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This coastal low / nor'easter is going to be a doozy Sunday into Monday. Not tropical (will have fronts attached to it), but will basically bring tropical storm impacts without a name. @WINKNews

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Matt Devitt

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19,026 Aufrufe • vor 11 Monaten •via X (Twitter)

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Best way to think about it is that Florida will see a one-two punch. The first one will bring us rain Sunday into Monday with an area of low pressure along a stalled out front. Then the 2nd, main punch from tropical storm or hurricane approaches on Tuesday into Wednesday. WINK News
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Best way to think about it is that Florida will see a one-two punch. The first one will bring us rain Sunday into Monday with an area of low pressure along a stalled out front. Then the 2nd, main punch from tropical storm or hurricane approaches on Tuesday into Wednesday. WINK News

Matt Devitt

2,159,476 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

#TD13 has become Tropical Storm #Lee in the central tropical Atlantic! Lee is forecast to become a major hurricane by this weekend and could bring impacts to the Leeward Islands.
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#TD13 has become Tropical Storm #Lee in the central tropical Atlantic! Lee is forecast to become a major hurricane by this weekend and could bring impacts to the Leeward Islands.

RadarOmega

10,514 Aufrufe • vor 3 Jahren

Invest 97L could become a very short lived tropical storm before moving into SE Texas early tomorrow. The name will be Edouard
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Invest 97L could become a very short lived tropical storm before moving into SE Texas early tomorrow. The name will be Edouard

James Spann

17,299 Aufrufe • vor 13 Tagen

Oh goodness. Southern California is going to be in panic mode all week from what many will say is a "hurricane" headed for the coast, but will actually be remnants. Hurricanes cannot** get to the California coast. The most you'll ever have is a weakening tropical storm.
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Oh goodness. Southern California is going to be in panic mode all week from what many will say is a "hurricane" headed for the coast, but will actually be remnants. Hurricanes cannot** get to the California coast. The most you'll ever have is a weakening tropical storm.

Jason Randolph

321,475 Aufrufe • vor 14 Tagen

UPDATE: A tropical wave will be heading towards Florida by Friday and potentially towards the coastal Carolinas this weekend. It will help to enhance the development of scattered storms and bump up rain chances during that time frame. Shown below are not rainfall totals, but atmospheric moisture levels. Normally Florida is around 1.8" this time of the year and you'll notice the tropical wave brings us up to around 2.1"...helping to bring in more storms. #Florida
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UPDATE: A tropical wave will be heading towards Florida by Friday and potentially towards the coastal Carolinas this weekend. It will help to enhance the development of scattered storms and bump up rain chances during that time frame. Shown below are not rainfall totals, but atmospheric moisture levels. Normally Florida is around 1.8" this time of the year and you'll notice the tropical wave brings us up to around 2.1"...helping to bring in more storms. #Florida

Matt Devitt

86,716 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

The record warm Gulf along with relatively light shear will allow Tropical Depression Two to strengthen into Tropical Storm #BERTHA later today. However, strong northerly wind shear will blow Bertha out like a candle as it approaches the Gulf Coast midweek. #tropicalupdate 🌀
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The record warm Gulf along with relatively light shear will allow Tropical Depression Two to strengthen into Tropical Storm #BERTHA later today. However, strong northerly wind shear will blow Bertha out like a candle as it approaches the Gulf Coast midweek. #tropicalupdate 🌀

Dylan Federico

49,892 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

A surge of tropical moisture associated with the Central American Gyre will being higher rain chances to Florida later this week and into the weekend. The good news is tropical development is not expected at this time in the Gulf at this time. #flwx
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A surge of tropical moisture associated with the Central American Gyre will being higher rain chances to Florida later this week and into the weekend. The good news is tropical development is not expected at this time in the Gulf at this time. #flwx

Dylan Federico

10,878 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

Once inland later this week, Helene will be pulled the northwest, rotating around an upper low over Arkansas. This is known as the "Fujiwhara effect", which is pretty unusual at this latitude. The tropical system and the upper low will basically rotate around each other.
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Once inland later this week, Helene will be pulled the northwest, rotating around an upper low over Arkansas. This is known as the "Fujiwhara effect", which is pretty unusual at this latitude. The tropical system and the upper low will basically rotate around each other.

James Spann

318,293 Aufrufe • vor 2 Jahren

TROPICAL UPDATE: Invest #97L odds haven't changed the past 12 hours, still at 70%. I feel the NHC wants to wait until the Hurricane Hunters get a better look at it this thing under the hood. Considering this will be pushing onshore *tomorrow* in TX/LA, I still would have preferred Potential Tropical Cyclone/System to be designated so more tropical weather alerts and communication products could have been issued. For example, my sister is a teacher in the Galveston Bay area. She is under the impression she is going to school Tuesday (along with her kids) because a Tropical Storm Watch/Warning has not been issued yet. The school district needs that additional information to make better decisions. I have a lot of respect for the NHC, I just disagree with them on this one.
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TROPICAL UPDATE: Invest #97L odds haven't changed the past 12 hours, still at 70%. I feel the NHC wants to wait until the Hurricane Hunters get a better look at it this thing under the hood. Considering this will be pushing onshore *tomorrow* in TX/LA, I still would have preferred Potential Tropical Cyclone/System to be designated so more tropical weather alerts and communication products could have been issued. For example, my sister is a teacher in the Galveston Bay area. She is under the impression she is going to school Tuesday (along with her kids) because a Tropical Storm Watch/Warning has not been issued yet. The school district needs that additional information to make better decisions. I have a lot of respect for the NHC, I just disagree with them on this one.

Matt Devitt

32,152 Aufrufe • vor 13 Tagen

It can be hard to visualize how big Interceptor 015 is, so here's a bagel for scale. *we tried to get a banana but couldn’t find one following tropical storm Rafael.
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It can be hard to visualize how big Interceptor 015 is, so here's a bagel for scale. *we tried to get a banana but couldn’t find one following tropical storm Rafael.

The Ocean Cleanup

32,479 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

An upper level low is forecast to develop near Cuba this weekend. The lurking low is expected to bring a surge of tropical moisture and higher rain chances to Florida through early next week.#flwx
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An upper level low is forecast to develop near Cuba this weekend. The lurking low is expected to bring a surge of tropical moisture and higher rain chances to Florida through early next week.#flwx

Dylan Federico

15,367 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

⛈️ Heavy rainfall and flooding threat from South Texas to the lower Mississippi Valley A multi-day episode of heavy rain will be driven by the interaction of a nearly stationary cold front, tropical moisture, and a tropical disturbance. The tropical disturbance is currently located over Mexico and will gradually move toward South Texas. According to the NHC/NOAA, the chance that it will organize into a tropical cyclone remains low, around 30%. Regardless of whether a tropical cyclone actually forms, the system may bring intense showers and thunderstorms along the western and central Gulf Coast. Over the next four days, widespread rainfall totals of 4 to 6 inches are expected from the Texas coast into Louisiana, with locally higher amounts possible. Such rainfall totals could trigger flash and river flooding, posing a significant threat to life and property. ⚠️ Please monitor official warnings and follow the instructions of local authorities.
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⛈️ Heavy rainfall and flooding threat from South Texas to the lower Mississippi Valley A multi-day episode of heavy rain will be driven by the interaction of a nearly stationary cold front, tropical moisture, and a tropical disturbance. The tropical disturbance is currently located over Mexico and will gradually move toward South Texas. According to the NHC/NOAA, the chance that it will organize into a tropical cyclone remains low, around 30%. Regardless of whether a tropical cyclone actually forms, the system may bring intense showers and thunderstorms along the western and central Gulf Coast. Over the next four days, widespread rainfall totals of 4 to 6 inches are expected from the Texas coast into Louisiana, with locally higher amounts possible. Such rainfall totals could trigger flash and river flooding, posing a significant threat to life and property. ⚠️ Please monitor official warnings and follow the instructions of local authorities.

Windy.com

11,854 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

Major Hurricane #Kirk (cat 4) is now in the Atlantic. It will continue moving towards Europe. 🧐 By mid-week, it is expected to weaken into a post-tropical storm and reach France (see wind gust map for the next 5 days).
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Major Hurricane #Kirk (cat 4) is now in the Atlantic. It will continue moving towards Europe. 🧐 By mid-week, it is expected to weaken into a post-tropical storm and reach France (see wind gust map for the next 5 days).

Ventusky

96,965 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

UPDATE: A LOT of tropical moisture on the way across Florida the next 5-10 days. For example, those moisture levels will be 50%-75% above average, which will aid in developing numerous rounds of storms across the state. Values shown are PWATS or precipitable water levels. Around 1.6" is typical this time of the year for Florida, which you'll notice we'll be above the next 7-10 days. Some online chatter about tropical development. Not impossible, but current odds are low. Physics-based models show the potential, AI models largely don't. Rainmaker regardless if it tries to form into a weak tropical/subtropical system or not. We need the rain!
0:17

UPDATE: A LOT of tropical moisture on the way across Florida the next 5-10 days. For example, those moisture levels will be 50%-75% above average, which will aid in developing numerous rounds of storms across the state. Values shown are PWATS or precipitable water levels. Around 1.6" is typical this time of the year for Florida, which you'll notice we'll be above the next 7-10 days. Some online chatter about tropical development. Not impossible, but current odds are low. Physics-based models show the potential, AI models largely don't. Rainmaker regardless if it tries to form into a weak tropical/subtropical system or not. We need the rain!

Matt Devitt

36,299 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

TROPICAL UPDATE: Here's the latest GRAF model for the area pinned with a 20% chance of tropical development. The model historically is more aggressive / stronger than others, but does highlight the development of a low in the Gulf by the weekend. Regardless of development, it will help to bump up rain chances for Florida the next several days.
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TROPICAL UPDATE: Here's the latest GRAF model for the area pinned with a 20% chance of tropical development. The model historically is more aggressive / stronger than others, but does highlight the development of a low in the Gulf by the weekend. Regardless of development, it will help to bump up rain chances for Florida the next several days.

Matt Devitt

219,869 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

This swirling low-pressure storm is very nearly a Medicane, or Mediterranean tropical-like cyclone, and she could be on a trajectory to make landfall into the deserts of northern Libya soon. Notice the huge plume of dust on the eastern side of the storm getting pulled out to sea by the counter-clockwise circulation.
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This swirling low-pressure storm is very nearly a Medicane, or Mediterranean tropical-like cyclone, and she could be on a trajectory to make landfall into the deserts of northern Libya soon. Notice the huge plume of dust on the eastern side of the storm getting pulled out to sea by the counter-clockwise circulation.

Backpirch Weather

11,902 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten

TROPICAL UPDATE: Invest #97L in the northern Gulf flaring up pretty impressive storms this morning. If trends continue, might get a bump to orange or a medium chance of development later today. It has a tight window to try and form before pushing into TX / LA on Tuesday. It's certainly possible to squeak out a quick Tropical Depression or even Tropical Storm #Edouard. Water temps are warmer than average for most of the Gulf + low wind shear along its track. What could hurt development is dry air. We'll see, stay tuned...
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TROPICAL UPDATE: Invest #97L in the northern Gulf flaring up pretty impressive storms this morning. If trends continue, might get a bump to orange or a medium chance of development later today. It has a tight window to try and form before pushing into TX / LA on Tuesday. It's certainly possible to squeak out a quick Tropical Depression or even Tropical Storm #Edouard. Water temps are warmer than average for most of the Gulf + low wind shear along its track. What could hurt development is dry air. We'll see, stay tuned...

Matt Devitt

46,988 Aufrufe • vor 14 Tagen

A low pressure system is developing, named by Météo France as Storm Goretti It will bring strong winds, heavy rain & snow to the UK Small forecast changes could have large impacts on the location and intensity of wind and snow, so stay #WeatherAware 👉
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A low pressure system is developing, named by Météo France as Storm Goretti It will bring strong winds, heavy rain & snow to the UK Small forecast changes could have large impacts on the location and intensity of wind and snow, so stay #WeatherAware 👉

Met Office

60,223 Aufrufe • vor 8 Monaten