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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The ink wasn't even dry before both sides started walking it back. Brandon Weichert argues talks of an imminent deal with Iran have been greatly exaggerated. "I don't actually believe this deal is real. And I'm sorry to say that I know a lot of people were understandably... show more

Mario Nawfal

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48,973 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce •via X (Twitter)

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BRANDON WEICHERT: We are still not close to a deal. Any deal that sees the Iranians in control of the Strait of Hormuz, in any way, is going to be perceived as a failure. — The fear in Riyadh and elsewhere in the Arab states is if that Strait remains closed, then nobody is selling oil. Brandon Weichert

BRANDON WEICHERT: We are still not close to a deal. Any deal that sees the Iranians in control of the Strait of Hormuz, in any way, is going to be perceived as a failure. — The fear in Riyadh and elsewhere in the Arab states is if that Strait remains closed, then nobody is selling oil. Brandon Weichert

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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Over 100 days of strikes and the bulk of Iran's missile force may still be untouched. Brandon Weichert says the intelligence community is now worried that many of the launchers hit were decoys. "A lot of what they've been hitting in terms of launchers were either outright decoys or were only part of the force that we were hitting." Iran doesn't even need missiles. It just needs to squeeze the Strait of Hormuz. Brandon Weichert

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Over 100 days of strikes and the bulk of Iran's missile force may still be untouched. Brandon Weichert says the intelligence community is now worried that many of the launchers hit were decoys. "A lot of what they've been hitting in terms of launchers were either outright decoys or were only part of the force that we were hitting." Iran doesn't even need missiles. It just needs to squeeze the Strait of Hormuz. Brandon Weichert

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🇮🇷 Iran's parliament locked the Hormuz tolls into law, and no deal can undo it. Geopolitics expert Brandon Weichert breaks down why the 60-day clock may not matter much. Iran's parliament already passed tolls on the strait, and Weichert says there's no walking that back: "This is forever. This is everything." That's the trap nobody's accounting for. Once revenge gets written into legislation, no negotiated deal is built to survive it. Brandon Weichert

🇮🇷 Iran's parliament locked the Hormuz tolls into law, and no deal can undo it. Geopolitics expert Brandon Weichert breaks down why the 60-day clock may not matter much. Iran's parliament already passed tolls on the strait, and Weichert says there's no walking that back: "This is forever. This is everything." That's the trap nobody's accounting for. Once revenge gets written into legislation, no negotiated deal is built to survive it. Brandon Weichert

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 The leaked text of this deal could become a political bomb for Trump before the ink is even dry. Geopolitics expert Brandon Weichert says the agreement gives Iran a major win while leaving Washington exposed. “The Iranians are getting a conditional surrender from the United States.” Now Israel holds the match. The only question is whether they light it. Brandon Weichert

🇺🇸🇮🇷 The leaked text of this deal could become a political bomb for Trump before the ink is even dry. Geopolitics expert Brandon Weichert says the agreement gives Iran a major win while leaving Washington exposed. “The Iranians are getting a conditional surrender from the United States.” Now Israel holds the match. The only question is whether they light it. Brandon Weichert

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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 There is no deal, and the ceasefire itself may have been called because Trump needed to slow the economic bleeding, and the U.S. arsenal is running bone dry. Brandon Weichert says Iran made $1.7 billion in Strait tolls in 30 days and has zero incentive to stop. Even if they sign the current framework, they get up to 30 days to remove the blockade, and they would take every second of it. "This thing will become an Iranian river." Brandon Weichert

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 There is no deal, and the ceasefire itself may have been called because Trump needed to slow the economic bleeding, and the U.S. arsenal is running bone dry. Brandon Weichert says Iran made $1.7 billion in Strait tolls in 30 days and has zero incentive to stop. Even if they sign the current framework, they get up to 30 days to remove the blockade, and they would take every second of it. "This thing will become an Iranian river." Brandon Weichert

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 One phone call to Lloyd’s of London could shake the global economy. Geopolitics expert Brandon Weichert argues Iran doesn’t need to fully close the Strait of Hormuz. It only needs the credible ability to disrupt shipping long enough for insurers, markets, and governments to panic. “All they have to do is have the believable ability to disrupt shipping for a protracted period of time through the Strait of Hormuz.” Brandon Weichert

