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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 THE TINY ISLAND THAT COULD STRANGLE IRAN’S ECONOMY Kharg Island is barely a dot on the map; it's a rocky lump in the Persian Gulf about 15 miles off Iran’s coast. But that tiny island handles around 90% of Iran’s oil exports, which means it’s their economic jugular....

521,230 次观看 • 5 个月前 •via X (Twitter)

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Iran's word for the tankers they shot last week was “non-compliant”. This morning CENTCOM's own headline used the same word for the tanker America shot. Two sovereign navies at war are now grading civilian ships / tankers with one shared adjective, and failing the grade means missiles from either side. The details are all CENTCOM's. The M/T Belma, Curaçao flagged and sailing empty, crossed international waters toward Kharg Island to load Iranian crude. It ignored multiple warnings. A US aircraft put Hellfire missiles into its smokestack. The ship is no longer transiting to Iran, the release said, in the tone of a parking notice. Count the scale. During the first blockade CENTCOM says it redirected 142 ships and disabled nine. The Belma makes ten. Set beside them the seven commercial ships CENTCOM says Iran deliberately attacked in the past week, one sailor dead. The most important waterway on earth now has two air forces firing on merchant shipping for opposite offenses. Iran shoots ships that sail without its permission. America shoots ships that sail toward Iran's ports which has Iran /IRGC permission. A captain in Hormuz can now be lawful and targeted at the same time, whichever law he picks. The Revolutionary Guard / IRGC answered within few hours. Energy exports from the region, it said, will be either for everyone or for no one. Brent touched $86, a one-month high. And the destination closes the loop. The Belma was sailing empty to load at Kharg, the island that handles roughly 90% of Iran's oil exports. Asked directly on Tuesday whether he plans to seize the island, President Trump said “I can't say that to you because if I did, it would be foolish”. He has spared its oil works so far because, in his words, they are a chunk of the world economy. Two enemies cannot agree on a ceasefire. They have agreed on a vocabulary. The first thing both sides standardized in this war was the word for a ship that disobeys. The second was the missile.

Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡

29,634 次观看 • 1 个月前

🚨OPERATIONAL UPDATE: ISRAEL U.S. WAR WITH THE ISLAMIC REPUBLIC - Reporting Window: 3/14 to 3/16 • The war widened further into the Gulf economy, with drone incidents near Dubai Airport, disruption at Fujairah energy infrastructure (also in the UAE), and continued pressure around the Strait of Hormuz • Israel continued deep strike waves inside Iran while expanding ground operations against Hezbollah in southern Lebanon • Iran continued missile salvos toward Israel while activating proxy pressure fronts across Iraq • The U.S. began pushing for a multinational Hormuz security coalition while calibrating escalation to avoid a global oil shock The last 48 hours showed that the war is no longer just about missile exchanges between Israel and Iran. It is increasingly a contest over the regional system itself: energy flows, maritime routes, proxy networks, and command infrastructure. While Israel continues to degrade Iran’s military capabilities, Iran is trying to widen the battlefield economically and geographically. 📽️VIDEO 1: U.S. strikes on Iran’s Kharg Island oil export hub. 📽️VIDEO 2: Smoke rising from oil infrastructure in Fujairah after drone debris caused a fire. *⃣ GULF FRONT: THE ECONOMIC WAR DEEPENED This remained the most strategically important development. Following earlier strikes around Kharg Island and threats to the Strait of Hormuz, pressure on Gulf infrastructure continued. Drone incidents and debris related fires disrupted operations near Fujairah’s energy infrastructure, one of the world’s largest bunkering hubs in the UAE. Shortly afterward, a drone related incident near Dubai International Airport ignited a fuel tank and temporarily disrupted flight operations before authorities contained the fire and resumed traffic. These incidents show the war repeatedly touching civilian energy and logistics infrastructure in the UAE, not just military facilities. Even limited disruptions matter in this region. The Strait of Hormuz handles roughly 20 percent of global oil supply, and repeated incidents have pushed oil prices above $100 during the week. Iran does not need to fully close Hormuz to achieve strategic leverage. Persistent disruption alone can force insurance spikes, rerouting of shipping, and higher global energy prices. *⃣ KHARG ISLAND: IRAN’S ECONOMIC JUGULAR IS NOW UNDER DIRECT PRESSURE One of the most consequential developments in the war involves Kharg Island, Iran’s primary oil export terminal. Historically, roughly 85 to 90 percent of Iran’s crude exports pass through Kharg, making it the single most important node in the country’s energy economy. Recent U.S. strikes targeted military infrastructure associated with IRGC naval operations near the island, particularly facilities linked to mine laying capability and coastal missile systems. These strikes appear connected to Washington’s warning that Iran must not deploy naval mines in the Strait of Hormuz. There are also scattered reports of secondary explosions and possible infrastructure damage near the port, though there is no credible confirmation that the export terminal itself has been destroyed. That distinction is important. Destroying Kharg outright would cripple Iran’s oil exports overnight and likely trigger a massive oil price spike. Instead, the current targeting pattern appears designed to threaten Iran’s economic lifeline without fully collapsing it, maintaining pressure while avoiding the most extreme global economic consequences. *⃣ IRAN: STRIKES INSIDE THE CORE CONTINUED Inside Iran, Israeli strike activity remained intense. Over the last 48 hours, strikes targeted command infrastructure, missile launch systems, air defense networks, and military production sites across Tehran and other strategic locations. The campaign also hit Mehrabad Airport, where Israeli officials reported destroying aircraft associated with Iran’s leadership. Across central and western Iran, the strike map remains broad. Tehran, Karaj, and several other military zones have continued to appear in overnight strike reporting. This suggests the campaign is still focused on systematically degrading Iran’s military capacity, particularly missile infrastructure and command networks. Rather than shifting toward a narrow endgame phase, the strikes indicate a continued effort to keep Iran’s launch capabilities suppressed. *⃣ LEBANON: THE NORTHERN FRONT IS EXPANDING The Lebanon front also escalated further. Israeli forces expanded ground operations in southern Lebanon and reportedly encircled Khiyam, pushing westward toward the Litani River. This represents a larger ground posture than earlier border operations and indicates Israel is attempting to shape the battlefield against Hezbollah rather than simply retaliating against rocket launches. At the same time, Hezbollah continued firing rockets and drones toward northern Israel, maintaining pressure on the northern front even after suffering extensive infrastructure losses earlier in the war. Israel has continued heavy strikes on Hezbollah infrastructure in Lebanon, including operational sites and logistical facilities tied to the group’s missile network. The northern theater now appears to be entering a phase of attrition and positional pressure, rather than the limited cross border exchanges that characterized earlier weeks. *⃣ IRAQ: PROXY PRESSURE ON THE UNITED STATES CONTINUES Iran aligned militias continued attacks on U.S. positions across Iraq. Over the past several days these groups have launched drones and rockets against American bases and diplomatic infrastructure, including a missile strike on the helipad area of the U.S. embassy compound in Baghdad. These attacks serve two purposes: ➡️First, they impose direct costs on U.S. operations in the region. ➡️Second, they force the United States to divert resources toward base defense and interception missions. Even when damage is limited, the attacks expand the battlefield and complicate the operational environment for U.S. forces. *⃣ IRANIAN MISSILE ATTACKS CONTINUE Iran continued launching missiles toward Israel during this period. Several salvos targeted southern Israel and the Negev region, triggering repeated air raid alerts. Despite continued launches, the overall military impact of these attacks appears limited. Israeli air defense systems including Iron Dome, David’s Sling, and U.S. systems such as THAAD have maintained high interception rates. Iran is still able to launch missiles and drones, but the sustained strikes on launchers, command centers, and production facilities appear to be reducing the scale of its barrages compared to the opening days of the war. *⃣ WASHINGTON: TRUMP SIGNALS A LONGER STRATEGIC GAME The political messaging from Washington over the past 48 hours has also clarified the broader strategic direction. Publicly, Trump has suggested the war could end soon and that most major Iranian targets have already been struck. Operationally, however, the signals point toward preparation for a longer campaign. Washington has begun pushing for a multinational coalition to secure the Strait of Hormuz, urging countries that depend on Gulf energy flows to participate in maritime security operations. At the same time, the United States has been careful not to push escalation to the point of triggering a global energy shock. This balancing act helps explain why certain targets, such as Kharg Island’s export terminal, have been threatened but not completely destroyed. The strategic posture appears to be: ➡️sustain pressure on Iran’s military capability ➡️protect global energy flows ➡️avoid triggering a catastrophic oil price spike Israel’s priorities are somewhat different. Israel is focused primarily on maximizing military degradation of Iran and Hezbollah, even if that increases regional escalation risks. The dynamic between Washington’s economic caution and Israel’s military pressure is likely to shape the next phase of the conflict. *⃣ WHAT CHANGED IN THE LAST 48 HOURS Three developments stand out: ➡️First, the Gulf economic front is becoming central to the war. Drone incidents near Dubai and Fujairah show that the conflict is now directly touching regional infrastructure and global energy flows. ➡️Second, Israel continues to widen the battlefield rather than narrow it. Deep strikes inside Iran and expanded operations in Lebanon suggest the campaign is still in a degradation phase. ➡️Third, the United States is beginning to shift toward coalition management of the conflict, particularly around Hormuz, while trying to prevent the war from triggering a global energy crisis. In short, the war is evolving from a direct military confrontation into a broader struggle over regional stability, energy flows, and long term strategic balance in the Middle East.

