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There very well may be a polling error in some states, the problem for Republicans is that in the closing month of an election trends don’t change… they accelerate. I explain on my podcast today, listen here:

Ryan James Girdusky

218,934 subscribers

19,354 Aufrufe • vor 3 Tagen •via X (Twitter)

Anya Rossi• Live Now

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13 Kommentare

Profilbild von Nathan Rybner

Nathan Rybnervor 3 Tagen

I’ve just been ignoring all polling this cycle because for some reason they’re releasing polls showing Talarico winning by 5%, which would involve him putting up 1996 Bill Clinton numbers in the rurals.

Profilbild von Ryan James Girdusky

Ryan James Girduskyvor 3 Tagen

Watch the full episode here:

Profilbild von 2ARE

2AREvor 3 Tagen

“Trends don’t change…they accelerate”. I’ll say…🙄

Profilbild von Avila Dude

Avila Dudevor 3 Tagen

You trust Nate Silver? Do you know your argument is full of holes and contradictions… the trend is tightening in Republican favor….

Profilbild von MoreThanAConqueror

MoreThanAConquerorvor 3 Tagen

Bro the polls are a joke. No one cares CNN ain't ever inviting you back dog

Profilbild von Bob

Bobvor 2 Tagen

Lmao polling errors will be everywhere. In almost all states. Voting is proving this already.

Profilbild von Jack Edwards

Jack Edwardsvor 3 Tagen

Umm.. no🤦🏼😂

Profilbild von CornSweat

CornSweatvor 2 Tagen

Tell that to Francesca Hong🙄

Profilbild von Claire Potter 🇺🇸

Claire Potter 🇺🇸vor 2 Tagen

The phrase I am starting to see is "red undertow"--enthusiasm for Democrats is about the same, but Republicans are slipping away.

Profilbild von Ryan James Girdusky

Ryan James Girduskyvor 2 Tagen

There’s a problem that pollsters are just starting address which is in a number of states, most notably in Iowa and Kansas. Lots of high frequency voting Rs refuse to answer polls. Probably going to see the polls in those two states wrong. Nationally that would change generic ballot by 1 point outside margin of error, but in big rural states it could make the difference between winning and losing

Profilbild von Claire Potter 🇺🇸

Claire Potter 🇺🇸vor 2 Tagen

Yes: apparently Trump voters are notorious for this. You would think the pollsters could game it out, but it’s obviously a challenge.

Profilbild von Craig Lavazza

Craig Lavazzavor 2 Tagen

I’m sure oil/diesel and bond yields all moving back up will help the R closing… lol

Profilbild von JudgeRedd

JudgeReddvor 2 Tagen

There’s no trend. This is nonsense. All polls are fake. Nate Silver is a jackass.

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