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The S&P 500 just hit 6,791 points with valuations 2X higher than historical averages. You have two choices: 1) Keep buying at these inflated prices (conventional advice) 2) Wait for the drop (that nobody can time) What should you do? (a thread)

Felix Prehn 🐶

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13,515 görüntüleme • 9 ay önce •via X (Twitter)

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Kevin O’Leary says almost nobody can beat the S&P 500 by picking individual stocks “If you think you’re so good that you can pick stocks and beat the index, give it a try and learn the hard way. Virtually nobody beats the index” “What you should do is make it easy for yourself. Maybe put $1,000 into one account where you pick stocks, and another $1,000 into SPY, the ETF that tracks the entire S&P 500” “And then you’ll find out the hard way that you’re not that good. 90% of the time, you can’t beat it, so you might as well join it and stop trying to pick stocks”

Kevin O’Leary says almost nobody can beat the S&P 500 by picking individual stocks “If you think you’re so good that you can pick stocks and beat the index, give it a try and learn the hard way. Virtually nobody beats the index” “What you should do is make it easy for yourself. Maybe put $1,000 into one account where you pick stocks, and another $1,000 into SPY, the ETF that tracks the entire S&P 500” “And then you’ll find out the hard way that you’re not that good. 90% of the time, you can’t beat it, so you might as well join it and stop trying to pick stocks”

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[at the end of the shooting] 🐰: wait– i missed my favorites 🐰: my favorite snacks are these two. these two are absolutely ten points! 🐰: i have to eat these 😁 *gives them to the staff for later* staff: you can take the whole box with you 🐰: oh thank you

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I'm so my proud of u Material Gworl. Now that you have this viral hit song . You should drop that unreleased song with ☆ ‧dreamboy··‧̩̥˟͙冬˟͙‧̩̥l .So you can revive his career. And yall can have a hit together. As the two biggest Gay Rappers to ever do it. Yall can make history. 🙏 🧎🏾‍♂️‍➡️

I'm so my proud of u Material Gworl. Now that you have this viral hit song . You should drop that unreleased song with ☆ ‧dreamboy··‧̩̥˟͙冬˟͙‧̩̥l .So you can revive his career. And yall can have a hit together. As the two biggest Gay Rappers to ever do it. Yall can make history. 🙏 🧎🏾‍♂️‍➡️

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“Many financial products have been stuck in time. Your card doesn't do much more for you than it did in the 80's. That evolution — not just cards, but cards that do your expenses, books that keep themselves, money that will move to higher yield — is much more fit for the time." - Eric Glyman

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🚨 I WARNED YOU. THE 2026 BUBBLE IS ABOUT TO POP!!! Look at the chart. Two red circles. Two bubbles. 2006 and 2026 - both landing on the exact same marker: a "Good Times, High Prices, time to sell" year on a cycle map drawn 150 years ago. Here's why that should stop you cold. The last time this signal pointed here, it was 2006. Prices had blown past every historical ceiling into a record bubble. Everyone "knew" it only went up. The cycle said sell. Almost nobody did. You know what came next. 2008. It didn't just correct it took the banks, the credit system, and the entire stock market down with it. The S&P lost more than half its value. It wasn't a housing problem. It was an everything problem. Now look at 2026. Same B-year. Same "sell" signal. But a bigger bubble. Inflation-adjusted prices today are sitting above the 2006 peak - the literal top that caused the last crisis. Except this time it's not just one market. Stocks are at record highs. Valuations are at dot-com extremes. Credit is stretched. The whole system is inflated at once, all resting on the same tightening liquidity. 2006 was a warning that took two years to detonate. That's the danger of slow bubbles - they look calm right up until they're not. And here's the part most people are missing: this one isn't waiting. It's already cracking. This week alone - Korea down 10% in a single day, a global tech rout, the S&P sliding straight off its record high. The unwind everyone assumed was years away is printing on the screen right now. You don't have to believe a 19th-century cycle secretly runs the market. You just have to notice that the same marker which nailed the 2006 top is flashing again and this time, reality already started agreeing with it. The bubble doesn't ask permission before it pops. It just pops. And it's started.

