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There very well may be a polling error in some states, the problem for Republicans is that in the closing month of an election trends don’t change… they accelerate. I explain on my podcast today, listen here:

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Ryan James Girdusky

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19,354 görüntüleme • 3 gün önce •via X (Twitter)

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Nathan Rybner profil fotoğrafı
Nathan Rybner3 gün önce

I’ve just been ignoring all polling this cycle because for some reason they’re releasing polls showing Talarico winning by 5%, which would involve him putting up 1996 Bill Clinton numbers in the rurals.

Ryan James Girdusky profil fotoğrafı
Ryan James Girdusky3 gün önce

Watch the full episode here:

2ARE profil fotoğrafı
2ARE3 gün önce

“Trends don’t change…they accelerate”. I’ll say…🙄

Avila Dude profil fotoğrafı
Avila Dude2 gün önce

You trust Nate Silver? Do you know your argument is full of holes and contradictions… the trend is tightening in Republican favor….

MoreThanAConqueror profil fotoğrafı
MoreThanAConqueror2 gün önce

Bro the polls are a joke. No one cares CNN ain't ever inviting you back dog

Bob profil fotoğrafı
Bob2 gün önce

Lmao polling errors will be everywhere. In almost all states. Voting is proving this already.

Jack Edwards profil fotoğrafı
Jack Edwards3 gün önce

Umm.. no🤦🏼😂

CornSweat profil fotoğrafı
CornSweat2 gün önce

Tell that to Francesca Hong🙄

Claire Potter 🇺🇸 profil fotoğrafı
Claire Potter 🇺🇸2 gün önce

The phrase I am starting to see is "red undertow"--enthusiasm for Democrats is about the same, but Republicans are slipping away.

Ryan James Girdusky profil fotoğrafı
Ryan James Girdusky2 gün önce

There’s a problem that pollsters are just starting address which is in a number of states, most notably in Iowa and Kansas. Lots of high frequency voting Rs refuse to answer polls. Probably going to see the polls in those two states wrong. Nationally that would change generic ballot by 1 point outside margin of error, but in big rural states it could make the difference between winning and losing

Claire Potter 🇺🇸 profil fotoğrafı
Claire Potter 🇺🇸2 gün önce

Yes: apparently Trump voters are notorious for this. You would think the pollsters could game it out, but it’s obviously a challenge.

Craig Lavazza profil fotoğrafı
Craig Lavazza2 gün önce

I’m sure oil/diesel and bond yields all moving back up will help the R closing… lol

JudgeRedd profil fotoğrafı
JudgeRedd2 gün önce

There’s no trend. This is nonsense. All polls are fake. Nate Silver is a jackass.

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The first week of early voting for redistricting is good for Republicans in Virginia but this is still a Democratic State, Republicans are running ahead of where they were in 2025, but Democrats have the lead. I explain on today’s episode of my podcast:
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On yesterday’s podcast, I talked about one of the biggest political trends no one is talking about. As student enrollment continues to decline, teachers unions in big blue states will demand the money for empty schools keeps coming. Listen here:
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On yesterday’s podcast, I talked about one of the biggest political trends no one is talking about. As student enrollment continues to decline, teachers unions in big blue states will demand the money for empty schools keeps coming. Listen here:

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Did Chrystia Freeland, the Deputy Prime Minster of Canada just cross the line illegally with Elections Canada? Today is the by-election for Toronto-St.Paul's. There is to be a blackout period on election day. Freeland spent over 2 minutes promoting the Liberal Candidate Leslie Church during a press conference in Ontario. According to Elections Canada: Blackout period 323 (1) No person shall transmit election advertising to the public in an electoral district on polling day before the close of all of the polling stations in the electoral district.

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