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🚨 THIS IS HOW AI BUBBLE WILL CRASH S&P 500 Read this carefully before buying stocks. Three AI and space giants are entering public markets in the same cycle with a combined valuation approaching $4 trillion. 1. THE BIGGEST IPO WAVE IN DECADES → SpaceX has already gone public... with $1.7 trillion valuation $SPCX debuted on Nasdaq on June 12 and become one of the largest public listings in history. → OpenAI has already filed a confidential S-1 and is targeting a valuation above $1 trillion. → Anthropic is also considering an IPO at a valuation of around $1 trillion. 2. THE LIQUIDITY DRAIN The S&P 500 is now carried mostly by the Mag 7 and AI stocks. Nvidia, Microsoft, Google, Amazon and others make up roughly 33% to 35% of the entire index. These three listings could pull $200 billion or more from the market. Funds may need to sell existing positions to buy SpaceX, OpenAI and Anthropic. Nvidia, Microsoft and Google could be the first to feel the pressure. The S&P 500 has also resisted fast tracking these unprofitable giants into the index. That means the rotation could hit existing index leaders even harder. 3. HISTORY IS REPEATING At the peak of every major bubble, capital became concentrated in a small group of “can’t lose” companies. → The Roaring Twenties → The Nifty Fifty era → Japan’s 1980s bubble → The Dot-Com Bubble of 1999 to 2000 Today, tech concentration is once again near historical extremes. 4. THE REAL SELLING STARTS AFTER THE IPO After an IPO, early investors finally get the chance to lock in profits. Lockup expirations have historically increased selling pressure. During the Dot Com crash, even the strongest companies got destroyed. → Amazon: 95% dump → Microsoft: 65% dump → Intel: 80% dump → Oracle: 80% dump → Yahoo: 97% dump A great business does NOT protect investors from extreme overvaluation. Massive listings at these valuations, while many AI companies are still deeply unprofitable, are a clear sign of market euphoria. I’ve said this before. And the cycle is still playing out exactly according to plan. Turn notifications on. I’ll post the warning BEFORE it hits the headlines.show more

Wimar.X

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Three of the biggest companies in the world are going public at the same time. The market has never seen anything like this. And this is how major bubbles peak. SpaceX is targeting a June 2026 IPO raising up to $75 billion at a $1.5 trillion valuation, the largest IPO in human history, bigger than Saudi Aramco's $29 billion raise in 2019. OpenAI is filing with the SEC targeting September 2026, raising at least $60 billion at a $1 trillion valuation. The company is losing $14 billion this year alone and won't be profitable until 2029. Anthropic just raised $30 billion in February 2026 at a $380 billion valuation. Its valuation has increased 15x in just 14 months. It is now preparing what could be a $900 billion private round before going public. Combined, these three IPOs could pull $200 billion from global capital markets. That is real. That is unprecedented. And here's the real risk. OpenAI is projected to lose $44 billion cumulatively before reaching profitability. Anthropic's valuation has risen 15x in 14 months on the same underlying business. Both companies are being priced for perfection at a moment when the first companies to actually deploy their products at scale are blowing their AI budgets and cancelling licenses. The real liquidation pressure from these IPOs doesn't even arrive at listing day. It arrives 180 days later when lock-up periods expire and early investors and employees can finally sell. That is when the real rotation happens. The S&P 500 concentration risk is genuine. The Magnificent 7 now represent 36% of the entire index, higher than the dot-com peak in 2000. If any of these companies disappoint, the index follows. That is not a conspiracy. That is basic math. Three historically unprecedented IPOs. $44 billion in projected OpenAI losses. An AI capex cycle that must deliver ROI. Lock-up expirations six months after listing. That combination is what you must pay attention to, as it often break cycles.

Three of the biggest companies in the world are going public at the same time. The market has never seen anything like this. And this is how major bubbles peak. SpaceX is targeting a June 2026 IPO raising up to $75 billion at a $1.5 trillion valuation, the largest IPO in human history, bigger than Saudi Aramco's $29 billion raise in 2019. OpenAI is filing with the SEC targeting September 2026, raising at least $60 billion at a $1 trillion valuation. The company is losing $14 billion this year alone and won't be profitable until 2029. Anthropic just raised $30 billion in February 2026 at a $380 billion valuation. Its valuation has increased 15x in just 14 months. It is now preparing what could be a $900 billion private round before going public. Combined, these three IPOs could pull $200 billion from global capital markets. That is real. That is unprecedented. And here's the real risk. OpenAI is projected to lose $44 billion cumulatively before reaching profitability. Anthropic's valuation has risen 15x in 14 months on the same underlying business. Both companies are being priced for perfection at a moment when the first companies to actually deploy their products at scale are blowing their AI budgets and cancelling licenses. The real liquidation pressure from these IPOs doesn't even arrive at listing day. It arrives 180 days later when lock-up periods expire and early investors and employees can finally sell. That is when the real rotation happens. The S&P 500 concentration risk is genuine. The Magnificent 7 now represent 36% of the entire index, higher than the dot-com peak in 2000. If any of these companies disappoint, the index follows. That is not a conspiracy. That is basic math. Three historically unprecedented IPOs. $44 billion in projected OpenAI losses. An AI capex cycle that must deliver ROI. Lock-up expirations six months after listing. That combination is what you must pay attention to, as it often break cycles.

Crypto Rover

69,887 views • 2 months ago

BIGGEST IPO IN HISTORY IS A LIQUIDITY TRAP! SpaceX is going public at a $1.75 trillion valuation, bigger than Microsoft. And it's doing that while losing $4.28 billion in a single quarter. Insiders hold 95% of the shares, only 5% goes to the public. A float that thin lets the price run up artificially. Most of the market's liquidity is about to rush into SpaceX. Which means S&P500 will start dumping hard Turn on notifs, I'll update you before the dump.

BIGGEST IPO IN HISTORY IS A LIQUIDITY TRAP! SpaceX is going public at a $1.75 trillion valuation, bigger than Microsoft. And it's doing that while losing $4.28 billion in a single quarter. Insiders hold 95% of the shares, only 5% goes to the public. A float that thin lets the price run up artificially. Most of the market's liquidity is about to rush into SpaceX. Which means S&P500 will start dumping hard Turn on notifs, I'll update you before the dump.

