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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The new war's math problem: Iran can strike from a thousand points along its coast... The U.S. operates from roughly ten bases it can't hide. That asymmetry is Larry Johnson's whole read of phase two. Centcom's stated objective is destroying Iran's ability to touch shipping, but the launch...

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Mario Nawfal

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท The math behind this war is BRUTALLY simple... and it favors Iran. Fmr. CIA analyst Larry Johnson lays out the asymmetry driving this entire war: "The United States has got to play whack a mole with a thousand sites, or Iran, which can hit ten sites over and over and over and over and every time degrade the ability of the United States to retaliate." Who wins a war of attrition when one side has a thousand targets and the other has ten? SonofNewAmericanRevolution
1:49

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท The math behind this war is BRUTALLY simple... and it favors Iran. Fmr. CIA analyst Larry Johnson lays out the asymmetry driving this entire war: "The United States has got to play whack a mole with a thousand sites, or Iran, which can hit ten sites over and over and over and over and every time degrade the ability of the United States to retaliate." Who wins a war of attrition when one side has a thousand targets and the other has ten? SonofNewAmericanRevolution

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท America needs to hit 800 targets. Iran needs to hit ten, every single day. Fmr. CIA analyst Larry Johnson runs the target math, and it's ugly. The US has to degrade hundreds of Iranian sites with a missile force he doubts can sustain it. Iran's list is six bases: Bahrain, Kuwait, Jordan, Al Udeid in Qatar, Al Dhafra in the UAE, and Oman: "They can just bomb them day after day after day, and each day more destruction on those bases until those bases are no longer useful. Then what does the US do? It's not like it's got 20 other bases in reserve. That's why this is insane what Trump has done." SonofNewAmericanRevolution
1:15

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท America needs to hit 800 targets. Iran needs to hit ten, every single day. Fmr. CIA analyst Larry Johnson runs the target math, and it's ugly. The US has to degrade hundreds of Iranian sites with a missile force he doubts can sustain it. Iran's list is six bases: Bahrain, Kuwait, Jordan, Al Udeid in Qatar, Al Dhafra in the UAE, and Oman: "They can just bomb them day after day after day, and each day more destruction on those bases until those bases are no longer useful. Then what does the US do? It's not like it's got 20 other bases in reserve. That's why this is insane what Trump has done." SonofNewAmericanRevolution

Mario Nawfal

179,953 Aufrufe โ€ข vor 2 Monaten

๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Trump on Fox: "Next week comes the power plants. Next week comes the bridges." The threat now has a date attached... The interview aired mid-conversation with Larry Johnson. Hit hard tonight, tomorrow night, the night after, then escalate to Iran's grid and bridges unless Tehran negotiates. On Kharg: "if we degrade them far enough, I would do that," though saying so would be foolish. He also walked back the 20% toll, saying the Gulf will invest in America instead. Larry answered with arithmetic. Lockheed builds 56 precision strike missiles a year, not 560, and Pacific commanders guard their own Tomahawk stocks. Meanwhile Iran's target list is ten bases it can hit nightly, while Washington's runs toward a thousand rebuildable launch sites. The war can't be forever, he argues, because the munitions aren't. His warning on the power-plant threat cut deepest: strike Iran's grid from Gulf soil, and Iran answers in kind, against countries where losing air conditioning in July means abandoning cities. The quiet story: Israel's transport ministry barred additional US refueling tankers from Ben Gurion, drawing formal Centcom protests. Larry's read: Tel Aviv knows a dead MOU puts those tankers on Iran's target list. And a Reuters/Ipsos number that says everything: 79% of Americans now expect a prolonged war. Only 37% approve of the strikes. SonofNewAmericanRevolution
50:58

๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Trump on Fox: "Next week comes the power plants. Next week comes the bridges." The threat now has a date attached... The interview aired mid-conversation with Larry Johnson. Hit hard tonight, tomorrow night, the night after, then escalate to Iran's grid and bridges unless Tehran negotiates. On Kharg: "if we degrade them far enough, I would do that," though saying so would be foolish. He also walked back the 20% toll, saying the Gulf will invest in America instead. Larry answered with arithmetic. Lockheed builds 56 precision strike missiles a year, not 560, and Pacific commanders guard their own Tomahawk stocks. Meanwhile Iran's target list is ten bases it can hit nightly, while Washington's runs toward a thousand rebuildable launch sites. The war can't be forever, he argues, because the munitions aren't. His warning on the power-plant threat cut deepest: strike Iran's grid from Gulf soil, and Iran answers in kind, against countries where losing air conditioning in July means abandoning cities. The quiet story: Israel's transport ministry barred additional US refueling tankers from Ben Gurion, drawing formal Centcom protests. Larry's read: Tel Aviv knows a dead MOU puts those tankers on Iran's target list. And a Reuters/Ipsos number that says everything: 79% of Americans now expect a prolonged war. Only 37% approve of the strikes. SonofNewAmericanRevolution

