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This should be required viewing for every class on probability.

Florian Ederer

53,278 subscribers

803,838 次观看 • 2 年前 •via X (Twitter)

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10 条评论

Mushfiq Mobarak 的头像

Mushfiq Mobarak2 年前

Holy crap, who is this person and why does he have a microphone? I feel like we need some licensing regulations before people are allowed to purchase microphones.

Florian Ederer 的头像

Florian Ederer2 年前

Clearly, you're not online enough: He is a tenured professor at Stanford.

Saurabh Kumar 的头像

Saurabh Kumar2 年前

Is he not getting enough sunlight within 2 hours of waking up?

Thomas Johnson 的头像

Thomas Johnson2 年前

"Statistics is the field that mathematicians think is hard and doctors think is easy"

Robert Anderson 的头像

Robert Anderson2 年前

Give it your 120% effort

Victor Chernozhukov #peace 🇺🇦 的头像

Victor Chernozhukov #peace 🇺🇦2 年前

Maybe in applied econometrics course where they teach linear probability model? 😀

Sepehr Shahshahani 的头像

Sepehr Shahshahani2 年前

“Would take you to 120 percent, which is a different thing altogether.”

Igor Eckert 的头像

Igor Eckert2 年前

Ah, the classic "gonna make this very simple" card, which magically allows you to make shit up.

Rob Kimball 的头像

Rob Kimball2 年前

Really embarrassing. Anyone with even basic stats knows you can't be over 100% probability of pregnancy, so this person would be already pregnant once, with a 20% chance of having twins

Erhan Bilici (🇭🇰,🇺🇦) 的头像

Erhan Bilici (🇭🇰,🇺🇦)2 年前

To make this very simple, all we need to know is the probability of getting a tail in a one-attempt coin toss is 50%. So, if that didn't occur the first time, one should repeat at least 2 or probably 3 times before concluding that something fishy is going on.

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