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The geopolitics of the AfD - THREAD 🧵 Fresh breakthroughs for Germany’s far-right They say they’re in a long game towards national power New DW film examines AfD blueprint for Germany’s future in the world - Deep dive into policy docs - Interviews w/ party leaders Key findings 👇 1/x
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Geopolitics of the AfD 2/x US TROOPS & NUCLEAR WEAPONS - AfD “Grundsatzprogramm” from 2016 calls for US to pull out troops & nuclear weapons from Germany - Leader Alice Weidel tells us she stands by this - Says US & German interests “diametrically opposed” - Accuses US of stoking conflicts

Geopolitics of the AfD 3/x NATO MEMBERSHIP - AfD 2024 EU election manifesto gives qualified support for German NATO membership - But manifesto slams US “dominance” and “diverging” interests - Key ideologue Björn Höcke speaks of NATO to us as “imperialist tool”

AfD geopolitics 4/x NATO COMMITMENTS - AfD leaders reluctant to commit to Article 5 in Baltic scenario - Weidel: Putin has “absolutely no reason” to attack “of his own accord” - For pol spox Matthias Moosdorf says believes Germany “should not” come to Baltics’ defence “but it’s contracted”

AfD geopolitics 5/x NUCLEAR WEAPONS FOR GERMANY? - EU manifesto rejects European army, calls for stronger Bundeswehr - Weidel won’t say how much Germany should spend on defense - Weidel says “no way” to German nuclear weapons - Moosdorf and Höcke disagree, say open to German nukes

AfD geopolitics 6/x FUTURE OF EUROPEAN DEFENSE - Weidel: Russia should be “integrated into all future European architectures” - EU manifesto calls for “European defence community,” “military & strategic autonomy - Moosdorf: community should be based on “sovereign architecture”

AfD geopolitics 7/x UKRAINE WAR - AfD calls for ending sanctions on Russia, repairing Nord Stream, restoring “uninterrupted trade,” ending weapons supplies to Ukraine - Weidel claims current German approach is a “policy of aggression” - Says Berlin must push for peace talks

AfD geopolitics 8/x RUSSIAN WAR NARRATIVE - Weidel acknowledges Russia’s invasion of Ukraine is illegal - “no doubt about that” - But embraces Moscow narrative of war - Says NATO enlargement “flagrantly ignored” Russia’s “vital” security interests - Ukraine was the “red line”

AfD geopolitics 9/x TAIWAN - Weidel: “We say very clearly we don’t interfere in affairs of other countries” - Says US “messing around” in Taiwan - Draws parallels with Mideast & Ukraine, suggests US poured “oil on the fire” in each theater - Weidel: give PRC “space” to resolve conflict itself

AfD geopolitics 10/x CHINA - EU manifesto rules out any sanctions on China - Weidel: “Germany should focus on keeping up good economic and diplomatic relations with China… China is Germany’s most important trading partner”

AfD geopolitics 11/x JOINING CHINESE + RUSSIAN INSTITUTIONS AfD’s EU manifesto: - Belt & Road Initiative a “project of the century,” calls for German “active participation” - Calls for observer status at Shanghai Cooperation Organization - “Expand relations” with Eurasian Economic Union

AfD geopolitics 12/x Film in full: With input from @Judy_Dempsey @AlexGabuev @amanda_hsiao @KPisarska @peterrough

AfD geopolitics 13/x EXPERT QUOTES @AlexGabuev: - AfD’s vision “an ideal opening for Russia. And that would be very much Europe that Russia would want to see” - Kremlin elite see AfD as “patriots” - Embracing BRI, SCO, EEU “a gift to Vladimir Putin and Xi Jinping”

AfD geopolitics 14/x EXPERT QUOTES @KPisarska - AfD on Article 5 “extremely worrying” - AfD “undermining Poland’'s trust in Germany as a reliable ally” - “Trying to undermine our trust in whether US will deliver on Article 5” - Including Russia in Europe security architecture “delusional”

AfD geopolitics 15/x EXPERT QUOTES @amanda_hsiao - AfD view on Taiwan “would be music to the ears of decision makers in Beijing” - Germany joining BRI “huge coup” for China - Weidel view of US as destabilising force “ exactly the sort of narrative that China itself has been putting forward”

AfD geopolitics 16/x EXPERT QUOTES @Judy_Dempsey - Consolidating Russia-Germany relations “Russia's goal all the time - even before the Berlin Wall collapsed” - Aim to “weaken security & defence structures of Europe” - Germany not defending Baltics would be “end of transatlantic alliance”

AfD geopolitics 17/x EXPERT QUOTES @peterrough - AfD position on US nukes wd trigger “doubts about credibility of US nuclear deterrent” - “Sowing doubts about Article 5… only emboldens and encourages” poss RU attack on Baltics - Eyeing BRI/SCO/EEU “goes against” German place in free world

