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The most dangerous people don't react, they prepare. Reality check: Patience isn't weakness. Sometimes the best revenge is waiting until your opponent never sees it coming. 🎬 Breaking Bad. Season 4, Episode 10 (Salud) 📺 Credit: AMC / Sony Pictures Television. What's more powerful, patience or revenge?

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.Rob Miles is spitting fire: “People are starting from a prior in which ‘[AIs] are safe until you give me an airtight case for why they're dangerous.’ This framing is exhausting. You explain one of the 10,000 ways that AIs could be dangerous, then they explain why they don't think that specific thing would happen. Then you have to change tack, and then they say, 'your story keeps changing'... "If you're building an AGI, it's like building a Saturn V rocket [but with every human on it]. It's a complex, difficult engineering task, and you're going to try and make it aligned, which means it's going to deliver people to the moon and home again. People ask “why assume they won't just land on the Moon and return home safely?" And I'm like, because you don't know what you're doing! If you try to send people to the moon and you don't know what you're doing, your astronauts will die. [Unlike the telephone, or electricity, where you can assume it’s probably going to work out okay] I contend that ASI is more like the moon rocket. "The moon is small compared with the rest of the sky, so you don't get to the moon by default - you hit some part of the sky that isn't the moon. So, show me the plan by which you predict to specifically hit the moon." And then people say, “how do you predict that [AIs] will want bad things?” There's more bad things than good things! It's not actually a complicated argument... I'm not going to predict specifically where it off into random space your astronauts are going, but you're not going to hit the moon unless you have a really good, technically clear plan for how you do it. And if you ask these people for their plan, they don't have one. What's Yann Lecun’s plan?” "I think that if you're building an enormously powerful technology and you have a lot of uncertainty about what's going to happen, this is bad. Like, this is default unsafe. If you've got something that's going to do enormously influential things in the world, and you don't know what enormously influential things it's going to do, this thing is unsafe until you can convince me that it's safe." HOST: “That’s a good way of thinking about it - with some technologies you can assume that the default will be good or at least neutral, or that the capacity of a person to use this in a very bad way is bounded somehow. There's just only so many people you could electrocute one by one."

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Jordan Peterson on how to know who your real friends are: 1. Here's the weird test most people miss: you can tell them good news and they'll actually help you celebrate. that sounds easy. it isn't. tell most people something good happened to you and they give you a little whack, then start talking about the great thing that happened to them three years ago. or worse, the great thing that happened to someone they know. 2. the good ones let you have your win. that's rarer than you think. some people, you're almost afraid to admit something good happened, because the second you let it be known, they'll try to take it away. 3. the other test is bad news. you can tell them and they'll just listen. they won't tell you why you're stupid, why it's your fault, why something worse happened to them once. they don't derail the whole thing. they just listen. 4. hanging around people who pull you down is attractive, and that's the trap. you don't have to take any responsibility. you can all whine together about how wretched life is. no accountability, no effort. feels good short term. it's a terrible long term plan. 5. so surround yourself with people who want the best for the best part of you. and if someone won't move toward anything better, keeps doing the same damn things, going nowhere, you have both the right and the responsibility to walk. putting up with it isn't kindness. that's enabling. you're giving it your tacit approval.

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Chris Voss on the gut feeling you should never ignore: The former FBI hostage negotiator says your body knows when someone is lying even before your conscious mind does. In the clip below, Christopher Voss explains the science his team is actively teaching: "Learn the difference between your gut and your amygdala for lack of a better term, your fear centers and know which one is which." He's drawing a critical distinction most people miss. The amygdala triggers panic, anxiety, and self-doubt. The gut, however, is something else entirely: "Your gut is ridiculously accurate. Our gut is being fed by all these different inputs that we're aware of or that we have yet to be made aware of." What kind of inputs? Voss gives a concrete example: "The tone of voice doesn't match their words. The head tilt." Your brain is already processing these micro-signals and routing them through your gut before you can consciously articulate what's wrong. As Voss puts it: "You've got a supercomputer in your brain." The problem isn't that people lack this instinct. It's that they override it: "As soon as you start listening to your gut, you can't explain it at the time but you got a bad feeling. And later on, you saw it. It all came together." That lag, the gap between the gut signal and the rational explanation is exactly why most people dismiss it. They wait for logical proof that never arrives in time. The lesson from one of the world's most experienced negotiators is surprisingly simple: the feeling in your stomach during a conversation isn't anxiety. It might be data.

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