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🇮🇷🇺🇸 The new war's math problem: Iran can strike from a thousand points along its coast... The U.S. operates from roughly ten bases it can't hide. That asymmetry is Larry Johnson's whole read of phase two. Centcom's stated objective is destroying Iran's ability to touch shipping, but the launch...

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🇮🇷🇺🇸 China gave Iran's missiles new eyes, and American bases are paying the price... Reports out of Iran say tonight's strikes reached three bridges around Bandar Abbas, one with cars on it and at least one person reportedly killed, plus a railway junction, a telecom tower, and a civilian airport at Iranshahr. Iran's military central command answered within hours, threatening to level every piece of infrastructure in the region "as if it never existed." Larry Johnson explained why that threat lands differently than it would have a year ago. In last June's 12 day war, Iranian missiles navigated by GPS, and American and Israeli spoofing, feeding them false location data, pulled them off target. Since February 28, by his account, they fly on BeiDou, China's independent satellite network, which Washington cannot touch and which shoots straighter. That is his explanation for the satellite photos showing clean hits on radars, fuel pumps, and parked aircraft across the Gulf. His map of what comes next follows the launch sites. Kuwait and Bahrain keep absorbing fire because missiles keep leaving them, and launches left Kuwait again during this conversation. Qatar and Saudi stay untouched because nothing flies from there. The reported pullback of the $250 MILLION Triton drone from Jordan to Europe reads to him like the attrition already working. His clock: a week or two before the weapons ledger forces the issue, with the Pacific commands fighting CENTCOM for every remaining missile. SonofNewAmericanRevolution

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🚨🇮🇷🇺🇸 Tehran's newest warning names Dubai and Abu Dhabi directly: bomb Iranian bridges again, and the Emirates' airports and ports get hit The reported threat goes further. Per a claimed Iranian military source, a phased plan runs all the way to the region's power plants and desalination facilities, with Kuwait named as stage one, and two of Kuwait's eight desalination plants already knocked out. Every capital in the Gulf now has a line item in Iran's escalation ledger. Larry Johnson's answer to whether that deters Trump came in two parts: no, it won't stop him, and yes, Iran will follow through. What actually ends this, in his reading, is arithmetic rather than threats. Casualties coming home, pump prices creeping, and munitions stocks he insists sit in the low thousands, not tens of thousands, with no production surge available to refill them. The detail that stuck was a retreat nobody announced. A $250 MILLION Triton surveillance drone, chased out of Jordan by repeated missile strikes, now sits in Sicily, too far from Iran to fly the missions it exists for. Larry reads the Jordanian bases as weeks from unusable, which pushes American operations toward Israel, and makes Israel a target for the first time in this round. On the ground-move chatter, he relayed Professor Marandi's argument that summer heat alone shoves any island landing past the midterms. His forecast: tomorrow bigger, Monday bigger still... SonofNewAmericanRevolution

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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The war between Iran and the U.S–Israel coalition is a textbook case of asymmetric warfare, the kind of fight where the weaker side throws cheap, relentless chaos at a superpower that built its entire military to battle other superpowers. The U.S. and Israel have fleets of stealth bombers, fifth-gen fighters, billion-dollar radars, and industrial-scale precision weapons. Instead of trying to match American spending or Israeli tech, Iran floods the region with Shahed drones, dirt-cheap, mass-produced kamikaze UAVs that cost anywhere from a few thousand bucks to maybe a couple hundred thousand at the high end. Still pocket change compared to a $100 million jet. Then come the missiles, not ICBMs, not world-class guidance, but good enough to make life hell for anyone within a thousand miles. And that’s the whole point. Iran doesn’t need parity; it only needs volume. Hit U.S. sites in Kuwait, hit bases in Bahrain, Qatar, the UAE, hit economically critical targets like Ras Tanura’s oil facilities or a hotel in Dubai. Every strike is designed for maximum cost-effectiveness: Iran spends little, the U.S. and its allies spend a fortune defending or repairing. That’s why asymmetric warfare is so hard to counter. America built a military to fight a mirror image of itself, fighter jets vs. fighter jets, ships vs. ships, satellites vs. satellites. And unfortunately for Washington, Tehran’s math is brutal… and not wrong.

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🇮🇷🇺🇸 Iran just struck a Himars battery in Kuwait, the first time since the ceasefire, and the U.S. answered with what's being described as 140 targets in a single wave. This isn't a skirmish anymore. Brandon Weichert, geopolitical analyst, joined me as the strikes pushed deeper into Iran than anything since the war paused, hitting Ahvaz airport and a heavy-water nuclear facility at Khondab for the first time in this round. His read: this isn't random escalation. It's a campaign to strip Iran of any ability to threaten the Strait of Hormuz, aimed at a scenario where a Marine expeditionary unit eventually seizes Kharg Island itself to physically control the chokepoint. "I don't think any of this is going to work, though, and I think it's going to get all of our troops either captured or killed." He doesn't think degrading Iran's capability makes the regime more compliant. He thinks it makes it more desperate, and a failed landing on Kharg could be the trigger that pushes the conflict toward nuclear escalation, not from Iran, but from an American president unwilling to absorb a defeat of that scale. Meanwhile Israel's gone quiet, reportedly stretched thin on interceptors and pulling back its own position in Lebanon rather than expanding it. If the objective really is a permanent grip on the Strait rather than a quick resolution, is this the kind of war that ends in months, or the kind that just becomes the new baseline for the region? Brandon Weichert

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🚨🚨🇮🇷🇺🇸 BREAKING | If this is confirmed, we can say that the US has lost the war with Iran. The Iranian news agency Mehr, citing the Iranian Ministry of Foreign Affairs, has published all 14 clauses of the Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) signed with the US: 1. Permanent and immediate cessation of war on all fronts, including Lebanon. 2. The US commitment to non-interference in Iran's internal affairs and respect for the sovereignty of the Islamic Republic of Iran. 3. Complete lifting of the naval blockade within 30 days. 4. The US commitment to withdraw its forces from around Iran. 5. Reopening of the Strait of Hormuz within 30 days under Iranian arrangements. 6. Suspension of sanctions on the sale of oil, petrochemical products, and derivatives, and full access of Iran to its financial resources. 7. The necessity for the US and its allies to present reconstruction plans for Iran amounting to at least 300 billion dollars. 8. 60 days of negotiations to reach a final agreement based on nuclear issues and the complete lifting of primary, secondary, US sanctions, and UN Security Council and IAEA Board of Governors resolutions. 9. Reiteration of Iran's commitment under the NPT treaty not to produce nuclear weapons. 10. During the negotiation period, the US has committed not to add forces in the region and not to impose new sanctions. 11. Release of 24 billion dollars of Iran's blocked funds during the 60-day final negotiation period. Half of this amount must be made available to Iran before the start of negotiations. 12. Formation of a supervisory mechanism to implement the agreement. 13. The final agreement will be approved by a UN Security Council resolution. 14. Final negotiations will not begin before the release of half of Iran's blocked funds, suspension of Iran's oil sanctions, and lifting of the naval blockade, and the final agreement will only cover the fate of enriched materials and enrichment, lifting of sanctions, and Iran's economic reconstruction plan. Discussions about Iran's missile program and support for resistance groups are definitively removed from the agenda. As a reminder, the official signing of the memorandum is scheduled for June 19 in Geneva. See the latest updates with us: Visioner

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