The Fed Will Do Nothing Longer Than Most Expect The Fed decides based on the data it sees. With UE low and stable and inflation still elevated, holding policy steady is the right choice. Tariff & ME conflict risks make the choice even clearer.

Sorry, Bob, but they don't decide on the data. If that were true, the FFR would never have gotten this high, nor would they be this high for this long. The UR is not "low" nor "historically low". On the contrary. It has been pointing to a recession for almost a yr now.

The measured UE rate is at the roughly 20th percentile of the last couple decades. That's what I'd low and certainly very far from recession territory.

The Fed’s paralysis isn’t surprising—they’re stuck reacting to inflation they helped create. While Powell waffles on rate cuts, Trump’s tariff strategy forced China to slash their levies from 125% to 10% after months of pressure. That’s real leverage. The Fed’s “data-dependent” stance ignores how strategic chaos reshaped global trade, proving tariffs work when you swing hard first. Unemployment’s low? Great. Now pair that with policies that actually defend American jobs instead of letting D.C. bureaucrats play it safe while the economy simmers. The Fed’s caution is a luxury paid for by Main Street inflation. Time to prioritize results over endless analysis.

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They will always be passive responsive. Too late to raise, too late to cut.

Yes, the Fed is always behind the curve. Its inevitable b/c it is a consensus driven organization looking at past data.

I have to disagree. Every reason to cut rates. High rates are more negative in the economy than tariffs. Tariffs onto inflation. High rates have been driving inflation for years. Cost of capital is passed to consumers. Fed is totally out of step with reality.

“The Fed Will Do Nothing Longer Than Most Expect” Dear Housing Market. You are officially dead. Thanks, The Fed.

Love these snippets. Keep doing it.

Wow what an original take. FED is now political like you. I bet you will be glad to see mass layoffs and a bad recession just because of spite? Get politics OUT of your financial views.