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Strong, drillbit tornado in Suiling, Heilongjiang Province yesterday, some horizontal vortex can be noticed near ground. High LCL+sufficient CAPE+highly sheared environment=Arnett-esque tor. Please ignore the disgusting filter added by locals.

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Eric1101

4,168 subscribers

14,168 просмотров • 1 год назад •via X (Twitter)

Наука и технологииОбразованиеПутешествия
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Комментарии: 6

Фото профиля DeAndreWx
DeAndreWx1 год назад

LMAO! This filter is perfect

Фото профиля oishWX
oishWX1 год назад

ive never seen such a thin tornado with a horizontal vortex

Фото профиля Alex Resel 📸
Alex Resel 📸1 год назад

Happy 4th of July from Mother Nature!

Фото профиля Paige Berdomas🌪
Paige Berdomas🌪1 год назад

Have you been seeing our epic proposal in front of the South Dakota tornado everywhere? Well, sadly most of these large accounts on all social platforms have been using it without our permission for their own personal clicks and views which make them money on these platforms. How can you help? Our own personal YouTube video will be live at 7pm tonight. We appreciate your views in advance ❤️

Фото профиля Paige Vincent 💃 Red Dress Series
Paige Vincent 💃 Red Dress Series1 год назад

More SD magic

Фото профиля Gabe Garfield
Gabe Garfield1 год назад

Happy Independence Day, y’all! 🇺🇸 Happy to live in the best storm chasing country in the world!

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Doris Yin 东方紫莲🪷

17,090 просмотров • 1 год назад

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S2 Underground

10,854 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад

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Tulum Peyniri is a Turkish mountain cheese that is matured in a goat skin. Traditionally, local farmers make this cheese using raw cow or sheep milk. In more modern times, you might find versions that are made with pasteurised cow, goat or sheep milk... Tulum Peyniri is a very unusual type of cheese that is gaining popularity in the culinary world. It is a traditional cheese that has been produced for centuries in Turkey. This unique cheese has a distinctive flavour and texture that has been enjoyed by locals and tourists alike. Tulum Peyniri originated in Turkey, specifically in the province of Erzincan. It is believed that the cheese has been produced in this region for over a thousand years. Locals use either cow, goat or sheep milk to make this cheese and age it in goat skin bags called tulum. Actually, this Turkish cheese has a rich history that dates back to the Ottoman Empire. It was a popular cheese among the Ottoman aristocracy and was often served at royal banquets. Over time, the cheese became more widely available and was enjoyed by people from all walks of life. Presently, Tulum Peyniri is primarily produced in the province of Erzincan, which is located in eastern Turkey. The region is known for its rugged terrain and harsh climate, which makes it ideal for sheep farming. The sheep in this region graze on wild herbs and grasses, which gives the milk a unique flavour. Today, there are many small-scale producers in Turkey. Some of the most well-known producers include Hacı Dayı, Çağlayanlar and Özcanlar. Traditionally, the locals used raw cow or sheep milk. But in more modern times, you might find versions that are made with pasteurised cow, goat or sheep milk. And that are aged in metal tins instead of animal hide. After fermenting the fresh milk, the cheesemaker strains it through a cheese cloth to separate the whey from the curds. Afterwards, they rest the young cheese for one night before transferring it to a copper vessel. At this stage, they crumble the cheese and add dry salt. It is then pressed and allowed to drain for a further 10 days. And this is when the magic begins. The formed young cheese is moved into a goat skin that has been specially cleaned and treated. It is pressed into the skin, filling it compactly. And the opening of the skin is then sewn shut. Maturation takes place at high altitudes and humidity. And can last for up to three months. At this age, Tulum develops a beautiful crumbly texture and a delicious complex flavour. Tulum Peyniri has a sharp, tangy flavour that is similar to Feta. However, it has a crumbly texture and is quite dry compared to other types of cheese. Moreover, this cheese has a strong aroma that is earthy and slightly sour. Undoubtedly, this is a very versatile cheese that pairs well with many different foods. Locals often serve it as part of a meze platter alongside olives, tomatoes and other Mediterranean-style dishes. Tulum excels as a table cheese but can also be used in cooking. Some great recipes showcasing this cheese include börek, pides and pesto sauce. Furthermore, it also pairs well with roasted vegetables, grilled meats and salads. 🎥 : Credit to the Owner #archaeohistories

Archaeo - Histories

99,207 просмотров • 1 год назад

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numerous NPC prefabs, reducing memory footprint and instantiation costs • Optimized Ambient Occlusion Rendering • Extended GPU culling usage for more cases • Configured and optimized pooling for more prefab instantiations reducing CPU spikes ⚔️ Gameplay Systems: • Added new Respec System! ⚬ Players can now Respec by examining the statue in the Cerim Crucible Atrium ⚬ Respec allows players to take back Attribute Points that have been allocated at the cost of 1 Fallen Ember per Attribute Point returned ⚬ Players can then allocate returned Attribute Points for no cost at the Respec screen or in the existing Stats screen ⚔️ Quality of Life: • All weapons can now be equipped regardless of their Attribute Requirements to allow players to try out weapons they acquire ⚬ Weapons that the player does not meet the requirements for will deal less damage through negative scaling on the Attributes that are below the weapon’s Attribute Requirements • Inventory Items can now be docked to compare them ⚬ Press F (Keyboard) or Y (Controller) to dock items and hover other items to compare • Brought back the Misc category to the Inventory ⚬ Housing items, Runes, Fallen Embers and other miscellaneous items will now be sorted into this category and free up space from other categories • Vendor screens are now sorted by item type so that items are more organized for purchase • Improved Stamina player HUD brightness for better visibility, and readability of stamina debt • Added side notifications for when Danos Sacrament Upgrades are completed • Added Floor Indicators under the Clock HUD to show the Cerim Crucible floors • Improved visibility of LB/RB button icons for Equipment HUD on Steam Deck ⚔️ Settings: • Added support for Upscaling with DLSS 3.7 and FSR 2.2 • Added custom key rebinding options for Controller • Added support for Mouse Buttons 4,5 and F1-F12 Keys for custom Keyboard bindings • Default Keyboard layout set to Mouse+WASD • Added support for worldspace Player HUD (Stamina wheel, NPC name tags, etc) brightness to UI Brightness setting ⚔️ Content Additions: • Added a new set of enchantments • All Throw runes can now be added to Spears ⚔️ Loot: • Added Pig Sticker Blueprint to Fillmore's Level 1 Shop • Added Assegai Blueprint to Whittacker's Level 1 Shop ⚔️ Balance: • Nerfed Throw runes ⚬ Reduced Poise Damage on all Throw runes ⚬ Reduced Damage on Ice Throw Rune • Nerfed Focus Regeneration enchant curve so that it no longer generates too much Focus too quickly • Focus Regeneration enchantment no longer drops with Gloves and now only drops with Helmets • This includes enchanting items at Eleanor • Falling Sky and Woodland Protector’s initial item levels were set too high and have been lowered to the intended levels ⚔️ Weapons: • Updated animation for backstabbing with Staves, Spears, Greatswords and Great Hammers • Updated visual effects for Piercing type weapon attacks (such as Spear or Rapier) ⚔️ Enemies and Bosses: • Polished Darak boss fight ⚬ Improved behavior to prevent him standing idle after attacking ⚬ Improved behavior when fighting ranged builds • Added Bite Attack to Plague Rat • Added Back Attack to Risen Axe Bruiser • Added escape logic to Risen Fire Bomber • Added Elemental Affix visual effects to Nith Brute, Nith Screamer and Shackled Brute • Adding cloth simulation to Boarskin Bruiser • Polished rigging on Plagued Boomer • Reduced camera shake intensity on Risen Hammer Bruiser, Boarskin Bruiser and Riven Twins • Smaller enemies can now smash breakable objects (barrels, crates, etc.) ⚔️ NPCs: • Changed the name of the worried woman in the Sacrament Town Square to Nell • Polishing dialog for Druo, Lucian and Everwyn • Updated the dialog for NPCs at the Cerim Gate in Nameless Pass • Added eavesdrop to Sleeping Guard Gerard in Sacrament ⚔️ Areas: • Improved collision, faders and set dressing in Prologue Ship, Orban Glades, Mariner’s Keep, Nameless Pass, Sacrament, Multiple Sacrament Interiors, Cerim Crucible, Cerim Cave, Riven Twins Boss Arena and Potion Seller Cave • Polished lighting for the ship in Prologue, Sacrament and Cerim Crucible • Updated foliage in various locations • Added physics and wind simulation to Spruce trees ⚔️ Cinematics: • Polished animations for characters in the Inquisition Arrival cinematic • Improved lighting, character rim lighting and volumetrics for the Prologue Ship Crash Outro and Inquisition Arrival cinematics • Removed a background character who was blocking part of the view in the Inquisition Arrival cinematic • Fixed cloth and camera pops in the Inquisition Arrival cinematic ⚔️ Audio: • Environment update for Sacrament: ⚬ Added Ambience Emitters for certain Residential and Vendor buildings like the Cook, Tavern, Woodcrafter and Enchantress ⚬ Updated zone beds and oneshots for unique parts of town (Cemetery, Poor Area,Training Grounds, Dasha Sanctuary) ⚬ The church near the cemetery now has bells ringing to service playing at certain times of day, followed by churchgoers praying and chanting from behind the doors. ⚬ Updated ambience for Sacrament Town Square to feel busier during the day ⚬ Updated environment audio for the Cerim Gate zone in Mountain Pass • Increased audio buffer to help alleviate audio crackle artifacts • Increased available audio resources to help prevent sounds from dropping out during long play sessions • Updated audio for Cerim Vision cinematic • Updated audio mix for Barrel and Crate destruction • Saluting Guards in Sacrament now have sound • Added Weapon-specific Impacts on parrying and blocking actions • Added ladder sliding sound effects for Kickdown Ladders • Added sound effects for going down Ladders • Added new sound effects for Plague-Enchanted weapons • Polished audio for Bounties enemies • Fixed missing sounds for Plagued Mutant Soldier • Fixed rain sounds appearing in Sacrament Interiors • Fixed enchantment-specific weapon whooshes cutting a bit too early • Fixed NPCs not making footstep sounds when walking around • Fixed environment states sometimes not resetting when returning to the main menu ⚔️ VFX: • Blood effects are now juicier and used more often! • Improved blood visual effects attachment to characters bodies from attacking and getting hit • Increased intensity of shiny item drop VFX ⚔️ Bounties and Challenges: • Updated Crustacean Conundrum bounty to spawn 14 Crabs while still only requiring 8 Crabs be killed to complete ⚔️ Localization: • Added and updated localized text in many places across multiple languages • Added localization support for new Controller Remapping screen and for various missing localized elements • Fixed incorrect font on the Activities screen ⚔️ Bug Fixes: • Fixed various enchantments on unique weapons and rings that weren’t working properly • Fixed Rested Bonuses for sleeping in beds • Fixed Key Items respawning after pick up • Fixed navigation in Nameless Pass which was preventing certain enemies and the Riven Twins boss from patrolling and moving to the player • Fixed Echo Knight falling off the arena and blocking progress • Fixed Cerim Armor missing upgrades at Filmore • Fixed Risen Pavise, Eye of the Beholder and Wooden Howler Shields not showing their proper models • Fixed SHIFT key not being recognized in the Main Menu • Fixed certain environment textures overriding certain armor textures • Fixed certain armor having missing or incorrect cloth simulation • Fixed rigging on certain armor • Fixed The Wallow boss attacks not having sound effects • Fixed Falling Sky Blueprint not giving the Unique version of the weapon when crafting • Fixed an issue where completed but not yet turned in bounty/challenge rewards were being automatically given to the player at reset • Fixed wall cannons not firing in Cerim Crucible • Fixed XP UI not showing “Max Level” after reaching the level cap • Fixed Level and XP UI being present without a Character selected in the Main Menu • Fixed “Long Area Name” appearing on the map where map is unavailable (such as Cerim Crucible) • Fixed being able to skip through locked doors in The Shallows • Fixed players getting stuck at the end of the entrance corridor in the Echo Knight Arena • Fixed Enchant Item Challenge counting enchanted items that are picked up • Fixed mortuary guard popping in on screen during Spoken and Unspoken quest • Fixed extra Elsa map marker during the Spoken and Unspoken quest • Fixed Giles and Petra standing instead of sitting on the chairs in Caroline’s Inn • Fixed Arrows not hitting Plagued Wolf • Fixed Wolf and Plagued Wolf target point • Fixed Tanth Knight getting stuck during patrolling in Mariner’s Keep at Endgame state • Fixed Darak leaving his shield in Orban Glades when he escapes • Fixed chest opening VFX in Performance and Balanced quality presets • Fixed Wolf having a dance party after death • Fixed Chest floating in the air in Mariner’s Keep • Fixed incorrect texture on the Crafting Table • Fixed 4096x2160 resolution appearing as 256x135 aspect ratio, instead displays as 1.9:1 • Fixed overblown bonfire lighting at The Shallows • Removed rogue rim light at The Shallows • Removed lighting debug shortcut See the full patch notes here -
1:30

