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The Hyper Cup is live. 10,000 seats. First come, first served. Registration is open right now. Our first tournament on our brand new E8Trade platform, powered by Hyperliquid feed. Live leaderboard. Charts. Journaling. Full trading suite. All in one place. This isn't just a tournament — it's the first...

15,177 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten •via X (Twitter)

11 Kommentare

Profilbild von Onurhan B.
Onurhan B.vor 3 Monaten

10k for the winner! 💰

Profilbild von Rina
Rinavor 3 Monaten

Is this forex only?

Profilbild von Angel
Angelvor 3 Monaten

@E8Crypto Can I trade memecoins too?

Profilbild von Kumarraj
Kumarrajvor 3 Monaten

Best opportunity till date

Profilbild von E8 Markets
E8 Marketsvor 3 Monaten

@v24king 😉

Profilbild von Prajwal
Prajwalvor 3 Monaten

im in

Profilbild von Matt Greving
Matt Grevingvor 3 Monaten

E8Trade looks clean. I'm looking forward to trading on this especially with the connection to Hyperliquid's data feed

Profilbild von Trader Blueprint
Trader Blueprintvor 3 Monaten

Discipline is the real edge.

Profilbild von Oleh
Olehvor 3 Monaten

🔥🔥

Profilbild von Jonathan Kiri
Jonathan Kirivor 3 Monaten

Let's go

Profilbild von Crypto Nepal 💪👑
Crypto Nepal 💪👑vor 3 Monaten

Opportunity here

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Made $530,000 with Ai Bot that started with $313. Didn't know how to code. Now this bots run 24/7 printing money while sleeping. I've made the exact step-by-step guide to build this Claude Code Polymarket trading bot. Prompts. Code. Risk settings. Paper trading checklist. Everything from zero to running bot. It's free. For 24 hours. After that I'm charging $499 for it. To grab it right now: 1. Comment "Claude Bot" 2. Like and Retweet this post 3. Follow me Himanshu Kumar ( I can't send DMs to non-followers ) I'm DMing everyone who Complete the 3 steps. I spent hundreds of thousands hiring developers because he was too scared to learn. Then learned Claude Code. Built algorithmic trading systems. $313 → $530,000. You have the same tools available right now. And you're using them to ask ChatGPT for Instagram captions. This attached video is a goldmine. Full live walkthrough. Claude Code building actual Polymarket trading bots. From zero. Every line of code. Every decision explained. Now let me break down why everything you're doing in trading is wrong and exactly how to fix it. Save this post. You'll hate yourself if you lose it. ↓ Let's start with why you keep losing money. You already know the answer. You just won't admit it. You overtrade. Every. Single. Day. You see a candle move. You feel something. You enter. No plan. No edge. No reason. Just feelings. Then it goes against you. You feel something else. Panic. Anger. Denial. You move your stop loss. Or you didn't set one at all. "It'll come back." It doesn't come back. So you take another trade. A revenge trade. Bigger size this time. Because you need to "make it back." That one fails too. Now you're emotional. Now you're tilted. Now you're using leverage you have no business touching. 40x. 50x. 100x. On a trade you entered because a candle looked "bullish" and some guy on Twitter said "send it." You get liquidated. Close the laptop. Punch something. Tell yourself you'll be "more disciplined" tomorrow. Tomorrow comes. Same cycle. Same result. Same liquidation. You've been doing this for months. Maybe years. And you still think the problem is your strategy. The problem isn't your strategy. The problem is you. Save this post right now. What I'm about to show you is the only way to remove yourself from the equation. Follow Himanshu Kumar so you don't miss any of this. ↓ Here's what's actually killing your account. It's not the market. The market doesn't care about you. It's not your indicators. RSI works fine. MACD works fine. They all "work." It's not your timeframe. It's not your broker. It's not the "manipulation." It's four things: 1. Emotions. You hold losers because hope feels better than loss. You cut winners because fear feels stronger than greed. You size up when angry. You skip trades when scared. Your emotional state determines your position size. That's insane. And you know it's insane. But you keep doing it. 2. Overtrading. You take 15 trades a day. Maybe 5 of them had actual setups. The other 10 were boredom. Boredom trades are the most expensive hobby in human history. 3. Leverage. You use 20x-50x on trades where you're not even sure about the direction. That's not trading. That's a casino with a nicer interface. 