Загрузка видео...

Не удалось загрузить видео

На главную

🇺🇸 🇮🇷 THE U.S. IS ASKING IRAN TO MAKE THE IRREVERSIBLE MOVE FIRST, WHILE OFFERING CONCESSIONS IT CAN REVERSE LATER. Trita Parsi says that’s the core problem with the latest proposal sent through Qatar: Iran would have to ship its uranium abroad and reopen the Strait of Hormuz up...

MarioNawfal's profile picture

Mario Nawfal

3,971,702 subscribers

24,724 просмотров • 12 дней назад •via X (Twitter)

Новости и политика
LIVE

Anya Rossi• Live Now

Private livecam show

Комментарии: 2

Фото профиля MJ
MJ12 дней назад

MOABs is the only recipe the IRGC will ever understand

Фото профиля MAZI-FX❤️🖤
MAZI-FX❤️🖤12 дней назад

Asking for irreversible steps while your own concessions are reversible isn't a deal, it's a setup. The JCPOA precedent means Tehran has every reason to read it that way.

Похожие видео

🇺🇸🇮🇷 The U.S. and Iran are negotiating a 60-day extension of their fragile ceasefire. Under the reported proposal, Iran would fully reopen the Strait of Hormuz while the U.S. lifts its naval blockade. The hardest issues are being pushed down the road. Washington wants guarantees on Iran's nuclear program. Tehran wants sanctions relief, access to frozen assets, and assurances it won't be attacked again. The ceasefire is holding. The trust isn't.
2:09

🇺🇸🇮🇷 The U.S. and Iran are negotiating a 60-day extension of their fragile ceasefire. Under the reported proposal, Iran would fully reopen the Strait of Hormuz while the U.S. lifts its naval blockade. The hardest issues are being pushed down the road. Washington wants guarantees on Iran's nuclear program. Tehran wants sanctions relief, access to frozen assets, and assurances it won't be attacked again. The ceasefire is holding. The trust isn't.

Mario Nawfal

125,383 просмотров • 5 месяцев назад

🇺🇸🇮🇷🇮🇱 Iran just rejected the latest U.S. peace proposal, and the window for a deal may be slamming shut. I sat down with Trita Parsi, Co-founder of the Quincy Institute, to discuss the uncertain path ahead. The U.S. demanded Iran ship out its uranium up front and open the Strait of Hormuz immediately. Iran called these "unacceptable" demands. Qatar’s mediation efforts have hit a wall. The structural problem, Parsi says, is that the U.S. keeps asking for irreversible concessions while only able to offer reversible ones in return. Congress controls sanctions, not Trump. Lifting them takes over a year. That asymmetry is what kills every proposal before it's even offered. “No one would have been able to predict exactly the scenario we’re talking about on February 20th of this year. And that’s going to be the same case if we go into a third round.” The danger window is post-midterms through January, before a potential Democratic Congress makes funding the war politically harder. If Netanyahu returns, he hits the ground running toward round three. If Eisenkot takes over, it buys time, but Parsi is clear: it doesn’t change where this is heading. Meanwhile, WSJ is reporting the U.S. has already warned Gulf states to brace for a short, intense campaign after the midterms. Diplomacy is failing; the military is gearing back up... Trita Parsi
38:14

🇺🇸🇮🇷🇮🇱 Iran just rejected the latest U.S. peace proposal, and the window for a deal may be slamming shut. I sat down with Trita Parsi, Co-founder of the Quincy Institute, to discuss the uncertain path ahead. The U.S. demanded Iran ship out its uranium up front and open the Strait of Hormuz immediately. Iran called these "unacceptable" demands. Qatar’s mediation efforts have hit a wall. The structural problem, Parsi says, is that the U.S. keeps asking for irreversible concessions while only able to offer reversible ones in return. Congress controls sanctions, not Trump. Lifting them takes over a year. That asymmetry is what kills every proposal before it's even offered. “No one would have been able to predict exactly the scenario we’re talking about on February 20th of this year. And that’s going to be the same case if we go into a third round.” The danger window is post-midterms through January, before a potential Democratic Congress makes funding the war politically harder. If Netanyahu returns, he hits the ground running toward round three. If Eisenkot takes over, it buys time, but Parsi is clear: it doesn’t change where this is heading. Meanwhile, WSJ is reporting the U.S. has already warned Gulf states to brace for a short, intense campaign after the midterms. Diplomacy is failing; the military is gearing back up... Trita Parsi

