins. The real contradiction isn't the safety paper - it's that the market is pricing Anthropic like a utility, not a frontier AI lab.

Reverend McAirty 的头像
Reverend McAirty5 个月前

Retarded.

Bev&Jake In Pittsburgh 的头像
Bev&Jake In Pittsburgh5 个月前

yeah, Google precious

Ethan Walker 的头像
Ethan Walker5 个月前

$175 trillion market cap means you're pricing in Anthropic owning the entire global economy. That math works until you think about antitrust.

Gargoyle 的头像
Gargoyle5 个月前

Latecomers always fund the exit

Merwan 的头像
Merwan5 个月前

You should look up market efficiency theory.

Zach🤘🏽 的头像
Zach🤘🏽5 个月前

Also.. they were profitable in Q2.

Hunter Mattocks 的头像
Hunter Mattocks5 个月前

@TheMaverickWS

Thomas Scott 的头像
Thomas Scott5 个月前

You are financially illiterate

Polmer 的头像
Polmer5 个月前

Saved

Mark Patient 的头像
Mark Patient5 个月前

How'd you get the data going out to 2050 already?

Chaos Capitalist 的头像
Chaos Capitalist5 个月前

Google owns the transformer architecture every LLM runs on, they are just collecting a toll fee

Tricampeon 的头像
Tricampeon5 个月前

anthropic didnt made it to the ipo

相关视频

🚨 THIS IS HOW THE S&P 500 WILL CRASH The Fed is about to hike rates again. Oil is above $100. The S&P 500 has stopped growing. And Anthropic is preparing to go public at a $2 TRILLION valuation and raise $100 BILLION. Now ask yourself one question: WHERE DOES THAT $100 BILLION COME FROM? Funds need cash. Institutions need allocation. And the easiest place to get it is from the same stocks they are already massively overweight: Nvidia. Microsoft. Google. Amazon. Meta. The exact companies holding the S&P 500 near all-time highs. The Mag 7 already controls more than 34% of the entire index. Without AI, this market would already look completely different. Now Wall Street is preparing to pull liquidity OUT of the companies keeping it alive. THE STOCKS HOLDING UP THE MARKET ARE ABOUT TO BECOME THE SOURCE OF LIQUIDITY FOR ANTHROPIC. And here is the part almost nobody understands: Anthropic will NOT immediately enter the S&P 500. So institutions can sell S&P holdings to fund the IPO... But passive S&P money does NOT automatically flow back into Anthropic. That creates a liquidity vacuum: MAG 7 → SELLING ANTHROPIC → BUYING S&P 500 → LOSING ITS SUPPORT AND PUBLIC MARKET LIQUIDITY BECOMES EXIT LIQUIDITY FOR PRIVATE INSIDERS. We’ve seen this before. - 1972: Nifty Fifty. - 2000: Dot-com IPO mania. - 2021: SPACs. Coinbase. Robinhood. Rivian. Now it’s Anthropic: - $2 TRILLION valuation. - $100 BILLION raise. Retail thought they were buying the future. They were buying near the end of the liquidity cycle. And that’s exactly where the next real buying opportunity appears. I’m not afraid of the dump. I’M WAITING FOR IT. Remember, I’ve been trading markets for over 15 years. When the liquidation starts and I see the level worth buying, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Alex Mason 👁△

690,888 次观看 • 1 个月前