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The Bitcoin Intelligence is About to Launch! We have something exciting to share. Next week, we are launching the ultimate Bitcoin analytics platform – Bitcoin Intelligence – which you have been asking for all along. It includes: 1- Bitcoin data & live charts with our models (Quantile Model, VPLI,...

42,596 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce •via X (Twitter)

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Sina 🗝️⚡ 21st Capital profil fotoğrafı
Sina 🗝️⚡ 21st Capital1 yıl önce

Join the waitlist here:

Sina 🗝️⚡ 21st Capital profil fotoğrafı
Sina 🗝️⚡ 21st Capital1 yıl önce

Also in case you missed it here is my analysis of the reasons behind the financial markets’ weakness

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Stephan Livera1 yıl önce

Congrats, I signed up on the waitlist

Sina 🗝️⚡ 21st Capital profil fotoğrafı
Sina 🗝️⚡ 21st Capital1 yıl önce

Thank you, Stephan. It is fantastic to have you with us on the journey.

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Tim Brooks1 yıl önce

exciting! I've been waiting for this for sooooo long

Sina 🗝️⚡ 21st Capital profil fotoğrafı
Sina 🗝️⚡ 21st Capital1 yıl önce

finally!!!

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My2Sats1 yıl önce

Joined the list! Congratulations and excited for this

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Great to have you 2Sats

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free or commercial?

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Free with the option to upgrade

Benzer Videolar

Debunking the Flat Bitcoin Theory 🧵 In the early days of Bitcoin (2009-2014) there was a massive amount of experimentation and innovation on bitcoin The first NFTs and cryptoart started on Bitcoin The first memecoins started on Bitcoin The first stablecoins and real world assets started on Bitcoin The first dapps started on Bitcoin The first DEX started on Bitcoin The first on-chain governance started on Bitcoin The first crypto degens were playing Satoshi Dice on Bitcoin But then the OP_RETURN wars happened and people like Luke Dashjr vilified innovation and scared builders away resulting in a long period of stagnation (2015-2023) This period of stagnation gave birth to the Flat Bitcoin Theory which infected the minds of nearly everyone The Flat Bitcoin Theory is a belief held by "Flat Bitcoiners" who think that Bitcoin is a boring blockchain that is not capable of the innovative use cases that we see on alt L1s like Ethereum or Solana But thankfully in January 2023 Casey burst onto the scene with the ordinals protocol and one by one people have been waking up from this lie and realizing that Bitcoin is actually multidimensional and capable of everything you could possibly imagine and more Since then Bitcoin has experienced a renaissance of innovation with a new set of builders picking up where the set of OG builders left off Jeremy Lin | 🔄 DotSwap (On Nexus) from @dot_swap has defied all FUD and delivered a trustless liquidity pool style experience on Bitcoin L1 for Runes with zero MEV Stan from Sats Terminal has built an advanced order routing and aggregation engine for Runes trading on Bitcoin L1 Scott 🟠 from radFi has revived the Runes trenches with a token launchpad on Bitcoin L1 that thousands of people use every day Robin | Liquidium from Liquidium | Bitcoin Loans built a Runes and Ordinals lending protocol that has processed hundreds of millions of dollars of volume which proves that DeFi can thrive on Bitcoin L1 domo and Binari from BRC 2.0 and Tagga from Alkanes have been relentlessly pursing a vision for general purpose smart contracts on Bitcoin L1 TO from Pizza Pets built a fully on-chain multiplayer game directly on Bitcoin L1 Ken Liao from built a Bitcoin wallet for interacting with Bitcoin L1 dapps that is so sleek that it puts Ethereum's flagship wallet MetaMask to shame danny huuep from OnChainMonkey® pioneered a new way to store an entire 10K PFP collection on Bitcoin for only $23 that is now widely adopted by hundreds of other Ordinals collections SergeSats has formed the Bitcoin Art Society to preserve Bitcoin's on-chain culture for future generation has dedicated months of his life to ensuring that once a year there is a place where bitcoin builders can gather to celebrate experimentation on bitcoin at Bitcoin Summit Massive decentralized communities like the $DOG Army and Bitcoin Puppets have rallied together to support all of these innovations and champion the Bitcoin ecosystem Do not ever let anyone tell you that Bitcoin is not capable of something or that you must only use Bitcoin in a certain way The Bitcoin network is more secure and robust longterm when it is winning at developer mindshare and blocks are filled with a diverse set of on-chain activity It is up to us, the Ordinals, Runes, and Bitcoin DeFi ecosystem to be stewards of this technology now so go build the most badass applications possible and never stop fighting for innovation on Bitcoin!

