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The two ways that large language models will win “If you are a model provider, you are basically looking to dominate the platform era and get really good at selling inference. Or you want to move up to become an application-layer company that has really good models. Anthropic seems... show more
21,230 Aufrufe • vor 13 Tagen •via X (Twitter)
10 Kommentare

Inference = volume, low margins. Apps = high margins, model risk. Anthropic chose apps. OpenAI is hedging both. Winners will own the harness, not the model.

openai dipping toes in both usually just means neither team has a clear budget yet

Application layer only wins with tight workflow integration, not by bolting good models onto existing apps.

distribution through apps people already open, that is the whole answer

Renting a good model is easy, building the workflow people actually trust it to run is the part that makes an application layer company defensible.

@MaxMoralesChile

selling inference is a race to the bottom. app layer is where the real moat is.

The interesting question is whether you can really win at both for long. Platform and application businesses create very different priorities, teams and operating models. At some point, strategy has to create enough clarity that the organization knows which game it’s actually playing.

the binary is already collapsing. inference is a commodity race, prices drop every quarter, so margin and lock-in live in the app layer. but app-only means a competitor sets your COGS. both labs figured it out: claude code and chatgpt are the pricing umbrella over commoditized inference. you need both.

There’s so much opportunity for AI companies to get better at selling inference and enabling companies to fine tune, post-train, etc. Yet, they just want to keep shipping general UI to work with general models.

