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📺 THIS IS THE BEST $PLTR SETUP WE’VE SEEN IN MONTHS + CRYPTO IS LOOKING READY $PLTR is no longer the overhyped, “priced for perfection” trade it once was. After months of consolidation and a series of lower highs, the structure has reset, and risk/reward in $PLTR looks more...

11,471 次观看 • 3 个月前 •via X (Twitter)

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I spent 2 hours of my Saturday reviewing hundreds of charts. These are the setups that stood out and what you should focus on this week. Small caps are leading. Semiconductors are trying to reclaim leadership. Most of the Magnificent 7 still look tired. $IWM closed at new highs. $SMTC may be one of the cleanest setups on the board. $SPCX enters its first full week as a public company. Here’s the watchlist and recording: $SPX: Strong bounce off the 50-day. Reclaimed 7335-7340 and closed above the prior Friday low. Above 7450 opens a move toward 7520. Below 7400 puts pressure back on the market. $QQQ: Back near the highs. Above 724 keeps momentum intact and opens the door to a retest of all-time highs. $IWM: One of the strongest charts right now. Closed at new highs around 293 and continues to lead. $SMH: Semiconductors bounced hard and remain a key leadership group. Watching for continuation higher. $BTC: Attempting to form a bottom, but still no clear setup. Needs more time. $MSFT: Failed after the move toward the 200-day. No compelling setup here for now. $META: Broke below 600 and continues to look vulnerable. Could see further downside if buyers don't step in soon. $AMZN: Still holding above the 200-day. Watching 243 and 250 for signs of strength. $AAPL: Clear bear flag developing. Relative weakness remains compared to the broader market. $NVDA: Struggling below key moving averages. No clean setup at the moment. $TSLA: Better than most mega caps. Closed near highs Friday. Watching how it behaves alongside $SPCX. $GOOGL: Lower highs and below key moving averages. Needs a catalyst to regain momentum. $SPCX: First full week as a public company. Watching the IPO range closely. Above the highs could trigger momentum. Below 150 would be a warning sign. $ROKU: Huge move on strategic acquisition headlines. Above 150 keeps momentum alive. $ARM: One of the stronger semiconductor charts. Holding 380 and breaking 385 could trigger another leg higher. $AXTI: Photonics remains interesting. Watching 104 for continuation. $INTC: One of the strongest semis on Friday. Above 128 could trigger a meaningful breakout. $WDC: Filled the gap and recovered well. Watching for continuation above 572. $SNDK: Excellent relative strength. Needs to reclaim and hold above 2000. $MU: Lagging behind SNDK. Watching 1000 and 1015 closely. $AMD: Strong bounce. Holding 500 and reclaiming 510-520 could open a move toward highs. $NBIS: One of the more interesting setups. Above 240 could trigger fresh momentum. $QCOM: Double-bottom style setup near range lows. Looking for rotation back toward highs. CAVA: Quiet recovery underway. Looks capable of making a run toward 100. $WOLF: Strong relative strength. Above 26.5 remains interesting. $RL: New highs. Watching 400 hold and continuation above 405. $AMAT: Clean continuation setup. Watching prior-day highs. $GS: Improving again. Above 1080 opens the door to 1100. $JPM: One of the stronger financial setups. Watching 322. $SMTC: One of my favorite charts right now. Watching 170-173 for a breakout. $BAC: Quietly approaching new highs. $CAT: Rotation candidate if money moves away from tech. Watching 920-930. $C: New highs and one of the strongest bank charts. $HLT / $MAR: Hotels continue to show strength and sit near highs. $LRCX: Strong trend remains intact. Watching above 370. $HOOD: Strong recovery. Watching 95-96 for continuation. $GE: Constructive hammer candle. Looks capable of making another run at highs. $MRVL: One of the better semiconductor setups. Above 300 could accelerate quickly. $UNH: Quiet strength. Watching continuation toward 440-445. SNOW: Pulling back after a strong run. Needs time to reset. $RKLB: Space trade cooled significantly after the $SPCX IPO. Needs stabilization. $ASTS: Similar story. Heavy pullback after a huge run into the IPO. Overall theme: The market bounced, but confirmation is still needed. IWM, semiconductors, memory names, and financials are showing the best relative strength. Most of the Magnificent 7 continue to lag and remain below key moving averages. SMTC, INTC, SNDK, NBIS, MRVL, SPCX, and JPM are some of my favorite charts going into next week. If you like this, then like it ❤️

