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🇺🇸 🇮🇷 The most optimistic read on striking Iran's nuclear site is that it's theater for a domestic audience. Fmr. U.S. Navy SEAL Matt Bracken breaks down why even a flawless attack accomplishes nothing lasting. "You can't turn the clock back to 1944. The information is out there." Blowing... show more

Mario Nawfal

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70,594 views • 19 days ago •via X (Twitter)

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🇺🇸 One full-scale shootout in the Gulf and 60 years of infrastructure is gone before anyone can rebuild it. Fmr. U.S. Navy Seal Matt Bracken breaks down why the people living there have nowhere to go. "If it's destroyed in a few months, you can't rebuild it in a few months, you can't rebuild it in a few years." When Bahrain runs on 100% desalinated water, there is no backup plan. Matt Bracken

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NEW: 🇺🇸🇮🇷 Ex-SEAL says thinking US can just land and beat Iran is crazy Matt Bracken, a former US Navy SEAL: “The Iranians don't mind dying for their cause, especially if we're the ones invading, Anybody who thinks that the US has a technological upper hand, and that American marines are somehow tougher than the Persian Revolutionary Guards is really crazy. What they're going to do is… let the Americans in. They're going to turn off radar, turn off defenses… And then they'll close the trap.”

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 Geopolitical Analyst Matt Bracken thinks America just lost a kind of war it doesn't know how to fight yet. Iran's newest ballistic missile reportedly costs around $1 million to build, state-run production, no profit margin. America's comparable interceptor runs roughly 20 times that, and the U.S. can only produce a few hundred a year. Matt's math is blunt: if the defense costs 10 times more than the offense it's stopping, the war is unwinnable by attrition, full stop. He's equally skeptical of a symbolic "final bombing" of the mountain facility. Been there, done that, he says; Trump already claimed to have "obliterated" the program once. The real fight, in Matt's view, isn't over the nuclear program at all. It's over the Strait of Hormuz, and he says Iran has zero incentive to hand back control, because time doesn't cost Tehran anything the way it costs Washington. No midterms. No economy tipping into recession. No allies quietly panicking over oil. Which is why he thinks the emerging Oman-brokered deal, a Malacca Strait–style shared arrangement among Iran, Oman, Saudi Arabia and the Gulf states, will happen with one notable absence: the U.S. Navy. Matt doesn't see American warships back in the Gulf, doesn't see Bahrain's Fifth Fleet headquarters mattering again, and doesn't see Washington invited to the table when the region's major powers sit down to actually work this out. On Ukraine striking Iranian shipping in the Caspian, Matt calls it a mistake baited by NATO decision-makers, not a Zelensky initiative. He warns that fusing the Ukraine and Iran wars into one conflict is the actual nightmare scenario, not the missile symbolism everyone's been focused on. If U.S. bases stop functioning as protection, does the American forward-basing model in the Gulf survive this war at all? Matt Bracken

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Geopolitical Analyst Matt Bracken thinks America just lost a kind of war it doesn't know how to fight yet. Iran's newest ballistic missile reportedly costs around $1 million to build, state-run production, no profit margin. America's comparable interceptor runs roughly 20 times that, and the U.S. can only produce a few hundred a year. Matt's math is blunt: if the defense costs 10 times more than the offense it's stopping, the war is unwinnable by attrition, full stop. He's equally skeptical of a symbolic "final bombing" of the mountain facility. Been there, done that, he says; Trump already claimed to have "obliterated" the program once. The real fight, in Matt's view, isn't over the nuclear program at all. It's over the Strait of Hormuz, and he says Iran has zero incentive to hand back control, because time doesn't cost Tehran anything the way it costs Washington. No midterms. No economy tipping into recession. No allies quietly panicking over oil. Which is why he thinks the emerging Oman-brokered deal, a Malacca Strait–style shared arrangement among Iran, Oman, Saudi Arabia and the Gulf states, will happen with one notable absence: the U.S. Navy. Matt doesn't see American warships back in the Gulf, doesn't see Bahrain's Fifth Fleet headquarters mattering again, and doesn't see Washington invited to the table when the region's major powers sit down to actually work this out. On Ukraine striking Iranian shipping in the Caspian, Matt calls it a mistake baited by NATO decision-makers, not a Zelensky initiative. He warns that fusing the Ukraine and Iran wars into one conflict is the actual nightmare scenario, not the missile symbolism everyone's been focused on. If U.S. bases stop functioning as protection, does the American forward-basing model in the Gulf survive this war at all? Matt Bracken

Mario Nawfal

287,347 views • 13 days ago

🇮🇷 A Gulf state may not need to officially order a strike on Iran for one to happen. Fmr. U.S. Navy SEAL Matt Bracken argues that a rogue officer with access to a weapons system could be bought far more cheaply than the missiles being fired: “You can buy some colonel for a suitcase with $1 million, or fire one more missile that misses the target or gets intercepted. You can get a better outcome with the suitcase.” He says that when long-range missiles and air defenses cost millions per shot, bribing one officer to issue false launch orders becomes a very real possibility. Matt Bracken

🇮🇷 A Gulf state may not need to officially order a strike on Iran for one to happen. Fmr. U.S. Navy SEAL Matt Bracken argues that a rogue officer with access to a weapons system could be bought far more cheaply than the missiles being fired: “You can buy some colonel for a suitcase with $1 million, or fire one more missile that misses the target or gets intercepted. You can get a better outcome with the suitcase.” He says that when long-range missiles and air defenses cost millions per shot, bribing one officer to issue false launch orders becomes a very real possibility. Matt Bracken

Mario Nawfal

79,978 views • 21 days ago

MUST-WATCH: "It's Like "Top Gun: Maverick" — It's A Hollywood Concoction! It's Just A Narrative To Spin To The American Audience, So They Can Say, 'We Blew Up Pickaxe Mountain! We Have Solved The Iranian Nuclear Problem Forever, And Now We're Leaving!'" Former Navy SEAL & Military Expert Matt Bracken Exposes The Pickaxe Mountain Deception, And Predicts That It Could Ultimately Be Used To Save Face For An Iran War Exit In This Report, Alex Jones Responds To Bracken's Analysis & Gives His Take On The Impending Nuclear Escalation: "That's The Cosmetic Reason This Is Going On, But The Pentagon & Some Of The Hawks Up There Want This To Set The Precedent To Use Nukes!" 🔴WATCH/SHARE THE LIVE X STREAM NOW:

MUST-WATCH: "It's Like "Top Gun: Maverick" — It's A Hollywood Concoction! It's Just A Narrative To Spin To The American Audience, So They Can Say, 'We Blew Up Pickaxe Mountain! We Have Solved The Iranian Nuclear Problem Forever, And Now We're Leaving!'" Former Navy SEAL & Military Expert Matt Bracken Exposes The Pickaxe Mountain Deception, And Predicts That It Could Ultimately Be Used To Save Face For An Iran War Exit In This Report, Alex Jones Responds To Bracken's Analysis & Gives His Take On The Impending Nuclear Escalation: "That's The Cosmetic Reason This Is Going On, But The Pentagon & Some Of The Hawks Up There Want This To Set The Precedent To Use Nukes!" 🔴WATCH/SHARE THE LIVE X STREAM NOW:

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126,570 views • 17 days ago