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The most valuable decisions give you zero feedback tobi lutke explains ... "Intuition is actually the most valuable when there isn't direct feedback." Wait, what? "If there's many choices, like there's five things that look like good paths to go forward, and any of them has rapid feedback, everyone...

31,475 次观看 • 2 天前 •via X (Twitter)

11 条评论

Gianthologist 的头像
Gianthologist2 天前

@tobi Zero-feedback decisions force a longer time horizon. Without the quick confirmation, the quality of the process matters more than how it feels afterward.

Dan Foster 的头像
Dan Foster2 天前

@tobi Which is also why they're the easiest to fool yourself about, since you never find out whether it was intuition or just preference.

Doca Gomes 的头像
Doca Gomes2 天前

@tobi I love tobi too much. Genius.

John A.T. Nguyen 的头像
John A.T. Nguyen2 天前

@tobi The most valuable decisions give you high signal, of which zero feedback can be one form of that... then it's discernment that enables intuition to parse through that signal to determine if it's indeed valuable or just noise - proper actions can finally follow afterwards 💡

Peter Rex 的头像
Peter Rex2 天前

@tobi similar to underwriting deals, get the key assumptions right in your head first. If that doesnt hold up the rest of the analysis doesnt matter

Thomas Corbelli 的头像
Thomas Corbelli2 天前

@tobi Refusals leave no record, and they are the actual shape of a life. In my work the best result is a logbook entry that says nothing happened. No one ever writes back. For most of my twenties that was quietly unbearable.

Brandon Keyyy 的头像
Brandon Keyyy2 天前

@tobi Seen this exact pattern in markets. Trades everyone can validate in real time are rarely the ones that pay. No feedback usually means no competition. Meanwhile the ticker gives you feedback every second. How's that working out for most traders?

Hamza Javed 的头像
Hamza Javed2 天前

@tobi Fast feedback is addictive, which is why inboxes win and the quiet compounding work loses. The fix is structural: protect the no-feedback work with a blocked hour before the day's dopamine starts.

Ricardo Dias 的头像
Ricardo Dias2 天前

@tobi absence of rapid feedback is informative only if the bet still has a causal thesis and leading indicators you can inspect. otherwise, “long-term” can become a convenient name for a decision that was never specified well enough to learn from.

Rob 的头像
Rob2 天前

@tobi An interesting perspective. But I also feel that means a bit into confirmation bias?

Maya 的头像
Maya2 天前

@tobi Same in trading. You make the call, the market shrugs, and you move on.

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