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🇺🇸🇮🇷 The regional order just collapsed, and half the media hasn't noticed yet. Historian and Middle East analyst Scott Horton says depending on your media silo, you might have no idea how much just changed. The security architecture that organized the Gulf for decades has cracked, and what replaces...

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Mario Nawfal

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21,053 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce •via X (Twitter)

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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 AIRPOWER WON’T TOPPLE IRAN Scott Horton says the idea that bombing Iran will lead to regime change has no serious path forward. He argues airstrikes cannot control a country the size of Iran, and without a powerful internal force on the ground, Washington has no way to replace the government even if leaders are killed. Scott Horton
6:08

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 AIRPOWER WON’T TOPPLE IRAN Scott Horton says the idea that bombing Iran will lead to regime change has no serious path forward. He argues airstrikes cannot control a country the size of Iran, and without a powerful internal force on the ground, Washington has no way to replace the government even if leaders are killed. Scott Horton

Mario Nawfal

88,766 görüntüleme • 6 ay önce

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The simplest path out of this war is the one nobody in Washington wants to say out loud: just leave. Scott Horton says Trump could quit right now, call it whatever he wants, fly home, and the entire burden shifts to Iran to figure out how they get along with the rest of Eurasia. America has no real stake in Middle East empire. No base, no ally, no regional position lost there actually affects the American people back home. "Fly home. Sail home. March home. That's it. Get the hell out of there." Scott Horton
3:53

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The simplest path out of this war is the one nobody in Washington wants to say out loud: just leave. Scott Horton says Trump could quit right now, call it whatever he wants, fly home, and the entire burden shifts to Iran to figure out how they get along with the rest of Eurasia. America has no real stake in Middle East empire. No base, no ally, no regional position lost there actually affects the American people back home. "Fly home. Sail home. March home. That's it. Get the hell out of there." Scott Horton

Mario Nawfal

45,867 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷🇱🇧 Iran and Lebanon are the last two dominoes in a plan written in 1996 and Scott Horton says every step of it has backfired. Topple Iraq to dominate the Shia and pressure Hezbollah. Instead the U.S. handed Baghdad to Tehran's closest allies and multiplied Iran's regional power beyond anyone's imagination. Then they backed al-Qaeda in Syria to undo it. That created ISIS, forcing a third Iraq war fought again on Iran's side. "They're really bad at this." Scott Horton
6:30

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷🇱🇧 Iran and Lebanon are the last two dominoes in a plan written in 1996 and Scott Horton says every step of it has backfired. Topple Iraq to dominate the Shia and pressure Hezbollah. Instead the U.S. handed Baghdad to Tehran's closest allies and multiplied Iran's regional power beyond anyone's imagination. Then they backed al-Qaeda in Syria to undo it. That created ISIS, forcing a third Iraq war fought again on Iran's side. "They're really bad at this." Scott Horton

Mario Nawfal

33,709 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The man who started the war is the same man who has to end it, and he can't without admitting he lost. Scott Horton says the solution is obvious: pull out, shift the burden onto Tehran, and walk away. No real American interests are at stake. The only thing stopping it is the Pentagon, the arms industry, and every entrenched power that profits from keeping the empire alive. "There are no real crucial American interests at stake, only imperial interests, but none that truly affect the American people." Scott Horton
8:06

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The man who started the war is the same man who has to end it, and he can't without admitting he lost. Scott Horton says the solution is obvious: pull out, shift the burden onto Tehran, and walk away. No real American interests are at stake. The only thing stopping it is the Pentagon, the arms industry, and every entrenched power that profits from keeping the empire alive. "There are no real crucial American interests at stake, only imperial interests, but none that truly affect the American people." Scott Horton