🚨 I WARNED YOU. THE 2026 BUBBLE IS ABOUT TO POP!!! Look at the chart. Two red circles. Two bubbles. 2006 and 2026 - both landing on the exact same marker: a "Good Times, High Prices, time to sell" year on a cycle map drawn 150 years ago. Here's why that should stop you cold. The last time this signal pointed here, it was 2006. Prices had blown past every historical ceiling into a record bubble. Everyone "knew" it only went up. The cycle said sell. Almost nobody did. You know what came next. 2008. It didn't just correct it took the banks, the credit system, and the entire stock market down with it. The S&P lost more than half its value. It wasn't a housing problem. It was an everything problem. Now look at 2026. Same B-year. Same "sell" signal. But a bigger bubble. Inflation-adjusted prices today are sitting above the 2006 peak - the literal top that caused the last crisis. Except this time it's not just one market. Stocks are at record highs. Valuations are at dot-com extremes. Credit is stretched. The whole system is inflated at once, all resting on the same tightening liquidity. 2006 was a warning that took two years to detonate. That's the danger of slow bubbles - they look calm right up until they're not. And here's the part most people are missing: this one isn't waiting. It's already cracking. This week alone - Korea down 10% in a single day, a global tech rout, the S&P sliding straight off its record high. The unwind everyone assumed was years away is printing on the screen right now. You don't have to believe a 19th-century cycle secretly runs the market. You just have to notice that the same marker which nailed the 2006 top is flashing again and this time, reality already started agreeing with it. The bubble doesn't ask permission before it pops. It just pops. And it's started.

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Tim Dillon: “So what we worship Baal?” “The Dow is up!” “So what we’re part of an ancient blood cult?” “The Dow is up!” “So what we perform sacrifices to deities so that we can have their power?” “The Dow is up!” “Maybe you should thank Baal for the Dow being at 50,000.” “Maybe instead of angering Baal, you thank Baal for what he’s done for American 401Ks.” “Baal has done more for the S&P 500 than Joe Biden did.” “That’s Pam Bondi telling everyone to thank the demon Baal for the S&P 500, and don’t worry about the child sacrifices.” Tim Dillon

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joon: jimin what do i do? let’s drink soju jungkook: Jimin hyung please wait for two days! I can have a drink with you the day after tomorrow! ??? jungkook a minimoni hater

joon: jimin what do i do? let’s drink soju jungkook: Jimin hyung please wait for two days! I can have a drink with you the day after tomorrow! ??? jungkook a minimoni hater

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🚨 S&P 500 IS BEING MANIPULATED, AND I HAVE PROOF I’ve been trading for more than 15 years and have never seen the S&P 500 push this aggressively into all-time highs on such weak volume. Everyone is watching the price. Almost nobody is watching the volume. Price is going up. Volume is not. That is not organic demand. That is price being pushed on low liquidity. We have seen this before: Early 2025: Low-volume rally → no real buyers → sell-off Now look at what is happening again: – Price grinding higher – Volume staying weak – No real buyers And now add the macro: A global oil crisis. 1990: oil shock → S&P 500 dropped 20% 2008: oil hit $147 → S&P 500 dropped 57% 2022: oil surged 70% → S&P 500 dropped 28% Do you understand what it means? The market is rising into the exact conditions that usually break it. And when volume finally returns, it will not be buyers. It will be sellers. Reminder: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000. When I exit markets completely, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

🚨 S&P 500 IS BEING MANIPULATED, AND I HAVE PROOF I’ve been trading for more than 15 years and have never seen the S&P 500 push this aggressively into all-time highs on such weak volume. Everyone is watching the price. Almost nobody is watching the volume. Price is going up. Volume is not. That is not organic demand. That is price being pushed on low liquidity. We have seen this before: Early 2025: Low-volume rally → no real buyers → sell-off Now look at what is happening again: – Price grinding higher – Volume staying weak – No real buyers And now add the macro: A global oil crisis. 1990: oil shock → S&P 500 dropped 20% 2008: oil hit $147 → S&P 500 dropped 57% 2022: oil surged 70% → S&P 500 dropped 28% Do you understand what it means? The market is rising into the exact conditions that usually break it. And when volume finally returns, it will not be buyers. It will be sellers. Reminder: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000. When I exit markets completely, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