Inside_Israel_Intel

460,417 次观看 • 5 个月前

#BREAKING 🇦🇪 The United Arab Emirates, the third-largest oil producer in OPEC, has announced it will leave OPEC and OPEC+ starting May 1. 🛢️ This move would free the UAE from production quotas, allowing it to: ▪️ Increase oil output to full capacity ▪️ Set its own export strategy ▪️ Price crude independently of group restrictions 🟦 The decision could boost UAE production, strengthen state revenues, and put downward pressure on global oil prices. ▪️ Lower prices and increased supply would likely align with President Trump’s long-standing calls for cheaper energy and criticism of OPEC limits. 🟥 Amid rising tensions with Iran, the UAE’s exit could act as a strategic buffer for the global economy: 🟦 Around 20% of global oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz, which Iran has repeatedly threatened to close. ▪️ The UAE, however, can bypass Hormuz via the Habshan–Fujairah pipeline, exporting oil directly to the Gulf of Oman. Freed from OPEC quotas, it could maximize output through this route, weakening Iran’s leverage over global supply. ▪️ In the event of renewed conflict, sanctions, or infrastructure strikes, Iran’s oil exports — largely dependent on China — could collapse. 🔺 The UAE, with significant spare capacity, could quickly offset supply losses, preventing extreme price spikes (e.g. $150–200 per barrel) that would damage Western economies. 🔹 Reduced OPEC coordination would also limit Iran’s ability to influence global markets through price manipulation. 🇨🇳 China, a major buyer of Iranian oil, could be forced to shift toward UAE supplies, further isolating Tehran economically. 🔺 If Iran physically blocks Hormuz, the UAE’s pipeline system becomes critical: ▪️ It can transport 1.5–1.8 million barrels per day — over half of UAE exports ▪️ Tankers can load outside the Strait, reducing risk and insurance costs 🔺 Fujairah, located outside Hormuz, offers a safer and cheaper export hub compared to Gulf ports dependent on the Strait. Video is generated by grok AI

NSTRIKE

13,664 次观看 • 3 个月前

Backing Off on Attacks Against Iran At the request of Arab countries and Israel, the US has decided to indefinitely postpone plans to attack Iran. There are three points in this equation: 1 - Missiles would fly toward Israel without the country having prepared for it; 2 - The Strait of Hormuz would be closed, causing immense losses to oil-producing countries; 3 - American assets in the region would not be sufficient. I’ve said it several times here: Iran is a big player. In the 12-day war, the Iranian navy stayed out of the conflict, but today, knowing that the attack would be aimed at regime change, the Iranians would use everything they have. In those 12 days they practically lost nothing of their arsenal; not even long-range defense systems were destroyed. They hid everything, from aircraft to long range batteries. But today they would fight with everything they have. And that mainly means their three primary anti-ship missiles: Abu Mahdi, Talaiyeh, and Ghadr-380 (Qadr-380). All three with a range of 1,000–1,700 km. That is power not only to close the Strait of Hormuz, but to do the same in the Gulf of Aden and the part of Arabian Sea, causing chaos in the markets. How to take the opportunity and support the riots, without risking the main global trade route? A country of 90 million inhabitants that is as well-armed as Iran is not one that external agents can decide overnight to attack and change its government. For more than 50 years, the CIA and Mossad have been trying to overthrow the Iranian government without success. Now the regime is in a fragile moment, under popular pressure, but when we talk about Iran, nothing is so clear. The US options are limited to selective strikes, far from anything that could implode the regime. The truth is that anything of greater magnitude would put the regime in survival mode, attacking Israel, American bases, closing ship transit, and halting global markets. But I don’t think the US and Israel will let this opportunity pass so easily. New chapters will follow.

