These ideas aren’t mutually exclusive but it couldn’t be more clear that populist values are more resonant than abundance, with both Democrats and independents.

Strategist @DanCohenSays, who crafted the language for our poll showing that populism is more resonant that abundance, went on Breaking Points w @krystalball, @ryangrim & @emilyjashinsky to talk about what it means. Stay tuned for clips! 🧵

We tried as hard a possible to capture what abundance proponents are talking about in good faith, and found that populism is much more resonant - both when tested separately from abundance and head to head.

People think corporations have too much power, that there’s too much corruption. And they overwhelmingly think that when there are counterproductive regulations in place, those are there because corporations have had them implemented to protect their interests.

Even some leading exponents of abundance are increasingly admitting that it is bad for optimizing for winning elections and that populism is more resonant with voters.

Nobody is saying there aren’t some “bottlenecks” that should be removed, of course we should deal with those. But if you’re trying to win elections or tackle the biggest problems that’s not the right focus.

If abundance proponents are upset that we polled language they used (bottlenecks), then use better language! But small language tweaks aren’t going to make a big difference in how this lands with voters. We aren’t testing individual words - we are testing a policy program.

The most critical finding is perhaps the much greater resonance of populist values among independents.

The 12 Democrats who make the most sense for 2028.

@krystalball For obvious reasons

A party & movement completely lost in their own egos and self importance.......will spend $20M to research how to talk to young men. Going to be a long time in the wilderness.

Whatz a lil genocide among democrats? You can fix this! It's a great party! Vote harder!