Mario Nawfal

350,074 Aufrufe โ€ข vor 2 Monaten

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท The Pentagon built a full-size copy of Iran's Pickax Mountain in New Mexico, and what's being rehearsed on it is how Washington hopes to end the war Somewhere on the White Sands range there is now a granite mountain with Iranian tunnels inside it. Anthony Aguilar says you don't spend that money unless the president is still weighing a move on Pickax, and he lists the three plans he believes are on the desk. A naval push to grab a brief window of control in the strait, which the captured Anduril submersible was scouting. Something against Pickax itself, a bunker-buster strike, a special forces raid to seize the nuclear material, or in his view a tactical nuclear weapon, still on the table. And least favored, a landing on Kharg Island. None of these are about winning. His read is that Washington lost the ground game, can't stop the long game, and now just wants to run out the clock with something it can call proof that Iran will never have a bomb. As he put it: "How do we just end this?" The problem is that Iran's nuclear future now runs through a deal with Moscow, and no raid on a mountain changes that.
37:43

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท The Pentagon built a full-size copy of Iran's Pickax Mountain in New Mexico, and what's being rehearsed on it is how Washington hopes to end the war Somewhere on the White Sands range there is now a granite mountain with Iranian tunnels inside it. Anthony Aguilar says you don't spend that money unless the president is still weighing a move on Pickax, and he lists the three plans he believes are on the desk. A naval push to grab a brief window of control in the strait, which the captured Anduril submersible was scouting. Something against Pickax itself, a bunker-buster strike, a special forces raid to seize the nuclear material, or in his view a tactical nuclear weapon, still on the table. And least favored, a landing on Kharg Island. None of these are about winning. His read is that Washington lost the ground game, can't stop the long game, and now just wants to run out the clock with something it can call proof that Iran will never have a bomb. As he put it: "How do we just end this?" The problem is that Iran's nuclear future now runs through a deal with Moscow, and no raid on a mountain changes that.

Mario Nawfal

315,535 Aufrufe โ€ข vor 20 Tagen

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ด๐Ÿ‡ฒ Iran's seven-day offer carries a clause Tehran tried to downplay: a shipping lane down the middle of the Strait of Hormuz under joint Iranian and Omani control Eli Clifton heard it firsthand in meetings with Araghchi and other senior officials at the UN. The rest of the offer is the Pakistan memorandum with the clock restarted, hostilities and the blockade end, Iran reopens the strait within a week, and then inspectors and nuclear talks follow if the week holds. The new part is the route. Tehran negotiated it with Muscat, it runs along the line between the two countries' waters, and every ship on it would answer to both governments. Clifton thinks that's likely a deal breaker for Washington and a bigger one for the Gulf, with the Saudis unenthused because they want traffic on the Omani side and nowhere near Iranian say-so. His read on the rest is skepticism all the way down: not 12 million barrels a day, not zero for Iran, not a pipeline back in three days. And the side he thinks is probably on the shorter clock now is Tehran. Eli Clifton
52:53

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ด๐Ÿ‡ฒ Iran's seven-day offer carries a clause Tehran tried to downplay: a shipping lane down the middle of the Strait of Hormuz under joint Iranian and Omani control Eli Clifton heard it firsthand in meetings with Araghchi and other senior officials at the UN. The rest of the offer is the Pakistan memorandum with the clock restarted, hostilities and the blockade end, Iran reopens the strait within a week, and then inspectors and nuclear talks follow if the week holds. The new part is the route. Tehran negotiated it with Muscat, it runs along the line between the two countries' waters, and every ship on it would answer to both governments. Clifton thinks that's likely a deal breaker for Washington and a bigger one for the Gulf, with the Saudis unenthused because they want traffic on the Omani side and nowhere near Iranian say-so. His read on the rest is skepticism all the way down: not 12 million barrels a day, not zero for Iran, not a pipeline back in three days. And the side he thinks is probably on the shorter clock now is Tehran. Eli Clifton