🛠️ Patch Notes - Early Access Patch 2 We are incredibly excited to be releasing our largest patch yet, marking the One Month Anniversary of our Steam Early Access Launch! Patch 2 is chock full of highly requested features such as Weapon Tryout, the ability to Respec, DLSS / FSR Upscaling and Controller Remapping. Lots of Balancing and Quality of Life improvements, Audio, Animation, and Visual Effect polish as well as a multitude of bug fixes are also included! Between DLSS and FSR, numerous CPU, GPU performance improvements, and memory optimization we are confident that your experience of playing No Rest For The Wicked will be significantly smoother across a wide range of hardware. For NVIDIA users, we are excited to mention that there’s a new Game Ready Driver for No Rest for the Wicked! Be sure to check out our Patch 2 Highlight Video and the full patch notes below. ⚔️ Performance: • Performance Mode now lowers texture resolution, reducing crashes on lower-end machines • Numerous Significant CPU optimizations • Fixed performance degradation that might occur on some gamepads • Fixed numerous memory leaks • Reduced instantiation spikes for numerous objects • Disabled detail meshes on generic humanoids faces when not needed • Reduced latency, overhead and improved stability of GPU Culling • Optimized texture resolution and memory budgets for Steam Deck • Optimized Art content in Ship Prologue and its cinematics • Removed unused weapon assets to free up memory • Removed leftover developer tools to free up memory • Optimized CPU spikes of a variety of common content loading operations • Added texture streaming for character portraits during dialogue interactions to save memory • Fixed some persistent log spam being generated by potatoes in Nameless Pass • Cleaned up numerous NPC prefabs, reducing memory footprint and instantiation costs • Optimized Ambient Occlusion Rendering • Extended GPU culling usage for more cases • Configured and optimized pooling for more prefab instantiations reducing CPU spikes ⚔️ Gameplay Systems: • Added new Respec System! ⚬ Players can now Respec by examining the statue in the Cerim Crucible Atrium ⚬ Respec allows players to take back Attribute Points that have been allocated at the cost of 1 Fallen Ember per Attribute Point returned ⚬ Players can then allocate returned Attribute Points for no cost at the Respec screen or in the existing Stats screen ⚔️ Quality of Life: • All weapons can now be equipped regardless of their Attribute Requirements to allow players to try out weapons they acquire ⚬ Weapons that the player does not meet the requirements for will deal less damage through negative scaling on the Attributes that are below the weapon’s Attribute Requirements • Inventory Items can now be docked to compare them ⚬ Press F (Keyboard) or Y (Controller) to dock items and hover other items to compare • Brought back the Misc category to the Inventory ⚬ Housing items, Runes, Fallen Embers and other miscellaneous items will now be sorted into this category and free up space from other categories • Vendor screens are now sorted by item type so that items are more organized for purchase • Improved Stamina player HUD brightness for better visibility, and readability of stamina debt • Added side notifications for when Danos Sacrament Upgrades are completed • Added Floor Indicators under the Clock HUD to show the Cerim Crucible floors • Improved visibility of LB/RB button icons for Equipment HUD on Steam Deck ⚔️ Settings: • Added support for Upscaling with DLSS 3.7 and FSR 2.2 • Added custom key rebinding options for Controller • Added support for Mouse Buttons 4,5 and F1-F12 Keys for custom Keyboard bindings • Default Keyboard layout set to Mouse+WASD • Added support for worldspace Player HUD (Stamina wheel, NPC name tags, etc) brightness to UI Brightness setting ⚔️ Content Additions: • Added a new set of enchantments • All Throw runes can now be added to Spears ⚔️ Loot: • Added Pig Sticker Blueprint to Fillmore's Level 1 Shop • Added Assegai Blueprint to Whittacker's Level 1 Shop ⚔️ Balance: • Nerfed Throw runes ⚬ Reduced Poise Damage on all Throw runes ⚬ Reduced Damage on Ice Throw Rune • Nerfed Focus Regeneration enchant curve so that it no longer generates too much Focus too quickly • Focus Regeneration enchantment no longer drops with Gloves and now only drops with Helmets • This includes enchanting items at Eleanor • Falling Sky and Woodland Protector’s initial item levels were set too high and have been lowered to the intended levels ⚔️ Weapons: • Updated animation for backstabbing with Staves, Spears, Greatswords and Great Hammers • Updated visual effects for Piercing type weapon attacks (such as Spear or Rapier) ⚔️ Enemies and Bosses: • Polished Darak boss fight ⚬ Improved behavior to prevent him standing idle after attacking ⚬ Improved behavior when fighting ranged builds • Added Bite Attack to Plague Rat • Added Back Attack to Risen Axe Bruiser • Added escape logic to Risen Fire Bomber • Added Elemental Affix visual effects to Nith Brute, Nith Screamer and Shackled Brute • Adding cloth simulation to Boarskin Bruiser • Polished rigging on Plagued Boomer • Reduced camera shake intensity on Risen Hammer Bruiser, Boarskin Bruiser and Riven Twins • Smaller enemies can now smash breakable objects (barrels, crates, etc.) ⚔️ NPCs: • Changed the name of the worried woman in the Sacrament Town Square to Nell • Polishing dialog for Druo, Lucian and Everwyn • Updated the dialog for NPCs at the Cerim Gate in Nameless Pass • Added eavesdrop to Sleeping Guard Gerard in Sacrament ⚔️ Areas: • Improved collision, faders and set dressing in Prologue Ship, Orban Glades, Mariner’s Keep, Nameless Pass, Sacrament, Multiple Sacrament Interiors, Cerim Crucible, Cerim Cave, Riven Twins Boss Arena and Potion Seller Cave • Polished lighting for the ship in Prologue, Sacrament and Cerim Crucible • Updated foliage in various locations • Added physics and wind simulation to Spruce trees ⚔️ Cinematics: • Polished animations for characters in the Inquisition Arrival cinematic • Improved lighting, character rim lighting and volumetrics for the Prologue Ship Crash Outro and Inquisition Arrival cinematics • Removed a background character who was blocking part of the view in the Inquisition Arrival cinematic • Fixed cloth and camera pops in the Inquisition Arrival cinematic ⚔️ Audio: • Environment update for Sacrament: ⚬ Added Ambience Emitters for certain Residential and Vendor buildings like the Cook, Tavern, Woodcrafter and Enchantress ⚬ Updated zone beds and oneshots for unique parts of town (Cemetery, Poor Area,Training Grounds, Dasha Sanctuary) ⚬ The church near the cemetery now has bells ringing to service playing at certain times of day, followed by churchgoers praying and chanting from behind the doors. ⚬ Updated ambience for Sacrament Town Square to feel busier during the day ⚬ Updated environment audio for the Cerim Gate zone in Mountain Pass • Increased audio buffer to help alleviate audio crackle artifacts • Increased available audio resources to help prevent sounds from dropping out during long play sessions • Updated audio for Cerim Vision cinematic • Updated audio mix for Barrel and Crate destruction • Saluting Guards in Sacrament now have sound • Added Weapon-specific Impacts on parrying and blocking actions • Added ladder sliding sound effects for Kickdown Ladders • Added sound effects for going down Ladders • Added new sound effects for Plague-Enchanted weapons • Polished audio for Bounties enemies • Fixed missing sounds for Plagued Mutant Soldier • Fixed rain sounds appearing in Sacrament Interiors • Fixed enchantment-specific weapon whooshes cutting a bit too early • Fixed NPCs not making footstep sounds when walking around • Fixed environment states sometimes not resetting when returning to the main menu ⚔️ VFX: • Blood effects are now juicier and used more often! • Improved blood visual effects attachment to characters bodies from attacking and getting hit • Increased intensity of shiny item drop VFX ⚔️ Bounties and Challenges: • Updated Crustacean Conundrum bounty to spawn 14 Crabs while still only requiring 8 Crabs be killed to complete ⚔️ Localization: • Added and updated localized text in many places across multiple languages • Added localization support for new Controller Remapping screen and for various missing localized elements • Fixed incorrect font on the Activities screen ⚔️ Bug Fixes: • Fixed various enchantments on unique weapons and rings that weren’t working properly • Fixed Rested Bonuses for sleeping in beds • Fixed Key Items respawning after pick up • Fixed navigation in Nameless Pass which was preventing certain enemies and the Riven Twins boss from patrolling and moving to the player • Fixed Echo Knight falling off the arena and blocking progress • Fixed Cerim Armor missing upgrades at Filmore • Fixed Risen Pavise, Eye of the Beholder and Wooden Howler Shields not showing their proper models • Fixed SHIFT key not being recognized in the Main Menu • Fixed certain environment textures overriding certain armor textures • Fixed certain armor having missing or incorrect cloth simulation • Fixed rigging on certain armor • Fixed The Wallow boss attacks not having sound effects • Fixed Falling Sky Blueprint not giving the Unique version of the weapon when crafting • Fixed an issue where completed but not yet turned in bounty/challenge rewards were being automatically given to the player at reset • Fixed wall cannons not firing in Cerim Crucible • Fixed XP UI not showing “Max Level” after reaching the level cap • Fixed Level and XP UI being present without a Character selected in the Main Menu • Fixed “Long Area Name” appearing on the map where map is unavailable (such as Cerim Crucible) • Fixed being able to skip through locked doors in The Shallows • Fixed players getting stuck at the end of the entrance corridor in the Echo Knight Arena • Fixed Enchant Item Challenge counting enchanted items that are picked up • Fixed mortuary guard popping in on screen during Spoken and Unspoken quest • Fixed extra Elsa map marker during the Spoken and Unspoken quest • Fixed Giles and Petra standing instead of sitting on the chairs in Caroline’s Inn • Fixed Arrows not hitting Plagued Wolf • Fixed Wolf and Plagued Wolf target point • Fixed Tanth Knight getting stuck during patrolling in Mariner’s Keep at Endgame state • Fixed Darak leaving his shield in Orban Glades when he escapes • Fixed chest opening VFX in Performance and Balanced quality presets • Fixed Wolf having a dance party after death • Fixed Chest floating in the air in Mariner’s Keep • Fixed incorrect texture on the Crafting Table • Fixed 4096x2160 resolution appearing as 256x135 aspect ratio, instead displays as 1.9:1 • Fixed overblown bonfire lighting at The Shallows • Removed rogue rim light at The Shallows • Removed lighting debug shortcut See the full patch notes here -

No Rest for the Wicked

184,300 просмотров • 2 лет назад

RHP Coleman Crow Acquired: 28th round selection by the Angels in 2019 draft, eventually traded to the Brewers from the Mets in exchange for Adrian Hauser & Tyrone Taylor Measurables: 6’0”, 175 lbs, 23 years old Cliff Notes: Crow has been dealt twice now in trades for proven MLB talent. Never pitching in the Mets’ system due to a Tommy John surgery, he saw some success in the Angel’s system. Pitching at AA in 2022 and starting there again in 2023, Crow posted a 4.38 ERA across 152 innings (28 games). His 24.8% strikeout rate and 6.4% walk rate in AA reflect his strengths well. He pounds the strike zone and controls his pitches. Crow has a low-90’s 4-seamer that he releases from his low slot. From that same slot, he throws his best offering - a horizontal sweeping, vertical dropping, high-spin curveball that sits below 80-mph. Additionally, Crow throws a mid-80’s slider with horizontal sweep and rarely throws his fading change-up. Crow’s ability to sneaky release and ability to control sets him up to one day be able to fill out a rotation or be a long reliever. Crow was a 28th rounder in the 2019 draft, but was paid an approximately 5th round slot bonus that the Angels dumped on him. With the 2020 season lost to COVID, Crow debuted in 2020 getting his feet wet at Single A and the Arizona Fall League. He followed that up with a strong 2022 performance in AA Rocket City and continued there to start 2023, prior to an elbow injury. In AA, he had a low 4’s ERA, as noted above. Averaging over a strikeout per inning, he averaged just over two walks per game. Opponents hit Crow with about a .240 opponent batting average, leading to a 1.204 WHIP. Nearly 50% of contact induced was a ground ball with under 20% being line drives. So far in his career, Crow has done a good job eluding hard contact. Crow throws a fastball that sits low-90’s with a flat approach that fools hitters in the top of the zone. His curve sits below 80-mph and posted elite spin and movement in AA (notably with a tacked ball). The curve has vertical dive, but more importantly elite horizontal sweep across the plate. He throws a faster, mid-80’s slider that also has nearly a foot of sweep. His fourth, and sparsely used, offering is a change-up that tails arm side. Crow throws a strike nearly three quarters of his offerings with solid command, which allows him to miss barrels. Shut down from an inflamed elbow since April ‘23, he underwent Tommy John surgery in summer of 2023. His return from Tommy John will be worth a watch. Hopefully he maintains his command and progress made to this point in his career so that he can resume his career path. Crow was on a path to the Big Leagues as a possible back-end starter or long reliever, so stay tuned for his return to the mound. Profile by Cole Roepke
1:24

RHP Coleman Crow Acquired: 28th round selection by the Angels in 2019 draft, eventually traded to the Brewers from the Mets in exchange for Adrian Hauser & Tyrone Taylor Measurables: 6’0”, 175 lbs, 23 years old Cliff Notes: Crow has been dealt twice now in trades for proven MLB talent. Never pitching in the Mets’ system due to a Tommy John surgery, he saw some success in the Angel’s system. Pitching at AA in 2022 and starting there again in 2023, Crow posted a 4.38 ERA across 152 innings (28 games). His 24.8% strikeout rate and 6.4% walk rate in AA reflect his strengths well. He pounds the strike zone and controls his pitches. Crow has a low-90’s 4-seamer that he releases from his low slot. From that same slot, he throws his best offering - a horizontal sweeping, vertical dropping, high-spin curveball that sits below 80-mph. Additionally, Crow throws a mid-80’s slider with horizontal sweep and rarely throws his fading change-up. Crow’s ability to sneaky release and ability to control sets him up to one day be able to fill out a rotation or be a long reliever. Crow was a 28th rounder in the 2019 draft, but was paid an approximately 5th round slot bonus that the Angels dumped on him. With the 2020 season lost to COVID, Crow debuted in 2020 getting his feet wet at Single A and the Arizona Fall League. He followed that up with a strong 2022 performance in AA Rocket City and continued there to start 2023, prior to an elbow injury. In AA, he had a low 4’s ERA, as noted above. Averaging over a strikeout per inning, he averaged just over two walks per game. Opponents hit Crow with about a .240 opponent batting average, leading to a 1.204 WHIP. Nearly 50% of contact induced was a ground ball with under 20% being line drives. So far in his career, Crow has done a good job eluding hard contact. Crow throws a fastball that sits low-90’s with a flat approach that fools hitters in the top of the zone. His curve sits below 80-mph and posted elite spin and movement in AA (notably with a tacked ball). The curve has vertical dive, but more importantly elite horizontal sweep across the plate. He throws a faster, mid-80’s slider that also has nearly a foot of sweep. His fourth, and sparsely used, offering is a change-up that tails arm side. Crow throws a strike nearly three quarters of his offerings with solid command, which allows him to miss barrels. Shut down from an inflamed elbow since April ‘23, he underwent Tommy John surgery in summer of 2023. His return from Tommy John will be worth a watch. Hopefully he maintains his command and progress made to this point in his career so that he can resume his career path. Crow was on a path to the Big Leagues as a possible back-end starter or long reliever, so stay tuned for his return to the mound. Profile by Cole Roepke

The Brew Crew Scoop

19,909 просмотров • 2 лет назад

//The Wire//2300Z August 27, 2025// //ROUTINE// //BLUF: TWO MASS SHOOTINGS STRIKE MINNEAPOLIS. CONCERNS WITHIN TRUCKING COMMUNITY GROW AS FOCUS ON TRAFFIC INCIDENTS INCREASES.// -----BEGIN TEARLINE----- -HomeFront- Arkansas: A truck driver was arrested after driving the wrong way across the Memphis-Arkansas Bridge yesterday, causing a large traffic disruption. Traffic was halted for some time as the driver was detained and his semi-truck removed from the roadway. Analyst Comment: This case is interesting as this was very likely an intentional act. The driver, who was driving for Raj Transport, had to be forcibly removed from the truck's cab at gunpoint by police. There is also a bit of confusion regarding this case, as multiple individuals have been arrested under similar circumstances, with nearly the same name, over the past few weeks. Two weeks ago, another Indian driver was arrested in the same area. The driver's booking details revealed his name to be Harvinder Singh, not to be confused with the Harjinder Singh who caused the deaths of three people in Florida two weeks ago. In this case, the Arkansas Singh was highly intoxicated at the time of his arrest, with a BAC of 0.15%. So far, the wrong-way driver from yesterday has not been identified. As a brief summary, the following is a description of recent events which may be confusing due to the similarity of the names of those involved, and the circumstances of each incident: Harjinder Singh: Arrested on August 18th in California after causing the deaths of three on the Florida Turnpike. Harneet Singh: Passenger in Harjinder Singh's truck (and also his brother). Arrested on August 21st by ICE for being in the US illegally. Navjeet Singh: Arrested in Canada on August 22nd, after remaining a fugitive almost 9 months after causing a fatal crash in Manitoba. Harvinder Singh: Arrested on August 14th on I-40 near West Memphis for drunk driving. Unknown Raj Transport Driver: Arrested on August 26th after driving the wrong way on the Interstate 55 Bridge near West Memphis. Minnesota: Two mass shootings have been reported in Minneapolis over the past 24 hours. Yesterday a drive-by shooting was reported in the vicinity of Cristo Rey Jesuit High School on 4th Avenue. 1x person was killed and 6x others wounded during the attack. The suspect has not been identified and remains at large. This morning, a separate mass shooting was reported at the Annunciation Church on W 54th Street. One gunman targeted the Church during the all-school morning Mass for the Catholic School co-located with the Church. Local authorities report a total of 2x children killed, and 17x others wounded during the engagement. The suspect has been identified as Robin Westman (formerly Robert Westman), who was reported deceased at the scene. -----END TEARLINE----- Analyst Comments: At the moment, all evidence points to this Church shooting not being a random act, but a deliberate and targeted act of terrorism. A manifesto created by the murderer was posted online shortly before the attack, which (along with other content) confirms the shooter was a mentally ill transgender man who attacked his old Church. It is usually best to wait a few days for information to settle down after a major shooting. However in this case it is important to be aware that while the crime scene was still active, gun control activists were observed demonstrating at the scene, harassing parents who were trying to pick up their children from the school after the shooting. Horrific murder scenes are already a nightmare to manage...staging areas have to be established for reuniting families, media has to be kept from contaminating the crime scene, and further security concerns must be considered as well (just in case of secondary attacks). Any time a mass shooting like this occurs, it takes great skill to (on the fly) manage the scene effectively and efficiently, while also maintaining a respectful and considerate response. However, when activists begin harassing grieving parents, a powder keg emerges and there's no telling what might happen. This was made worse by Minneapolis Mayor Jacob Frey making statements that many have perceived to be in poor taste (at best), or blasphemous (at worst). Even the shooter's mother had to find out that her son was the shooter from journalists who called their home phone number to harass them. Consequently, in this highly-emotionally-charged environment, the response so far has largely been to throw gasoline on the fire to make people as angry as possible, further increasing tensions in an already tough situation. The media coverage of this attack being even more appalling than normal hasn't improved the situation either. This is worthy of note as this will be a challenge for the logistics of crime scene management and victim recovery moving forward. Analyst: S2A1 Research: //END REPORT//
4:32

//The Wire//2300Z August 27, 2025// //ROUTINE// //BLUF: TWO MASS SHOOTINGS STRIKE MINNEAPOLIS. CONCERNS WITHIN TRUCKING COMMUNITY GROW AS FOCUS ON TRAFFIC INCIDENTS INCREASES.// -----BEGIN TEARLINE----- -HomeFront- Arkansas: A truck driver was arrested after driving the wrong way across the Memphis-Arkansas Bridge yesterday, causing a large traffic disruption. Traffic was halted for some time as the driver was detained and his semi-truck removed from the roadway. Analyst Comment: This case is interesting as this was very likely an intentional act. The driver, who was driving for Raj Transport, had to be forcibly removed from the truck's cab at gunpoint by police. There is also a bit of confusion regarding this case, as multiple individuals have been arrested under similar circumstances, with nearly the same name, over the past few weeks. Two weeks ago, another Indian driver was arrested in the same area. The driver's booking details revealed his name to be Harvinder Singh, not to be confused with the Harjinder Singh who caused the deaths of three people in Florida two weeks ago. In this case, the Arkansas Singh was highly intoxicated at the time of his arrest, with a BAC of 0.15%. So far, the wrong-way driver from yesterday has not been identified. As a brief summary, the following is a description of recent events which may be confusing due to the similarity of the names of those involved, and the circumstances of each incident: Harjinder Singh: Arrested on August 18th in California after causing the deaths of three on the Florida Turnpike. Harneet Singh: Passenger in Harjinder Singh's truck (and also his brother). Arrested on August 21st by ICE for being in the US illegally. Navjeet Singh: Arrested in Canada on August 22nd, after remaining a fugitive almost 9 months after causing a fatal crash in Manitoba. Harvinder Singh: Arrested on August 14th on I-40 near West Memphis for drunk driving. Unknown Raj Transport Driver: Arrested on August 26th after driving the wrong way on the Interstate 55 Bridge near West Memphis. Minnesota: Two mass shootings have been reported in Minneapolis over the past 24 hours. Yesterday a drive-by shooting was reported in the vicinity of Cristo Rey Jesuit High School on 4th Avenue. 1x person was killed and 6x others wounded during the attack. The suspect has not been identified and remains at large. This morning, a separate mass shooting was reported at the Annunciation Church on W 54th Street. One gunman targeted the Church during the all-school morning Mass for the Catholic School co-located with the Church. Local authorities report a total of 2x children killed, and 17x others wounded during the engagement. The suspect has been identified as Robin Westman (formerly Robert Westman), who was reported deceased at the scene. -----END TEARLINE----- Analyst Comments: At the moment, all evidence points to this Church shooting not being a random act, but a deliberate and targeted act of terrorism. A manifesto created by the murderer was posted online shortly before the attack, which (along with other content) confirms the shooter was a mentally ill transgender man who attacked his old Church. It is usually best to wait a few days for information to settle down after a major shooting. However in this case it is important to be aware that while the crime scene was still active, gun control activists were observed demonstrating at the scene, harassing parents who were trying to pick up their children from the school after the shooting. Horrific murder scenes are already a nightmare to manage...staging areas have to be established for reuniting families, media has to be kept from contaminating the crime scene, and further security concerns must be considered as well (just in case of secondary attacks). Any time a mass shooting like this occurs, it takes great skill to (on the fly) manage the scene effectively and efficiently, while also maintaining a respectful and considerate response. However, when activists begin harassing grieving parents, a powder keg emerges and there's no telling what might happen. This was made worse by Minneapolis Mayor Jacob Frey making statements that many have perceived to be in poor taste (at best), or blasphemous (at worst). Even the shooter's mother had to find out that her son was the shooter from journalists who called their home phone number to harass them. Consequently, in this highly-emotionally-charged environment, the response so far has largely been to throw gasoline on the fire to make people as angry as possible, further increasing tensions in an already tough situation. The media coverage of this attack being even more appalling than normal hasn't improved the situation either. This is worthy of note as this will be a challenge for the logistics of crime scene management and victim recovery moving forward. Analyst: S2A1 Research: //END REPORT//

S2 Underground

63,802 просмотров • 11 месяцев назад

Young Adventurer’s Triumph: 13-Year-Old Lucas Discovers a Piece of Medieval History In a heartwarming tale of curiosity and perseverance, 13-year-old Lucas Cunliffe from Newton Aycliffe, County Durham, has captured the imagination of history enthusiasts everywhere by unearthing a rare 13th-century sword pommel during a family metal detecting outing. This remarkable find, made on February 9, 2025, in North Yorkshire, not only highlights the thrill of amateur archaeology but also connects a young boy to the epic stories of the past, inspiring others to explore the world around them. Lucas, a student at Woodham Academy, has been joining his father, Dave Cunliffe, on metal detecting adventures for the past five years. What started as a fun hobby turned into an unforgettable moment when Lucas’s detector picked up a strong signal on flat ground near a river in northern England. Digging about a foot down, he revealed the artifact—a highly decorated sword pommel, the knob at the end of a sword’s handle that serves as both decoration and counterweight. The pommel, believed to be over 700 years old, is inscribed with Medieval Latin translating to “Jesus, King of the Jews.” Experts like sword specialist Paul MacDonald have hailed it as exceptionally rare, noting it’s one of only seven known examples of its kind, with the others all found in Scotland and made of bronze. Intriguingly, the relic may be linked to the Scottish Wars of Independence (1296–1357), possibly belonging to a significant figure from the era of Robert the Bruce. This connection adds a layer of excitement, turning Lucas’s discovery into a bridge between modern-day adventure and medieval heroism. Dave, a 39-year-old proud father, shared the joy of the moment: “He got a strong signal on his machine and decided to dig. But it was about a foot down. When he showed us, it was obviously something special, but I don’t think any of us realised just how special.” He added, “He is so excited as we all are. I’m really chuffed for him.” The family has responsibly handed the pommel over to a finds liaison officer for evaluation by the British Museum and a coroner, with hopes it will one day be displayed in a museum bearing Lucas’s name as the finder. This uplifting story reminds us of the wonders waiting just beneath our feet and the power of family bonds in fostering a love for history. Lucas’s enthusiasm could spark a new generation of young explorers, proving that with a bit of curiosity and a metal detector, anyone can uncover treasures that enrich our understanding of the world. As Dave optimistically noted, the process might take years, but the pride in this achievement will last a lifetime. Massive thank you to Dave Cunliffe for all the images of Lucas and the pommel. And this information: It’s a medieval pommel 1300-1450. 26 sided polygon shape High status piece The Latin writing inscription read ‘Jesus of Nazareth, king of the Jews’ It’s one of 6-7 pommels similar and the 3rd of its type highly decorated but is the best known example ever found. All the others have been found on Scottish land only! #metaldetecting #treasure #history
1:17

