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🚨🇮🇱🇱🇧 The next two weeks could decide whether Lebanon survives as a state. Prof. Karim Bitar lays out why the window to prevent total fragmentation is closing fast. "There is no adult in the room in the international community." If a deal comes too late, no one at the... show more

Mario Nawfal

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97,424 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce •via X (Twitter)

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🚨🇱🇧🇮🇷 LEBANON WILL DECIDE THE ENTIRE REGION'S FATE Professor of International Relations Karim Bitar breaks down two possible outcomes for Lebanon. Either Iran shifts away from its proxy strategy, turning Hezbollah into a political rather than military force. Or Iran grows more emboldened, keeps its proxies armed, and retains indirect control over Lebanon. The next few days of negotiations will determine whether Lebanon finally becomes a free country, or whether Iran still owns it. Hezbollah remains a military arm controlling the country from the shadows. The canary in the coal mine is singing. Karim Emile Bitar

🚨🇱🇧🇮🇷 LEBANON WILL DECIDE THE ENTIRE REGION'S FATE Professor of International Relations Karim Bitar breaks down two possible outcomes for Lebanon. Either Iran shifts away from its proxy strategy, turning Hezbollah into a political rather than military force. Or Iran grows more emboldened, keeps its proxies armed, and retains indirect control over Lebanon. The next few days of negotiations will determine whether Lebanon finally becomes a free country, or whether Iran still owns it. Hezbollah remains a military arm controlling the country from the shadows. The canary in the coal mine is singing. Karim Emile Bitar

Mario Nawfal

78,061 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce

$🇮🇱🇮🇷 The Middle East is fracturing faster than any deal can contain it. Prof. Karim Bitar breaks down why Lebanon may be the most dangerous loose end, even if the U.S. and Iran reach an agreement in the coming weeks. "In Lebanon it might already be too late. Israel has said very clearly that even if the war in the Gulf stops, Israel would continue its fight against Hezbollah." When pro-Israel, pro-American leaders in Europe are calling this a travesty, something has fundamentally shifted. Karim Emile Bitar$

🇮🇱🇮🇷 The Middle East is fracturing faster than any deal can contain it. Prof. Karim Bitar breaks down why Lebanon may be the most dangerous loose end, even if the U.S. and Iran reach an agreement in the coming weeks. "In Lebanon it might already be too late. Israel has said very clearly that even if the war in the Gulf stops, Israel would continue its fight against Hezbollah." When pro-Israel, pro-American leaders in Europe are calling this a travesty, something has fundamentally shifted. Karim Emile Bitar

Mario Nawfal

46,893 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

$🚨🇺🇸🇦🇪 A massive fracture is appearing in the Gulf as Saudi Arabia and the UAE finally part ways over the war. Professor Karim Bitar observes that while the UAE doubled down on Israeli intelligence ties, the Saudis have pivoted toward a powerhouse Sunni alliance with Turkey and Pakistan. Prof. Bitar believes that this shift has left Lebanon and the broader region with no honest brokers at the negotiating table. Karim Emile Bitar$

🚨🇺🇸🇦🇪 A massive fracture is appearing in the Gulf as Saudi Arabia and the UAE finally part ways over the war. Professor Karim Bitar observes that while the UAE doubled down on Israeli intelligence ties, the Saudis have pivoted toward a powerhouse Sunni alliance with Turkey and Pakistan. Prof. Bitar believes that this shift has left Lebanon and the broader region with no honest brokers at the negotiating table. Karim Emile Bitar

Mario Nawfal

94,334 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

🚨🇱🇧🇮🇱 LEBANON-ISRAEL TALKS HISTORIC BUT DEEPLY FRAGILE Professor of International Relations Karim Bitar warns that a Lebanese-Israeli peace deal faces enormous obstacles. This is the first time since 1983 that Lebanon and Israel have negotiated directly. Back then, Syria killed the deal. Today, Hezbollah plays that spoiler role, issuing direct threats to Lebanon's president and prime minister for even engaging. Israel is still bombing Lebanon daily, still occupying Lebanese land, and has rendered South Lebanon uninhabitable with white phosphorus and herbicides. Even a signed deal could be torpedoed by a well-placed assassination. Lebanon has been here before. Karim Emile Bitar