🇺🇸🇮🇷 One phone call to Lloyd’s of London could shake the global economy. Geopolitics expert Brandon Weichert argues Iran doesn’t need to fully close the Strait of Hormuz. It only needs the credible ability to disrupt shipping long enough for insurers, markets, and governments to panic. “All they have to do is have the believable ability to disrupt shipping for a protracted period of time through the Strait of Hormuz.” Brandon Weichert

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🇮🇷 Iran can't accept a deal that puts Hormuz back the way it was, even with sanctions relief on the table. Geopolitics expert Brandon Weichert explains the trap Tehran built for itself by making resistance the center of its image: "If the pressure of the war is lifted and everything goes back to the way it was before the war, a lot of Iranians might be sitting there going, what the hell was this all for?" The regime needs something tangible to show for the damage, which is why a tolling system keeps coming back to the table. Brandon Weichert

🇮🇷 Iran can't accept a deal that puts Hormuz back the way it was, even with sanctions relief on the table. Geopolitics expert Brandon Weichert explains the trap Tehran built for itself by making resistance the center of its image: "If the pressure of the war is lifted and everything goes back to the way it was before the war, a lot of Iranians might be sitting there going, what the hell was this all for?" The regime needs something tangible to show for the damage, which is why a tolling system keeps coming back to the table. Brandon Weichert

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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The US counter-blockade of the Strait of Hormuz is leaking. Brandon Weichert says the Navy simply doesn't have enough ships to stop it. Chinese vessels are almost certainly slipping through untouched, and the whole operation was improvised under pressure with no real plan behind it. "You have the physical presence of the U.S. navy for the blockade to be effective." Brandon Weichert

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The US counter-blockade of the Strait of Hormuz is leaking. Brandon Weichert says the Navy simply doesn't have enough ships to stop it. Chinese vessels are almost certainly slipping through untouched, and the whole operation was improvised under pressure with no real plan behind it. "You have the physical presence of the U.S. navy for the blockade to be effective." Brandon Weichert

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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Iran is passing a law through parliament formalizing its sovereignty over the Strait of Hormuz before any moU is even signed. Brandon Weichert went further and touched upon the fact that the moU only lasts 60 days, and probably would have no impact on a final solution on the nuclear front. "Then we are at an impasse, then the hostilities start all over again." Brandon Weichert

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Iran is passing a law through parliament formalizing its sovereignty over the Strait of Hormuz before any moU is even signed. Brandon Weichert went further and touched upon the fact that the moU only lasts 60 days, and probably would have no impact on a final solution on the nuclear front. "Then we are at an impasse, then the hostilities start all over again." Brandon Weichert

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This Was Never Real Peace, Just a Reload Before the Next Round. The U.S.–Iran “peace deal” and memorandum of understanding were never built to last. Once Trump spoke with Netanyahu, it was obvious this truce was temporary, not transformational. Brandon Weichert (Brandon Weichert) warned on Redacted that the U.S. and Israel are simply pausing to restock their arsenal, not pursuing real diplomacy. It was only a timeout before the next series of strikes.

This Was Never Real Peace, Just a Reload Before the Next Round. The U.S.–Iran “peace deal” and memorandum of understanding were never built to last. Once Trump spoke with Netanyahu, it was obvious this truce was temporary, not transformational. Brandon Weichert (Brandon Weichert) warned on Redacted that the U.S. and Israel are simply pausing to restock their arsenal, not pursuing real diplomacy. It was only a timeout before the next series of strikes.

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🇺🇸🇮🇷🇮🇱 The deal has passed most approval stages inside Iran, but it's stalled at the highest level, and Netanyahu is not on board. Geopolitical Analyst Brandon Weichert says if the Supreme Leader accepts a deal that doesn't meet America's stated strategic goals, it is a tell that Trump folded completely. The U.S. went into this war with enormous ambitions and achieved none of them. "We're trying to slunk out the back and hope nobody notices. We should have never done this war." Brandon Weichert

🇺🇸🇮🇷🇮🇱 The deal has passed most approval stages inside Iran, but it's stalled at the highest level, and Netanyahu is not on board. Geopolitical Analyst Brandon Weichert says if the Supreme Leader accepts a deal that doesn't meet America's stated strategic goals, it is a tell that Trump folded completely. The U.S. went into this war with enormous ambitions and achieved none of them. "We're trying to slunk out the back and hope nobody notices. We should have never done this war." Brandon Weichert

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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The supposed ceasefire in the Gulf is already on thin ice after a dramatic drone and missile exchange targeting an American vessel. Brandon Weichert warns that while low-level negotiators are shaking hands on an unrestricted shipping deal, there's good reason to believe we're just witnessing the calm before another storm. "I don't believe for a second that this is coming to an end. Operations are not shaping for peace, but for a better position for the U.S. and Israeli side in a new round of violence." Brandon Weichert

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The supposed ceasefire in the Gulf is already on thin ice after a dramatic drone and missile exchange targeting an American vessel. Brandon Weichert warns that while low-level negotiators are shaking hands on an unrestricted shipping deal, there's good reason to believe we're just witnessing the calm before another storm. "I don't believe for a second that this is coming to an end. Operations are not shaping for peace, but for a better position for the U.S. and Israeli side in a new round of violence." Brandon Weichert

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34,163 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The U.S. raided its Indo-Pacific arsenal to fight Iran, and none of it is coming back anytime soon. Brandon Weichert says another round of war could leave everyone exposed, and Trump may be negotiating without fully grasping America's offensive limitations. "The United States military of 2026 is not even the same military of 2003 that invaded Iraq. Even though we have all of this money going into the system, it's going to the contractors, not the actual war capabilities." Brandon Weichert

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The U.S. raided its Indo-Pacific arsenal to fight Iran, and none of it is coming back anytime soon. Brandon Weichert says another round of war could leave everyone exposed, and Trump may be negotiating without fully grasping America's offensive limitations. "The United States military of 2026 is not even the same military of 2003 that invaded Iraq. Even though we have all of this money going into the system, it's going to the contractors, not the actual war capabilities." Brandon Weichert

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31,459 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

🇺🇸 Brandon Weichert warns that a ceasefire or deal with Iran may only be a pause, not the end of the crisis. While reports suggest the U.S. has heavily depleted its stockpile of long-range precision weapons, Brandon says he remains concerned by suggestions that Washington could revisit military action within months if negotiations falter. His concern is that even a partial replenishment of U.S. munitions could convince the White House that military options are back on the table. "They assume Trump is going to restart hostilities, quote, soon." Brandon Weichert

🇺🇸 Brandon Weichert warns that a ceasefire or deal with Iran may only be a pause, not the end of the crisis. While reports suggest the U.S. has heavily depleted its stockpile of long-range precision weapons, Brandon says he remains concerned by suggestions that Washington could revisit military action within months if negotiations falter. His concern is that even a partial replenishment of U.S. munitions could convince the White House that military options are back on the table. "They assume Trump is going to restart hostilities, quote, soon." Brandon Weichert

Mario Nawfal

52,338 görüntüleme • 21 saat önce

🇮🇷 The total breakdown in communication over control of the Strait of Hormuz suggests that this confrontation will not end with a peace deal or a diplomatic compromise. Brandon Weichert stresses that despite financial incentives or external pressure on shipping routes, regional actors are focused on sending a non-negotiable message. Miscalculating the depth of domestic public support and assuming military pressure would force a shift toward compliance stands as a massive intelligence failure. Brandon Weichert

🇮🇷 The total breakdown in communication over control of the Strait of Hormuz suggests that this confrontation will not end with a peace deal or a diplomatic compromise. Brandon Weichert stresses that despite financial incentives or external pressure on shipping routes, regional actors are focused on sending a non-negotiable message. Miscalculating the depth of domestic public support and assuming military pressure would force a shift toward compliance stands as a massive intelligence failure. Brandon Weichert

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74,619 görüntüleme • 28 gün önce

🇮🇱🇺🇸🇮🇷 Israel was kept out of the deal entirely. The security cabinet meeting was canceled so Netanyahu and Trump could have a call. Geopolitical Analyst Brandon Weichert says Israel will press ahead with military operations regardless of whatever Trump signs. Netanyahu listing demands he knows are not in the deal is political cover, not a threat to block it. Brandon Weichert

🇮🇱🇺🇸🇮🇷 Israel was kept out of the deal entirely. The security cabinet meeting was canceled so Netanyahu and Trump could have a call. Geopolitical Analyst Brandon Weichert says Israel will press ahead with military operations regardless of whatever Trump signs. Netanyahu listing demands he knows are not in the deal is political cover, not a threat to block it. Brandon Weichert

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 A Hormuz deal giving Iran a formal role in managing shipping would amount to a major strategic setback for the United States Brandon Weichert says the consequences go far beyond the Strait itself. In his view, the outcome could reshape perceptions of U.S. military credibility, encourage rivals to test American power elsewhere, and accelerate broader shifts in the global financial order, including renewed questions about the future of the petrodollar. "If that's accurate, from a strategic perspective, this is a resounding defeat. Self-imposed, self-inflicted." Brandon Weichert

🇺🇸🇮🇷 A Hormuz deal giving Iran a formal role in managing shipping would amount to a major strategic setback for the United States Brandon Weichert says the consequences go far beyond the Strait itself. In his view, the outcome could reshape perceptions of U.S. military credibility, encourage rivals to test American power elsewhere, and accelerate broader shifts in the global financial order, including renewed questions about the future of the petrodollar. "If that's accurate, from a strategic perspective, this is a resounding defeat. Self-imposed, self-inflicted." Brandon Weichert

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55,052 görüntüleme • 21 saat önce

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇱 No amount of wishful thinking can turn the Iran war into a win for Trump, and it's set the world on a trajectory where the loss is even bigger for Israel. Brandon Weichert argued the war has made it impossible for any Gulf state to openly align with Israel, signaling the start of a period of real existential danger for the nation. "If Israel continues on the course it is on, it ceases to exist as a safe haven for international Jewish people. I think it will no longer be a viable national project." Brandon Weichert

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇱 No amount of wishful thinking can turn the Iran war into a win for Trump, and it's set the world on a trajectory where the loss is even bigger for Israel. Brandon Weichert argued the war has made it impossible for any Gulf state to openly align with Israel, signaling the start of a period of real existential danger for the nation. "If Israel continues on the course it is on, it ceases to exist as a safe haven for international Jewish people. I think it will no longer be a viable national project." Brandon Weichert

Mario Nawfal

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WEICHERT: The Iranians are not out of the fight. They’ve killed a thousand innocent ppl, blockaded the Strait of Hormuz and are targeting Saudi and Qatari oil production. Air power alone may not end this. My fear is sending special forces to coordinate with the MEK would be a grave mistake. Brandon Weichert

WEICHERT: The Iranians are not out of the fight. They’ve killed a thousand innocent ppl, blockaded the Strait of Hormuz and are targeting Saudi and Qatari oil production. Air power alone may not end this. My fear is sending special forces to coordinate with the MEK would be a grave mistake. Brandon Weichert

Grace Chong, MBI

14,608 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The situation in the Strait of Hormuz is rapidly descending into chaos as commercial ships face completely contradictory routing orders from Washington and Tehran. Brandon Weichert warns that while the U.S. claims the shipping lanes are open, Iran is aggressively dictating traffic in its own backyard. If captains follow American guidance into these contested waters, Brandon suggested ships may run into active minefields, ensuring the standoff ends in brutal proverbial tears. "nothing is resolved here; we've gotten a temporary reprieve." Brandon Weichert

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The situation in the Strait of Hormuz is rapidly descending into chaos as commercial ships face completely contradictory routing orders from Washington and Tehran. Brandon Weichert warns that while the U.S. claims the shipping lanes are open, Iran is aggressively dictating traffic in its own backyard. If captains follow American guidance into these contested waters, Brandon suggested ships may run into active minefields, ensuring the standoff ends in brutal proverbial tears. "nothing is resolved here; we've gotten a temporary reprieve." Brandon Weichert

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