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The energy sector has been getting a boost from AI, with an extra 94 gigawatts forecast to be needed by 2030 to power all these data centers. But one long-time utilities analyst is calling out the boom as an infrastructure overbuild. Andy DeVries, head of investment grade credit and... show more

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14,626 次观看 • 8 个月前 •via X (Twitter)

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Dr. Eric Schmidt says AI needs “energy in all forms: renewable, non-renewable, whatever.” “It needs to be there, and it needs to be quickly.” “People are planning 10 gigawatt data centers.” “An average nuclear power plant in the United States is one gigawatt.” “Data centers will require an additional 29 gigawatts of power by 2027 and 67 more gigawatts by 2030.” “These things are industrial at a scale I have never seen in my life.” This is exactly why I believe the market is still underestimating the AI power and infrastructure opportunity in companies like $TE, $BE, $PUMP, $PSIX, $SMR, $FCEL, $MARA, $KEEL, and $OKLO. The biggest constraint to scaling AI remains electricity. The companies building power generation, grid infrastructure, electrical equipment, cooling systems, and AI data centers could be among the biggest beneficiaries over the next decade. Not financial advice. Do your own research.

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"The limiting factor for AI deployment is fundamentally electrical power." That was Elon Musk in a conversation with Larry Fink during his first-ever appearance at Davos. And it's the most honest thing anyone in Big Tech has said in a while. Forget the hype about superintelligence and robots. Forget the promises about productivity gains that CFOs still can't measure. The bottleneck is power. And that bottleneck is very real. Here's why & how to position yourself to make the most out of this: We're producing more chips than we can turn on. AI chip production is increasing exponentially. US electricity generation is growing 3-4% annually. The math doesn't work. US data center power demand is expected to hit 75.8 gigawatts in 2026, up from 61.8 gigawatts in 2025. By 2030, it could reach 134 gigawatts. The largest US grid operator, PJM, expects to add 31 gigawatts of data center load over the next five years. But only 28 gigawatts of new generation capacity is planned. The deficit is already here. Residential electricity rates near data centers have jumped as much as 267% compared to five years ago. Regular Americans are subsidizing Silicon Valley's power consumption. Whether AI delivers on its big promises or not, the electricity bills are coming due right now. Elon made another point that deserves attention: China is solving the energy problem while America talks about AI miracles. He noted China's solar deployment is "tremendous." And that's an understatement. I verified the numbers. They're insane: China installed 275 gigawatts of solar capacity in the first 11 months of 2025. That's more than the ENTIRE installed solar capacity of the United States. In May 2025 alone, China added 93 gigawatts. Roughly 100 panels every second. For the first time in history, a single country surpassed 1,000 gigawatts of total solar capacity. China added more solar in one month than America has built in its entire history... But this ISN'T about climate policy. It's about strategic positioning. China understands something Wall Street is ignoring: whoever controls the energy infrastructure controls the next era of computing. While American investors chase the latest AI stock, China is building the power grid that will actually run the technology. My take: The data center buildout will fall short of expectations. Big Tech wants trillions in infrastructure. The grid can't deliver it. Not at this pace. Not with 3-4% annual electricity growth against exponential demand projections. Something has to give. Either the buildout slows dramatically, or electricity prices spike to levels that destroy the economics of the entire AI story. The AI trade has been built on the assumption that infrastructure will materialize to meet demand. That assumption is looking increasingly shaky. BUT the companies selling power to Big Tech win either way. Scarcity means pricing power. Utilities don't need AI to cure cancer. They just need hyperscalers to keep signing power agreements. And they are. Microsoft, Amazon, Meta, and Alphabet spent ~$350B in 2025 on data centers. That money flows to utilities and grid infrastructure whether AI changes the world or not. US utilities are forecasting a ~6% jump in capital expenditures to $228B in 2026. Cumulative utility capex is expected to surpass $1.1T through 2029. Dominion Energy is investing $50B through 2029, projecting 5-7% annual earnings growth. Entergy plans $41B between 2026 and 2029, targeting more than 8% compound annual earnings growth. These aren't speculative bets on AI changing everything... They're regulated utilities with contracted demand and predictable cash flows. So beware the AI story. The productivity miracle remains unproven. The physical constraints are becoming impossible to ignore. But the picks-and-shovels play? THAT'S where the smart money is looking. The hyperscalers have to pay their electricity bills. I'd rather own the companies collecting them.

