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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท The regional order just collapsed, and half the media hasn't noticed yet. Historian and Middle East analyst Scott Horton says depending on your media silo, you might have no idea how much just changed. The security architecture that organized the Gulf for decades has cracked, and what replaces...

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Mario Nawfal

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท AIRPOWER WONโ€™T TOPPLE IRAN Scott Horton says the idea that bombing Iran will lead to regime change has no serious path forward. He argues airstrikes cannot control a country the size of Iran, and without a powerful internal force on the ground, Washington has no way to replace the government even if leaders are killed. Scott Horton
6:08

๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท AIRPOWER WONโ€™T TOPPLE IRAN Scott Horton says the idea that bombing Iran will lead to regime change has no serious path forward. He argues airstrikes cannot control a country the size of Iran, and without a powerful internal force on the ground, Washington has no way to replace the government even if leaders are killed. Scott Horton

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88,766 views โ€ข 4 months ago

๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท The simplest path out of this war is the one nobody in Washington wants to say out loud: just leave. Scott Horton says Trump could quit right now, call it whatever he wants, fly home, and the entire burden shifts to Iran to figure out how they get along with the rest of Eurasia. America has no real stake in Middle East empire. No base, no ally, no regional position lost there actually affects the American people back home. "Fly home. Sail home. March home. That's it. Get the hell out of there." Scott Horton
3:53

๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท The simplest path out of this war is the one nobody in Washington wants to say out loud: just leave. Scott Horton says Trump could quit right now, call it whatever he wants, fly home, and the entire burden shifts to Iran to figure out how they get along with the rest of Eurasia. America has no real stake in Middle East empire. No base, no ally, no regional position lost there actually affects the American people back home. "Fly home. Sail home. March home. That's it. Get the hell out of there." Scott Horton

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45,865 views โ€ข 2 months ago

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท INTERVIEW โ€“ SCOTT HORTON: โ€œWE COULD HAVE NORMALIZED WITH IRAN DECADES AGO, BUT ISRAEL BLOCKED ITโ€ Scott Horton says US-Iran relations could have been normalized long ago, if not for Israeli opposition. Scott Horton: โ€œBack in the 1990s, even Dick Cheney and Zbigniew Brzezinski supported normalization with Iran. Cheney wanted to build a pipeline through Iran and bring them into the business. Brzezinski said the revolution was in the past, and it was time to move on. Ronald Reagan sold Iran missiles through Israel just a year after the Beirut bombing. So this idea that we canโ€™t deal with Iran is a myth. It wasnโ€™t America that blocked normalization. It was Israel. Even under Labor, not just Likud. They needed a villain, and they turned on Iran.โ€
3:19

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท INTERVIEW โ€“ SCOTT HORTON: โ€œWE COULD HAVE NORMALIZED WITH IRAN DECADES AGO, BUT ISRAEL BLOCKED ITโ€ Scott Horton says US-Iran relations could have been normalized long ago, if not for Israeli opposition. Scott Horton: โ€œBack in the 1990s, even Dick Cheney and Zbigniew Brzezinski supported normalization with Iran. Cheney wanted to build a pipeline through Iran and bring them into the business. Brzezinski said the revolution was in the past, and it was time to move on. Ronald Reagan sold Iran missiles through Israel just a year after the Beirut bombing. So this idea that we canโ€™t deal with Iran is a myth. It wasnโ€™t America that blocked normalization. It was Israel. Even under Labor, not just Likud. They needed a villain, and they turned on Iran.โ€

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83,753 views โ€ข 10 months ago

๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง Iran and Lebanon are the last two dominoes in a plan written in 1996 and Scott Horton says every step of it has backfired. Topple Iraq to dominate the Shia and pressure Hezbollah. Instead the U.S. handed Baghdad to Tehran's closest allies and multiplied Iran's regional power beyond anyone's imagination. Then they backed al-Qaeda in Syria to undo it. That created ISIS, forcing a third Iraq war fought again on Iran's side. "They're really bad at this." Scott Horton
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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง Iran and Lebanon are the last two dominoes in a plan written in 1996 and Scott Horton says every step of it has backfired. Topple Iraq to dominate the Shia and pressure Hezbollah. Instead the U.S. handed Baghdad to Tehran's closest allies and multiplied Iran's regional power beyond anyone's imagination. Then they backed al-Qaeda in Syria to undo it. That created ISIS, forcing a third Iraq war fought again on Iran's side. "They're really bad at this." Scott Horton

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33,709 views โ€ข 2 months ago

๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท The man who started the war is the same man who has to end it, and he can't without admitting he lost. Scott Horton says the solution is obvious: pull out, shift the burden onto Tehran, and walk away. No real American interests are at stake. The only thing stopping it is the Pentagon, the arms industry, and every entrenched power that profits from keeping the empire alive. "There are no real crucial American interests at stake, only imperial interests, but none that truly affect the American people." Scott Horton
8:06

๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท The man who started the war is the same man who has to end it, and he can't without admitting he lost. Scott Horton says the solution is obvious: pull out, shift the burden onto Tehran, and walk away. No real American interests are at stake. The only thing stopping it is the Pentagon, the arms industry, and every entrenched power that profits from keeping the empire alive. "There are no real crucial American interests at stake, only imperial interests, but none that truly affect the American people." Scott Horton

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117,586 views โ€ข 2 months ago

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท By agreeing to the ceasefire, Iran may have accidentally handed Washington a free exit. Scott Horton, editor of lays out the strategic wrinkle most people missed. The moment Tehran agreed to stop fighting, it gave the United States the option to simply walk away without delivering anything in return. "By agreeing to the cease fire, they put the United States in a position where we just walk away now and they don't get their sanctions relief, and they don't get any other thing that they wanted out of us if we just sail home." The leverage was the fighting. Trading it away before the concessions arrived may prove to be the most consequential decision of the entire war. Scott Horton
8:56

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท By agreeing to the ceasefire, Iran may have accidentally handed Washington a free exit. Scott Horton, editor of lays out the strategic wrinkle most people missed. The moment Tehran agreed to stop fighting, it gave the United States the option to simply walk away without delivering anything in return. "By agreeing to the cease fire, they put the United States in a position where we just walk away now and they don't get their sanctions relief, and they don't get any other thing that they wanted out of us if we just sail home." The leverage was the fighting. Trading it away before the concessions arrived may prove to be the most consequential decision of the entire war. Scott Horton

Mario Nawfal

66,885 views โ€ข 1 month ago

Scott Horton on the Russia Hoax and Ukraine War โ€“ Manifold #98 Scott Horton is the author of Provoked: How Washington Started the New Cold War with Russia and the Catastrophe in Ukraine. Horton is a libertarian and anti-war activist. He and Steve discuss the Russia Hoax and its connection to American foreign policy, in light of new evidence that has emerged since the first Trump term. On X: Scott Horton (00:00) - Scott Horton on the Russia Hoax and Ukraine War โ€“ #98 (01:49) - Scott Horton's Political Journey (04:55) - The State of Public Awareness and Media (11:42) - Russiagate and the Indictment of James Comey (43:13) - Perjury and Obstruction Charges: The Virginia Trial Dilemma (43:51) - The Durham Investigation: Unveiling Corruption (46:28) - Post-Durham Report Revelations (59:04) - Ukraine Conflict: Provoked or Unprovoked?
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Scott Horton on the Russia Hoax and Ukraine War โ€“ Manifold #98 Scott Horton is the author of Provoked: How Washington Started the New Cold War with Russia and the Catastrophe in Ukraine. Horton is a libertarian and anti-war activist. He and Steve discuss the Russia Hoax and its connection to American foreign policy, in light of new evidence that has emerged since the first Trump term. On X: Scott Horton (00:00) - Scott Horton on the Russia Hoax and Ukraine War โ€“ #98 (01:49) - Scott Horton's Political Journey (04:55) - The State of Public Awareness and Media (11:42) - Russiagate and the Indictment of James Comey (43:13) - Perjury and Obstruction Charges: The Virginia Trial Dilemma (43:51) - The Durham Investigation: Unveiling Corruption (46:28) - Post-Durham Report Revelations (59:04) - Ukraine Conflict: Provoked or Unprovoked?

steve hsu

71,462 views โ€ข 8 months ago

๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ FOR DECADES THE THREAT WAS "THE MILITARY OPTION IS ON THE TABLE"... IRAN JUST SURVIVED IT Iran expert Sina Azodi, MES Director and Asst. Professor, says that changes the entire equation. The U.S. played its biggest card. Iran is still standing. No surrender. No regime change. And now they're sitting on the world's most important energy chokepoint. Sina says Iran will rebuild its missiles, reconstruct what was destroyed, and work to restore Gulf relationships. The Gulf countries don't have much choice but to meet them halfway. The leverage Washington held for decades just evaporated. What comes next is a Middle East where that threat no longer works. @Azodiac83
4:06

๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ FOR DECADES THE THREAT WAS "THE MILITARY OPTION IS ON THE TABLE"... IRAN JUST SURVIVED IT Iran expert Sina Azodi, MES Director and Asst. Professor, says that changes the entire equation. The U.S. played its biggest card. Iran is still standing. No surrender. No regime change. And now they're sitting on the world's most important energy chokepoint. Sina says Iran will rebuild its missiles, reconstruct what was destroyed, and work to restore Gulf relationships. The Gulf countries don't have much choice but to meet them halfway. The leverage Washington held for decades just evaporated. What comes next is a Middle East where that threat no longer works. @Azodiac83

Mario Nawfal

68,598 views โ€ข 3 months ago

๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง The Lebanon deal is allegedly dead on arrival, and the reason is simple: if the Lebanese army could have taken on Hezbollah, it would have done it decades ago. Libertarian from the insitute Antiwar Scott Horton the lays out the math: A significant portion of the Lebanese army is Shiite, meaning any order to disarm Hezbollah doesn't end with compliance, it ends with mass defections straight to the other side. You can't ask an army to wage civil war against its own people and expect it to follow through. Scott Horton
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๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง The Lebanon deal is allegedly dead on arrival, and the reason is simple: if the Lebanese army could have taken on Hezbollah, it would have done it decades ago. Libertarian from the insitute Antiwar Scott Horton the lays out the math: A significant portion of the Lebanese army is Shiite, meaning any order to disarm Hezbollah doesn't end with compliance, it ends with mass defections straight to the other side. You can't ask an army to wage civil war against its own people and expect it to follow through. Scott Horton

Mario Nawfal

38,541 views โ€ข 14 days ago

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท INTERVIEW โ€“ SCOTT HORTON: โ€œIRAN MAY BE CLOSER TO A NUKE, BUT THATโ€™S BECAUSE OF ISRAELI SABOTAGEโ€ Scott Horton says Israeli attacks on Iranโ€™s nuclear program backfired โ€“ pushing Tehran closer to weapons-grade enrichment. Scott Horton: โ€œI agree with Trita โ€“ Iran is more likely to pursue a nuclear weapon now than ever before. But that shift didnโ€™t happen after October 7. It began after Israel sabotaged Iranโ€™s Natanz facility in April 2021 and assassinated the head of its nuclear program in 2020. Thatโ€™s when Iran started enriching uranium to 60 percent. But 60 percent isnโ€™t useful for weapons. You need at least 90 percent for a bomb. So why go to 60? Itโ€™s a bargaining chip. A bigger bluff. Something they can negotiate away. Iran says their fatwas against WMDs still stand, and theyโ€™re not building a bomb. That might still be true, but the risk of breakout is now much higher. And if you ask why, look at the provocations. Israel escalated, and Iran responded.โ€
2:56

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท INTERVIEW โ€“ SCOTT HORTON: โ€œIRAN MAY BE CLOSER TO A NUKE, BUT THATโ€™S BECAUSE OF ISRAELI SABOTAGEโ€ Scott Horton says Israeli attacks on Iranโ€™s nuclear program backfired โ€“ pushing Tehran closer to weapons-grade enrichment. Scott Horton: โ€œI agree with Trita โ€“ Iran is more likely to pursue a nuclear weapon now than ever before. But that shift didnโ€™t happen after October 7. It began after Israel sabotaged Iranโ€™s Natanz facility in April 2021 and assassinated the head of its nuclear program in 2020. Thatโ€™s when Iran started enriching uranium to 60 percent. But 60 percent isnโ€™t useful for weapons. You need at least 90 percent for a bomb. So why go to 60? Itโ€™s a bargaining chip. A bigger bluff. Something they can negotiate away. Iran says their fatwas against WMDs still stand, and theyโ€™re not building a bomb. That might still be true, but the risk of breakout is now much higher. And if you ask why, look at the provocations. Israel escalated, and Iran responded.โ€

Mario Nawfal

73,185 views โ€ข 10 months ago

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท The deal headlines keep coming, and the core gap hasn't moved an inch. Scott Horton, author and foreign policy analyst, breaks down why every burst of optimism keeps collapsing into nothing. The two positions remain fundamentally incompatible, and no amount of shuttle diplomacy changes that until one side actually moves. "Trump is not willing to climb down from gimme your uranium, and they're not willing to give up their uranium." In his read, the real signal to watch for has nothing to do with Oman or Islamabad. Until Washington creates genuine distance from Netanyahu, none of the breakthrough talk means anything. Scott Horton
3:24

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท The deal headlines keep coming, and the core gap hasn't moved an inch. Scott Horton, author and foreign policy analyst, breaks down why every burst of optimism keeps collapsing into nothing. The two positions remain fundamentally incompatible, and no amount of shuttle diplomacy changes that until one side actually moves. "Trump is not willing to climb down from gimme your uranium, and they're not willing to give up their uranium." In his read, the real signal to watch for has nothing to do with Oman or Islamabad. Until Washington creates genuine distance from Netanyahu, none of the breakthrough talk means anything. Scott Horton

Mario Nawfal

34,398 views โ€ข 1 month ago

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท INTERVIEW โ€“ SCOTT HORTON: โ€œIRANโ€™S ENRICHMENT SPIKE WAS A RESPONSE TO ISRAELI ASSASSINATIONS, NOT OCTOBER 7โ€ Scott Horton explains that Iranโ€™s move to enrich uranium to 60 percent wasnโ€™t triggered by the Gaza war โ€“ it followed Trumpโ€™s withdrawal from the nuclear deal and renewed Israeli attacks. Scott Horton: โ€œIranโ€™s enrichment didnโ€™t start after October 7 or strikes on their proxies. It began after Trump tore up the JCPOA in 2018 and Israel resumed assassinations โ€“ including killing Iranโ€™s top nuclear scientist in 2020. At the time of the Gaza war, the U.S. and Iran were actually back in negotiations. Trumpโ€™s team had accepted that Iran would never give up enrichment. For Tehran, itโ€™s a matter of sovereignty. Thereโ€™s still no evidence theyโ€™re building a bomb. Economically, it makes sense for them to use uranium at home and sell oil abroad. But the bigger point is this โ€“ Iran doesnโ€™t have to be Americaโ€™s eternal enemy. A U.S. president could just fly to Tehran, shake hands, and tell Netanyahu to back off. A new chapter could start tomorrow. Thereโ€™s no reason it has to be like this.โ€
2:53

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท INTERVIEW โ€“ SCOTT HORTON: โ€œIRANโ€™S ENRICHMENT SPIKE WAS A RESPONSE TO ISRAELI ASSASSINATIONS, NOT OCTOBER 7โ€ Scott Horton explains that Iranโ€™s move to enrich uranium to 60 percent wasnโ€™t triggered by the Gaza war โ€“ it followed Trumpโ€™s withdrawal from the nuclear deal and renewed Israeli attacks. Scott Horton: โ€œIranโ€™s enrichment didnโ€™t start after October 7 or strikes on their proxies. It began after Trump tore up the JCPOA in 2018 and Israel resumed assassinations โ€“ including killing Iranโ€™s top nuclear scientist in 2020. At the time of the Gaza war, the U.S. and Iran were actually back in negotiations. Trumpโ€™s team had accepted that Iran would never give up enrichment. For Tehran, itโ€™s a matter of sovereignty. Thereโ€™s still no evidence theyโ€™re building a bomb. Economically, it makes sense for them to use uranium at home and sell oil abroad. But the bigger point is this โ€“ Iran doesnโ€™t have to be Americaโ€™s eternal enemy. A U.S. president could just fly to Tehran, shake hands, and tell Netanyahu to back off. A new chapter could start tomorrow. Thereโ€™s no reason it has to be like this.โ€

Mario Nawfal

81,051 views โ€ข 10 months ago

Joe Rogan, the most popular podcaster in the world, has just released an episode with Scott Horton, the most knowledgeable antiwar advocate in America. Minutes after walking out of Rogan's studio, Scott Horton jumped into ours. Dan McKnight speaks with Scottโ€”a longtime supporter of Defend The Guardโ€”about the importance of this moment, dispels propaganda about the Iran War, and how even neocons are starting to jump from a sinking ship. Thank you Joe Rogan for giving tens of millions the opportunity to hear the message of principled non-interventionism!
38:53

Joe Rogan, the most popular podcaster in the world, has just released an episode with Scott Horton, the most knowledgeable antiwar advocate in America. Minutes after walking out of Rogan's studio, Scott Horton jumped into ours. Dan McKnight speaks with Scottโ€”a longtime supporter of Defend The Guardโ€”about the importance of this moment, dispels propaganda about the Iran War, and how even neocons are starting to jump from a sinking ship. Thank you Joe Rogan for giving tens of millions the opportunity to hear the message of principled non-interventionism!

