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This 1 hour MIT lecture on "Probabilistic Analysis" using Markov Chains will teach you more about prediction markets than a 2-month Wall Street Quant firm internship. Bookmark this & give it 1 hour today, no matter what. It’s the most productive start you can give your week. Then read... show more
229,044 görüntüleme • 7 ay önce •via X (Twitter)
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this is a truly underrated lecture, thanks for sharing it

you are welcome mate ! happy its useful for you

After that, many things on Polymarket start to look much more logical.ф Thanks for the recommendation, I'll bookmark it.

Yeah, if you know the math behind every prediction, you can't lose

would be cool to see this professor’s poly acc. i think pnl curve only goes up

Don't know if this one has a Polymarket account, but the lecture is top tier.

@0xMovez haha I could def use a crash course in prediction markets. might finally impress my math whiz friends 😅

another day another lecture never stop learning

Movez, stop posting bangers You're hogging all the views on CT

The Markov chain framework maps perfectly to sequential prediction markets. Each link’s activation depends only on the previous link’s outcome. We have this live at

This will make me rich

what's the overlap with dynamic hedging?

fr fr this mit lecture got alpha vibes way better than wall streets grind

I think we could get into Harvard :)

Read the article, but was a bit confused about Markov’s claim. Wouldn’t the dependence between vowels and consonants in the Russian word experiment indicate + prove 50/50 convergence across a large vocabulary corpus?

as always on point, thank you for sharing this incredible lecture

learning never stops

Really good. Thanks.

nice share, really useful lecture

Wall street firms don't always teach the best quant strats lol. Markov chains are solid for understanding state transitions though, might give you an edge on polymarket. You still need low latency access to the CLOB. My Rust-based bot loves that.

OR you could just let us do the heavy lifting, we master the markets, you make the money.

markov alpha unlocked

Хаха, спрашиваю у Grok про теорию Вероятностей и в моих рекомендациях появляется это. Совпадение?

markov chains on polymarket data hits different when real money is on the line free mit lecture doing more work than most paid courses ever will

this lecture is a gem

needed this kickstart today fr

@RockportAI audio summary

Probability

solid alpha drop bro