Mario Nawfal

117,586 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce

🇺🇸🇮🇷 By agreeing to the ceasefire, Iran may have accidentally handed Washington a free exit. Scott Horton, editor of lays out the strategic wrinkle most people missed. The moment Tehran agreed to stop fighting, it gave the United States the option to simply walk away without delivering anything in return. "By agreeing to the cease fire, they put the United States in a position where we just walk away now and they don't get their sanctions relief, and they don't get any other thing that they wanted out of us if we just sail home." The leverage was the fighting. Trading it away before the concessions arrived may prove to be the most consequential decision of the entire war. Scott Horton
8:56

🇺🇸🇮🇷 By agreeing to the ceasefire, Iran may have accidentally handed Washington a free exit. Scott Horton, editor of lays out the strategic wrinkle most people missed. The moment Tehran agreed to stop fighting, it gave the United States the option to simply walk away without delivering anything in return. "By agreeing to the cease fire, they put the United States in a position where we just walk away now and they don't get their sanctions relief, and they don't get any other thing that they wanted out of us if we just sail home." The leverage was the fighting. Trading it away before the concessions arrived may prove to be the most consequential decision of the entire war. Scott Horton

Mario Nawfal

66,885 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

🚨🇮🇷 🇺🇸 FOR DECADES THE THREAT WAS "THE MILITARY OPTION IS ON THE TABLE"... IRAN JUST SURVIVED IT Iran expert Sina Azodi, MES Director and Asst. Professor, says that changes the entire equation. The U.S. played its biggest card. Iran is still standing. No surrender. No regime change. And now they're sitting on the world's most important energy chokepoint. Sina says Iran will rebuild its missiles, reconstruct what was destroyed, and work to restore Gulf relationships. The Gulf countries don't have much choice but to meet them halfway. The leverage Washington held for decades just evaporated. What comes next is a Middle East where that threat no longer works. @Azodiac83
4:06

🚨🇮🇷 🇺🇸 FOR DECADES THE THREAT WAS "THE MILITARY OPTION IS ON THE TABLE"... IRAN JUST SURVIVED IT Iran expert Sina Azodi, MES Director and Asst. Professor, says that changes the entire equation. The U.S. played its biggest card. Iran is still standing. No surrender. No regime change. And now they're sitting on the world's most important energy chokepoint. Sina says Iran will rebuild its missiles, reconstruct what was destroyed, and work to restore Gulf relationships. The Gulf countries don't have much choice but to meet them halfway. The leverage Washington held for decades just evaporated. What comes next is a Middle East where that threat no longer works. @Azodiac83

Mario Nawfal

68,598 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce

🇱🇧 The Lebanon deal is allegedly dead on arrival, and the reason is simple: if the Lebanese army could have taken on Hezbollah, it would have done it decades ago. Libertarian from the insitute Antiwar Scott Horton the lays out the math: A significant portion of the Lebanese army is Shiite, meaning any order to disarm Hezbollah doesn't end with compliance, it ends with mass defections straight to the other side. You can't ask an army to wage civil war against its own people and expect it to follow through. Scott Horton
1:58

🇱🇧 The Lebanon deal is allegedly dead on arrival, and the reason is simple: if the Lebanese army could have taken on Hezbollah, it would have done it decades ago. Libertarian from the insitute Antiwar Scott Horton the lays out the math: A significant portion of the Lebanese army is Shiite, meaning any order to disarm Hezbollah doesn't end with compliance, it ends with mass defections straight to the other side. You can't ask an army to wage civil war against its own people and expect it to follow through. Scott Horton