Bring Our Troops Home

518,824 views โ€ข 2 months ago

๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Saudi just publicly called Israel as dangerous as Iran, and that is only the surface of what is happening. Fmr. CIA Analyst Larry Johnson says China, Russia, and Pakistan are quietly building a new security architecture across the Persian Gulf designed to push the United States out entirely. "As long as you are basically allowing the United States to occupy your military bases and carry out actions on behalf of Israel, you're not going to be secure." SonofNewAmericanRevolution
11:57

๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Saudi just publicly called Israel as dangerous as Iran, and that is only the surface of what is happening. Fmr. CIA Analyst Larry Johnson says China, Russia, and Pakistan are quietly building a new security architecture across the Persian Gulf designed to push the United States out entirely. "As long as you are basically allowing the United States to occupy your military bases and carry out actions on behalf of Israel, you're not going to be secure." SonofNewAmericanRevolution

Mario Nawfal

42,753 views โ€ข 2 months ago

๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ THE DECLINE OF HEGEMONY: A NEW WORLD ORDER The era of relying solely on U.S. security is rapidly coming to an end as the "declining hegemon" lashes out. According to Glenn Diesen, we are witnessing a global shift where betting your security on Washington no longer makes sense for rising regional powers. From the Gulf states to South Korea, nations are realizing that U.S. presence now brings more insecurity than protection. The monopoly on global security has been broken, and the Middle East will never look the same again. Glenn Diesen
4:56

๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ THE DECLINE OF HEGEMONY: A NEW WORLD ORDER The era of relying solely on U.S. security is rapidly coming to an end as the "declining hegemon" lashes out. According to Glenn Diesen, we are witnessing a global shift where betting your security on Washington no longer makes sense for rising regional powers. From the Gulf states to South Korea, nations are realizing that U.S. presence now brings more insecurity than protection. The monopoly on global security has been broken, and the Middle East will never look the same again. Glenn Diesen

Mario Nawfal

58,647 views โ€ข 4 months ago

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ For the first time in history, a sitting U.S. president threatened military action against a Gulf state living under America's own security umbrella. Gulf security analyst Giorgio Cafiero says the significance of that moment is hard to overstate, because the entire GCC relationship was built on protection in exchange for partnership, and that foundation just cracked in public. "First time a US president has threatened military action against the GCC states." The country on the receiving end of the pressure happens to be the same one quietly keeping diplomacy alive between Washington and Tehran. Threatening your own mediator is a bold strategy. Giorgio Cafiero
14:59

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ For the first time in history, a sitting U.S. president threatened military action against a Gulf state living under America's own security umbrella. Gulf security analyst Giorgio Cafiero says the significance of that moment is hard to overstate, because the entire GCC relationship was built on protection in exchange for partnership, and that foundation just cracked in public. "First time a US president has threatened military action against the GCC states." The country on the receiving end of the pressure happens to be the same one quietly keeping diplomacy alive between Washington and Tehran. Threatening your own mediator is a bold strategy. Giorgio Cafiero

Mario Nawfal

47,518 views โ€ข 1 month ago

๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ IRAN JUST WON, THE GULF KNOWS IT Former CIA analyst Larry Johnson calls it an unequivocal strategic victory for Iran. The Gulf was hunkering down for hell tonight. Bridges closed. Embassies telling citizens to stock up on food and water. Now Iran controls the Strait of Hormuz and the Gulf states are doing the math. "You cut the deal with the United States, you're exposed. If you hear the U.S. say we got your back, you better worry about what they're doing to your back." Saudi Arabia. Qatar. Oman. They all see it now. Iran is the power broker. America just proved it abandons its allies.
2:25

๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ IRAN JUST WON, THE GULF KNOWS IT Former CIA analyst Larry Johnson calls it an unequivocal strategic victory for Iran. The Gulf was hunkering down for hell tonight. Bridges closed. Embassies telling citizens to stock up on food and water. Now Iran controls the Strait of Hormuz and the Gulf states are doing the math. "You cut the deal with the United States, you're exposed. If you hear the U.S. say we got your back, you better worry about what they're doing to your back." Saudi Arabia. Qatar. Oman. They all see it now. Iran is the power broker. America just proved it abandons its allies.

