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There very well may be a polling error in some states, the problem for Republicans is that in the closing month of an election trends don’t change… they accelerate. I explain on my podcast today, listen here:

Ryan James Girdusky

218,920 subscribers

19,253 views • 2 days ago •via X (Twitter)

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13 Comments

Nathan Rybner2 days ago

I’ve just been ignoring all polling this cycle because for some reason they’re releasing polls showing Talarico winning by 5%, which would involve him putting up 1996 Bill Clinton numbers in the rurals.

Ryan James Girdusky2 days ago

Watch the full episode here:

2ARE2 days ago

“Trends don’t change…they accelerate”. I’ll say…🙄

Avila Dude2 days ago

You trust Nate Silver? Do you know your argument is full of holes and contradictions… the trend is tightening in Republican favor….

MoreThanAConqueror2 days ago

Bro the polls are a joke. No one cares CNN ain't ever inviting you back dog

Bob2 days ago

Lmao polling errors will be everywhere. In almost all states. Voting is proving this already.

Jack Edwards2 days ago

Umm.. no🤦🏼😂

CornSweat2 days ago

Tell that to Francesca Hong🙄

Claire Potter 🇺🇸2 days ago

The phrase I am starting to see is "red undertow"--enthusiasm for Democrats is about the same, but Republicans are slipping away.

Ryan James Girdusky2 days ago

There’s a problem that pollsters are just starting address which is in a number of states, most notably in Iowa and Kansas. Lots of high frequency voting Rs refuse to answer polls. Probably going to see the polls in those two states wrong. Nationally that would change generic ballot by 1 point outside margin of error, but in big rural states it could make the difference between winning and losing

Claire Potter 🇺🇸2 days ago

Yes: apparently Trump voters are notorious for this. You would think the pollsters could game it out, but it’s obviously a challenge.

Craig Lavazza2 days ago

I’m sure oil/diesel and bond yields all moving back up will help the R closing… lol

JudgeRedd2 days ago

There’s no trend. This is nonsense. All polls are fake. Nate Silver is a jackass.

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