Mario Nawfal

38,541 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump’s real problem isn’t finding an off-ramp; it’s finding one that doesn’t look like he lost the Iran war He could end it tomorrow, but what happens the morning after, when Trump has to explain why Iran is still standing, Tehran effectively controls the Strait of Hormuz, and the U.S military failed to impose Washington's will? Scott Horton believes Trump has already had multiple opportunities to declare victory and walk away, but every time, Washington found another reason it couldn't leave. Every additional objective made the eventual exit harder, because now the consequences of the war are much bigger than Iran's nuclear facilities. And Scott argues decades of U.S policy intended to weaken Tehran have repeatedly achieved the opposite. George W. Bush destroyed Saddam Hussein, Iran's greatest regional enemy, and Iraq subsequently moved deeper into Tehran's orbit, and the Houthis emerged as a formidable regional force. Now Trump has done something Scott thinks may be even more damaging: He tested the assumption of overwhelming U.S military power against Iran and exposed its limits. And that's why walking away becomes so politically difficult. Leaving doesn't just mean ending a war; it means acknowledging that the old order isn't coming back. And the longer Trump fights to avoid being remembered as the president who lost the Iran war, the greater the risk he becomes the president remembered for something much worse. Scott Horton
59:33

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump’s real problem isn’t finding an off-ramp; it’s finding one that doesn’t look like he lost the Iran war He could end it tomorrow, but what happens the morning after, when Trump has to explain why Iran is still standing, Tehran effectively controls the Strait of Hormuz, and the U.S military failed to impose Washington's will? Scott Horton believes Trump has already had multiple opportunities to declare victory and walk away, but every time, Washington found another reason it couldn't leave. Every additional objective made the eventual exit harder, because now the consequences of the war are much bigger than Iran's nuclear facilities. And Scott argues decades of U.S policy intended to weaken Tehran have repeatedly achieved the opposite. George W. Bush destroyed Saddam Hussein, Iran's greatest regional enemy, and Iraq subsequently moved deeper into Tehran's orbit, and the Houthis emerged as a formidable regional force. Now Trump has done something Scott thinks may be even more damaging: He tested the assumption of overwhelming U.S military power against Iran and exposed its limits. And that's why walking away becomes so politically difficult. Leaving doesn't just mean ending a war; it means acknowledging that the old order isn't coming back. And the longer Trump fights to avoid being remembered as the president who lost the Iran war, the greater the risk he becomes the president remembered for something much worse. Scott Horton

Mario Nawfal

233,534 görüntüleme • 27 gün önce

🇮🇷 The Persian Gulf is being pulled apart, and Tehran is doing it on purpose. Geopolitics Expert Brandon Weichert explains how Iran's Supreme Leader is using Islamic unity as a weapon to strip Gulf states away from the American and Israeli security umbrella. "Things are going to get very weird over the next 10 to 20 years in the Middle East." The 19th century is back, and the smaller Gulf states are caught in the middle. Brandon Weichert
3:41

🇮🇷 The Persian Gulf is being pulled apart, and Tehran is doing it on purpose. Geopolitics Expert Brandon Weichert explains how Iran's Supreme Leader is using Islamic unity as a weapon to strip Gulf states away from the American and Israeli security umbrella. "Things are going to get very weird over the next 10 to 20 years in the Middle East." The 19th century is back, and the smaller Gulf states are caught in the middle. Brandon Weichert

Mario Nawfal

53,837 görüntüleme • 16 gün önce

🇺🇸🇮🇷 America has already lost the Iran war, and the only question left is whether Trump can find a way to call it a victory without anyone noticing. Scott Horton, director of the Libertarian Institute and one of the most consistent antiwar voices in America, has been predicting exactly this outcome for years, and his analysis is surgical: Just as Bush, Obama, and Trump refused to admit defeat in Afghanistan for two decades and left Biden holding the bag, Trump is now trapped in the same problematic political logic. Admitting the loss makes it "his fault," while denying it prolongs the catastrophe. "The credibility question is the last refuge of a scoundrel, and that's all they've got left..." On the burgeoning Turkey-Saudi-Pakistan pact: Pakistan has nuclear weapons, and whether that alliance is warning Yemen, Israel, Iran, or America, nobody outside that room really knows. On whether a more devastating military campaign is theoretically possible: only if Trump is willing to lose thousands of men and aircraft, get B-52s over Tehran, and accept mass casualties, but Horton feels he has neither the political capital nor the will to do it. The Ron Paul answer, which Horton has argued for decades: just quit, admit the loss, and come home... hell, approval ratings would probably go up. No amount of think tank strategists can "fix" this before the inevitable exit. "There is no such thing as that. Just call all this off." Thanks for coming on, Scott Horton
58:25