𝗖𝗛𝗔𝗜𝗡 𝗠𝗜𝗡𝗗 ⛓🧠

485,039 views • 2 months ago

🚨 WARNING: MONDAY COULD BE THE WORST MOMENT OF 2026!! Make sure to take a look at this before June 8, that’s tomorrow. The $SPCX IPO is coming on June 12. And markets open this Monday, June 8. This is the first real trading week before one of the biggest IPO events in market history. SpaceX is expected to go public at around $1.75 TRILLION to $2 TRILLION valuation. That one number explains everything. Because money does NOT appear from nowhere. If funds want to buy $SPCX, they need cash. And where does that cash come from? They sell what they already own. Stocks will dump. Crypto will dump. High beta tech will dump even harder. This is NOT just an IPO. This is a liquidity drain. Everyone sees the Elon hype. Almost nobody sees the forced selling. There are only a few ways this goes from here, and they are NOT equal. - LIGHT SHOCK: funds sell small positions, stocks get hit first, crypto follows, then markets try to stabilize. - HEAVIER SCENARIO: funds raise cash before June 12, high beta tech dumps, Bitcoin loses support, and retail gets trapped. - WORST CASE: everyone rushes into $SPCX at the same time, liquidity disappears from crowded trades, stocks dump HARD, crypto gets hit first, and people get liquidated. That last one is the REAL danger. Because none of this is happening in a vacuum. Stocks are already crowded. Crypto is already weak. Liquidity is already getting worse. And now one of the most hyped IPOs in history is about to absorb even more money. Now connect the dots. If everyone wants $SPCX, they need dollars. To get dollars, they sell assets. And when everyone sells at the same time, markets do NOT dip slowly. They dump. This is NOT a theory. The $SPCX IPO is June 12. Markets open Monday, June 8. And this is when positioning starts. Markets are NOT pricing the liquidity drain now. But they will. I usually do the opposite of what the masses are doing. Reminder: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000. The next call will be even more important. When I exit the markets completely, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

🚨 WARNING: MONDAY COULD BE THE WORST MOMENT OF 2026!! Make sure to take a look at this before June 8, that’s tomorrow. The $SPCX IPO is coming on June 12. And markets open this Monday, June 8. This is the first real trading week before one of the biggest IPO events in market history. SpaceX is expected to go public at around $1.75 TRILLION to $2 TRILLION valuation. That one number explains everything. Because money does NOT appear from nowhere. If funds want to buy $SPCX, they need cash. And where does that cash come from? They sell what they already own. Stocks will dump. Crypto will dump. High beta tech will dump even harder. This is NOT just an IPO. This is a liquidity drain. Everyone sees the Elon hype. Almost nobody sees the forced selling. There are only a few ways this goes from here, and they are NOT equal. - LIGHT SHOCK: funds sell small positions, stocks get hit first, crypto follows, then markets try to stabilize. - HEAVIER SCENARIO: funds raise cash before June 12, high beta tech dumps, Bitcoin loses support, and retail gets trapped. - WORST CASE: everyone rushes into $SPCX at the same time, liquidity disappears from crowded trades, stocks dump HARD, crypto gets hit first, and people get liquidated. That last one is the REAL danger. Because none of this is happening in a vacuum. Stocks are already crowded. Crypto is already weak. Liquidity is already getting worse. And now one of the most hyped IPOs in history is about to absorb even more money. Now connect the dots. If everyone wants $SPCX, they need dollars. To get dollars, they sell assets. And when everyone sells at the same time, markets do NOT dip slowly. They dump. This is NOT a theory. The $SPCX IPO is June 12. Markets open Monday, June 8. And this is when positioning starts. Markets are NOT pricing the liquidity drain now. But they will. I usually do the opposite of what the masses are doing. Reminder: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000. The next call will be even more important. When I exit the markets completely, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

DANNY

960,429 views • 2 months ago

🚨 THIS IS NOT NORMAL The S&P 500 is giving one of the cleanest bearish setups of 2026. Look at this chart for 30 seconds. The Dot-Com crash overlay is still tracking today's market almost perfectly. The next major support sits around 4,600. And nothing about this rally is healthy. Five stocks are keeping the entire S&P 500 alive. → Apple → Nvidia → Amazon → Microsoft → Meta Remove those five stocks, and the S&P 500 is already in a downtrend. The structure is bearish. This rally is only delaying the inevitable. Bookmark this post. Follow and turn notifications on. I'll post the warning BEFORE it hits the headlines.

🚨 THIS IS NOT NORMAL The S&P 500 is giving one of the cleanest bearish setups of 2026. Look at this chart for 30 seconds. The Dot-Com crash overlay is still tracking today's market almost perfectly. The next major support sits around 4,600. And nothing about this rally is healthy. Five stocks are keeping the entire S&P 500 alive. → Apple → Nvidia → Amazon → Microsoft → Meta Remove those five stocks, and the S&P 500 is already in a downtrend. The structure is bearish. This rally is only delaying the inevitable. Bookmark this post. Follow and turn notifications on. I'll post the warning BEFORE it hits the headlines.

Wimar.X

206,769 views • 21 days ago

🚨 SOMETHING EXTREMELY BAD IS COMING THIS MONDAY!! The $SPCX IPO is coming on June 12. And markets open this Monday, June 8. This is the first real trading week before one of the biggest IPO events in market history. SpaceX is expected to go public at around $1.75 TRILLION to $2 TRILLION valuation. That one number explains everything. Because money does NOT appear from nowhere. If funds want to buy $SPCX, they need cash. And where does that cash come from? They sell what they already own. Stocks will dump. Crypto will dump. High beta tech will dump even harder. This is NOT just an IPO. This is a liquidity drain. Everyone sees the Elon hype. Almost nobody sees the forced selling. There are only a few ways this goes from here, and they are NOT equal. - LIGHT SHOCK: funds sell small positions, stocks get hit first, crypto follows, then markets try to stabilize. - HEAVIER SCENARIO: funds raise cash before June 12, high beta tech dumps, Bitcoin loses support, and retail gets trapped. - WORST CASE: everyone rushes into $SPCX at the same time, liquidity disappears from crowded trades, stocks dump HARD, crypto gets hit first, and people get liquidated. That last one is the REAL danger. Because none of this is happening in a vacuum. Stocks are already crowded. Crypto is already weak. Liquidity is already getting worse. And now one of the most hyped IPOs in history is about to absorb even more money. Now connect the dots. If everyone wants $SPCX, they need dollars. To get dollars, they sell assets. And when everyone sells at the same time, markets do NOT dip slowly. They dump. This is NOT a theory. The $SPCX IPO is June 12. Markets open Monday, June 8. And this is when positioning starts. Markets are NOT pricing the liquidity drain now. But they will. I’ve studied macro for 10 years and I called almost every major market top, including the October BTC ATH. Follow and turn notifications on. I’ll post the warning BEFORE it hits the headlines.

🚨 SOMETHING EXTREMELY BAD IS COMING THIS MONDAY!! The $SPCX IPO is coming on June 12. And markets open this Monday, June 8. This is the first real trading week before one of the biggest IPO events in market history. SpaceX is expected to go public at around $1.75 TRILLION to $2 TRILLION valuation. That one number explains everything. Because money does NOT appear from nowhere. If funds want to buy $SPCX, they need cash. And where does that cash come from? They sell what they already own. Stocks will dump. Crypto will dump. High beta tech will dump even harder. This is NOT just an IPO. This is a liquidity drain. Everyone sees the Elon hype. Almost nobody sees the forced selling. There are only a few ways this goes from here, and they are NOT equal. - LIGHT SHOCK: funds sell small positions, stocks get hit first, crypto follows, then markets try to stabilize. - HEAVIER SCENARIO: funds raise cash before June 12, high beta tech dumps, Bitcoin loses support, and retail gets trapped. - WORST CASE: everyone rushes into $SPCX at the same time, liquidity disappears from crowded trades, stocks dump HARD, crypto gets hit first, and people get liquidated. That last one is the REAL danger. Because none of this is happening in a vacuum. Stocks are already crowded. Crypto is already weak. Liquidity is already getting worse. And now one of the most hyped IPOs in history is about to absorb even more money. Now connect the dots. If everyone wants $SPCX, they need dollars. To get dollars, they sell assets. And when everyone sells at the same time, markets do NOT dip slowly. They dump. This is NOT a theory. The $SPCX IPO is June 12. Markets open Monday, June 8. And this is when positioning starts. Markets are NOT pricing the liquidity drain now. But they will. I’ve studied macro for 10 years and I called almost every major market top, including the October BTC ATH. Follow and turn notifications on. I’ll post the warning BEFORE it hits the headlines.

Wimar.X

855,745 views • 2 months ago

🚨 WARNING: ELON MUSK'S SPACEX IPO WILL DUMP MARKETS! That's the BIGGEST liquidity drain in stock market history. SpaceX is expected to go public on June 12 at ~$2 TRILLION valuation. And if you think it's just another scary headline YOU'RE COMPLETELY WRONG! Money does NOT appear from nowhere. If investors want exposure to $SPCX, they will sell what they already own. - Stocks - Crypto - High beta tech - Other crowded risk trades That one fact explains a lot. Because this is NOT just an IPO. It is a liquidity grab. Everyone sees the hype. Almost nobody sees the forced selling. And it gets worse. Insiders own about 95% of SpaceX shares. The public float is only about 5%. That means insiders are sitting on about $1.66 TRILLION of paper wealth. Most IPOs lock insiders for 180 days. SpaceX reportedly does NOT. Just 60 days after listing, 20% of eligible insider shares can unlock. That is the REAL danger. Investors sell other assets to chase $SPCX. Then insiders get liquidity into that demand. Now connect the dots. - Existing stocks get sold - Crypto liquidity gets pulled - High beta assets dump - Insiders cash out - Retail holds the bag This is NOT a normal IPO. It is one of the biggest liquidity events Wall Street has ever seen. Markets are NOT pricing it now. But they will. I’ve studied macro for 10 years and I called almost every major market top, including the October BTC ATH. Follow and turn notifications on. I’ll post the warning BEFORE it hits the headlines.

🚨 WARNING: ELON MUSK'S SPACEX IPO WILL DUMP MARKETS! That's the BIGGEST liquidity drain in stock market history. SpaceX is expected to go public on June 12 at ~$2 TRILLION valuation. And if you think it's just another scary headline YOU'RE COMPLETELY WRONG! Money does NOT appear from nowhere. If investors want exposure to $SPCX, they will sell what they already own. - Stocks - Crypto - High beta tech - Other crowded risk trades That one fact explains a lot. Because this is NOT just an IPO. It is a liquidity grab. Everyone sees the hype. Almost nobody sees the forced selling. And it gets worse. Insiders own about 95% of SpaceX shares. The public float is only about 5%. That means insiders are sitting on about $1.66 TRILLION of paper wealth. Most IPOs lock insiders for 180 days. SpaceX reportedly does NOT. Just 60 days after listing, 20% of eligible insider shares can unlock. That is the REAL danger. Investors sell other assets to chase $SPCX. Then insiders get liquidity into that demand. Now connect the dots. - Existing stocks get sold - Crypto liquidity gets pulled - High beta assets dump - Insiders cash out - Retail holds the bag This is NOT a normal IPO. It is one of the biggest liquidity events Wall Street has ever seen. Markets are NOT pricing it now. But they will. I’ve studied macro for 10 years and I called almost every major market top, including the October BTC ATH. Follow and turn notifications on. I’ll post the warning BEFORE it hits the headlines.

Wimar.X

338,795 views • 2 months ago

🚨 WARNING: YOU’RE NOT READY FOR THIS 99% chance we will see this exact pattern. The S&P 500 is giving one of the cleanest bearish setups of 2026. Look at this chart for 30 seconds. The Dot-Com crash overlay is still tracking today's market almost perfectly. The next major support sits around 4,600. And nothing about this rally is healthy. Five stocks are keeping the entire S&P 500 alive. → Apple → Nvidia → Amazon → Microsoft → Meta Remove those five stocks, and the S&P 500 is already in a downtrend. The structure is bearish. This rally is only delaying the inevitable. Bookmark this post. Follow and turn notifications on. I'll post the warning BEFORE it hits the headlines.

🚨 WARNING: YOU’RE NOT READY FOR THIS 99% chance we will see this exact pattern. The S&P 500 is giving one of the cleanest bearish setups of 2026. Look at this chart for 30 seconds. The Dot-Com crash overlay is still tracking today's market almost perfectly. The next major support sits around 4,600. And nothing about this rally is healthy. Five stocks are keeping the entire S&P 500 alive. → Apple → Nvidia → Amazon → Microsoft → Meta Remove those five stocks, and the S&P 500 is already in a downtrend. The structure is bearish. This rally is only delaying the inevitable. Bookmark this post. Follow and turn notifications on. I'll post the warning BEFORE it hits the headlines.

Wimar.X

86,164 views • 12 days ago

🚨 THE BIGGEST AI BUBBLE IN HISTORY MAY BE PEAKING RIGHT NOW. SpaceX. OpenAI. Anthropic. Trillions in valuation. Hundreds of billions about to hit public markets. And almost nobody understands how dangerous this setup could become. Because this is exactly how late-stage bubbles behave: massive narratives, record valuations, and investors convincing themselves growth will last forever. The scary part? Most of these companies are still burning insane amounts of cash while markets price them like perfection is guaranteed. 2000 felt unstoppable too. Until liquidity disappeared and the entire Nasdaq collapsed.

🚨 THE BIGGEST AI BUBBLE IN HISTORY MAY BE PEAKING RIGHT NOW. SpaceX. OpenAI. Anthropic. Trillions in valuation. Hundreds of billions about to hit public markets. And almost nobody understands how dangerous this setup could become. Because this is exactly how late-stage bubbles behave: massive narratives, record valuations, and investors convincing themselves growth will last forever. The scary part? Most of these companies are still burning insane amounts of cash while markets price them like perfection is guaranteed. 2000 felt unstoppable too. Until liquidity disappeared and the entire Nasdaq collapsed.

Simba

115,095 views • 2 months ago

🚨 EXTREMELY MASSIVE STORM IS COMING FOR SPACEX! Insiders reportedly own around 93% of the shares and control approximately $1.6 TRILLION in paper wealth. While everyone watched the hype and aped into $SPCX, they forgot to look deeper. The IPO is not just about retail buying SpaceX. It is also about creating liquidity for early holders. IPO hype brings demand. Unlocks bring sell pressure. And when insider supply becomes available near peak hype, prices do NOT need bad news to dump. Supply itself becomes the bad news. Now look at the chart. The S&P 500 is sitting near the unlock danger zone. And the next major support is around $6,312. That means if this level breaks, the market can dump much deeper than people expect. This is NOT a normal IPO anymore. This is one of the biggest insider liquidity events in market history. Everyone is watching the SpaceX dream. I’m watching the exit door. I’ve studied macro for 10 years and called almost every major market top, including the October BTC ATH. Follow and turn notifications on. I’ll post the warning BEFORE it hits the headlines.

🚨 EXTREMELY MASSIVE STORM IS COMING FOR SPACEX! Insiders reportedly own around 93% of the shares and control approximately $1.6 TRILLION in paper wealth. While everyone watched the hype and aped into $SPCX, they forgot to look deeper. The IPO is not just about retail buying SpaceX. It is also about creating liquidity for early holders. IPO hype brings demand. Unlocks bring sell pressure. And when insider supply becomes available near peak hype, prices do NOT need bad news to dump. Supply itself becomes the bad news. Now look at the chart. The S&P 500 is sitting near the unlock danger zone. And the next major support is around $6,312. That means if this level breaks, the market can dump much deeper than people expect. This is NOT a normal IPO anymore. This is one of the biggest insider liquidity events in market history. Everyone is watching the SpaceX dream. I’m watching the exit door. I’ve studied macro for 10 years and called almost every major market top, including the October BTC ATH. Follow and turn notifications on. I’ll post the warning BEFORE it hits the headlines.

Wimar.X

120,326 views • 1 month ago

🚨THIS IS INSANE This is the Dot-Com crash overlaid on today’s S&P 500. And the overlap is almost PERFECT. Every week, I come back expecting the pattern to finally break. It does NOT. The market keeps following the same structure: → Same final pump → Same rejection → Same first correction → Same weak recovery → Same setup before the real crash Now look at the numbers. Dot-Com crash: → S&P 500 dropped around 49% → Nasdaq dropped around 78% → The collapse lasted more than 2 years Today: → AI stocks dominate the index → Valuations are near extreme levels → Retail is fully bullish → Everyone believes the rally will continue That is exactly how the last bubble ended. I’m not saying the S&P 500 must repeat the Dot-Com crash tick for tick. But when two market structures track this closely for this long, ignoring it becomes dangerous. People will say this time is different. They always do. What are your thoughts on this? Follow and turn notifications on. I’ll post the warning BEFORE it hits the headlines.

🚨THIS IS INSANE This is the Dot-Com crash overlaid on today’s S&P 500. And the overlap is almost PERFECT. Every week, I come back expecting the pattern to finally break. It does NOT. The market keeps following the same structure: → Same final pump → Same rejection → Same first correction → Same weak recovery → Same setup before the real crash Now look at the numbers. Dot-Com crash: → S&P 500 dropped around 49% → Nasdaq dropped around 78% → The collapse lasted more than 2 years Today: → AI stocks dominate the index → Valuations are near extreme levels → Retail is fully bullish → Everyone believes the rally will continue That is exactly how the last bubble ended. I’m not saying the S&P 500 must repeat the Dot-Com crash tick for tick. But when two market structures track this closely for this long, ignoring it becomes dangerous. People will say this time is different. They always do. What are your thoughts on this? Follow and turn notifications on. I’ll post the warning BEFORE it hits the headlines.

Wimar.X

366,451 views • 27 days ago

The world just paid $2 trillion for a rocket company that lost $4.9 billion last year. And the rockets are not why it lost the money. They are the only part making any. SpaceX went public Friday, the largest IPO in history. Up 19%, a $2 trillion valuation, Elon Musk the first trillionaire. Then you open the filing. Three businesses sit inside it. Starlink, the satellites, brought in $11.4 billion, 61% of all revenue, and $4.4 billion in profit. It is the only piece that earns a dollar. The rockets that land themselves run a small loss reinvesting in Starship. And the AI arm, Grok plus the app once called Twitter, folded in this February, lost $6.4 billion in a single year on $12.7 billion of spending. Read that again. The satellites pay for everything. The AI loses more than the satellites make. And the AI is the part the market fell in love with. It gets bolder. The prospectus claims a total market of $28.5 trillion, the largest any company has ever put in a filing. Larger than the GDP of the United States. That is the number underwriting a $2 trillion price tag built on a division bleeding $6 billion a year. Now the structure. About 4% of the company trades. That sliver sets the price for all of it. Musk is locked up for 366 days and holds roughly 80% of the votes. The public bought a company they cannot steer, priced on the one segment losing the most. This is the whole year in one ticker. The profit is satellites. The story is AI. The market bought the story. The rockets were never the risk. The risk is a $2 trillion price resting on the one bet that has yet to make a cent.

The world just paid $2 trillion for a rocket company that lost $4.9 billion last year. And the rockets are not why it lost the money. They are the only part making any. SpaceX went public Friday, the largest IPO in history. Up 19%, a $2 trillion valuation, Elon Musk the first trillionaire. Then you open the filing. Three businesses sit inside it. Starlink, the satellites, brought in $11.4 billion, 61% of all revenue, and $4.4 billion in profit. It is the only piece that earns a dollar. The rockets that land themselves run a small loss reinvesting in Starship. And the AI arm, Grok plus the app once called Twitter, folded in this February, lost $6.4 billion in a single year on $12.7 billion of spending. Read that again. The satellites pay for everything. The AI loses more than the satellites make. And the AI is the part the market fell in love with. It gets bolder. The prospectus claims a total market of $28.5 trillion, the largest any company has ever put in a filing. Larger than the GDP of the United States. That is the number underwriting a $2 trillion price tag built on a division bleeding $6 billion a year. Now the structure. About 4% of the company trades. That sliver sets the price for all of it. Musk is locked up for 366 days and holds roughly 80% of the votes. The public bought a company they cannot steer, priced on the one segment losing the most. This is the whole year in one ticker. The profit is satellites. The story is AI. The market bought the story. The rockets were never the risk. The risk is a $2 trillion price resting on the one bet that has yet to make a cent.

Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡

721,820 views • 1 month ago

TOMORROW SPACEX WILL KILL THE MARKETS In just 1 day - June 12, SpaceX announces its IPO Announced valuation is $1.77T - which guarantees Elon Musk's company a place in the top-10 global assets But for markets, especially $SPX as the main American index, this is a catastrophe Why? First, money has to come from somewhere to buy in SpaceX is selling only 4% of the company - meaning $75B flows out of existing positions into a single stock on day one Second - roughly 95% of shares sit with insiders, controlling around $1.6T in paper wealth Lock-ups will expire in stages Every quarter from now on becomes an insider exit window To justify $1.77T, SpaceX needs roughly $1.1T in annual revenue by 2035 That means 50% growth every single year for a decade - no slowdowns, no bad quarters But revenue in 2025 was $18.7B For example Samsung does $230B and trades at half this valuation Someone is going to be very wrong about this price This isn't an IPO. It's the largest liquidity event in Wall Street history Retail buys the rocket. Insiders board the exit The $SPX correction was mapped out here before the first candle confirmed it The next update is the one that matters most this cycle Turn on notifications or spend the next month catching up on what you missed

TOMORROW SPACEX WILL KILL THE MARKETS In just 1 day - June 12, SpaceX announces its IPO Announced valuation is $1.77T - which guarantees Elon Musk's company a place in the top-10 global assets But for markets, especially $SPX as the main American index, this is a catastrophe Why? First, money has to come from somewhere to buy in SpaceX is selling only 4% of the company - meaning $75B flows out of existing positions into a single stock on day one Second - roughly 95% of shares sit with insiders, controlling around $1.6T in paper wealth Lock-ups will expire in stages Every quarter from now on becomes an insider exit window To justify $1.77T, SpaceX needs roughly $1.1T in annual revenue by 2035 That means 50% growth every single year for a decade - no slowdowns, no bad quarters But revenue in 2025 was $18.7B For example Samsung does $230B and trades at half this valuation Someone is going to be very wrong about this price This isn't an IPO. It's the largest liquidity event in Wall Street history Retail buys the rocket. Insiders board the exit The $SPX correction was mapped out here before the first candle confirmed it The next update is the one that matters most this cycle Turn on notifications or spend the next month catching up on what you missed

bee🐝

65,312 views • 1 month ago

This could be the biggest IPO ever… and make Elon the first TRILLIONAIRE in history. SpaceX is quietly gearing up for a $1.5–$1.75 trillion valuation...yeah… trillion. that’s bigger than anything the market has ever seen...we’re talking about a potential $30–50 billion raise in one shot. the kind of money that doesn’t just fund a company… it reshapes an entire industry and for once… regular people might actually get a shot at owning a piece of it. speculated to drop around June 28… Elon’s birthday and the rumored ticker is $SEX 😭

This could be the biggest IPO ever… and make Elon the first TRILLIONAIRE in history. SpaceX is quietly gearing up for a $1.5–$1.75 trillion valuation...yeah… trillion. that’s bigger than anything the market has ever seen...we’re talking about a potential $30–50 billion raise in one shot. the kind of money that doesn’t just fund a company… it reshapes an entire industry and for once… regular people might actually get a shot at owning a piece of it. speculated to drop around June 28… Elon’s birthday and the rumored ticker is $SEX 😭

shirish

454,013 views • 4 months ago

🤯 THE STOCK MARKET JUST BECAME THE EXIT LIQUIDITY AND ALMOST NOBODY SEES IT. Three of the largest IPOs in history are landing in one five month window. SpaceX. OpenAI. Anthropic. More than $135 billion in new stock about to be sold. Every dollar that buys it has to come from somewhere. It comes from what funds already hold. And the thing every fund is overweight is the S&P 500. That is what gets sold first. Record highs. Record euphoria. Record new supply. All at the same time. That is not strength. That is the setup.

🤯 THE STOCK MARKET JUST BECAME THE EXIT LIQUIDITY AND ALMOST NOBODY SEES IT. Three of the largest IPOs in history are landing in one five month window. SpaceX. OpenAI. Anthropic. More than $135 billion in new stock about to be sold. Every dollar that buys it has to come from somewhere. It comes from what funds already hold. And the thing every fund is overweight is the S&P 500. That is what gets sold first. Record highs. Record euphoria. Record new supply. All at the same time. That is not strength. That is the setup.

Mister Crypto

14,931 views • 1 month ago

🚨12 JUNE WILL BE THE WORST DAY FOR ALL MARKETS! That’s not clickbait. Not fake. You MUST read this before it's too late. The SpaceX IPO will become the biggest cash-out event in financial history. I'm not exaggerating. This is a serious problem for the markets. SpaceX valuation: $2T, revenue: $18.7B. Samsung valuation: $850B, revenue: $230B. To justify that valuation, SpaceX would need roughly $1.1T in revenue by 2035. That means nearly 50% annual growth for an entire decade. No slowdown, no bad quarters, no missed expectations. Now look at what's really happening. Insiders reportedly own around 95% of the shares and control approximately $1.6T in paper wealth. By November, up to 93% of eligible insider shares will be unlocked for sale. This isn't just another IPO. It's one of the biggest liquidity events Wall Street has ever seen. I've studied macro for 10 years and called almost every major market top, including the October BTC ATH. Follow and turn notifications on. I'll post the warning BEFORE it hits the headlines.

🚨12 JUNE WILL BE THE WORST DAY FOR ALL MARKETS! That’s not clickbait. Not fake. You MUST read this before it's too late. The SpaceX IPO will become the biggest cash-out event in financial history. I'm not exaggerating. This is a serious problem for the markets. SpaceX valuation: $2T, revenue: $18.7B. Samsung valuation: $850B, revenue: $230B. To justify that valuation, SpaceX would need roughly $1.1T in revenue by 2035. That means nearly 50% annual growth for an entire decade. No slowdown, no bad quarters, no missed expectations. Now look at what's really happening. Insiders reportedly own around 95% of the shares and control approximately $1.6T in paper wealth. By November, up to 93% of eligible insider shares will be unlocked for sale. This isn't just another IPO. It's one of the biggest liquidity events Wall Street has ever seen. I've studied macro for 10 years and called almost every major market top, including the October BTC ATH. Follow and turn notifications on. I'll post the warning BEFORE it hits the headlines.

Wimar.X

369,840 views • 1 month ago

🚨 WARNING: TOMORROW WILL BE THE WORST DAY OF 2026!! In 24 hours, SpaceX goes public at a $1.75 TRILLION valuation - the biggest IPO in history. I've been trading for 10+ years, and I've never seen the financial system bend its own rules for ONE private company. Nasdaq. MSCI. America's largest brokerages. All changing long-standing rules for a single company. That doesn't happen by coincidence. Let me tell you what's really going on: First, Fidelity slashed its minimum account requirement from $500,000 to just $2,000. A 99.6% reduction. Think about that for a second. One of Wall Street's most exclusive gates was suddenly opened to millions of everyday investors - right before the biggest market debut of all time. Why do they suddenly want YOU involved? Because someone needs buyers. SpaceX set aside 30% of the offering for retail investors. That's THREE TIMES the typical allocation. And despite that, many investors still received only partial allocations. Which means anyone wanting more shares will be chasing them when trading begins. To do that, they're selling other positions TODAY to raise cash. That's one side of the selling pressure you're seeing. The other? Institutional money positioning ahead of July. Here's the part most people are missing: SpaceX won't enter the Nasdaq 100 immediately. It gets added 15 days later. Why? Because Nasdaq shortened its own waiting period from 3 months to just 15 days. Specifically for this event. The second SpaceX joins the index, every fund is REQUIRED to buy shares. That's an estimated $22–27 billion of automatic demand. The big funds are selling assets now to build cash reserves. Retail is selling. Institutions are selling. Both at the same time. THAT is what's driving this selloff. Now for the part nobody wants to say publicly: When the most powerful money managers in the world create a $1.75 trillion liquidity event and invite the smallest investors to participate at the last minute... That's not generosity. That's distribution. We've watched this play out before: → Dot-com bubble (2000) → COVID crash (2020) Insiders exit at extreme valuations. The crowd rushes in chasing momentum. Something doesn't add up. So over the next 24 hours, you have two options: Buy into the most expensive IPO ever at the opening bell... Or dig into the prospectus and consider the possibility that YOU are the liquidity event. The next few days are going to be wild. I've publicly called some of the biggest tops and bottoms of the past decade. And I'll call this one too. I’ve spent decades studying markets, and I’ve called most major tops and bottoms along the way. And I’ll call it again in 2026. Follow me and turn notifications on before it’s too late. Don’t become exit liquidity.

🚨 WARNING: TOMORROW WILL BE THE WORST DAY OF 2026!! In 24 hours, SpaceX goes public at a $1.75 TRILLION valuation - the biggest IPO in history. I've been trading for 10+ years, and I've never seen the financial system bend its own rules for ONE private company. Nasdaq. MSCI. America's largest brokerages. All changing long-standing rules for a single company. That doesn't happen by coincidence. Let me tell you what's really going on: First, Fidelity slashed its minimum account requirement from $500,000 to just $2,000. A 99.6% reduction. Think about that for a second. One of Wall Street's most exclusive gates was suddenly opened to millions of everyday investors - right before the biggest market debut of all time. Why do they suddenly want YOU involved? Because someone needs buyers. SpaceX set aside 30% of the offering for retail investors. That's THREE TIMES the typical allocation. And despite that, many investors still received only partial allocations. Which means anyone wanting more shares will be chasing them when trading begins. To do that, they're selling other positions TODAY to raise cash. That's one side of the selling pressure you're seeing. The other? Institutional money positioning ahead of July. Here's the part most people are missing: SpaceX won't enter the Nasdaq 100 immediately. It gets added 15 days later. Why? Because Nasdaq shortened its own waiting period from 3 months to just 15 days. Specifically for this event. The second SpaceX joins the index, every fund is REQUIRED to buy shares. That's an estimated $22–27 billion of automatic demand. The big funds are selling assets now to build cash reserves. Retail is selling. Institutions are selling. Both at the same time. THAT is what's driving this selloff. Now for the part nobody wants to say publicly: When the most powerful money managers in the world create a $1.75 trillion liquidity event and invite the smallest investors to participate at the last minute... That's not generosity. That's distribution. We've watched this play out before: → Dot-com bubble (2000) → COVID crash (2020) Insiders exit at extreme valuations. The crowd rushes in chasing momentum. Something doesn't add up. So over the next 24 hours, you have two options: Buy into the most expensive IPO ever at the opening bell... Or dig into the prospectus and consider the possibility that YOU are the liquidity event. The next few days are going to be wild. I've publicly called some of the biggest tops and bottoms of the past decade. And I'll call this one too. I’ve spent decades studying markets, and I’ve called most major tops and bottoms along the way. And I’ll call it again in 2026. Follow me and turn notifications on before it’s too late. Don’t become exit liquidity.

0xNobler

283,952 views • 1 month ago

Why is the market selling off today? (Save this). The semi selloff right now is being driven by a mix of macro fear, profit taking and investors questioning how quickly all of this AI spending will actually pay off, not because demand for AI infrastructure suddenly disappeared. The market is basically trading this chain reaction, the ongoing US Iran escalation pushes oil higher, higher oil keeps inflation elevated, sticky inflation keeps Treasury yields high and that increases the risk of the Fed staying hawkish or even hiking again. That is a terrible setup for semis because many of these companies are valued on the massive earnings investors expect them to generate years from now. When yields rise, those future earnings become worth less today which is why the highest multiple AI and semiconductor names usually get hit first. (I don't think there will be a hike this year). This is also why everything is moving together right now. Nvidia, Micron, Nebius, SanDisk, Broadcom and Applied Optoelectronics are all completely different businesses, but institutions are not separating memory, networking, optics, compute and cloud infrastructure at the moment. They are reducing exposure to the entire AI trade, taking profits in the names that have already run the most and moving into a more defensive position potentially ahead of the Fed. There is also growing pressure around hyperscaler capex. Microsoft, Meta, Amazon and Google are still spending enormous amounts on GPUs, data centers, networking and power but the market is starting to ask when all of that spending will actually turn into revenue and free cash flow. Investors are no longer satisfied with hearing that AI capex is growing. They want proof that the returns are arriving fast enough to justify the valuations already priced into the entire AI ecosystem. That creates a weird situation where hyperscaler capex can continue rising while semiconductor stocks still fall. The market is not asking whether AI spending is growing anymore but rather asking whether it is growing fast enough to beat the expectations already baked into these stocks. Crowded positioning is another major factor. Semis and AI infrastructure stocks have been some of the biggest winners in the market so institutions are sitting on huge profits and many funds own the exact same names. When macro risk increases, investors usually sell the most liquid winners first. That does not mean demand for memory, optics or custom chips suddenly collapsed but rather means investors are locking in gains and reducing risk. Tariffs add another layer because even when they are not directly placed on chips, they can still raise the cost of servers, electrical equipment, cooling systems, construction materials and the overall data center buildout. That makes AI infrastructure more expensive while also adding another source of inflation. Then you have Jensen Huang’s letter to the White House this morning about open weight AI models, which I think is one of the most important long term developments here. Nvidia, Meta, Microsoft, Palantir and several other companies are pushing Washington not to place broad restrictions on open weight AI. OpenAI and Anthropic were notably absent because open models are much more of a threat to their business models. OpenAI and Anthropic benefit from a world where a few closed frontier labs control the best models and companies have to pay them through subscriptions and APIs. Open weight models weaken that advantage because businesses can download a model, customize it for their own use and run it on their own infrastructure or through a neocloud. That is bad for OpenAI and Anthropic because it puts pressure on pricing, margins and the idea that they will control the intelligence layer of the economy but it is very good for the AI ecosystem as a whole over the long run. But the question is what does this mean for all the OpenAI and Anthropic commitments? so that's adding to the fear as well. But with that being said open models make AI cheaper and more accessible. Instead of AI being controlled by a few giant labs, thousands of startups, universities, governments and regular businesses can deploy models themselves. That spreads AI adoption across the entire economy and creates a much larger infrastructure opportunity and that is exactly why Jensen cares. Nvidia does not need OpenAI or Anthropic to win. Nvidia just needs more people using AI. Whether the model comes from OpenAI, Anthropic, Meta, Mistral, Kimi or some startup nobody has heard of yet, it still needs GPUs, memory, networking, data centers and electricity. So open weight AI could actually weaken the model companies while making the infrastructure layer much bigger. More open models mean more companies running inference. More inference means more GPUs. More GPUs mean more HBM, optical transceivers, switches, data centers and power. That is bullish for Nvidia Nebius, Micron, Broadcom , Marvell and Applied Optoelectronics over the long run. So my take is that the current semi selloff is being driven mostly by macro uncertainty, higher oil, rising yields, Fed fears, tariffs, crowded positioning and questions around the return on hyperscaler capex. The underlying AI infrastructure thesis has not suddenly broken. We are not broadly seeing hyperscalers cancel GPU orders, slash capex, abandon data center projects or report that AI demand has collapsed. What has changed is the valuation investors are willing to pay while the macro environment remains unstable. The market is lowering the price it is willing to pay for semiconductor growth but is not necessarily saying that growth is gone. And while Jensen’s open weight push may be bad for OpenAI and Anthropic, it could be one of the best things possible for the AI ecosystem over the long run because it creates more models, more developers, more competition and ultimately much more demand for the infrastructure underneath all of it. Nothing about the AI thesis has changed for me, so I will be going shopping and taking advantage of this sale while the market is selling everything together. I am an analyst at Milk Road Pro, and if you want to see exactly what I am buying, you can join for just $1 using the link below.

Why is the market selling off today? (Save this). The semi selloff right now is being driven by a mix of macro fear, profit taking and investors questioning how quickly all of this AI spending will actually pay off, not because demand for AI infrastructure suddenly disappeared. The market is basically trading this chain reaction, the ongoing US Iran escalation pushes oil higher, higher oil keeps inflation elevated, sticky inflation keeps Treasury yields high and that increases the risk of the Fed staying hawkish or even hiking again. That is a terrible setup for semis because many of these companies are valued on the massive earnings investors expect them to generate years from now. When yields rise, those future earnings become worth less today which is why the highest multiple AI and semiconductor names usually get hit first. (I don't think there will be a hike this year). This is also why everything is moving together right now. Nvidia, Micron, Nebius, SanDisk, Broadcom and Applied Optoelectronics are all completely different businesses, but institutions are not separating memory, networking, optics, compute and cloud infrastructure at the moment. They are reducing exposure to the entire AI trade, taking profits in the names that have already run the most and moving into a more defensive position potentially ahead of the Fed. There is also growing pressure around hyperscaler capex. Microsoft, Meta, Amazon and Google are still spending enormous amounts on GPUs, data centers, networking and power but the market is starting to ask when all of that spending will actually turn into revenue and free cash flow. Investors are no longer satisfied with hearing that AI capex is growing. They want proof that the returns are arriving fast enough to justify the valuations already priced into the entire AI ecosystem. That creates a weird situation where hyperscaler capex can continue rising while semiconductor stocks still fall. The market is not asking whether AI spending is growing anymore but rather asking whether it is growing fast enough to beat the expectations already baked into these stocks. Crowded positioning is another major factor. Semis and AI infrastructure stocks have been some of the biggest winners in the market so institutions are sitting on huge profits and many funds own the exact same names. When macro risk increases, investors usually sell the most liquid winners first. That does not mean demand for memory, optics or custom chips suddenly collapsed but rather means investors are locking in gains and reducing risk. Tariffs add another layer because even when they are not directly placed on chips, they can still raise the cost of servers, electrical equipment, cooling systems, construction materials and the overall data center buildout. That makes AI infrastructure more expensive while also adding another source of inflation. Then you have Jensen Huang’s letter to the White House this morning about open weight AI models, which I think is one of the most important long term developments here. Nvidia, Meta, Microsoft, Palantir and several other companies are pushing Washington not to place broad restrictions on open weight AI. OpenAI and Anthropic were notably absent because open models are much more of a threat to their business models. OpenAI and Anthropic benefit from a world where a few closed frontier labs control the best models and companies have to pay them through subscriptions and APIs. Open weight models weaken that advantage because businesses can download a model, customize it for their own use and run it on their own infrastructure or through a neocloud. That is bad for OpenAI and Anthropic because it puts pressure on pricing, margins and the idea that they will control the intelligence layer of the economy but it is very good for the AI ecosystem as a whole over the long run. But the question is what does this mean for all the OpenAI and Anthropic commitments? so that's adding to the fear as well. But with that being said open models make AI cheaper and more accessible. Instead of AI being controlled by a few giant labs, thousands of startups, universities, governments and regular businesses can deploy models themselves. That spreads AI adoption across the entire economy and creates a much larger infrastructure opportunity and that is exactly why Jensen cares. Nvidia does not need OpenAI or Anthropic to win. Nvidia just needs more people using AI. Whether the model comes from OpenAI, Anthropic, Meta, Mistral, Kimi or some startup nobody has heard of yet, it still needs GPUs, memory, networking, data centers and electricity. So open weight AI could actually weaken the model companies while making the infrastructure layer much bigger. More open models mean more companies running inference. More inference means more GPUs. More GPUs mean more HBM, optical transceivers, switches, data centers and power. That is bullish for Nvidia Nebius, Micron, Broadcom , Marvell and Applied Optoelectronics over the long run. So my take is that the current semi selloff is being driven mostly by macro uncertainty, higher oil, rising yields, Fed fears, tariffs, crowded positioning and questions around the return on hyperscaler capex. The underlying AI infrastructure thesis has not suddenly broken. We are not broadly seeing hyperscalers cancel GPU orders, slash capex, abandon data center projects or report that AI demand has collapsed. What has changed is the valuation investors are willing to pay while the macro environment remains unstable. The market is lowering the price it is willing to pay for semiconductor growth but is not necessarily saying that growth is gone. And while Jensen’s open weight push may be bad for OpenAI and Anthropic, it could be one of the best things possible for the AI ecosystem over the long run because it creates more models, more developers, more competition and ultimately much more demand for the infrastructure underneath all of it. Nothing about the AI thesis has changed for me, so I will be going shopping and taking advantage of this sale while the market is selling everything together. I am an analyst at Milk Road Pro, and if you want to see exactly what I am buying, you can join for just $1 using the link below.

Melvin

179,508 views • 13 days ago

🚨EVERYTHING IS GOING EXACTLY AS I TOLD YOU $SPCX is already cracking before the August unlock. Let me say it again in the simplest words possible. Right now only 4% of SpaceX is actually trading. The other 96% is locked. That is the only reason the chart looks the way it does. Insiders, employees, early funds, all sitting on shares they cannot sell. Yet. But August changes everything. After the Q2 report, the first 20% of insider stock unlocks. Look at the numbers. Only 4% of SpaceX is trading right now. In August, 20% more gets unlocked. That is 5 times more stock than what is on the market today. All hitting at once. And who do they sell to? Retail still chasing the SpaceX dream. Index funds that were forced to buy on June 13. Everyone who bought after the pump. This is the exact same playbook from crypto. Tiny float. Massive valuation. Index inclusion. Forced buyers. Then the unlock cliff. SpaceX is doing it at $2 trillion. The first cracks are already showing on the chart. Most people are still watching the pump. I'm watching August. The first exit door is about to swing wide open. And the last buyer always pays for the dream. I've been calling tops for 10 years. Shorted BTC from 111K in October. The next call is bigger. Follow and turn notifications on. I post BEFORE the headlines do.

🚨EVERYTHING IS GOING EXACTLY AS I TOLD YOU $SPCX is already cracking before the August unlock. Let me say it again in the simplest words possible. Right now only 4% of SpaceX is actually trading. The other 96% is locked. That is the only reason the chart looks the way it does. Insiders, employees, early funds, all sitting on shares they cannot sell. Yet. But August changes everything. After the Q2 report, the first 20% of insider stock unlocks. Look at the numbers. Only 4% of SpaceX is trading right now. In August, 20% more gets unlocked. That is 5 times more stock than what is on the market today. All hitting at once. And who do they sell to? Retail still chasing the SpaceX dream. Index funds that were forced to buy on June 13. Everyone who bought after the pump. This is the exact same playbook from crypto. Tiny float. Massive valuation. Index inclusion. Forced buyers. Then the unlock cliff. SpaceX is doing it at $2 trillion. The first cracks are already showing on the chart. Most people are still watching the pump. I'm watching August. The first exit door is about to swing wide open. And the last buyer always pays for the dream. I've been calling tops for 10 years. Shorted BTC from 111K in October. The next call is bigger. Follow and turn notifications on. I post BEFORE the headlines do.

winkle.

