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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท The retaliation everyone is bracing for may arrive as a Truth Social post instead. Fmr. CIA analyst Larry Johnson describes a pattern the markets have learned to trade around, where a declaration substitutes for a strike and stocks rally by morning: "This is Groundhog Day for war." Same...

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Mario Nawfal

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ One more Israeli strike could trigger a war with no off-ramp. Fmr. CIA Analyst Larry Johnson says Iran has already shown restraint twice, and that patience is gone. "Third time's the charm. I don't think there'll be anything holding them back this time." The third strike may be the last one anyone takes. SonofNewAmericanRevolution
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ One more Israeli strike could trigger a war with no off-ramp. Fmr. CIA Analyst Larry Johnson says Iran has already shown restraint twice, and that patience is gone. "Third time's the charm. I don't think there'll be anything holding them back this time." The third strike may be the last one anyone takes. SonofNewAmericanRevolution

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ A senior IRGC commander says Tehran treats diplomacy and war as interchangeable tools. Whichever one makes Washington pay a price is the one Iran reaches for, and fmr. CIA analyst Larry Johnson says that framing tells you how this ends: "They're not going to back off and just give up to the United States." Every American strategy so far has assumed enough pressure eventually produces a concession, and Tehran keeps answering that assumption the same way. SonofNewAmericanRevolution
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ A senior IRGC commander says Tehran treats diplomacy and war as interchangeable tools. Whichever one makes Washington pay a price is the one Iran reaches for, and fmr. CIA analyst Larry Johnson says that framing tells you how this ends: "They're not going to back off and just give up to the United States." Every American strategy so far has assumed enough pressure eventually produces a concession, and Tehran keeps answering that assumption the same way. SonofNewAmericanRevolution

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Eight categories of precision missiles. Every single one running dry. Fmr. CIA analyst Larry Johnson ran the numbers, and the picture is alarming: "In every single category the United States is running on fumes." If a real war breaks out tomorrow, America may not have the arsenal to fight it. SonofNewAmericanRevolution
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Eight categories of precision missiles. Every single one running dry. Fmr. CIA analyst Larry Johnson ran the numbers, and the picture is alarming: "In every single category the United States is running on fumes." If a real war breaks out tomorrow, America may not have the arsenal to fight it. SonofNewAmericanRevolution

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Iran's missiles sit in underground cities that not even bunker busters can reach. Fmr. CIA analyst Larry Johnson says 42 days of bombing already proved the point, so another two weeks of the same strikes won't change a thing: "This is Einstein's definition of insanity, doing the same thing over and over and expecting a different outcome." Washington is lining up to repeat a failure it has already lived through once. SonofNewAmericanRevolution
2:14

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Iran's missiles sit in underground cities that not even bunker busters can reach. Fmr. CIA analyst Larry Johnson says 42 days of bombing already proved the point, so another two weeks of the same strikes won't change a thing: "This is Einstein's definition of insanity, doing the same thing over and over and expecting a different outcome." Washington is lining up to repeat a failure it has already lived through once. SonofNewAmericanRevolution

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๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ด A Palestinian uprising in Jordan is allegedly coming, and the tip came from the source who called Yemen. Fmr. CIA analyst Larry Johnson says he's been told to watch Amman next, by the same contact who warned him the Yemen war would reignite before it did: "Keep your eye on Jordan." He points to a population that is now majority Palestinian and a king who, in his words, hasn't stood up for Palestinian rights. Larry expects it to get ugly. SonofNewAmericanRevolution
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๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ด A Palestinian uprising in Jordan is allegedly coming, and the tip came from the source who called Yemen. Fmr. CIA analyst Larry Johnson says he's been told to watch Amman next, by the same contact who warned him the Yemen war would reignite before it did: "Keep your eye on Jordan." He points to a population that is now majority Palestinian and a king who, in his words, hasn't stood up for Palestinian rights. Larry expects it to get ugly. SonofNewAmericanRevolution

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Each strike is getting bigger, but the strategy behind them looks smaller. Fmr. CIA analyst Larry Johnson says the latest U.S.-Iran exchanges are being driven by incidents, not by a clear plan to stop the escalation. His point is that commanders appear to be responding to immediate threats, one strike at a time. "They're very tactical. They're incident driven with, okay, deal with this particular threat." SonofNewAmericanRevolution
3:41

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Each strike is getting bigger, but the strategy behind them looks smaller. Fmr. CIA analyst Larry Johnson says the latest U.S.-Iran exchanges are being driven by incidents, not by a clear plan to stop the escalation. His point is that commanders appear to be responding to immediate threats, one strike at a time. "They're very tactical. They're incident driven with, okay, deal with this particular threat." SonofNewAmericanRevolution

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ A solid society can resist foreign manipulation. One without a moral foundation cannot. Fmr. CIA Intel Larry Johnson confirms foreign governments exploit division, and he knows because the CIA has done the same to others. "I know that we have done the same things to other countries. So it is. Yes, other countries can do that to us." If the foundation is cracked, the attack works. SonofNewAmericanRevolution
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ A solid society can resist foreign manipulation. One without a moral foundation cannot. Fmr. CIA Intel Larry Johnson confirms foreign governments exploit division, and he knows because the CIA has done the same to others. "I know that we have done the same things to other countries. So it is. Yes, other countries can do that to us." If the foundation is cracked, the attack works. SonofNewAmericanRevolution

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Trump says Iran is totally defeated, and hours later US forces struck an Iranian base. Fmr. CIA analyst Larry Johnson points to the gap between the declaration and the operation: "Obviously, the IRGC didn't get that memo." A defeated adversary doesn't require another round of targets, which makes one of those two statements a description of reality and the other a talking point. SonofNewAmericanRevolution
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Trump says Iran is totally defeated, and hours later US forces struck an Iranian base. Fmr. CIA analyst Larry Johnson points to the gap between the declaration and the operation: "Obviously, the IRGC didn't get that memo." A defeated adversary doesn't require another round of targets, which makes one of those two statements a description of reality and the other a talking point. SonofNewAmericanRevolution

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The next U.S. strike may not get a measured Iranian response... The crowds were chanting "revenge." Fmr. CIA analyst Larry Johnson says the calculus in Tehran has fundamentally shifted since the funeral. A ship was just attacked in the Strait of Hormuz, and until now, the pattern held: Iran strikes, the US retaliates, Iran answers tit for tat, everyone de-escalates. Larry says that pattern is dead. Asked whether Iran would keep its responses measured if the US retaliates in the next 24 to 48 hours: "I think they will retaliate with full force without concern for whether or not it escalates." The mourning period is the trigger. Millions in the streets, crowds chanting "revenge, revenge" per Professor Marandi, and a leadership that Johnson says won't tolerate a strike during this window "for a second." SonofNewAmericanRevolution
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The next U.S. strike may not get a measured Iranian response... The crowds were chanting "revenge." Fmr. CIA analyst Larry Johnson says the calculus in Tehran has fundamentally shifted since the funeral. A ship was just attacked in the Strait of Hormuz, and until now, the pattern held: Iran strikes, the US retaliates, Iran answers tit for tat, everyone de-escalates. Larry says that pattern is dead. Asked whether Iran would keep its responses measured if the US retaliates in the next 24 to 48 hours: "I think they will retaliate with full force without concern for whether or not it escalates." The mourning period is the trigger. Millions in the streets, crowds chanting "revenge, revenge" per Professor Marandi, and a leadership that Johnson says won't tolerate a strike during this window "for a second." SonofNewAmericanRevolution

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The planes aren't being pulled out in a week, and Iran may know it. Fmr. CIA Analyst Larry Johnson says the drawdown will take over a month, and that timeline changes everything about what Iran decides to do next. "They're given an order to withdraw the US forces from the region, and it's going to take over a month, a month and a half." If the deterrent is leaving, the window for escalation opens. SonofNewAmericanRevolution
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The planes aren't being pulled out in a week, and Iran may know it. Fmr. CIA Analyst Larry Johnson says the drawdown will take over a month, and that timeline changes everything about what Iran decides to do next. "They're given an order to withdraw the US forces from the region, and it's going to take over a month, a month and a half." If the deterrent is leaving, the window for escalation opens. SonofNewAmericanRevolution

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Iran is running a toll booth on the world's most critical oil chokepoint, and ships that break the rules get blacklisted along with anyone who dares trade with those on the black list. Fmr. CIA Analyst Larry Johnson says the only way off the list is to email a Persian Gulf authority and beg to be removed. "Vessels that from this day onwards engage in ship to ship transfers, transshipment, etc. with vessels on the offending vessels list will themselves be added to the list." SonofNewAmericanRevolution
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Iran is running a toll booth on the world's most critical oil chokepoint, and ships that break the rules get blacklisted along with anyone who dares trade with those on the black list. Fmr. CIA Analyst Larry Johnson says the only way off the list is to email a Persian Gulf authority and beg to be removed. "Vessels that from this day onwards engage in ship to ship transfers, transshipment, etc. with vessels on the offending vessels list will themselves be added to the list." SonofNewAmericanRevolution

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ท Washington pulled South Korea's missile defenses, then blamed Seoul for not defending itself. Fmr. CIA analyst Larry Johnson lays out a pattern he says allies keep walking into, where the assets get stripped out first and the lecture arrives afterward: "He screws you and then he gaslights you." Every government hosting American hardware is now doing the same arithmetic about what that protection is actually worth when the region heats up. SonofNewAmericanRevolution
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ท Washington pulled South Korea's missile defenses, then blamed Seoul for not defending itself. Fmr. CIA analyst Larry Johnson lays out a pattern he says allies keep walking into, where the assets get stripped out first and the lecture arrives afterward: "He screws you and then he gaslights you." Every government hosting American hardware is now doing the same arithmetic about what that protection is actually worth when the region heats up. SonofNewAmericanRevolution

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท A senior IRGC officer told northern Israel civilians to evacuate. Fmr. CIA Analyst Larry Johnson says the clock is running out. "Iran is going to hit northern Israel and target military installations [and] military personnel." If Qatar also kicks the U.S. Air Force out in 9 months, this could get a whole lot worse. SonofNewAmericanRevolution
5:59

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท A senior IRGC officer told northern Israel civilians to evacuate. Fmr. CIA Analyst Larry Johnson says the clock is running out. "Iran is going to hit northern Israel and target military installations [and] military personnel." If Qatar also kicks the U.S. Air Force out in 9 months, this could get a whole lot worse. SonofNewAmericanRevolution

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Every U.S. strike may be handing Iran the playbook to crash the Western economy. Fmr. CIA analyst Larry Johnson cuts through the noise with one sharp warning: America's own firepower could be teaching Iran exactly how to bring the Western economy down. He describes an escalation ladder where each side answers harder than the last: "You bring a club, I bring a knife, you bring a knife, I bring a gun, you bring a gun, I bring a cannon." The danger Johnson zeroes in on is fuel. If Iran can spike demand for aviation fuel while Western supplies already sit low, he argues, a financial crisis becomes Tehran's deliberate weapon of choice. SonofNewAmericanRevolution
1:34

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Every U.S. strike may be handing Iran the playbook to crash the Western economy. Fmr. CIA analyst Larry Johnson cuts through the noise with one sharp warning: America's own firepower could be teaching Iran exactly how to bring the Western economy down. He describes an escalation ladder where each side answers harder than the last: "You bring a club, I bring a knife, you bring a knife, I bring a gun, you bring a gun, I bring a cannon." The danger Johnson zeroes in on is fuel. If Iran can spike demand for aviation fuel while Western supplies already sit low, he argues, a financial crisis becomes Tehran's deliberate weapon of choice. SonofNewAmericanRevolution

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Fake polling data told Trump that 80% of Iranians were ready to overthrow their government. Fmr. CIA Analyst Larry Johnson explains how CIA-funded surveys through USAID and the National Endowment for Democracy buried the real numbers, while University of Maryland polling showed the exact opposite. "The problem for the United States is that it ends up believing its own bullshit." Support for the Iranian government actually grew after the attacks. The same pattern is now playing out with Russia and Ukraine. SonofNewAmericanRevolution
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Fake polling data told Trump that 80% of Iranians were ready to overthrow their government. Fmr. CIA Analyst Larry Johnson explains how CIA-funded surveys through USAID and the National Endowment for Democracy buried the real numbers, while University of Maryland polling showed the exact opposite. "The problem for the United States is that it ends up believing its own bullshit." Support for the Iranian government actually grew after the attacks. The same pattern is now playing out with Russia and Ukraine. SonofNewAmericanRevolution

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Every base the US could fall back on is already a target. Fmr. CIA Analyst Larry Johnson just laid it all out. "It's not like the US has a variety of alternatives they can fall back on." Trump's military fantasy is colliding with a map that has no safe squares left. SonofNewAmericanRevolution
3:09

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Every base the US could fall back on is already a target. Fmr. CIA Analyst Larry Johnson just laid it all out. "It's not like the US has a variety of alternatives they can fall back on." Trump's military fantasy is colliding with a map that has no safe squares left. SonofNewAmericanRevolution