🚨🇱🇧🇮🇱 LEBANON-ISRAEL TALKS HISTORIC BUT DEEPLY FRAGILE Professor of International Relations Karim Bitar warns that a Lebanese-Israeli peace deal faces enormous obstacles. This is the first time since 1983 that Lebanon and Israel have negotiated directly. Back then, Syria killed the deal. Today, Hezbollah plays that spoiler role, issuing direct threats to Lebanon's president and prime minister for even engaging. Israel is still bombing Lebanon daily, still occupying Lebanese land, and has rendered South Lebanon uninhabitable with white phosphorus and herbicides. Even a signed deal could be torpedoed by a well-placed assassination. Lebanon has been here before. Karim Emile Bitar

Mario Nawfal

44,507 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce

🚨🇱🇧🇮🇷 DEJA VU: THE UNLEARNED LESSONS OF LEBANON Karim Emile Bitar warns that the current escalation feels like a "nauseating" repeat of past mistakes from 1978, 1982, and 2006. A decision to go to war based on unrealistic expectations risks long-term fragmentation and chaos rather than stability. History shows that disproportionate military responses often backfire, unintentionally paving the way for even more radical movements. Karim Emile Bitar

🚨🇱🇧🇮🇷 DEJA VU: THE UNLEARNED LESSONS OF LEBANON Karim Emile Bitar warns that the current escalation feels like a "nauseating" repeat of past mistakes from 1978, 1982, and 2006. A decision to go to war based on unrealistic expectations risks long-term fragmentation and chaos rather than stability. History shows that disproportionate military responses often backfire, unintentionally paving the way for even more radical movements. Karim Emile Bitar

Mario Nawfal

100,952 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce

🇱🇧🇮🇷 The country bleeding the most in this war isn't Iran or Israel. Professor Karim Bitar says Lebanon is being torn apart by two foreign powers settling scores on Lebanese soil. 47 villages destroyed. Hezbollah under direct IRGC control. Assassination threats targeting the country's top leadership. "When two elephants fight, it is the grass that suffers." Lebanon has always been where the region's wars get fought by proxy. This time the cost may be the state itself. Karim Emile Bitar

🇱🇧🇮🇷 The country bleeding the most in this war isn't Iran or Israel. Professor Karim Bitar says Lebanon is being torn apart by two foreign powers settling scores on Lebanese soil. 47 villages destroyed. Hezbollah under direct IRGC control. Assassination threats targeting the country's top leadership. "When two elephants fight, it is the grass that suffers." Lebanon has always been where the region's wars get fought by proxy. This time the cost may be the state itself. Karim Emile Bitar

Mario Nawfal

48,099 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

🚨🇱🇧 LEBANON FACES LONG DESTRUCTION IF THE WORLD STAYS SILENT Professor of International Relations Karim Bitar says he is deeply pessimistic about Lebanon's near-term future. The Lebanese government is well-intentioned but lacks the authority and resources to control its own territory. The Lebanese army is not getting the international support it needs. Israel will keep hitting hard. Meanwhile, Hezbollah, which had lost support across every community, is regaining it with every civilian killed. Iran remains in control of the Strait of Hormuz and is still selling oil at record prices. Lebanon is being destroyed. Its real friends need to start raising their voices. Karim Emile Bitar

🚨🇱🇧 LEBANON FACES LONG DESTRUCTION IF THE WORLD STAYS SILENT Professor of International Relations Karim Bitar says he is deeply pessimistic about Lebanon's near-term future. The Lebanese government is well-intentioned but lacks the authority and resources to control its own territory. The Lebanese army is not getting the international support it needs. Israel will keep hitting hard. Meanwhile, Hezbollah, which had lost support across every community, is regaining it with every civilian killed. Iran remains in control of the Strait of Hormuz and is still selling oil at record prices. Lebanon is being destroyed. Its real friends need to start raising their voices. Karim Emile Bitar

Mario Nawfal

21,370 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Neither side is ready to accept defeat, and that makes a deal nearly impossible. Prof. Karim Bitar argues the need to save political face is prolonging a situation that's threatening global stability and basic energy security. "I'm not sure we have adults in the room in the U.S. administration. You would need a smart negotiator who would tone down the rhetoric and reach a deal." When pride runs the negotiating table, everyone loses. Karim Emile Bitar

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Neither side is ready to accept defeat, and that makes a deal nearly impossible. Prof. Karim Bitar argues the need to save political face is prolonging a situation that's threatening global stability and basic energy security. "I'm not sure we have adults in the room in the U.S. administration. You would need a smart negotiator who would tone down the rhetoric and reach a deal." When pride runs the negotiating table, everyone loses. Karim Emile Bitar

Mario Nawfal

57,471 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

INTERVIEW: America strikes Iranian military infrastructure following an Apache helicopter incident in the Strait of Hormuz. Iran promises a response. Negotiations continue anyway. The key question is whether Washington is containing a crisis or being drawn deeper into one. Matthew Hoh (Matthew Hoh), former U.S. Marine and State Department official, and Karim Emile Bitar (Karim Emile Bitar), Middle East political analyst and international affairs expert, join Azi to discuss the escalating situation, Lebanon, Hormuz, diplomacy, and whether the U.S. is heading toward another forever war - or whether this is a limited escalation before a broader agreement is finalized.

INTERVIEW: America strikes Iranian military infrastructure following an Apache helicopter incident in the Strait of Hormuz. Iran promises a response. Negotiations continue anyway. The key question is whether Washington is containing a crisis or being drawn deeper into one. Matthew Hoh (Matthew Hoh), former U.S. Marine and State Department official, and Karim Emile Bitar (Karim Emile Bitar), Middle East political analyst and international affairs expert, join Azi to discuss the escalating situation, Lebanon, Hormuz, diplomacy, and whether the U.S. is heading toward another forever war - or whether this is a limited escalation before a broader agreement is finalized.

Mario Nawfal

282,980 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

🇮🇷 The cold, hard truth: that this conflict produced a more radical Iranian regime, not a weakened one. Prof. Karim Bitar breaks down why Tehran will not back down, no matter the cost. "Iran used to be described as the mullahs regime. Now it is a military dictatorship." The IRGC is calling the shots, and they are ready to use every weapon they have, including the Strait of Hormuz, ballistic missiles, and proxies, to survive. Karim Emile Bitar

🇮🇷 The cold, hard truth: that this conflict produced a more radical Iranian regime, not a weakened one. Prof. Karim Bitar breaks down why Tehran will not back down, no matter the cost. "Iran used to be described as the mullahs regime. Now it is a military dictatorship." The IRGC is calling the shots, and they are ready to use every weapon they have, including the Strait of Hormuz, ballistic missiles, and proxies, to survive. Karim Emile Bitar

Mario Nawfal

51,705 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

🇺🇸🇮🇱 For the first time ever, more Americans now sympathize with Palestinians than with Israel. Prof. Karim Bitar explains why this shift is an existential threat of Netanyahu's own making. "Netanyahu committed a major mistake when he turned Israel into a partisan issue in the United States." Only one country can stop this. It keeps choosing not to. Karim Emile Bitar

🇺🇸🇮🇱 For the first time ever, more Americans now sympathize with Palestinians than with Israel. Prof. Karim Bitar explains why this shift is an existential threat of Netanyahu's own making. "Netanyahu committed a major mistake when he turned Israel into a partisan issue in the United States." Only one country can stop this. It keeps choosing not to. Karim Emile Bitar

Mario Nawfal

39,902 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

🇮🇱🇸🇦 96% of Saudis oppose normalization, and MBS knows it. Prof. Karim Bitar breaks down why the Arab street is blocking the deals their governments want to make, and why Israel's maximalist window may be closing faster than Tel Aviv thinks. "Even though ideologically MBS is not hostile to peace, he would have been ready to move forward. But he understood when he saw the social media in his countries." The map is shifting. The question is whether anyone can stop it before it redraws itself. Karim Emile Bitar

🇮🇱🇸🇦 96% of Saudis oppose normalization, and MBS knows it. Prof. Karim Bitar breaks down why the Arab street is blocking the deals their governments want to make, and why Israel's maximalist window may be closing faster than Tel Aviv thinks. "Even though ideologically MBS is not hostile to peace, he would have been ready to move forward. But he understood when he saw the social media in his countries." The map is shifting. The question is whether anyone can stop it before it redraws itself. Karim Emile Bitar

Mario Nawfal

50,775 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Iran has read every signal and is pushing hard, betting the U.S. blinks before they do. Prof. Karim Bitar lays out why the off ramp exists but no one is taking it. "Trump offered an off ramp, created his own off ramp, offered Iran a clear path to a deal. And Iran seems to be like, 'hey, we know you don't want this war, so we're going to push this as far as we can.'" If this escalates, undersea cables and energy infrastructure across the region go with it. Karim Emile Bitar

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Iran has read every signal and is pushing hard, betting the U.S. blinks before they do. Prof. Karim Bitar lays out why the off ramp exists but no one is taking it. "Trump offered an off ramp, created his own off ramp, offered Iran a clear path to a deal. And Iran seems to be like, 'hey, we know you don't want this war, so we're going to push this as far as we can.'" If this escalates, undersea cables and energy infrastructure across the region go with it. Karim Emile Bitar

Mario Nawfal

28,739 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

🚨🇮🇱🇮🇷 While everyone is focused on what's happening in the Strait of Hormuz, Israel may be acting viciously to make peace impossible long-term. Professor Karim Bitar suggested that Israel may be on a mission of making southern Lebanon ecologically unsuitable for life while Trump is enmeshed in increasingly hopeless peace talks with Iran. "Dozens of villages in the south have been completely destroyed. It has been using white phosphorus. People are talking of ecocide: a threat to sustainable life in southern Lebanon." Karim Emile Bitar

🚨🇮🇱🇮🇷 While everyone is focused on what's happening in the Strait of Hormuz, Israel may be acting viciously to make peace impossible long-term. Professor Karim Bitar suggested that Israel may be on a mission of making southern Lebanon ecologically unsuitable for life while Trump is enmeshed in increasingly hopeless peace talks with Iran. "Dozens of villages in the south have been completely destroyed. It has been using white phosphorus. People are talking of ecocide: a threat to sustainable life in southern Lebanon." Karim Emile Bitar

Mario Nawfal

49,173 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

🚨🇮🇷🇺🇸 THE LIBYA WARNING: WHY REGIME CHANGE FAILS Karim Emile Bitar points to the "debacle" in Libya as a stark warning of the long-term chaos that follows foreign intervention. If a country of 7 million remains fragmented decades later, the repercussions for a nation of 93 million would be catastrophic. The same patterns of American mistakes, expecting a "walk in the park", threaten to destabilize the entire region for generations. Karim Emile Bitar

🚨🇮🇷🇺🇸 THE LIBYA WARNING: WHY REGIME CHANGE FAILS Karim Emile Bitar points to the "debacle" in Libya as a stark warning of the long-term chaos that follows foreign intervention. If a country of 7 million remains fragmented decades later, the repercussions for a nation of 93 million would be catastrophic. The same patterns of American mistakes, expecting a "walk in the park", threaten to destabilize the entire region for generations. Karim Emile Bitar

Mario Nawfal

46,323 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce

🚨🇮🇱🇦🇪 UAE is paying a staggering price for its rapprochement with Israel. Professor Karim Bitar talked about how the Emiratis have faced 400% more strikes than Israel, leading to a profound sense of abandonment by its neighbors. Prof. Bitar suggested this "personal" vendetta by Tehran has exposed fatal risks for the UAE that is forcing the nation to radically rethink its foreign policy now that severe escalation is imminent. Karim Emile Bitar

🚨🇮🇱🇦🇪 UAE is paying a staggering price for its rapprochement with Israel. Professor Karim Bitar talked about how the Emiratis have faced 400% more strikes than Israel, leading to a profound sense of abandonment by its neighbors. Prof. Bitar suggested this "personal" vendetta by Tehran has exposed fatal risks for the UAE that is forcing the nation to radically rethink its foreign policy now that severe escalation is imminent. Karim Emile Bitar

Mario Nawfal

22,875 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Iran knows Trump's full domestic calendar: the World Cup, his birthday, July 4th, the midterms and is timing its moves accordingly. Karim Bitar says every time a deal gets close, Israel hits Lebanon to derail it. Iran hits back to prove to Hezbollah it hasn't abandoned them. Netanyahu keeps betting Trump's attention span works in his favor. That bet is getting more dangerous. Karim Emile Bitar Azi

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Iran knows Trump's full domestic calendar: the World Cup, his birthday, July 4th, the midterms and is timing its moves accordingly. Karim Bitar says every time a deal gets close, Israel hits Lebanon to derail it. Iran hits back to prove to Hezbollah it hasn't abandoned them. Netanyahu keeps betting Trump's attention span works in his favor. That bet is getting more dangerous. Karim Emile Bitar Azi

Mario Nawfal

209,682 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

🇺🇸 🇮🇱 The one person not in that Situation Room may be the whole story. Prof. International Relations Karim Bitar says Netanyahu was there when the war started, convinced Trump to act, and is now conspicuously absent from this emergency meeting. "The director of the CIA said, literally, it's bullshit. I do not buy these Israeli scenarios where we would see a rapid regime change." If advisors have gone full Pavlovian, this meeting may be America's last real check on an endless war. Karim Emile Bitar Azi

🇺🇸 🇮🇱 The one person not in that Situation Room may be the whole story. Prof. International Relations Karim Bitar says Netanyahu was there when the war started, convinced Trump to act, and is now conspicuously absent from this emergency meeting. "The director of the CIA said, literally, it's bullshit. I do not buy these Israeli scenarios where we would see a rapid regime change." If advisors have gone full Pavlovian, this meeting may be America's last real check on an endless war. Karim Emile Bitar Azi

Mario Nawfal

199,554 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

🚨🇺🇸 🇮🇷 The U.S. security umbrella is collapsing as Saudi Arabia shuts down its airspace to American military operations. Professor Karim Bitar explains that the Crown Prince’s refusal to allow the use of the Sultan airbase has effectively crippled Trump's ability to resume the fight. Prof. Karim argues that without regional support, the White House is being forced into a humiliating diplomatic retreat just to stabilize the global economy. Karim Emile Bitar

🚨🇺🇸 🇮🇷 The U.S. security umbrella is collapsing as Saudi Arabia shuts down its airspace to American military operations. Professor Karim Bitar explains that the Crown Prince’s refusal to allow the use of the Sultan airbase has effectively crippled Trump's ability to resume the fight. Prof. Karim argues that without regional support, the White House is being forced into a humiliating diplomatic retreat just to stabilize the global economy. Karim Emile Bitar

Mario Nawfal

72,668 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

🇮🇷 The feeling inside Iran is that they survived a deluge of fire, and they are now emboldened enough to demand guarantees no future war will come. Prof. Karim Bitar explains why Tehran is watching North Korea closely and drawing the obvious lesson. "You can destroy a nuclear facility, but when it is buried 600ft under, it will not be completely destroyed." Iran doesn't need to win. The U.S. just has to keep losing. Karim Emile Bitar

🇮🇷 The feeling inside Iran is that they survived a deluge of fire, and they are now emboldened enough to demand guarantees no future war will come. Prof. Karim Bitar explains why Tehran is watching North Korea closely and drawing the obvious lesson. "You can destroy a nuclear facility, but when it is buried 600ft under, it will not be completely destroyed." Iran doesn't need to win. The U.S. just has to keep losing. Karim Emile Bitar

Mario Nawfal

42,225 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce