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The war, which is nothing like a little excursion, hasn’t been ‘easier than expected’ as President Trump said this afternoon. Iran is exporting more oil than ever before, our Gulf allies feel blindsided, the goalposts are shifting so far there’s no talk of any of the initial goals, and...

286,003 views • 4 months ago •via X (Twitter)

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//The Wire//2300Z March 5, 2026// //ROUTINE// //BLUF: MERCHANT VESSEL STRUCK BY EXPLOSIVE FASTBOAT IN PERSIAN GULF. DRONE AND MISSILE ATTACKS REMAIN CONSTANT AMONG GULF STATES. DRONE STRIKES REPORTED IN AZERBAIJAN.// -----BEGIN TEARLINE----- -International Events- Persian Gulf: Attacks on merchant shipping continue as an oil tanker that was anchored off the coast of Kuwait was struck by Iranian forces overnight. The vessel has been identified as the M/V SONAGOL NAMIBE, an oil tanker that is currently anchored in the group of vessels that are waiting for the risks in the Strait to subside. Analyst Comment: Turns out, in such a small waterway, it's just as dangerous to remain at anchor. This strike is also different from the rest, as video evidence confirms that this was the result of a (possibly remote-controlled) Iranian fastboat conducting a strike on the vessel. For context, the Iranian Navy is split into two parts, the Islamic Republic of Iran Navy (IRIN), which is the more traditional navy comprised of Line ships, and the Islamic Republic Guard Corps Navy (IRGCN). The majority of the IRIN has mostly been sunk over the past few days, however the smaller "speedboat navy" of the IRGC-N was created solely for the purpose of conducting asymmetric warfare, and is likely the culprit of this attack. As there are a few dozen other tankers parked immediately adjacent to the one that was struck, it is likely that more of these attacks will take place, as long as the IRGCN is able to. Iran: Within the mainland itself, the large-scale bombing of Tehran and other major population centers continues alongside the bombing of most military bases throughout the country. Yesterday Israeli forces shot down an Iranian YAK-130 training aircraft, which had somehow managed to get airborne, and drone attacks launched by the Iranians continue as before. Azerbaijan: Iranian forces launched a drone attack on the airport in the border town of Nakhchivan. The main terminal was hit by Shahed-type drones, and another undisclosed location in Shekarabad was also struck. Analyst Comment: This is noteworthy as Azerbaijan was one of Iran's only regional allies. As a result, Azerbaijan has demanded an apology, and diplomatic relations are not great as two people were killed during the strikes on the airport. Officially, the Iranians have denied that they carried out the attack, stating that it was a false flag incident. -HomeFront- Utah: Overnight a killing spree was reported spanning multiple counties, involving multiple casualties. The incident began after an assailant murdered an elderly victim in Lyman. The attacker then stole her vehicle, and traveled to a hiking trailhead in Wayne County, where he murdered two women on the trail. This prompted a state-wide manhunt, which located the suspect after he had fled the scene, with the assailant eventually being located and arrested. As the suspect was arrested over the border in the state of Colorado, he has been identified as Ivan Miller. Analyst Comment: At the moment, this appears to be a series of random murders, as none of the victims (nor the perpetrator) appears to have any connection to any sort of motive, other than random mental illness. More details are expected to emerge as the investigation continues. -----END TEARLINE----- Analyst Comments: European evacuations of European citizens from the Middle East continues, with Spain dedicating military assets to getting some of their citizens out of the region over night. So far, zero Americans have been evacuated via American military means (which have the capabilities to fly when civilian aircraft cannot), and any American who has managed to get out has done so via commercial means. Commercial flights out of Dubai and Riyadh are occurring, they're just slow due to the sheer number of people trying to leave and the few aircraft landing between drone attacks. As of this afternoon, D+6 (six days after this war began) the drone attacks have remained constant. All Gulf States have been publishing daily engagement numbers, and so far, the drone attacks have not really dwindled that much, despite assurances by many that the attacks have stopped. The drone attacks have not ceased...they are simply being intercepted out over the water. Some drones are making it through defenses to strike targets, with limited success. This afternoon several hotels were struck by Iranian drones in Abu Dhabi and Dubai, which has served to remind everyone involved that the threats are real and persistent. Either way, drone sightings and close-in interceptions are enough to ground aircraft for a while, further adding to the evacuation bottlenecks that are stacking up around the region. Regarding timelines, yesterday evening the estimates for the length of the operation have changed again, with SECWAR Hegseth stating that the operation is now planned to take an uncertain amount of time, potentially up to 8 weeks. The Secretary of War also stated that the United States is planned to achieve uncontested airspace in the skies over Iran within a few days, possibly up to a week. Either way, this confirms that after nearly a week, the airspace is still somewhat contested, despite the overwhelming large bombing raids witnessed so far. Analyst: S2A1 Research: Disclaimer: No LLMs were used in the writing of this report. //END REPORT//

S2 Underground

12,646 views • 4 months ago

Iranian President: Trump is capable of leading our region to peace and prosperity, "putting Netanyahu in his place" or "driving him into a deep hole and swamp." This is how Masoud Pezeshkian answered Tucker Carlson's question about the prospects for US investment in Iranian projects and the economy. 🔴The Iranian president also noted that there have never been and are no restrictions on the work of American companies in Iran from Tehran. 🔴"I had a conversation with the Supreme Leader of Iran, during which His Eminence emphasized that there are no restrictions and there is nothing that would prevent American investors from coming to Iran and investing in Iran, even now. And there have never been any restrictions... 🔴And once again, I would like to say that it is Israel that does not want such things to happen in the region. Israel does not want to see peace and tranquility in the region. But I would like to repeat once again that the President of the United States, Mr. Trump, is capable of leading the region to peace and a bright future and putting Israel in its place or driving it (the region – Ed.) into a hole, an endless hole or a swamp. 🔴And this is a war that Netanyahu wants to drag the United States or the President of the United States into. So the President of the United States must choose the path. And as I told you, there is nothing that would hinder the commercial, industrial or economic activity of American businessmen and investors. 🔴And, of course, if there was a restriction, it was caused by US sanctions, not by us,” he said.

Iran War Designer

16,663 views • 1 year ago