🇺🇸🇮🇷 America has already lost the Iran war, and the only question left is whether Trump can find a way to call it a victory without anyone noticing. Scott Horton, director of the Libertarian Institute and one of the most consistent antiwar voices in America, has been predicting exactly this outcome for years, and his analysis is surgical: Just as Bush, Obama, and Trump refused to admit defeat in Afghanistan for two decades and left Biden holding the bag, Trump is now trapped in the same problematic political logic. Admitting the loss makes it "his fault," while denying it prolongs the catastrophe. "The credibility question is the last refuge of a scoundrel, and that's all they've got left..." On the burgeoning Turkey-Saudi-Pakistan pact: Pakistan has nuclear weapons, and whether that alliance is warning Yemen, Israel, Iran, or America, nobody outside that room really knows. On whether a more devastating military campaign is theoretically possible: only if Trump is willing to lose thousands of men and aircraft, get B-52s over Tehran, and accept mass casualties, but Horton feels he has neither the political capital nor the will to do it. The Ron Paul answer, which Horton has argued for decades: just quit, admit the loss, and come home... hell, approval ratings would probably go up. No amount of think tank strategists can "fix" this before the inevitable exit. "There is no such thing as that. Just call all this off." Thanks for coming on, Scott Horton

Mario Nawfal

225,500 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

🇮🇷 The deal headlines keep coming, and the core gap hasn't moved an inch. Scott Horton, author and foreign policy analyst, breaks down why every burst of optimism keeps collapsing into nothing. The two positions remain fundamentally incompatible, and no amount of shuttle diplomacy changes that until one side actually moves. "Trump is not willing to climb down from gimme your uranium, and they're not willing to give up their uranium." In his read, the real signal to watch for has nothing to do with Oman or Islamabad. Until Washington creates genuine distance from Netanyahu, none of the breakthrough talk means anything. Scott Horton
3:24

🇮🇷 The deal headlines keep coming, and the core gap hasn't moved an inch. Scott Horton, author and foreign policy analyst, breaks down why every burst of optimism keeps collapsing into nothing. The two positions remain fundamentally incompatible, and no amount of shuttle diplomacy changes that until one side actually moves. "Trump is not willing to climb down from gimme your uranium, and they're not willing to give up their uranium." In his read, the real signal to watch for has nothing to do with Oman or Islamabad. Until Washington creates genuine distance from Netanyahu, none of the breakthrough talk means anything. Scott Horton

Mario Nawfal

34,398 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

🚨🇺🇸 THE DECLINE OF HEGEMONY: A NEW WORLD ORDER The era of relying solely on U.S. security is rapidly coming to an end as the "declining hegemon" lashes out. According to Glenn Diesen, we are witnessing a global shift where betting your security on Washington no longer makes sense for rising regional powers. From the Gulf states to South Korea, nations are realizing that U.S. presence now brings more insecurity than protection. The monopoly on global security has been broken, and the Middle East will never look the same again. Glenn Diesen
4:56

🚨🇺🇸 THE DECLINE OF HEGEMONY: A NEW WORLD ORDER The era of relying solely on U.S. security is rapidly coming to an end as the "declining hegemon" lashes out. According to Glenn Diesen, we are witnessing a global shift where betting your security on Washington no longer makes sense for rising regional powers. From the Gulf states to South Korea, nations are realizing that U.S. presence now brings more insecurity than protection. The monopoly on global security has been broken, and the Middle East will never look the same again. Glenn Diesen

