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The argument that the Trump administration and its acolytes are using to defend the War in Iran on the economic front is that this will be "short-term pain for a long-term gain." But it is hard to see how this would be the case. From the perspective of oil... prices, which were already near historical lows before the conflict, it is unlikely that we would see prices drop lower than they already were. The break-even price for many modern oil projects is around $60 to $65 dollars per barrel, and most oil producing nations need oil closer to $80 to actually balance their budgets. Even if oil prices returned to the level they were already at, the incentive to produce more oil would simply not be there. Also, the USA is now the world's largest producer and consumer of oil, so if prices are anywhere between $40 and $80 per barrel, the impact on the overall US economy is a wash. Economic gains are simply shuffled between US states. The other economic argument is that without an "Iranian threat," even if we assume such a threat existed, there will be a "Peace Dividend," and we will be able to spend less money in the Middle East theater of military operations. Honestly, nobody seriously believes that the US would send less money to Israel in any event after an Iranian conflict concluded on US terms, and empirically, the operations in Iraq and Afghanistan didn't result in any noticeable "Peace Dividend" at any point. Then there's the fact that any reduction in military spending in the Middle East (let's just pretend here) would likely just be redirected towards the Pacific theater of operations. The result will most likely be "short-term pain for long-term pain." At best, we'd return to where we were before Operation "Epic Fury." And again, this is assuming everything goes according to the fever dreams of the Trump administration. I certainly don't expect that best possible scenario (for the administration) and nobody seriously does. Follow us for more on Telegram:show more

East_Calling

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As the war with Iran pushes up consumer prices, President Trump’s top economic adviser Kevin Hassett says the “big problem right now would be energy prices, and we're watching and monitoring closely.” “The bottom line is, again, the reason why futures markets for oil are dropping down towards 60, and even below 50 in the long run, is that we expect that if Iran stops being this disruptive terrorist force in the Middle East, that there will be a boom in oil production and industrial production,” he says.

As the war with Iran pushes up consumer prices, President Trump’s top economic adviser Kevin Hassett says the “big problem right now would be energy prices, and we're watching and monitoring closely.” “The bottom line is, again, the reason why futures markets for oil are dropping down towards 60, and even below 50 in the long run, is that we expect that if Iran stops being this disruptive terrorist force in the Middle East, that there will be a boom in oil production and industrial production,” he says.

Face The Nation

21,898 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

🚨 JUST IN: Karoline Leavitt says eliminating the Iranian terrorist regime will HELP oil prices in the long-term "To obliterate the Iranian regime will be a VERY good thing for the energy and oil markets and for oil prices across the globe in the long term when you no longer have a terrorist regime that is restricting the free flow of energy through the Strait of Hormuz and to the rest of the world." Trump has a plan and it WILL WORK 🇺🇸

🚨 JUST IN: Karoline Leavitt says eliminating the Iranian terrorist regime will HELP oil prices in the long-term "To obliterate the Iranian regime will be a VERY good thing for the energy and oil markets and for oil prices across the globe in the long term when you no longer have a terrorist regime that is restricting the free flow of energy through the Strait of Hormuz and to the rest of the world." Trump has a plan and it WILL WORK 🇺🇸

Eric Daugherty

28,250 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

Apollo Chief Economist Torsten Slok believes there is going to be a short-term disturbance in the bond market and 50 years of security in the Middle East that will keep oil prices down

Apollo Chief Economist Torsten Slok believes there is going to be a short-term disturbance in the bond market and 50 years of security in the Middle East that will keep oil prices down

Bloomberg TV

34,946 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

A sudden rise in oil similar to where it hit $147 a barrel in July 2008 has all kinds of secondary effects in the economy and global liquidity. FoFty talked about that on his video today. The problem is, even if this large oil spike is temporary it will have economic effects that impact us in 30-60 days. The larger the spike, the more economic damage. However, the Trump administration has been clear they're going to give the Iranian people an opportunity to take back their own country. Trump has posted comments on Truth Social indicating this. During that period of civil unrest, US military action is halted. So what we could see is a dramatic drop in oil prices once that is announced and then a resumption of the price spike once it's declared that they're putting boots on the ground. Right now, it will take about 3 weeks to move enough US troops to Europe and prepare them to deploy in the middle of Iran with C-17s. In this scenario, European nations like France, Germany and UK will be joining in the operation. This period of calm could end in a massive escalation. This also explains why the Trump administration has drafted the legal framework to deploy the National Guard in 50 US states by April 2026.

A sudden rise in oil similar to where it hit $147 a barrel in July 2008 has all kinds of secondary effects in the economy and global liquidity. FoFty talked about that on his video today. The problem is, even if this large oil spike is temporary it will have economic effects that impact us in 30-60 days. The larger the spike, the more economic damage. However, the Trump administration has been clear they're going to give the Iranian people an opportunity to take back their own country. Trump has posted comments on Truth Social indicating this. During that period of civil unrest, US military action is halted. So what we could see is a dramatic drop in oil prices once that is announced and then a resumption of the price spike once it's declared that they're putting boots on the ground. Right now, it will take about 3 weeks to move enough US troops to Europe and prepare them to deploy in the middle of Iran with C-17s. In this scenario, European nations like France, Germany and UK will be joining in the operation. This period of calm could end in a massive escalation. This also explains why the Trump administration has drafted the legal framework to deploy the National Guard in 50 US states by April 2026.

Financelot

35,857 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

I called it this morning. Maduro’s capture is going to hurt the Canadian economy. We are currently the world’s largest exporter of crude oil to the US. Trump just announced that billions will be invested in Venezuela, by some of the biggest US oil companies, to restore their infrastructure. That means that the US, now has another supplier. One that has the biggest oil reserves in the world. The Liberals, and their radical green agenda, including Bill C69, kept oil in the ground. They stopped pipelines from flowing East to West, and stopped the Keystone XL pipeline that Trump asked for in early 2025. The US has now taken the same advice they gave to Germany when they were too reliant on Russian gas: they diversified. And long term, if Canada doesn’t act fast, TODAY, we will be in big trouble economically. We can no longer wait. We need to extract our oil & gas, we need to make major investments, including sending our energy to Europe & Asia. Our leverage for CUSMA, is now at risk.

I called it this morning. Maduro’s capture is going to hurt the Canadian economy. We are currently the world’s largest exporter of crude oil to the US. Trump just announced that billions will be invested in Venezuela, by some of the biggest US oil companies, to restore their infrastructure. That means that the US, now has another supplier. One that has the biggest oil reserves in the world. The Liberals, and their radical green agenda, including Bill C69, kept oil in the ground. They stopped pipelines from flowing East to West, and stopped the Keystone XL pipeline that Trump asked for in early 2025. The US has now taken the same advice they gave to Germany when they were too reliant on Russian gas: they diversified. And long term, if Canada doesn’t act fast, TODAY, we will be in big trouble economically. We can no longer wait. We need to extract our oil & gas, we need to make major investments, including sending our energy to Europe & Asia. Our leverage for CUSMA, is now at risk.

Mario Zelaya

164,635 Aufrufe • vor 8 Monaten

So Gil, an American analyst: "If we drag out the war with Iran, the US will collapse like the Soviet Union." Gil in an interview with Steve Bannon: "This conflict with Iran, if we continue it, will last forever. It will be another endless war. I know Trump said it would be a four-day war and hoped it would be like with Venezuela, but that's not the case - much more forces are involved here... The biggest victory Trump can now achieve is to withdraw from this conflict, leave the Middle East, and we need to focus on internal problems now. This spring alone, more than 100 billion dollars have already been spent on this conflict. Gas prices are high. You know, strategic oil reserves are almost at zero. We need to leave the Middle East. As I've already said, it's a trap, and it's draining our strength. The Soviet Union collapsed due to its conflicts in Afghanistan in the 1980s, and the same will happen to us. We can't, our credit is exhausted, we're on our last legs financially."

So Gil, an American analyst: "If we drag out the war with Iran, the US will collapse like the Soviet Union." Gil in an interview with Steve Bannon: "This conflict with Iran, if we continue it, will last forever. It will be another endless war. I know Trump said it would be a four-day war and hoped it would be like with Venezuela, but that's not the case - much more forces are involved here... The biggest victory Trump can now achieve is to withdraw from this conflict, leave the Middle East, and we need to focus on internal problems now. This spring alone, more than 100 billion dollars have already been spent on this conflict. Gas prices are high. You know, strategic oil reserves are almost at zero. We need to leave the Middle East. As I've already said, it's a trap, and it's draining our strength. The Soviet Union collapsed due to its conflicts in Afghanistan in the 1980s, and the same will happen to us. We can't, our credit is exhausted, we're on our last legs financially."

𝕊𝕡𝕣𝕚𝕟𝕥𝕖𝕣 𝕻𝕣𝕖𝕤𝕤

22,237 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

BREAKING: The Iranian Parliament says Iran is seriously looking at a possible closure of the Strait of Hormuz due to Israel's attacks. If this happens, this would be absolutely devastating for the United States and most of the world, as 24% of the world's oil passes through it. Disrupting oil shipping would likely trigger an immediate surge in oil prices, potentially over $100–150/barrel. This would increase U.S. gas prices, drive inflation, and hurt American consumers and businesses.

BREAKING: The Iranian Parliament says Iran is seriously looking at a possible closure of the Strait of Hormuz due to Israel's attacks. If this happens, this would be absolutely devastating for the United States and most of the world, as 24% of the world's oil passes through it. Disrupting oil shipping would likely trigger an immediate surge in oil prices, potentially over $100–150/barrel. This would increase U.S. gas prices, drive inflation, and hurt American consumers and businesses.

Ed Krassenstein

2,424,843 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

“The vessel will go to a U.S. port and the United States does intend to seize the oil. However, there is a legal process for the seizure of that oil, and that legal process will be followed.” White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt said that the Trump administration intends to seize oil contained in the oil tanker that the Trump administration took control of off the coast of Venezuela yesterday. Venezuela has the largest known oil reserves in the world, and oil exports are the government’s main source of revenue. Read more:

“The vessel will go to a U.S. port and the United States does intend to seize the oil. However, there is a legal process for the seizure of that oil, and that legal process will be followed.” White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt said that the Trump administration intends to seize oil contained in the oil tanker that the Trump administration took control of off the coast of Venezuela yesterday. Venezuela has the largest known oil reserves in the world, and oil exports are the government’s main source of revenue. Read more:

ABC News

98,315 Aufrufe • vor 8 Monaten

🚨 NEW: BlackRock Chairman and CEO Larry Fink tells Fox News’ Bret Baier the conflict with Iran will NOT have a lasting economic impact and may lead to LOWER oil prices: "Do I believe the war is going to be lasting a long time? No. Do I believe oil is going be reverting back to where it was? Maybe even lower." "If the outcome of the war is a neutralized Iran, and they are allowed to be selling … oil products into the market again, I mean there's probably a great probability that oil is gonna be below 50.” "We have seen many people pulling out of the market. And, to me, that is the wrong outcome," Fink argues. "In fact, I've been getting so many texts, ‘What should I do?’ And I said, ‘Buy more here.’ This is a good long-term opportunity."

🚨 NEW: BlackRock Chairman and CEO Larry Fink tells Fox News’ Bret Baier the conflict with Iran will NOT have a lasting economic impact and may lead to LOWER oil prices: "Do I believe the war is going to be lasting a long time? No. Do I believe oil is going be reverting back to where it was? Maybe even lower." "If the outcome of the war is a neutralized Iran, and they are allowed to be selling … oil products into the market again, I mean there's probably a great probability that oil is gonna be below 50.” "We have seen many people pulling out of the market. And, to me, that is the wrong outcome," Fink argues. "In fact, I've been getting so many texts, ‘What should I do?’ And I said, ‘Buy more here.’ This is a good long-term opportunity."

TV News Now

19,999 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

Mockler: When they announced the tariffs, they said this is short term pain for long term gain. That was like 12 months ago. And we're still in the short term pain part. When are we going to enter the long term gain part because tariffs imposed $1,000 tax on American families in 2025. Now this war is spiking, the price of oil spiking the price of gas spiking everything. And the economy is suffering.

Mockler: When they announced the tariffs, they said this is short term pain for long term gain. That was like 12 months ago. And we're still in the short term pain part. When are we going to enter the long term gain part because tariffs imposed $1,000 tax on American families in 2025. Now this war is spiking, the price of oil spiking the price of gas spiking everything. And the economy is suffering.

Acyn

67,474 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

🇺🇲🇷🇺 The US is preparing to lift oil sanctions against Russia Finance Minister Scott Bessent stated that peaceful agreements will unblock access to resources under sanctions. After the end of the war in Ukraine and the stabilization of the situation in Iran and Venezuela, we will be able to see a significant drop in oil prices. This will result in a huge amount of oil being removed from the sanctions of the Ministry of Finance and being able to enter the market.

🇺🇲🇷🇺 The US is preparing to lift oil sanctions against Russia Finance Minister Scott Bessent stated that peaceful agreements will unblock access to resources under sanctions. After the end of the war in Ukraine and the stabilization of the situation in Iran and Venezuela, we will be able to see a significant drop in oil prices. This will result in a huge amount of oil being removed from the sanctions of the Ministry of Finance and being able to enter the market.

Visioner

24,431 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten

Sarang Shidore: India🇮🇳 is NOT backing down on Russian🇷🇺 oil, and 100% tariffs would only harm the US🇺🇸 economy 'This new move is just another and the latest attempt to try and get India to stop buying Russian oil. In this situation, the attempt was to corner Iran and get it to sign on the dotted line, as they say, but it has spectacularly failed. I think the dilemma of this oil business is that if you stop Russian oil sales, then you actually reduce the amount of oil in the markets and you raise the prices for everybody, including American consumers. And we are in an election cycle here. There is an attempt and then there is a reality. There is a circumvention. And I think what will happen on the ground will be more nuanced and complicated than what is declared in Washington.' -Sarang Shidore, Director of the Global South Program at the Quincy Institute, on the latest episode of New Order. Watch the full interview in the quoted post below. 👇

Sarang Shidore: India🇮🇳 is NOT backing down on Russian🇷🇺 oil, and 100% tariffs would only harm the US🇺🇸 economy 'This new move is just another and the latest attempt to try and get India to stop buying Russian oil. In this situation, the attempt was to corner Iran and get it to sign on the dotted line, as they say, but it has spectacularly failed. I think the dilemma of this oil business is that if you stop Russian oil sales, then you actually reduce the amount of oil in the markets and you raise the prices for everybody, including American consumers. And we are in an election cycle here. There is an attempt and then there is a reality. There is a circumvention. And I think what will happen on the ground will be more nuanced and complicated than what is declared in Washington.' -Sarang Shidore, Director of the Global South Program at the Quincy Institute, on the latest episode of New Order. Watch the full interview in the quoted post below. 👇

New Order with Afshin Rattansi

64,069 Aufrufe • vor 15 Tagen

Now that President Trump has declared that the US is in control of Venezuela and that the US plans on taking back the oil, it makes zero sense for there to still be sanctions on Venezuela under the Trump administration. The sanctions were imposed by the Trump administration in addition to an oil embargo and sanctions on entities involved in Venezuela's oil and gold industries, including "shadow fleet" tankers evading sanctions, because of Maduro’s behavior. Now that Maduro Nicolás Maduro has been captured, the Trump administration should immediately lift sanctions on Venezuela and restore all of the oil licenses to American energy executives and American oil companies. Why would you want to have sanctions on a country you yourself control when you could just re issue the oil licenses to Americans and retake the 1 million barrels of oil per day that are being exported to China from Venezuela? China shouldn’t be getting that oil. It should all be going to the United States. It’s time for America to neutralize Russia, Iran and China’s access to oil in the Western Hemisphere and assert energy dominance in Venezuela. Hopefully, we see the Trump administration reissue the oil licenses to American oil companies who have infrastructure in Venezuela. Maduro is out. Let’s make 2026 the year America controls the largest oil, rare earth minerals and gold reserves in the world. Cc: President Donald J. Trump Marco Rubio Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent

Now that President Trump has declared that the US is in control of Venezuela and that the US plans on taking back the oil, it makes zero sense for there to still be sanctions on Venezuela under the Trump administration. The sanctions were imposed by the Trump administration in addition to an oil embargo and sanctions on entities involved in Venezuela's oil and gold industries, including "shadow fleet" tankers evading sanctions, because of Maduro’s behavior. Now that Maduro Nicolás Maduro has been captured, the Trump administration should immediately lift sanctions on Venezuela and restore all of the oil licenses to American energy executives and American oil companies. Why would you want to have sanctions on a country you yourself control when you could just re issue the oil licenses to Americans and retake the 1 million barrels of oil per day that are being exported to China from Venezuela? China shouldn’t be getting that oil. It should all be going to the United States. It’s time for America to neutralize Russia, Iran and China’s access to oil in the Western Hemisphere and assert energy dominance in Venezuela. Hopefully, we see the Trump administration reissue the oil licenses to American oil companies who have infrastructure in Venezuela. Maduro is out. Let’s make 2026 the year America controls the largest oil, rare earth minerals and gold reserves in the world. Cc: President Donald J. Trump Marco Rubio Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent

Laura Loomer

577,828 Aufrufe • vor 8 Monaten

Sachs: This is a brazen US and Israeli attack on the whole world because it will bring down the world economy. Russia and China understand that this is a war of American global hegemony. And the US system is so broken that it’s like Rome being in the hands of Nero or Caligula. We’re on the way to a global economic catastrophe. Give it another few weeks: the production of gas and oil will be shut down. The facilities for transporting that gas and oil will be destroyed. The port facilities will be destroyed, and the Strait of Hormuz will still be closed. That will lead to a massive global economic crisis. Clearly, this would be a worldwide economic shock of enormous proportions.