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Buying $NVDA calls before earnings. At 100% IV? Yeah right 🤣 You pay the crush to me. Selling 2/27 at 100% IV. Buying 3/9 at 56% IV. I don’t care what happens. NVDA can hit low $180’s or $215+ and I still double my money. Average earnings move? $15. Last time it moved more than $15? 2024. $200 calls are ~$5. You need $10 just to break even. A penny less and you’re hosed 💀 Keep guessing.

Buying $NVDA calls before earnings. At 100% IV? Yeah right 🤣 You pay the crush to me. Selling 2/27 at 100% IV. Buying 3/9 at 56% IV. I don’t care what happens. NVDA can hit low $180’s or $215+ and I still double my money. Average earnings move? $15. Last time it moved more than $15? 2024. $200 calls are ~$5. You need $10 just to break even. A penny less and you’re hosed 💀 Keep guessing.

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🚨 S&P 500 MORE DANGEROUS RIGHT NOW THAN IT LOOKS The illusion of safety is what can make you poor I keep seeing people say, "It probably won't crash, it always goes up" That's exactly what concerns me When you buy an individual stock, you got that you can lose money But with the S&P 500, it's different, most people don't even consider the possibility of a crash anymore Just look at the dot-com bubble - back then, everyone thought everything was fine and the index would keep climbing for years But the final stage of every bubble begins when prices become absurd and fear disappears And prices right now really are getting absurd. The index is printing new highs almost every day with barely any meaningful pullbacks I'm not saying a crash is coming Monday, for example, but I am warning you that markets become the most vulnerable when the majority stops seeing any risk Right now I'm watching investor confidence closely, and the level of euphoria is extreme. That's usually the final stage Are you ready for what could happen next? Turn on notifications and drop your thoughts below The next phase is gonna be very important

🚨 S&P 500 MORE DANGEROUS RIGHT NOW THAN IT LOOKS The illusion of safety is what can make you poor I keep seeing people say, "It probably won't crash, it always goes up" That's exactly what concerns me When you buy an individual stock, you got that you can lose money But with the S&P 500, it's different, most people don't even consider the possibility of a crash anymore Just look at the dot-com bubble - back then, everyone thought everything was fine and the index would keep climbing for years But the final stage of every bubble begins when prices become absurd and fear disappears And prices right now really are getting absurd. The index is printing new highs almost every day with barely any meaningful pullbacks I'm not saying a crash is coming Monday, for example, but I am warning you that markets become the most vulnerable when the majority stops seeing any risk Right now I'm watching investor confidence closely, and the level of euphoria is extreme. That's usually the final stage Are you ready for what could happen next? Turn on notifications and drop your thoughts below The next phase is gonna be very important

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MAILBAG TIME 📬 It's that time! What fantasy football questions do you have for the 2024 season? Drop one below or leave a short voicemail at 302-464-TFFB #FantasyFootball

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Shannon Sharpe asked Lex P and Drea Nicole how long should a man wait and he was CAUGHT OFF GUARD when Drea revealed to him that she has once had s-x with a guy the same day they started dating and Lex says she could even if she just met the man today💀😭 “They do that? I grew up in the wrong time, you had to make s- x, you had to wait like at least at bare minimum you had to wait about six weeks, max probably 3 or 6”

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Shannon Sharpe asked Lex P and Drea Nicole how long should a man wait and he was CAUGHT OFF GUARD when Drea revealed to him that she has once had s-x with a guy the same day they started dating and Lex says she could even if she just met the man today💀😭 “They do that? I grew up in the wrong time, you had to make s- x, you had to wait like at least at bare minimum you had to wait about six weeks, max probably 3 or 6”

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