Mario Nawfal

269,300 просмотров • 12 дней назад

🇮🇷 🇺🇸 America's entire strategy to contain Iran just collapsed, and Tehran walked out stronger. Middle East analyst Trita Parsi says Washington's decades-long effort to isolate and contain Iran has officially fallen apart, and the war only sped it up. Tehran came out of the conflict in a stronger spot, largely by weaponizing its own geography. The biggest prize is its leverage over the Strait of Hormuz. But Parsi adds a key caveat: Iran's internal economic strife means it can't afford to play that card recklessly, since choking the strait would hurt Tehran nearly as much as everyone else. Trita Parsi
2:05

🇮🇷 🇺🇸 America's entire strategy to contain Iran just collapsed, and Tehran walked out stronger. Middle East analyst Trita Parsi says Washington's decades-long effort to isolate and contain Iran has officially fallen apart, and the war only sped it up. Tehran came out of the conflict in a stronger spot, largely by weaponizing its own geography. The biggest prize is its leverage over the Strait of Hormuz. But Parsi adds a key caveat: Iran's internal economic strife means it can't afford to play that card recklessly, since choking the strait would hurt Tehran nearly as much as everyone else. Trita Parsi

Mario Nawfal

31,879 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 “Maximum pressure” on Iran is backfiring… again. Trita Parsi, Quincy Institute, Iran expert, just dropped a reality check: Iran has adapted to years of U.S. sanctions and blockades. The pain is real, but it’s nowhere near decisive. Instead of forcing collapse or total surrender, the pressure campaign has pushed Iran to build resilience, diversify its economy, and find workarounds: from higher oil exports to stronger alliances. Is Washington repeating the same failed playbook while Tehran keeps adjusting? Trita Parsi
3:45

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 “Maximum pressure” on Iran is backfiring… again. Trita Parsi, Quincy Institute, Iran expert, just dropped a reality check: Iran has adapted to years of U.S. sanctions and blockades. The pain is real, but it’s nowhere near decisive. Instead of forcing collapse or total surrender, the pressure campaign has pushed Iran to build resilience, diversify its economy, and find workarounds: from higher oil exports to stronger alliances. Is Washington repeating the same failed playbook while Tehran keeps adjusting? Trita Parsi

Mario Nawfal

68,481 просмотров • 6 месяцев назад

🇺🇸 Trump walking away is the most likely outcome. Trita Parsi says there's a 70% chance that Trump gets zero concessions from Iran and concedes the Strait of Hormuz. "He walks away. He doesn't get a deal signed. He doesn't get nuclear concessions. He doesn't give sanctions relief. The Iranians continue to control the Strait." The US already knows it. That's why they tried to cut themselves in on the tolls. Trita Parsi
6:43

🇺🇸 Trump walking away is the most likely outcome. Trita Parsi says there's a 70% chance that Trump gets zero concessions from Iran and concedes the Strait of Hormuz. "He walks away. He doesn't get a deal signed. He doesn't get nuclear concessions. He doesn't give sanctions relief. The Iranians continue to control the Strait." The US already knows it. That's why they tried to cut themselves in on the tolls. Trita Parsi

Mario Nawfal

173,692 просмотров • 6 месяцев назад

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Iran wants full sanctions relief. Israel wants Iran economically crippled for decades. That conflict of interest is why Trump would have to fight Netanyahu, Miriam Adelson, and Mark Levin all at once to close a deal with Iran. And it's why Trita Parsi thinks there's only a 25% chance the U.S. closes a peace deal with Iran in the forseeable future. "It's not that I don't believe that he can win that fight. It's whether I believe that he is willing to have that fight." Trita Parsi
2:37

