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The man who built the greatest quant fund in history explaining his philosophy in one MIT lecture Jim Simons ran Renaissance Technologies and returned 66% a year for 30 years, his Medallion Fund never had a losing year after 1989 His approach was simple - find small edges the...

15,473 views • 4 months ago •via X (Twitter)

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In 1988, Jim Simons flew to Berkeley to beg a math professor to fix his hedge fund. The professor had never traded a stock. He had spent his career on coding theory and mathematical board games. He agreed to help on the condition he could leave when he wanted. He delivered 55 percent net in his full year running it. Then he handed the whole thing back and went home to teach undergraduates. His name was Elwyn Berlekamp. He is one of two people who ever ran what would become the most profitable trading operation in history. Simons was the other one. MIT math PhD, 1964. Berlekamp wrote foundational papers in coding theory that still run every CD, DVD, satellite link, and QR code on Earth. The Berlekamp-Massey algorithm, published 1968, is why every scratched CD you owned still played through to the end. He also co-wrote "Winning Ways for Your Mathematical Plays" with John Conway and Richard Guy. Four volumes. It became the foundational text of combinatorial game theory. Berlekamp thought about board games the way most mathematicians think about theorems. He proved endgame results in Go that professional masters had assumed were unprovable. His 1994 book "Mathematical Go" reduced the last moves of a Go game to a formula. Top-ranked professionals started studying it. Simons had a problem in the late 1980s. His trading partnership was falling apart. The fund was losing money. He flew west to see the game theorist. Berlekamp bought a controlling stake, cut what was not working, and rebuilt the trading logic from combinatorial game theory principles. The fund returned 55 percent net after fees in his full year running it. In December 1990, Berlekamp sold his stake back to Simons and walked out. He wanted to go back to Berkeley. In interviews he said the same thing many times, in different words: Berkeley was where he belonged. Simons kept building on the system Berlekamp rebuilt. It became the Medallion Fund. Over the next 30 years, Medallion compounded at roughly 66 percent gross per year. It is the most profitable trading strategy in the history of finance. Berlekamp took his cut in 1990 and never went back. He spent the rest of his life at UC Berkeley. He gave a lecture called "Mathematics and Go" that is on YouTube. He died in 2019, aged 78. The paradox is not that Berlekamp made a fortune. It is that he had the door to the biggest fortune in trading history held open for him and walked out. The math was fun. The billions were not.

Veles

72,810 views • 1 month ago

The most profitable strategy on Polymarket in 2026 is 30 years old and has generated $100 billion. It was not invented by a trader. It was invented by a mathematician Jim Simons, creator of Medallion Fund, the hedge fund that returned 66% annually for 30 years straight and outperformed Buffett, Soros, and all of Wall Street combined. The formula is publicly available, but on Wall Street you need billions and 300 PhDs to run it. On Polymarket you just need a laptop. The entire strategy in one line: small edge × many positions × low correlation. Let me break it down simply. Imagine a coin that lands heads 52 times out of 100. Flip it 10 times and you will not notice the difference. Flip it 10,000 times and you are in profit not probably, but mathematically. Simons did not guess where the market was going. He took hundreds of positions with a tiny edge on each one and waited for statistics to do the work. Some always lost, but the sum of wins was always greater than the sum of losses. On Polymarket this formula works better than anywhere else. Hundreds of markets, prices set by a crowd that makes mistakes every day, inefficiencies at every turn, and the entry threshold is not a billion but $100. I found a wallet that is already trading by this formula. 96 positions spread across politics and sports. Profit: $53K. Sharpe Ratio 3.43, which is higher than Medallion Fund itself and better than 91% of traders on the platform. You can open it and see every trade: 73% on Polymarket are trying to guess and losing. Maybe it is time to start counting?

Blaze

533,967 views • 6 months ago

In 1961, two MIT professors beat roulette in Las Vegas. Not by counting. Not by luck. With a shoebox of transistors taped to their stomachs. Their edge was 44 percent over the house. The casino never figured out how. One of them invented the mathematics behind the internet. The other invented the modern hedge fund. His name was Claude Shannon. Yes, that Claude Shannon. In the summer of 1961 he built the world's first wearable computer in his basement in Cambridge. He wore it into a Nevada casino under his shirt. His partner was a 28-year-old math professor named Ed Thorp. Thorp tapped his toe when the ball passed a mark. Shannon's computer did the physics. It sang the answer into Thorp's ear as one of eight musical tones. Which quarter of the wheel the ball would land in. It worked. They tested it in Reno, then took it into the pit. The edge held. The device is now in a glass case at the MIT Museum. Credited as the first wearable computer in history. They quit after a few trips. The earpiece wire kept breaking. And in 1961 the wrong pit boss noticed and things got physical. Shannon wanted no part of that. He was a professor. Thorp had no such problem. He took the math to blackjack, wrote Beat the Dealer in 1962, and by 1964 every casino in Nevada had rewritten the rules to stop him. In 1969 he opened Princeton Newport Partners. Nineteen years. 20 percent a year. No losing quarter. Shannon went back to Cambridge and ran his own money. His personal portfolio compounded at 28 percent a year for 30 years. Better than any fund manager alive at the time. Nobody knew until his wife opened his books after he died. Two MIT professors. One shoebox. One summer in Nevada. The blueprint for the entire hedge fund industry. Thorp is 93. Shannon died in 2001. The shoebox is behind glass in Cambridge. Vegas learned to change the rules. Wall Street never did.

Veles

141,490 views • 26 days ago