spacemonkey

95,373 次观看 • 2 个月前

I spent 2 hours of my Saturday reviewing hundreds of charts. These are the setups that stood out and what you should focus on this week. Software and healthcare are starting to catch a bid. Semiconductors are showing fatigue. The next rotation may already be underway. 📼 Video attached (8m 25s) $SNOW is breaking higher from a strong earnings base. $PANW is reclaiming 300 and looks ready for continuation. $LLY continues to show exceptional relative strength. Here’s the watchlist and recording: $SPX: Still trapped in a range. 7338 remains the key support. Holding it keeps the higher-low thesis intact. Below 7236 opens downside toward 7150. Above 7500 would be a strong signal that the pullback is complete. $QQQ: Showing relative weakness versus SPX. Holding the 50-day moving average for now, but a break below 700 could open a move toward 685. $IWM: One of the strongest indices right now. Watching 300 closely. A breakout could trigger a move into all-time highs and potentially much higher. $SMH: Starting to roll over. Unable to hold the 9-day moving average. Below 600 could open a larger pullback toward 550. $IGV: One of the most interesting charts in the market. Software finally caught a strong bid on Friday after weeks of selling. Watching for continuation. $AAPL: Strong relative strength Friday. Above 286 could trigger a gap-fill toward 293. Above 302 would be very bullish. $MSFT: Potential swing low forming. Failed breakdown at yearly lows and a strong reversal Friday. Needs 376-380 reclaimed before confidence returns. $GOOGL: Nice bounce but still lacking a clear setup. Watching for follow-through from Friday’s strength. $AMZN: Still fighting with the 200-day moving average. Worth monitoring if the rotation into mega caps continues. $NFLX: One of the stronger recoveries. Holding 70 and reclaiming 75 could trigger a failed-breakdown move back toward highs. $NVDA: Still weak. Watching 109 and the 200-day moving average. A break there could lead to another leg lower. $TSLA: Remains difficult. Needs a move back above 400 before becoming interesting. Bigger level remains 418 near the 200-day moving average. $FCEL: Huge momentum. Watching a break above 25-26 for continuation. $MRNA: Healthcare remains strong. Watching above 68 for continuation. $NOW: Attempting to bottom. Watching for a reclaim of the 50-day moving average. $SNOW: One of the better software charts. Holding the earnings gap and breaking trend. Watching 248-250. $DDOG: Strong software setup. Holding its earnings gap and building a higher low. Watching 242. $BROS: Breaking a major daily trendline. Watching above 72 for continuation toward 80+. $CROX: Strong relative strength. Watching 130 for continuation. $LLY: One of the strongest charts in healthcare. Watching continuation above 1200 or a pullback into support. $UBER: Excellent recovery. Reclaimed the 50-day moving average. Watching 76.5-77. $XYZ: Strong close near range highs. Above 78 could open a move toward 82-85. $NET: Software leadership candidate. Watching above 240. $HUT: Strong setup. Watching a breakout above 127-130. $OKTA: Similar setup to SNOW and DDOG. Watching 125 for continuation. $OSCR: Healthcare continues to lead. Above 30 could open a move toward 37 and all-time highs. $XLV: One of the strongest sectors in the market. Healthcare continues to attract capital. $PANW: One of my favorite charts. Holding 300 and reclaiming 305-306 could trigger a major move. $CRWD: Looking constructive. Holding 700 is key. Watching 704-705. $ABNB: Watching the important 148-150 area. $SN: Strong trend. Watching 145-146 for continuation. $SPCX: Holding the 150 area. No trade for now unless it breaks below 148 or reclaims momentum higher. $MU: Pulling back after a huge run. Watching 1000 and 1100. $QCOM: Looking tired. A break below 186 could open further downside. $SNDK: Needs to hold 2000. Below that, 1850 becomes the next major area. Overall theme: Money appears to be rotating out of semiconductors and AI leaders. Software is finally showing signs of life. Healthcare continues to outperform. The best opportunities may no longer be where they’ve been for the last few months. SNOW, PANW, LLY, DDOG, CRWD, and FCEL are some of my favorite charts going into next week. If you like this, please like it ❤️

spacemonkey

56,205 次观看 • 1 个月前

Qullamaggie on The Big Money is Made in Holding Winners “Exactly. Big money is made in the sitting. I absolutely agree. All my biggest winners this year, SE, I was in this thing for what? 4 months? 3 months? Went up 160%. It didn't go up 160% in a day. No, it took 3 months. FSLY, another one. When we bought it on earnings here in the 30s, this thing went up 250%. It didn't go up 250% in a day, it took a couple of months. Now obviously I didn't trade this perfectly, but you know, it's all about catching big moves and catching the big juicy part in the middle. And you're gonna be financially independent in no time. On the big winners, I use the 10 and 20 day moving averages as trailing stops. That’s the mistake I made on NVAX. I really didn't wait for it to close below the 10 day. Like I just randomly sold it because I thought it was extended. Like, ah, it's not going to go up much more. I sold it like on this day here, right? It never even touched the 10 day. It went sideways for like a week. Then went up another 70%. If I had just had used the simple, close below the 10-day, which is what I usually use, the 10 and 20-day moving averages, my trailing stops, I would have made another, I don't know, a lot of money on it. Hundreds of thousands of dollars. So, you know, sometimes it's hard to stick to rules. It's hard. One thing I don't have a hard time with is stop losses, but sometimes, like I said before, holding a big winner is a really really hard thing to do sometimes. It really is. It's just unbelievably hard.”

Lone

15,696 次观看 • 1 年前

I spent 2 hours of my Saturday reviewing hundreds of charts. These are the setups that stood out and what you should focus on this week. The market continues to rotate rather than break. Semiconductors are starting to recover. Software is losing momentum. The major indices remain less than 1% from all-time highs. $AAPL continues to lead. $NVDA is reclaiming key levels. $SMH is trying to turn higher. Here’s the watchlist and recording: $SPX: Second straight green week. Holding the 9-day and 20-day while consolidating in what looks like a bull flag. Above 7580 opens a test of the 7621 all-time high. Above that, 7800+ becomes the next objective. Below 7500 would make me more cautious. $QQQ: Similar setup to SPX. Holding key moving averages and ending the week with a hammer candle. Above 725–726 opens the door toward 740. $IWM: Less convincing than SPX and QQQ. Still trapped inside a range. Hands off until relative strength returns. $IGV: Software is struggling at the 200-day moving average. Two failed attempts higher. Hands off for now. $SMH: Semiconductors are starting to wake up again. Holding the prior breakout area and attempting a double-bottom reversal. One of the more constructive groups going into next week. $BTC: Trying to carve out a bottom. Above 70 would improve the picture. Reclaiming 75 would be a much bigger technical shift. $AAPL: One of my favorite charts. Back testing all-time highs. Above 317.4 opens 320 and potentially new highs. $META: Reclaimed the 200-day moving average. Above 683 opens the door toward 700. $MSFT: Still choppy. No clear edge here yet. $GOOGL: Below all key moving averages. Needs more time. $AMZN: Failed at 250 and back inside its range. Above 250 becomes interesting again. $NFLX: Friday hurt the bullish case. Holding 70 but back below 75–76. Hands off. $NVDA: Strong week. Back above all major moving averages for the first time in weeks. Above 212 could trigger another leg higher. $TSLA: Still holding 400 but capped by the 200-day. Above 418–420 becomes the next meaningful trigger. $AMD: One of the stronger semiconductor charts. Above 560 could accelerate toward new highs. $AVGO: Constructive after the recent recovery. Watching 408–410 for continuation. $CRWV: Strong news but finished with a sharp reversal. Waiting for confirmation. $CROX: Finally broke above 130. Looking for continuation toward fresh highs. $SNDK: Nice recovery after the failed breakdown. Watching a reclaim of 2000. $ABNB: Quietly improving. Watching 150. $MU: Keep it paired with SNDK. Watching 1000 as the key psychological level. $NET: Failed at all-time highs. Watching 280 for a recovery. $HOOD: Rejected at 120. A reclaim would put it back on the radar. $DELL: Watching 460 for a continuation breakout. $DDOG: Watching 270. Still constructive if software finds its footing. $SPCX: Weak close near the lows. Watching for continuation lower if Friday’s low breaks. Overall theme: The broader market remains healthy. Semiconductors are beginning to recover while software is losing momentum after a strong run. Mega-cap tech is regaining leadership, and the S&P 500 still looks positioned for a test of all-time highs as long as 7500 continues to hold. AAPL, NVDA, AMD, SMH, META, and SNDK are some of my favorite charts going into next week.

spacemonkey

28,980 次观看 • 1 个月前

I spent 2 hours of my Saturday reviewing hundreds of charts. These are the setups that stood out and what you should focus on this week. Software is starting to wake up. Semiconductors are taking a breather. The next rotation may already be underway. $MSFT finally broke out. $NBIS is setting up near a key trigger. $PANW $CRWD earnings could be one of the most important software reports of the week. Here’s the watchlist and recording: $SPX: Strong week overall. Thursday breakout above 7517 held. Friday was indecisive. Above 7600 opens continuation. Failure there could mean a pullback toward 7550–7500. $QQQ: Similar setup to SPX. Still leading higher but extended from the 9-day. Above Friday highs keeps momentum intact. $IWM: Still trapped in a range between 287 and 293. Less clear than SPX and QQQ. Watching for either a breakout or rotation into small caps. $BTC: No trade for now. All major moving averages remain stacked bearishly. Needs reclaim of the 200-day around 80k. $SMH: Momentum has slowed. Four straight days of consolidation. Software may be attracting capital away from semis short term. $IGV: One of the most important charts right now. Closed above the 200-day for the first time since January. Holding 100 would be very bullish. $AAPL: Continues to surprise. Every dip gets bought. 310 remains the key level. Below that opens a test of the 9-day around 306. $MSFT: One of the strongest setups on the board. Broke above 433 and 442. Looking for continuation toward the 200-day near 458 and eventually gap-fill toward 480. $NVDA: Ugly close Friday. Failed reclaim of the 9-day. Better opportunities elsewhere for now. Watching 200 below. $GOOGL: Weak close. Could test the earnings gap near 365. Hands off until strength returns above 385. $AMZN: Failed breakout attempt. Still above key moving averages. Above 275 opens ATHs and potentially 300. $TSLA: Building a range. 450–453 is the key breakout area. Above that could trigger a move toward prior highs. $META: Friday was a healthy backtest of the breakout. Above 633 then 645 opens gap-fill potential higher. $AMD: Strong but consolidating. Range here would be healthy after the recent move. $AVGO: Earnings next week. Looking constructive. Above 500 becomes interesting. $SMCI: Strong sympathy move from $DELL earnings. Watching to see if momentum can continue. $QCOM: Failed breakout Friday. Give it time. Watching for renewed strength early in the month. $ARM: One of the strongest semis. Above 356 keeps the trend intact. $INTC: Failed multiple breakout attempts at 125. Consolidation remains constructive. $MU: Strong finish Friday. Holding 960 and reclaiming 980 could open the path toward 1000. $SNDK: Constructive close. Watching 1700 closely. $DELL: Huge earnings move. Now trading inside an earnings range. Break above 430 opens more upside. $NOW: Continues to show strong relative strength. Above 126 could open 150. $IBM: Strong breakout. Watching above 300. $ORCL: Massive momentum shift. Broke the 200-day and exploded higher. One of the stronger enterprise software names right now. $PLTR: Improving. Watching for reclaim and hold above the 200-day. $IREN: Large flag pattern. Above 76–77 could trigger a move toward highs. $ZS: Ugly earnings reaction but trying to recover. $CRWD: Earnings this week. Strong run into the report. $NBIS: One of my favorite setups. Above 233–234 could trigger a significant move. $PANW: Earnings this week. Looking extremely strong. $NET: Recovering sharply after a terrible earnings reaction. Short covering continues. $RDDT: Looking better. Momentum name worth watching. $DDOG: One of the strongest software charts. Earnings gap never filled. Trend remains intact. $FSLR: Solar leadership continues. Above 260 could open 300. $ENPH: Vertical momentum. Watching for continuation. $LITE: Still under pressure. Needs time. $AXTI: Similar to LITE. Momentum has cooled. Overall theme: Software is showing the strongest improvement in relative strength. Semiconductors are consolidating after a huge run. Individual names continue to offer better opportunities than the indices. $MSFT, $NBIS, $PANW, $ORCL, and $NET are some of my favorite charts going into next week.

spacemonkey

224,611 次观看 • 2 个月前

I’ve spent 2 hours combing through over 160 charts. Here are 40 stock charts you need to watch in the next 5 days! The market is still consolidating, but the tone shifted a bit last week. SPX failed to break out and closed near the weekly lows. QQQ and semiconductors weakened. Software is trying to stabilize, while earnings from names like $TSLA, $GOOGL, $IBM, and $INTC will likely determine where we go next. Here’s the watchlist and recording (audio cuts out after 20 min): $SPX: SPX attempted to break above both the weekly high and the upper trend line but couldn’t hold it. Buyers ran out of momentum and sellers stepped in, leaving us with a weekly close near the lows. While that’s a short-term negative, the bigger trend hasn’t broken. We’re still trading inside a two-month triangle after a strong advance. 7400 remains the key level I’m watching. Lose that and 7235 becomes a realistic target. Recover 7500 and the 50-day moving average, and I’d start looking for another push higher. $QQQ: Tech had one of the weaker weeks. QQQ is now below the 9, 20 and 50-day moving averages, and those averages are beginning to roll over, which is an early warning sign that momentum is fading. I’d keep a close eye on 685. If that level fails, the next meaningful support doesn’t come in until around 640. $IWM: Small caps continue holding above the 50-day moving average, which is constructive relative to QQQ, but the chart is still trapped inside a broad range. Until we reclaim 300, I don’t see a high-conviction setup here. $IGV: Software has cooled off after being one of the stronger groups a few weeks ago. The ETF remains below the 200-day moving average and continues to struggle there. Some individual software names still look attractive, but I’d like to see IGV reclaim 95-96 before becoming more aggressive. $SMH: Semiconductors spent another week under pressure but did manage to defend the 555 area on Friday. This group is sitting at a very important inflection point. If buyers can build on Friday’s bounce, we could start seeing leadership return. If not, this pullback could continue. $BTC: Bitcoin continues drifting sideways without much conviction. It’s holding the 58K-60K region, but there’s still no catalyst or technical confirmation suggesting buyers are ready to take control. For now, it’s simply range-bound. $AAPL: Apple continues to be one of the strongest charts in the market. Three straight weekly gains have brought it right back to all-time highs after fully recovering from the post-WWDC weakness. It has quietly become one of the market leaders again. Above 335, I’d look for continuation toward 350-360. $MSFT: Microsoft briefly reclaimed the 50-day moving average before giving it back. The chart isn’t broken, but it hasn’t shown the same relative strength as Apple or Meta. 400 remains the level I’d like to see recovered before getting more constructive. $GOOGL: Google remains below its key moving averages after the Gemini-related headlines earlier in the week. Friday was a better session relative to the market, but the chart still needs time to repair itself before offering a clean long setup. $META: Buyers stepped in exactly where they needed to, defending both the 200-day moving average and prior support. That reversal keeps the chart constructive despite the recent volatility. Above 650-652, I think Meta has a good chance of working back toward the highs. $TSLA: Tesla continues to be one of the weaker mega caps heading into earnings. The price action has been choppy, momentum is fading, and the chart lacks a clear trend. Below 368 could accelerate another leg lower. For now, I’d rather wait for earnings than force a trade. $AMZN: Amazon briefly reclaimed the 50-day moving average before giving the move back. It’s another chart that’s trying to stabilize but hasn’t earned my confidence yet. A sustained move back above the 50-day would improve the outlook. $NFLX: Netflix sold off after earnings and is now sitting at an important long-term support area around 70. That’s the level that matters. If buyers can reclaim 70, and especially 75-76, this quickly turns into an attractive failed-breakdown setup with room to recover. $NVDA: Friday looked ugly initially, but buyers defended both the psychological 200 level and the 200-day moving average. That’s exactly where you want institutions stepping in. Above 207, I’d look for a move toward 214-215, and only above there does a run back toward the highs become realistic. $BROS: Quietly building one of the cleaner bull flags on my watchlist. Friday’s strength was encouraging, and above 70 I think this one has room for another continuation move. $BE: After an incredible run, BE has finally started pulling back into support. This isn’t a chart I’d chase, but it’s one I’d monitor closely. If buyers defend 195, it could become another attractive continuation setup. $USO: Energy benefited from renewed geopolitical headlines and has started improving technically. A move above 125.85, along with reclaiming the 50-day moving average, would strengthen the bullish case. $NBIS: One of those AI names that can reverse very quickly once buyers return. Friday’s recovery was encouraging after several weak sessions. It remains firmly on my watchlist. $NET: Software hasn’t completely fallen apart, and NET continues to be one of the stronger names in the group. I’m watching 280-282 closely. If software finds its footing again, this is one of the first names I’d expect to move. $PANW: PANW continues holding up well despite broader market weakness and has respected support remarkably well. Earnings aren’t until August, leaving plenty of room for institutions to accumulate. Above 368, I’d expect momentum to build toward 400. $DELL: Dell continues holding its post-earnings gap extremely well despite weakness across AI infrastructure. That tells me institutions still want exposure. Above 410 would likely restart the uptrend. $LLY: Healthcare remains one of the stronger areas of the market, and Lilly continues showing leadership. Above 1200, I’d expect another leg higher as buyers continue rotating into defensive growth. $CRWD: CrowdStrike has done a great job holding above 200 despite the broader volatility. That’s constructive. Above 210, I’d look for buyers to regain momentum. $BAC: Earnings are behind it, removing one layer of uncertainty. As long as 60 holds, I think another breakout attempt remains very possible. $MU: Memory continues weakening after an exceptional run. Momentum has clearly faded. Below 800, I’d expect another wave of selling before buyers become interested again. $AMD: Despite the recent pullback in semiconductors, AMD continues to hold up better than many peers. The 500 area becomes an important decision point early in the week. $V: Visa printed an inside day after a healthy advance. Those often resolve with expansion. Watching 365 closely. $MA: Very similar setup to Visa. Healthy consolidation after a strong move higher. Worth watching if financials regain momentum. $SNDK: After an incredible run, the correction has been significant. The chart still needs time, but 1275-1300 becomes an important area to watch for signs that sellers are finally exhausting themselves. $ALAB: Another AI leader that’s finally cooling off after months of strength. Nothing wrong with the longer-term story, but technically it needs more time before becoming attractive again. $SPCX: SpaceX continues trading below its IPO price and has steadily deteriorated technically. August earnings become the next meaningful catalyst. Until then, I’d rather let the chart prove itself. $HOOD: Robinhood has now lost both 100 and the 200-day moving average. That’s meaningful technical damage. I’d wait for buyers to reclaim those levels before becoming interested again. $ISRG: One of the cleaner downside setups on my list. A break below Friday’s low around 345 could trigger another leg lower. Overall theme: Last week’s failed breakout shifted the short-term tone more cautious, but the bigger picture hasn’t changed. SPX remains inside a two-month consolidation, and earnings will likely determine whether we finally resolve higher or break lower. Semiconductors are trying to stabilize after a difficult stretch, software is mixed, and Wednesday becomes the biggest day of earnings season so far with reports from $TSLA, $GOOGL, $IBM, and $NOW, followed by $INTC on Thursday. $AAPL, $NVDA, $META, $PANW, $NET, $LLY, and $BROS are some of my favorite charts going into next week. If you like this, then like ❤️ it.

spacemonkey

25,654 次观看 • 29 天前

📺 IS $META STARTING A NEW NARRATIVE? + SEMIS WEAKNESS IS REAL + $AMZN THE NEXT ROTATION TRADE? One of the biggest questions right now: is $META latest AI announcement simply creating a short-term trading opportunity, or is it the beginning of an entirely new market narrative? Rather than focusing on headlines, watch price action. The initial reaction to the news is only the first step. What matters now is whether #Meta can hold key support, consolidate its gains, and begin a sustained bullish sequence. For swing traders, the $595 area is the key level that needs to hold. If #META continues to digest the move constructively, a breakout above $628 could signal the next leg higher. * While Meta has grabbed the spotlight, the bigger story may be the growing weakness across semis $SMH $SOXX. After leading the market for months, the leadership names are starting to show signs of fatigue. $MU lost momentum, broke important support, and closed near its lows. $SNDK appeared ready to break out before reversing sharply lower and triggering an active exit. These types of failed breakouts are often early signals that leadership within a sector may be changing. The 21-day moving average remains one of the most important technical levels to monitor. Throughout the rally since March, this moving average has consistently acted as support. Until leading stocks begin breaking and closing below it, the broader uptrend remains intact. A pullback toward the 50-day moving average can still be considered a normal correction rather than the start of a bear market. * Another important takeaway is the potential for sector rotation. If institutional money continues to leave semiconductors and AI infrastructure, it will likely seek opportunities elsewhere within large-cap technology. For example, $AMZN. Amazon is a value-oriented mega-cap technology stock that could benefit if investors rotate away from expensive AI winners. Despite a compelling long-term story and an attractive valuation relative to its history, Amazon has been frustrating to trade. Still, improving relative strength could attract fresh buying if this rotation continues. I purchased July 10 $250 call options, giving myself limited risk while allowing time for the rotation thesis to develop. * So, you should avoid making bold predictions during periods of uncertainty. Instead, define your risk, stay flexible, follow your trading rules, and let price action determine whether $META is launching a new AI narrative, whether semiconductor weakness deepens, and whether $AMZN becomes one of the next beneficiaries of market rotation. * If you found this helpful, please ❤️like and 🔁retweet

Scott Redler

13,656 次观看 • 1 个月前

I spent my Sunday mapping the setups that matter most this shortened week. Tech is still leading this market. Software earnings may decide what happens next. $QCOM is setting up above 242. $ASTS continues to show momentum in the space trade. $ZS software earnings could shift the tone for the entire group. Here’s the watchlist and recording: $SPX: Healthy week overall. Reclaimed the 9-day and pushed back above 7500 before fading into Friday’s close. Trend remains intact. A higher low here could set up another breakout attempt above 7500. $QQQ: Still rangebound between roughly 695 and ATHs near 722. Tech leadership remains intact, but there’s a mild double top warning if momentum stalls. $IWM: Constructive range near highs. 270 double bottom held perfectly. Not bearish at all. Still one of the cleaner consolidation setups if rates cooperate. $BTC #BTC: No trade for now. Sitting below major moving averages. Needs 84–85K reclaim before momentum becomes interesting again. $SMH: New ATH Friday despite $NVDA weakness. Semiconductor rotation remains alive. Above 583 opens the door toward 600. $AAPL: Extremely strong. Multiple new highs. 303 is first warning. 300 is must-hold. As long as buyers defend breakout levels, trend remains intact. $MSFT: Harder trade, but very large cup-and-handle structure. Above 530 opens 542. Bigger breakout potential if momentum follows. $AMZN: One of the better big tech setups. Friday was a clean backtest of breakout trendline. Above 270 gets interesting quickly. $GOOGL: Looking tired. 380 reclaim could trigger failed breakdown reversal. Otherwise, not much here. $TSLA: Interesting setup. 420 and 435 are the key levels. Above 435 opens gap-fill toward 442. $NVDA: Weak post-earnings reaction. Pulling back into prior breakout zone around 215–217 and the 20-day. Needs to hold that area. $AMD: New ATH Friday but failed to hold the move. Above 470 could re-ignite momentum. $AVGO: Large range consolidation. Harder trade for now. $NVTS: One of the cleaner semiconductor momentum setups. One-time framing higher. Above 30 keeps continuation alive. $DELL: Fantastic structure. 298 opens 300. Above 300 could accelerate. $QCOM: One of the cleaner setups this week. 242 breakout opens 248–250. $RGTI: Quantum momentum remains alive. Above 27 opens 30+. $QBTS: Similar quantum continuation setup. $AXTI: One of the strongest photonics names right now. Clear leadership. $AAOI: Laggard vs AXTI but above 193 opens 200. $LITE: Looking constructive. 1000 reclaim could trigger momentum. SWKS: Quiet semiconductor strength. Above 83.50 opens 92, then potentially 100. LUNR: One of the stronger space setups. Above 38.30 opens continuation. $RKLB: Failed breakout Friday. Above 140 becomes interesting again. $ASTS: Strong recovery. Hold 100, break 108, and momentum could continue toward ATHs. $SMTC: Big Friday move but messy close. Harder setup. $ZS: Big software earnings this week. Important for group sentiment. $CRWD: Extremely strong. New ATH continuation setup. $PANW: Beautiful one-time framing higher. Momentum remains intact. $NET: Laggard, but could benefit if software earnings surprise positively. $DDOG: Monster move. Gap never backtested. Momentum remains very strong. $SNOW: Earnings this week. Worth watching. ON: Quiet strength. $FSLR: Solar remains hot. Above 260 opens 300 potential. $ENPH: Vertical momentum move. Needs continuation. $ARM: Monster breakout from prior balance. Hold 300 and continuation remains alive. $MRVL: Grinding higher. 200 is the key breakout. NOW: Holding 100 well. Trump positioning narrative still in play. $LLY: Strong above 1000. 1070 breakout could open ATH move. $INTC: Looks ready. Above 123 could trigger fresh highs. LRCX: Strong breakout. Holding above 300 keeps dip-buy thesis alive. $GS: Strong breakout and leadership among banks. $JPM: Reclaiming key moving averages. MS: New ATHs. Very strong bank setup. $IBM: Needs reclaim above 260. $MU: Ugly Friday reversal. Harder trade for now. $SNDK: Better than MU. Above 1530 gets interesting. $WDC: Looking constructive. Above 490 could move toward 500. $COST: Big move but sold off. Harder setup. WMT: Ugly post-earnings reaction. TGT: Holding gains better. Above 128 becomes interesting. If you like this, then ❤️ it! sm

spacemonkey

86,861 次观看 • 2 个月前

I spent and hour of my Saturday reviewing hundreds of charts. These are the setups that stood out and what you should focus on this week Friday changed the tone of this market. The AI trade is under pressure. Software is pulling back. Relative strength is starting to stand out. $GOOGL held up. $AAPL barely cracked. $C continues to show strength while growth stocks unwind. Here’s the watchlist and recording: $SPX: One of the ugliest days we've seen in months. Closed near the lows after breaking the 20-day. 7330-7290 is the first support zone. Below that opens 7273 and potentially 7150. $QQQ: Nearly 5% down on Friday. AI leadership is under pressure. Watching 695 support closely. $IWM: Back to 280 support. Watching whether this becomes a swing low or just another bounce that gets sold. $BTC: Still under pressure. Failed reclaim of the 200-day. No clear setup here. $SMH: Nearly 9% down Friday. Semis finally cracked. Watching for either a relief bounce or continuation lower. $MSFT: Failed after briefly reclaiming the 200-day. Still holding trend support but needs buyers soon. $AAPL: One of the stronger mega caps. Technical damage is limited compared to the rest of the market. Worth watching. $GOOGL: One of the better-looking charts. Holding the earnings gap and showing relative strength. Above 373 could trigger a relief move. $AMZN: Broke the 50-day and looks vulnerable. Could see a move toward the 200-day near 232. $NVDA: Momentum has faded. Sitting on the 50-day near 203. Must hold. $TSLA: Significant technical damage. Lost the 200-day, 50-day, 20-day, and 9-day. Needs major repair work. $META: Still holding the lower end of its range. 600 remains the key level. $AMD: Looks like it wants to fill the gap lower. Semis remain under pressure. $AAPL: Relative strength remains notable. One of the few mega caps still acting well. $NFLX: Quiet relative strength. Not an easy trade, but worth noting. $LLY: Strong healthcare leadership. Above 1165 opens another attempt at highs. Must hold 1100. $JPM: Financials are starting to show relative strength. $C: One of the stronger bank charts. Pullback remains very controlled. $WFC: Held up well and continues to show relative strength. $GS: Large engulfing pullback. Watching for stabilization. $GE: Rotational strength worth monitoring. $CROX: Continues to hold the 9-day and trend higher. Relative strength stands out. $SNOW: Pulling back into the 9-day after earnings. Watching for support. $DDOG: Pulling back with software but still one of the stronger charts in the group. $PLTR: Rejected at the 200-day. Needs more work. $IBM: Back below the 9-day. Harder chart for now. $DELL: Pulling back into the 9-day after earnings. Watching for buyers to step in. $HOOD: Pulling back into range support. $CRWD: Watching 670 as a potential support area after earnings. $NET: Backtesting the 9-day. One of the better software recovery stories. $BE: Still consolidating near highs. No major damage yet. $MU: Sharp pullback. Watching for a bounce near current levels. $WDC: Big pullback after a huge run. $SNDK: Pulling back but no major technical damage yet. Watching closely. Overall theme: Friday changed the character of the market. The focus shifts from chasing momentum to identifying what held up during the selloff. $GOOGL, $AAPL, $C, $WFC, $CROX, and select software names are showing the best relative strength. For now, caution is warranted. Let the market prove it wants to bounce before getting aggressive.

spacemonkey

37,634 次观看 • 2 个月前