Sachs: This is a brazen US and Israeli attack on the whole world because it will bring down the world economy. Russia and China understand that this is a war of American global hegemony. And the US system is so broken that it’s like Rome being in the hands of Nero or Caligula. We’re on the way to a global economic catastrophe. Give it another few weeks: the production of gas and oil will be shut down. The facilities for transporting that gas and oil will be destroyed. The port facilities will be destroyed, and the Strait of Hormuz will still be closed. That will lead to a massive global economic crisis. Clearly, this would be a worldwide economic shock of enormous proportions.

🅰pocalypsis 🅰pocalypseos 🇷🇺 🇨🇳 🅉

35,309 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

With the attacks by Hamas in Israel, a lot of people are spreading misinformation alleging that the US gave Iran $6 billion and that this money is the cause for the escalation. This is simply an outright lie. - Yes, Iran has supported Hamas, and Hamas obtained a lot of weapons from Iran. - No, the US did NOT give Iran $6 billion, and it certainly did not end up in the hands of terrorists. What really happened with the $6 billion. - The US unfroze $6 billion in Iranian money (Not US money or US taxpayer dollars). It was Iran’s money that was in South Korean bank accounts. The money came from oil sales that were put into accounts that were set up under the Trump administration. - The US allowed the money to be transferred to accounts in Qatar, without violating sanctions, in exchange for 5 US citizens getting to come home to their families. - The US has strict limits on how the money can be used, and it is NOT under the complete control of the Iranian government. The money is only permitted to be taken out in exchange for humanitarian purchase such as food, medicine, and farm supplies. The US still has the ability to freeze the money if any rules are broken and they can validate where every dollar that is withdrawn ends up going. Those are the facts.

With the attacks by Hamas in Israel, a lot of people are spreading misinformation alleging that the US gave Iran $6 billion and that this money is the cause for the escalation. This is simply an outright lie. - Yes, Iran has supported Hamas, and Hamas obtained a lot of weapons from Iran. - No, the US did NOT give Iran $6 billion, and it certainly did not end up in the hands of terrorists. What really happened with the $6 billion. - The US unfroze $6 billion in Iranian money (Not US money or US taxpayer dollars). It was Iran’s money that was in South Korean bank accounts. The money came from oil sales that were put into accounts that were set up under the Trump administration. - The US allowed the money to be transferred to accounts in Qatar, without violating sanctions, in exchange for 5 US citizens getting to come home to their families. - The US has strict limits on how the money can be used, and it is NOT under the complete control of the Iranian government. The money is only permitted to be taken out in exchange for humanitarian purchase such as food, medicine, and farm supplies. The US still has the ability to freeze the money if any rules are broken and they can validate where every dollar that is withdrawn ends up going. Those are the facts.

Ed Krassenstein

5,058,877 Aufrufe • vor 2 Jahren

The strategy is clear for Prime Minister Takaichi: she needs Japan to help with the Strait of Hormuz. They import ~70% of their oil from the region, and they cannot drop the price themselves. So the sooner they make a deal, the faster they will recover. They don’t even need to provide any technology, because the US military and surrounding players have that all covered. They just need to provide them the insurance - and I’m estimating it’s around $4B monthly - to keep the peace. Same goes for other countries heavily relying on oil imports from the region. Just imagine if China joins in? That would be a remarkable result!

The strategy is clear for Prime Minister Takaichi: she needs Japan to help with the Strait of Hormuz. They import ~70% of their oil from the region, and they cannot drop the price themselves. So the sooner they make a deal, the faster they will recover. They don’t even need to provide any technology, because the US military and surrounding players have that all covered. They just need to provide them the insurance - and I’m estimating it’s around $4B monthly - to keep the peace. Same goes for other countries heavily relying on oil imports from the region. Just imagine if China joins in? That would be a remarkable result!

Kevin O'Leary aka Mr. Wonderful

38,160 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

Alastair Crooke (Alastair Crooke): “Trump keeps saying he has all the cards, but listen to our cards. One is Hormuz. We control Hormuz, and we’ll continue. We are able to control Bab al-Mandab in the Red Sea, and we can control pipelines. This is why I keep saying Iran’s aim in this war is to break the whole paradigm. I don’t see a path to a solution. They’re completely incapable of seeing that others have different ways of thinking and seeing reality from a different perspective. They can’t understand that. We in the West are going to feel the consequences directly. There won’t be petrol in the petrol stations or gasoline in the gas stations. There will be difficulty getting your children to school as a consequence. There will not be the food that you want. You will not have aluminum foil in the shops any longer. Aluminum comes through Hormuz overwhelmingly. We are in this neverworld at the moment—we all have heard that it’s going to be so serious, yet it hasn’t fully impacted. People won’t be able to afford to fly. They won’t be able to easily get their cars refueled. The cost of electricity and other things is going to go shooting up. Europe is going to be in dire pain. I will just say that this is also something much bigger. This is why it’s part of a global war. The other thing that Iran is fighting in this war is the financial architecture—not just the dollar hegemony, not just the petrodollar, but the whole structure by which the Gulf states were set up in 1973 to keep the oil price high and transfer the enormous excess savings that came from this into Wall Street. This underpinned the financialized world. Because it has come at the price of depressing or suppressing the real economy in favor of an economy that is all about trading and making instant money on markets, not by actually producing things in the real world. You can quickly make a few hundred million in an afternoon by insider trading on the markets. One of the long-term consequences of this war will be the complete destruction of markets and pricing as a result of all this insider trading and the complete disparities. We pick up the paper and they say, “Oh well, oil has just gone down from $98 to $93.” Try buying a barrel of oil at that price. It’s just completely manipulated.” Summary: Iran is fighting to break the financial-military siege paradigm that has choked its economy for 47 years. Control of Hormuz is not just about oil—it’s about reordering regional sovereignty. The West’s financialized system is already showing its fragility (fake oil prices, supply chain breaks), and time favors Iran because it has physical reserves, a mobilized population, and a strategic vision that transcends nation-state logic. Trump’s personal psychology and Israel’s apocalyptic messianism are the two insurmountable roadblocks to any negotiated settlement.

Alastair Crooke (Alastair Crooke): “Trump keeps saying he has all the cards, but listen to our cards. One is Hormuz. We control Hormuz, and we’ll continue. We are able to control Bab al-Mandab in the Red Sea, and we can control pipelines. This is why I keep saying Iran’s aim in this war is to break the whole paradigm. I don’t see a path to a solution. They’re completely incapable of seeing that others have different ways of thinking and seeing reality from a different perspective. They can’t understand that. We in the West are going to feel the consequences directly. There won’t be petrol in the petrol stations or gasoline in the gas stations. There will be difficulty getting your children to school as a consequence. There will not be the food that you want. You will not have aluminum foil in the shops any longer. Aluminum comes through Hormuz overwhelmingly. We are in this neverworld at the moment—we all have heard that it’s going to be so serious, yet it hasn’t fully impacted. People won’t be able to afford to fly. They won’t be able to easily get their cars refueled. The cost of electricity and other things is going to go shooting up. Europe is going to be in dire pain. I will just say that this is also something much bigger. This is why it’s part of a global war. The other thing that Iran is fighting in this war is the financial architecture—not just the dollar hegemony, not just the petrodollar, but the whole structure by which the Gulf states were set up in 1973 to keep the oil price high and transfer the enormous excess savings that came from this into Wall Street. This underpinned the financialized world. Because it has come at the price of depressing or suppressing the real economy in favor of an economy that is all about trading and making instant money on markets, not by actually producing things in the real world. You can quickly make a few hundred million in an afternoon by insider trading on the markets. One of the long-term consequences of this war will be the complete destruction of markets and pricing as a result of all this insider trading and the complete disparities. We pick up the paper and they say, “Oh well, oil has just gone down from $98 to $93.” Try buying a barrel of oil at that price. It’s just completely manipulated.” Summary: Iran is fighting to break the financial-military siege paradigm that has choked its economy for 47 years. Control of Hormuz is not just about oil—it’s about reordering regional sovereignty. The West’s financialized system is already showing its fragility (fake oil prices, supply chain breaks), and time favors Iran because it has physical reserves, a mobilized population, and a strategic vision that transcends nation-state logic. Trump’s personal psychology and Israel’s apocalyptic messianism are the two insurmountable roadblocks to any negotiated settlement.

🅰pocalypsis 🅰pocalypseos 🇷🇺 🇨🇳 🅉

33,710 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten