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TARIFFS RETVRN After decades of trade liberalization, tariffs are back in fashion. Alex Tabarrok and tylercowen talk incidence, retaliation, exchange rate confusion, and the Georgist plot twist: what if tariffs on soybeans are really just taxing Iowa farmland? 0:00:00 - The return of tariffs 0:02:44 - The threat of... show more

Mercatus Center

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10,601 просмотров • 7 месяцев назад •via X (Twitter)

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KENNEDY: If Canada came to the US and said, 'We're going to 0 tariffs on the US, all of them are off,' would you and the president go to 0 tariffs and let Canadian companies and American companies compete on a level playing field? BESSENT: Absolutely not

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Aaron Rupar

1,278,015 просмотров • 5 месяцев назад

BREAKING: Trump has announced the implementation of "reciprocal tariffs" around the globe. NEWSFLASH: We charge many countries substantially more in tariffs on many products than they charge us. Trade War commences... Examples: - Dairy and Nuts - We often have tariffs that are 50-100% more than other nations - Sneakers and Clothing - We often have tariffs that are 5-8% more - Japan - 0% Tariffs on US cars and trucks- We have 25% tariff on their trucks - Hong Kong - 0% Tariffs on US - We have 1.5% tariffs on them - Singapore - 0.1% Tariffs on US - We have 1.5% tariffs on them - Georgia - 0.4% Tariffs on US - We have 1.5% tariffs on them - Chile - 0.4% Tariffs on US - We have 1.5% tariffs on them - UK - 0.7% Tariffs on US - We have 1.5% tariffs on them - Australia - 0.8% Tariffs on US - We have 1.5% tariffs on them - New Zealand - 0.9% Tariffs on US - We have 1.5% tariffs on them

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Brian Krassenstein

69,985 просмотров • 1 год назад

How does a leading liberal think? Ian Dunt came to the studio last Fri to talk immigration, asylum, democracy, multiculturalism & more: 0:00:14 - Reversing the two-child benefit cap 0:04:38 - His despair over Starmer 0:10:28 - The irrelevance of demographic change 0:15:53 - How Twitter became a “Nazi” site 0:20:14 - The economic consequences of immigration 0:24:52 - Britain’s borders are under control 0:34:38 - The triumph of multicultural Britain 0:45:10 - How he got Starmer so wrong 0:46:34 - Isaiah Berlin, human nature and trans rights 1:02:00 - Economic stagnation as the root of populism

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Harry Lambert

20,158 просмотров • 7 месяцев назад

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750,939 просмотров • 2 лет назад

What does the next training paradigm look like? 0:00:00 – The big research bet the labs are making 0:02:12 – Grindability is just as important as verifiability 0:06:10 – Will RLVR alone generalize? 0:08:41 – Getting the learning back to the weights 0:15:22 – Dreaming 0:17:23 – What 2027 looks like Also on YouTube, pod feed, and Substack.

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735,602 просмотров • 18 дней назад

How persuadable are humans, really? Sam Altman returns to discuss accidental AI takeover, why GPT-6 might crack real science, when we'll see AI CEOs running the show, and the question he asked someone to pose to the Dalai Lama. Timestamps 0:00:00 – Sam’s basic trick for productivity 0:01:22 – Hiring hardware vs. software people 0:05:46 – How long before an AI CEO 0:10:48 – Government backstops for AI companies 0:13:26 – Monetizing AI services 0:18:04 – Negotiating deals with Saudia Arabia and the UAE 0:22:00 – How good GPT-6 will be at poetry 0:25:15 – Chip-building and where the energy will come from 0:29:04 – Sam’s changing health habits 0:30:20 – UAP’s and conspiracy theories 0:31:43 – Revitalizing St. Louis 0:33:12 – Regulating AI agents 0:34:39 – New ways to interface with AI 0:38:12 – How normies will learn AI 0:44:36 – The trajectory of healthcare and housing prices 0:46:57 – Reexamining freedom of speech 0:50:08 – Humanity’s persuadability Recorded live with tylercowen and Sam Altman at the 2025 Progress Conference, hosted by Roots of Progress Institute. Thanks to Big Think for the video production.

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Attention inframarginal Marginal Revolution podcast listeners! Alex Tabarrok and tylercowen are pleased to bring you an episode covering some of their favorite economic models: Spence on monopolies, Harberger on tax incidence, and Solow on growth. Per Spence (1975)—or was it Coase (1979)?—this dialogue has been crafted to appeal to you, the diehards. Mass appeal is some other joker’s game. 0:00:19 Spence's monopoly model 0:07:08 How Spence applies (or not) to NYT and HBO 0:16:13 Alex and Tyler's approach to creating a textbook (and blog and podcast and…) 0:20:43 Harberger's model of who pays tax 0:24:44 Harberger's model as applied to congestion and minimum wages 0:33:54 Solow's growth model 0:42:22 What Solow's model misses Watch the full episode here, or follow the links in the next tweet.

Attention inframarginal Marginal Revolution podcast listeners! Alex Tabarrok and tylercowen are pleased to bring you an episode covering some of their favorite economic models: Spence on monopolies, Harberger on tax incidence, and Solow on growth. Per Spence (1975)—or was it Coase (1979)?—this dialogue has been crafted to appeal to you, the diehards. Mass appeal is some other joker’s game. 0:00:19 Spence's monopoly model 0:07:08 How Spence applies (or not) to NYT and HBO 0:16:13 Alex and Tyler's approach to creating a textbook (and blog and podcast and…) 0:20:43 Harberger's model of who pays tax 0:24:44 Harberger's model as applied to congestion and minimum wages 0:33:54 Solow's growth model 0:42:22 What Solow's model misses Watch the full episode here, or follow the links in the next tweet.

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All-In Interview: Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent! -- 2025 economic recap -- What to expect in 2026 -- Fixing the Fed -- Tariffs for national security leverage -- Solving affordability (0:00) Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent joins the show (0:55) Recapping 2025 and the state of the economy (3:13) Tariffs: Leverage, legal challenges, implementation (15:20) Affordability: inflation, BLS data, interest rates (23:00) The Fed: biggest mistakes, how we got a 15 year asset bubble, rate cycle, appetite for US debt, Fed Chair candidates (42:44) Focus on Main Street, taking equity stakes in American companies (50:40) Tax cuts, Trump accounts, economic legacy Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent

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1,009,518 просмотров • 6 месяцев назад

Debt: it’s the political economy, stupid. Even at $30 trillion, America has the wealth to pay off its debt. The real question is whether Americans are willing to be taxed more or have their government spend less. So why aren’t markets spooked that neither of that is really happening yet? In the Season 2 finale of the Marginal Revolution Podcast, Alex Tabarrok and tylercowen dig in: 0:00:00 - Should We Be Worried About the US Debt? 0:08:19 - R vs. G? It's the Political Economy, Stupid 0:16:52 - The Five Ways Out 0:22:21 - AI's Fiscal Paradox 0:30:44 - Hidden Sovereign Wealth Funds 0:34:56 - The Bottom Line

Debt: it’s the political economy, stupid. Even at $30 trillion, America has the wealth to pay off its debt. The real question is whether Americans are willing to be taxed more or have their government spend less. So why aren’t markets spooked that neither of that is really happening yet? In the Season 2 finale of the Marginal Revolution Podcast, Alex Tabarrok and tylercowen dig in: 0:00:00 - Should We Be Worried About the US Debt? 0:08:19 - R vs. G? It's the Political Economy, Stupid 0:16:52 - The Five Ways Out 0:22:21 - AI's Fiscal Paradox 0:30:44 - Hidden Sovereign Wealth Funds 0:34:56 - The Bottom Line

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15,274 просмотров • 7 месяцев назад

Okay, people. Chris Kemp and I got the band back together to talk Wild, Wild Space and Astra's $80m raise and return to the pad. Full episode of the pod here on X Timestamps 0:00:00 Introduction & Guest Chris Kemp 0:01:18 Astra's Journey and Current State 0:08:01 Taking Astra Private 0:10:17 New Leadership and Space Force Collaboration 0:12:18 Rocket Industry Landscape 0:14:22 Shifting to Larger Satellites 0:15:15 DoD Drone Launch Contract 0:21:19 Vision of Global Spaceports 0:24:25 Satellite Constellations and Dual Use 0:26:36 Global Telecom & Space Race 0:30:01 Open Standards & Space Interoperability 0:31:14 Life After Going Private 0:32:17 Lessons from the SPAC Era 0:34:03 Focusing on Rocket 4 0:36:15 Balancing Speed and Reliability 0:40:06 The Cost of Innovation 0:42:21 Fundraising and Customer Commitment 0:44:12 The Satellite Engine Business 0:45:09 Decentralized Constellation Vision 0:50:14 Future Plans and Series B 0:52:21 Why Kemp Keeps Going 0:54:20 What’s Next for Astra 0:56:06 Thoughts on the Competition 0:59:13 Sideways Rocket Explained 1:00:15 Vision for NASA's Future

