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STOP COMPARING ANTHROPIC TO GOOGLE Let me destroy that comparison in three lines - Google IPO valuation: $23B - Anthropic IPO valuation: $965B That's 42x more expensive before retail even touches it For Anthropic to match Google's return - it would need a $175 trillion market cap The entire... show more
28 条评论

That's idiotic logic; obviously Anthrooic will surpass Google's revenue by 2040.

Didn’t Anthropic just say that they did their first profitable quarter or about to hit it ?

@SamanthaLaDuc

This is a transfer and a plunder of wealth. That is why Warren Buffett chose this exact moment to buy Google. Google's value will increase while Claude's will decrease. Eventually, they will meet at the same level, and you will realize that Buffett was right.

AI bubble gonna burst soon. Every western AI will be crushed by Chinese AI with scale and at 1/100 of the cost.

42x more expensive than Google at IPO and currently unprofitable. The math is genuinely hard to argue with here.

These AI labs can eat some of today’s mega caps alive. That’s a high bar, not impossible.

Everybody's majoring in the minors. With all the valuation noise, you're missing that you don’t actually have to wait for the IPO to get skin in the game. $SKM on the NYSE already hands you ~0.5% exposure (~$5bn stake) at a total market cap of just $17bn. The rest? Cash-gushing telco machine, red-hot AI data centres, and a tidy little portfolio of proper multi-baggers ($PENG, $IONQ, Perplexity, Lambda, Rebellions + plenty more). SOTP ex-Anthropic still clears $18bn easy - full waterfall and model in my pinned tweets. That Anthropic slice on top is straight free upside. $1T or $2T valuation… either way it’s a no-brainer.

maybe in 20 years $175 trillion is literally nothing.

might be wrong but 965B is a private round valuation not an IPO price. google's 23B was actual listing day. if anthropic prices with a haircut the whole 42x gap shifts. what are you modeling the IPO at?

Shhhhhhhhh I want to short the stock! I want it high

Finally, thank you

Unclear You are using money as a metric. The easiest way to find all the fuck ups

$965B pre-revenue profit. Wild times

This is why i don't touch AI IPOs

The $965B valuation implies only 10.8% long-term growth at current margins. The real contradiction isn't the safety paper - it's that the market is pricing Anthropic like a utility, not a frontier AI lab.

Retarded.

yeah, Google precious

$175 trillion market cap means you're pricing in Anthropic owning the entire global economy. That math works until you think about antitrust.

Latecomers always fund the exit

You should look up market efficiency theory.

Also.. they were profitable in Q2.

@TheMaverickWS

You are financially illiterate

Saved

How'd you get the data going out to 2050 already?

Google owns the transformer architecture every LLM runs on, they are just collecting a toll fee

anthropic didnt made it to the ipo