Young Adventurer’s Triumph: 13-Year-Old Lucas Discovers a Piece of Medieval History In a heartwarming tale of curiosity and perseverance, 13-year-old Lucas Cunliffe from Newton Aycliffe, County Durham, has captured the imagination of history enthusiasts everywhere by unearthing a rare 13th-century sword pommel during a family metal detecting outing. This remarkable find, made on February 9, 2025, in North Yorkshire, not only highlights the thrill of amateur archaeology but also connects a young boy to the epic stories of the past, inspiring others to explore the world around them. Lucas, a student at Woodham Academy, has been joining his father, Dave Cunliffe, on metal detecting adventures for the past five years. What started as a fun hobby turned into an unforgettable moment when Lucas’s detector picked up a strong signal on flat ground near a river in northern England. Digging about a foot down, he revealed the artifact—a highly decorated sword pommel, the knob at the end of a sword’s handle that serves as both decoration and counterweight. The pommel, believed to be over 700 years old, is inscribed with Medieval Latin translating to “Jesus, King of the Jews.” Experts like sword specialist Paul MacDonald have hailed it as exceptionally rare, noting it’s one of only seven known examples of its kind, with the others all found in Scotland and made of bronze. Intriguingly, the relic may be linked to the Scottish Wars of Independence (1296–1357), possibly belonging to a significant figure from the era of Robert the Bruce. This connection adds a layer of excitement, turning Lucas’s discovery into a bridge between modern-day adventure and medieval heroism. Dave, a 39-year-old proud father, shared the joy of the moment: “He got a strong signal on his machine and decided to dig. But it was about a foot down. When he showed us, it was obviously something special, but I don’t think any of us realised just how special.” He added, “He is so excited as we all are. I’m really chuffed for him.” The family has responsibly handed the pommel over to a finds liaison officer for evaluation by the British Museum and a coroner, with hopes it will one day be displayed in a museum bearing Lucas’s name as the finder. This uplifting story reminds us of the wonders waiting just beneath our feet and the power of family bonds in fostering a love for history. Lucas’s enthusiasm could spark a new generation of young explorers, proving that with a bit of curiosity and a metal detector, anyone can uncover treasures that enrich our understanding of the world. As Dave optimistically noted, the process might take years, but the pride in this achievement will last a lifetime. Massive thank you to Dave Cunliffe for all the images of Lucas and the pommel. And this information: It’s a medieval pommel 1300-1450. 26 sided polygon shape High status piece The Latin writing inscription read ‘Jesus of Nazareth, king of the Jews’ It’s one of 6-7 pommels similar and the 3rd of its type highly decorated but is the best known example ever found. All the others have been found on Scottish land only! #metaldetecting #treasure #history

Metal Detectives Group

45,616 просмотров • 5 месяцев назад

🚨Relief effort update - yes it is a long post, but please read. I want to start off by explaining how strong the Appalachia people are, because the scale of devastation is truly bizarre. We have had team members on the ground reach some of the most rural places that havent seen a single "agency" since this has all happened. Our crews have reached people whose homes no longer exist, who have lost loved ones and who have nothing but the clothes on their backs, people completely cut off from the outside world. That being said, the common theme through every one of these interactions, is that the citizens who live in these communities still have their heads held high and have rolled up their sleeves and begun the process of trying to clean the FEET thick layer of mud covering everything to see what is even left to salvage. These people are "mountain tough" and their resolve is unbreakable, but they need our help, AS A COUNTRY. One of our forward crew member on the ground, providing updates on road conditions into towns that are cut off and need help, has hiked into several places that have been neglected. The pictures i include in this post are of the area in and surrounding the Green Mountain area. The level of destruction depicted in the photos and videos do not do the scope of the damage justice, but you can tell from the imagery, that this situation is not only challenging, but dire. Critical infrastructure is completely decimated in most of these places and will take months if not longer to repair or rebuild. We have coordinated a group of Doctors that will be bringing life saving medical supplies, well above and beyond basic first aid needs. They will be traveling by helicopter to areas that are inaccessible by vehicle to give that life saving aid. We have been able to get supplies into the remote town of Marshall, where their homes have been either damaged by the flood waters to the point of being unlivable or just completely deleted from the earth. Talking with these people, they have concerns for the future, and not just the coming days or weeks, but in the near future as winter creeps into the area. As that happens, the challenges they are presented with become exponentially more difficult and so much more dire. From the difficulty of building temporary housing to the logistics and availability of supplies to rebuild, the geographical location of this devastation is creating more problems to overcome than what most would associate with "hurricane damage". As the country descends on Asheville, supplies and help has become bountiful there and our operations will begin to shift further into the mountains to help those that have not had help. Supply needs are changing rapidly, and as they do we are having to pivot on what we are procuring to bring into the affected areas. I call on the people of this country to help us help these people. They have been largely neglected and are deserving of our compassion and help in any way that we can deliver it. I can't speak for the government and what they are or aren't doing, but i can speak for our efforts. We are just everyday citizens, husbands, wives, sons and daughters, standing together to help those in need. We will not stop, until our mission is complete.
1:36

🚨Relief effort update - yes it is a long post, but please read. I want to start off by explaining how strong the Appalachia people are, because the scale of devastation is truly bizarre. We have had team members on the ground reach some of the most rural places that havent seen a single "agency" since this has all happened. Our crews have reached people whose homes no longer exist, who have lost loved ones and who have nothing but the clothes on their backs, people completely cut off from the outside world. That being said, the common theme through every one of these interactions, is that the citizens who live in these communities still have their heads held high and have rolled up their sleeves and begun the process of trying to clean the FEET thick layer of mud covering everything to see what is even left to salvage. These people are "mountain tough" and their resolve is unbreakable, but they need our help, AS A COUNTRY. One of our forward crew member on the ground, providing updates on road conditions into towns that are cut off and need help, has hiked into several places that have been neglected. The pictures i include in this post are of the area in and surrounding the Green Mountain area. The level of destruction depicted in the photos and videos do not do the scope of the damage justice, but you can tell from the imagery, that this situation is not only challenging, but dire. Critical infrastructure is completely decimated in most of these places and will take months if not longer to repair or rebuild. We have coordinated a group of Doctors that will be bringing life saving medical supplies, well above and beyond basic first aid needs. They will be traveling by helicopter to areas that are inaccessible by vehicle to give that life saving aid. We have been able to get supplies into the remote town of Marshall, where their homes have been either damaged by the flood waters to the point of being unlivable or just completely deleted from the earth. Talking with these people, they have concerns for the future, and not just the coming days or weeks, but in the near future as winter creeps into the area. As that happens, the challenges they are presented with become exponentially more difficult and so much more dire. From the difficulty of building temporary housing to the logistics and availability of supplies to rebuild, the geographical location of this devastation is creating more problems to overcome than what most would associate with "hurricane damage". As the country descends on Asheville, supplies and help has become bountiful there and our operations will begin to shift further into the mountains to help those that have not had help. Supply needs are changing rapidly, and as they do we are having to pivot on what we are procuring to bring into the affected areas. I call on the people of this country to help us help these people. They have been largely neglected and are deserving of our compassion and help in any way that we can deliver it. I can't speak for the government and what they are or aren't doing, but i can speak for our efforts. We are just everyday citizens, husbands, wives, sons and daughters, standing together to help those in need. We will not stop, until our mission is complete.

Ryan Tyre 🇺🇸

338,209 просмотров • 1 год назад

Please like and retweet (X algorithm limits my views) The background leading up to the desperate Hamas Operation/ Israel's final solution for the Palestinians. There is a bug in modern international law, that is, intentionally causing people in other countries to starve to death does not constitute a violation of human rights, nor does it constitute massacre. This creepy anti-humanity BUG was developed by Israel with great pains. Do you know that the inventor of modern terrorism is Israel? It's not without reason that we associate Mossad with assassinations and terror attacks. It's in their DNA. In the 10 years before Israel was created, from 1937 to 1947, Israel launched at least 50 major terrorist attacks, blowing up 814 civilian aircrafts, two trains, one ship, and razing 385 Arab villages to the ground. Note that the above are only "major" terrorist attacks. Between 1947 and 1949, Israel attacked major Palestinian cities, destroying some 530 villages and killing some 15,000 Palestinians in a series of mass atrocities, including dozens of massacres. On April 9, 1948, Zionist forces carried out one of the most notorious massacres of the war in the village of Deir Yassin, on the western outskirts of Jerusalem, where more than 110 men, women, and children were killed by the Zionist militia of the Irgun and Stern Gang. During this period, 750.000 Palestinians were driven from their homes and became refugees in their own ancestral land. Refugees have the right under international law to return to their displaced homes and to recover their property. So Israel's current occupation of Israel is illegal. If you feel that these cold numbers are meaningless, let's look at more detailed descriptions and look at some "small terrorist attacks" that are "insignificant". On December 11, 1947, Israeli terrorists threw bombs into a bus full of Arabs from a truck, killing six Arab civilians on the spot and injuring more than 30 people. This kind of terrorist act was carried out on a daily basis by Israeli terrorists at that time, "insignificant" trivial incidents randomly picked out from historical records. Bombing Arab buses was as casual as eating and drinking. Only bombing planes, trains and ships can be called "Big Terrorist Attack". Israel is the father of modern terrorism. Later, all terrorists were inspired by examples set by Israelis. With this forceful means of expressing "protest", Israel's demand for statehood was finally met by the United Nations, and the Israel state was successfully established in 1948. It was assumed that Israelis would stop such terrorist attacks once they are given a state. Before the founding of the Israel state, 14 passenger planes were bombed, but those were all planes parked at the airport, so not much of a challenge for the Israelis. The first terrorist attack in human history to hijack a civilian airliner was invented by Israel. In December 1954, Israeli terrorists hijacked a civilian airliner in Syria and this form of terrorism was born. However due to the systematic suppression of unsavoury terrorist acts carried out by Israel, these acts are now associated with Islamists. It's very likely that Mossad organized the "brilliant" 911 in cooperation with CIA. Only after strong condemnation from the international community and having won several Middle East wars with the support of the United States and having gained numerous advantages (US military aid, hundreds of billions of USD worth's compensation from Germany) did Israel begin to become more "respectable" and endeavored to cultivate its image. Israel's genetic impulse to engage in terrorist attacks was temporarily put on hold for a while. After all, Israel has become a strong power from a once weak ethnic group. The PR cost for terrorist attacks was too high. (Thread will be continued) Video: Gaza after Israeli bombings
1:30

Please like and retweet (X algorithm limits my views) The background leading up to the desperate Hamas Operation/ Israel's final solution for the Palestinians. There is a bug in modern international law, that is, intentionally causing people in other countries to starve to death does not constitute a violation of human rights, nor does it constitute massacre. This creepy anti-humanity BUG was developed by Israel with great pains. Do you know that the inventor of modern terrorism is Israel? It's not without reason that we associate Mossad with assassinations and terror attacks. It's in their DNA. In the 10 years before Israel was created, from 1937 to 1947, Israel launched at least 50 major terrorist attacks, blowing up 814 civilian aircrafts, two trains, one ship, and razing 385 Arab villages to the ground. Note that the above are only "major" terrorist attacks. Between 1947 and 1949, Israel attacked major Palestinian cities, destroying some 530 villages and killing some 15,000 Palestinians in a series of mass atrocities, including dozens of massacres. On April 9, 1948, Zionist forces carried out one of the most notorious massacres of the war in the village of Deir Yassin, on the western outskirts of Jerusalem, where more than 110 men, women, and children were killed by the Zionist militia of the Irgun and Stern Gang. During this period, 750.000 Palestinians were driven from their homes and became refugees in their own ancestral land. Refugees have the right under international law to return to their displaced homes and to recover their property. So Israel's current occupation of Israel is illegal. If you feel that these cold numbers are meaningless, let's look at more detailed descriptions and look at some "small terrorist attacks" that are "insignificant". On December 11, 1947, Israeli terrorists threw bombs into a bus full of Arabs from a truck, killing six Arab civilians on the spot and injuring more than 30 people. This kind of terrorist act was carried out on a daily basis by Israeli terrorists at that time, "insignificant" trivial incidents randomly picked out from historical records. Bombing Arab buses was as casual as eating and drinking. Only bombing planes, trains and ships can be called "Big Terrorist Attack". Israel is the father of modern terrorism. Later, all terrorists were inspired by examples set by Israelis. With this forceful means of expressing "protest", Israel's demand for statehood was finally met by the United Nations, and the Israel state was successfully established in 1948. It was assumed that Israelis would stop such terrorist attacks once they are given a state. Before the founding of the Israel state, 14 passenger planes were bombed, but those were all planes parked at the airport, so not much of a challenge for the Israelis. The first terrorist attack in human history to hijack a civilian airliner was invented by Israel. In December 1954, Israeli terrorists hijacked a civilian airliner in Syria and this form of terrorism was born. However due to the systematic suppression of unsavoury terrorist acts carried out by Israel, these acts are now associated with Islamists. It's very likely that Mossad organized the "brilliant" 911 in cooperation with CIA. Only after strong condemnation from the international community and having won several Middle East wars with the support of the United States and having gained numerous advantages (US military aid, hundreds of billions of USD worth's compensation from Germany) did Israel begin to become more "respectable" and endeavored to cultivate its image. Israel's genetic impulse to engage in terrorist attacks was temporarily put on hold for a while. After all, Israel has become a strong power from a once weak ethnic group. The PR cost for terrorist attacks was too high. (Thread will be continued) Video: Gaza after Israeli bombings

America-China Watcher

46,114 просмотров • 2 лет назад

By and large, the Israel Air Force (IAF) possesses the range and capabilities necessary to neutralize the IRGC-AF’s heavily fortified offensive missile infrastructure. This needn’t rely on GB 57 MOPs or similarly massive deep penetration munitions, but can primarily be achieved through precision strikes targeting tunnel entrances and launch openings, effectively rendering these sites temporarily unusable, provided pinpoint intelligence of the target sites is both accurate and sufficiently comprehensive. Logistically, sustaining 24-hour long-range sortie operations against IRGC-AF’s missile infrastructure depends on highly-coordinated logistics and a carefully executed refueling chain. Two Boeing 707 tankers in a single wave can supply over 180,000 kilograms of fuel (with 90,000 kilograms transferable fuel capacity each). An F-35 requires approximately 8,300 kilograms for a full tank. The combat radius of the IAF’s F-35I “Adir” which shares the performance characteristics of the F-35A Lightning II, is approximately 1,075 kilometers for an operational range exceeding 2,000 kilometers. The distance from the Negev, through the Golan, Syria, and southern Iraq is roughly half this distance (about 1,200-1,400 kilometers) depending on the operation’s design). So a single refuel at the push point near the border of western Iran furnishes the F-35I with a fresh combat radius of 1,075 kilometers enabling it to strike deep into Iranian territory. Each strike package, potentially comprising 10-12 F-35Is, equipped with internal dual-weapon bays with payload capacities of 1,850 kg (4,000 lbs), and can therefore engage 10-12 targets per wave, assuming both weapons are deployed per target and depending on the complexity of the strike sites and the tactical requirements of the mission. Advanced standoff weapons like the Popeye, Rampage, or Delilah, with ranges of 400-600 kilometers, permit the IAF to strike targets up to 1,300-1,500 kilometers inside Iran without overextending its aerial refueling chain. Although air defense systems such as the Russian-made S-300, the enhanced Chinese HQ-9, and potentially domestic systems like the Bavar-373 possess ranges of 200 kilometers or more, 300 kilometers or more safe-distance for critical high-value strategic assets like the IAF’s Desert Giants refueling platforms will affect the F-35I’s strike range, as always depending on operational design. The IAF possesses heavily modified F-15 Ra’am and F-16 Sufa for combat air patrol (CAP or “Yis’ar”) and suppression of air defense (SEAD or “Chihan”) missions to protect strategic assets like its refueling chain, and to disrupt and destroy air and ground defense systems. SEAD platforms and wild weasels may comprise 10-20 fighters of each sortie package depending on targeting and operational design. Israel’s approach would require a multi-layered defense penetration strategy leveraging both kinetic and non-kinetic SEAD tactics, such as electronic warfare and cyber operations, pivotal for disrupting IRGC-AF missile guidance systems and command and control networks before and during initial air strikes. Electronic attack platforms like the AGM-88 High-Speed Anti-Radiation Missiles (HARM) that can jam or spoof Iranian radars and communication system can shape the theater, providing a safer corridor for kinetic strike packages. Advanced standoff weapons, such as the AGM-142 Have Nap “Popeye” enhanced with an imaging infrared seeker to enhance its accuracy against high-value targets, the Delilah cruise missile designed for suppression of enemy air defenses (SEAD) and precision strike missions, and the Rampage, a supersonic, long-range, air-to-ground assault missile suited to overcome air defense systems with its speed and low radar cross-section and designed to strike high-value, well-protected targets with precision—all of which can be launched from significant stand-off distances. The IAF also employs state-of-the-art intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance (ISR) and electronic warfare (EW) platforms like the Gulfstream 550 Shavit and Nachshon aircraft, as well as locally produced Israel Aerospace Industries (IAI) ISR UAVs called the Eitans. These UAVs, which can operate continuously for 36 hours and are equipped with advanced signals intelligence (SIGINT) systems, provide critical real-time intelligence during operations. Each of these strategic assets require CAPs, so each sortie package may assign elements of 2 or more F-16s or F-15s for each aerial asset: EW, ISR, UAV and refueling aircraft, for a total of 10-20 fighter jets in air patrol missions depending on design. The CAPs elements’ size and weaponeering will depend on how heavily contested the airspace, that the IAF anticipates operating in, will be. Robust protection for these strategic assets is an integral component in the design and planning of such a mission, including the IAF’s logistics chain. Operationally, with a publicly disclosed total of 7 refueling 707s in the IAF’s Desert Giants Sqn 120, it can deploy 6 tanker packages of 2 707s in order to execute three waves of airstrikes four times per day, with an estimated average of six-hour intervals between each takeoff. Roughly speaking this breaks down to 90 minutes from base to near-border push point (ferry leg), 90 minutes of combat operations time including return to egress point (on-stage leg), 90 minutes RTB (return to base) including refueling assets en route, and 90 minutes refuel, maintain and rearm for the entire sortie package (reconstitution phase) at base. This equates to twelve strike packages delivered approximately every 2 hours around the clock for a virtually continuous presence at the push point, covering Imam Ali, Arak, Kermanshah, Isfahan and many other critical sites within Iranian territory. The F-15I Ra’am is highly modular in its fuel design possessing a combat radius of approximately 1,600 kilometers, and a much greater ferry range which can be extended through a menu of external and detachable fuel tanks, making it one of the most versatile long-range platforms in the IAF’s aviation fleet. Given its primary assignments in CAP and SEAD operations it can theoretically conduct the entire mission without any refueling or only partial refueling. Likewise the IAF’s heavily modified F-16I Sufa is equipped with conformal fuel tanks that can extend its range, increasing its fuel capacity compared to the baseline F-16 model by up to 7,700 kilos (17,000 lbs) of external fuel, contributing to an operational range of about 3,220 km (2,000 miles). Therefore, it too adds limited burden to the IAF’s refueling logistics. Assuming 7 minute refueling time for each IAF F-35I, two tankers can refuel 10-12 F-35I strike packages in 35-40 minutes en route to push point and again en route to base from rendezvous point post-on-stage. No additional time is required for these refueling operations as they may be seamlessly integrated into the ferry and RTB legs of the mission. Altogether, the IAF can hit somewhere in the ball park of 120-130 sites a day, severely damaging the IRGC-AF’s defensive and offensive capabilities within 72 hours. After three days, the IAF could theoretically strike about 450 sites. For heavily fortified targets with deep burial depths, requiring deeper penetration, the GB 31 (A2K) with BLU 137/B deep penetration warheads are suitable for the F-35Is and the GBU 72 (A5K) with BLU 138 deep penetration warheads can be deployed by the F-15I Ra’ams once sufficient SEAD ops are completed and closer to the borders of western Iran. Weaponeering, shuffling assets to suit allocation needs, and the overall designing of sortie package inventories, including formulating the necessary logistics, is an immensely complex challenge managed by highly trained personnel and assisted by advanced systems in what can only be likened to a dark opera of destructive power. Whatever the challenges, one thing remains certain. Israel always finds a way to defy gravity, alter realities on the ground (and in the air) and take the region by storm. As long as the IRGC-AF maintains its offensive missile capabilities it is liable to heavily target Israel’s airbases, critical military installations and civilian centers. Therefore, before Israel considers oil, nuclear, or any other strategic assets, it will need to knock the front teeth out this snake when it strikes. Israel might front-load its first strike to meet these objectives, coordinating all 3 waves in rapid succession shaped by Jericho II and III strikes tightly preceded by cyber, electronic warfare and internal sabotage operations. The IAF’s first strike will likely be designed to leave the IRGC-AF reeling and off-balance long enough for its fleet to reconstitute and launch the next set of waves. These are likely to then settle into a steady pace for at least 72 hours given the volume, geographic and strategic depth of their missile program. Below: "No one must sleep, for the stars will tremble. No one shall know my name as I vanish into the night."
2:58

By and large, the Israel Air Force (IAF) possesses the range and capabilities necessary to neutralize the IRGC-AF’s heavily fortified offensive missile infrastructure. This needn’t rely on GB 57 MOPs or similarly massive deep penetration munitions, but can primarily be achieved through precision strikes targeting tunnel entrances and launch openings, effectively rendering these sites temporarily unusable, provided pinpoint intelligence of the target sites is both accurate and sufficiently comprehensive. Logistically, sustaining 24-hour long-range sortie operations against IRGC-AF’s missile infrastructure depends on highly-coordinated logistics and a carefully executed refueling chain. Two Boeing 707 tankers in a single wave can supply over 180,000 kilograms of fuel (with 90,000 kilograms transferable fuel capacity each). An F-35 requires approximately 8,300 kilograms for a full tank. The combat radius of the IAF’s F-35I “Adir” which shares the performance characteristics of the F-35A Lightning II, is approximately 1,075 kilometers for an operational range exceeding 2,000 kilometers. The distance from the Negev, through the Golan, Syria, and southern Iraq is roughly half this distance (about 1,200-1,400 kilometers) depending on the operation’s design). So a single refuel at the push point near the border of western Iran furnishes the F-35I with a fresh combat radius of 1,075 kilometers enabling it to strike deep into Iranian territory. Each strike package, potentially comprising 10-12 F-35Is, equipped with internal dual-weapon bays with payload capacities of 1,850 kg (4,000 lbs), and can therefore engage 10-12 targets per wave, assuming both weapons are deployed per target and depending on the complexity of the strike sites and the tactical requirements of the mission. Advanced standoff weapons like the Popeye, Rampage, or Delilah, with ranges of 400-600 kilometers, permit the IAF to strike targets up to 1,300-1,500 kilometers inside Iran without overextending its aerial refueling chain. Although air defense systems such as the Russian-made S-300, the enhanced Chinese HQ-9, and potentially domestic systems like the Bavar-373 possess ranges of 200 kilometers or more, 300 kilometers or more safe-distance for critical high-value strategic assets like the IAF’s Desert Giants refueling platforms will affect the F-35I’s strike range, as always depending on operational design. The IAF possesses heavily modified F-15 Ra’am and F-16 Sufa for combat air patrol (CAP or “Yis’ar”) and suppression of air defense (SEAD or “Chihan”) missions to protect strategic assets like its refueling chain, and to disrupt and destroy air and ground defense systems. SEAD platforms and wild weasels may comprise 10-20 fighters of each sortie package depending on targeting and operational design. Israel’s approach would require a multi-layered defense penetration strategy leveraging both kinetic and non-kinetic SEAD tactics, such as electronic warfare and cyber operations, pivotal for disrupting IRGC-AF missile guidance systems and command and control networks before and during initial air strikes. Electronic attack platforms like the AGM-88 High-Speed Anti-Radiation Missiles (HARM) that can jam or spoof Iranian radars and communication system can shape the theater, providing a safer corridor for kinetic strike packages. Advanced standoff weapons, such as the AGM-142 Have Nap “Popeye” enhanced with an imaging infrared seeker to enhance its accuracy against high-value targets, the Delilah cruise missile designed for suppression of enemy air defenses (SEAD) and precision strike missions, and the Rampage, a supersonic, long-range, air-to-ground assault missile suited to overcome air defense systems with its speed and low radar cross-section and designed to strike high-value, well-protected targets with precision—all of which can be launched from significant stand-off distances. The IAF also employs state-of-the-art intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance (ISR) and electronic warfare (EW) platforms like the Gulfstream 550 Shavit and Nachshon aircraft, as well as locally produced Israel Aerospace Industries (IAI) ISR UAVs called the Eitans. These UAVs, which can operate continuously for 36 hours and are equipped with advanced signals intelligence (SIGINT) systems, provide critical real-time intelligence during operations. Each of these strategic assets require CAPs, so each sortie package may assign elements of 2 or more F-16s or F-15s for each aerial asset: EW, ISR, UAV and refueling aircraft, for a total of 10-20 fighter jets in air patrol missions depending on design. The CAPs elements’ size and weaponeering will depend on how heavily contested the airspace, that the IAF anticipates operating in, will be. Robust protection for these strategic assets is an integral component in the design and planning of such a mission, including the IAF’s logistics chain. Operationally, with a publicly disclosed total of 7 refueling 707s in the IAF’s Desert Giants Sqn 120, it can deploy 6 tanker packages of 2 707s in order to execute three waves of airstrikes four times per day, with an estimated average of six-hour intervals between each takeoff. Roughly speaking this breaks down to 90 minutes from base to near-border push point (ferry leg), 90 minutes of combat operations time including return to egress point (on-stage leg), 90 minutes RTB (return to base) including refueling assets en route, and 90 minutes refuel, maintain and rearm for the entire sortie package (reconstitution phase) at base. This equates to twelve strike packages delivered approximately every 2 hours around the clock for a virtually continuous presence at the push point, covering Imam Ali, Arak, Kermanshah, Isfahan and many other critical sites within Iranian territory. The F-15I Ra’am is highly modular in its fuel design possessing a combat radius of approximately 1,600 kilometers, and a much greater ferry range which can be extended through a menu of external and detachable fuel tanks, making it one of the most versatile long-range platforms in the IAF’s aviation fleet. Given its primary assignments in CAP and SEAD operations it can theoretically conduct the entire mission without any refueling or only partial refueling. Likewise the IAF’s heavily modified F-16I Sufa is equipped with conformal fuel tanks that can extend its range, increasing its fuel capacity compared to the baseline F-16 model by up to 7,700 kilos (17,000 lbs) of external fuel, contributing to an operational range of about 3,220 km (2,000 miles). Therefore, it too adds limited burden to the IAF’s refueling logistics. Assuming 7 minute refueling time for each IAF F-35I, two tankers can refuel 10-12 F-35I strike packages in 35-40 minutes en route to push point and again en route to base from rendezvous point post-on-stage. No additional time is required for these refueling operations as they may be seamlessly integrated into the ferry and RTB legs of the mission. Altogether, the IAF can hit somewhere in the ball park of 120-130 sites a day, severely damaging the IRGC-AF’s defensive and offensive capabilities within 72 hours. After three days, the IAF could theoretically strike about 450 sites. For heavily fortified targets with deep burial depths, requiring deeper penetration, the GB 31 (A2K) with BLU 137/B deep penetration warheads are suitable for the F-35Is and the GBU 72 (A5K) with BLU 138 deep penetration warheads can be deployed by the F-15I Ra’ams once sufficient SEAD ops are completed and closer to the borders of western Iran. Weaponeering, shuffling assets to suit allocation needs, and the overall designing of sortie package inventories, including formulating the necessary logistics, is an immensely complex challenge managed by highly trained personnel and assisted by advanced systems in what can only be likened to a dark opera of destructive power. Whatever the challenges, one thing remains certain. Israel always finds a way to defy gravity, alter realities on the ground (and in the air) and take the region by storm. As long as the IRGC-AF maintains its offensive missile capabilities it is liable to heavily target Israel’s airbases, critical military installations and civilian centers. Therefore, before Israel considers oil, nuclear, or any other strategic assets, it will need to knock the front teeth out this snake when it strikes. Israel might front-load its first strike to meet these objectives, coordinating all 3 waves in rapid succession shaped by Jericho II and III strikes tightly preceded by cyber, electronic warfare and internal sabotage operations. The IAF’s first strike will likely be designed to leave the IRGC-AF reeling and off-balance long enough for its fleet to reconstitute and launch the next set of waves. These are likely to then settle into a steady pace for at least 72 hours given the volume, geographic and strategic depth of their missile program. Below: "No one must sleep, for the stars will tremble. No one shall know my name as I vanish into the night."

dan linnaeus

138,950 просмотров • 1 год назад

//The Wire//1500Z November 27, 2025// //ROUTINE// //BLUF: DC SHOOTER IDENTIFIED AS FORMER AFGHAN SOLDIER BROUGHT TO USA AFTER THE FALL OF KABUL. HONG KONG FIRE RESULTS IN DOZENS OF FATALITIES.// -----BEGIN TEARLINE----- -International Events- Africa: A military coup was reported yesterday in Guinea-Bissau, with President Umaro Sissoco Embaló being arrested at his residence in Bissau. This follows a few weeks of election issues after the President disqualified his political opponent from the election. Analyst Comment: The fall of Guinea-Bissau is the latest addition to what has been colloquially referred to as the "coup belt", a line of nations stretching east-west across Africa, which have been host to overthrowing their governments over the past five years. Hong Kong: Yesterday a multiple-alarm fire broke out at a series of high-rise apartment buildings that were undergoing renovation in Tai Po. Around one thousand firefighters, medical, and police officers worked to extinguished the fires, which involved 7 of the 8 skyscrapers that comprise the Wang Fuk Court housing project. Concerning casualties, 65x fatalities are confirmed so far, however potentially hundreds of people remain missing as this complex provided housing for roughly 4,000 people. A few hours after the fire broke out, three people who worked for the construction company conducting repairs on the buildings were arrested on suspicion of arson. Analyst Comment: Although several people were arrested, it's not clear as to if this was a deliberate attack or a preventable accident. Right now, locals suspect criminal negligence: the contractor is said to have cut corners during the renovation project, by using highly flammable netting and foam insulation during construction. If this is really what happened, this would explain the rapid spread of the fire to seven different structures. An investigation will be needed to confirm the origin and explain the rapid spread of the fire, but right now this incident bears striking resemblance to the Grenfell Tower fire, which rapidly consumed the London apartment building in a similar manner back in 2017. That incident occurred in nearly the same manner, with highly flammable foam insulation being used to insulate the structure, which caught fire and allowed the flames to spread rapidly. -HomeFront- Washington D.C. - The suspect in yesterday's shooting has been identified as Rahmanullah Lakanwal, a former Afghan soldier who worked with the United States as part of the Afghan intelligence services during the Global War on Terrorism. Ramanullah was granted entry to the United States in 2021 under Operation ALLIES WELCOME, the program to evacuate Afghans who worked with the US government during the occupation. Regarding the attack itself, more details have come to light which help explain how the attack was carried out. Rahmanullah approached the two soldiers with a revolver, shooting one in the head immediately and severely wounding the other. This took both soldiers out of the fight immediately, as neither had time to react. By happenstance, one of their officers (a Major) was walking on foot in their vicinity, conducting an informal spot check of the various security posts set up in the area. This Major was not armed with a service weapon, but was the primary responder at the time of the attack. After the two soldiers were engaged, the Major took up a position of cover and concealment near the shooter. When the shooter stopped firing and began reloading, the Major attacked the shooter with a personally owned pocket knife, stabbing the attacker in the head and torso. As this hand-to-hand engagement was occurring, another armed soldier arrived and engaged the attacker with his firearm, striking the suspect several times in the extremities. From there, a dogpile situation occurred and the attacker was detained. Analyst Comment: Though details will certainly be clarified in due time, at present this appears to be a classic case of everyone doing everything right, and tragedy still being the result. Both soldiers were armed and wearing body armor at the time, however the speed and extremely close range of the attack rendered these tools ineffective. The Major who helped end the attack was not armed as he was not occupying a security post himself, so this is not out of the ordinary. The soldier who was armed and shot the suspect, arrived almost immediately after hearing the shots. Concerning the wounded, yesterday afternoon confusion emerged regarding the status of the soldiers. Governor Morrisey retracted his statement on their condition, as both soldiers have not succumbed to their wounds and still remain in critical condition at local hospitals. Prayers are strongly encouraged all around for their recovery. -----END TEARLINE----- Analyst Comments: The shooting in Washington also highlights the importance of having fast *and* accurate information during a crisis. Immediately after the shooting, one photo of the suspect being loaded into an ambulance began circulating online. However, some people took this photo and ran it through AI models to clean up the image, as a shaky photo taken with a smartphone from a long distance doesn't usually offer the best image quality. The problem is that the AI models significantly altered the face of the suspect. In short, someone tried to clean up the image with AI, but in doing so, the face of the suspect was slightly altered and no longer looked like him. The effect was subtle, but enough to actually change what the man looked like. This photo spread like wildfire, with everyone craving the higher-resolution photo of the suspect, despite this AI-manipulated photo not actually being accurate. At the height of a terror attack, the primary photo of the suspect that circulated social media...was an AI photoshop job. In most cases, the fact that this image was AI "enhanced" was NOT disclosed...people had no idea they were looking at (and sharing) a manipulated photo. As if this wasn't serious enough, a second wave of AI-manipulated photos hit the timeline shortly after the suspect was identified. The actual photo of the suspect as leaked on social media was a cellphone photo of a computer screen, and not the best quality. So, some journalists took it upon themselves to manipulate yet another photo of the suspect, which once again changed details of the suspect's face. In this case, the AI-model was a little more accurate, and did a better job of cleaning up a poor-quality image, but the concerns still stand...no one disclosed that this image was generated by AI, and based on a different photo. Sometimes, we have to be content with the information that we have at the time of a crisis. Not everything can be in 4k ultra-high resolution, and right now all AI models have shown weaknesses in producing false information at times. This would be very wise to consider as this situation is very likely to happen again; some fugitive wanted by police might only have one or two blurry photos to share with the media. And if the media decide to alter the photos themselves, changing the physical features of the suspect, the public will be on the lookout for the wrong man. During the heat of the moment, the fast-paced nature of an emergency might result in the internet not realizing that AI-models are being used by people who are not disclosing it. During a crisis, photos of suspects are often released very quickly, especially if there are continued threats. These photos are usually never high resolution or perfect quality, but due to the speed at which the public must be aware of something, authorities share what information they have at the time. If journalists are going to start taking the photos given to them by the police, and running those photos through AI models before publishing them to the public...this is a major problem. This has been a concern for some time, however now the proof is in the pudding. In effect, this was a test that most people on the internet failed. It is not just theoretically possible for inaccurate and manipulative AI-generated content to slip in during a real-time disaster...this case proves that it already happened, and very few people noticed. If we recall, this exact same situation has already happened as well. In the hours after the Charlie Kirk shooting, for example, AI-manipulated renderings of the suspect circulated more widely than the official photos as released by the FBI. In that case, a wanted fugitive was actively being sought, and the fake photos of the suspect circulated more widely than the official photos. People want pretty pictures, but this is almost never the reality of emergencies that are in progress. Nevertheless, the nature of engagement farming on social media often impacts the situation, as AI-created content is often more desirable than the truth. As such, when it comes to future emergencies, one of the major concerns will now be imagery of a suspect or a crime scene, which may be heavily manipulated by AI. Analyst: S2A1 Research: Disclaimer: No LLMs were used in the writing of this report. //END REPORT//
7:29

//The Wire//1500Z November 27, 2025// //ROUTINE// //BLUF: DC SHOOTER IDENTIFIED AS FORMER AFGHAN SOLDIER BROUGHT TO USA AFTER THE FALL OF KABUL. HONG KONG FIRE RESULTS IN DOZENS OF FATALITIES.// -----BEGIN TEARLINE----- -International Events- Africa: A military coup was reported yesterday in Guinea-Bissau, with President Umaro Sissoco Embaló being arrested at his residence in Bissau. This follows a few weeks of election issues after the President disqualified his political opponent from the election. Analyst Comment: The fall of Guinea-Bissau is the latest addition to what has been colloquially referred to as the "coup belt", a line of nations stretching east-west across Africa, which have been host to overthrowing their governments over the past five years. Hong Kong: Yesterday a multiple-alarm fire broke out at a series of high-rise apartment buildings that were undergoing renovation in Tai Po. Around one thousand firefighters, medical, and police officers worked to extinguished the fires, which involved 7 of the 8 skyscrapers that comprise the Wang Fuk Court housing project. Concerning casualties, 65x fatalities are confirmed so far, however potentially hundreds of people remain missing as this complex provided housing for roughly 4,000 people. A few hours after the fire broke out, three people who worked for the construction company conducting repairs on the buildings were arrested on suspicion of arson. Analyst Comment: Although several people were arrested, it's not clear as to if this was a deliberate attack or a preventable accident. Right now, locals suspect criminal negligence: the contractor is said to have cut corners during the renovation project, by using highly flammable netting and foam insulation during construction. If this is really what happened, this would explain the rapid spread of the fire to seven different structures. An investigation will be needed to confirm the origin and explain the rapid spread of the fire, but right now this incident bears striking resemblance to the Grenfell Tower fire, which rapidly consumed the London apartment building in a similar manner back in 2017. That incident occurred in nearly the same manner, with highly flammable foam insulation being used to insulate the structure, which caught fire and allowed the flames to spread rapidly. -HomeFront- Washington D.C. - The suspect in yesterday's shooting has been identified as Rahmanullah Lakanwal, a former Afghan soldier who worked with the United States as part of the Afghan intelligence services during the Global War on Terrorism. Ramanullah was granted entry to the United States in 2021 under Operation ALLIES WELCOME, the program to evacuate Afghans who worked with the US government during the occupation. Regarding the attack itself, more details have come to light which help explain how the attack was carried out. Rahmanullah approached the two soldiers with a revolver, shooting one in the head immediately and severely wounding the other. This took both soldiers out of the fight immediately, as neither had time to react. By happenstance, one of their officers (a Major) was walking on foot in their vicinity, conducting an informal spot check of the various security posts set up in the area. This Major was not armed with a service weapon, but was the primary responder at the time of the attack. After the two soldiers were engaged, the Major took up a position of cover and concealment near the shooter. When the shooter stopped firing and began reloading, the Major attacked the shooter with a personally owned pocket knife, stabbing the attacker in the head and torso. As this hand-to-hand engagement was occurring, another armed soldier arrived and engaged the attacker with his firearm, striking the suspect several times in the extremities. From there, a dogpile situation occurred and the attacker was detained. Analyst Comment: Though details will certainly be clarified in due time, at present this appears to be a classic case of everyone doing everything right, and tragedy still being the result. Both soldiers were armed and wearing body armor at the time, however the speed and extremely close range of the attack rendered these tools ineffective. The Major who helped end the attack was not armed as he was not occupying a security post himself, so this is not out of the ordinary. The soldier who was armed and shot the suspect, arrived almost immediately after hearing the shots. Concerning the wounded, yesterday afternoon confusion emerged regarding the status of the soldiers. Governor Morrisey retracted his statement on their condition, as both soldiers have not succumbed to their wounds and still remain in critical condition at local hospitals. Prayers are strongly encouraged all around for their recovery. -----END TEARLINE----- Analyst Comments: The shooting in Washington also highlights the importance of having fast *and* accurate information during a crisis. Immediately after the shooting, one photo of the suspect being loaded into an ambulance began circulating online. However, some people took this photo and ran it through AI models to clean up the image, as a shaky photo taken with a smartphone from a long distance doesn't usually offer the best image quality. The problem is that the AI models significantly altered the face of the suspect. In short, someone tried to clean up the image with AI, but in doing so, the face of the suspect was slightly altered and no longer looked like him. The effect was subtle, but enough to actually change what the man looked like. This photo spread like wildfire, with everyone craving the higher-resolution photo of the suspect, despite this AI-manipulated photo not actually being accurate. At the height of a terror attack, the primary photo of the suspect that circulated social media...was an AI photoshop job. In most cases, the fact that this image was AI "enhanced" was NOT disclosed...people had no idea they were looking at (and sharing) a manipulated photo. As if this wasn't serious enough, a second wave of AI-manipulated photos hit the timeline shortly after the suspect was identified. The actual photo of the suspect as leaked on social media was a cellphone photo of a computer screen, and not the best quality. So, some journalists took it upon themselves to manipulate yet another photo of the suspect, which once again changed details of the suspect's face. In this case, the AI-model was a little more accurate, and did a better job of cleaning up a poor-quality image, but the concerns still stand...no one disclosed that this image was generated by AI, and based on a different photo. Sometimes, we have to be content with the information that we have at the time of a crisis. Not everything can be in 4k ultra-high resolution, and right now all AI models have shown weaknesses in producing false information at times. This would be very wise to consider as this situation is very likely to happen again; some fugitive wanted by police might only have one or two blurry photos to share with the media. And if the media decide to alter the photos themselves, changing the physical features of the suspect, the public will be on the lookout for the wrong man. During the heat of the moment, the fast-paced nature of an emergency might result in the internet not realizing that AI-models are being used by people who are not disclosing it. During a crisis, photos of suspects are often released very quickly, especially if there are continued threats. These photos are usually never high resolution or perfect quality, but due to the speed at which the public must be aware of something, authorities share what information they have at the time. If journalists are going to start taking the photos given to them by the police, and running those photos through AI models before publishing them to the public...this is a major problem. This has been a concern for some time, however now the proof is in the pudding. In effect, this was a test that most people on the internet failed. It is not just theoretically possible for inaccurate and manipulative AI-generated content to slip in during a real-time disaster...this case proves that it already happened, and very few people noticed. If we recall, this exact same situation has already happened as well. In the hours after the Charlie Kirk shooting, for example, AI-manipulated renderings of the suspect circulated more widely than the official photos as released by the FBI. In that case, a wanted fugitive was actively being sought, and the fake photos of the suspect circulated more widely than the official photos. People want pretty pictures, but this is almost never the reality of emergencies that are in progress. Nevertheless, the nature of engagement farming on social media often impacts the situation, as AI-created content is often more desirable than the truth. As such, when it comes to future emergencies, one of the major concerns will now be imagery of a suspect or a crime scene, which may be heavily manipulated by AI. Analyst: S2A1 Research: Disclaimer: No LLMs were used in the writing of this report. //END REPORT//

S2 Underground

23,409 просмотров • 8 месяцев назад

This is another relatively well known USAAF B-17 interception by a Luftwaffe fighter that is worth looking at in some detail. There are no archival descriptions that I can find identifying personnel, date or location involved but much can be gleaned from the footage itself. The bomber being targeted lacks the chin turret that was specifically installed on the G model of the B-17 to counter this sort of frontal attack, identifying it as an F model. Tracers from the attacking aircraft come from both sides of the frame suggesting that the gun camera is mounted in the nose of a twin-engined aircraft, such as a Messerschmitt Bf 110 or Me 410 It is often speculated that the Luftwaffe fighter here is attacking through its own flak but it is more likely that the explosions visible are the result of the Werfer-Granate 21 rocket launcher being employed. Flak bursts usually had a distinctive shape and ground fire would typically cease when friendly fighters were attacking. The rockets were set to detonate after traveling a fixed distance of around 600 meters and while the chances of scoring a direct hit were low, their 40 kg blast-fragmentation warheads were effective in breaking up the "combat box" formation and therefore making individual bombers more vulnerable to attack. In this case however, it appears the attacking aircraft have misjudged their timing and the rockets are detonating behind the formation. This was one of the disadvantages of attacking frontally as approach speeds made targeting more of a challenge, however it was also a way of avoiding the majority of the bomber's defensive firepower. Another consideration often ignored is the effect that a head-on attack would have on projectile effectiveness. At full speed a B-17 would be traveling at around 125 meters per second, if it had to simply fly into a stationary 20mm armor piercing shell weighing 115 grams the impact energy would be 900 joules. This is significantly greater than most .45 ACP pistol rounds fired at point blank range, only from the motion of the aircraft. The speed of the attacking aircraft at the moment the projectile is fired can also be added to the muzzle velocity making for an even more devastating impact. This was of course a double-edged sword as it meant defensive fire would be similarly more effective on the attacking aircraft, and it also gave the pilot a smaller time window during which he could fire and a more complex firing solution to calculate, not to mention the increased risk of a mid-air collision. As a general rule, Luftwaffe pilots were instructed not to waste time setting up an attack from a particular angle, rather they should attack the bomber formation from whatever position it would be encountered. In this particular incident, most of the impacts are around the number 3 and 4 engines on the B-17. While air-cooled radials were more damage-resistant than liquid-cooled engines, from this angle they would not have been protected by the aircraft structure. While there is no immediate fire visible, it's likely they would both have been put out of action. Armor piercing shells would typically represent around a third of the ammunition loadout and for the MG 151/20 cannon such projectiles could penetrate almost an inch of armor at 100 meters, therefore punching through a cylinder or crankcase would not be an issue. There is also one particular projectile that appears to strike the cockpit followed by an explosion near the horizontal tail. It almost seems like a shell entered the windshield then detonated inside, however I believe this is an optical illusion and they are in fact two separate impacts. The damage inflicted would likely have prevented the bomber from returning to base although there is nothing in the clip that would allow the aircraft to be identified. One interesting detail is that other Flying Fortresses in the formation appear to be fitted with chin turrets which would date the footage to between late 1943 to early 1944.
0:20

This is another relatively well known USAAF B-17 interception by a Luftwaffe fighter that is worth looking at in some detail. There are no archival descriptions that I can find identifying personnel, date or location involved but much can be gleaned from the footage itself. The bomber being targeted lacks the chin turret that was specifically installed on the G model of the B-17 to counter this sort of frontal attack, identifying it as an F model. Tracers from the attacking aircraft come from both sides of the frame suggesting that the gun camera is mounted in the nose of a twin-engined aircraft, such as a Messerschmitt Bf 110 or Me 410 It is often speculated that the Luftwaffe fighter here is attacking through its own flak but it is more likely that the explosions visible are the result of the Werfer-Granate 21 rocket launcher being employed. Flak bursts usually had a distinctive shape and ground fire would typically cease when friendly fighters were attacking. The rockets were set to detonate after traveling a fixed distance of around 600 meters and while the chances of scoring a direct hit were low, their 40 kg blast-fragmentation warheads were effective in breaking up the "combat box" formation and therefore making individual bombers more vulnerable to attack. In this case however, it appears the attacking aircraft have misjudged their timing and the rockets are detonating behind the formation. This was one of the disadvantages of attacking frontally as approach speeds made targeting more of a challenge, however it was also a way of avoiding the majority of the bomber's defensive firepower. Another consideration often ignored is the effect that a head-on attack would have on projectile effectiveness. At full speed a B-17 would be traveling at around 125 meters per second, if it had to simply fly into a stationary 20mm armor piercing shell weighing 115 grams the impact energy would be 900 joules. This is significantly greater than most .45 ACP pistol rounds fired at point blank range, only from the motion of the aircraft. The speed of the attacking aircraft at the moment the projectile is fired can also be added to the muzzle velocity making for an even more devastating impact. This was of course a double-edged sword as it meant defensive fire would be similarly more effective on the attacking aircraft, and it also gave the pilot a smaller time window during which he could fire and a more complex firing solution to calculate, not to mention the increased risk of a mid-air collision. As a general rule, Luftwaffe pilots were instructed not to waste time setting up an attack from a particular angle, rather they should attack the bomber formation from whatever position it would be encountered. In this particular incident, most of the impacts are around the number 3 and 4 engines on the B-17. While air-cooled radials were more damage-resistant than liquid-cooled engines, from this angle they would not have been protected by the aircraft structure. While there is no immediate fire visible, it's likely they would both have been put out of action. Armor piercing shells would typically represent around a third of the ammunition loadout and for the MG 151/20 cannon such projectiles could penetrate almost an inch of armor at 100 meters, therefore punching through a cylinder or crankcase would not be an issue. There is also one particular projectile that appears to strike the cockpit followed by an explosion near the horizontal tail. It almost seems like a shell entered the windshield then detonated inside, however I believe this is an optical illusion and they are in fact two separate impacts. The damage inflicted would likely have prevented the bomber from returning to base although there is nothing in the clip that would allow the aircraft to be identified. One interesting detail is that other Flying Fortresses in the formation appear to be fitted with chin turrets which would date the footage to between late 1943 to early 1944.

hw97karbine

128,425 просмотров • 9 месяцев назад

**Doris Yin 2025 New Year's Greetings to Pi Network Community** Dear Global Pioneers, GCV Ambassadors, and all GCV merchants, Happy New Year to everyone! Today marks the first day of 2025! I hope you all feel confident and energized as we work towards a successful OM for the Pi Network in Q1.🙏🙏🙏✊✊✊ In 2024, we made significant progress within the Pi Network. This progress serves as both motivation and a foundation for the current mass KYC and migration processes, which means we can finally anticipate a deadline for the OM—within a maximum of 89 days. Most likely, we will have the OM on Pi Day, which is just 72 days away. What has driven this success? GCV $314,159 has been confirmed since Pi2 Day 2024. Why am I so confident? The reasoning is straightforward, and most analysts can understand it. If GCV cannot meet the expectations set by Core Team for the long-term success of the Pi Network, they would not provide us with a deadline for OM by Pi2Day of 2025 on Pi2Day 2024 nor would they issue the recent deadline of Q1 2025. It’s important to remember that every project has its vision, mission, and goals. Considerable time and investment are put in to ensure that the project moves in the right direction. If the direction GCV does not align with their requirements, they cannot and will not give us the time frame for OM until we meet the necessary standards. Understand? Therefore, those who argue against GCV clearly lack understanding of Pi Network, and we can totally ignore them. There’s no need to explain or respond to their questions. Our Pioneers Handbook provides a strong theoretical foundation and guidelines for GCV helping Pi Network 100% succeed without any business risk. We already have more than 5 million GCV data on the blockchain, so there’s no need to debate what is Pi value. The only GCV value is $314,159. Our Pioneer’s Handbook has been updated to topic #73 and translated into 30 major languages. Pioneers who wish to live happily should obtain a copy from the Telegram International Group. It can not only boost your confidence but also bring you peace of mind. During the next 72 or 89 days, what should pioneers do? It’s simple: study the Pioneers Handbook. I recommend printing it out and reading it five times. This will contribute to the long-term success of the Pi Network, building this mindset is critical. Additionally, please share this Handbook with all your groups. It will help other pioneers develop a correct outlook on life and values. If you are a merchant or know any merchants, please also share the Pioneers Handbook and my articles about partial Pi payments at GCV. This will help both your business and your friends' businesses by leveraging the GCV community to increase exposure and attract more customers. After the OM, they can join the Pi Network Web3 blockchain, which will give them an edge over competitors. Make sure they register on MapofPi and remember to include GCV $314,159. CT needs to see how many merchants support GCV to determine how many pioneers can undergo KYC and migration. The logic here is straightforward: more GCV merchants signify lower failure risks and low policy violations. As demand for Pi increases in this region to support GCV ecosystem, this will lead to more KYC and migration opportunities in your area, including for high amounts of Pi wallets. We have witnessed already in GCV active countries which more than 10,000 or 20,000 above wallets have been migrated a lot. We achieved significant success in 2024, and I am confident that we will achieve even greater success in 2025, culminating in our OM celebration in about 2-3 months. Isn’t that exciting? Please block any accounts trying to convince you that your Pi value is $10, $100, $1,000, or $100,000. Ignore the noise; If you believe them, it will only slow down your region. GCV is unshakeable, and regions that support GCV and have more merchants in the ecosystem will gain more KYC and migration opportunities. For all pioneers who are facing financial difficulties, this is your only one opportunity in life. Don’t expect to still hold Pi if you choose to sell some for quick cash. Selling 10, 100, or even 1,000 Pi at this moment may entirely derail your chance for a better life because all your Pi account will be frozen. If you transfer your bought Pi from eco wallet to your own wallet, your policy violation will be tracked and all your accounts will be frozen. Any money spent to purchase Pi will be wasted. All pioneers should learn to be good citizens who respect government regulations and act honestly. Never try to take advantage of others. Greed in the Pi Network can cost you the opportunity to change your life and lose all your investment in buying Pi. I believe that most of our pioneers are honest, and you will be smart enough not to engage in harmful actions against others, the Pi Network, or yourselves. A person who knows how to navigate challenges is a hero. I wish for all pioneers to be heroes. Once again, Happy New Year! I wish all of you health, happiness, and prosperity in 2025.🌹🌹🌹 Doris Yin 🪷🪷🪷 Founder, Global GCV Movement Jan.1st, 2025
9:01