4. Fees. You're smashing market orders. Paying spread. Paying commission. On 15 trades a day. Your broker makes more money from your account than you do. Think about that. Your broker is profitable on your account. You're not. You're the product. Not the trader. These four things are why 90% of traders lose. Not bad luck. Not the market. You. Save this post and follow Himanshu Kumar because the solution is coming next. ↓ The solution is painfully obvious. Remove yourself from the equation. Not partially. Not "I'll be more disciplined." Not "I'll journal my trades." Not "I'll meditate before trading." Completely remove yourself. Build a bot. Let the bot trade. You go live your life. The bot doesn't feel emotions. The bot doesn't overtrade. The bot doesn't use reckless leverage. The bot doesn't smash market orders and bleed fees. The bot follows the rules. Every single time. Without exception. Without "just this once." Without "I have a feeling about this one." Rules in. Execution out. No human in the middle to mess everything up. That's algorithmic trading. And before your ego jumps in with "but I'm different, I have discipline" — No you don't. Your account balance proves you don't. If you had discipline, your account would be green. It's not. So you don't. Accept it. Automate it. Move on. This is the hardest truth in trading. Your discipline will always fail. A bot's won't. Save this post. Follow Himanshu Kumar for the exact bot setup that removes your emotions permanently. ↓ "But I don't know how to code." Neither did he. The guy in this video didn't know how to code for most of his life. Got held back in 7th grade. People counted him out early. Spent years building apps and SaaS businesses without writing a single line of code. Hired developers on Upwork instead. Spent hundreds of thousands of dollars paying other people to build what he could have built himself. Because he was scared to learn. That fear cost him years. And hundreds of thousands of dollars. Sound familiar? You're doing the same thing right now. Not with developers. But with your time. You're spending thousands of hours trading manually because you're scared to learn the thing that would make trading automatic. The fear of learning to code is costing you more than any bad trade ever did. Because every month you trade manually is a month of emotional decisions, overleveraged entries, and unnecessary losses that a bot would never make. And here's the thing that should really frustrate you: AI does the hard parts now. You don't need a computer science degree. You don't need to work at a hedge fund. You don't need to be "good at math." 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Find another idea. If yes, move to step 3. Implement: Build the bot. Deploy it. Paper trade first. Then live with small size. Scale only on evidence. Research. Backtest. Implement. Every day. No exceptions. You know what your current process is? Feel. Enter. Pray. F. E. P. Feel bullish. Enter a trade. Pray it works. That's not a process. That's gambling with a TradingView subscription. RBI is the only process that works. Save this post. Tattoo it on your forearm. Follow Himanshu Kumar for daily RBI breakdowns. ↓ What Claude Code actually does that your manual process can't. You can maybe test 3-5 strategy ideas per week. Manually adjusting parameters. Manually checking results. Manually writing code (badly). Claude Code tests 50-100 ideas per week. With parallel agents running simultaneously. Multiple strategies being built, tested, and validated at the same time. While you sleep. The guy in this video spends 4-8 hours a day building systems with Claude Code. Not trading. Building. Research. Backtest. Implement. Then iterate. Improve. Optimize. Every day the systems get better. Every day the edge compounds. Every day the bots get smarter. While you? You spend 4-8 hours a day staring at charts making the same mistakes you made last month. Same indicators. Same patterns. Same entries. Same losses. He's iterating forward. You're running in circles. Same 8 hours per day. Completely different outcomes. Because he's building systems. And you're feeding a casino. Stop feeding the casino. Start building the machine. Save this post and follow Himanshu Kumar for the Claude Code workflow that iterates strategies while you sleep. ↓ Jim Simons. That's the benchmark. You probably don't know who Jim Simons is. And that tells me everything about how seriously you take trading. Jim Simons. Mathematician. Founded Renaissance Technologies. Built a net worth of $31 billion. 100% from algorithmic trading. Not one single manual trade. Not one "gut feeling" entry. Not one RSI divergence. Not one "smart money concept." Algorithms. Bots. Systems. Data. $31 billion. His fund averaged 66% annual returns for over 30 years. While you're excited about making $200 on a trade that you'll give back tomorrow. The best trader in human history never placed a manual trade in his life. And you think your edge is staring at a 5-minute chart with bloodshot eyes at 2 AM? Your edge is building the system. Not being inside it. Jim Simons is the benchmark. Everything else is noise. Save this post. Follow Himanshu Kumar because I'm building toward the same goal and showing every step publicly. ↓ What you need to understand about patience. This is not get-rich-overnight. The guy in this video says it directly: "This channel is not for people looking to get rich overnight. It's not plug and play. There are no shortcuts. If you're impatient, this probably isn't for you." And that's exactly why most people will fail at this. Because you want results now. Today. This trade. You don't want to spend a week building a bot. You don't want to paper trade for 2 weeks. You don't want to test 50 ideas to find 1 that works. You want to copy someone's bot, run it live with your rent money, and be rich by Friday. That's why you'll be broke by Friday. The guy making $2.3M spent months iterating. Testing. Failing. Rebuilding. Testing again. He was patient when you would have quit. He was calm when you would have panicked. He was consistent when you would have given up. Patience isn't just a virtue in trading. It's the only virtue. Without it, everything else fails. Impatience is the most expensive personality trait in trading. Save this post. Follow Himanshu Kumar and learn to build systems with the patience that actually pays. ↓ The live streams where the real learning happens. The YouTube video is the trailer. The live streams are the movie. Real-time bot building. Real-time questions answered. Real code shown. Real mistakes made and fixed. Not polished highlight reels where everything works perfectly. Actual development. Where things break. Where strategies fail. Where code doesn't compile. Where the fix takes 2 hours. Because that's what real development looks like. And seeing the messy parts is more valuable than any polished tutorial. Because when your bot breaks at 3 AM, you need to know how to fix it. Not just how to celebrate when it works. The streams mix beginner and advanced. Start with how to automate trading. How to use AI for code generation. Then dive into the daily work. Claude Code. Parallel agents. Constant iteration. Live debugging. 4-8 hours of real algorithmic trading development. Live. Uncut. No filter. Most "trading education" shows you the wins. This shows you the work. Save this post. Follow Himanshu Kumar for the stream schedules and breakdowns. ↓ The belief that changes everything. Code is the greatest equalizer. Not money. Not connections. Not a degree. Not where you grew up. Not what school you went to. Code. Once you can build systems, you can build anything. For the rest of your life. A trading bot today. A SaaS product tomorrow. An automation business next month. A completely different life next year. The skill isn't "algorithmic trading." The skill is building systems. And that skill transfers to everything. The guy who can build a trading bot can also build a lead gen tool. Can also build a content pipeline. Can also build a SaaS product. Can also build literally anything that runs on logic and code. One skill. Infinite applications. And AI makes learning it 100x easier than it was 5 years ago. You don't need to be smart. You don't need talent. You need Claude Code and the willingness to sit down and build something instead of consuming content about building something. Building is the skill. Everything else is entertainment disguised as education. Save this post. Follow Himanshu Kumar because I'm showing you how to build, not just how to watch. ↓ If any of this applies to you, pay attention. If you've lost money from overtrading. If you've been liquidated. If you know trading is the vehicle but manual execution keeps crashing you. If you've tried "being more disciplined" and it never lasted more than a week. If you keep saying "next month I'll start automating." If you've spent more money on courses than you've made from trading. There is a better way. It's not a magic indicator. It's not a signal group. It's not a $997 mentorship from a guy who makes money teaching, not trading. It's building your own system. A system that trades without emotion. A system that follows rules without exception. A system that runs while you sleep. A system that compounds while you live your life. That's the answer. It's always been the answer. You've just been too scared to accept that the solution requires building something instead of buying something. ↓ What the next 30 days look like if you actually commit. Week 1: Watch the video. Learn Claude Code basics. Build your first simple strategy. Run your first backtest. Week 2: Iterate. Let Claude improve the strategy. Run Monte Carlo validation. Paper trade. Week 3: Go live with $50-100. Tiny positions. Watch every trade. Compare to paper results. Week 4: Scale based on evidence. Not based on excitement. Not based on one good day. Based on data. 30 days from now you either have a running bot that trades without your emotions destroying every position. Or you're exactly where you are right now. Reading another post. Making another promise. Breaking it by Tuesday. Same 30 days either way. Different actions. Different results. Different life. ↓ Full video tutorial attached. Live bot building with Claude Code. From zero to running Polymarket trading bot. Every line of code. Every decision explained. The video is free. Claude Code is available now. The market is open 24/7. The only thing standing between you and a profitable trading bot is the same thing that's been standing there for months. You. Get out of your own way. Follow Himanshu Kumar for daily AI trading bot breakdowns, live build sessions, and the full RBI process. Save this post. Watch the video. Build the bot. Or keep trading manually and keep losing. The choice has never been easier. And you've never been more stubborn about making the wrong one.