Leonidas 🧡 $DOG

62,894 görüntüleme • 10 ay önce

Making Sense Of Strategy What is happening with $MSTR? If you’ve been following me on X for any meaningful length of time, you will know that I have been attempting to calibrate people’s expectations of the stock's performance for the best part of 2025. Here I have synthesised all of my thoughts and distilled them into a single video. If you prefer YouTube, you can watch it here: If you prefer written format, continue reading. The first thing we need to understand is what Strategy is and why people invest in it. Strategy At the highest level, Strategy is leveraged Bitcoin. That’s it. Strategy leverages debt to acquire more Bitcoin. Therefore, the main reason you invest in Strategy is because you want to outperform Bitcoin. The only thing better than Bitcoin is more Bitcoin. The second thing we need to understand is mNAV. mNAV Generally speaking for a pure-play Bitcoin Treasury Company like Strategy, mNAV is a reflection of the market's expectation of future Bitcoin Yield. Bitcoin Yield comes with diminishing returns because each additional Bitcoin purchase contributes less to Bitcoin Per Share. Thus, the larger your Bitcoin stack, the harder it becomes to generate Bitcoin Yield and by extension the harder it becomes to outperform Bitcoin. This is why on a Bitcoin Standard, over a long enough time horizon, mNAV trends towards 1 since the maximum amount of Bitcoin you can own is 21M. With all this in mind, why is Strategy trading where it is and why is it trading at such a low mNAV? There are a few reasons. 1. Strategy Is A Different Company In 2025 Firstly, Strategy is a totally different company in 2025 to the one it was in 2020. For context, believe it or not, the company only introduced Bitcoin Yield and Bitcoin Per Share in the July 2024 Q2 Earnings Call and so it was only after that that they began optimising for those metrics. In my view, that is also when Michael Saylor truly started to understand the opportunity that was in front of him, which is why in October 2024 we saw Strategy announce the 21/21 plan which became the catalyst for the parabolic run we saw in November 2024 where $MSTR went on to briefly hit an all-time-high of around $550. Since people are comparing $MSTR this cycle to the $MSTR of last cycle when it briefly traded at an mNAV of over 8x, it is distorting their expectations. Again, Strategy is a totally different company today with a totally different set of dynamics. 2. New Industry Secondly, we need to recognise that the Bitcoin Treasury Company industry is entirely new which means that the market has been forced to learn and adapt in real-time. With Strategy being the first and by far the largest Bitcoin Treasury Company, it has gained a disproportionate amount of attention and as a result it has attracted a disproportionate amount of speculative capital along the way while everyone has been trying to figure out how to value it. Consequently, in my view, the move we saw in November 2024 was an over-correction to the upside — which by the way coincided with Bitcoin’s parabolic run following Donald Trump’s election win — and what we’re now seeing is an over-correction to the downside. 3. Bitcoin Yield Thirdly, as I mentioned at the beginning, Bitcoin Treasury Companies are currently valued based on how much Bitcoin Yield they are expected to generate in the future. At the time of recording, Strategy currently holds precisely 637,460 Bitcoin — that’s over 3% of the total Bitcoin supply — which means that it is much, much harder to generate meaningful Bitcoin Yield, which again is why we’re seeing the mNAV compress. However, there is a caveat here. There is another metric that Strategy have introduced which is Bitcoin $ Gain. Bitcoin $ Gain is defined as the $ value of newly acquired Bitcoin within any period. Strategy — and I don’t blame them — have been attempting to encourage the market to interpret Bitcoin $ Gain as “earnings” and to value the company based on how much earnings it is expected to generate in the future. For full disclosure, I personally dislike Bitcoin $ Gain as a valuation metric. I think framing it as “earnings” is misleading and disingenuous. I understand why it has been introduced because it speaks the language of Wall Street. However, traditional earnings are final. Bitcoin $ Gain is not because it is forever subject to the price of Bitcoin. Therefore, for Bitcoin $ Gain to be embraced by Wall Street, the market must collectively agree that Bitcoin is going up forever. I remain very sceptical of that happening — especially in the short-to-medium term. However, I am also not attached to my beliefs and so if Wall Street does decide to embrace Bitcoin $ Gain as its primary valuation metric, then $MSTR is likely undervalued by a factor of 5-10x. If not, then $MSTR is likely undervalued by a factor of 1-2x. If you’re not content with the latter being the worst case scenario, then the stock probably isn’t for you. 4. Preferred Products Fourthly, the Strategy thesis right now revolves entirely around the success of its preferred products. Remember, Michael Saylor wants Strategy to become the Amazon of the fixed income market. Thus, we’re not talking about a small innovation here — we are talking about completely transforming global finance. This means that the process of generating awareness and educating the market that will ultimately drive demand for these products is going to take years — not months — which is why you need to have a long time-horizon. Presently, the market is completely discounting the success of Strategy’s preferred products. What it’s not factoring in however is that the capital markets are desperate for yield right now. Thus, when — not if — but when, they eventually wake up to Bitcoin, how do you think they’re going to get that yield? Who is going to be the entity that is offering Bitcoin-backed credit instruments at scale? The answer is obviously Strategy, but again, this is a 5-to-10 year and beyond story. So with all that said, if you’re reading this right now, what should you do? Valuing Strategy There are 3 steps you need to take: 1. Firstly, you need to define your time horizon. In other words, how long do you intend on holding the stock for? 2. Secondly, you need to estimate either — depending on your preferred metric — how much Bitcoin Yield or how much Bitcoin $ Gain you expect Strategy to generate during that period and then calculate how much you expect $MSTR to outperform Bitcoin based on those values. 3. Thirdly, ask yourself whether you’d be satisfied with the level of outperformance you have calculated? In other words, is the trade-off worth it? Or would you be better off investing in either spot Bitcoin, an alternative Bitcoin Treasury Company or a Bitcoin ETF. If you’re satisfied with the level of outperformance that you’ve calculated, then $MSTR it probably a good choice of investment for you. If you're not satisfied, then $MSTR is probably a bad choice of investment for you. I personally believe that $MSTR will outperform Bitcoin by a minimum factor of 1-2x over the next 5/10 years and potentially much more if Bitcoin $ Gain becomes the primary metric by which it is valued, but again, I remain sceptical of that happening. Regardless, the best is yet to come.

Chris Millas

36,835 görüntüleme • 10 ay önce

Michael Saylor's end game is to buy $3 trillion worth of #Bitcoin! 👀 Microstrategy could, CONSERVATIVELY, own approximately 16% of the total Bitcoin Supply or 3,439,002 Bitcoin!! For those that think this is a MOONBOI projection, listen to the video clip below, VERY CLOSELY, and you will hear him say that he plans on buying $3 trillion worth of Bitcoin 🤯 Even if Saylor buys $3 trillion worth of Bitcoin, at an average price of $1 million per coin, he would be able to buy 3,000,000 Bitcoin! Check my math! This would CONSERVATIVELY bring his total Bitcoin holdings to 3,444,262, or 16% of the total Bitcoin Supply!! Saylor could single handedly jack the price of Bitcoin to $1 million per coin and Samson Mow's Omega candle could be coming in 2025. What going to happen when Nation States, Google, Amazon, Facebook and billions of people complement Saylor's $3 trillion purchase? What is bigger than an omega candle? I asked GROK and it doesn't even know! 😂 I think we should name it the ♾️ candle. This would be representative of Wicked's Stock to Fomo model (see graphic below) and his post: Saylor has said he is going to double his $42 Billion Bitcoin investment at least 4 times and here is how this could lead to him acquiring more than 4 million Bitcoin in 2025: Q1 2025 - Raise $84 Billion to buy 700,000 Bitcoin at average price of $120k/Bitcoin. Q2 2025 - Raise $168 Billion to buy 988,235 Bitcoin at average price of $170k/Bitcoin Q3 2025 - Raise $336 Billion to buy 1,050,000 Bitcoin at average price of $320k/Bitcoin Q4 2025 - Raise $672 Billion to buy 1,680,000 Bitcoin at average price of $400k/Bitcoin In one year there is the possibility that he could REALISTICALLY buy 4,418,235 Bitcoin!! I say "realistically" because the demand for Saylor's $42 Billion equity raise was so great that he is going to be able to use it all up in 3-4 months instead of the projected 3 years!!🤯 This would bring their current Bitcoin holdings of 444,262 Bitcoin to 4,857,237!!!! Or 23% of all Bitcoin!! Calculations are based on our post below: We are closer to $1 million Bitcoin than you think. I believe we will get to this price sooner than Wicked 's projected date of 4/4/2030. I agree with Samson that we get to $1 million per coin by the end of 2025! Hold on to your hat, because we are about to experience exponential, LIFTOFF. To understand exponential growth, envision yourself holding two very powerful magnets. As you start to bring the two magnets together, it gets harder to hold them apart and all of a sudden, BAM, they clap together! This is what we are about to experience, a SUDDEN BAM, in the price of Bitcoin as adoption goes from <1% to 10% in a very short time frame. Now you may better understand why Saylor is frantically, but intelligently, trying to buy $42 Billion of Bitcoin. As an engineer he understands what exponential demand will cause to the price of a finite commodity. Saylor has been on record as saying that "he will be buying the top forever." Don't ever underestimate an astro/aeronautical MIT engineer.

Satoshi’s Journal

280,298 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce

THANK GOD IT'S FRIDAY!!! Been working like a dog for a launch this week.. I'm trying to be compact here... bear with me: Let's wrap up the last 6 months. Since the first BTCHEL event last year, we have: • Upgraded the BTCHEL Hub from a temporary pop-up shop to a permanent and versatile physical space for local bitcoiners. You're welcome to check it out on Fridays when we have open doors and free entry! • Promoted Kaisu Hyvärinen, an experienced event producer as the company's COO and hired new talent; Rachel Geyer, the chairman of European Bitcoin Energy Association, to lead a new event we're launching. Welcome to our team, Rachel! • Raised a seed stage funding round of 100,000€ on a million-euro valuation for the company. We now have two prominent Finnish bitcoin mining companies on board around the year. Now, what's next for 2026? Today marks the 200-day countdown to this year's BTCHEL WEEK and thus we start to push the momentum for real. We launch a new, european wide bitcoin mining industry event similar to what they have in the US... it's about time we have our own in Europe. It's called the EUROPEAN MINING SUMMIT 2026 or EMS in short. EMS is the must-attend industry event for anyone with an interest in bitcoin mining in Europe. Miners, hardware manufacturers, hosts, pools, power plants and the whole energy sector. Our goal is to bring as much hashrate to Europe as possible. This has a tremendous impact for Europe's energy independence, abundance and decarbonisation. Now that we have our trademark industry event where we serve our corporate clients, we can now double down on HC cypherpunk and bitcoin pleb culture at BTCHEL2026. We are committed to staying true to the community ethos at the main event, so be prepared to see the most audacious and unapologetic bitcoin event in September. For BTCHEL, our vision is the actualization of the global Bitcoin Standard, and we are taking care of the Nordics by becoming the most influential Bitcoin media in our region. For that reason, we are sponsoring two other bitcoin conferences here this year: Bitcoin Copenhagen on March 21st and Bitcoin Symposium in Stockholm on April 24th. We want to show support to different initiatives accelerating the local bitcoin adoption in the Nordics with us. I know the market sentiment for bitcoin has not been the best lately, but I'm more bullish than ever. Bear with us through 2026 🧡

Remu ⚡️

19,572 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce

Most people think about Bitcoin treasury companies incorrectly Here is why I think they are good for Bitcoin & why they are misunderstood: 1) Treasury companies are capitalizing the Bitcoin industry for a century to come 2) They are future Bitcoin Banks 3) However, they are developing in the reverse order compared to everything else - monetization first and then later on core business activities -- Bitcoin has traditionally received $1 for every $100 in funds that Crypto took in - it has historically been challenging to raise money for Bitcoin focused businesses. My view is that Treasury companies are changing this, and while the first phase will simply be acquiring as much Bitcoin as possible - they will later need to ensure the value of Bitcoin grows and find ways to use BTC as capital in a larger marketplace. These firms will become the future Bitcoin Banks and also Bitcoin conglomerates. In this exact moment in time the best use of capital is simply buying Bitcoin. It's hard to meaningfully outperform BTC, and as such all these businesses will do for a while is acquire BTC. But eventually that shifts, and these firms will see more incentive to both grow and deploy Bitcoin. They then will provide capital which, among other things, supports Bitcoin businesses and projects. Many people struggle to contextualize the current "land rush" phase with what will come later. You need to take a longer view to understand these firms. The order of operations is also reversed here. Typically you build a business or technology and then as a final step monetize it via an IPO. With Bitcoin, stage 1 is looking more like direct monetization prior to creating value via products, etc. This is deeply counter intuitive to many people in traditional finance, and also to many Bitcoiners. However, because Bitcoin is primarily money at a base level it makes sense the developmental path it is taking differs significantly from other tech. The amount of time it will take for other investors to understand this presents an opportunity for those who see it sooner. More thoughts below 👇

Steven Lubka ☀️

29,280 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce

This was the most critical takeaway from the entire interview, yet no one is talking about it. Saylor’s final point was essentially this: you can’t extrapolate into the future based on historical data when the market structure has fundamentally shifted—and continues to do so. Before the approval of the Bitcoin ETFs (and the strategic emergence of Bitcoin accretive derivatives like MicroStrategy), 99% of the capital in the world didn’t have access to Bitcoin. Now, a significant portion of that capital finally has a viable on-ramp to Bitcoin. Take a moment to really consider the implications of that. In other words, the motorcycle has entered the bicycle race. ( Can I request Saylor on a motorcycle entering a bicycle race, please?) And all of your bicycle race data is worthless. Basically, If you're trading #Bitcoin or $MSTR based on historical data (and by extension, the old market structure), you’ll lose. Don’t just take my word for it—listen to Saylor himself: “the fundamental structure of the market is changing.” As a result, the outcomes will inevitably change too. Beyond that, Saylor’s core advice, shaped by his first four years in Bitcoin, is clear: hold through the volatility, stay solvent, and stick to the winning strategy—buy and hold. Bitcoin is intense, unpredictable, and nothing like the traditional markets. Don’t try to predict the beast that is Bitcoin. Prepare yourself for the roller coaster ahead, hold strong, and above all, enjoy the ride.

Mason

141,126 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce