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🚨🇺🇸 🇮🇷 THE FAILED GAMBIT OF "SHORT WAR" ASSASSINATIONS The assumption that assassinating the Supreme Leader would trigger an immediate regime implosion appears to be a major miscalculation. Instead of a mass uprising, the Iranian system is closing ranks and following constitutional transitions. Washington may have just removed the... show more

Mario Nawfal

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🚨🇮🇷 THE IRGC’S STRENGTHENED GRIP Co-founder of the Quincy Institute Trita Parsi explains that Trump’s "regime change" efforts have actually empowered the IRGC. Parsi observes that Israeli strikes have eliminated moderates, replacing them with hawkish figures within the Iranian system. Trita worries that Iran may now overplay its hand by seeking a total military victory that isn't possible. Trita Parsi

🚨🇮🇷 THE IRGC’S STRENGTHENED GRIP Co-founder of the Quincy Institute Trita Parsi explains that Trump’s "regime change" efforts have actually empowered the IRGC. Parsi observes that Israeli strikes have eliminated moderates, replacing them with hawkish figures within the Iranian system. Trita worries that Iran may now overplay its hand by seeking a total military victory that isn't possible. Trita Parsi

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🚨🇮🇷 THE END OF THE SUPREME LEADER? IRAN’S POWER SHIFT The selection of a new Supreme Leader has been postponed following security strikes, raising the possibility that the role could be replaced by a permanent council. While the West looks for signs of collapse, the Iranian system is moving toward a decentralized "regime modification" that keeps the theocracy in power. Even without a single leader, the conduct of the war continues unabated, and the timeline for a total collapse remains far beyond what the U.S. expects. Trita Parsi

🚨🇮🇷 THE END OF THE SUPREME LEADER? IRAN’S POWER SHIFT The selection of a new Supreme Leader has been postponed following security strikes, raising the possibility that the role could be replaced by a permanent council. While the West looks for signs of collapse, the Iranian system is moving toward a decentralized "regime modification" that keeps the theocracy in power. Even without a single leader, the conduct of the war continues unabated, and the timeline for a total collapse remains far beyond what the U.S. expects. Trita Parsi

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 The biggest surprise of the war may have been that Iran wasn't improvising. Quincy Institute executive vice president Trita Parsi argues that many of Tehran's prewar signals were designed to mislead opponents about its intentions and level of preparedness. "The American side had one plan, get rid of the Supreme Leader and then expect everything to collapse. And ever since, when that plan didn't work, they just been improvising the war, whereas the Iranians were clearly following a structure that had been decided a long time ago." Trita Parsi

🇺🇸🇮🇷 The biggest surprise of the war may have been that Iran wasn't improvising. Quincy Institute executive vice president Trita Parsi argues that many of Tehran's prewar signals were designed to mislead opponents about its intentions and level of preparedness. "The American side had one plan, get rid of the Supreme Leader and then expect everything to collapse. And ever since, when that plan didn't work, they just been improvising the war, whereas the Iranians were clearly following a structure that had been decided a long time ago." Trita Parsi

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🚨🇺🇸 🇮🇷 THE CRITICAL 48-HOUR WINDOW As Washington attempts to force regime collapse through targeted assassinations, the next 48 hours will determine whether the Iranian system implodes or settles into a long-term war of attrition. While Trump signals a month-long conflict to project resolve, Tehran remains convinced the U.S. lacks the stomach for a protracted quagmire. With Europe’s role uncertain and attacks on Gulf bases likely to continue, the region is bracing for a new, “less intense” but dangerously persistent phase of war. Full discussion with Trita Parsi below

🚨🇺🇸 🇮🇷 THE CRITICAL 48-HOUR WINDOW As Washington attempts to force regime collapse through targeted assassinations, the next 48 hours will determine whether the Iranian system implodes or settles into a long-term war of attrition. While Trump signals a month-long conflict to project resolve, Tehran remains convinced the U.S. lacks the stomach for a protracted quagmire. With Europe’s role uncertain and attacks on Gulf bases likely to continue, the region is bracing for a new, “less intense” but dangerously persistent phase of war. Full discussion with Trita Parsi below

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TRITA PARSI: There was a segment of the Iranian people that seemed to welcome this conflict because they were just so sick and tired of this theocracy. But those sentiments seem to have shifted very fast as it's become clear to them that this is a war on the country, not a war on the regime. Trita Parsi

TRITA PARSI: There was a segment of the Iranian people that seemed to welcome this conflict because they were just so sick and tired of this theocracy. But those sentiments seem to have shifted very fast as it's become clear to them that this is a war on the country, not a war on the regime. Trita Parsi

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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump has dropped every demand except the nuclear weapons one, and that may be the key to avoiding war. Trita Parsi broke down why this shift in tone changes everything. "That may prove to be absolutely crucial, because that was the original red line that he had a year and a half ago. And had he stuck with that red line and not shifted to the Israeli red line of no enrichment, then there wouldn't have been a war back in the summer in the first place." Trita Parsi

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump has dropped every demand except the nuclear weapons one, and that may be the key to avoiding war. Trita Parsi broke down why this shift in tone changes everything. "That may prove to be absolutely crucial, because that was the original red line that he had a year and a half ago. And had he stuck with that red line and not shifted to the Israeli red line of no enrichment, then there wouldn't have been a war back in the summer in the first place." Trita Parsi

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🚨🇺🇸 🇮🇷 WHY TEHRAN IS REJECTING THE CEASEFIRE While Washington reaches out for a quick exit, Tehran views a quick ceasefire as a trap that would only allow the U.S. and Israel to restock interceptors and remobilize for another strike in six months. For the Iranians, the war won’t end until the “Empire” feels enough pain to stop the cycle for good. Full interview with Trita Parsi below

🚨🇺🇸 🇮🇷 WHY TEHRAN IS REJECTING THE CEASEFIRE While Washington reaches out for a quick exit, Tehran views a quick ceasefire as a trap that would only allow the U.S. and Israel to restock interceptors and remobilize for another strike in six months. For the Iranians, the war won’t end until the “Empire” feels enough pain to stop the cycle for good. Full interview with Trita Parsi below

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🇮🇷 "CROWN PRINCE SOUNDS LIKE AN IDF SPOKESPERSON, NOT AN IRANIAN LEADER” Trita Parsi says Reza Pahlavi is not the democratic solution for Iran that some hope for. "It is not sufficient to make good speeches or publish well-written plans on how to transition towards democracy. Just take a look at the comments that will be posted to this video. People say I should be hanged for criticizing him. His job should be to delegitimize the use of force of the regime. Instead, he said ‘in war, there will be casualties’" Iranian analyst, Trita Parsi

🇮🇷 "CROWN PRINCE SOUNDS LIKE AN IDF SPOKESPERSON, NOT AN IRANIAN LEADER” Trita Parsi says Reza Pahlavi is not the democratic solution for Iran that some hope for. "It is not sufficient to make good speeches or publish well-written plans on how to transition towards democracy. Just take a look at the comments that will be posted to this video. People say I should be hanged for criticizing him. His job should be to delegitimize the use of force of the regime. Instead, he said ‘in war, there will be casualties’" Iranian analyst, Trita Parsi

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🇮🇷 🇺🇸 Washington may have to choose between Iranian control of the strait and no shipping at all. Trita Parsi says the real American standard was never about who owns the water, only that traffic keeps moving. Faced with bad options, the administration may decide that oil flowing under Iranian terms, fees included, beats a strait nobody uses. But Tehran's position has hardened. Parsi thought Iran would accept an arrangement including Oman and other Gulf states. Now the formula is stricter: only countries with territorial waters in the strait get a seat, which means Iran and Oman alone. That rule was designed to dilute Iranian control, and Iran just closed the door on it. Trita Parsi

🇮🇷 🇺🇸 Washington may have to choose between Iranian control of the strait and no shipping at all. Trita Parsi says the real American standard was never about who owns the water, only that traffic keeps moving. Faced with bad options, the administration may decide that oil flowing under Iranian terms, fees included, beats a strait nobody uses. But Tehran's position has hardened. Parsi thought Iran would accept an arrangement including Oman and other Gulf states. Now the formula is stricter: only countries with territorial waters in the strait get a seat, which means Iran and Oman alone. That rule was designed to dilute Iranian control, and Iran just closed the door on it. Trita Parsi

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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Iran struck Bahrain and Kuwait to prove it could escalate harder than the U.S. was comfortable with, and it worked. Trita Parsi breaks down how both sides may be quietly climbing down. "The pain of that status quo was mainly on the Iranian side. The Iranians escalated to spread the pain." Trita Parsi

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Iran struck Bahrain and Kuwait to prove it could escalate harder than the U.S. was comfortable with, and it worked. Trita Parsi breaks down how both sides may be quietly climbing down. "The pain of that status quo was mainly on the Iranian side. The Iranians escalated to spread the pain." Trita Parsi

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🚨🇮🇷 THE MYSTERY OF MOJTABA Trita Parsi, Executive VP of the Quincy Institute, weighs in on reports that Mojtaba Khamenei is now calling the shots. While a close ally was appointed to the Security Council, Parsi notes there is no confirmation of Mojtaba's current health. Trita explains that while speculation is high, the Iranian system remains a "black box" regarding its top leadership. Trita Parsi

🚨🇮🇷 THE MYSTERY OF MOJTABA Trita Parsi, Executive VP of the Quincy Institute, weighs in on reports that Mojtaba Khamenei is now calling the shots. While a close ally was appointed to the Security Council, Parsi notes there is no confirmation of Mojtaba's current health. Trita explains that while speculation is high, the Iranian system remains a "black box" regarding its top leadership. Trita Parsi

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🚨 🇮🇷 WAR AS SANCTIONS RELIEF Expert writer Trita Parsi points out a paradox: the war has actually provided Iran with de facto sanctions relief. Iran is exporting more oil at nearly triple the pre-war price due to the conflict, according to Parsi. Trita argues that because of this, Iran will view significant, formal sanctions relief as a non-negotiable term for peace. Trita Parsi

🚨 🇮🇷 WAR AS SANCTIONS RELIEF Expert writer Trita Parsi points out a paradox: the war has actually provided Iran with de facto sanctions relief. Iran is exporting more oil at nearly triple the pre-war price due to the conflict, according to Parsi. Trita argues that because of this, Iran will view significant, formal sanctions relief as a non-negotiable term for peace. Trita Parsi

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 "Regime change does not consist of eliminating the Supreme Leader and replacing him with another Supreme Leader" — John Bolton "It is the entire structure of the Ayatollahs and the IRGC that needs to be removed"

🇺🇸🇮🇷 "Regime change does not consist of eliminating the Supreme Leader and replacing him with another Supreme Leader" — John Bolton "It is the entire structure of the Ayatollahs and the IRGC that needs to be removed"

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🇮🇷 The country that just took $300B in damage may actually be sitting at the strongest bargaining position it has ever held. Executive Vice President of the Quincy Institute Trita Parsi just laid it all out. "To not take advantage of that is a huge risk." Iran wins battles but keeps losing the peace. The clock is ticking. Trita Parsi

🇮🇷 The country that just took $300B in damage may actually be sitting at the strongest bargaining position it has ever held. Executive Vice President of the Quincy Institute Trita Parsi just laid it all out. "To not take advantage of that is a huge risk." Iran wins battles but keeps losing the peace. The clock is ticking. Trita Parsi

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🇮🇷🇮🇱 WILL IRAN COLLAPSE INTO CIVIL WAR? Trita Parsi lays out a very disturbing scenario: Iran’s protests may not lead to freedom, but to civil war. "It is plausible that they’ve taken some buildings in Kermanshah If you end up having a collapse of the state, not just the regime, you do have the risk of separatism. Israel’s position here is very different. I think [for them] collapse and instability wouldn’t just be okay, it would be desirable. I don’t see any recent example where that kind of military action actually led to democracy, especially after you’ve already decimated the middle class." Iranian analyst, Trita Parsi

🇮🇷🇮🇱 WILL IRAN COLLAPSE INTO CIVIL WAR? Trita Parsi lays out a very disturbing scenario: Iran’s protests may not lead to freedom, but to civil war. "It is plausible that they’ve taken some buildings in Kermanshah If you end up having a collapse of the state, not just the regime, you do have the risk of separatism. Israel’s position here is very different. I think [for them] collapse and instability wouldn’t just be okay, it would be desirable. I don’t see any recent example where that kind of military action actually led to democracy, especially after you’ve already decimated the middle class." Iranian analyst, Trita Parsi

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump already threw everything he had at the Iranian regime. It didn't change anything. Trita Parsi explains why going back to war would be a catastrophic mistake. "To gamble that away by going back into a war again, based on some sort of a fantasy that a knockout strike is in the cards, it would be just astonishingly foolish in my view." Trump has a ceasefire. The only question is whether he's smart enough to keep it. Trita Parsi

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump already threw everything he had at the Iranian regime. It didn't change anything. Trita Parsi explains why going back to war would be a catastrophic mistake. "To gamble that away by going back into a war again, based on some sort of a fantasy that a knockout strike is in the cards, it would be just astonishingly foolish in my view." Trump has a ceasefire. The only question is whether he's smart enough to keep it. Trita Parsi

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🚨🇺🇸 🇮🇷 OFF-RAMPS OR ESCALATION? Quincy Institute VP Trita Parsi warns that public diplomacy like the "15-point plan" is likely just for show. Serious negotiations to end this war would happen quietly behind the scenes to allow for real compromise. Parsi notes that if current public posturing is the only "diplomacy" happening, a massive escalation is imminent. Trita Parsi

🚨🇺🇸 🇮🇷 OFF-RAMPS OR ESCALATION? Quincy Institute VP Trita Parsi warns that public diplomacy like the "15-point plan" is likely just for show. Serious negotiations to end this war would happen quietly behind the scenes to allow for real compromise. Parsi notes that if current public posturing is the only "diplomacy" happening, a massive escalation is imminent. Trita Parsi

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🚨 BREAKING INSIGHT: Iran regime logic exposed — Surrender to the U.S. is NOT in the cards. Trita Parsi (Trita Parsi) exposes the fatal miscalculation in U.S. strategy: The innacurate belief that Tehran fears an internal revolt more than American bombs. Trita says the truth is closer to: "This regime believes it can survive a war... What it cannot survive is a surrender." 📉 "Surrender (to America) is not in the cards at all." 🚫 Trump’s gamble on Iranian weakness is proving to be a potentially fatal miscalculation and may lead to America losing more in the war's outcome than Iran ⚠️ The regime's own base would revolt if the Supreme Leader bowed to D.C., making capitulation a non-starter. 👇 Watch the full analysis on Daniel Davis Deep Dive: [ 👉 #Geopolitics #IranCrisis #ForeignPolicy #TritaParsi #DanielDavis #NationalSecurity #MiddleEast

🚨 BREAKING INSIGHT: Iran regime logic exposed — Surrender to the U.S. is NOT in the cards. Trita Parsi (Trita Parsi) exposes the fatal miscalculation in U.S. strategy: The innacurate belief that Tehran fears an internal revolt more than American bombs. Trita says the truth is closer to: "This regime believes it can survive a war... What it cannot survive is a surrender." 📉 "Surrender (to America) is not in the cards at all." 🚫 Trump’s gamble on Iranian weakness is proving to be a potentially fatal miscalculation and may lead to America losing more in the war's outcome than Iran ⚠️ The regime's own base would revolt if the Supreme Leader bowed to D.C., making capitulation a non-starter. 👇 Watch the full analysis on Daniel Davis Deep Dive: [ 👉 #Geopolitics #IranCrisis #ForeignPolicy #TritaParsi #DanielDavis #NationalSecurity #MiddleEast

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 The downed pilot rescue may have been a footnote to a catastrophically failed attempt to seize Iran's nuclear material from the inside. Trita Parsi says one theory gaining traction is that U.S. forces tried to build an airstrip INSIDE Iran, fly troops in, and take the material, but that mission failed. "I'm not claiming that this is true... But the cover story, which may not be false in and of itself, is that there was an F-15 shot down and there wasn't a rescue effort to save those two pilots... But that is just a marginal part of the story compared to what ACTUALLY happened." If true, Trump's civilization-ending threat and sudden ceasefire weren't bluster... they were the aftermath. Trita Parsi

🇺🇸🇮🇷 The downed pilot rescue may have been a footnote to a catastrophically failed attempt to seize Iran's nuclear material from the inside. Trita Parsi says one theory gaining traction is that U.S. forces tried to build an airstrip INSIDE Iran, fly troops in, and take the material, but that mission failed. "I'm not claiming that this is true... But the cover story, which may not be false in and of itself, is that there was an F-15 shot down and there wasn't a rescue effort to save those two pilots... But that is just a marginal part of the story compared to what ACTUALLY happened." If true, Trump's civilization-ending threat and sudden ceasefire weren't bluster... they were the aftermath. Trita Parsi

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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 This war may have finally killed the old U.S. strategy of containing Iran. Trita Parsi, expert in international relations, says 47 years of pressure and sanctions led exactly where critics warned: straight into a failed war. He says the region now has a rare chance to build a new security order based on integration instead of endless confrontation. Trita Parsi search. ..

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 This war may have finally killed the old U.S. strategy of containing Iran. Trita Parsi, expert in international relations, says 47 years of pressure and sanctions led exactly where critics warned: straight into a failed war. He says the region now has a rare chance to build a new security order based on integration instead of endless confrontation. Trita Parsi search. ..

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