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🇺🇸🇮🇷 The people warning about nuclear escalation are increasingly treated like the dangerous ones. Diplomacy itself has become politically toxic across much of the West, where even talking to adversaries is framed as weakness or surrender. Geopolitical analyst Glenn Diesen says that mindset is exactly what makes catastrophic escalation... show more

Mario Nawfal

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14,521 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад •via X (Twitter)

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 IRAN IS RATIONAL; THIS WAR IS NOT Norwegian political scientist Glenn Diesen argues Western assessments of Iran are flawed. "It's often presented as just being a bunch of crazy mullahs who wants to acquire nuclear weapons and just burn the world and kill all Jews.” "Once the U.S. and Israel attacked Iran, now they face an existential threat. What else can they do? They go all in.” Glenn Diesen

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 There is no status quo to lean on, no ceasefire that holds, and no deal the U.S. can quietly walk away from. Geopolitical Analyst Glenn Diesen: "If they start a war with Iran, they might not be the ones who get to decide when it ends." America may have started the clock. Iran controls when it stops. Glenn Diesen

🇺🇸🇮🇷 There is no status quo to lean on, no ceasefire that holds, and no deal the U.S. can quietly walk away from. Geopolitical Analyst Glenn Diesen: "If they start a war with Iran, they might not be the ones who get to decide when it ends." America may have started the clock. Iran controls when it stops. Glenn Diesen

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 Iran is acting like the Strait of Hormuz already belongs to the post-American world order. While negotiations drag on, Tehran has already launched a Persian Gulf Strait Authority, complete with its own X account and institutional framework to manage the chokepoint. Geopolitical analyst Glenn Diesen says Iran is not building this to negotiate it away. “So they might as well start to implement it because it's going to be here to stay.” Glenn Diesen

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Iran is acting like the Strait of Hormuz already belongs to the post-American world order. While negotiations drag on, Tehran has already launched a Persian Gulf Strait Authority, complete with its own X account and institutional framework to manage the chokepoint. Geopolitical analyst Glenn Diesen says Iran is not building this to negotiate it away. “So they might as well start to implement it because it's going to be here to stay.” Glenn Diesen

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🚨ARE WE MISREADING IRAN’S NUCLEAR INTENT? The West’s entire security strategy is based on the premise that Iran is an irrational actor, but Glenn Diesen argues there is no evidence to support this. Historically, nuclear weapons have served as a defensive deterrent rather than an offensive tool for "blowing up the world." Labeling an opponent "irrational" is often a pretext for refusing diplomacy and pushing toward avoidable escalation. Glenn Diesen

🚨ARE WE MISREADING IRAN’S NUCLEAR INTENT? The West’s entire security strategy is based on the premise that Iran is an irrational actor, but Glenn Diesen argues there is no evidence to support this. Historically, nuclear weapons have served as a defensive deterrent rather than an offensive tool for "blowing up the world." Labeling an opponent "irrational" is often a pretext for refusing diplomacy and pushing toward avoidable escalation. Glenn Diesen

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 Iran just rejected a $6 billion American offer and is now reframing tolls as "search and rescue fees" to make them impossible to oppose. Geopolitical Analyst Glenn Diesen says Iran won't back down, and other countries will eventually accept the new reality if they want access to the trade route. "As long as they stick to their guns, other countries will realize that this is the new realities." Glenn Diesen

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🇷🇺🇪🇺 Worrying about nuclear war used to be called deterrence. Now many European leaders treat it as weakness, appeasement, or “falling for nuclear blackmail.” Geopolitical analyst Glenn Diesen says the real danger is the belief that endless slow escalation can continue forever without triggering a direct response from Russia. “At some point, the Russians will retaliate and we're going to go very quickly up that escalation ladder.” The scariest part is that almost every step toward disaster still looks manageable right before it happens. Glenn Diesen

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 The ceasefire is on the line and both sides are still climbing the escalation ladder. Glenn Diesen warns that skipping negotiations over the blockade is a dangerous gamble, but so is letting aggression go unanswered. "It's dangerous to throw away the whole prospect of a peace negotiation. On the other hand, it's also dangerous to throw away your deterrence." Someone has to blink. The question is who breaks first. Glenn Diesen

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🚨🇮🇷🇺🇦 IRAN WAR FALLOUT WILL HELP END UKRAINE WAR Norwegian political scientist Glenn Diesen says the ripple effects of the war will reach Kyiv. Ukraine is bleeding weapons, money, and manpower while Russia is stacking cash thanks to the increased price of oil, and the Iran conflict is draining NATO stockpiles fast, leaving Kyiv with fewer options and harder choices. "The only way the war can end, either a nuclear exchange or Russia wins. You can't defeat the world's largest nuclear power facing an existential threat." Glenn Diesen

🚨🇮🇷🇺🇦 IRAN WAR FALLOUT WILL HELP END UKRAINE WAR Norwegian political scientist Glenn Diesen says the ripple effects of the war will reach Kyiv. Ukraine is bleeding weapons, money, and manpower while Russia is stacking cash thanks to the increased price of oil, and the Iran conflict is draining NATO stockpiles fast, leaving Kyiv with fewer options and harder choices. "The only way the war can end, either a nuclear exchange or Russia wins. You can't defeat the world's largest nuclear power facing an existential threat." Glenn Diesen

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