Himanshu Kumar

38,153 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

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Archive

42,135 Aufrufe • vor 19 Tagen

The game is changing. I've been testing out Clear Street's new app/platform and it's incredible. Remember when Claude first came out? Some people dove in, mastered it, and it changed how they worked. Others poked at it once, shrugged, and moved on. If you're in that second group, this is your do-over. Except this isn't general purpose AI, it's built specifically for trading and it's already pre-built for you. No excuse this time. Omni is built for YOU. I would recommend trying it out (you'll be paid to do so) not just one or two days but really, get in there, push buttons, see what it can do and how it can benefit you. It's going to grow on you. Personally, I can't wait for them to offer IRAs. The day they do, I'm moving mine over. Managing a portfolio with a co-pilot like this is going to be a massive benefit. Get familiar with it now, and don't get left behind twice. Sizing a position used to mean doing math in your head while the tape moves. No thanks. Now you just say: "Take a 2% account position against yesterday's low of the day." It builds the order. You confirm. One click. Done. Stop already in place. Math class is cancelled. "Check my portfolio, what are the best covered calls to sell against my positions?" "Add 15% of my free cash into AAPL position and adjust risk to today's low" "Which options in my portfolio expire this week and what would be the ideal strikes to roll them for continuation of my original thesis?" What institutions only had before, now here for retail. Clear Street's order processing runs at 0.024 milliseconds. Industry average is 130ms. Zero downside to testing it out. Here's the deal: ✅ Keep a balance over $5k for 90 days and get a $250 bonus ✅ 1 month of Investors Underground free for anyone who funds an account ✅ 3.5% APY on uninvested cash ✅ IPO access ✅ Private deal allocation for accredited investors

Nathan Michaud

126,408 Aufrufe • vor 13 Tagen

Here is my full daily routine and scan process I follow. I swing trade stocks, and do all of my work in the last 30 min of the trading day. That's how I manage to average 100%+ returns/year with -10% max DD, entering my trades EOD. If you don't have a daily routine/process you adhere to, it will be almost impossible to make money swing trading stocks in the long term. I have the same routine and scanning process I followed for the past 6 years without fail. That's how you build consistency in your own trading and your setup/system/strategy. If you don't have a solid process you repeat every single day, you would be doing random stuff. Random stuff = losing money. Here is how my day goes: --> 3:30pm EST - I get to my laptop (yes, ditched the 5 monitors for a single laptop), - open up my software (TC2000, TradingView, and TWS) - And begin scanning on my long, short, and ETF scans on TradingView (see video attached for scan details and layout ✅) --> 3:50pm EST By this time, I: - already know which stocks are giving my signals according to my system, - I sort them in TradingView by ADR %, - And prioritize if I have more than 5 signals (that's my max limit per day) --> 3:58pm EST - Now I pre-loaded my orders on TWS, - check my position size to have a 1% risk per trade in all positions, - and execute just before the close --> 4:01pm EST - Markets are closed, so I add my Stop Loss and BE alarm - close my computer, and come back tomorrow in the last 30 minutes before the close and repeat... As you see, once you have your system and process in place, you can execute your system flawlessly, and that's what brings consistency and growth to your account over days, weeks, months, and years of doing the same thing over and over again... Build your process, and execute every day and you will grow with your system 📈

Felipe Guirao

30,972 Aufrufe • vor 9 Monaten

15 YEARS OF TRADING ADVICE I started trading in 2011, and my first lesson was brutal but simple: trust the process and focus on getting better every day. My start was awful. Real-time trading was fast, chaotic, and unforgiving. I hesitated on entries, chased moves, and held losers far past my stop. I made the same mistakes over and over. Before long, I was at the back of my training class at Trillium Trading. Progress didn’t come from trading more — it came when I stepped back and built a framework for improvement: deliberate practice, structured review, and systemizing my work. I wasn’t making money yet, but my win rate and consistency were improving. That mattered. In 2012, I learned something that changed everything: most profits come from very few opportunities. I coined the “Broken Slot Machine” concept and drastically narrowed my focus to in-play stocks — names with exceptional volume, volatility, or fresh news. Cutting out noise was a turning point. I still trade this way today. 2013 was my breakthrough year. I stopped chasing complexity and built a small playbook of “easy money” trades — simple, repeatable setups with defined risk. A few mean-reversion plays. Small, consistent wins. Fewer unforced errors. That’s when my PNL finally stabilized and my confidence started compounding. In 2014, I nearly blew up my career. A fat-tail after-hours loss wiped out over $100K in minutes. That drawdown forced me to build strict drawdown protocols — daily, weekly, and monthly loss limits with zero exceptions. Those rules didn’t just save my career — they’ve saved countless others since. By 2015, I shifted my mindset away from obsessing over PNL and toward improving expected value every day — what I now call the Bobblehead Concept. Red days became feedback. Growth became the metric. That mindset carried me through the emotional swings of trading. In 2016, I learned how much environment matters. Trading isn’t purely an individual sport. Being surrounded by serious traders — sharing ideas, accountability, and lessons — accelerated growth faster than anything else. In 2017, I adopted the Daily Report Card habit. Daily reflection. One improvement at a time. Treating trading like a professional athlete reviewing game film. This single habit was foundational to everything that followed. In 2018, I stopped trying to be early. I learned to wait for the right side of the V — letting moves exhaust before entering. Risk dropped. Win rate rose. Size increased. Being right mattered more than being first. From 2019 onward, it was about 1% improvements, adaptability, and pressing size only when edge was extreme. 2020 rewarded preparation. After almost 10 years of trading, COVID hit and it was a day trader's dream market. Most traders scale linearly, but the real outlier performance comes from identifying when you have an A+ setup and absolutely maximizing it. Doing so allowed me to have my first year making over $10m in PNL. By 2021, my technical skills were dialed in. What mattered most was psychology and performance optimization. I realized that how I managed my mental game determined how consistently I could execute at the highest level. Once you have edge, your mental state is what determines how consistently you stick to your system and capture the opportunities in front of you. Strong mental game allows you to avoid FOMO, ragetrading, and other bad habits that leech our PNL. 2022 the markets slowed down and punished many that didn't adapt. I realized that survival in trading isn’t about always being aggressive—it’s about trading based on what the market requires of you. The best traders don’t try to force the market to fit them, they fit their trading to the market and evolve faster than everyone else. 2023 I started allocating more energy toward swing trading—holding positions for days rather than seconds or minutes. This, coupled with selling options premium, gave me the space to step back, zoom out, and build a more sustainable lifestyle. I was no longer glued to the screen 10 hours a day. It reminded me that trading is a means to an end. 2024, I pushed myself to go beyond stocks. I dove deeper into options, futures, and overnight trading. Each new product came with its own quirks, nuances, and edge opportunities. Learning these instruments wasn’t just about more tools—it was about building a truly diversified and adaptable trading approach that maximizes your expected value based on the situation. At the elite level, the more markets and products you open yourself up to, the more opportunities you have to profit and the more mediums you have to express your trade in the most effective way possible. Now at the end of 2025, after 15 years, the biggest lesson is this: There’s no finish line in this game. The best traders stay curious. They stay hungry. And no matter how good you get, if you’re going to stay relevant in markets, you need to always be learning. I'm excited to see what 2026 will bring and I wish you all nothing but health, happiness, and the success you all are looking for.

Lance Breitstein 🇺🇸🌎

45,319 Aufrufe • vor 8 Monaten

Announcing the DVM Terminal Presale! 01/ We are excited to formally announce the next step in our journey: our AI and Signal based trading Terminal. See ALL details on our website, including product, tech, deposit address, and tech documentation: Deposit Address (SOL only): 4pyVRFX56MdqtREcxWnf6XuEGfRNCQaKm1LA4xmHeccv By contributing, you agree to our Terms & Privacy Policy – full docs on site. 02/ We are building ‘DVM Terminal’, a signal and AI powered trading platform for the Solana trenches (initially). The first multi-agent AI trading terminal designed as an institutional-grade dashboard – turning market noise into actionable alpha with agent summaries, live signals, rigid filters, and a full multi-agent system. 03/ The problem. Trench hunting is far too inefficient with real data and insights lacking. - Dashboards are noisy (not even sortable), - No AI agents (in an AI world) - No narratives (a critical component to a thesis), - VERY limited signals (only DB/DS), - No advanced trading (no TP, SL, or VWAP), - No portfolio alert/management system post-trade etc. - The list goes on… Products from major competitors are all just homogeneous, even down to the 3-frame design. We have to piece everything together like broken lego blocks, building a weak matrix from existing platforms, X, FNFs, telegram and discord for little to no alpha. 04/ The solution & moat. We rebuild this from the ground up, leveraging signals and AI. - Clean institutional-like dashboards (we can sort and navigate thru a proper terminal, like Bloomberg or Messari) - AI agents (thank goodness for intelligence, distilling all the important info upfront across 2k+ tokens/day) - A Narrative engine (no need to ask “what is this token about?”; additionally, our engine can identify the newest metas like AI, ICM, Cards, etc.) - 100s of value-add Signals overlaid live on charts (momentum, smart money, sentiment, event data; all of it; tell us what’s happening in real-time) - Advanced trading system (finally, SL, TP, VWAP etc.) - Live portfolio monitoring (AI will give us pertinent live info on our holdings, so we can go live life and not look at screens all day) - All in one place. At a higher-level, our advantage will be managing the massive on/off-chain data pipeline being processed by thousands or millions of context-aware AI agents that recognize patterns, filter noise and deliver only the most actionable insights to a trader with which it can execute a trade effectively. 05/ The opportunity. The Industry leader on Solana makes $600m+ in fees annually, with total industry near $1b on Solana alone, according to Adam. Yet, the entire industry gives us total burnout, fragmented data, either little info or info overload, no real signals, no narratives, no personalized AI-driven strategies, and zero incentives (like buybacks or a flywheel). We’ll flip the script, designing a high-powered scalable signal and AI driven intelligence platform with a flywheel (50-100% fee buy-back & burn). Simply put, we want to be tops. 06/ Development. Our product is MVP. We are building this to scale beyond Solana, into multi-chain. V1 is expected in 4-6 weeks. Our approach to building is an open feedback loop with community members, building to the demands of our users. 07/ Pre-sale terms & Valuation. We are offering 50% public sale, with min $100, no max. Ending valuation is susceptible to change based on amount raised, but will be fixed at 2x raise - i.e. $1m raised=$2m val, $50m raised=$100m val. We are seeking to raise $25m on a $50m valuation, which represents 1% of Solana bot market-share. At TGE event, expect ~65% of our tokens to be floating (or outstanding), with 25% in treasury and 10% of the team allocation locked. Tokens are expected to be distributed just ahead of v1 rollout. Again, find more details on our webpage. 08/ Tailwinds. AI input costs are declining 90%/yr also, so the operational model could become very accretive over time, as we scale our tech to other chains. Solana outputs the most tokens (~35k per day), so we start here, where the challenge is the greatest. 09/ Advisors. Big thanks to our advisors, who’ve been part of this community since inception. Austin Barack, JK 🛡️, cryptic, Tachi, , ZoeyLoo and Chetan Badhe. 10/ The end. Thank you for your consideration; and make sure the SOL address posted here is the same as on our website.

Deep Value Memetics

23,075 Aufrufe • vor 11 Monaten

Ex-Man AHL ($70B firm) fixed-income head on breaking into quant: "You've got a much better chance of being hired by the world's best hedge fund from a non-target school with no qualifications than by trading your own money." Rob Carver (Rob Carver) — ex-Man AHL, ran a multi-billion systematic fixed-income book | now a one-man shop across 200+ futures markets "I don't really believe I've found any inefficiency — basically all the money I make is risk premia." We cover: - The career myth that won't die — getting "noticed" by trading your own money is a one-in-a-billion event - Why he insists he's found zero market inefficiencies — it's public risk premia anyone can harvest - Skepticism as the #1 trait — every career error he's seen traces back to overconfidence in a backtest - Why "the best quants come from physics" is mostly path dependence — the Yale-historians thought experiment - His actual process: ~1 new strategy a year, a 1-in-5 strike rate — & he thinks more research would lower it - The real innovation of his last decade — running 200+ futures on a small account, not finding edge - Why he'd never join a pod shop — even though he reckons he could land an offer every couple of weeks Highlights: (00:50) The $1B loss week — why the desk stayed calm (02:45) Why he turned off his P&L email (06:40) Do the best quants really come from STEM? He pushes back (09:55) The Yale-historians trap — path dependence in quant hiring (11:35) The one trait that matters most — skepticism (13:00) The Sharpe ratio's blind spots — & the LTCM case (15:55) Geometric return vs Sharpe — the leverage catch (17:40) Avoiding overfitting — explicit vs implicit fitting (21:55) Why an honest backtest should look worse (23:05) Alpha decay by trading speed — HFT vs slow systems (25:35) Inside the portfolio — the full 10-rule suite (30:30) The career myth — trading your own money won't get you hired (31:55) Why he calls his returns risk premia, not inefficiency (33:55) His real innovation — 200+ futures on a small account (35:40) How Man AHL reviewed, vetoed & shipped new strategies (39:30) Will capital consolidate at Citadel & Millennium? (41:45) "My DMs are open" — & why he'd still never join a pod shop (42:45) The AI talent-war parallel — who you actually want to hire

Ethan Kho

180,532 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

Using Claude Fable 5, I built a model that predicts the entire 2026 FIFA world cup.. every single game, not just the final.. so let me break the whole thing down. what it does, how it works, and exactly how i built it.. #1 First what it does: it predicts all 104 games of the tournament. not just who lifts the trophy, but every group match, every knockout, the full path from the round of 32 to the final.. everything lands in one dashboard: > group stage, every match with each team's win % and the chance of a draw > standings, how all 12 groups are projected to finish > bracket, the full knockout tree with each team's odds of advancing > champion odds, who's most likely to actually win it all and it doesn't freeze after one prediction. the moment a real game is played, it locks that result in and re-runs everything around it. so the odds move live as the tournament goes, week by week you watch favorites rise and contenders collapse. #2. How it works: the core idea is simple. the model only ever predicts one thing, a single match. the real trick is the repetition. it learns from decades of match history, then plays the whole tournament out from the first game to the final, tens of thousands of times. each run it records who advanced and who won. do that enough and you stop getting one guess and start getting real odds, one team lifts the trophy in maybe 14% of the runs, another in 9%, and so on. #3. So, how i built it ? i didn't hand-write most of the code. i broke the project into 4 pieces, described each one to fable, and let it build while i focused on getting the football logic exactly right. - The data every international match going back over a century, around 50,000 games, plus each team's elo rating, which is the truest measure of strength, and the official 2026 schedule. garbage data means garbage predictions, so this part mattered most. - The features i turned that raw history into signals the model can learn from, the elo gap between the two teams, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and a home boost for the hosts, usa, canada and mexico. - The model for each match it predicts the expected goals for both sides, then turns that into win, draw and loss probabilities plus a likely scoreline. that's what feeds the simulation. - The tournament engine this was the hard part. the 2026 world cup is brand new, 48 teams, 12 groups, a round of 32 that's never existed before, and 8 "best third-placed" teams that slot into the bracket by a fixed fifa table. even the group tiebreakers changed this year, head to head now counts before goal difference. get any of it wrong and the whole bracket falls apart, so i built it carefully and tested the format until it was exact, then wrapped it in a simulation loop that plays the tournament out tens of thousands of times. and the last piece, the live part. as real results come in, they get locked, and only the unplayed games get re-simulated. that's what makes it a living model instead of a one-time prediction. all of it outputs to a clean dashboard you can actually read and screenshot.. right now, before kickoff, it already has a clear favorite to lift the trophy.. 👀 btw who's your pick to win the 2026 world cup?