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Iran wants full sanctions relief. Israel wants Iran economically crippled for decades. That conflict of interest is why Trump would have to fight Netanyahu, Miriam Adelson, and Mark Levin all at once to close a deal with Iran. And it's why Trita Parsi thinks there's only a 25% chance the U.S. closes a peace deal with Iran in the forseeable future. "It's not that I don't believe that he can win that fight. It's whether I believe that he is willing to have that fight." Trita Parsi

Mario Nawfal

81,121 просмотров • 6 месяцев назад

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump's immediate objective is simple: get the U.S. out of the Strait of Hormuz without allowing Iran to dictate who passes through it. The problem is that Tehran now sees Hormuz as its leverage. That may be the central problem with Washington's strategy. Economic warfare can avoid a ground invasion and nuclear escalation. But if Iran believes control of Hormuz is essential to its survival, sanctions may only convince Tehran to hold the strait tighter. The war may have moved from missiles to economics. The underlying confrontation hasn't moved an inch. Brandon Weichert
4:03

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump's immediate objective is simple: get the U.S. out of the Strait of Hormuz without allowing Iran to dictate who passes through it. The problem is that Tehran now sees Hormuz as its leverage. That may be the central problem with Washington's strategy. Economic warfare can avoid a ground invasion and nuclear escalation. But if Iran believes control of Hormuz is essential to its survival, sanctions may only convince Tehran to hold the strait tighter. The war may have moved from missiles to economics. The underlying confrontation hasn't moved an inch. Brandon Weichert

Mario Nawfal

70,863 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

🚨🇮🇷 Iran’s biggest post-war demand may not be cash reparations but something even more valuable. Trita Parsi, expert in international relations, says Tehran is likely pushing hardest for primary sanctions relief because Trump can lift those with the stroke of a pen. He says that kind of relief would do more for Iran than any headline-grabbing payout. Trita Parsi
2:17

🚨🇮🇷 Iran’s biggest post-war demand may not be cash reparations but something even more valuable. Trita Parsi, expert in international relations, says Tehran is likely pushing hardest for primary sanctions relief because Trump can lift those with the stroke of a pen. He says that kind of relief would do more for Iran than any headline-grabbing payout. Trita Parsi

Mario Nawfal

108,563 просмотров • 6 месяцев назад

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump already blinked first and now both sides may finally have a real chance to end 47 years of conflict. Trita Parsi, expert in international relations, says Iran sent the highest-level delegation he has ever seen because Tehran is not just trying to end the war. It wants real sanctions relief and a path out of decades of economic warfare. He says Trump can now walk away from war, but Iran also sees this as a once-in-a-generation chance to reset the entire relationship. Trita Parsi search. ..
6:44

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump already blinked first and now both sides may finally have a real chance to end 47 years of conflict. Trita Parsi, expert in international relations, says Iran sent the highest-level delegation he has ever seen because Tehran is not just trying to end the war. It wants real sanctions relief and a path out of decades of economic warfare. He says Trump can now walk away from war, but Iran also sees this as a once-in-a-generation chance to reset the entire relationship. Trita Parsi search. ..

Mario Nawfal

124,502 просмотров • 6 месяцев назад

🇮🇷🇺🇸 BIG | According to the Wall Street Journal, Iran has sent a multipage response to the latest U.S. proposal to end the war, although gaps between the two sides remain. Iran proposes an end to the fighting and a gradual reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, on the condition that the U.S. lifts the blockade on Iranian ports. Negotiations regarding nuclear issues are to be held over the next 30 days. Iran is willing to suspend uranium enrichment, but for a shorter period than the 20-year moratorium proposed by the U.S. Furthermore, Tehran categorically rejects the dismantling of its nuclear facilities. Iran proposes that a portion of its highly enriched uranium be diluted, while the remaining part be transferred to a third country, with guarantees that the uranium will be returned if negotiations fail or if the U.S. later withdraws from the agreement. See the latest updates with us: Visioner
0:28

