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There is strong inverse correlation between spikes US diesel prices and Consumer Sentiment. Trucking costs are up +30%, Americans have spent an extra $10 BILLION on gasoline over the last 50 days, and Consumer Sentiment hit a record low. Asset owners will be the only winners.

The Kobeissi Letter

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BARTIROMO: Consumer sentiment is a record low. What's the most important messaging you can put out there to help sentiment? HASSETT: They call it 'consumer sentiment' but I don't think those words mean what they think they mean anymore. The correlation between what independents and Democrats say is almost perfectly correlated. So they've devised a political survey that tells us how Democrats are feeling about things.

BARTIROMO: Consumer sentiment is a record low. What's the most important messaging you can put out there to help sentiment? HASSETT: They call it 'consumer sentiment' but I don't think those words mean what they think they mean anymore. The correlation between what independents and Democrats say is almost perfectly correlated. So they've devised a political survey that tells us how Democrats are feeling about things.

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There is a near-perfect correlation between US oil prices and US CPI inflation, as shown in our below analysis. Oil prices have averaged near $100/barrel since March 6th, or 79 days. The longer this persists, the more inflation we will see. Asset owners are the only winners.

There is a near-perfect correlation between US oil prices and US CPI inflation, as shown in our below analysis. Oil prices have averaged near $100/barrel since March 6th, or 79 days. The longer this persists, the more inflation we will see. Asset owners are the only winners.

The Kobeissi Letter

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Coatue did an analysis on sentiment and discovered that there's no correlation between sentiment and what's happening in the market: " It's basically a coin flip." "There is no correlation that negative sentiment means the market should be down." — CIO of Public Investments at COATUE Jaimin Rangwalla

Coatue did an analysis on sentiment and discovered that there's no correlation between sentiment and what's happening in the market: " It's basically a coin flip." "There is no correlation that negative sentiment means the market should be down." — CIO of Public Investments at COATUE Jaimin Rangwalla

sourcery

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There is a near-perfect correlation between US oil prices and US CPI inflation, as shown in our below analysis. As WTI crude surges above $112/barrel, we believe the US economy is bracing for 3.5%+ CPI inflation, particularly if current prices persist through April. Asset owners will be the only winners in the long-run.

There is a near-perfect correlation between US oil prices and US CPI inflation, as shown in our below analysis. As WTI crude surges above $112/barrel, we believe the US economy is bracing for 3.5%+ CPI inflation, particularly if current prices persist through April. Asset owners will be the only winners in the long-run.

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National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett, asked about the recent record low in the consumer sentiment index, argued, “we should stop calling it consumer sentiment and start calling it political sentiment because it’s really a political variable, not an economic variable.” “If you go to consumer confidence, which is something that's actually, I think, a more scientific survey, the consumer confidence is consistent with all the other positive numbers we're seeing right now,” Hassett adds.

National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett, asked about the recent record low in the consumer sentiment index, argued, “we should stop calling it consumer sentiment and start calling it political sentiment because it’s really a political variable, not an economic variable.” “If you go to consumer confidence, which is something that's actually, I think, a more scientific survey, the consumer confidence is consistent with all the other positive numbers we're seeing right now,” Hassett adds.

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Q: New government data shows Americans are now saving a smaller share of their incomes. Are you seeing signs that households are dipping in to pay for higher costs of gas and groceries? BESSENT: That's a doomer view. People might have more confidence. (Consumer sentiment is at an all time low ... )

Q: New government data shows Americans are now saving a smaller share of their incomes. Are you seeing signs that households are dipping in to pay for higher costs of gas and groceries? BESSENT: That's a doomer view. People might have more confidence. (Consumer sentiment is at an all time low ... )

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A low-probability outcome is gaining traction. Producer prices are overtaking consumer prices, and the trend may not be over. Cathie Wood explains the implications in a new "In The Know."

A low-probability outcome is gaining traction. Producer prices are overtaking consumer prices, and the trend may not be over. Cathie Wood explains the implications in a new "In The Know."

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Vigeland: The top 10% right now is responsible for 50% of consumer spending. You have record over record of credit card debt being hit month over month in this country. Subprime auto delinquencies are at an all time high, a record high. People are hurting in their everyday life.

Vigeland: The top 10% right now is responsible for 50% of consumer spending. You have record over record of credit card debt being hit month over month in this country. Subprime auto delinquencies are at an all time high, a record high. People are hurting in their everyday life.

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Sen. Elizabeth Warren: Donald Trump promised to bring down prices on day 1. We are now on day 541, and prices are up. One of the tools available to Trump to keep costs low is the Consumer Finance Protection Bureau. But instead of delivering help for people who have been scammed, Trump's acting director of the CFPB has attacked the agency. Those attacks on the CFPB have cost American families $26.5 billion so far.

Sen. Elizabeth Warren: Donald Trump promised to bring down prices on day 1. We are now on day 541, and prices are up. One of the tools available to Trump to keep costs low is the Consumer Finance Protection Bureau. But instead of delivering help for people who have been scammed, Trump's acting director of the CFPB has attacked the agency. Those attacks on the CFPB have cost American families $26.5 billion so far.

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CNN: Inflation is 3.3% -- highest in nearly two years. Consumer sentiment is at all time low. Is the president taking his eye off the ball? GIMENEZ: Iran is a cancer. When you have a cancer & you're trying to cure it, it's gonna be painful CNN: How long will that pain last? GIMENEZ: Until we cure the cancer

CNN: Inflation is 3.3% -- highest in nearly two years. Consumer sentiment is at all time low. Is the president taking his eye off the ball? GIMENEZ: Iran is a cancer. When you have a cancer & you're trying to cure it, it's gonna be painful CNN: How long will that pain last? GIMENEZ: Until we cure the cancer

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A gallon of gas now costs $5 in Connecticut. Diesel is $6. This is ruining people who live paycheck to paycheck, small businesses, farmers and the trucking industry. And there is only person who has caused prices to be this high: DONALD TRUMP.

A gallon of gas now costs $5 in Connecticut. Diesel is $6. This is ruining people who live paycheck to paycheck, small businesses, farmers and the trucking industry. And there is only person who has caused prices to be this high: DONALD TRUMP.

Chris Murphy 🟧

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Trump promised to lower costs on day one. But it's day 442, and costs are skyrocketing. With near record high gas and diesel prices and a war that is costing the U.S. up to $1 BILLION a DAY, this regime has done nothing but make life MORE expensive for the American people.

Trump promised to lower costs on day one. But it's day 442, and costs are skyrocketing. With near record high gas and diesel prices and a war that is costing the U.S. up to $1 BILLION a DAY, this regime has done nothing but make life MORE expensive for the American people.

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BREAKING: Consumer prices rose 0.5% in January, pushing the annual inflation rate to 3%, both higher than expected. Food prices jumped 0.4%, while energy prices surged 1.1%, driven by a 1.8% increase in gasoline costs. Make no mistake—with Trump’s tariffs on steel and aluminum and ongoing threats of tariffs on our major trade partners, inflation will only continue to worsen.

BREAKING: Consumer prices rose 0.5% in January, pushing the annual inflation rate to 3%, both higher than expected. Food prices jumped 0.4%, while energy prices surged 1.1%, driven by a 1.8% increase in gasoline costs. Make no mistake—with Trump’s tariffs on steel and aluminum and ongoing threats of tariffs on our major trade partners, inflation will only continue to worsen.

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Euro zone growth slowed to a nine-month low on surging energy costs. Carsten Brzeski of ING Research told Reuters that higher prices at the petrol pump will cut sharply into consumer spending — and could well be a recipe for stagflation

Euro zone growth slowed to a nine-month low on surging energy costs. Carsten Brzeski of ING Research told Reuters that higher prices at the petrol pump will cut sharply into consumer spending — and could well be a recipe for stagflation

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🚨 BREAKING: In a blockbuster announcement, President Trump REVERSES Biden-era vehicle fuel efficiency regulations - saving Americans up to $109 BILLION DOLLARS, and $1,000+ per car for the consumer. This is MASSIVE! "The DOT will RESCIND the Biden fuel economy prices. They were ANTI-ECONOMY!" "These policies forced automakers to build cars using expensive tech that drove up prices and made the car WORSE." "The action is expected to save the typical consumer $1,000 off the price of a car."

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A record number of migrants to the UK are signing up for the benefit - and Restore Britain have found there are extra costs behind the surge. "Almost £37 million has been spent of taxpayer's money, since 2019, on translation and interpretation costs for those claiming benefits." Ian Collins | Charlie Downes

A record number of migrants to the UK are signing up for the benefit - and Restore Britain have found there are extra costs behind the surge. "Almost £37 million has been spent of taxpayer's money, since 2019, on translation and interpretation costs for those claiming benefits." Ian Collins | Charlie Downes

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AI-Powered Consumer Products for a Billion People Raphael Schaad Every major platform shift creates new consumer giants. But three years into the AI era, ChatGPT is still the only new icon on most people’s home screens. As intelligence gets better and dramatically cheaper, nearly every consumer category opens up again: education, health, finance, entertainment, transportation, and how we connect with each other. Consumer is going to be so back.

AI-Powered Consumer Products for a Billion People Raphael Schaad Every major platform shift creates new consumer giants. But three years into the AI era, ChatGPT is still the only new icon on most people’s home screens. As intelligence gets better and dramatically cheaper, nearly every consumer category opens up again: education, health, finance, entertainment, transportation, and how we connect with each other. Consumer is going to be so back.

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Is PI back from the dead? After hitting an all-time low of $0.07059 six days ago, Pi Network's native asset appears to be back on track. $PI is closing in on the $0.1 mark, up over 20% in the last 7 days. The token has also surged 39% from its all-time low. PI is currently trading at $0.098 and has surged over 10% in the past 24 hours. The asset is also trending on Coingecko...

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🇺🇸More than 70% of Americans are struggling to pay for food, housing, and healthcare. Food prices have jumped nearly 20% since 2022 and diesel is up over 50% because of the Iran conflict, driving up everything else at the store. CBS

🇺🇸More than 70% of Americans are struggling to pay for food, housing, and healthcare. Food prices have jumped nearly 20% since 2022 and diesel is up over 50% because of the Iran conflict, driving up everything else at the store. CBS

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🚨 THE ECONOMY IS FIRING ON ALL CYLINDERS RIGHT NOW. Mark Tepper: “The San Francisco Fed came out with a report saying tariffs are DEFLATIONARY.” Over the next few months, “there’s an expectation we will have an extra $150 billion in tax refunds hitting consumer bank accounts.” “That is gonna light a fire under everything.”

🚨 THE ECONOMY IS FIRING ON ALL CYLINDERS RIGHT NOW. Mark Tepper: “The San Francisco Fed came out with a report saying tariffs are DEFLATIONARY.” Over the next few months, “there’s an expectation we will have an extra $150 billion in tax refunds hitting consumer bank accounts.” “That is gonna light a fire under everything.”

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