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43,443 Aufrufe โ€ข vor 2 Monaten

๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท A deal framework is on the table, and nothing in it is actually resolved yet. Fmr. CIA Analyst Larry Johnson says the enrichment freeze duration, sanctions relief, the Strait of Hormuz, and where to transfer highly enriched uranium are all still open. The deeper problem is that Washington still refuses to accept the Islamic Republic as a legitimate government that isn't going anywhere, and until that changes, there is no foundation for any deal. "The more the West tries to create separation between the Iranian people and their government, the more it drives them together." SonofNewAmericanRevolution
8:17

๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท A deal framework is on the table, and nothing in it is actually resolved yet. Fmr. CIA Analyst Larry Johnson says the enrichment freeze duration, sanctions relief, the Strait of Hormuz, and where to transfer highly enriched uranium are all still open. The deeper problem is that Washington still refuses to accept the Islamic Republic as a legitimate government that isn't going anywhere, and until that changes, there is no foundation for any deal. "The more the West tries to create separation between the Iranian people and their government, the more it drives them together." SonofNewAmericanRevolution

Mario Nawfal

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Israel has a documented history of false flag attacks, ruling them out now would be a mistake. Fmr. CIA Analyst Larry Johnson says attacks on Turkey, Cyprus, and Azerbaijan all bear the same fingerprints. Creating the impression that Iran is striking Gulf states while negotiations are ongoing is exactly the kind of operation designed to derail a deal. Iran has been crystal clear: if attacked, they retaliate en masse. They have no incentive to strike first right now. "This is the stupidest thing Trump and Netanyahu could ever want to do. The West is going to suffer terribly from this, much more so than Iran." SonofNewAmericanRevolution
1:05

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Israel has a documented history of false flag attacks, ruling them out now would be a mistake. Fmr. CIA Analyst Larry Johnson says attacks on Turkey, Cyprus, and Azerbaijan all bear the same fingerprints. Creating the impression that Iran is striking Gulf states while negotiations are ongoing is exactly the kind of operation designed to derail a deal. Iran has been crystal clear: if attacked, they retaliate en masse. They have no incentive to strike first right now. "This is the stupidest thing Trump and Netanyahu could ever want to do. The West is going to suffer terribly from this, much more so than Iran." SonofNewAmericanRevolution

Mario Nawfal

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ A father went to prison for buying the gun his son used, and the same rule should apply to nations. Fmr. CIA analyst Larry Johnson points to the American court case where a teenager killed classmates with a rifle his father bought him, and the father was sentenced alongside him for handing over the weapon: "If you provide a gun to somebody who goes out and kills someone, you're guilty as an accessory." Every bomb dropped on Gaza was made in America, and so was every plane that dropped them. Larry's point is that the law already knows what to call that. SonofNewAmericanRevolution
2:40

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ A father went to prison for buying the gun his son used, and the same rule should apply to nations. Fmr. CIA analyst Larry Johnson points to the American court case where a teenager killed classmates with a rifle his father bought him, and the father was sentenced alongside him for handing over the weapon: "If you provide a gun to somebody who goes out and kills someone, you're guilty as an accessory." Every bomb dropped on Gaza was made in America, and so was every plane that dropped them. Larry's point is that the law already knows what to call that. SonofNewAmericanRevolution

Mario Nawfal

61,318 Aufrufe โ€ข vor 2 Monaten

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท The trap may be simple: provoke Iran, trigger retaliation, then blame Iran for killing Trumpโ€™s deal. Fmr. CIA Analyst Larry Johnson argues Israel wants Iran to strike before Friday, before the agreement is signed and harder for Trump to walk away from. โ€œYou donโ€™t need to go blow up an entire apartment building just to get one guy.โ€ If he's right, Trumpโ€™s own words suggest even he may be worried about Israel pushing too far. SonofNewAmericanRevolution
1:13

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท The trap may be simple: provoke Iran, trigger retaliation, then blame Iran for killing Trumpโ€™s deal. Fmr. CIA Analyst Larry Johnson argues Israel wants Iran to strike before Friday, before the agreement is signed and harder for Trump to walk away from. โ€œYou donโ€™t need to go blow up an entire apartment building just to get one guy.โ€ If he's right, Trumpโ€™s own words suggest even he may be worried about Israel pushing too far. SonofNewAmericanRevolution

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