🇮🇷🇺🇸 BIG | According to the Wall Street Journal, Iran has sent a multipage response to the latest U.S. proposal to end the war, although gaps between the two sides remain. Iran proposes an end to the fighting and a gradual reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, on the condition that the U.S. lifts the blockade on Iranian ports. Negotiations regarding nuclear issues are to be held over the next 30 days. Iran is willing to suspend uranium enrichment, but for a shorter period than the 20-year moratorium proposed by the U.S. Furthermore, Tehran categorically rejects the dismantling of its nuclear facilities. Iran proposes that a portion of its highly enriched uranium be diluted, while the remaining part be transferred to a third country, with guarantees that the uranium will be returned if negotiations fail or if the U.S. later withdraws from the agreement. See the latest updates with us: Visioner

Visioner

45,563 просмотров • 6 месяцев назад

Is America really paying $300 billion to rebuild Iran, or is Iran simply regaining access to assets that were frozen under decades of sanctions? If the stated goal has always been to “liberate” the Iranian people, shouldn’t lifting sanctions be the first step? After a costly war, widespread destruction, and months of economic uncertainty, is this peace framework the best outcome Washington could have reached to avoid a global economic crisis? Trita Parsi joins me to break down the deal, the sanctions debate, and what it means for the future of Iran, the United States, and the region.
9:22

Is America really paying $300 billion to rebuild Iran, or is Iran simply regaining access to assets that were frozen under decades of sanctions? If the stated goal has always been to “liberate” the Iranian people, shouldn’t lifting sanctions be the first step? After a costly war, widespread destruction, and months of economic uncertainty, is this peace framework the best outcome Washington could have reached to avoid a global economic crisis? Trita Parsi joins me to break down the deal, the sanctions debate, and what it means for the future of Iran, the United States, and the region.

Ben Swann

13,453 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад

🇺🇸🇮🇷 The next round with Iran could be much worse than the first two Trita Parsi thinks Trump has little reason to make a deal before the midterms. The economic benefits would arrive too late to matter politically, while the domestic cost of compromise would be immediate. But Tehran can see the same calendar. And Parsi thinks Iranian leaders may conclude that Trump is merely trying to get through the election before launching another round of the war. That creates a dangerous incentive to move first. “If you're sitting in Tehran and you are trying to figure out, if you come to the conclusion that there's going to be a third round and you have come to the conclusion that your best option is to preempt it, then you have to really calibrate how do you do it.” Parsi thinks Iran could seek maximum economic leverage by waiting until close to the midterms, then creating a sudden shock in the oil market. That even gives him a different interpretation of the growing traffic through Hormuz. Iran allowing more oil through today could make a later disruption considerably more painful: taking flows from 90% of normal to 40% produces a much bigger shock than taking them from 60% to 40%. And then comes the escalation problem. Parsi argues the previous rounds failed to achieve Washington’s strategic objectives. If Trump tries again, repeating the same level of force makes little sense. Iran, expecting something larger, may preempt with something larger of its own. Each side could therefore escalate based not on what the other side has done, but on what it fears the other side is about to do. That is why Parsi remains deeply worried. The third round may not begin where the second one ended. It could begin several rungs higher. Trita Parsi
40:21

🇺🇸🇮🇷 The next round with Iran could be much worse than the first two Trita Parsi thinks Trump has little reason to make a deal before the midterms. The economic benefits would arrive too late to matter politically, while the domestic cost of compromise would be immediate. But Tehran can see the same calendar. And Parsi thinks Iranian leaders may conclude that Trump is merely trying to get through the election before launching another round of the war. That creates a dangerous incentive to move first. “If you're sitting in Tehran and you are trying to figure out, if you come to the conclusion that there's going to be a third round and you have come to the conclusion that your best option is to preempt it, then you have to really calibrate how do you do it.” Parsi thinks Iran could seek maximum economic leverage by waiting until close to the midterms, then creating a sudden shock in the oil market. That even gives him a different interpretation of the growing traffic through Hormuz. Iran allowing more oil through today could make a later disruption considerably more painful: taking flows from 90% of normal to 40% produces a much bigger shock than taking them from 60% to 40%. And then comes the escalation problem. Parsi argues the previous rounds failed to achieve Washington’s strategic objectives. If Trump tries again, repeating the same level of force makes little sense. Iran, expecting something larger, may preempt with something larger of its own. Each side could therefore escalate based not on what the other side has done, but on what it fears the other side is about to do. That is why Parsi remains deeply worried. The third round may not begin where the second one ended. It could begin several rungs higher. Trita Parsi

Mario Nawfal

263,645 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

🇮🇷🇺🇸 “Their sense is that they are close.” Iran expert Trita Parsi says U.S. officials told him they believe Washington and Tehran are nearing a deal, despite recent tensions over Israeli attacks on Lebanon. Parsi said Iran views continued Israeli strikes as a serious red line and is using the issue to test whether President Trump is willing, or able, to restrain Benjamin Netanyahu. “If Trump is unwilling or incapable of holding the Israelis back, then what is the value of a deal with the United States?” Trita Parsi | Ryan Grim | Maysa Mustafa
5:27

🇮🇷🇺🇸 “Their sense is that they are close.” Iran expert Trita Parsi says U.S. officials told him they believe Washington and Tehran are nearing a deal, despite recent tensions over Israeli attacks on Lebanon. Parsi said Iran views continued Israeli strikes as a serious red line and is using the issue to test whether President Trump is willing, or able, to restrain Benjamin Netanyahu. “If Trump is unwilling or incapable of holding the Israelis back, then what is the value of a deal with the United States?” Trita Parsi | Ryan Grim | Maysa Mustafa

Drop Site

53,095 просмотров • 5 месяцев назад

🚨🇮🇷🇦🇪 Iran used Dubai as part of its strategy to survive American sanctions, then bombed it anyway. Trita Parsi broke down his view of why this may have been a painful choice for Iran. "The Iranians were using the Emirates as the key way of circumventing sanctions. They had been for years relying on Dubai. The relationship between Dubai and Iran has gone back long and has tended to be very positive." Trita Parsi
4:21

🚨🇮🇷🇦🇪 Iran used Dubai as part of its strategy to survive American sanctions, then bombed it anyway. Trita Parsi broke down his view of why this may have been a painful choice for Iran. "The Iranians were using the Emirates as the key way of circumventing sanctions. They had been for years relying on Dubai. The relationship between Dubai and Iran has gone back long and has tended to be very positive." Trita Parsi

Mario Nawfal

22,574 просмотров • 5 месяцев назад

🚨🇺🇸 🇮🇷THE U.S. LOST CONTROL OF THIS WAR Trita Parsi says the original plan failed and now it’s just about forcing Iran to give in. He says neither side can end it, but it’s clear the U.S. is no longer calling the shots and is stuck with bad options. Trita Parsi
2:53

🚨🇺🇸 🇮🇷THE U.S. LOST CONTROL OF THIS WAR Trita Parsi says the original plan failed and now it’s just about forcing Iran to give in. He says neither side can end it, but it’s clear the U.S. is no longer calling the shots and is stuck with bad options. Trita Parsi

Mario Nawfal

62,515 просмотров • 7 месяцев назад

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump may strike Iran BEFORE the midterms to PREVENT IRAN FROM STRIKING FIRST Trita Parsi believes the timeline for another U.S. attack on Iran is accelerating, despite Trump's promise not to strike before November 3. His reasoning is unsettling. Washington may have concluded that Iran is preparing its own preemptive attack, potentially just days before the midterms. That would leave Trump looking powerless at the worst possible political moment. Parsi suspects the administration may now prefer a limited American strike first, not necessarily to win a military victory, but to retain control over when and how the confrontation begins. Meanwhile, negotiations remain stuck over Iran's enriched uranium, with Washington demanding concessions Tehran is increasingly reluctant to make. Parsi warns that even a supposedly limited strike could trigger retaliation neither side can contain. And the military buildup suggests Washington is running out of patience. The danger is that both sides may end up attacking first because each believes the other is about to do exactly that. Trita Parsi
35:30