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Iran built a mountain to survive a nuclear bomb... It reportedly just made the strike list. Axios is reporting a full cabinet session in the Situation Room to plan a far bigger air campaign, with Trump warning that "next week comes the power plant, next week comes the bridges." Per the report, one option on that table is Pickaxe Mountain, an enrichment site buried so deep that an adviser to Iran's parliament speaker calls it the most fortified nuclear facility on earth. The same adviser warned the region "will turn to hell" if it is touched. Former CIA analyst Larry Johnson took the threat seriously and the target less so. In his assessment, Iran's deep sites were engineered to ride out far worse than conventional bombing: "A nuclear bomb is not going to take them out." A strike on Pickaxe, by that logic, buys pure escalation with nothing to show for it. He also revisited the "obliterated" claim from last June. The DIA assessed otherwise at the time, and its director was removed months later. Larry's reading of the lesson: the narrative outranks the intelligence. The box, as he sees it: the one target guaranteed to unleash everything is the one target the bombs cannot crack. SonofNewAmericanRevolution
52:42

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Iran built a mountain to survive a nuclear bomb... It reportedly just made the strike list. Axios is reporting a full cabinet session in the Situation Room to plan a far bigger air campaign, with Trump warning that "next week comes the power plant, next week comes the bridges." Per the report, one option on that table is Pickaxe Mountain, an enrichment site buried so deep that an adviser to Iran's parliament speaker calls it the most fortified nuclear facility on earth. The same adviser warned the region "will turn to hell" if it is touched. Former CIA analyst Larry Johnson took the threat seriously and the target less so. In his assessment, Iran's deep sites were engineered to ride out far worse than conventional bombing: "A nuclear bomb is not going to take them out." A strike on Pickaxe, by that logic, buys pure escalation with nothing to show for it. He also revisited the "obliterated" claim from last June. The DIA assessed otherwise at the time, and its director was removed months later. Larry's reading of the lesson: the narrative outranks the intelligence. The box, as he sees it: the one target guaranteed to unleash everything is the one target the bombs cannot crack. SonofNewAmericanRevolution

Mario Nawfal

453,655 Aufrufe โ€ข vor 2 Monaten

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ China gave Iran's missiles new eyes, and American bases are paying the price... Reports out of Iran say tonight's strikes reached three bridges around Bandar Abbas, one with cars on it and at least one person reportedly killed, plus a railway junction, a telecom tower, and a civilian airport at Iranshahr. Iran's military central command answered within hours, threatening to level every piece of infrastructure in the region "as if it never existed." Larry Johnson explained why that threat lands differently than it would have a year ago. In last June's 12 day war, Iranian missiles navigated by GPS, and American and Israeli spoofing, feeding them false location data, pulled them off target. Since February 28, by his account, they fly on BeiDou, China's independent satellite network, which Washington cannot touch and which shoots straighter. That is his explanation for the satellite photos showing clean hits on radars, fuel pumps, and parked aircraft across the Gulf. His map of what comes next follows the launch sites. Kuwait and Bahrain keep absorbing fire because missiles keep leaving them, and launches left Kuwait again during this conversation. Qatar and Saudi stay untouched because nothing flies from there. The reported pullback of the $250 MILLION Triton drone from Jordan to Europe reads to him like the attrition already working. His clock: a week or two before the weapons ledger forces the issue, with the Pacific commands fighting CENTCOM for every remaining missile. SonofNewAmericanRevolution
56:41

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ China gave Iran's missiles new eyes, and American bases are paying the price... Reports out of Iran say tonight's strikes reached three bridges around Bandar Abbas, one with cars on it and at least one person reportedly killed, plus a railway junction, a telecom tower, and a civilian airport at Iranshahr. Iran's military central command answered within hours, threatening to level every piece of infrastructure in the region "as if it never existed." Larry Johnson explained why that threat lands differently than it would have a year ago. In last June's 12 day war, Iranian missiles navigated by GPS, and American and Israeli spoofing, feeding them false location data, pulled them off target. Since February 28, by his account, they fly on BeiDou, China's independent satellite network, which Washington cannot touch and which shoots straighter. That is his explanation for the satellite photos showing clean hits on radars, fuel pumps, and parked aircraft across the Gulf. His map of what comes next follows the launch sites. Kuwait and Bahrain keep absorbing fire because missiles keep leaving them, and launches left Kuwait again during this conversation. Qatar and Saudi stay untouched because nothing flies from there. The reported pullback of the $250 MILLION Triton drone from Jordan to Europe reads to him like the attrition already working. His clock: a week or two before the weapons ledger forces the issue, with the Pacific commands fighting CENTCOM for every remaining missile. SonofNewAmericanRevolution

Mario Nawfal

333,945 Aufrufe โ€ข vor 2 Monaten

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Iran's answer spread to Jordan, Kuwait and Bahrain in a single night, while the American strikes meant to stop it hit radars that will likely be rebuilt by the weekend Larry Johnson joined as sirens went off in Kuwait, drones reached Bahrain, missiles fell on Jordan and the US consulate in Erbil was reportedly targeted. Iran's promised twelve-fold rule is being enforced in real time, and Larry's source says the CENTCOM battle staff has been stood back up, which in his words means you are going to war. Washington's side of the exchange hit radars, mine-laying gear and communications along the entire Iranian coast. Larry's problem with that is history: the same campaign ran for three weeks a month ago, satellites showed the radars back within days, and the weapons that matter never surface for a strike anyway: "they're launching out of caves. They're not destroying the caves" Meanwhile Treasury insisted 17 million barrels crossed the strait yesterday on the same day Brent spiked, and the Financial Times reported Russia has been secretly helping Iran build supersonic cruise missiles since 2023, the kind that make every ship in the Gulf harder to defend. SonofNewAmericanRevolution
50:39

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Iran's answer spread to Jordan, Kuwait and Bahrain in a single night, while the American strikes meant to stop it hit radars that will likely be rebuilt by the weekend Larry Johnson joined as sirens went off in Kuwait, drones reached Bahrain, missiles fell on Jordan and the US consulate in Erbil was reportedly targeted. Iran's promised twelve-fold rule is being enforced in real time, and Larry's source says the CENTCOM battle staff has been stood back up, which in his words means you are going to war. Washington's side of the exchange hit radars, mine-laying gear and communications along the entire Iranian coast. Larry's problem with that is history: the same campaign ran for three weeks a month ago, satellites showed the radars back within days, and the weapons that matter never surface for a strike anyway: "they're launching out of caves. They're not destroying the caves" Meanwhile Treasury insisted 17 million barrels crossed the strait yesterday on the same day Brent spiked, and the Financial Times reported Russia has been secretly helping Iran build supersonic cruise missiles since 2023, the kind that make every ship in the Gulf harder to defend. SonofNewAmericanRevolution

Mario Nawfal

307,859 Aufrufe โ€ข vor 28 Tagen

๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Tehran's newest warning names Dubai and Abu Dhabi directly: bomb Iranian bridges again, and the Emirates' airports and ports get hit The reported threat goes further. Per a claimed Iranian military source, a phased plan runs all the way to the region's power plants and desalination facilities, with Kuwait named as stage one, and two of Kuwait's eight desalination plants already knocked out. Every capital in the Gulf now has a line item in Iran's escalation ledger. Larry Johnson's answer to whether that deters Trump came in two parts: no, it won't stop him, and yes, Iran will follow through. What actually ends this, in his reading, is arithmetic rather than threats. Casualties coming home, pump prices creeping, and munitions stocks he insists sit in the low thousands, not tens of thousands, with no production surge available to refill them. The detail that stuck was a retreat nobody announced. A $250 MILLION Triton surveillance drone, chased out of Jordan by repeated missile strikes, now sits in Sicily, too far from Iran to fly the missions it exists for. Larry reads the Jordanian bases as weeks from unusable, which pushes American operations toward Israel, and makes Israel a target for the first time in this round. On the ground-move chatter, he relayed Professor Marandi's argument that summer heat alone shoves any island landing past the midterms. His forecast: tomorrow bigger, Monday bigger still... SonofNewAmericanRevolution
51:23

๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Tehran's newest warning names Dubai and Abu Dhabi directly: bomb Iranian bridges again, and the Emirates' airports and ports get hit The reported threat goes further. Per a claimed Iranian military source, a phased plan runs all the way to the region's power plants and desalination facilities, with Kuwait named as stage one, and two of Kuwait's eight desalination plants already knocked out. Every capital in the Gulf now has a line item in Iran's escalation ledger. Larry Johnson's answer to whether that deters Trump came in two parts: no, it won't stop him, and yes, Iran will follow through. What actually ends this, in his reading, is arithmetic rather than threats. Casualties coming home, pump prices creeping, and munitions stocks he insists sit in the low thousands, not tens of thousands, with no production surge available to refill them. The detail that stuck was a retreat nobody announced. A $250 MILLION Triton surveillance drone, chased out of Jordan by repeated missile strikes, now sits in Sicily, too far from Iran to fly the missions it exists for. Larry reads the Jordanian bases as weeks from unusable, which pushes American operations toward Israel, and makes Israel a target for the first time in this round. On the ground-move chatter, he relayed Professor Marandi's argument that summer heat alone shoves any island landing past the midterms. His forecast: tomorrow bigger, Monday bigger still... SonofNewAmericanRevolution

Mario Nawfal

484,795 Aufrufe โ€ข vor 2 Monaten

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท The U.S. hasn't run out of bombs to drop on Iran. It's run out of targets worth dropping them on. Colonel Mark Cancian, retired Marine and CSIS analyst, broke down why nightly strikes have dropped from roughly 350 targets a day in the war's opening phase to 80-100 now. Munitions aren't the bottleneck yet. Target identification is. Verifying and planning a strike takes time, and doing it every 24 hours caps how many you can hit. "Both sides are engaged in what you might call economic attrition... on several levels, this is a battle of endurance." Cancian says that endurance contest normally favors Iran. No midterms, no domestic political clock, and a regime that already crushed an uprising in January On the loudest rumor circulating, a strike on Pickax Mountain, he's blunt: even the GBU-57 can't reach a facility buried that deep, and a tactical nuke would cross a threshold for a target that isn't even the last one that matters. Neither side is winning this war, and neither can afford to stop fighting.
50:51

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท The U.S. hasn't run out of bombs to drop on Iran. It's run out of targets worth dropping them on. Colonel Mark Cancian, retired Marine and CSIS analyst, broke down why nightly strikes have dropped from roughly 350 targets a day in the war's opening phase to 80-100 now. Munitions aren't the bottleneck yet. Target identification is. Verifying and planning a strike takes time, and doing it every 24 hours caps how many you can hit. "Both sides are engaged in what you might call economic attrition... on several levels, this is a battle of endurance." Cancian says that endurance contest normally favors Iran. No midterms, no domestic political clock, and a regime that already crushed an uprising in January On the loudest rumor circulating, a strike on Pickax Mountain, he's blunt: even the GBU-57 can't reach a facility buried that deep, and a tactical nuke would cross a threshold for a target that isn't even the last one that matters. Neither side is winning this war, and neither can afford to stop fighting.

Mario Nawfal

284,093 Aufrufe โ€ข vor 2 Monaten

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Washington is moving to ground Iran's airlines, cutting off the planes that carry the country's imported medicine, and the man who negotiated the last nuclear deal says it will not move a single hardliner Alan Eyre spent years across the table from Tehran, and the new Treasury push to collapse Iranian aviation strikes him as pain without purpose. The long-haul fleet was already destroyed in the war's first days, which is why the foreign minister now flies out through Doha, so what remains to be hit is the traffic that brings pharmaceuticals in. That is collective punishment, and it produces defiance every time it's tried. The weekend's bomb-or-don't swings look to him like particles bouncing in a liquid, random motion with no destination, because there is no stated objective to steer toward. Riyadh, meanwhile, has asked for help three times in two weeks and been refused three times. The Mecca pact is duct tape on a torn umbrella, and the world has already started its slow walk out of Treasuries and into gold. Alan Eyre Brandon Weichert
44:26

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Washington is moving to ground Iran's airlines, cutting off the planes that carry the country's imported medicine, and the man who negotiated the last nuclear deal says it will not move a single hardliner Alan Eyre spent years across the table from Tehran, and the new Treasury push to collapse Iranian aviation strikes him as pain without purpose. The long-haul fleet was already destroyed in the war's first days, which is why the foreign minister now flies out through Doha, so what remains to be hit is the traffic that brings pharmaceuticals in. That is collective punishment, and it produces defiance every time it's tried. The weekend's bomb-or-don't swings look to him like particles bouncing in a liquid, random motion with no destination, because there is no stated objective to steer toward. Riyadh, meanwhile, has asked for help three times in two weeks and been refused three times. The Mecca pact is duct tape on a torn umbrella, and the world has already started its slow walk out of Treasuries and into gold. Alan Eyre Brandon Weichert

Mario Nawfal

219,744 Aufrufe โ€ข vor 8 Tagen

๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Gas was $2.54 before the war. It hit $4.04 in Florida, and the full economic weight of the Strait closure is only just beginning to be felt. Fmr. CIA Analyst Larry Johnson says Iran is moving forward with its regional architecture regardless of whether a deal gets signed, talking to Putin, talking to China, launching the Persian Gulf Strait Authority website, and briefing the Saudis and Qataris on the new fee structure. Israel was left out of the negotiations entirely and is now scrambling to find out what's on the table. Iran isn't desperate for a deal. Washington just keeps telling itself that it is. SonofNewAmericanRevolution
14:39

๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Gas was $2.54 before the war. It hit $4.04 in Florida, and the full economic weight of the Strait closure is only just beginning to be felt. Fmr. CIA Analyst Larry Johnson says Iran is moving forward with its regional architecture regardless of whether a deal gets signed, talking to Putin, talking to China, launching the Persian Gulf Strait Authority website, and briefing the Saudis and Qataris on the new fee structure. Israel was left out of the negotiations entirely and is now scrambling to find out what's on the table. Iran isn't desperate for a deal. Washington just keeps telling itself that it is. SonofNewAmericanRevolution

Mario Nawfal

34,958 Aufrufe โ€ข vor 4 Monaten

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Iran Just Lit Up America's Bases Across the Gulf Region in Response to Strikes Iran says its missiles and the IRGC hit more than 21 U.S. bases across the region in a single night, and downed a 32 million dollar MQ-9 drone out of the sky. The named targets: 1) ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ผ Ali Al Salem in Kuwait, called the most important hit 2) ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ญ The Fifth Fleet naval HQ in Bahrain, 8 km from Manama, Patriots and all 3) ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ญ Isa air base in Bahrain 4) ๐Ÿ‡ถ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Al Udeid in Qatar, CENTCOM's forward HQ, where F-16s and F-15s and heavy transports were parked 5) ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ช Al Minhad in the UAE 6) ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ช Al Dhafra in the UAE, its THAAD radar struck Twenty-one American bases in one night. CENTCOM denies it, the satellite imagery that comes out in a few days will reveal all.
4:53

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Iran Just Lit Up America's Bases Across the Gulf Region in Response to Strikes Iran says its missiles and the IRGC hit more than 21 U.S. bases across the region in a single night, and downed a 32 million dollar MQ-9 drone out of the sky. The named targets: 1) ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ผ Ali Al Salem in Kuwait, called the most important hit 2) ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ญ The Fifth Fleet naval HQ in Bahrain, 8 km from Manama, Patriots and all 3) ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ญ Isa air base in Bahrain 4) ๐Ÿ‡ถ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Al Udeid in Qatar, CENTCOM's forward HQ, where F-16s and F-15s and heavy transports were parked 5) ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ช Al Minhad in the UAE 6) ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ช Al Dhafra in the UAE, its THAAD radar struck Twenty-one American bases in one night. CENTCOM denies it, the satellite imagery that comes out in a few days will reveal all.

Ryan Rozbiani

51,845 Aufrufe โ€ข vor 3 Monaten

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท The U.S. allegedly struck a bridge in southern Iran with cars still on it. Three bridges, a railway junction, a telecom tower, and a civilian airport, all reportedly hit today in southern Iran, with vehicles crossing one of the bridges as it was struck. Fmr. CIA intel analyst Larry Johnson says Iran's response plan is already locked in: keep pounding the same nine US bases in the Gulf until they're uninhabitable and America has nowhere left to operate from. His warning is blunt. The war of attrition failed in the first 45 days, and the US has less air power and fewer missiles now than it did then. SonofNewAmericanRevolution
3:17

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท The U.S. allegedly struck a bridge in southern Iran with cars still on it. Three bridges, a railway junction, a telecom tower, and a civilian airport, all reportedly hit today in southern Iran, with vehicles crossing one of the bridges as it was struck. Fmr. CIA intel analyst Larry Johnson says Iran's response plan is already locked in: keep pounding the same nine US bases in the Gulf until they're uninhabitable and America has nowhere left to operate from. His warning is blunt. The war of attrition failed in the first 45 days, and the US has less air power and fewer missiles now than it did then. SonofNewAmericanRevolution

Mario Nawfal

122,925 Aufrufe โ€ข vor 2 Monaten

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The ceasefire failed to strip Iran of its leverage, so Washington is drawing up plans to take it by force. Alex Christoforou lays out why this phase is more dangerous than anything in the past few months. The war's objective has shifted, and the new one has a physical address: "If round two was about regime change, which failed, now it's about let's take Hormuz, let's figure out a way to take Hormuz." Petroleum reserves low, weapons running low, and the clock is ticking on the whole plan. Alex Christoforou
1:55

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The ceasefire failed to strip Iran of its leverage, so Washington is drawing up plans to take it by force. Alex Christoforou lays out why this phase is more dangerous than anything in the past few months. The war's objective has shifted, and the new one has a physical address: "If round two was about regime change, which failed, now it's about let's take Hormuz, let's figure out a way to take Hormuz." Petroleum reserves low, weapons running low, and the clock is ticking on the whole plan. Alex Christoforou

Mario Nawfal

145,421 Aufrufe โ€ข vor 2 Monaten

๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท The war between Iran and the U.Sโ€“Israel coalition is a textbook case of asymmetric warfare, the kind of fight where the weaker side throws cheap, relentless chaos at a superpower that built its entire military to battle other superpowers. The U.S. and Israel have fleets of stealth bombers, fifth-gen fighters, billion-dollar radars, and industrial-scale precision weapons. Instead of trying to match American spending or Israeli tech, Iran floods the region with Shahed drones, dirt-cheap, mass-produced kamikaze UAVs that cost anywhere from a few thousand bucks to maybe a couple hundred thousand at the high end. Still pocket change compared to a $100 million jet. Then come the missiles, not ICBMs, not world-class guidance, but good enough to make life hell for anyone within a thousand miles. And thatโ€™s the whole point. Iran doesnโ€™t need parity; it only needs volume. Hit U.S. sites in Kuwait, hit bases in Bahrain, Qatar, the UAE, hit economically critical targets like Ras Tanuraโ€™s oil facilities or a hotel in Dubai. Every strike is designed for maximum cost-effectiveness: Iran spends little, the U.S. and its allies spend a fortune defending or repairing. Thatโ€™s why asymmetric warfare is so hard to counter. America built a military to fight a mirror image of itself, fighter jets vs. fighter jets, ships vs. ships, satellites vs. satellites. And unfortunately for Washington, Tehranโ€™s math is brutalโ€ฆ and not wrong.
0:45

๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท The war between Iran and the U.Sโ€“Israel coalition is a textbook case of asymmetric warfare, the kind of fight where the weaker side throws cheap, relentless chaos at a superpower that built its entire military to battle other superpowers. The U.S. and Israel have fleets of stealth bombers, fifth-gen fighters, billion-dollar radars, and industrial-scale precision weapons. Instead of trying to match American spending or Israeli tech, Iran floods the region with Shahed drones, dirt-cheap, mass-produced kamikaze UAVs that cost anywhere from a few thousand bucks to maybe a couple hundred thousand at the high end. Still pocket change compared to a $100 million jet. Then come the missiles, not ICBMs, not world-class guidance, but good enough to make life hell for anyone within a thousand miles. And thatโ€™s the whole point. Iran doesnโ€™t need parity; it only needs volume. Hit U.S. sites in Kuwait, hit bases in Bahrain, Qatar, the UAE, hit economically critical targets like Ras Tanuraโ€™s oil facilities or a hotel in Dubai. Every strike is designed for maximum cost-effectiveness: Iran spends little, the U.S. and its allies spend a fortune defending or repairing. Thatโ€™s why asymmetric warfare is so hard to counter. America built a military to fight a mirror image of itself, fighter jets vs. fighter jets, ships vs. ships, satellites vs. satellites. And unfortunately for Washington, Tehranโ€™s math is brutalโ€ฆ and not wrong.

Mario Nawfal

941,722 Aufrufe โ€ข vor 6 Monaten

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Iran built its missile factories to survive a nuclear blast, which is why the bombing hasn't touched them. Reports put 70% to 80% of Iran's missile capability still operational. Fmr. CIA analyst Larry Johnson says that's because the manufacturing was never above ground or tucked into some shallow cave, but inside structures engineered to withstand nuclear explosions, built for exactly this scenario. And whatever Iran can't produce itself, the rare earths and specialist metals, arrives from China and Russia, putting the supply chain beyond anything an air campaign can reach. SonofNewAmericanRevolution
0:56

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Iran built its missile factories to survive a nuclear blast, which is why the bombing hasn't touched them. Reports put 70% to 80% of Iran's missile capability still operational. Fmr. CIA analyst Larry Johnson says that's because the manufacturing was never above ground or tucked into some shallow cave, but inside structures engineered to withstand nuclear explosions, built for exactly this scenario. And whatever Iran can't produce itself, the rare earths and specialist metals, arrives from China and Russia, putting the supply chain beyond anything an air campaign can reach. SonofNewAmericanRevolution

Mario Nawfal

161,185 Aufrufe โ€ข vor 1 Monat

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Iran's new rule is twenty targets for every three America hits, and Washington answered today's tanker strikes with silence Twenty for three. That's the ratio the IRGC announced this week, and the spokesman spelled it out without hedging: "we will respond forcefully by attacking 20 targets" The first test came fast. Iran hit two more tankers today, and the United States, which spent something like 120 Patriots stopping 40 missiles over Jordan the night before, did nothing. Photos show helicopters leaving that base on flatbed trucks because they can no longer fly. Larry Johnson reads the silence as the whole strategy in miniature. Washington can't replace what it fires, because China holds the magnets the missiles are built with, and the Pacific and European commands are demanding their share back. Trump's own words today, that he isn't looking for negotiations, sound to Larry like a man preparing his base for the exit: "walk away is his only option" SonofNewAmericanRevolution
33:10