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23,931 次观看 • 8 个月前

$The Strait of Hormuz closure is a stress test for every system dependent on it including AI. Data centers run on uninterrupted power. When energy fractures, so does the digital economy. But AI is also one of our most powerful tools to fight back: rerouting supply chains, optimising grids, directing capital. Energy security is now an AI conversation. #ADIPEC2026 will be a key forum for addressing system‑level resilience and advancing the infrastructure needed to withstand future shocks. #ADIPEC #ADNOC #EnergySystems #Resilience #Investment #ArtificialIntelligence$

The Strait of Hormuz closure is a stress test for every system dependent on it including AI. Data centers run on uninterrupted power. When energy fractures, so does the digital economy. But AI is also one of our most powerful tools to fight back: rerouting supply chains, optimising grids, directing capital. Energy security is now an AI conversation. #ADIPEC2026 will be a key forum for addressing system‑level resilience and advancing the infrastructure needed to withstand future shocks. #ADIPEC #ADNOC #EnergySystems #Resilience #Investment #ArtificialIntelligence

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🚨 WE’RE NOT BULLISH ENOUGH! 56% of my portfolio is in $IREN, $CIFR, $NBIS, $TE = AI/HPC, GRID & ENERGY. Spend 45 seconds watching this clip, and you’ll know why. 1. $CIFR has an elite team of ex-hyperscaler specialists from $GOOG, $META, and $AAPL optimizing every site. 2. The next couple of years will see more acquisitions, more sites, more deals in AI data centers. 3. $IREN secured a $9.7B AI cloud contract with $MSFT. $CIFR inked a $5.5B lease with $AMZN AWS and has a stake from $GOOG. 4. $NBIS landed $3B with $META and multi-billion with $MSFT. 5. J.P. Morgan forecasts AI infrastructure capex for data centers hitting $1.4 trillion annually by 2030, tripling near-term levels. 6. Jon Gray, President and COO of Blackstone Inc., stated in his latest presentation: “It starts with the picks and shovels, with things like chips, data centers, and power at massive scale. We have really focused on the right two circles here.” (Refering to data centers and power) 7. $NVDA’s Jensen Huang: “We wish we had more compute energy.” 8. The current administration pushes AI, energy, and defense with plans for massive power plants to fuel the AI boom. Onwards, -BP Not financial advice. Turn on notifications 🔔 for alerts on new posts.

🚨 WE’RE NOT BULLISH ENOUGH! 56% of my portfolio is in $IREN, $CIFR, $NBIS, $TE = AI/HPC, GRID & ENERGY. Spend 45 seconds watching this clip, and you’ll know why. 1. $CIFR has an elite team of ex-hyperscaler specialists from $GOOG, $META, and $AAPL optimizing every site. 2. The next couple of years will see more acquisitions, more sites, more deals in AI data centers. 3. $IREN secured a $9.7B AI cloud contract with $MSFT. $CIFR inked a $5.5B lease with $AMZN AWS and has a stake from $GOOG. 4. $NBIS landed $3B with $META and multi-billion with $MSFT. 5. J.P. Morgan forecasts AI infrastructure capex for data centers hitting $1.4 trillion annually by 2030, tripling near-term levels. 6. Jon Gray, President and COO of Blackstone Inc., stated in his latest presentation: “It starts with the picks and shovels, with things like chips, data centers, and power at massive scale. We have really focused on the right two circles here.” (Refering to data centers and power) 7. $NVDA’s Jensen Huang: “We wish we had more compute energy.” 8. The current administration pushes AI, energy, and defense with plans for massive power plants to fuel the AI boom. Onwards, -BP Not financial advice. Turn on notifications 🔔 for alerts on new posts.

Black Panther Capital

58,387 次观看 • 8 个月前