Patricia Marins

100,478 次观看 • 7 个月前

🚨 WARNING: THE NEXT 24 HOURS WILL CHANGE EVERYTHING!! Tomorrow, UAE will officially leave OPEC and remove all caps on oil production and exports. They spent $3.3 BILLION building a secret pipeline to flood the market with cheap oil. And Iran’s blockade CANNOT touch it. That means oil supply changes overnight. And when oil supply changes, every market reprices. Stocks. Bonds. Crypto. One of the world’s largest oil producers is now positioned to pump at full scale while routing exports around the entire Iran conflict. More oil supply with protected export infrastructure changes global pricing. Oil moves everything. Energy drives inflation. When oil falls, transport costs fall. Manufacturing costs fall. Shipping costs fall. Consumer prices fall. And when inflation falls, central banks move. Now connect it: → UAE pumps more oil → Habshan–Fujairah routes it around Hormuz → Global supply expands without regional bottlenecks → Oil prices fall → Inflation drops → Rate cuts accelerate → Liquidity expands And when liquidity expands, risk assets skyrocket. Bitcoin. Tech. Growth stocks. Capital rotates fast. But there are only two options now: 1⃣ US-Iran war ends. Regional pressure cools. Shipping stabilizes. Iranian exports return. And UAE supply scales at full capacity through Fujairah. That creates maximum supply expansion. No bottlenecks. No quota limits. No blocked exports. Oil drops hard → Inflation falls fast → The Fed pivots → Liquidity returns → Risk assets surge. 2⃣ War escalates. Hormuz becomes unstable. Shipping lanes face disruption. Regional exports get squeezed. But UAE keeps exporting. That makes UAE the most strategically protected oil exporter in the Gulf. While others face chokepoint risk, UAE keeps flowing. That makes Fujairah one of the most important oil terminals in the world. It’s not just a pipeline. It’s an oil war hedge. It’s a supply chain weapon. It’s the infrastructure behind UAE’s OPEC exit. They built their own route. Then they removed the cap. That was the plan. And now the market is repricing it. Pay attention NOW. Because the pipeline changes who controls oil flows in the world. I’ve studied markets for over 10 years and called nearly every major top and bottom. And I’ll call the next market crash too. Follow and turn notifications on. I’ll post the warning BEFORE it’s too late.

0xNobler

1,185,985 次观看 • 3 个月前

🚨SOMETHING EXTREMELY BAD IS COMING THIS MONDAY!! Most people are still completely UNPREPARED for what could happen next. The Iran conflict is now entering its most dangerous phase yet. Trump has already ordered strikes against Iran in the coming days, according to the WSJ. They will begin as early as this weekend. This will become one of the MOST aggressive bombing campaigns of the entire conflict. And Iran is not waiting. Tehran says it has already prepared a “comprehensive” response if the attacks begin. Read that again. The strikes may already be ordered. The targets may already be selected. And Iran’s retaliation may already be prepared. Now connect the dots: → Trump orders strikes on Iran → U.S. and Israel target energy infrastructure → Iran launches a major retaliation → Gulf oil facilities and U.S. bases come under threat → The Strait of Hormuz becomes the center of the war This is no longer another temporary escalation. This is the setup for a direct U.S.-Iran war. And once the first strike happens, the retaliation loop could become impossible to stop: → Iranian energy facilities are destroyed → Iran attacks U.S., Israeli, or Gulf targets → Oil infrastructure across the region comes under fire → The U.S. launches an even larger response → The entire Middle East moves closer to full-scale war The Strait of Hormuz is already unstable. Saudi vessels have already been attacked. The Red Sea and Bab el-Mandeb are becoming active military zones again. Now Iran’s energy infrastructure could be hit directly. That puts the world’s most important oil routes at risk at the exact same time. But here is the part almost nobody understands. Iran is not promising a symbolic response. It is preparing a comprehensive one. That could mean attacks on: → U.S. military bases → Israeli cities and infrastructure → Saudi and Gulf oil facilities → Commercial tankers → The Strait of Hormuz One successful strike on a major oil facility could send markets into complete panic. And one closure of the Strait of Hormuz could change the global economy overnight. Markets are still acting like this is another headline that will disappear in 24 hours. They may not understand what is happening until oil is exploding and risk assets are already collapsing. Follow and turn notifications on. I’ll post the warning BEFORE the market realizes how serious this is.

Wimar.X

361,594 次观看 • 14 天前