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Iran's new rule is twenty targets for every three America hits, and Washington answered today's tanker strikes with silence Twenty for three. That's the ratio the IRGC announced this week, and the spokesman spelled it out without hedging: "we will respond forcefully by attacking 20 targets" The first test came fast. Iran hit two more tankers today, and the United States, which spent something like 120 Patriots stopping 40 missiles over Jordan the night before, did nothing. Photos show helicopters leaving that base on flatbed trucks because they can no longer fly. Larry Johnson reads the silence as the whole strategy in miniature. Washington can't replace what it fires, because China holds the magnets the missiles are built with, and the Pacific and European commands are demanding their share back. Trump's own words today, that he isn't looking for negotiations, sound to Larry like a man preparing his base for the exit: "walk away is his only option" SonofNewAmericanRevolution

Mario Nawfal

285,688 Aufrufe โ€ข vor 20 Tagen

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท America has about six bombs left that can reach Iran's mountain sites, and the one everyone is now watching was dug too deep for them anyway Twenty were built. Fourteen were dropped last June. Nobody restarted the line. That's the GBU-57 count as Mark Cancian of CSIS describes it, and it explains why Pickax Mountain is such a problem. The weapon was designed for Natanz and Fordow, and Iran, very possibly knowing that, dug the third site deeper than it can reach. Israel has nothing that penetrates it either. He still rates a strike as very likely, because dismantling the program was the war's central demand and the digging shows Tehran hasn't quit. A nuclear weapon is hard to imagine, though a president might rattle one. The Navy's numbers are worse. Half the ballistic-missile interceptors are gone, ships can't reload at sea, and stocks won't recover before 2030. His grade for the whole campaign: "our ability to translate military success into political success has been a huge problem" Mark Cancian Brandon Weichert
54:03

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท America has about six bombs left that can reach Iran's mountain sites, and the one everyone is now watching was dug too deep for them anyway Twenty were built. Fourteen were dropped last June. Nobody restarted the line. That's the GBU-57 count as Mark Cancian of CSIS describes it, and it explains why Pickax Mountain is such a problem. The weapon was designed for Natanz and Fordow, and Iran, very possibly knowing that, dug the third site deeper than it can reach. Israel has nothing that penetrates it either. He still rates a strike as very likely, because dismantling the program was the war's central demand and the digging shows Tehran hasn't quit. A nuclear weapon is hard to imagine, though a president might rattle one. The Navy's numbers are worse. Half the ballistic-missile interceptors are gone, ships can't reload at sea, and stocks won't recover before 2030. His grade for the whole campaign: "our ability to translate military success into political success has been a huge problem" Mark Cancian Brandon Weichert

Mario Nawfal

245,956 Aufrufe โ€ข vor 19 Tagen

๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Trump REJECTED Iran's seven-day offer, and the same day Iran's president told a room of Americans in New York there are no talks, the fatwa on nuclear weapons stands, and the offer was take it or leave it Larry Johnson got that account from Judge Napolitano, who sat in the hotel meeting with Pezeshkian and Araghchi alongside Jeffrey Sachs and twenty others. Tehran's message was flat: we are not building a bomb, we are not negotiating, here are our terms. The Wall Street Journal now reports the terms were declined and bombing resumes later this year. His verdict on that plan is that it changes nothing that matters. Diesel and jet fuel come from sour crude, the world is short of it because Hormuz is shut, and by November he expects eight-dollar diesel whatever the bombers do. Iran's missiles and the factories that build them sit underground where bombs can't reach, and the last time American drones hunted launchers in Yemen, the Houthis baited them with decoys and shot down one a week. Bombing didn't end the war with Japan either. A second front entering did. SonofNewAmericanRevolution Brandon Weichert
54:40

๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Trump REJECTED Iran's seven-day offer, and the same day Iran's president told a room of Americans in New York there are no talks, the fatwa on nuclear weapons stands, and the offer was take it or leave it Larry Johnson got that account from Judge Napolitano, who sat in the hotel meeting with Pezeshkian and Araghchi alongside Jeffrey Sachs and twenty others. Tehran's message was flat: we are not building a bomb, we are not negotiating, here are our terms. The Wall Street Journal now reports the terms were declined and bombing resumes later this year. His verdict on that plan is that it changes nothing that matters. Diesel and jet fuel come from sour crude, the world is short of it because Hormuz is shut, and by November he expects eight-dollar diesel whatever the bombers do. Iran's missiles and the factories that build them sit underground where bombs can't reach, and the last time American drones hunted launchers in Yemen, the Houthis baited them with decoys and shot down one a week. Bombing didn't end the war with Japan either. A second front entering did. SonofNewAmericanRevolution Brandon Weichert

Mario Nawfal

211,888 Aufrufe โ€ข vor 4 Tagen