Axel Bitblaze 🪓

63,796 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

Registration for our 5th asset offering is now open. 🔥 Secure your spot to invest in Blossom Residences Sathorn and own a stake in premium Bangkok real estate. 🔥 Blossom Residences - Sathorn, located in Bangkok’s Central Business District amid embassies and financial institutions, offers investors a high-yield opportunity with strong expat rental demand, rapid token vesting in just two weeks, join the fun! 💎 Investment Highlights💎 Total Investment: $ 85,800 USDC Gross Rental Yield: 6.90% Net Rental Yield: 6.28% Est. Annual Appreciation: 6.0% Token Price: $100 Min Allocation: $100 Max Allocation: $8,500 Vesting: 2 Weeks 🔥🔥🔥 This is one of the best performing assets under the Siamese Asset PLC brand, with strong demand in the heart of Bangkok’s CBD. Propbase is accelerating the property listing speed, due to Popular demand with more assets coming on-chain soon. 🔥 🔥 FAST Fingers Promotion is Back! 🔥 💰 $1,500 Giveaway: The first 30 unique participants in the tokensale contract will receive a $50 PROPS bonus each after the sale ends! Don’t miss out, act fast! 🚀 🔗 Sign Up Now: 📅 Key Dates Pre-Registration: 3rd Nov, 11 AM UTC Platinum Round: 10th Nov, 11 AM UTC Elite Round: 11th Nov, 11 AM UTC Gold Round: 11th Nov, 11 PM UTC Fair Round: 12th Nov, 11 AM UTC Sales End: 26th Nov, 11 AM UTC ✅ Past Asset Performance Wyndham Garden - Sold out in 40 hrs (+13% 💎) Cassia Banyan Tree - Sold out in 30 hrs (+13% 💎) Ramada Plaza - Sold out in 11 hrs (+14% 💎) Wyndham Queen - Sold out in 9 hrs (+10% 💎) 👉 Every Propbase asset sold out fast, oversubscribed by hundreds of investors - all now trading 10-14% above launch price with strong liquidity. Join the fun! #RWA How to Participate: 1️⃣ Sign Up 2️⃣ Connect Wallet 3️⃣ Complete KYC 4️⃣ Register to Participate Sign up for your membership today and join the future of asset-backed, yield-generating, and progressive real estate investment! 🔥 #RWA #PROPS #Tokenization #SEA

Propbase

75,455 Aufrufe • vor 10 Monaten

Let me walk you through an actual futures trade using our 3-step trading system. This system is what I use for EVERY futures trade—the 3 steps are: Step 1: Break of Structure Step 2: Mark the Zone Step 3: Wait for Entry Let’s dive in… Step 1: Break of Structure On the 5-minute chart, price takes out the previous swing high. Trend = bullish. We're only looking for longs. Step 2: Mark the Zone I draw a demand zone at the lowest consolidation that LED to that break of structure. Now I validate it: • Broke structure ✓ • Created imbalance (gap on 1-minute chart) ✓ • Swept liquidity (double bottom trap for retail) ✓ Step 3: Wait for Entry Price drops back into my zone. Here's the critical part: Retail traders enter immediately. They get excited. They place stops below the low. I do nothing. I wait for price to sweep those stops—the liquidity grab. THEN I enter on the second move up. Here’s my results from a live trade: • Entry: After liquidity sweep • Stop loss: Below sweep candle (10 points) • Take profit: 1:2 ratio (20 points) • Position size: 2 contracts (1% risk on $10K account) Price hesitates. Drops slightly. Then rips to TP. — This is just scratching the surface. In the full 2-hour futures trading masterclass, I break down: • How to calculate exact position sizes • The 3 beginner futures mistakes that cost traders thousands • Live chart examples walking through actual entries and exits step-by-step Just comment "FUTURES" and I'll send you the complete masterclass in the next few minutes.

The Trading Geek (Brad Goh)

30,118 Aufrufe • vor 8 Monaten