Okay, people. Chris Kemp and I got the band back together to talk Wild, Wild Space and Astra's $80m raise and return to the pad. Full episode of the pod here on X Timestamps 0:00:00 Introduction & Guest Chris Kemp 0:01:18 Astra's Journey and Current State 0:08:01 Taking Astra Private 0:10:17 New Leadership and Space Force Collaboration 0:12:18 Rocket Industry Landscape 0:14:22 Shifting to Larger Satellites 0:15:15 DoD Drone Launch Contract 0:21:19 Vision of Global Spaceports 0:24:25 Satellite Constellations and Dual Use 0:26:36 Global Telecom & Space Race 0:30:01 Open Standards & Space Interoperability 0:31:14 Life After Going Private 0:32:17 Lessons from the SPAC Era 0:34:03 Focusing on Rocket 4 0:36:15 Balancing Speed and Reliability 0:40:06 The Cost of Innovation 0:42:21 Fundraising and Customer Commitment 0:44:12 The Satellite Engine Business 0:45:09 Decentralized Constellation Vision 0:50:14 Future Plans and Series B 0:52:21 Why Kemp Keeps Going 0:54:20 What’s Next for Astra 0:56:06 Thoughts on the Competition 0:59:13 Sideways Rocket Explained 1:00:15 Vision for NASA's Future

Ashlee Vance

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New episode w Lewis Bollard - a deep dive on the surprising economics of the meat industry. 0:00:00 – The astonishing efficiency of factory farming 0:07:18 – It was a mistake making this about diet 0:09:54 – Tech that’s sparing 100s of millions of animals/year 0:16:16 – Brainless chickens and higher welfare breeds 0:28:21 – $1 can prevent 10 years of animal suffering 0:37:26 – The situation in China and the developing world 0:41:41 – How the meat lobby got a lock on Congress 0:53:23 – Business structure of the meat industry 0:57:42 – Corporate campaigns are underrated Available on YouTube, Apple Podcasts, Spotify, etc (look up Dwarkesh Podcast).

Dwarkesh Patel

240,050 просмотров • 11 месяцев назад

Are AI benchmarks doomed? Greg Burnham and Tom Adamczewski join Anson Ho to push back on benchmark pessimism and dig into what the next generation of AI benchmarks could look like. (0:00:00) - Preview (0:00:36) - Intro: Are AI benchmarks doomed? (0:03:13) - The costs and benefits of benchmark development (0:11:48) - MirrorCode and scalable benchmarks (0:20:57) - AI speed-up in benchmark development (0:23:28) - The benchmark-reality gap (0:38:26) - Can an AGI benchmark exist? (0:43:18) - Beyond automated scoring (1:00:45) - How AI changes benchmark building in practice

Are AI benchmarks doomed? Greg Burnham and Tom Adamczewski join Anson Ho to push back on benchmark pessimism and dig into what the next generation of AI benchmarks could look like. (0:00:00) - Preview (0:00:36) - Intro: Are AI benchmarks doomed? (0:03:13) - The costs and benefits of benchmark development (0:11:48) - MirrorCode and scalable benchmarks (0:20:57) - AI speed-up in benchmark development (0:23:28) - The benchmark-reality gap (0:38:26) - Can an AGI benchmark exist? (0:43:18) - Beyond automated scoring (1:00:45) - How AI changes benchmark building in practice