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump may strike Iran BEFORE the midterms to PREVENT IRAN FROM STRIKING FIRST Trita Parsi believes the timeline for another U.S. attack on Iran is accelerating, despite Trump's promise not to strike before November 3. His reasoning is unsettling. Washington may have concluded that Iran is preparing its own preemptive attack, potentially just days before the midterms. That would leave Trump looking powerless at the worst possible political moment. Parsi suspects the administration may now prefer a limited American strike first, not necessarily to win a military victory, but to retain control over when and how the confrontation begins. Meanwhile, negotiations remain stuck over Iran's enriched uranium, with Washington demanding concessions Tehran is increasingly reluctant to make. Parsi warns that even a supposedly limited strike could trigger retaliation neither side can contain. And the military buildup suggests Washington is running out of patience. The danger is that both sides may end up attacking first because each believes the other is about to do exactly that. Trita Parsi

Mario Nawfal

384,914 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

🚨🇺🇸 The U.S. may already be accepting Iran’s control in practice. Trita Parsi, Quincy Institute, Iran expert, says earlier proposals included letting Iran keep control while the U.S. benefits indirectly. That signals a shift in expectations. Trita Parsi
3:11

🚨🇺🇸 The U.S. may already be accepting Iran’s control in practice. Trita Parsi, Quincy Institute, Iran expert, says earlier proposals included letting Iran keep control while the U.S. benefits indirectly. That signals a shift in expectations. Trita Parsi

Mario Nawfal

36,562 просмотров • 6 месяцев назад

🇺🇸 🇮🇷 Iran may save its big escalation for the final week before the midterms, right around the Fed's October 28 meeting. Trita Parsi, executive vice president of the Quincy Institute, says Trump gains nothing from a deal before November, since the political cost lands instantly and any economic relief arrives too late to matter. Tehran reads that as a president stalling until he can restart the war, so the math pushes its own move later: "If you're sitting on the Iranian side, it does not make sense for you to escalate right now." Iranian contacts tell him that if it comes, they'll go for a major shock to the oil markets, and an oil spike in the last week of a campaign is the kind of damage nobody can clean up before Election Day. Trita Parsi
4:07

🇺🇸 🇮🇷 Iran may save its big escalation for the final week before the midterms, right around the Fed's October 28 meeting. Trita Parsi, executive vice president of the Quincy Institute, says Trump gains nothing from a deal before November, since the political cost lands instantly and any economic relief arrives too late to matter. Tehran reads that as a president stalling until he can restart the war, so the math pushes its own move later: "If you're sitting on the Iranian side, it does not make sense for you to escalate right now." Iranian contacts tell him that if it comes, they'll go for a major shock to the oil markets, and an oil spike in the last week of a campaign is the kind of damage nobody can clean up before Election Day. Trita Parsi

Mario Nawfal

64,880 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

🚨🇮🇷 IRAN HAS A “SUICIDE BUTTON” AND HASN’T PRESSED IT Trita Parsi says mining the Strait of Hormuz would shut everything down, including Iran itself. He says instead, Tehran is playing it smarter, controlling who gets through and using it as leverage without triggering total chaos. Trita Parsi
3:26

🚨🇮🇷 IRAN HAS A “SUICIDE BUTTON” AND HASN’T PRESSED IT Trita Parsi says mining the Strait of Hormuz would shut everything down, including Iran itself. He says instead, Tehran is playing it smarter, controlling who gets through and using it as leverage without triggering total chaos. Trita Parsi

Mario Nawfal

191,510 просмотров • 7 месяцев назад