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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Striking a country dramatically increases their determination to build a nuclear weapon as a deterrent, and every previous president understood that paradox. Trita Parsi argues the calculus has now shifted toward those inside Iran who want the bomb. "If you were to bomb them, you would maximize the...

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Mario Nawfal

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38,181 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад •via X (Twitter)

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🚨 🇮🇷 WAR AS SANCTIONS RELIEF Expert writer Trita Parsi points out a paradox: the war has actually provided Iran with de facto sanctions relief. Iran is exporting more oil at nearly triple the pre-war price due to the conflict, according to Parsi. Trita argues that because of this, Iran will view significant, formal sanctions relief as a non-negotiable term for peace. Trita Parsi
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🚨 🇮🇷 WAR AS SANCTIONS RELIEF Expert writer Trita Parsi points out a paradox: the war has actually provided Iran with de facto sanctions relief. Iran is exporting more oil at nearly triple the pre-war price due to the conflict, according to Parsi. Trita argues that because of this, Iran will view significant, formal sanctions relief as a non-negotiable term for peace. Trita Parsi

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🚨🇺🇸 🇮🇷 CROSSING THE RUBICON International relations writer Trita Parsi argues a ground invasion would be a "lose-lose" that defines the Trump presidency. Parsi notes that while the U.S. could seize islands, holding them against Iranian missile fire would cost hundreds of American lives. If "body bags" start coming home, Trita warns that Trump’s political base and the economy could completely collapse. Trita Parsi
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🚨🇺🇸 🇮🇷 CROSSING THE RUBICON International relations writer Trita Parsi argues a ground invasion would be a "lose-lose" that defines the Trump presidency. Parsi notes that while the U.S. could seize islands, holding them against Iranian missile fire would cost hundreds of American lives. If "body bags" start coming home, Trita warns that Trump’s political base and the economy could completely collapse. Trita Parsi

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🚨 🇮🇷 THE OIL PRICE INCENTIVE Political analyst Trita Parsi highlights that Trump uses "diplomacy" talk primarily to manipulate and lower global oil prices. Iran won't come to the table until they see a sincere opening for compromise, according to Parsi. Trita Parsi notes that if Trump passes the "Rubicon" of escalation, his incentive for a peace deal will vanish. Trita Parsi
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🚨 🇮🇷 THE OIL PRICE INCENTIVE Political analyst Trita Parsi highlights that Trump uses "diplomacy" talk primarily to manipulate and lower global oil prices. Iran won't come to the table until they see a sincere opening for compromise, according to Parsi. Trita Parsi notes that if Trump passes the "Rubicon" of escalation, his incentive for a peace deal will vanish. Trita Parsi

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Dr. Trita Parsi (Trita Parsi) | Middle East Expert | Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft: The debate inside Iran has shifted dramatically in favor of weaponization - becoming a problem for any deal. The new Supreme Leader has neither reinstated nor rejected the fatwa against nuclear weapons. Previously, majority of Iran's security establishment did not consider nuclear as a strategic asset. That has now dramatically changed. Depending on negotiations, Iran may move toward establishing deterrence short of a nuclear weapon. Or toward nuclear weapons becoming a conceivable & even plausible option.
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Dr. Trita Parsi (Trita Parsi) | Middle East Expert | Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft: The debate inside Iran has shifted dramatically in favor of weaponization - becoming a problem for any deal. The new Supreme Leader has neither reinstated nor rejected the fatwa against nuclear weapons. Previously, majority of Iran's security establishment did not consider nuclear as a strategic asset. That has now dramatically changed. Depending on negotiations, Iran may move toward establishing deterrence short of a nuclear weapon. Or toward nuclear weapons becoming a conceivable & even plausible option.

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TRITA PARSI: There was a segment of the Iranian people that seemed to welcome this conflict because they were just so sick and tired of this theocracy. But those sentiments seem to have shifted very fast as it's become clear to them that this is a war on the country, not a war on the regime. Trita Parsi
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TRITA PARSI: There was a segment of the Iranian people that seemed to welcome this conflict because they were just so sick and tired of this theocracy. But those sentiments seem to have shifted very fast as it's become clear to them that this is a war on the country, not a war on the regime. Trita Parsi

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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷GULF STATES DON’T WANT IRAN DESTROYED Trita Parsi says regional powers are angry at Iran, but also furious at the U.S. and Israel. He says “finishing the job” would create a vengeful Iran next door, making the region far more unstable long term. Trita Parsi
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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷GULF STATES DON’T WANT IRAN DESTROYED Trita Parsi says regional powers are angry at Iran, but also furious at the U.S. and Israel. He says “finishing the job” would create a vengeful Iran next door, making the region far more unstable long term. Trita Parsi

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🚨🇺🇸 🇮🇷 Trump on Iran tonight: They would have used the nuclear bomb 100 percent "We can't let Iran get a nuclear weapon. Everything will be peanuts compared to that. They would use it without hesitation."
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🚨🇺🇸 🇮🇷 Trump on Iran tonight: They would have used the nuclear bomb 100 percent "We can't let Iran get a nuclear weapon. Everything will be peanuts compared to that. They would use it without hesitation."

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🚨🇮🇷 THE IRGC’S STRENGTHENED GRIP Co-founder of the Quincy Institute Trita Parsi explains that Trump’s "regime change" efforts have actually empowered the IRGC. Parsi observes that Israeli strikes have eliminated moderates, replacing them with hawkish figures within the Iranian system. Trita worries that Iran may now overplay its hand by seeking a total military victory that isn't possible. Trita Parsi
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🚨🇮🇷 THE IRGC’S STRENGTHENED GRIP Co-founder of the Quincy Institute Trita Parsi explains that Trump’s "regime change" efforts have actually empowered the IRGC. Parsi observes that Israeli strikes have eliminated moderates, replacing them with hawkish figures within the Iranian system. Trita worries that Iran may now overplay its hand by seeking a total military victory that isn't possible. Trita Parsi

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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇱 There is no version of a successful agreement with Iran that Israel will be happy with. Trita Parsi suggested that Netanyahu would only be able to accept a settlement that does nothing to strengthen Iran, which would never happen at this point. "Any deal that works will lift sanctions, and they will never be happy with that." Trita Parsi
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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇱 There is no version of a successful agreement with Iran that Israel will be happy with. Trita Parsi suggested that Netanyahu would only be able to accept a settlement that does nothing to strengthen Iran, which would never happen at this point. "Any deal that works will lift sanctions, and they will never be happy with that." Trita Parsi

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🚨🇺🇸 🇮🇷 OFF-RAMPS OR ESCALATION? Quincy Institute VP Trita Parsi warns that public diplomacy like the "15-point plan" is likely just for show. Serious negotiations to end this war would happen quietly behind the scenes to allow for real compromise. Parsi notes that if current public posturing is the only "diplomacy" happening, a massive escalation is imminent. Trita Parsi
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🚨🇺🇸 🇮🇷 OFF-RAMPS OR ESCALATION? Quincy Institute VP Trita Parsi warns that public diplomacy like the "15-point plan" is likely just for show. Serious negotiations to end this war would happen quietly behind the scenes to allow for real compromise. Parsi notes that if current public posturing is the only "diplomacy" happening, a massive escalation is imminent. Trita Parsi

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🚨🇺🇸 The biggest obstacle to a deal may be inside the White House. Trita Parsi, Quincy Institute, Iran expert, says Trump himself has overridden agreements supported by his advisers. It's the inconsistent decision-making that's slowing negotiations. Trita Parsi
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🚨🇺🇸 The biggest obstacle to a deal may be inside the White House. Trita Parsi, Quincy Institute, Iran expert, says Trump himself has overridden agreements supported by his advisers. It's the inconsistent decision-making that's slowing negotiations. Trita Parsi

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“Donald Trump has guaranteed that Iran will be a nuclear weapons state in 5 to 10 years from now.” Iranian writer Trita Parsi tells Mehdi Hasan that US bombing of Iran would push Tehran toward developing nuclear weapons. Watch the full conversation:
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“Donald Trump has guaranteed that Iran will be a nuclear weapons state in 5 to 10 years from now.” Iranian writer Trita Parsi tells Mehdi Hasan that US bombing of Iran would push Tehran toward developing nuclear weapons. Watch the full conversation:

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump wants reparations FROM Iran, and says America won't be paying any. Trita Parsi waves it off as Trump being Trump, and predicts compensation eventually flows anyway, just packaged under a different name. His sharper point lands on the war's premise. He cites Israeli reporting of Netanyahu's own cabinet minutes, where the prime minister said Iran would have a bomb in a few years. Not weeks. Years. Trita Parsi & Jonathan Conricus
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🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump wants reparations FROM Iran, and says America won't be paying any. Trita Parsi waves it off as Trump being Trump, and predicts compensation eventually flows anyway, just packaged under a different name. His sharper point lands on the war's premise. He cites Israeli reporting of Netanyahu's own cabinet minutes, where the prime minister said Iran would have a bomb in a few years. Not weeks. Years. Trita Parsi & Jonathan Conricus

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🚨🇮🇷 IRAN HAS A “SUICIDE BUTTON” AND HASN’T PRESSED IT Trita Parsi says mining the Strait of Hormuz would shut everything down, including Iran itself. He says instead, Tehran is playing it smarter, controlling who gets through and using it as leverage without triggering total chaos. Trita Parsi
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🚨🇮🇷 IRAN HAS A “SUICIDE BUTTON” AND HASN’T PRESSED IT Trita Parsi says mining the Strait of Hormuz would shut everything down, including Iran itself. He says instead, Tehran is playing it smarter, controlling who gets through and using it as leverage without triggering total chaos. Trita Parsi

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191,510 просмотров • 6 месяцев назад

Trita Parsi: Trump Can Get This Deal Done If The Focus Remains On Keeping The Iranians From Making A Bomb. If The Focus Goes Off To Missiles Or The Bans Coming From The Israelis Then This Thing Can Very Quickly Go Off Rail And Unfortunately We Will Likely Have A War. Trita Parsi
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Trita Parsi: Trump Can Get This Deal Done If The Focus Remains On Keeping The Iranians From Making A Bomb. If The Focus Goes Off To Missiles Or The Bans Coming From The Israelis Then This Thing Can Very Quickly Go Off Rail And Unfortunately We Will Likely Have A War. Trita Parsi

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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump’s obsession with a "zero-sum" victory is making a durable peace deal in the Middle East almost impossible. Trita Parsi argues that for a negotiation to succeed, both sides need a "win-win" narrative. Trita suggested that while Trump has shown the ability to let rivals like Putin save face, his current approach with Tehran is forcing a cornered regime to choose between total surrender or total war. Trita Parsi
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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump’s obsession with a "zero-sum" victory is making a durable peace deal in the Middle East almost impossible. Trita Parsi argues that for a negotiation to succeed, both sides need a "win-win" narrative. Trita suggested that while Trump has shown the ability to let rivals like Putin save face, his current approach with Tehran is forcing a cornered regime to choose between total surrender or total war. Trita Parsi

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🚨🇦🇪🇮🇱 UAE AND ISRAEL COULD CONTINUE THE WAR WITHOUT THE U.S. Trita Parsi, Middle East geopolitical analyst, says both countries may try to keep fighting if the U.S. exits. He says that would create a much harder and riskier war for them alone. Trita Parsi
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🚨🇦🇪🇮🇱 UAE AND ISRAEL COULD CONTINUE THE WAR WITHOUT THE U.S. Trita Parsi, Middle East geopolitical analyst, says both countries may try to keep fighting if the U.S. exits. He says that would create a much harder and riskier war for them alone. Trita Parsi

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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Iran quietly redrew the map of the Strait of Hormuz, stretching its claimed supervision zone to include Fujairah, right as nuclear talks heat up. Trita Parsi argued that's a major pressure tactic. "Either that mechanism or the Iranians are going to expand their definition of what actually constitutes the Strait of Hormuz." Chips are worthless unless you cash them in, and moves like this make cashing them in nearly impossible. Trita Parsi
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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Iran quietly redrew the map of the Strait of Hormuz, stretching its claimed supervision zone to include Fujairah, right as nuclear talks heat up. Trita Parsi argued that's a major pressure tactic. "Either that mechanism or the Iranians are going to expand their definition of what actually constitutes the Strait of Hormuz." Chips are worthless unless you cash them in, and moves like this make cashing them in nearly impossible. Trita Parsi

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🚨🇮🇷 IRAN CAN STILL HIT BACK HARD Trita Parsi says despite heavy losses, Iran still has a dangerous stockpile of missiles and launchers. He says Tehran is built to absorb the damage and keep fighting because for them, this war is existential. Trita Parsi
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🚨🇮🇷 IRAN CAN STILL HIT BACK HARD Trita Parsi says despite heavy losses, Iran still has a dangerous stockpile of missiles and launchers. He says Tehran is built to absorb the damage and keep fighting because for them, this war is existential. Trita Parsi

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