Mario Nawfal

58,647 görüntüleme • 6 ay önce

Joe Rogan, the most popular podcaster in the world, has just released an episode with Scott Horton, the most knowledgeable antiwar advocate in America. Minutes after walking out of Rogan's studio, Scott Horton jumped into ours. Dan McKnight speaks with Scott—a longtime supporter of Defend The Guard—about the importance of this moment, dispels propaganda about the Iran War, and how even neocons are starting to jump from a sinking ship. Thank you Joe Rogan for giving tens of millions the opportunity to hear the message of principled non-interventionism!
38:53

Joe Rogan, the most popular podcaster in the world, has just released an episode with Scott Horton, the most knowledgeable antiwar advocate in America. Minutes after walking out of Rogan's studio, Scott Horton jumped into ours. Dan McKnight speaks with Scott—a longtime supporter of Defend The Guard—about the importance of this moment, dispels propaganda about the Iran War, and how even neocons are starting to jump from a sinking ship. Thank you Joe Rogan for giving tens of millions the opportunity to hear the message of principled non-interventionism!

Bring Our Troops Home

518,884 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce

🇸🇦🇮🇱 Saudi just publicly called Israel as dangerous as Iran, and that is only the surface of what is happening. Fmr. CIA Analyst Larry Johnson says China, Russia, and Pakistan are quietly building a new security architecture across the Persian Gulf designed to push the United States out entirely. "As long as you are basically allowing the United States to occupy your military bases and carry out actions on behalf of Israel, you're not going to be secure." SonofNewAmericanRevolution
11:57

🇸🇦🇮🇱 Saudi just publicly called Israel as dangerous as Iran, and that is only the surface of what is happening. Fmr. CIA Analyst Larry Johnson says China, Russia, and Pakistan are quietly building a new security architecture across the Persian Gulf designed to push the United States out entirely. "As long as you are basically allowing the United States to occupy your military bases and carry out actions on behalf of Israel, you're not going to be secure." SonofNewAmericanRevolution

Mario Nawfal

42,753 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce

🇺🇸 For the first time in history, a sitting U.S. president threatened military action against a Gulf state living under America's own security umbrella. Gulf security analyst Giorgio Cafiero says the significance of that moment is hard to overstate, because the entire GCC relationship was built on protection in exchange for partnership, and that foundation just cracked in public. "First time a US president has threatened military action against the GCC states." The country on the receiving end of the pressure happens to be the same one quietly keeping diplomacy alive between Washington and Tehran. Threatening your own mediator is a bold strategy. Giorgio Cafiero
14:59

🇺🇸 For the first time in history, a sitting U.S. president threatened military action against a Gulf state living under America's own security umbrella. Gulf security analyst Giorgio Cafiero says the significance of that moment is hard to overstate, because the entire GCC relationship was built on protection in exchange for partnership, and that foundation just cracked in public. "First time a US president has threatened military action against the GCC states." The country on the receiving end of the pressure happens to be the same one quietly keeping diplomacy alive between Washington and Tehran. Threatening your own mediator is a bold strategy. Giorgio Cafiero

Mario Nawfal

60,569 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

🇮🇷🇸🇦 The Gulf states have spent 40 years being used as Washington's cutout for proxy wars, and now they may be done with it. Fmr. CIA Analyst Larry Johnson says Iran joining the Mecca Joint Defense Agreement is closer than most think, but U.S. sanctions and Saudi tensions are still in the way. "Gulf Arabs are saying, we keep getting used by the United States. And what has it got us? More instability and insecurity." A new security doctrine is forming in the region. Washington may not get a vote. SonofNewAmericanRevolution
3:05

🇮🇷🇸🇦 The Gulf states have spent 40 years being used as Washington's cutout for proxy wars, and now they may be done with it. Fmr. CIA Analyst Larry Johnson says Iran joining the Mecca Joint Defense Agreement is closer than most think, but U.S. sanctions and Saudi tensions are still in the way. "Gulf Arabs are saying, we keep getting used by the United States. And what has it got us? More instability and insecurity." A new security doctrine is forming in the region. Washington may not get a vote. SonofNewAmericanRevolution

Mario Nawfal

41,947 görüntüleme • 23 gün önce