**Doris Yin 2025 New Year's Greetings to Pi Network Community** Dear Global Pioneers, GCV Ambassadors, and all GCV merchants, Happy New Year to everyone! Today marks the first day of 2025! I hope you all feel confident and energized as we work towards a successful OM for the Pi Network in Q1.🙏🙏🙏✊✊✊ In 2024, we made significant progress within the Pi Network. This progress serves as both motivation and a foundation for the current mass KYC and migration processes, which means we can finally anticipate a deadline for the OM—within a maximum of 89 days. Most likely, we will have the OM on Pi Day, which is just 72 days away. What has driven this success? GCV $314,159 has been confirmed since Pi2 Day 2024. Why am I so confident? The reasoning is straightforward, and most analysts can understand it. If GCV cannot meet the expectations set by Core Team for the long-term success of the Pi Network, they would not provide us with a deadline for OM by Pi2Day of 2025 on Pi2Day 2024 nor would they issue the recent deadline of Q1 2025. It’s important to remember that every project has its vision, mission, and goals. Considerable time and investment are put in to ensure that the project moves in the right direction. If the direction GCV does not align with their requirements, they cannot and will not give us the time frame for OM until we meet the necessary standards. Understand? Therefore, those who argue against GCV clearly lack understanding of Pi Network, and we can totally ignore them. There’s no need to explain or respond to their questions. Our Pioneers Handbook provides a strong theoretical foundation and guidelines for GCV helping Pi Network 100% succeed without any business risk. We already have more than 5 million GCV data on the blockchain, so there’s no need to debate what is Pi value. The only GCV value is $314,159. Our Pioneer’s Handbook has been updated to topic #73 and translated into 30 major languages. Pioneers who wish to live happily should obtain a copy from the Telegram International Group. It can not only boost your confidence but also bring you peace of mind. During the next 72 or 89 days, what should pioneers do? It’s simple: study the Pioneers Handbook. I recommend printing it out and reading it five times. This will contribute to the long-term success of the Pi Network, building this mindset is critical. Additionally, please share this Handbook with all your groups. It will help other pioneers develop a correct outlook on life and values. If you are a merchant or know any merchants, please also share the Pioneers Handbook and my articles about partial Pi payments at GCV. This will help both your business and your friends' businesses by leveraging the GCV community to increase exposure and attract more customers. After the OM, they can join the Pi Network Web3 blockchain, which will give them an edge over competitors. Make sure they register on MapofPi and remember to include GCV $314,159. CT needs to see how many merchants support GCV to determine how many pioneers can undergo KYC and migration. The logic here is straightforward: more GCV merchants signify lower failure risks and low policy violations. As demand for Pi increases in this region to support GCV ecosystem, this will lead to more KYC and migration opportunities in your area, including for high amounts of Pi wallets. We have witnessed already in GCV active countries which more than 10,000 or 20,000 above wallets have been migrated a lot. We achieved significant success in 2024, and I am confident that we will achieve even greater success in 2025, culminating in our OM celebration in about 2-3 months. Isn’t that exciting? Please block any accounts trying to convince you that your Pi value is $10, $100, $1,000, or $100,000. Ignore the noise; If you believe them, it will only slow down your region. GCV is unshakeable, and regions that support GCV and have more merchants in the ecosystem will gain more KYC and migration opportunities. For all pioneers who are facing financial difficulties, this is your only one opportunity in life. Don’t expect to still hold Pi if you choose to sell some for quick cash. Selling 10, 100, or even 1,000 Pi at this moment may entirely derail your chance for a better life because all your Pi account will be frozen. If you transfer your bought Pi from eco wallet to your own wallet, your policy violation will be tracked and all your accounts will be frozen. Any money spent to purchase Pi will be wasted. All pioneers should learn to be good citizens who respect government regulations and act honestly. Never try to take advantage of others. Greed in the Pi Network can cost you the opportunity to change your life and lose all your investment in buying Pi. I believe that most of our pioneers are honest, and you will be smart enough not to engage in harmful actions against others, the Pi Network, or yourselves. A person who knows how to navigate challenges is a hero. I wish for all pioneers to be heroes. Once again, Happy New Year! I wish all of you health, happiness, and prosperity in 2025.🌹🌹🌹 Doris Yin 🪷🪷🪷 Founder, Global GCV Movement Jan.1st, 2025

Doris Yin 东方紫莲🪷

44,758 просмотров • 1 год назад

How to quickly deter China from invading Taiwan — my interview with Ethan Thornton of Mach Industries Ethan is one of the brightest, most thoughtful people I've ever met. I believe his ideas on defending the US, including our interests in Taiwan, are urgently needed. Summary 👇 The US would likely lose a military conflict with China in Taiwan and other crucial areas in the Pacific—even though we spend far more money than China does. • We face a vastly underrated economic threat (not to mention human rights) if we cannot deter China from seizing Taiwan. • China has published plans to have military readiness for a Taiwan invasion by 2027. • We depend on Taiwan for almost all high-performance semi-conductors, which are at the base of all modern industry. • Taiwan had made clear as a deterrent that it’s prepared to destroy its semiconductor facilities in the event of an invasion, but China’s increasing semiconductor manufacturing makes the threat worse for the US than China. • It’s now an open secret that the US loses most or all of its wargames in a conflict with China over Taiwan, Japan, or South Korea. • How our Navy loses to China: If we can get our ships to the Pacific, we’ll quickly run out of ammo, but the more likely scenario is that our ships—including aircraft carriers—mostly don’t get there thanks to unmanned systems and hypersonics. • How our Air Force loses to China: The Air Force has limited planes and even more limited munitions, but the increasingly bigger problem is the planes won’t take off thanks to China’s hypersonic missiles and other unmanned systems that can destroy available runways in the Pacific. • How our Army loses to China: The Army is still planning to rely on tanks, rifles, and the fighting styles of the 2010s, even though Ukraine has shown ground wars depend on drones and other mobile, decentralized, difficult-to-target assets. Example: Ukraine is actually refusing to bring gifted M1 Abrams tanks to the front line as they would be quickly destroyed by drones. • The US’s failure to have an unequivocally superior military to China is not a funding issue, given that the US spends some 3 times on defense what China does. It’s an issue of how money is spent. US weapons procurement has been fundamentally stagnant for 30 years while war has rapidly evolved based on unmanned systems. • The US’s extreme military vulnerability to China is due to us mostly spending money on the wrong things given how war has evolved. We’re still basically procuring the same weapons we were 30 years ago. • The most important evolution in warfighting is unmanned systems, which are powerful but cheap and thus scalable and decentralizable. • Large numbers of unmanned weapons distributed widely make large, expensive, centralized assets increasingly vulnerable (non-survivable). • Large numbers of unmanned weapons distributed widely are hard to counter since just some of them need to survive in order to inflict huge damage. • Yet our trillion-dollar defense budget is largely spent on manned systems that are very unlikely to survive a real conflict. • Even insofar as the US is procuring unmanned systems, its rate of evolution is way too slow. Unmanned systems evolve like consumer electronics, yet we have long procurement cycles (more than 5 times slower than China’s). To address the China threat we need to take advantage of our innovativeness to create stockpile of superior, strategic unmanned weapons systems that will deter them. • We cannot win a protracted war against China, given their superiority in manufacturing, and we don’t want such a war. But we can and want to deter them from attacking Taiwan, which controls the high-performance semiconductors our economy depends on. • Our big advantage is over China that we are better at innovating than China due to our political system and culture. They can make things at much larger scales, but we are much better at inventing new things. • The US’s superior innovation ability means that we can make superior weapons with huge cost-performance asymmetry compared to China’s. • These weapons need to be Strategic: can cripple China’s ability to wage war. (Ethan elaborates) • Given the time it takes to make weapons systems and the speed at which wars now start and end, we need to create a large stockpile of unmanned weapons systems—think tends of thousands—to deter China. If government procures weapons using standards of cost-effectiveness this can be done very cheaply. Government weapons spending must move as quickly as possible toward the standards of cost-effectiveness, scalability, and survivability. • Big picture, US weapons spending and procurement needs explicit standards to decide what to invest in. • Fundamentally the standard of weapons procurement must be cost-effectiveness: How much does it cost to have a given amount of effect in the expected environment? • Part of cost-effectiveness is scalability: We need to be able to produce sufficient units now and in an ongoing conflict. • Part of cost-effectiveness is survivability: Our weapons systems need to be able to by pass or handle enemy interference, which most legacy systems can’t. • If government can start allocating even $10 billion by these standards we can afford to build the stockpile superior unmanned weapons systems that will deter China from invading Taiwan.
1:08:04

How to quickly deter China from invading Taiwan — my interview with Ethan Thornton of Mach Industries Ethan is one of the brightest, most thoughtful people I've ever met. I believe his ideas on defending the US, including our interests in Taiwan, are urgently needed. Summary 👇 The US would likely lose a military conflict with China in Taiwan and other crucial areas in the Pacific—even though we spend far more money than China does. • We face a vastly underrated economic threat (not to mention human rights) if we cannot deter China from seizing Taiwan. • China has published plans to have military readiness for a Taiwan invasion by 2027. • We depend on Taiwan for almost all high-performance semi-conductors, which are at the base of all modern industry. • Taiwan had made clear as a deterrent that it’s prepared to destroy its semiconductor facilities in the event of an invasion, but China’s increasing semiconductor manufacturing makes the threat worse for the US than China. • It’s now an open secret that the US loses most or all of its wargames in a conflict with China over Taiwan, Japan, or South Korea. • How our Navy loses to China: If we can get our ships to the Pacific, we’ll quickly run out of ammo, but the more likely scenario is that our ships—including aircraft carriers—mostly don’t get there thanks to unmanned systems and hypersonics. • How our Air Force loses to China: The Air Force has limited planes and even more limited munitions, but the increasingly bigger problem is the planes won’t take off thanks to China’s hypersonic missiles and other unmanned systems that can destroy available runways in the Pacific. • How our Army loses to China: The Army is still planning to rely on tanks, rifles, and the fighting styles of the 2010s, even though Ukraine has shown ground wars depend on drones and other mobile, decentralized, difficult-to-target assets. Example: Ukraine is actually refusing to bring gifted M1 Abrams tanks to the front line as they would be quickly destroyed by drones. • The US’s failure to have an unequivocally superior military to China is not a funding issue, given that the US spends some 3 times on defense what China does. It’s an issue of how money is spent. US weapons procurement has been fundamentally stagnant for 30 years while war has rapidly evolved based on unmanned systems. • The US’s extreme military vulnerability to China is due to us mostly spending money on the wrong things given how war has evolved. We’re still basically procuring the same weapons we were 30 years ago. • The most important evolution in warfighting is unmanned systems, which are powerful but cheap and thus scalable and decentralizable. • Large numbers of unmanned weapons distributed widely make large, expensive, centralized assets increasingly vulnerable (non-survivable). • Large numbers of unmanned weapons distributed widely are hard to counter since just some of them need to survive in order to inflict huge damage. • Yet our trillion-dollar defense budget is largely spent on manned systems that are very unlikely to survive a real conflict. • Even insofar as the US is procuring unmanned systems, its rate of evolution is way too slow. Unmanned systems evolve like consumer electronics, yet we have long procurement cycles (more than 5 times slower than China’s). To address the China threat we need to take advantage of our innovativeness to create stockpile of superior, strategic unmanned weapons systems that will deter them. • We cannot win a protracted war against China, given their superiority in manufacturing, and we don’t want such a war. But we can and want to deter them from attacking Taiwan, which controls the high-performance semiconductors our economy depends on. • Our big advantage is over China that we are better at innovating than China due to our political system and culture. They can make things at much larger scales, but we are much better at inventing new things. • The US’s superior innovation ability means that we can make superior weapons with huge cost-performance asymmetry compared to China’s. • These weapons need to be Strategic: can cripple China’s ability to wage war. (Ethan elaborates) • Given the time it takes to make weapons systems and the speed at which wars now start and end, we need to create a large stockpile of unmanned weapons systems—think tends of thousands—to deter China. If government procures weapons using standards of cost-effectiveness this can be done very cheaply. Government weapons spending must move as quickly as possible toward the standards of cost-effectiveness, scalability, and survivability. • Big picture, US weapons spending and procurement needs explicit standards to decide what to invest in. • Fundamentally the standard of weapons procurement must be cost-effectiveness: How much does it cost to have a given amount of effect in the expected environment? • Part of cost-effectiveness is scalability: We need to be able to produce sufficient units now and in an ongoing conflict. • Part of cost-effectiveness is survivability: Our weapons systems need to be able to by pass or handle enemy interference, which most legacy systems can’t. • If government can start allocating even $10 billion by these standards we can afford to build the stockpile superior unmanned weapons systems that will deter China from invading Taiwan.

Alex Epstein

175,218 просмотров • 6 месяцев назад