Epoch AI

22,037 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

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Andrew Forte

26,952 просмотров • 9 месяцев назад

How To File #Celsius Taxes w/ Crypto Tax Girl --> Work With Her: ⏰ Timestamps ⏰ 0:00:00 Intro 0:02:09 Laura’s Background w/ Becoming A Crypto Tax Expert 0:04:28 Why Laura Started Her Crypto Tax Firm TAXES 0:05:45 Celsius Taxes 0:06:15 2 Types Of Losses You Can Take 0:09:35 Can You Take A Loss On Celsius? 0:09:59 Understanding Your Cost Basis 0:11:38 The Amount Of Loss Is Determined By Your Cost Basis 2 TYPES OF LOSSES 0:13:21 Capital Loss 0:14:35 Safe Harbor Ponzi Loss (Urgent Action Required) 0:17:18 When To Take The Losses (This Year OR Next Year?) 0:19:18 Is Celsius A Ponzi? Mashinsky Indicted? FILING 0:21:06 Laura’s Biz vs Online Tax Software 0:22:39 $500K Refund On A Client 0:23:13 Losses X Tax Rate = TAX SAVINGS 0:23:51 Things To Consider Before Filing TAX EXAMPLES 0:25:52 Person A 0:30:11 Person B 0:31:05 Person C 0:31:56 Person D 0:33:01 Person E 0:34:55 Person F 0:35:20 Person G (Loan) 0:36:52 Person H (Loan) CONCLUSION 0:38:25 Custody Taxes 0:39:06 Question Form 0:39:43 Summary

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Aaron Bennett

24,170 просмотров • 2 лет назад

The Princeton Dictionary of Buddhism is comprised of 5,000 entries totaling over a million words, and Donald S. Lopez Jr. (along with his co-author) wrote every word of it. He’s also written over 20 books on Buddhism, including Buddhism: A Journey through History, which tylercowen calls one of the best books of 2025. Who better to explain what the West gets wrong about Buddhism? Timestamps: 0:00:00 – The Buddha’s omniscience 0:03:13 – How the Buddha looked and lived 0:08:25 – Reincarnation, hell, sacrifice, and hungry ghosts 0:11:52 – Western (mis)conceptions of Buddhism (not always peaceful!) 0:17:15 – Buddha’s child, castes, and visual portrayals of the Buddha 0:22:50 – Buddhism as an oral religion 0:26:13 – How different strands of Buddhism coexist 0:29:27 – Global waning of Buddhism 0:32:20 – On the Dalai Lama 0:37:20 – The Tibetan Book of the Dead and Theosophy 0:41:39 – Zen Buddhism and South Asian strands 0:46:00 – Why Thailand is the wealthiest amongst Buddhist countries 0:48:21 – Itinerary for a world tour of Buddhism 0:50:01 – How Lopez became a leading scholar on Buddhism

The Princeton Dictionary of Buddhism is comprised of 5,000 entries totaling over a million words, and Donald S. Lopez Jr. (along with his co-author) wrote every word of it. He’s also written over 20 books on Buddhism, including Buddhism: A Journey through History, which tylercowen calls one of the best books of 2025. Who better to explain what the West gets wrong about Buddhism? Timestamps: 0:00:00 – The Buddha’s omniscience 0:03:13 – How the Buddha looked and lived 0:08:25 – Reincarnation, hell, sacrifice, and hungry ghosts 0:11:52 – Western (mis)conceptions of Buddhism (not always peaceful!) 0:17:15 – Buddha’s child, castes, and visual portrayals of the Buddha 0:22:50 – Buddhism as an oral religion 0:26:13 – How different strands of Buddhism coexist 0:29:27 – Global waning of Buddhism 0:32:20 – On the Dalai Lama 0:37:20 – The Tibetan Book of the Dead and Theosophy 0:41:39 – Zen Buddhism and South Asian strands 0:46:00 – Why Thailand is the wealthiest amongst Buddhist countries 0:48:21 – Itinerary for a world tour of Buddhism 0:50:01 – How Lopez became a leading scholar on Buddhism

Conversations with Tyler

11,859 просмотров • 8 месяцев назад

🌄 Beyond SWE: The Future of Long Horizon Environments A discussion with our founders about KellyBench, and the need for new environments that require agents to adapt over time and act under uncertainty. 0:00:17 What is KellyBench? 0:02:10 Openendedness, non-stationarity and continual learning 0:03:40 Analytical versus operational capabilities 0:04:13 Why are models bad at KellyBench? 0:05:39 Situational awareness in dynamic environments 0:06:37 Feature stability and real-world non-stationarity 0:07:07 The power of context 0:07:34 "The first principle is that you must not fool yourself" 0:08:20 Machiavelli, fortuna and the ability to adapt to change 0:09:23 How can models improve on evals like KellyBench? 0:10:12 Limitations of KellyBench: data availability and market odds timing 0:11:44 Implications beyond quant finance / sports betting 0:13:26 Civilisations as the ultimate time horizon 0:14:05 Would a mega prompt / better elicitation do much better on the benchmark? 0:14:52 What new types of capability is GR excited about? 0:17:48 Taste and the ability to pursue long-term goals even if they aren't immediately rewarding 0:18:56 Deep learning as an example of a method that took a long time to bear fruit 0:19:25 Optimism about the future of AI

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General Reasoning

15,585 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

Yesterday and friends discussed how blockchains are developing and the future of web3. We also gave out lots of $SFP tokens to viewers. Recap of our October Community Call 0:00:00- Introduction 0:02:06- Veronica shares the latest crypto scams 0:07:36- supporting Sei 0:10:00- Demo on improvements to the app swap feature 0:16:33- Introducing the Halloween event 0:17:19- Veronica shares highlights at The Gateway 2024 event 0:24:07- GiftNow, a Free Tool for Web3 Community Growth 0:30:57- Sei sharing insights on SEI ecosystem 0:47:44- Venom Network shares about building L0 & L1 1:10:49- GoPlus Security 🚦 discusses on protecting transactions

Yesterday and friends discussed how blockchains are developing and the future of web3. We also gave out lots of $SFP tokens to viewers. Recap of our October Community Call 0:00:00- Introduction 0:02:06- Veronica shares the latest crypto scams 0:07:36- supporting Sei 0:10:00- Demo on improvements to the app swap feature 0:16:33- Introducing the Halloween event 0:17:19- Veronica shares highlights at The Gateway 2024 event 0:24:07- GiftNow, a Free Tool for Web3 Community Growth 0:30:57- Sei sharing insights on SEI ecosystem 0:47:44- Venom Network shares about building L0 & L1 1:10:49- GoPlus Security 🚦 discusses on protecting transactions

SafePal - Crypto Wallet

29,435 просмотров • 1 год назад

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent explains the administration’s new tariffs, and why we had to do something to stop the slide. (0:00) Trump’s Tariff Plan (5:42) The Current State of the Stock Market (8:22) Will Americans See Substantial Tax Cuts Because of Tariffs? (13:16) How Much Money Will America Make Through Tariffs? (14:33) Bringing Manufacturing Back to the US (20:14) Tariff Pushback From Foreign Countries (22:16) Will China Retaliate? (25:42) How Will Europe Be Impacted? (33:12) Is the Upper Class Out of Touch With the Lower and Middle Class? (35:47) Bessent’s Biggest Worries (42:35) The Long Term Benefits of DOGE (46:17) The Corruption of the Federal Reserve (49:22) Why Gold Is So Critical Right Now (52:13) Zelensky's Self-Sabotaging Negotiation Tactics (1:00:19) The Trump Administration’s Messaging About the Economy Includes paid partnerships.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent explains the administration’s new tariffs, and why we had to do something to stop the slide. (0:00) Trump’s Tariff Plan (5:42) The Current State of the Stock Market (8:22) Will Americans See Substantial Tax Cuts Because of Tariffs? (13:16) How Much Money Will America Make Through Tariffs? (14:33) Bringing Manufacturing Back to the US (20:14) Tariff Pushback From Foreign Countries (22:16) Will China Retaliate? (25:42) How Will Europe Be Impacted? (33:12) Is the Upper Class Out of Touch With the Lower and Middle Class? (35:47) Bessent’s Biggest Worries (42:35) The Long Term Benefits of DOGE (46:17) The Corruption of the Federal Reserve (49:22) Why Gold Is So Critical Right Now (52:13) Zelensky's Self-Sabotaging Negotiation Tactics (1:00:19) The Trump Administration’s Messaging About the Economy Includes paid partnerships.

Tucker Carlson

7,449,202 просмотров • 1 год назад