35,098 views • 1 month ago

🚨 SOMETHING EXTREMELY BAD IS COMING FOR SPACEX!! After SpaceX releases its Q2 report, 20% of insider shares will unlock. Only around 4% of the shares are trading right now. That unlock is FIVE TIMES the current public float. Everyone sees the $SPCX pump. Almost nobody is watching what's coming next. Let me explain this in simple words. Right now: → Only around 4% is trading → Passive funds are forced to buy → Liquidity is extremely low → Scarcity pushes the price higher Then August arrives. A massive new block of shares can enter the market. And who will insiders sell to? Retail chasing the SpaceX dream. Passive funds forced into the stock. People buying after the pump. This is the same setup we see in crypto. Tiny float first. Huge valuation next. Then the unlock starts. Tokens like LAB and RAVE used the same playbook. The team controls almost everything. A tiny supply pumps the chart. Then locked supply opens and early investors get exit liquidity. SpaceX is doing the same thing on a much bigger scale. Keep the float near 4%. Pump the valuation toward $2 TRILLION. Force index funds to buy. Then unlock 20% after Q2 earnings. That is where the real test begins. Most people are watching the current pump. I'm watching August. Because the first major insider exit door is about to open. The last buyer always pays for the dream. I've studied macro for 10 years and called almost every major market top, including the October BTC ATH. Follow and turn notifications on. I'll post the warning BEFORE it hits the headlines.

🚨 SOMETHING EXTREMELY BAD IS COMING FOR SPACEX!! After SpaceX releases its Q2 report, 20% of insider shares will unlock. Only around 4% of the shares are trading right now. That unlock is FIVE TIMES the current public float. Everyone sees the $SPCX pump. Almost nobody is watching what's coming next. Let me explain this in simple words. Right now: → Only around 4% is trading → Passive funds are forced to buy → Liquidity is extremely low → Scarcity pushes the price higher Then August arrives. A massive new block of shares can enter the market. And who will insiders sell to? Retail chasing the SpaceX dream. Passive funds forced into the stock. People buying after the pump. This is the same setup we see in crypto. Tiny float first. Huge valuation next. Then the unlock starts. Tokens like LAB and RAVE used the same playbook. The team controls almost everything. A tiny supply pumps the chart. Then locked supply opens and early investors get exit liquidity. SpaceX is doing the same thing on a much bigger scale. Keep the float near 4%. Pump the valuation toward $2 TRILLION. Force index funds to buy. Then unlock 20% after Q2 earnings. That is where the real test begins. Most people are watching the current pump. I'm watching August. Because the first major insider exit door is about to open. The last buyer always pays for the dream. I've studied macro for 10 years and called almost every major market top, including the October BTC ATH. Follow and turn notifications on. I'll post the warning BEFORE it hits the headlines.

Wimar.X

73,929 views • 1 month ago

There has been a lot of hand wringing on the appropriate valuation of SpaceX. Some large institutions believe SpaceX can only be valued at half what the market seems to be willing to pay for it. Others are claiming it has 15X appreciation ahead of it. Almost all of this difference of opinion comes down to how comfortable you are modeling beyond 2030 and what valuation method you use. 2030 valuation using a traditional Gordan DCF produces a very different result than a 2040 EV/EBITDA Multiple. Both have pros and cons. Most analysts don’t really discuss this and lead with a headline number. We are very comfortable modeling out to 2040, as large portions of what SpaceX is proposing is real world infrastructure, which provides modelable physics constraints to anchor against. The analysis we released today explores this in-depth, its open to the public all the way through IPO. I highly encourage you check it out prior to then. We’ve run 5,000 monte carlo runs across 500 variables (real number, even though it sounds fake) and three valuation methods. This video is of a 3D cloud chart showing every simulation outcome expected in valuation output across two of the most impactful variables to the model when using an EV/EBITDA multiple from 2026 to 2040. The horizontal axis is the steepness of the orbital data center demand S-curve. The vertical axis is the rate at which chip compute efficiency becomes cheaper. Each of the 5,000 dots is one simulated future; green dots are the ones where SpaceX's 2040 value clears the $1.77T IPO line, over time. Under EV/EBITDA valuation through 2040, 96% of our simulated futures clear the expected IPO price once the bell rings Friday. We aren’t publishing this publicly to tell investors what the stock is worth, we’re publishing this to help investors understand the world of outcomes, what the fundamentals suggest through 2040, and what frankly most analysis simply won’t share. SpaceX is a generational company working on long term infrastructure harnessing a domain no one has been able to tap in so far: space. It deserves doing the work as an investor. because this in not financial advice. The cleanest way to hold SpaceX is a bond stapled to a call option (AI-Compute); Starlink is the bond, the near term SatCom annuity that funds the next flywheel. Understand the world of outcomes and take your position accordingly. Comparables and P/E won't take you far enough.

There has been a lot of hand wringing on the appropriate valuation of SpaceX. Some large institutions believe SpaceX can only be valued at half what the market seems to be willing to pay for it. Others are claiming it has 15X appreciation ahead of it. Almost all of this difference of opinion comes down to how comfortable you are modeling beyond 2030 and what valuation method you use. 2030 valuation using a traditional Gordan DCF produces a very different result than a 2040 EV/EBITDA Multiple. Both have pros and cons. Most analysts don’t really discuss this and lead with a headline number. We are very comfortable modeling out to 2040, as large portions of what SpaceX is proposing is real world infrastructure, which provides modelable physics constraints to anchor against. The analysis we released today explores this in-depth, its open to the public all the way through IPO. I highly encourage you check it out prior to then. We’ve run 5,000 monte carlo runs across 500 variables (real number, even though it sounds fake) and three valuation methods. This video is of a 3D cloud chart showing every simulation outcome expected in valuation output across two of the most impactful variables to the model when using an EV/EBITDA multiple from 2026 to 2040. The horizontal axis is the steepness of the orbital data center demand S-curve. The vertical axis is the rate at which chip compute efficiency becomes cheaper. Each of the 5,000 dots is one simulated future; green dots are the ones where SpaceX's 2040 value clears the $1.77T IPO line, over time. Under EV/EBITDA valuation through 2040, 96% of our simulated futures clear the expected IPO price once the bell rings Friday. We aren’t publishing this publicly to tell investors what the stock is worth, we’re publishing this to help investors understand the world of outcomes, what the fundamentals suggest through 2040, and what frankly most analysis simply won’t share. SpaceX is a generational company working on long term infrastructure harnessing a domain no one has been able to tap in so far: space. It deserves doing the work as an investor. because this in not financial advice. The cleanest way to hold SpaceX is a bond stapled to a call option (AI-Compute); Starlink is the bond, the near term SatCom annuity that funds the next flywheel. Understand the world of outcomes and take your position accordingly. Comparables and P/E won't take you far enough.

Aaron Burnett

1,519,872 views • 1 month ago