Mario Nawfal

77,157 views โ€ข 3 months ago

๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Gas was $2.54 before the war. It hit $4.04 in Florida, and the full economic weight of the Strait closure is only just beginning to be felt. Fmr. CIA Analyst Larry Johnson says Iran is moving forward with its regional architecture regardless of whether a deal gets signed, talking to Putin, talking to China, launching the Persian Gulf Strait Authority website, and briefing the Saudis and Qataris on the new fee structure. Israel was left out of the negotiations entirely and is now scrambling to find out what's on the table. Iran isn't desperate for a deal. Washington just keeps telling itself that it is. SonofNewAmericanRevolution
14:39

๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Gas was $2.54 before the war. It hit $4.04 in Florida, and the full economic weight of the Strait closure is only just beginning to be felt. Fmr. CIA Analyst Larry Johnson says Iran is moving forward with its regional architecture regardless of whether a deal gets signed, talking to Putin, talking to China, launching the Persian Gulf Strait Authority website, and briefing the Saudis and Qataris on the new fee structure. Israel was left out of the negotiations entirely and is now scrambling to find out what's on the table. Iran isn't desperate for a deal. Washington just keeps telling itself that it is. SonofNewAmericanRevolution

Mario Nawfal

34,958 views โ€ข 2 months ago

One thing Scott Horton kept circling back to is how misleading the surface story is. His view is that what looks like a shift by Trump is less a new strategy and more a forced attempt to contain escalation that is already out of control. Horton argues Trump never truly wanted a direct war with Iran, but was drawn into it through allied pressure and momentum dynamics. In that sense, the current posture is not a clean pivot but an effort to stop further expansion of the conflict. He places significant weight on the role of Benjamin Netanyahu in sustaining long-running pressure that makes US disengagement difficult once escalation begins. Once the cycle starts, Horton says, it becomes hard for Washington to step back without political and strategic fallout. He doubts the U.S. could fully avoid being pulled into a wider regional conflict if things continue to escalate. The overall picture he draws is not victory or reversal, but a system running into its own limits. Scott Horton
36:44

One thing Scott Horton kept circling back to is how misleading the surface story is. His view is that what looks like a shift by Trump is less a new strategy and more a forced attempt to contain escalation that is already out of control. Horton argues Trump never truly wanted a direct war with Iran, but was drawn into it through allied pressure and momentum dynamics. In that sense, the current posture is not a clean pivot but an effort to stop further expansion of the conflict. He places significant weight on the role of Benjamin Netanyahu in sustaining long-running pressure that makes US disengagement difficult once escalation begins. Once the cycle starts, Horton says, it becomes hard for Washington to step back without political and strategic fallout. He doubts the U.S. could fully avoid being pulled into a wider regional conflict if things continue to escalate. The overall picture he draws is not victory or reversal, but a system running into its own limits. Scott Horton

Mario Nawfal

263,495 views โ€ข 1 month ago

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท The Gulf states are being told their security now depends on walking away from America... Fmr U.S. Navy intel officer Malcolm Nance lays out just how thoroughly Iran rewrote the regional order. The Gulf states are absorbing a brutal new message, that their security may hinge on putting distance between themselves and Washington, and Nance says it's actually landing: "The Strait of Hormuz will remain closed until Donald Trump pays up. We're paying up." The bigger picture is what stings. By surviving this war and forcing America to pay up, Iran walked away having reshaped the entire balance of power in the region. Malcolm Nance
2:09

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท The Gulf states are being told their security now depends on walking away from America... Fmr U.S. Navy intel officer Malcolm Nance lays out just how thoroughly Iran rewrote the regional order. The Gulf states are absorbing a brutal new message, that their security may hinge on putting distance between themselves and Washington, and Nance says it's actually landing: "The Strait of Hormuz will remain closed until Donald Trump pays up. We're paying up." The bigger picture is what stings. By surviving this war and forcing America to pay up, Iran walked away having reshaped the entire balance of power in the region. Malcolm Nance

Mario Nawfal

133,264 views โ€ข 1 month ago