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This should be required viewing for every class on probability.

803,838 Aufrufe • vor 2 Jahren •via X (Twitter)

10 Kommentare

Profilbild von Mushfiq Mobarak
Mushfiq Mobarakvor 2 Jahren

Holy crap, who is this person and why does he have a microphone? I feel like we need some licensing regulations before people are allowed to purchase microphones.

Profilbild von Florian Ederer
Florian Ederervor 2 Jahren

Clearly, you're not online enough: He is a tenured professor at Stanford.

Profilbild von Saurabh Kumar
Saurabh Kumarvor 2 Jahren

Is he not getting enough sunlight within 2 hours of waking up?

Profilbild von Thomas Johnson
Thomas Johnsonvor 2 Jahren

"Statistics is the field that mathematicians think is hard and doctors think is easy"

Profilbild von Robert Anderson
Robert Andersonvor 2 Jahren

Give it your 120% effort

Profilbild von Victor Chernozhukov #peace 🇺🇦
Victor Chernozhukov #peace 🇺🇦vor 2 Jahren

Maybe in applied econometrics course where they teach linear probability model? 😀

Profilbild von Sepehr Shahshahani
Sepehr Shahshahanivor 2 Jahren

“Would take you to 120 percent, which is a different thing altogether.”

Profilbild von Igor Eckert
Igor Eckertvor 2 Jahren

Ah, the classic "gonna make this very simple" card, which magically allows you to make shit up.

Profilbild von Rob Kimball
Rob Kimballvor 2 Jahren

Really embarrassing. Anyone with even basic stats knows you can't be over 100% probability of pregnancy, so this person would be already pregnant once, with a 20% chance of having twins

Profilbild von Erhan Bilici (🇭🇰,🇺🇦)
Erhan Bilici (🇭🇰,🇺🇦)vor 2 Jahren

To make this very simple, all we need to know is the probability of getting a tail in a one-attempt coin toss is 50%. So, if that didn't occur the first time, one should repeat at least 2 or probably 3 times before concluding that something fishy is going on.

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